نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega

Aaj ke trading session mein, NZDUSD currency pair ne naya support area bana liya hai 0.6120 - 0.6110 ke daamon par. Pehle ke trading session mein is pair ne support level ko tor diya tha jo 0.6150 - 0.6160 ke aas paas tha, aur resistance area 0.6180 - 0.6170 par form hui thi jo ke Asian trading session mein subha ke waqt bani thi. Aaj ke trading mein NZDUSD pair ne apna session daily pivot point se neeche open kiya, jo yeh signal karta hai ke yeh pair seller ke pressure mein hai yaani ke downtrend mein hai, jise bearish trend kehte hain. H1 timeframe ke chart ko dekh kar, humein yeh maloom hota hai ke NZDUSD pair abhi bhi technically bearish trend mein hai. Moving average indicators (7 aur 14 period, exponential close method) bhi downward signal de rahe hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke candlestick pattern ke upar se indicators move kar rahe hain. Halankeh, relative strength index (RSI) indicator period 14 mein ek golden cross pattern bana hai jo oversold condition ke baad aya, lekin hum candlestick pattern ko nazarandaz nahi kar sakte jo ke H1 chart par bana hai. Sellers ne support level ko tor diya jo 0.6150 - 0.6140 ke daamon par tha, yeh support pichlay trading session mein, 6 September 2024 ko form hui thi. Asian trading session ke dauran, NZDUSD pair H1 aur H4 timeframe ke charts mein Bollinger Bands indicator (period 23, exponential close method) ke middle aur lower bands ke beech trade kar raha tha, jo yeh signal deta hai ke yeh pair abhi bearish condition mein hai. Magar nayi support level 0.6120 - 0.6110 banne ke baad, aglay trading session mein ek upward movement ka potential bhi hai, jo ke RSI indicator (period 14) ke 30 level se upar ki taraf dive karne se support ho raha hai.

**Brief Analysis:**

US Dollar Index ka short-term trend late July se downward raha hai. Current wave weekly timeframe par ek correction form kar rahi hai. Wave structure dikhata hai ke ek intermediate pullback ho raha hai, jo pehle ke support level ko resistance mein badal chuka hai. Ab final part (C) aana baaki hai.

**Weekly Forecast:**

Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.

**NZD/USD Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles ho sakte hain.

Mainne H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko observe kiya aur dekha ke market ne Monday ki trading session ko downward correction ke saath start kiya. Lekin, Tuesday tak buyers ne candlestick ko upar push kar diya, halankeh itna significant nahi tha. Pichlay haftay ki market trend abhi bhi bullish thi, jo yeh darshata hai ke EUR/GBP currency pair apni overall trend ke sath upward trajectory par hai. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line level 70 ke kareeb aa gayi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke hafte ki shuruat mein dekha gaya slight increase continue ho sakta hai. MACD histogram zero level ke upar rehta hai, lekin Monday ke correction ke wajah se iska size thoda kam ho gaya hai. Is haftay, prices badh gayi hain, aur candlesticks Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar aur aage move kar rahi hain.

NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko saat mahine ke highs ko approach kiya, August se apni upward trend ko maintain karte hue. Magar, resistance 0.6250 mark ke aas-paas ban raha hai, jahan yeh ek long-term downtrend line se intersect karta hai. Technical indicators bullish hain lekin positive momentum mein potential decrease ke hints bhi mil rahe hain. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat hai, aur RSI 70 ke overbought threshold ke just niche hai. Agar rally ruk jaati hai aur sell-off mein convert hoti hai, to NZD/USD pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of June-August downtrend 0.6141 ki taraf gir sakti hai. Is level ke niche break hone par, 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 ko target kiya ja sakta hai. Additionally, 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages ke qareeb hone se bears ke liye substantial ground gain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

**NZD/USD Market Analysis: Level 0.6177**

Aaj NZD/USD ke liye 0.6177 level ek ahem supportive role play kar raha hai. Yeh level ab ek pivotal point ban gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar raha hai aur market ko upward direction mein guide kar raha hai. Main investors ko recommend karta hoon ke wo sell positions ke bajaye buy entries par focus karein. Abhi ka bullish sentiment ek favorable environment indicate kar raha hai jahan agar investors apni strategies ko prevailing trend ke sath align karte hain to potential gains mil sakte hain.

