gbp/usd

H4 Timeframe Analysis:

Subah ki tajziyah mein, maine 1.2696 ke darje par tawajjo di aur is se market mein dakhil hone ki faisla banaane ka iraada kiya. Chaliye 5 minute ka chart dekhte hain aur dekhte hain wahan kya hua. Wahan ghaalib hony aur jhooti tor par giravat ki shakal mein ek farokht ishaara tha, jo ke pair ko 30 points se zyada girne par muntaqil kar diya. Dopahar mein, takhliqati tasveer ko thora sa dekha gaya. GBP/USD par lambi positions kholne ke liye aapko zaroorat hai: Yooropeen session ke doran, Bank of England ke numaindon ke taqreerain britis pound par musbat asar daali, jo ke isay barhne par wapas le aayi, lekin isay taraf ki channel se bahar jaana mumkin nahi hua. Humare samne bohot dilchasb statistics hain amreeki aetmaad ke indicator par, jis ki kamzori dobara dollar ki position ko kamzor kar degi, jo ke GBP/USD ko tezi se buland hone ka rastah kholega. Durable maal ki orders aur makanat ke qeemat index par tabdeelon ke data ke ehtimam se shayad shiddat mein koi asar na ho. Mazboot amreeki data britis pound ke girne ka sabab banega aur nazdiki support 1.2666 par update hoga, jahan moving averages thore upar hain, jo ke kharidaron ke faidah mein khel rahe hain. Sirf is darje par jhooti tor par toot jaane se ye sahi dakhil ka dorakhwast karega lambi positions ke liye maqsad ko pair ko taqreeban 1.2696 ke aas paas pohanchna. Ye range se bahar nikalna aur jamawar ke sath isteqraar is daraf britis pound ke liye shor ke liye zindagi daal dega aur raastah ko 1.2730 tak khol dega, kharidaron ke muqami muqam ke liye mazboot khaloon ki banane ke liye. Aakhri maqsad 1.2769 par hoga, jahan main munafa kamaane ka iraada rakhta hoon. Agar pair ka giravat aur 1.2666 par bullish faalat ka na hona, to pound doosri farokht ke saamne mukh mukhi ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, sirf agle support 1.2639 ke ird gird jhooti tor par toot jaane se sahi dakhil ka dorakhwast tasdeeq karega. Main maqsad ka dorakhwast karna chahta hoon 1.2612 ke minimum se ummeed kar raha hoon, jahan din ke andar 30-35 point sudhaar ka maqsad hai.



D1 Timeframe Analysis:​​​​​
Farokht daigar ke pehle hisse mein farokt daigaron ne behtar adaigi ki. Agar pair ka mazeed barhna, to main sirf ek jhooti tor ke baad amal karne ka iraada rakhta hoon naye resistance 1.2696 ke ird gird, jo ke maine pehle discuss kiya tha. Ye lambi positions ke daraf short positions ke kholne ka rastah khol dega maqsad ke taraf pair ke halki giravat tak 1.2666 tak - jo ke kal ke inteha tak bana hua support hai, jahan moving averages thore upar hain, jo ke bulls ke faidah mein khel rahe hain. Is range ke bahar nikalna aur ek bottom-up reverse test of this range ke mohtaj hona bullish positions ko aur ek zakhmi pohanchaega, jo ke stop orders ko hatane aur rastah ko kholne ka tareeqa 1.2639 tak, jahan bade kharidaron ka zuhoor ki ummeed hai. Aakhri maqsad 1.2612 ke aas paas ka ilaqa hoga, jahan munafa uthaya jaega. GBP/USD ke barhne aur dopahar ke 1.2696 par koi faalat ki kami hone par, kharidaron ka uparward rukh jari rahega. Is surat mein, main farokhtain taal dena taake 1.2730 ke darje par jhooti tor par toot jaane ke baad. Agar koi neeche ki harkat na ho, to main GBP/USD ko seedha 1.2769 se waapas kharidunga, lekin sirf din ke andar 30-35 points ki tajurbaati giravat ka umeedwar hoon.

