ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

(AUD/USD)

Forex market analysis for the Australian Dollar/US Dollar (AUD/USD) pair on the 4-hour timeframe employs multiple technical indicators for decision-making. We utilize the Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator alongside the classic RSI (14) and MACD indicators with standard settings to validate entry points into the market.

The chart illustrates that the first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), indicating the true trend's direction and state, exhibits a southward slope, suggesting a prevailing downward movement phase. Moreover, the nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), utilized for near-future predictions, has intersected the golden channel line from top to bottom, reinforcing the downward trajectory.

While the price breached the red resistance line of the linear regression channel's 2nd LevelResLine, reaching a peak value (HIGH) of 0.66681, it subsequently retraced and is currently trading at 0.66157. Considering these factors, it's anticipated that price quotes will revert and consolidate below the channel line 2nd LevelResLine (0.64600), coinciding with the Fibonacci level of 23.6%. This suggests a further downward movement towards the golden average line LR of the linear channel at 0.64434, aligned with the Fibonacci level of 0%.

An additional confirmation for initiating a sell transaction stems from the RSI (14) and MACD indicators, both indicating overbought conditions. Thus, the convergence of signals from multiple indicators strengthens the rationale for entering a selling position in the AUD/USD pair.

In summary, the technical analysis points towards a bearish outlook for the AUD/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe, with indications suggesting a potential decline in price towards key support levels, supported by the convergence of signals from the Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI (14), and MACD indicators. Traders should remain attentive to market developments and adjust their strategies accordingly to capitalize on potential trading opportunities.

AUD/USD currency pair ne ek ahem kharabi ka samna kia hai, 0.6618 zone tak gir gaya. Magar, aaj ke market ki gatividhi ek manzil par badalne ka ishara hai. Kharid-dar dobara samne aaye hain, 0.6646 ka ahem sannati darja paar karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Kharid-dar dabao mein yeh dobara aana ek umeed afza alamat hai, jo ke agle trend ka mazeed barhne ka ishara hai. Mojudah musbat jazba, barqarar kharid daramad se aae jari dilchaspi, mazeed qeemat ke izafa mein aitmaad paida karta hai. Kharid-dar apni qaabliyat ko sabit karte hue, AUD/USD ke liye mosam acha lagta hai, jo ke stratigic trading maneuvers ke liye manzil tai kar raha hai.




Is dynamic market mahol mein safar karna, currency markets ki apni fitri tanazur ki aaloodgi ke sath, ikhtiyati aur tarmeem-shudah tareeqay ki zaroorat hoti hai. Mojooda manzar, kharid-dar ke dwara ek wazeh strategy ko zahir karta hai: aabadi qaim karna. Unki mushtarka koshishen istiqamat ko mazid taqwiyat denay par mabni hain, khas tor par musbat US ma'ashiyati peshgoyion ki taraf se. AUD/USD ke mamlay mein, kharid-dar qarar dilaate hue keemat ko buland kar rahe hain, agle sannati darja ke khatre ke saath, AUD/USD par kharid daramad ke liye ek dilchasp mauqa mutarif kar raha hai. Achi tarah se moqarrar khatra nigrani ka tareeqa e amal laazmi hai, jismein mawqay ke neechay 0.6570 ke neeche ek mashroot stop-loss order tajwez kiya jata hai taake mumkinah nuqsanat ko kam kia ja sake.

Ise mazeed AUD/USD ke keemat ke barhne ke sath, qareebi mustaqbil mein mazeed kharid-daramad ke mauqe ka intezar karna munasib hai. Saransh mein, AUD/USD ke liye musbat tajziya aur ek behtareen tayyara shuda trading strategy ke saath, traders ko market ke josh ko istemal karne aur mumkinah faiday hasil karne ka mauqa milta hai. Ek tehqiqi aur mutqan tareeqay se amal karna currency market ke uljhanat ko hal karne aur trading ke kamiyabi ko zyada se zyada hasil karne ka rasta hai.