Yeh zaroori hai ke market behavior ko various factors ke asar se dekha jaye, including shifts in the United States time zone. Aise changes market mein volatility introduce kar sakte hain aur market ko opposite direction mein bhi le ja sakte hain. Isliye, continuous monitoring of market behaviors zaroori hai. Investors ko kisi bhi significant development par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye taake kisi bhi unexpected shift in market sentiment ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Optimistically, NZD/USD market ki yeh strong possibility hai ke wo is hafte ya shaam tak 0.6200 resistance level ko test karega. Yeh level ek significant threshold hai jo bullish trend ko further confirm kar sakta hai agar yeh level surpass hota hai. Agar 0.6200 level successfully test hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko additional confirmation dega aur further upward movement ko signal kar sakta hai.

Investors ko vigilance aur market behavior ke nuances ko appreciate karna zaroori hai. Market trends ko closely monitor karna aur potential changes ke liye prepared rehna investors ko opportunities capitalize karne mein madad karega. Current level 0.6177 bullish trend ke liye crucial support provide kar raha hai, lekin informed aur responsive rehkar market conditions ko samajhna strategic decisions lene ki ability ko enhance karega.

Yeh zaroori hai ke investors har waqt market ke movements aur trends ko closely dekhte rahein, aur timely adjustments karke apni strategies ko optimize karein taake maximum profit achieve kiya ja sake aur market ke unexpected changes ko efficiently handle kiya ja sake.

NZD/USD

Good Morning aur aapka Monday successful ho!

Jaisa ke humne dekha, market ne Friday ko 0.6100 zone ko cross karke upar ki taraf bounce kiya, jo NZD/USD ke buyers ke liye stability provide karta hai. Yeh upward momentum bullish journey ko 0.6200 zone ki taraf ignite kar sakta hai, jo buy positions rakhne walon ke liye promising outlook hai. Recent price action market ke strengthening ka indication deti hai, jo agar conditions favorable rahi, toh further gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin, traders ko sirf technical indicators par bharosa nahi karna chahiye, balki NZD/USD pair se related news events ko bhi closely monitor karna chahiye. Market-moving news events currency pairs ki direction ko significantly influence kar sakte hain, aur NZD/USD ke case mein, upcoming economic data current bullish momentum ko reinforce ya challenge kar sakti hai. Weekly economic calendar ke baare mein informed rehna zaroori hai, khaaskar un high-impact events ke baare mein jo market sentiment ko alter kar sakte hain. Ek major news release ya unexpected economic report market ke trajectory ko quickly shift kar sakti hai, isliye weekly calendar ka detail analysis zaroori hai.

Respectfully, NZD/USD ka market is week buyers ke favor mein rehne ki umeed hai, agar external conditions mein koi drastic changes nahi aate. Market sentiment abhi buying bias ke saath aligned hai, aur yeh outlook persist kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar New Zealand ya US se economic indicators further upward movement ko support karte hain. Traders jo vigilant rahenge aur apni strategies ko technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke saath align karenge, wo potential gains capitalize karne ke liye behtar positioned honge.

Jab ke 0.6100 ko cross karne se buyers ko stability mili hai, phir bhi broader market environment ko monitor karna zaroori hai. News events par nazar rakhe kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur unexpected market shifts se associated risks ko mitigate kar sakte hain. 0.6200 zone ki taraf ka path promising lagta hai, lekin jaise hamesha hota hai, outcome technicals aur news ke combination par depend karega jo market ko shape denge agle dinon mein. Traders ko cautious yet optimistic approach maintain karni chahiye jab wo is week market navigate karenge.

Stay blessed!

NZD/USD currency pair ne Tuesday ko European trading session ke dauran 0.6150 level ke qareeb thodi si upward movement dekhi. Lekin, pair ek specific trading range mein hi confined raha. New Zealand assets ke liye overall near-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur US consumer price index (CPI) data for August ki release bohot important hai. Economists ko ummeed hai ke annual headline inflation July ke 2.9% se ghatt kar 2.6% ho jayegi, jo ke March 2021 ke baad ka lowest reading hoga. Yeh potential decline market speculation ko fuel kar raha hai ke Federal Reserve shayad policy easing process shuru kar sakta hai aur is mahine substantial interest rate cuts implement kar sakta hai. Saath hi, core inflation, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, uska 3.2% tak steady increase hone ka projection hai is hi period ke dauran.