Fundamental Analysis GBP/USD:


H4 GBPUSD timeframe par dekhtay hain, keh jodi mojooda doran tamam moving averages ke ooper trading kar rahi hai. Ab mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat 1.2660 tak giray gi. Aam tor par, meri priority farokht karna hai, is liye aaj mujhe umeed hai ke pehle GBPUSD jodi mein thori izafi umeed hai aur phir resistance level 1.2699 par dobarah imtehaan, baad mein ek phir se behtar honay aur girawat ki taraf jaari honay ki umeed hai maqsoodain 1.2649 ke aas paas. Kyun ke RSI indicator bhi manfi signals dikhata hai, is ka matlab hai ke qeemat hamari mutawaqqa hadaf ke darjah par gir sakti hai 1.2660, aur agar isay torhna kaamyaab hota hai, to yeh 1.2650 ki taraf giray gi. Hum ne jo aakhri dafa kiya tha woh sirf 27 figure se guzarna tha, mujhe kuch aur zyada dilchaspi hai, Fibonacci grid ke hawale se halat-e-haal par, graphically screen par dehan dein main ne ek 100th level ke tootne ka shumara kia, buhat ziada imkaanat ke sath Chalo kaam karte hain 138.2 aur 161.8 ek ek karke, yahan aur kya mil sakta hai? Kuch ehem nahi ho raha siwaye amriki trading session ki tayyari ke, February ke ikhtitam par bari market ki tajwez shanakht dikhani chahiye madhyam muddat mein qeemat ke humar raah ki directions, iqtisadi calendar buhat kamzor hai, UK ki qoumi currency ke liye kuch dilchasp nahi pesh kiya jata, 16:30 18:00 par hum USD ki statistics maloom karenge - moaser asbab ke orders ke liye mazboot cheezen aur February ke consumer confidence index, yahi woh sab kuch hai jo tajwez karne ke liye traders ko diya gaya hai.


Technical Outlook:

Market be shak tanazaon se bhar poor hai, lekin GBP/USD ke saandhain currency par qabiz hain aur yeh wazeh hai ke mojooda girawat jaari nahi rahegi. Aglay din ka session is lehaaz se ahem hoga aur agar saandhain ne neeche palatna na kia, to hum umeed kar sakte hain ke aik be waqoof wapas barhne ka imkaan hai. Qabil zikar hai ke 1.2737 par resistance level torhna saandhain par gehra asar daalega aur GBP/USD pair mein mazeed izafay ko rokay ga; is level ko torhne ke baad, aik naya uptrend shuru hoga, jis mein jodi ko pehle 1.2853 tak le jaya jayega aur, meri guftagu hai, shayad mazeed 1.2955 tak, ikhtitam mein sirf ek wazeh rukawat ka tasalsul jo sirf mustaqbil mein nazar aasakta hai. Magar, kisi bhi had tak ek taraf ko nafrat karna kabhi aasaan nahi hota. Jaisa ke intezaar kiya jata hai, doosri manzil, meri raay mein, is darje par is waqt isay madde nazar rakhne ki koi sakht wajah nahi hai, jaise ke umooman trend se thora sa saazgar guzarna koi tawajjo ke laiq nahi hai.

H4 GBPUSD timeframe par, ham dekhte hain ke pair abhi sabhi moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai. Ab mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat 1.2660 ke support level par giray gi. Amm taur par, meri priority hai bechnay ki taraf, is liye aaj mein initially GBPUSD pair mein thoda sa izafah aur phir 1.2699 ke resistance level ki retest ki umeed karta hoon, uske baad ek recovery aur girawat ke mawafiq 1.2649 ke targets ki taraf barhne ka intezar hai. RSI indicator bhi negative signals dikhata hai, yeh iska matlub hai ke qeemat 1.2660 ke expected target level ki taraf gir sakti hai, aur agar isay torr kar upar jata hai, toh yeh 1.2650 ki taraf giray gi. Hum ne pehle bhi sirf 27th figure ko torra tha, mujhe is se zyada kisi aur cheez mein dilchaspi hai, Fibonacci grid ke haalat par gaur karein, screen par maine 100th level ka tor phor dikhaya hai, jiske bohat zyada imkanat ke sath 138.2 aur 161.8 par jaane ka kaam kareinge, yahan kuch aur shamil kar sakte hain? Khaas tor par is waqt kuch significant nahi ho raha, siwaye is ke ke February ke end par bade market ke speculative interest se medium term mein qeemat ke rehne ke taur par kuch tasveerain zahir honi chahiye, economic calendar bohat kamzor hai, UK ke liye unki mulki currency ke liye kuch bhi dilchasp nahi hai, 16:30 18:00 par ham durable goods aur February ke consumer confidence index ke liye US dollar ki statistics maloom kareinge, yehi woh sab kuch hai jo traders ke liye diya gaya hai.