AUDUSD ke chart par mukhtalif shaoor ka hissa nichlay had ka channel hai, jo 0.65252 par darust kiya gaya hai. Yeh channel ek tajziya ka markaz banta hai, jahan se traders aur investors apne faislay banate hain aur aane wale trends ka andaza lagate hain. AUDUSD pair ka tajziya karna aik shaoor wala aur nateeja-oriented approach hai, jo market ki ghaflaton se bachata hai aur behtareen faida uthata hai. Pehle tajziya, AUDUSD pair ka darust darja tehqiqi tajziya hai. Yeh tajziya aik qabal az waqt channel ka tajziya hai, jo ke trend ko samajhne aur us ke mutabiq amal karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Channel ki nichli had, jo 0.65252 par hai, aik ahem support level hai, jo ke market mein aam tor par jazbat ki giraft se bachane mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Agar yeh had tor di jati hai, to yeh aik mukhtalif qisam ka tajziya ki zarurat paida kar sakta hai. Dusra point, tajziya ke dauran, technical indicators ka istemal bhi ahem hota hai. MACD, RSI, aur moving averages jaise tools istemal kiye ja sakte hain, jo ke trend ke mazbooti aur mazid shaoor ko nafiz karne mein madadgar sabit hote hain. In indicators ki madad se, traders aur investors market ke mukhtalif pahluon ko samajh sakte hain aur faida utha sakte hain. Teesra hissa, tajziya ke doraan, fundamental factors ka bhi tajziya zaroori hai. Monetary policy decisions, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events jaise factors ka asar market par hota hai aur inka tajziya bhi trading aur investment ke faislay mein shamil hota hai. AUDUSD pair ke liye, Australia aur United States ke economic data, central banks ki policies, aur global economic conditions ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Chauthe point mein, risk management ki ahmiyat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Har trade aur investment ke liye, risk ko control karna zaroori hai taake nuqsaan ka khatra kam ho. Stop-loss orders, position sizing, aur diversification jaise techniques ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke traders aur investors ko nuqsaan se bachane mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Aakhir mein, psychological factors ka bhi tajziya zaroori hai. Greed, fear, aur overconfidence jaise emotions trading aur investment ke faislay ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Ek stable aur disciplined mindset maintain karna, aur apne emotions ko control karna, trading aur investment ke liye zaroori hai. In sab points ko madde nazar rakhte hue, AUDUSD pair ke tajziya mein mukhtalif shaoor ka hissa lena zaroori hai. Yeh approach traders aur investors ko market ke mukhtalif pahluon ko samajhne aur un par amal karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai, aur unhe behtareen faida uthane mein madad deta hai.

Test

Market dynamics ko shakal denay ka ahem kirdar samajhna trading mein asani ke liye lazmi hai, khaaskar jab maaliyat ke samundar mein tufani paniyaan chal rahe hote hain. Market ke jazbaat ko chalane wale bunyadi factors ko ghor kar ke, traders qeemti shaoor hasil kar sakte hain aur aane wale tabdiliyon ka anumaan laga kar apni trading strategies ko behtar bana sakte hain. Jabke hosla afzai wali market ki shirayati surat-e-haal tawaqaat pesh karti hai, daanishmand traders hoshiyar rehte hain aur apne approach mein mazboot risk management techniques shaamil karte hain.
Effective risk management ka ek sarhad aham pehlu position sizing hai. Har trade ka munasib size pori portfolio ke nisbat se mukarar kar ke, traders nuqsan deh market movements ka asar kam kar sakte hain aur apne maal ki hifazat kar sakte hain. Ye muazziz approach ye ensure karta hai ke koi bhi akela trade portfolio ki karkardagi par bhaari asar nahi dalta, is tarah nuqsan deh wasa'ail ke liye khatra kam ho jata hai.

Is ke ilawa, stop-loss orders ka moassar istemal traders ke liye ek ahem safety net faraham kar sakta hai, aisi sorat mein jab qeemat mein giraawat ho. Ye pehle se tay shuda nikalne ke points suraksha ka kaam karte hain, jo security ko ek mukarrar qeemat tak pohanchne par automatically farokht hone ka amal karate hain. Stop-loss ke levels ka paalan kar ke, traders apne aap ko emoshnal faislo se bacha sakte hain aur market ki volatileiyat ka samna kar ke discipline banaaye rakh sakte hain.

Position sizing aur stop-loss orders ke ilawa, sahi taur par diversification bhi ek mazboot risk management strategy ka aur aik ahem hissa hai. Apne investments ko mukhtalif asasaat, sectros, aur geographical ilaqon mein taqseem kar ke, traders apne maal ki asbaab mein taluqat ko kam kar sakte hain aur muqami market events ka asar kam kar sakte hain. Ye mukhtalif tareeqay apne maal ke zawiya ko kam karne mein madad karte hain aur portfolio ki taaqat ko barhate hain, yaqeeni banate hain ke kisi aik shobay mein nuqsan dosray jagah ki faidaan se barabar ho jata hai.

