نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD-USD Pair Forecast

Main ne H4 timeframe chart par price movements ka bariki se jaiza liya. Monday ki trading session mein market downward correction ke saath shuru hua, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar nazar aaya jo candlestick ko thoda upar dhakelne mein kaamyab hue, halan ke zyada high nahi bana. Guzishta haftay ki trading session mein market ka trend ab tak bullish raha, aur ab ke market ke halat dekhte hue lagta hai ke EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq ab bhi upward hi hai.

Indicators ka jaiza lete hue, Relative Strength Index (14) ka Lime Line phir se level 70 ke qareeb aaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke hafte ke aghaz mein jo thoda barhawa hua tha, wo continue ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab tak zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, halan ke Monday ke downward correction ke wajah se iska size thoda chhota ho gaya tha. Is hafte price upar move ho rahi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar hoti ja rahi hai.




Nateeja

Market analysis ke anjaam se yeh samajh aata hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ka price ab tak bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki potential rakhta hai. Agar hum H4 timeframe ko dekhen, to price ab bhi Simple 60 indicator ke yellow level ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, is liye agle kuch dinon mein candlestick movement ke upar janay ki umeed hai.

Market ke halat jo ke ab tak big trend mein bullish hain, unhein dekhte hue ek behtreen choice BUY trade karna hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke aas paas hoga. Ho sakta hai ke price hafte ke akhir tak aur bhi oopar move kare, kyun ke buyers ka asar ab tak dominant hai.

NZD/USD currency pair ka current price behavior ka appraisal ab hamari guftagu ka markaz hai. NZD/USD pair ne abhi trade ke dauran daily pivot point level ke neeche khulne ka saboot diya hai, jo technically ab bhi negative ya downward trend ko dominate karta hai. Is ke ilawa, candlestick pattern ke upar move hone se, moving average indicator period 50 aur moving average indicator period 100 (exponential close method) ka bhi wahi signal milta hai, jo ke ek downward signal hai. Support region ka level 0.6150 aur 0.6140 ke beech reject hone (yaani break nahi kar paane) ke baad, NZD/USD pair ne support area ka naya level 0.6120 - 0.6110 par banaya, jo ke agle trade ke dauran, khas tor par Asian aur European trading sessions mein ek aham trading level ho sakta hai.

H4 time frame chart par, NZD/USD currency pair ko Bollinger Bands indicator period 23 ke middle aur lower bands ke beech trade karta hua dekha gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke yeh trading instrument bearish ya downtrending condition mein hai. Yeh trading charts par H1 aur H4 timeframes mein dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, agle trade ke dauran ek rise ka chance bhi hai, jo ke relative strength index indicator period 14 ke support se backed hai, jo level 30 se upar uth kar aa raha hai.

Main ne H4 timeframe chart par price movements ka gahraai se jaiza liya hai. Monday ke trading session mein market downward correction ke saath shuru hua tha, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar nazar aaya jo candlestick ko thoda upar le jaane mein kaamyab hue, halan ke zyada high nahi bana. Guzishta haftay ke trading session mein market ka trend ab tak bullish raha hai, aur ab bhi market ke halat dekhte hue lagta hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ka trend major trend ke mutabiq upward hi hai.
Indicators ka jaiza lene par, Relative Strength Index (14) ka lime line phir se level 70 ke qareeb aaya hai, jo dikhata hai ke jo thoda barhawa hafte ke aghaz mein dekha gaya tha, wo continue ho sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar ab tak zero level ke upar aram se move kar raha hai, halan ke Monday ke downward correction ke wajah se iska size thoda chhota ho gaya tha. Is hafte price upar move ho rahi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar ja rahi hai.

**Nateeja**

Market analysis ke natayej se yeh samajh aata hai ke NZD/USD currency pair ka price ab tak bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki achi potential rakhta hai. Agar H4 timeframe dekhen, to price ab bhi Simple 60 indicator ke yellow level ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, is liye agle kuch dinon mein candlestick movement ke upar janay ki umeed hai.

Market ke current halat jo ke ab tak big trend mein bullish hain, unhein dekhte hue BUY trade karna ek behtareen option ho sakta hai, jisme initial target 0.6288 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Ho sakta hai ke price hafte ke akhir tak aur bhi oopar move kare, kyun ke buyers ka asar ab tak dominant hai.