GBPUSD ke daily time slot mein, market be shak contradictions se bhara hua hai, lekin GBP/USD bulls currency par hukumat karte hain aur wazeh hai ke mojooda girawat jari nahi rahegi. Aane wale din ki session is lehaz se ahem hoga aur agar bulls ne neeche murna nahi kiya, toh hume umeed hai ke achanak se izafah hoga. Yeh bhi note karna wazeh hai ke 1.2737 ke resistance level ko torrna bulls par strong asar daalega aur GBP/USD pair mein mazeed izafah ko rokega; Is level ko torrne ke baad, ek naya uptrend shuru hoga, jise pair pehle 1.2853 tak le jayega aur, main sochta hoon, mazeed 1.2955 tak, ek wazeh turning point ke sath jo shayad sirf mustaqbil mein zahir hoga. Lekin, yaad rahe ke ek tarafi harkat karna kabhi bhi asaan nahi hota. Alternate scenario ke liye, meri raye mein is stage par isay serious tor par ghor karne ka koi maqool wajah nahi hai, kyun ke amm trend se thoda sa alhida hona tawajju nahi laata.

GBP/USD pair ne Budh ko early Asian trading ke doran mehdood movement ka samna kiya, jo ke ahem 1.2700 level ke neeche ghoom raha tha. Bazaar ka tawajju do ahem waqe par mabni hai: aane wale US ke chaarwein quarter GDP figures ka izhar aur Bank of England ki Katherine Mann ki ek taqreer. Halankeh, pair mojooda doran 1.2685 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek halka 0.03% daily izafa ko darust karta hai. Haal hi mein US ki maaliati data ne aik mix tasawar pesh kiya. January mein durable goods orders 6.1% gir gaye, jis se muntazir 4.5% girawat se zyada hui. Magar, defense ke baghair naye orders, jo ke capital spending ka aik ahem metric hai, 0.1% ke izafe ke sath tawaqo ke mutabiq mil gaye. Conference Board ka Consumer Confidence Index reading 106.7 tha jo ke muntazir 115.0 se kam tha. Aglay dino mein tawajju US ke chaarwein quarter GDP figures aur pehli dafa ke goods trade balance par hoti hai. Investors Fed ke mukhtalif officials ke taqreeron (Bostic, Collins, aur Williams) ke sath sath Bank of England ke Mann ki taqreerat ko bhi nazar andaz nahi karte, GBP/USD pair ke andar potential trading opportunities ke liye mazeed idraak hasil karne ke liye.


GBP/USD ke exchange rate ne mid-November se range-bound pattern ka muzahir kiya hai, jo ke kisi wazi rukh ki taraf nahi hai. February mein range ke lower end ki taraf girte hue, pair ne aakhir mein apna saath diya, 200-day simple moving average (SMA) par mazboot support dhoondha. Chhoti dairay ke oscillators ke mutabiq potential musbat momentum ka ishara dene par, bullish traders qeemat ko 50-day EMA ke upar dhakelne ki koshish kar sakte hain, November ki unchi 1.2732 ko nishana banate hue. Agar yeh rukawat zyada taqatwar sabit ho, to tawajju December ke resistance par 1.2793 par ho sakti hai, jahan ke next significant target ke tor par six-month high 1.2826 hai. Is zone ke upar ka breakout June 2023 ki unchi 1.2847 ko test karne par le ja sakta hai. Muttawazi tor par, ek neeche ki taraf palat jane par January ke support level 1.2596 pehli laine-e-dafaa ka kaam karsakta hai. Is level ka tor hone par 2024 ke low 1.2517 ko zaahir kar sakta hai. Mazeed nuqsanat 1.2445 par rok sakte hain, jo ke 2023 mein support aur resistance ke tor par istemal kiya gaya hai.