Pichle haftay, Australian dollar nay apni giravat ko barhane ki koshish ki, 0.6433 level ko dobara test karte hue, phir 0.6368 level par pohnch kar phir se downtrend mein dakhil hua, jahan mazboot support mila. Kharidardar is level tak pohanchne ke baad, qeemat tezi se barh gayi aur 0.6506 level ki taraf uthne lagi, peechle nuksano ka zyada hissa wapas le liya, jo keh raha tha ke kharidardar ne control haasil kar liya hai.
Technical analysis ke nazarie se, rozana bearish price curve ko H-4 time frame par bearish technical pattern ke jariye negative asar ka saath mil raha hai, sath hi simple moving averages ke continued formation bhi negative pressure ko support kar rahi hai. Is tarah, aaj ka intraday downtrend zyadatar 0.6460 pehla target ke saath hai, 0.6480 official dekhnay ki station par aur baad mein 0.6500 tak ho sakta hai. 0.6600 ke upar stable reverse trade bearish scenario ko rok sakta hai aur pair ki recovery ka rukh 0.6640 ke aas paas ka shuruati target ke saath ho sakta hai, jise 0.6650 ke mukhtalif irtiqa ke sath jaari rakhne ka soch sakte hain.

Pair ab haftay ke uchayiyo par trade kar raha hai aur tezi se barh raha hai. Muqaddas resistance area ko dobara test kiya ja raha hai, lekin abhi tak, yeh qeemat ko todne se rok raha hai, neechay ki taraf vector ka faida dene ke liye. Isay update karne ke liye, quotes ko foran 0.6506 level (main resistance zone ka border) ke neeche wapas le jana zaroori hai. Is area se dobara testing aur uske baad is area se bounce milne se doosra downward movement anay ka mauqa mil sakta hai jiske target area 0.6368 aur 0.6326 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

Agar resistance toot jati hai aur qeemat 0.6573 turning level ke upar uth jati hai, toh yeh signal hasil hoga ke mojooda halat ko mansookh kar diya gaya hai. Neechay diye gaye chart ko dekhen:

Pichle teen trading sessions mein Australian dollar (AUD) ne numaya uptrend ka tajziya kiya hai, jo peechle trends se kafi mukhtalif hai. Is izafa ka kuch hissa Australia Reserve Bank (RBA) aur US Federal Reserve ki mukhtalif monetary policy ke tanazur mein hai. Jab Federal Reserve ne ek neem dili tareeqa ka ishara diya hai, to RBA zyada hawkish stance ko manwa raha hai, jo AUD ko support dene mein madadgar hai. Halat-e-muasir mein, central banks bazaar ke jazbat ko shakl dene aur currency ke muqarrar ko mutasir karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. RBA ka hal hilaf-e-hawkish stance adopt karne ka maqrooz hojana, Australia ki mazbooti aur mazeed izafa ki umeedon par unka itmenan zahir karta hai. Ye US Federal Reserve ka ehtiyaat bhara tareeqa se mukhtalif hai, jo unhone interest rates ko wahi darajah rakne ka faisla kiya hai.

AUD ki qeemat mein izafa ki ek ahem wajah hai Australian interest rates ki nisbat doosre bara aqwam ke muqablay mein. Jab ke Japani hukoomat ne interest rates ko mazboot darajon par rakha hai, to investors Australia ke market ko zyada munafa dene wale moqay ke taur par dekh sakte hain. Ye amal AUD ke demand mein izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo doosri currencies ke khilaf izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Australia aur United States ke darmiyan monetary policy mein tanazur ka asar bhi investor ke jazbat aur capital flow par ho sakta hai. Ek aalmi manzar mein jahan interest rates mukhtalif ilaqon mein kam ya ghair musbat rehte hain, jaise ke AUD wala currency, to investors munafa dene wale returns ki talash mein zyada tawajju hasil kar sakte hain.

AUD ke hal hilaf-e-hal ki haasil hui izafa na sirf bazaar ke dynamics ko nihayat bhale tasreeh deta hai, balki bade taur par economic trends aur policy ke izafaat ko bhi. Jab ke central banks ongoing pandemic ke paish anay wale challenges ko naviga karte hain aur apne mukhtalif economies ko support karne mein kaam karte hain, to currency markets monetary policy aur economic data ke tabdil hone par jawaab dene ke liye jaari rahenge.