Is waqt, New Zealand dollar ko China ke economic outlook ke barhte hue concerns se pressure ka samna karna pad raha hai. New Zealand ki economy China ke saath duniya ki doosi sabse badi major trading partner hai, aur China ki economic slowdown ne New Zealand dollar par negative impact daala hai. August mein China ke producer price inflation ke faster-than-expected decline ne yeh notion aur mazid reinforce kiya hai ke manufacturers ki pricing power diminish ho rahi hai, jabke household demand slow ho rahi hai.

NZD/USD pair ne 4-hour timeframe par rising wedge pattern ke breakdown ke baad sharp decline experience kiya, jo bearish reversal ko indicate karta hai. 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6190 par decrease karna shuru ho gaya hai, jo short-term downtrend ki shuruaat ka signal hai. 14-period relative strength index (RSI) bearish range 20.00-40.00 ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, jo bearish momentum ko activate karta hai. Agar asset July 17 ke high ke neeche 0.6100 ke qareeb decisively break hota hai, to further downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh decline May 3 ke high 0.6046 aur psychologically significant support level 0.6000 ki taraf ho sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar asset September 6 ke high 0.6250 ke upar move karta hai, to yeh September 2 ke high 0.6300 aur is saal ke high 0.6330 ki taraf push kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD 30-minute chart ek zyadatar bearish trend ko dikhata hai, aur pair is waqt 0.61558 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai.

Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain.

Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata.

Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hoga, aur phir price golden middle line LR tak pohch sakta hai jo ke linear channel ka 0.62500 level hai aur 61.8% ke Fibonacci levels ke sath milta hai.

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements observe kiye aur dekha ke market ne Monday ki trading session ko downward correction ke saath start kiya. Magar Tuesday tak buyers ne candlestick ko upar push kar diya, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichle hafte ka market trend ab bhi bullish tha, jo ke EUR/GBP currency pair ko upward trajectory par dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line level 70 ke kareeb hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke haftay ki shuruat me jo thori si increase hui thi wo continue ho sakti hai. MACD histogram zero level ke upar hai, lekin uski size Monday ki correction ki wajah se thodi decrease hui hai. Is haftay, prices ne rise kiya hai, aur candlesticks Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar move kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ko saat mahine ke highs ko approach kiya, aur August se apna upward trend maintain kiya. Lekin, resistance 0.6250 mark ke aas paas form hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke long-term downtrend line ke saath intersect hota hai. Technical indicators bullish hain lekin positive momentum ke decrease ka hint de rahe hain. Stochastic overbought territory me flat hai, aur RSI 70 overbought threshold ke thoda neeche hai. Agar rally stall ho jaati hai aur sell-off me convert hoti hai, toh NZD/USD pair initially 0.6141 par June-August downtrend ka 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break hone par 0.6079 par 61.8% Fibonacci level ko target kiya ja sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages ke proximity se bears ke liye substantial ground gain karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Wave structure downward trend form kar raha hai, lekin MACD indicator upper buy zone me hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Agar aap Fibonacci target grid ko pehle wave par apply karein, toh aap bearish target dekh sakte hain - level 161.8, jo ke pehle almost reach kiya gaya tha, lekin thoda pehle hi wapas ho gaya. Pehle MACD indicator par bullish divergence bhi dekha gaya tha, jo ke ab functional hai. 0.6161 ka horizontal resistance level bhi dekha gaya jo rate ko further strengthen hone se rok sakta tha. Lekin yeh resistance level 0.6160 hold nahi hua aur upside break ho gaya, ab break ke baad support ke tor par test ho raha hai. Aap choti si target ko descending line ke tops ke upar develop karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin yahan support par sell nahi karna chahunga. Sell tabhi consider kiya jayega jab 0.6161 ka support level successfully breakdown ho aur neeche se reverse test se confirm ho. Agar pullback hota hai, toh aap M5 par jaa kar mirror level dhoondh sakte hain, jahan support resistance me convert ho. Market me uncertainty hai, baqi major pairs bhi unclear places me hain, growth continue hogi ya phir dobara girna shuru hoga.