HOURLY GBPUSD TECHNICALLY ANALYSIS


Mujhe umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge aur is tajziya ka lutf utha rahe honge. H1 GBP/USD time frame ka tajziya karne par wazeh hota hai ke pair apni position ko sab ahem moving averages ke ooper barqarar rakhta hai. Bazaar mein mukhtalif mukhalifat ka izhar hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD ke ird gird bullish sentiment qaim hai, jahan kharidar currency par apna ghalba jatate hain. Ye mustaqil bullish momentum ishara karta hai ke chal rahe izafe ki muddat mein mukhtalif dairay ka barqarar rehna mushkil hai. Jab hum GBP/USD pair ke dynamics mein gehri dakhilat karte hain, to kai ahem factors iske bullish rukh mein hissa dalte hain. Sab se pehle, mojooda sentiment GBP/USD bulls ki taraf se hai, jo currency ke izafe ki umeed par mazboot yaqeen ko darust karta hai. Ye itminan pair ke ahem moving averages ke ooper apni position ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat se mazbooti ko ishara karta hai, jo ke neeche ki dabaavat ke khilaf bardasht ka saboot hai. Iske ilawa, technical analysis GBP/USD pair ke bullish bias ko tasdeeq karta hai. Pair ke sab moving averages ke ooper tarteeb mohra bullish trend ki taqat ko aham karta hai, jo ke mazeed izafe ke buland imkanat ko ishara karta hai. Traders aur investors in technical indicators ko nazdeek se moniter karte hain, inhein market sentiment ka andaza lagane aur potential dakhilon aur nikhalon ke points ko pehchanne ke liye istemal karte hain.

Mukhtalif mukhalifat ke maujood hone ke bawajood, bazaar mein mukhtalif mukhtalifat ka izhar karna ahem hai. Global economic recovery, tanavwarati dabaavat aur central bank policies ke ird gird shak ki surat mein izafe kiya gaya hai, jo ke volatility aur anjaaniyat ke maqamaat ko paida karta hai. Magar, in mukhalifat ke darmiyan, GBP/USD bulls ki bardasht mukhtalif surat mein barqarar hai, jo pair ke qeemat ke amal mein isteqamat aur rukh faraham karta hai. Traders key developments aur events ko moniter karte rahenge jo GBP/USD ke exchange rate par asar dal sakte hain. Ahem maaliati releases, central bank meetings aur geopolitical developments market sentiment aur qeemat dynamics ke liye unke potential implications ke liye nazdeek se jaiza kiye jayenge. Jab tak shak bana rehta hai, GBP/USD pair ka bunyadi bullish momentum anjaan market shara'ait ke khilaf bardasht aur is ke izafe ke rukh ka potential jari rehne ka ishara karta hai.








Four Hours GBPUSD Fundamental Analysis




Forex trading ki dinamik duniya mein, maharat se chandni ke dakhil aur nikhal points faida hasil karne aur nuqsaan ko kam karne ke liye ahem hotay hain. Aik aise asar daar strategy mein se ek, har hourly candle ke band hone ka faida uthana hota hai takay munasib waqt par kharidari ya farokht ke liye mauka darust kiya ja sake. Jab hourly candle 1.2708 ke darwazay ke ooper band hoti hai, to yeh aik moqa faraham karta hai ke kharidari ki position ko shuru kia jaye. Is surat mein, aik stop loss hoshiyarana taur par 1.2608 par rakha jata hai taake mumkinah nuqsaan ko had mein rakha ja sake, jabkeh take profit level 1.3008 par set kiya jata hai taake uparward momentum ka faida hasil kiya ja sake. Mukhtalif taur par, jab hourly candle 1.2610 ke neeche band hoti hai, to yeh ishara karta hai ke ek farokht ki position ko shuru karne ka munasib waqt hai. Yahan, aik stop loss strategy 1.2710 par istemal hota hai ke khatra ko manag kare, jabkeh take profit level 1.2310 par set kiya jata hai taake neeche ki harkat ko pakar sake. Ye tareeqa traders ko bazar mein dakhil aur nikhal karne mein nafarman tareeqay se madad deta hai, faida hasil karte hue jabke adverse market fluctuations ka exposure kam hota hai. Predefined dakhil aur nikhal points par amal karke, jo ke hourly candle band hone par mabni hain, traders apni puri trading strategy ko behtar bana sakte hain aur forex market ke tasalsul se tayyar peymane mein mustaqil nateejay hasil kar sakte hain. Is tareeqay se, traders apni kamyabi aur mustaqil munafa ko mazbooti se barhane ke liye forex market ke complexities ko hoshyarana tareeqay se nafarman kar sakte hain. Is tareeqay se, traders apni kamyabi aur mustaqil munafa ko mazbooti se barhane ke liye forex market ke complexities ko hoshyarana tareeqay se nafarman kar sakte hain.