Aage dekhte hue, AUD ki raftar ko central bank ki khitabat, economic indicators, aur geopolitical developments ke silsile par mutasir hone ka imkan hai. Halke dino mein izafi bhatkegiyan to inescapable hain, lekin in dynamics ko samajhne se market participants currency movements ko tehqiq karke aur asar afreen tareeqe se samajh sakte hain.

Pichle teen trading sessions mein Australian dollar (AUD) ne numaya uptrend ka tajziya kiya hai, jo peechle trends se kafi mukhtalif hai. Is izafa ka kuch hissa Australia Reserve Bank (RBA) aur US Federal Reserve ki mukhtalif monetary policy ke tanazur mein hai. Jab Federal Reserve ne ek neem dili tareeqa ka ishara diya hai, to RBA zyada hawkish stance ko manwa raha hai, jo AUD ko support dene mein madadgar hai. Halat-e-muasir mein, central banks bazaar ke jazbat ko shakl dene aur currency ke muqarrar ko mutasir karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. RBA ka hal hilaf-e-hawkish stance adopt karne ka maqrooz hojana, Australia ki mazbooti aur mazeed izafa ki umeedon par unka itmenan zahir karta hai. Ye US Federal Reserve ka ehtiyaat bhara tareeqa se mukhtalif hai, jo unhone interest rates ko wahi darajah rakne ka faisla kiya hai.

AUD ki qeemat mein izafa ki ek ahem wajah hai Australian interest rates ki nisbat doosre bara aqwam ke muqablay mein. Jab ke Japani hukoomat ne interest rates ko mazboot darajon par rakha hai, to investors Australia ke market ko zyada munafa dene wale moqay ke taur par dekh sakte hain. Ye amal AUD ke demand mein izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo doosri currencies ke khilaf izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Australia aur United States ke darmiyan monetary policy mein tanazur ka asar bhi investor ke jazbat aur capital flow par ho sakta hai. Ek aalmi manzar mein jahan interest rates mukhtalif ilaqon mein kam ya ghair musbat rehte hain, jaise ke AUD wala currency, to investors munafa dene wale returns ki talash mein zyada tawajju hasil kar sakte hain.

AUD ke hal hilaf-e-hal ki haasil hui izafa na sirf bazaar ke dynamics ko nihayat bhale tasreeh deta hai, balki bade taur par economic trends aur policy ke izafaat ko bhi. Jab ke central banks ongoing pandemic ke paish anay wale challenges ko naviga karte hain aur apne mukhtalif economies ko support karne mein kaam karte hain, to currency markets monetary policy aur economic data ke tabdil hone par jawaab dene ke liye jaari rahenge.

Aage dekhte hue, AUD ki raftar ko central bank ki khitabat, economic indicators, aur geopolitical developments ke silsile par mutasir hone ka imkan hai. Halke dino mein izafi bhatkegiyan to inescapable hain, lekin in dynamics ko samajhne se market participants currency movements ko tehqiq karke aur asar afreen tareeqe se samajh sakte hain.

Pichle teen trading sessions mein Australian dollar (AUD) ne numaya uptrend ka tajziya kiya hai, jo peechle trends se kafi mukhtalif hai. Is izafa ka kuch hissa Australia Reserve Bank (RBA) aur US Federal Reserve ki mukhtalif monetary policy ke tanazur mein hai. Jab Federal Reserve ne ek neem dili tareeqa ka ishara diya hai, to RBA zyada hawkish stance ko manwa raha hai, jo AUD ko support dene mein madadgar hai. Halat-e-muasir mein, central banks bazaar ke jazbat ko shakl dene aur currency ke muqarrar ko mutasir karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. RBA ka hal hilaf-e-hawkish stance adopt karne ka maqrooz hojana, Australia ki mazbooti aur mazeed izafa ki umeedon par unka itmenan zahir karta hai. Ye US Federal Reserve ka ehtiyaat bhara tareeqa se mukhtalif hai, jo unhone interest rates ko wahi darajah rakne ka faisla kiya hai.