Yeh bearish momentum, chart par lower highs aur lower lows ki series ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke ek classic indication hai ke market sellers ki taraf ja raha hai. Current price movement yeh suggest karta hai ke bears control mein hain, jo price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jese ke market mukhtalif economic aur technical factors par react kar raha hai. Mojooda trend ke madde nazar, traders ke liye kuch potential selling opportunities ho sakti hain. Pehli baat, agar price retrace ya pullback karta hai resistance levels ki taraf, to yeh sellers ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo trend ke saath chalna chahte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace kare—jahaan pehle support levels ab resistance ban chuke hain—yeh ek strategic point ho sakta hai short positions enter karne ke liye. Traders confirmation ke liye candlestick patterns, jese ke bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars dekh sakte hain, jo ke brief rally ke baad downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain. Halaat bearish lag rahe hain, lekin trading karte waqt ek acha risk management strategy zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein volatile hai, aur well-formed trends bhi kabhi kabhi sharp reversals dekh sakte hain. Stop-loss orders lagana ahem hai taake apni capital protect ki ja sake. Misal ke taur par, recent swing high ke thoda upar stop-loss lagana potential losses ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market apki position ke against move kare. Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZDUSD pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeli ke mutaliq news achanak currency pair mein movements la sakte hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Informed rehna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame mein abhi ek strong case present karta hai sellers ke liye. Ongoing downward trend, technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye kai opportunities hain

New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General CQ Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge. US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga

Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD ka market price 0.5984 zone ko cross karega. Yeh

zones ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke liquidity areas aur fair value gaps (FVGs) se heavily influenced hai. Chart se maloom hota hai ke price apni current range se bahar nikalne mein struggle kar rahi hai, jo ke sharp movements ke baad market ka consolidation phase reflect karta hai. August ke mid se, pair ne rally dekhi jisme price 0.5900 region se 0.6240 area tak gayi, jahan price ko ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance mila. Yeh resistance area 0.6240 ke aas-paas multiple liquidity levels se reinforced tha, jo ke upside ko cap kar raha tha, is wajah se temporary consolidation hua. Is phase ke dauran price action higher lows ki series se characterized hai, jo buying interest ko indicate karta hai, lekin resistance ko break na kar paana sellers ke active hone ka signal hai, jo shayad profits le rahe the ya short positions initiate kar rahe the . Jab price 0.6260 level ke aas-paas late August mein pohnchi, toh isne prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ke form mein additional resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ke upar momentum ko maintain na kar pana ek turning point tha, jahan NZD/USD pair apni earlier gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Retracement ke dauran price 0.6140 level ki taraf drop hui, jo liquidity gaps ko fill karti hai aur previous support levels ko test karti hai. August ke aakhri hisse mein, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 levels ke beech oscillate karti rahi, ek range-bound structure bana. Yeh range upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests se characterized thi, jahan price 0.6140 area par support dhoondh rahi thi—a previous DLiq zone jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya tha. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana prevailing bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai, jahan sellers market ko dominate kar rahe hain.
Early September tak, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche aa gaya, jo momentum shift ka potential signal hai. Price action lower highs aur lower lows ki series dikhata hai, jo bearish trend ka formation indicate karta hai. NZD/USD pair ki current position 0.6184 ke aas-paas reflect karti hai ke market consolidation ke baad direction dhoondh rahi hai. Chart par multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ke presence suggest karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ke catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai. NZD/USD 4-hour chart ek aise market ko depict karta hai jo tight range mei hua hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko dictate karne mein critical role play kar rahe hain

Asian session me ko, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value mein decline aaya, jo kuch key factors se impact hua. Decline ko mainly New Zealand ki two-year inflation expectations mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, jo Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates maintain karne ki zaroorat ko reduced dikhata hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ki taraf se dampen kar diya. Saath hi, US Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve se prolonged higher interest rates ki expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya, jo NZD ko further weaken kar diya. Sath hi, market participants China ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports se pata chala ki China ki inflation subdued hai, jo CPI 0.3% annually rise kar raha hai, jo sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karta hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure ko badhata hai, jo New Zealand ki significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dikha raha hai. NZD ki decline ko domestic factors jaise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD se attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Sath hi, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko badhata hai, jo commodity exports se tied currencies jaise NZD ko impact karta hai. Market yeh developments ko continue monitor karega, especially central bank policies mein kisi bhi shifts ko, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakta hai. Currency pair bullish potential dikha raha hai 0.5866 par support milne ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko break karne ke baad, jo successfully retested ho chuka hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain liquidity seek ki wajah se, isliye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits se bachne ke liye. Sath hi, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, isliye prudent hai conservative lot size use karna aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karna risk ko effectively manage karne ke

NZD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek mazboot bullish trend dikhaya hai, jahan price shaayad 0.62364 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh uptrend largely US dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo Federal Reserve ke agle mahine interest rates kam karne ke faislay ki wajah se hai. Federal Reserve ka plan hai ke woh interest rates ko 4.5% se 5% ke range mein le aayenge, jo ke dollar ki value ko temporary taur par girane ka sabab ban raha hai.

Is dollar ki kamzori ka asar NZD/USD exchange rate par bhi pada hai, jo ke 0.59890 se barh kar 0.62364 tak pahuncha hai. Yeh bara izafa yeh darshata hai ke USD ki majbooti aur New Zealand dollar ki performance ke darmiyan ulta taluq hai. Jab USD kamzor hota hai, tab NZD/USD pair mein izafa dekha jaata hai.