Nuqsaan ko qabool ke hadood ke andar rakhne ka aham hissa hota hai. Ek waqt par nuqsaan ko rokne ke liye stop loss orders ka hoshiyarana taur par intikhab bhi is tijarat ki kamyabi mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ek hi waqt par, take profit levels ke qaim kiye jaane se yaqeeni taur par traders munafa ko mazbooti se strategic qeemat par band karte hain, jo ke is trading strategy ki efektiviti ko mazeed barha dete hain. Bunyadi tor par, tajziyati forex trading woh salahiyat par mabni hoti hai ke munasib bazarati shorat ko pehchan kar faida uthaya ja sake jabke potential khatray se apne aap ko bachaya ja sake. Ghanton ke candle band hone par mabni tafseelat ke tehdidat aur nikhal points ko shamil karke, traders forex market ke complexities ko hoshyarana tareeqay se tajziya kar sakte hain, apne aap ko lambi muddat ki kamyabi aur mustaqil munafa ke liye qaim kar sakte hain. Releasing, central bank meetings aur market sentiment aur qeemat dynamics ke liye unke potential asar ke liye nazdeek se jaiza kiye jayenge. Jab tak uncertainties baqi rehti hain, the underlying bullish.

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yah dekhte hue keh kal pound/dollar ka joda 1.2676 se ooper mazbut hua, iske pas badhat badhane aur 1.2700 ki satah se ooper tootne ka har mauqa tha lekin nakam raha. Iske bajaye, qimat wapas 1.2676 se niche aa gayi. Filhal, Bartanwi pound 1.2665 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Zyada imkan hai keh, Mangal ki kami ko New Zealand dollar me bikwali ke liye zimmadar thahraya ja sakta hai, jis se ahistah-ahistah tamam European currencies ko mutassir karne aur tejarati hajam ko ghair mutawazin karane ki ummid hai. Pound/dollar ke jode me badhat dobara shuru karne ke liye qimat ko 1.2665 ki maujudah satah se 1.2676 ke nishan se ooper wapas aane ki zarurat hai. Is tezi ki surat me, 1.2800 ilaqe ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Is dauran, pound sterling 1.2676 se niche karobar kar raha hai, mai aaj 1.2632 tak kami ki tawaqqo karta hun.