AUD ki qeemat mein izafa ki ek ahem wajah hai Australian interest rates ki nisbat doosre bara aqwam ke muqablay mein. Jab ke Japani hukoomat ne interest rates ko mazboot darajon par rakha hai, to investors Australia ke market ko zyada munafa dene wale moqay ke taur par dekh sakte hain. Ye amal AUD ke demand mein izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo doosri currencies ke khilaf izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, Australia aur United States ke darmiyan monetary policy mein tanazur ka asar bhi investor ke jazbat aur capital flow par ho sakta hai. Ek aalmi manzar mein jahan interest rates mukhtalif ilaqon mein kam ya ghair musbat rehte hain, jaise ke AUD wala currency, to investors munafa dene wale returns ki talash mein zyada tawajju hasil kar sakte hain.






AUD ke hal hilaf-e-hal ki haasil hui izafa na sirf bazaar ke dynamics ko nihayat bhale tasreeh deta hai, balki bade taur par economic trends aur policy ke izafaat ko bhi. Jab ke central banks ongoing pandemic ke paish anay wale challenges ko naviga karte hain aur apne mukhtalif economies ko support karne mein kaam karte hain, to currency markets monetary policy aur economic data ke tabdil hone par jawaab dene ke liye jaari rahenge.

Aage dekhte hue, AUD ki raftar ko central bank ki khitabat, economic indicators, aur geopolitical developments ke silsile par mutasir hone ka imkan hai. Halke dino mein izafi bhatkegiyan to inescapable hain, lekin in dynamics ko samajhne se market participants currency movements ko tehqiq karke aur asar afreen tareeqe se samajh sakte hain.

"AUDUSD ANALYSIS :
Teen musalsal sessionon mein Australian dollar (AUD) mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Amreki Federal Reserve ke dovish signals ke muqable mein, Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) zyada hawkish stance ikhtiyaar kar sakti hai, jo is surge mein hissa daal sakta hai. Japani Hukoomat ne interest rates ko mazboot level par taay kiya hai, jo ke Amreki Federal Reserve ki faisla mandana nazar aati hai jo ne budhwar ko unhe wahi level par rakhne ka faisla kiya. Amreki dollar bearish tha, jaisa ke Jerome Powell ke ihtiyaat angaiz tajziye ne aur rate barhane ke mazeed imkanat ko taqseem kar diya.

Yeh afwah hai ke RBA aane wale saal ke ikhtitami dino mein kisi bhi mumkin rate cuts ko maamool par rakh sakti hai, jo ke hal mein aaye inflation ke data ke mutabiq garam nikla. AUD ke qeemat mein izafa karne ka aik ahem sabab do markazi bankon ke darmiyan monetary policy ke expectations mein farq hai. Ek chheh mukhtalif currencies ka baket greenback ke performance ko Amreki dollar index (DXY) ke khilaf napta hai. AUD ki position ko is kamzor hoti hue Amreki dollar se mazeed mazbooti milti hai. Jumeraat ko AUD/USD ke liye taqreeban 0.6570 tha.

AUD/USD mein takhmeenon ke mutabiq bhi technical indicators ke mutabiq ek bullish trend nazar aata hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, market mein musbat momentum dekha ja raha hai. Is ke sath hi, AUD/USD ek ascending triangle pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai, isliye hum jald hi 0.6630 ke psychology level ki ek imtehaan dekh sakte hain. Agar ye level mazbooti se paar ho jaye to pair March ke uchayion tak pohanch sakta hai, jis ka darja 0.6660 hai.

Mager downside risks ko tasleem karna bhi zaroori hai. Agar AUD/USD apne mojooda level se neeche gir jaata hai to 0.6525 ke 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ne pehli madad faraham kar sakti hai. Agar ye mazeed girta hai to, ye 0.6495 ke psychology level tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke triangle pattern ke neeche ke had se nazdeek hai. RBA aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate policies ke mutabiq muntazam farq ke natije ke tor par, Australian dollar abhi mazeed faa'ida utha raha hai. Ek qareebi waqt ke tezi ki mutawaqqa nishaani bhi hai. Currency traders ke liye bazaar ko kamiyabi se ta'awun karna, potenial support levels ke baare mein mutawajjah rehna zaroori hai.