**Brief Analysis:**

US Dollar Index ka short-term trend late July se downward raha hai. Current wave weekly timeframe par ek correction form kar rahi hai. Wave structure dikhata hai ke ek intermediate pullback ho raha hai, jo pehle ke support level ko resistance mein badal chuka hai. Ab final part (C) aana baaki hai.

**Weekly Forecast:**

Hafte ke shuruat mein, index sideways movement continue karne ki sambhavana hai. Resistance levels ki taraf rise ho sakti hai. Hafte ke doosre hissa mein activity badh sakti hai aur downward trend dobara resume ho sakta hai. Support zone current wave ke target zone ke upper boundary ke paas hai.

**NZD/USD Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair buyers ko attract kar raha hai, decline ke baad Friday ki significant decline ka ek bada hissa reverse ho gaya hai. Spot prices 0.6180-0.6185 ke area tak barh gaye hain, jo last week ke rebound ko further extend karne ki potential ko signal karte hain, jo crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se aayi thi. Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke interest rate cut ke expectations se U.S. Dollar Index apni early-year low ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support kar raha hai. Iske alawa, equity markets ka generally positive tone dollar ko undermine kar raha hai, jo New Zealand dollar ke risk-sensitive nature ko benefit de raha hai, aur weekend par release hui bleak Chinese macroeconomic data ka offset kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical perspective se, daily chart par oscillators lower levels se move kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak bullish trend ko fully confirm nahi kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke naye bullish positions lene se pehle 0.6200 level ke upar additional buying wait karni chahiye, especially FOMC decision se pehle jo Wednesday ko announce hoga. Uske baad, NZD/USD pair 0.6255 level tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 0.6300 level aur August mein reach kiye gaye multi-month high ki taraf raasta khol sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.6155 level ab immediate support ban gaya hai further declines ke khilaf, monthly low tak pahunchne se pehle. Iske neeche 0.6100 ka round number ya 200-day SMA hai, jo agar decisively break hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek naya trigger ban sakta hai. Phir downward trajectory continue kar sakti hai psychological level 0.6000 tak, jahan kuch obstacles ho sakte hain.

NZD/USD Analysis

Assalamu alaikum! Aaj hum NZD/USD pair ki current situation ko M30 aur H4 charts ke saath, key technical indicators ke saath analyze karenge.

M30 Chart Analysis

M30 chart par, NZD/USD pair ne past few days mein uptrend show kiya hai. Recently, price ne 0.5958 ke significant daily resistance level ko break kiya. Iske baad, price ne continue kiya, lekin abhi tak level ko retest nahi kiya hai. Yeh common hai ki price strong levels ko test kare after such movements.

Currently, price ne weekly resistance level 0.6021 par reach kiya hai. Isne is level ko three times test kiya hai without successfully breaking above it, resulting in recent pullback. Yeh resistance strong previous uptrend aur average daily range ke exceed hone ke wajah se hai.

Technical Indicators

Arrow indicators aur oscillators pullback scenario ko confirm karte hain. Woh suggest karte hain ki price 0.5958 ke broken level par retrace ho sakti hai, jo ab support ke role mein hai. Agar price is level par reaction show karta hai, indicating bounce upwards, to yeh buying opportunity present kar sakta hai.

H4 Chart Analysis

H4 chart par, different picture emerge hota hai. Main ne upward movement ke liye expanding structure draw ki, lekin price ne lower boundary ke right side mein move kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki current structure incorrect ho sakti hai aur upward movement paused ho sakti hai.

Expected Scenarios

Retracement to 0.59545: H4 chart par, likelihood hai ki price 0.59545 ke zone mein retrace ho sakti hai, jahan two opening levels concentrated hain: weekly aur monthly levels. Yeh key support area ho sakti hai retracement ke event mein.