​​​​​​​

GBP/USD pair ke liye, lehar ka tajziya nisbatan wazeh hai aur, ek sath, pesh qadmi hai. Ek naye neechay ki taraf janib trend ka hissa jari hai, jis ki pehli lehar bohot lambah shakal ikhtiyar kar chuki hai. Dusri lehar bhi kaafi lambi nikli hai, jo hamein teesri lehar ke lambay tajziye ka intezar karne ke liye har wajah deti hai. Is waqt, mujhe poori tarah yaqeen nahi hai ke lehar 2 ya b ka tajziya mukammal hai. Qeemat peakon se qatai itna kam hai ke isay lehar 3 ya c ka mustaqbil shuru hone ka yaqeeni aghaz qarar dena mushkil hai. Lehar 2 ya b pehle hi panch wale shakal ikhtiyar kar chuki hai, lekin yeh theek karna karte hue hai aur jald hi mukammal ho jani chahiye (ya pehle hi mukammal ho chuki hai). Magar phir bhi, hum naye androni leharon ka tajziya kartay hain jo abhi bohot mushkil hai kisi bhi khaas lehar ko kisi bhi uncha darjat ka shumaar karnay ke liye naqal daina. Pair ko ghatey mein laane ke nishaniyan lehar 3 ya c ke wahi level ke neeche waqay hain, jo wave 1 ya a ke kam se kam level 1.2039 se mawafiq hain. Muzafr lehar ka tajziya afsos se mushkil hota hai aur khabron ke maqami manzar se mutabiq nahi hota. Is waqt, mein kaam ka manzar nahi chor raha, lekin zaroori hai ke intezar jari rakhna jab tak market tayar na ho bechne ke liye British pound ko. GBP/USD pair ka tabadla budhwar ko nahi badla. Amriki session haal he mein khula, lekin iski khidmat bhi kuch nahi badli. Session ke ibtida mein, mazboot samaan ke orderon ka ek report jari ki gayi, jo ke sab se zyada mazboot naummidon ko bhi mayoos kar diya, jo ke umooman umeed se zyada girawat ke volumes ko dikhane mein kafi zyada giravat thi. Magar dollar ki darkhwast mein kami nahi hui (jis ke liye sab zaroori wajahat maujood thi) balkay izafa bhi nahi hua (jis ke liye koi wajahat nahi thi). Market abhi bhi qaim hai, aur mein sirf yeh haqiqat keh sakta hoon. Is haftay mein, market ko zyada fa'al taur par trade karne ke liye bohot kam wajahat hongi. European Union mein doosri haftay mein khabron ka manzar kaafi mazboot hoga (mehangai ke reports), lekin UK aur US mein, kuch ahem reports honge. Is par amal karke, mein ummeed rakhta hoon ke kamzor harkatain kam se kam is haftay ke ikhtitam tak dekhi jayengi. Aur agar aap dekhte hain ke pound ne Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan kitna waqt guzara hai, 50.0% aur 23.6%, phir is haftay ko kinara karne ka khatra hai to yeh mushkil hai. Shayad market ne Bank of England, ECB, aur Fed ke march meetings ke baad active iqdaam karne ka faisla kiya hai. Is saal ke doosre mulaqat mein, rate kaatne ki ihtimal teeno mamlaat mein bohot kam hai. Is liye, mein wakai nahi samajhta ke market shirkat daaron ka intezar kis cheez ke liye kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ka lehar nishaniyaan abhi bhi girawat ki taraf ishaarat deti hai. Is waqt, mein pair ko bechnay ka tajziya kar raha hoon jo ke level 1.2039 ke neeche waqay hain kyun ke lehar 2 ya b hamesha tak nahi chal sakti, bas is tarah se kisi peechay ki movement. Level 1.2627 ko torne ka kamyab koshish bechne ka signal bana. Magar is waqt, mein ek naye sideways movement ko bhi nazar andaz kar sakta hoon jis ka kam se kam level 1.2500 hai. Yeh level is waqt meray liye British pound ki girawat ka had hai. Lehar 3 ya c ki neechay ki taraf trend ka hissa ab tak shuru nahi hota. Baray lehar par, tasveer EUR/USD pair ke mutarif hai, magar phir bhi kuch farq hai. Nechay ki tehqeeqi trend ka hissa apni tameeri jari rakhta hai, aur iska doosra lehar lambi shakal ikhtiyar kar chuka hai - pehle lehar se 61.8%. Is level ko torne ki nakami aghaz ko 3 ya c ka taamul karne ka aghaz kar sakti hai.