Audusd H4 Waqt Frame

Acha waqt hai. Asal mein, yeh behtareen hai ke tajziyaati faaliyat sath tajweezat dainay humein AUD/USD jodi ke qeematat ki harkatain peishgoi karne ka moqa deti hai, sath hi trading mein iqtedar bhi deta hai. Aur yahan aap achay pesay kama sakte hain. Char ghantay ke chart par, jodi 0.6627 ke darjay ke neeche ittehad kar rahi hai. Marlin oscillator ab bhi qeemat ki harkatain dohrata hai, lekin girawat ke sath agay bhi ja sakta hai. Pehla aur ahem samarthan darja daily chart par 0.6548 ke darjay hai - daily chart par khaari. Char ghantay ke chart par iske qareebi hai. Aur jodi is line ke neeche giregi to is girawat ko mazeed taiz kar sakti hai. Dollar ke liye mazeed mazbooti ka ek aur silsila shuru hota hai. Is surat mein tajweez: sirf pairs bechnay ke liye trading ke options ko ghoorna.






Audusd Daily Waqt Frame

Tajweez: sirf pairs bechnay ke liye trading ke options ko ghoorna.
Trading ke aghaz ke baad koi nihayat hi ahem tabdeeliyan nahi thin, Asian session bohot quiet tha aur AUD/USD jodi ke quote muasir trading range ke upper had ke thora oopar ittehad dikhate rahe hain ghanton ke chart par. Is marhale par, main upri harkat jaari rakhne ka mustaqbil aur agar bear market mein lautein to rukh sakte hai ki wapsi ki mumkinat dono ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab tak quotes moving average ke upar rehtay hain, ziada tar yeh mumkin hai ke upar ki harkat jaari rahegi takay 0.6649 ke samarthan darja tak pohanch saken, jo is muddat ka mukhtalif darja bhi hai. Doosri taraf, yeh gaur kiya jana wajib hai ke indicators ne usool ki imkanat ko zahir kiya hai aur agar quotes ne neela moving average ke neeche wapas kiya, to yeh neeche ki taraf khel sakte hain mojuda trading range ke darmiyan ki darja ko ya thora neeche 0.6581 ke samarthan darja tak kaam karne ke liye. Aaj maashiyati calendar par bohot kam khabrein hain; shayad sirf do Fadral Reserve System ke naib sadron ki taqreer par tawajjo deni chahiye, jo aaj American session ke dosray hisse mein hogi. Amooman, mojuda trading hafta maashiyati khabron mein bohot kam dafa ho ga.

Ek saal pehle, October ke darmiyan, ek adhoora bearish wave structure Australian dollar chart par shuru hua. Pichle mahine ke darmiyan se, qeemat ne aik mukhalif raaste ka intekhab kiya, jis ne aik purkashish islaah ki tashkeel banai. Quotes ek tang raaste mein dabay hue hain higher timeframe mein taqatwar mukhalif zones ke darmiyan.

Tajweez:

Aanay waale haftay ke pehle kuch dinon mein ek kamzor izaafi rawaya zyada mukhtalif hai. Qeemat ka channel ka upper had mein saman rawaani ka imkaan hai. Haftay ke ikhtitami hisse mein, barhtay huay fa'al ki izafa, rukh ka palatna, aur girawat ka dobara jaari hona mutawaqqi hai. Ek aur hafta khatam ho gaya, aur dollar ke liye, ye khaas tor par mukhtalif tha jo maine tawajjo di thi. Amreeki reports ne market ki umeedon ko nakaam bana diya. Afsoos ke saath, ahem reports kamzor thin, jo dollar par dabaav dala. Main yaad dilata hoon ke mojooda wave analysis ab bhi aik girawat ke wave set ki shakal mein ishaarat deta hai. Shayad mojooda wave analysis ke liye koi darane wali baat nahi hui. Magar, Amreeki dollar kai hafton se gir raha hai. Humne kamzor Amreeki GDP dekha hai, kamzor Nonfarm Payrolls, barhta hua berozgari, aur kam hone wale ISM karobaar ki fa'aliyat indices. Agar Amreeki ma'aeshat behtar nahi hui, to dollar ki darkhwast aur gir sakti hai, jo humein nahi chahiye...Jumeraat ko, Australian dollar 0.6627 ke resistance level ke ooper chadh gaya, jaise ke pehle 8 March, 21 March, aur 9 April ko bhi hua tha. Aur jab tak qeemat is resistance ke ooper mustehkam nahi hoti, yeh 0.6690 tak nahi barhegi.

AUD/USD jodi 65% ke imkan hai ke MACD line (0.6548) ki taraf palat jaye gi, aur is mark ke neeche jamawar ho jaye ga, jo 0.6480 tak ka nishaana khol sakta hai.

