Nai Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Jumma ko Ameriki Dollar (USD) ke khilaf sakoon dikhaya, jo Thursday ke doran European session mein muqarrar haddar mein trade kar raha tha. Ye sab expect karte huye aya hai ke mukhtalif central banks ke monetary policies mein izafa hone ke expectations hain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka tawaqo hai ke wo 2024 tak interest rates ko barqarar rakhega, jabke Federal Reserve (Fed) late in the year potential cuts ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye rukh ka farq NZD ke liye demand ko barha raha hai. Investors September FOMC meeting ko pehli nishani man rahe hain, jahan se Fed apni policy normalization process ko shuru karne ke liye umeedwaar hai, jo k interest rates ko kam karna shamil hai. NZD ke liye faida mand mahol mein ais ke sath aisay kuch zakhairat bhi shamil hain. Magar ye optimism aane wale US non-farm payrolls data ke mutaliq 12:30 GMT pe mutaharrik ho sakta hai. Data se mutalik ummeed hai ke solid job market zahir hoga, pichle figure ke mukable 185,000 jobs mein izafa hoga. Investors ke liye aur bhi aham data average hourly earnings data hoga, jo mazdoori mein izafe ki roshni dalta hai. Peshgoi ke mutabiq aise 3.9% ka mustaqil izafe ka saalana tawazun bana rahega. US labor market ke sehat, jese is official employment data se zahir hoti hai, asal mein September mein Fed rate cut ke liye umeedon par bhari asar dalne wale hain.
Technical front pe, NZD/USD pair February 22nd ke 0.6219 high ke aas paas hoti hui horizontal resistance test kar raha hai. Ye price level mazeed izafe ke liye aik mukhtalif roktei hai. Magar overall trend NZD ke liye behtareen nazar aata hai. Chart pattern ke mutabiq aik ascending channel zahir hai, jahan market participants har niche chalne ko mauqa samjhte hain. Mazid bullish case ke liye technical indicators ko bhi mazid mazbooti mil rahi hai. 20-day aur 50-day exponential moving averages (EMA) dono 0.6127 aur 0.6079 qarib hai, jo aik musbat mooli trend ko darust karti hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) mushkil se 60.00 to 80.00 ke bullish range mein mojood hai, jo darasal momentum ki izafe par ishara karta hai. Agar NZD/USD June 6th ke 0.6216 ke upar manage karta hai, to ye January 15th ke 0.6250 ke qarib chadhne ka rasta bana sakta hai. Is level ke aage January 12th ke 0.6280 ke qarib hota hai. Ye resistance points ke upar breakout aik mazboot bullish trend ko darust karega NZD ke liye.
Technical front pe, NZD/USD pair February 22nd ke 0.6219 high ke aas paas hoti hui horizontal resistance test kar raha hai. Ye price level mazeed izafe ke liye aik mukhtalif roktei hai. Magar overall trend NZD ke liye behtareen nazar aata hai. Chart pattern ke mutabiq aik ascending channel zahir hai, jahan market participants har niche chalne ko mauqa samjhte hain. Mazid bullish case ke liye technical indicators ko bhi mazid mazbooti mil rahi hai. 20-day aur 50-day exponential moving averages (EMA) dono 0.6127 aur 0.6079 qarib hai, jo aik musbat mooli trend ko darust karti hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) mushkil se 60.00 to 80.00 ke bullish range mein mojood hai, jo darasal momentum ki izafe par ishara karta hai. Agar NZD/USD June 6th ke 0.6216 ke upar manage karta hai, to ye January 15th ke 0.6250 ke qarib chadhne ka rasta bana sakta hai. Is level ke aage January 12th ke 0.6280 ke qarib hota hai. Ye resistance points ke upar breakout aik mazboot bullish trend ko darust karega NZD ke liye.
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