Pehle, guzishta mangal ko, humein lagta tha ke humara aala shumal ki taraf jaane ka koshish karna chahiye, lekin yeh kaam nahi hua. Phir clubfoot aaya aur pound-dollar currency pair ke liye dhaaraye gye quotes ko janoobi simt mein dabaane lage, aur iss waqt hum unhe 1.2667 ke darje tak kamm kar sakte the. Ek zyada tezi se oopar uthne wala channel, mukhtalif channel mein mojood hai jo thora sa naram hota hai lekin bhi oopar ki taraf jaata hai. Usi waqt, MACD indicator asal mein ooncha buy zone mein barh raha tha aur apni signal line ke oopar tha. Keemat farokht haftay ko thori si musbat note par band ki gayi aur aahista aahista bulandiyon se thora sa kam hone lagi. Mujhe lagta hai, aur abhi ke liye, mein kam az kam aik takneeki sudhaar ko H4 tak ghataane ka khayal rakhta hoon. Aur shayad, shayad kal, doosre din, yeh bekaar nahi tha ke maine aap ko yeh numberdaar rozana candles dikhaye, jin ki lambayon mein bears poora haftay bhar apni raqam ikhata karne lage the; lagta hai ke unho ne pehle hi maar di hai. Kal ka din bhi din ke opening price par band hua aik bullsih candle ke sath sham ke akhir mein, yani, aik shak o shuba ka candle jo Dodge ke shakl mein tha. Aur aaj Asia mein, hum neeche ja rahe hain, aur yeh bilkul bura nahi hai, iss session ki dheeli raftar ko dekhte hue. Yeh mumkin hai ke abhi hum is H4 tak neeche ke pullback ko shuru kar rahe hain, lekin yeh sirf meri raay hai. Aur yeh neeche wali tasveer mein hai. Ab humein mouqa hai ke hum janoob ki taraf jaane ka silsila jaari rakhein, kyunki chand rozon se daily hourly doran aala ne 27ve figure ko tootne diya nahi aur uncha nahi jaata; yeh hamesha is point tak pohochta hai, is liye mein umeed karta hoon ke aik taqreeb ke liye Bollinger indicator ki moving average line tak girne aur phir neeche ki taraf jaari rehne ki behtareen harkat hogi, aur mazeed jari rehne ki mumkinat 1.2515 ke support ki taraf. Magar jo bhi baar baar British pound ko trading ke liye istemal karta hai, usse yeh jaan lena chahiye ke yeh aik sakht mazaq hai aur samajhna chahiye ke agar aap ne 1.2700 ke liye stop loss set kiya hai thoda ooncha, toh yeh badi aasani se utar diya ja sakta hai, is liye isay bhi sakoon se lena chahiye. Aik jhooti toot aur jari rahein neeche ki taraf chalne ke trend ko jari rakhte hue.

Brexit ki pareshaniyon ke bawajood, GBPUSD market girne ke baad kal barh gaya. Phir bhi, investors ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain, British MPs ke vote ka natija intezaar karte hue jo Brexit ke baad trade deal mein tanzeemati tabdiliyon ko khol sakta hai. Agar market 1.2750 ki rukawat ilaqa ko toortay hue 1.2610 ke qeemat tak ja sakta hai, phir agar yeh 1.2730 ki rukawat ilaqa ko toorti hai to phir yeh dobara gir sakta hai. Jab yeh neeche jaata hai aur phir 1.2469 ke qeemat ilaqa ko toorti hai, to yeh qeemat 1.2640 ya demand ilaqa mein gehra gir sakta hai. Jab tak market in ilaqon se bahar nahi nikal sakta, tab tak yeh halat upar neeche rehti rahegi. Is sab ke bawajood, hum ab bhi short-term market ke haalaat ka faida utha sakte hain aur pehle short-term targets ka trade kar sakte hain. Mujhe mili maaloomat ke mutabiq, UK ke MPs ports par Brexit deal ka hissa badalne aur goods ko Ireland ke uttar mein England ke baqi hisse se check nikaalne ki intizami dafaat par vote karenge. Is doran, European Union ne mutarif ehtiyati dafaat ko mukhalif qaraar diya hai aur dawa kiya hai ke yeh aantarashtri qanoon ko tor deta hai. Abhi tak tay nahi hua ke is dafaat kaun sahi hoga ya nahin, lekin is doran, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson ne ager parliyament isay manzoor kar leti hai to yeh qanoon us waqt tak qanoon ban jayega. Is natije mein, market us ilaqa mein lambay arsay tak nahi move kar saki aur chand lamhon mein kharashat jari rahegi.