Deeper Retracement to 0.5858: Agar price 0.59545 ke support level ko break karta hai, to next possible support zone 0.5858 ke around ho sakti hai, jahan last upward movement begin hui thi. Yeh deeper retracement ko indicate karta hai, jo buying opportunities present kar sakta hai lekin increased risk ke saath

Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pair kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023

nge ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains
expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa

price 0.60696 hai. Pechle din ka extreme use kiya ja sakta hai. Is structure se, range 100-0.60939 aur 50-0.60624 hai. Current price 0.60696 bullish corridor ke north ko point kar raha hai. Market growth ke information se, main 50-0.60624, 61.8-0.60698, 76.4-0.60790 ke entrance point ko dekh raha hoon. In levels se rebounds aur breakthroughs pe kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Main 123.6-0.61088 ya 138.2-0.61180 ke senior profit se bahut satisfied hoon, jo mujhe khush karta hai. Sab kuch planned ke mutabiq nahi ho sakta, aur bear team interest dikhayegi, jo market scope ko 50-0-0.60624 bana degi. Aise losers ke baare mein pareshan hone ki zaroorat nahi, flexible rahkar sales pe shift karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid mukhtalif tareeqon se construct kiya ja sakta hai. Jitna steep tilt angle hoga, utne hi active sellers hain. Bears price ko target 0.60098 tak le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ek baar target reach ho gaya, to wahan se ek pullback 0.60303 tak hoga jahan se sellers enter karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke channel ke lower edge par sell na kiya jaye. Channel ka principle simple hai - hum lower edge se buy karte hain aur upper edge se sell karte hain. Abhi, buying interesting nahi lagti kyunki channel southwards trend kar raha hai aur buying asset ki movement ke against hogi. Continuous movements around the 0.60303 level sellers ki presence show karte hain, jo decline ke liye achi chance indicate karte hain. D1 chart, jo mera main chart hai, ek bearish channel

dikhata hai. D1 chart par bears ki strength mein koi shak nahi hai. Isliye, jaise ke upar mention kiya, main selling par focus karunga. Abhi, sales enter karna better hoga upper border of the channel at 0.60785 se. Decline channel 0.60153 tak execute hoga. Ek criterion growth ke liye upper edge of the D1 channel at 0.60303 par hoga, ek breakout, market ko strong sellers ke saath hold karte hue, niche bounce karte hue aur bullish activity ke signals provide karte hue. Growth 0.60785 par fade hogi aur phir downward movement retire hogi, jo downside par powerful player ko dikhayegi jisse selling opportunities ke liye dekha jaye. Isliye, buyers ko lag sakta hai ke unki opportunities somewhat restricted hain is prevailing seller-oriented environment mein. Yeh scenario highlight karta hai cautious approach adopt karne ki importance ko, carefully entry points aur risk management strategies ko assess karte hue. Fundamental analysis aur authoritative sources, including updates from the US government, pertinent news data influx provide karte hain jo NZD/USD market ke trajectory ko shape karte hain. Yeh insights essential context provide karte hain, investor sentiment ko influence

NZDUSD apni bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha, aur 0.6251 ke high ko touch karne ke baad, prices European trading session mein US Dollar ke muqable mein gir gayin.

Hum dekh sakte hain ke 30-minute time frame mein moving average of 50 ke sath bearish price crossover formation bana hai.

Momentum indicator 1-hour time frame mein zero se neeche waapis aa gaya hai.

NZDUSD prices daily time frame mein horizontal resistance ke qareeb hain.

Kuch technical indicators bhi market mein neutral stance ko intense kar rahe hain, jo ke market mein consolidation wave ko dikhate hain.

NZDUSD ab apne 100-hour SMA aur 200-hour SMA (simple moving average) ke upar trade kar raha hai.

- Kiwi mein bearish reversal 0.6251 ke neeche dekha gaya hai.
- Short-term range bearish lag rahi hai.
- NZDUSD 0.6240 level ke upar qaim hai.
- Average True Range (ATR) low market volatility ko dikhata hai.

Agla support 0.6213 par hai, jo ke pivot point ka 1st support point hai.

NZDUSD apne pivot level 0.6245 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur bearish channel mein move kar raha hai.

NZDUSD price apne classic support level 0.6224 ke upar hai aur ab apne agle target 0.6206 ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo ke 1 standard deviation price support hai.

Disclaimer: Ye analysis meri sirf rai hai. ****** brand ke tehat kaam karne wali companies ise kisi rai, offer, solicitation, recommendation, ya financial advice ke taur par nahi lena chahiye.

Tenkan-sen ka Kijun-sen ke neeche se upar ka intersection purchase signals deta hai, jo abhi tak barqarar hain. Main apni positions Nichimoku indicator ke hisaab se reverse signal ya trad