Char ghanton ke chart par, qeemat 0.6627 ke darjay ke neeche mustehkam hai. Marlin oscillator qeemat ki harkatain dohra raha hai, lekin yeh girawat ka rukh le sakta hai. Pehla aur ahem samarthan 0.6548 ke darja hai - daily chart par MACD line, jis ke 4 ghanton ke chart par nazdeek hai. Ek saath qeemat ke neeche girna Australian dollar ko agay le ja sakta hai.

Trading ke aghaz ke baad, AUD/USD jodi ne kam se kam tabdeeliyon ka samna kiya, jab Asian session ko khamosh bazaar ki haalat mein dekha gaya. Ghanton ke chart par, jodi ke quotes mojooda trading range ke upper had ke thora oopar ittehad dikhate rahe hain. Main bazaar ko is marhale par tajziya kar raha hoon, do mumkinah manazir ka tauluq lagata hoon: upar ki harkat ka jari rehna aur agar bearish jazbat wapas aayein to rukhne ki mumkinat.

Jab tak quotes moving average ke upar rehtay hain, toh zyada imkaan hai ke upar ki harkat jaari rahegi, jis ke samarthan darja 0.66359 tak pohanch sakti hai. Ye darja is muddat mein dekha gaya local peak ke sath milta hai. Magar, indicators ki isharon ko tasleem karna bhi zaroori hai, jo ke u-turn ki mumkinat ka ishara dete hain. Agar quotes ne neela moving average ke neeche waapas liya, toh yeh neeche ki taraf rawani ka sabab bane ga jab bazaar mojuda trading range ki darmiyan ki hadd ya thora neeche girne ka imkaan hai, ya samarthan darja 0.66101 ko test karne ka.

Karobarion ko in taraqqiyon par mohabbat se nigrani mein rakhte hue, apni strategies ko takneeki isharon aur bazaar ke jazbat ke mutabiq tabdeel kar rahe hain. Faisla ikhtiyar karne ka amal isharaon ke zyada o kam hone ke imkaano ko ghaur se samajhna hai, mojooda trend ki taqat aur bazaar mein mojood jazbat ke jaisay muddon ka tajziya karte hue. Is ke ilawa, karobarion ko aham samarthan aur rukawat darjay par nazar rakhti hai, jo ke qeematat ke rukh ko tay karna mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain.

Agar aham bazaar ko harkat dene wali khabron ki kami mein, karobarion ko mojooda trading mahol mein rahne ke liye takneeki tajziya par zyada bharosa hai. Takneeki indicators mojooda trend ki sehat ka tajziya karne ke liye qeemat gar tools ke tor par kaam karte hain. Magar, karobarion ko ihtiyaat aur mustaqil rahna chahiye, kyun ke bazaar ki halat tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur ghair mutawaqqi waqiat qeematati harkat ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Nateeja mein, AUD/USD jodi ke trading dynamics mojooda trading range ke upper had ke qareeb consolidation se mutasir hain. Karobarion ne bullish aur bearish manazir dono ko dekhne ki himmat jamaai hai, takneeki isharay aur aham samarthan/rukawat darjayon ko tawajjo se dekhte hue. Khatarnak kaabu aur lachakdari par tawajjo lagakar, karobarion ka maqsad hai forex bazaar ki ghair yaqeeniyo mein faida uthana.

AUD/USD

Australian dollar (AUD) ko Jumma ko shuru ki gayi aghazati faydon ke bawajood farokht ki dabao ka samna karna pada, jo filhal 0.6530 ke aas paas musalsal hai. Ye iske bawajood aye ke kuch musbat tajziyaton ke douran ata hai, jese ke Chini Wazir-e-Azam ka Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mustehkam kar sakta hai. Magar, kul imaniyat aik taraf se United States dollar (USD) ki taraf mael hai, Federal Reserve ke sakht rukh ki wajah se. United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke dawrani in'dad ke mutabiq jo ke peer ko jari kiya gaya, mool Consumer Price Index (CPI) barqarar 0.4% aur 3.8% darust tor par barh chuka hai, jis se nisbatan is waqt kisi qisam ke daromadar ke ihtiyat nahi hain. CPI tamam asar angarezon aur khana peena ke ghair mohtaaj qeemat ko bata hai. Mazid consumer intehai umeeden mein izafa ke bais, ab kam tawaqo hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ziyada tawaqo par interest darat ko kam karde. 12 mahine ke doran intehai umeedon ke liye tawaqoat Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq aik pehle 4.3% ke figure se 4.6% tak barh gaya hai.