GBP/USD H1 Chart Examination:


GBP/USD currency pair ka taaza halat chart par dekhne ka mauqa mila, taake iski movement ke dynamics ko gehraee se samajh saken. Hum is pair ki halat ko daily time frame par analyze karenge, taake GBP/USD ke movement ka wazeh tasawwur hasil ho sake. Daily time frame par dekha ja sakta hai ke kal ke din ke baad keema mein izafa hua, jabke pehle se hi izafa ke moqay dikh rahe thay. Magar keema abhi bhi daily resistance zone ke qareeb 1.2697 ke aas paas hai, aur phir se inkar ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke bechne walon ki taqat ko mazeed mazboot darshaata hai. Main ye keh sakta hoon ke shayad hum aaj ek dheere rise ka samna karenge, jaisa ke kal ka pattern tha. Magar agar yeh resistance ko guzar nahi sakte, to keema shayad dobara daily support area ke qareeb 1.2657 ki taraf giray ga. Lekin yaad rahe ke tahqeeqat ke liye aur bhi tasdeeq ki zarurat hai, kyunke barhne ki possibility bhi ho sakti hai. Abhi ke liye, sab se aqalmandana tareeqa ho sakta hai ke resistance level ke oopar se guzarne ya phir ek mazeed mazboot inkar pattern ka intezar karen, jo ke keema ko pehle se bhi zyada neeche daba sakta hai. Aam tor par, mojooda trend mazeed giravat ki sambhavna dikhata hai. Is liye, mere liye GBP/USD currency pair ka jazba aaj bechna hai.


Chalein hum apni tawajju h1 time frame par maeel karte hain. Yahan, do minor support aur resistance zones nazar aate hain, jin ka upper limit qeemat 1.2677 aur lower limit qeemat 1.2665 hai. In do zones ko mustaqbil mein behtar dakhil-e-moka talash karne ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Yaad rahe ke daily range february ke mahine ke ikhtitam ke sath tang hoti ja rahi hai, jaisa ke market players ki consolidation ki koshishat ka natija hai. Agar keema qeemat 1.2677 ke qareeb ka minor resistance zone guzar gaya, to khareedne ki mumkinat ko samjha ja sakta hai, jis ka target daily resistance zone ke qareeb qeemat 1.2697 ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar keema gir gaya aur qeemat 1.2665 ke minor support zone ko guzar gaya, to bechnay ki mumkinat ko samjha ja sakta hai, jis ka target daily support zone ke qareeb qeemat 1.2657 ho sakta hai. Ek teesra option bhi hai, yani agar keema gir gaya magar qareebi minor support zone ke qareeb qeemat 1.2652 ya agle minor support zone ke qareeb qeemat 1.2640 ko guzar nahi paya. Is halat mein, strategy jo li ja sakti hai, wo hai ke khareedna, jis ka target mojooda resistance zone ke qareeb qeemat 1.2688 ho, jaisa ke pichli trading session mein hua tha.

Munafa Hasil Karne Ka Ek Tehqeeqi Raasta: GBP/USD H-1 Timeframe Tafteesh




Market mein GBP/USD pair mein sellers daam badhane ki koshish kar rahe hain aur yeh unhe kamyabi mili hai. Hum dekhte hain ke agar hum 1.2532 range ke breakout ka samna karte hain, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke humein bech dena chahiye. Lekin agar hum 1.2570 ko tod kar us par mazbooti se jam jayein, to phir growth jari reh sakti hai aur yeh 1.2625 tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan trade mojood hai. Wahan 1.2675 range mein aik trade hai jahan se giravat shuru ho sakti hai. Shayad 1.2530 range se izafa ho sakta hai aur hum 1.2608 tak pohanchne par tawajju denge. Hum ne 1.2550 trading range ko pehle hi tod diya hai aur agar hum us par mazbooti se jam jayein, to yeh ek trend continuation signal ho sakta hai. Mumkin hai ke 1.2680 trading range ko bhi tod diya jaye aur agar hum us par mazbooti se jam jayein, to yeh ek khareedne ka signal ho sakta hai. Maine 1.2535 trading range ka bhi jhoota breakout dekha hai aur is ke baad price mein izafa dekha gaya hai