Investors ke shifting preferences aur US monetary policy ke mutaaliq expectations is movement ko influence kar rahe hain. Jab investors ko lagta hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates kam karega, to woh USD investments se nikal kar doosri currencies ya assets mein invest karne lagte hain. Is wajah se USD ki value girti hai aur NZD/USD currency pair ka rate barhta hai.

Yeh market ka reaction yeh dikhata hai ke central bank ke decisions currency valuations aur investor behavior par kaise asar dalte hain. Agar Federal Reserve apni policy mein koi major changes karta hai, to iska seedha asar currency exchange rates par padta hai, jo ke investors ki decisions aur market trends ko bhi directly influence karta hai.

NZD/USD currency pair ka yeh trend aur iska izafa is baat ka saboot hai ke investors ki expectations aur central bank ke faislay currency markets ko kaise shape dete hain. Is se hume yeh samajh aata hai ke central banks ki policy decisions aur unki monetary strategies kis tarah se global currency markets ko effect kar sakti hain.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. If market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD

USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key movi

se impact hua. Decline ko mainly New Zealand ki two-year inflation expectations mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 2.3% par aa gaya, jo Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high-interest rates maintain karne ki zaroorat ko reduced dikhata hai. Yeh dovish outlook ne investor sentiment ko NZD ki taraf se dampen kar diya. Saath hi, US Dollar (USD) ne solid economic data se strengthen kiya, jo Federal Reserve se prolonged higher interest rates ki expectations ko badhaya. Yeh USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya, jo NZD ko further weaken kar diya. Sath hi, market participants China ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Recent reports se pata chala ki China ki inflation subdued hai, jo CPI 0.3% annually rise kar raha hai, jo sluggish domestic demand ko indicate karta hai. Yeh weak inflation data China se NZD par downward pressure ko badhata hai, jo New Zealand ki significant trade exposure ko Chinese market mein dikha raha hai. NZD ki decline ko domestic factors jaise lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD se attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Sath hi, subdued inflation figures China se global economic growth ke concerns ko badhata hai, jo commodity exports se tied currencies jaise NZD ko impact karta hai. Market yeh developments ko continue monitor karega, especially central bank policies mein kisi bhi shifts ko, jo currency movements ko coming weeks mein influence kar sakta hai. Currency pair bullish potential dikha raha hai 0.5866 par support milne ke baad aur 0.5907 level ko break karne ke baad, jo successfully retested ho chuka hai. Lower time frames par, pair higher highs form karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 0.6038 target ki taraf impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions mein, unusual movements ho sakte hain liquidity seek ki wajah se, isliye slightly wider stop loss advisable hai premature exits se bachne ke liye. Sath hi, US Dollar Index recovery attempt kar raha hai, isliye prudent hai conservative lot size use karna aur standard trading strategies ko adhere karna risk ko effectively manage karne ke

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt

NZD/USD. Fibonacci grid mere favorite tools mein se aik hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain

**NZD/USD H1 Chart Analysis**

Hello esteemed forum members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka H1 chart ka analytical review provide kar raha hoon. Filhal trading instrument 0.5920 pe positioned hai. Aaj Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 pe resistance encounter kiya. Is level ko paar nahi kar paane ke baad, price ne downward movement shuru ki aur 0.5918 tak decline ho gayi. Market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level se niche gir sakti hai. Is se bearish trend ka continuation dikhai de raha hai. Jaise jaise situation evolve hui, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level tak nahi balki aur bhi niche gir kar 0.5876 pe trade kiya. Filhal, chart par ek reversal zone emerge hua hai jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke beech confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 se upar uth jaye aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar close ho, to current decline sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Is se rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 tak ke potential ka indication milega. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko is level ke niche rakhna advisable hai.

Main New Zealand Dollar USD pair ko hourly chart pe dekh raha hoon. Pair ne 0.60638 pe resistance break kiya aur uske baad Bank of New Zealand ka statement aaya. Jaise hi pair neeche aaya, Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye jo market ke liye unexpected the. Market ko lag raha tha ke Bank of New Zealand interest rates ko 40 se 50 percent tak cut karega. Pair ne 0.59681 pe support reach kiya, aur maine assume kiya ke pair further down jayega, kyunki Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates cut kiye. Main samajhta tha ke pair trading range mein thoda aur neeche jayega, lekin pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kiya aur 0.62205 tak pahunch gaya. Yeh mujhe bilkul bhi expect nahi tha. Maine upper bounds of the range se reversal ki ummeed ki thi, aur resistance 0.61526 tha. America mein inflation mein koi kami nahi hui hai. 0.1% ki kami status quo ko break nahi karti, isliye maine decline ki ummeed ki thi. Acha, aur principle mein, main abhi bhi decline ke liye intezaar kar raha hoon, kyunki mujhe dekhne ki koi zaroorat nahi hai.