Takneeki tor par, AUD/USD ne aik bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein kamiyab nahi hua, jis se farokht ki taraf ho gaya. Currency 0.6477 ke aas paas asar angarezon ke darajat ke qareeb hai aur is ne apni 20-din ka aam miyaar ke nichle hawaale se gira hai, jis se kam faraham hone ki alaamat hain. Tawajju indicators bhi nazdeek-faele kam potential ko darust karte hain. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hota hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jata hai, to traders mukhtalif short positions khol sakte hain, 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb munafa hasil karne ki umeed ke saath. Magar, 0.6635 ke oopar nikal jana trend ke ulte ishaara ka sabab ho sakta hai, jis se jodi ko 0.6667 ya shayad 0.6700 ke qareeb chala jaye. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishaara deta hai, jabke RSI kuch had tak aik mumkin upward move ke ishaare deta hai. Agar musbat momentum banata hai to jodi 0.6666 ke qareeb aasani se pahunch sakta hai. Kul mila kar, AUD/USD aik cheen-australia taluqat mein behtar hone ki mumkin raah aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan ek khenchawar mein phansa hua hai. Jodi ka rukh mumkin hai ke aane wale dinon mein kon saa force zyada numaya sabit hota hai us par mabni hoga.

AUD/USD pair ne apni position ko Thursday ko 0.6580 ke aas paas banaye rakha, jab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne kam hawkish stance maintain kiya, khas kar iske baad jab pichle haftay ki mahangi ke data ne expectations ko paar kar diya. Inflation ko control karne mein hali hal mein rukawat ka aitraf karte hue bhi, RBA ne apne options kholne ka faisla kiya.

Wednesday ke trading mein, US Dollar (USD) ne apni daily growth ko jari rakha, jisse AUD/USD ne apni corrective decline ko extend karte hue 0.6560 ke qareeb char din ke lowes ko dobara dekha. Greenback ki recovery ko yields mein izafa ne support diya, Fed ke easing program ke expectations ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jo ke saal ke aakhri hisse mein, mukhtalif tawajjuon ke beech shuru hoga, jald hi September mein shayad shuru ho.

Jaise hi Australian dollar ulta chalne laga, copper ke prices bhi gir gaye, jabke iron ore ke prices ne pehli martaba February ke akhri hafte ke baad $120.00 ke mark ke qareeb pohnchaake dabaav mehsoos kiya.

Mulk ke hawale se, RBA ne apni interest rate ko apne event ke doran early Tuesday ko 4.35% par qaim rakha. Central bank ne apni neutral policy stance dobara rakha, kehte hue ke "Board koi cheez rule out ya rule in nahi kar raha." Apni macroeconomic forecasts ko revise karte hue RBA ne Q2 2025 tak higher headline aur trimmed mean inflation rates ka tajwez diya, mainly service price inflation ke jaari hone ki wajah se, RBA ko umeed hai ke inflation 2025 ke aakhri hisse mein 2%-3% target range mein wapas aayega aur 2026 tak midpoint tak pohunchega.

Governor Michele Bullock apni mukhtas tone ko balanced rakhte hue apni press conference mein kehti hain ke "hum shayad rate hike karna chahenge, ya phir nahi," is se board ke rate hikes par ghour hai.

Maujooda waqt mein swaps market ne chhah mahine ke aglay koi bhi further rate hikes ko nazar andaaz kiya hai, jabke agle chhah mahine ke liye ek kam rate ke price ko shamil kiya hai. Iske alawa, RBA aur Federal Reserve dono apne easing measures ko shuru karne ki umeed mein hain, lekin unke G10 counterparts se baad mein.

Fed ki tight monetary policy aur RBA ke potential easing ke baad, AUD/USD mein mukhtalif faiday ki umeed hai.

Technical hawale se, extra faiday AUD/USD ko May ke high of 0.6647 ko dobara test karwa sakte hain, March ke top of 0.6667 aur December 2023 ke peak of 0.6871 ke saamne. Ulta, agar sellers control ko wapas le lein, to spot 200-day SMA par 0.6519 ko challenge kar sakta hai, May ke low 0.6465 aur 2024 ke bottom 0.6362 ke bad.

Akhri mein, AUD/USD pair RBA ki kam hawkish stance aur US Dollar ke ongoing strength ke beech dabao ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ko potential future price movements ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem support aur resistance levels, sath hi central bank policies aur economic indicators ko monitor karna chahiye.