Currency market ne Thursday ko apni saansein rok kar rakhin jab GBP/USD traders UK election ke aakhri natayij aur crucial US jobs report ka intezar kar rahe the jo Friday ko aane wali thi. US markets chutti ke din band the, isliye trading volume kam tha, lekin activity Friday ko dobara se tezi pakad sakti hai. Sarmaayakaron ki khaas dilchaspi US non-farm payrolls data mein hai, jo yeh dikhane ki umeed hai ke US economy mein slowdown hai. Kamzor jobs report Federal Reserve rate cut ke case ko mazboot karega, jo investors ko kam borrowing costs se faida uthane ka moka dega. Forecasts kehte hain ke June ke payrolls numbers mein kami hogi, jo 272,000 se 190,000 tak giregi, jab ke berozgari ka level 4.0% par stable rahega. Average hourly earnings mein bhi thodi si kami hone ki umeed hai, aur saal bhar ki growth 3.9% tak giregi jab ke pichle saal yehi growth 4.1% thi. Dusri taraf, GBP/USD pair ne apni 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2610 ke upar support milne ke baad ek chhoti si comeback ki hai. Ye us waqt aaya jab 1.2800 resistance zone ke upar jaane ki koshish nakam rahi thi. Mazboot directional moves ki kami ke bawajood, pair ne ek significant decline se bachav kar liya, aur 1.2300 level ke aas paas ek floor mil gaya hai.
Technical indicators ne mazeed downside ka potential suggest kiya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi downtrend line aur key 50 level ke niche hai, jo bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke niche hai, aur momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Agar decline jaari rehta hai, toh bears 1.2465 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower end 1.2300 ke bilkul pehle hai. Agar is level ke niche break hota hai, toh pair dobara se range ke upper boundary 1.2820 ko retest kar sakta hai. Majmoi taur par, GBP/USD market wait-and-see mode mein hai, aur UK election aur US jobs data ke results agla move tay karenge. Jab ke pair ne recent mein kuch resilience dikhayi hai, technical indicators kehte hain ke data disappointing hone par downside bias ho sakta hai.
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