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EUR/JPY Market Analysis

Salam aur sab ko subha bakhair!

Pichli hafte EUR/JPY ka market buyers ke haq mein raha. Is hafte, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers apni value kho denge. Is wajah se price sharp girawat ka shikar ho sakti hai aur baad mein 162.75 zone ko test kar sakti hai. Yeh yaad rahe ke doosre currency pairs, jaise US dollar, bhi EUR/JPY ke market par asar dal sakte hain.

Achanak inventories mein izafa ya kami se oil prices mein tez harkat ho sakti hai, jo broader market trends, khaaskar energy-related sectors ko asar andaz ker sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, FOMC meeting minutes ka release hume valuable insights dega jo hume is hafte ke market direction ko samajhne mein madad karega. Yeh minutes Federal Reserve ki discussions aur monetary policy ke bare mein raushan dalte hain, jo investor sentiment aur market trends ko bohot zyada asar andaz ker sakty hn. Fed ke interest rates aur inflation par raye samajhne se traders apne aap ko potential market shifts ke liye behtar taur par tayar kar sakte hain.

Mujhe umeed hai ke is hafte technical traders ke liye maamla favorable rahega, khaaskar jab weekly calendar mein khabron ki kami hai. Kam bahari asar ke saath, market zyada tar technical factors par rely kar sakta hai, jo aksar aise environments mein price movements ko dictate karte hain. Traders ko in technical insights ko istemal karte hue stop-loss orders implement karne chahiye taake apne capital ko is transitional phase mein mehfooz rakh sakein.

Aaj, mujhe 163.55 ke chhote target ke saath buy order dene ki khwahish hai. EUR/JPY par trading karte waqt, is hafte ke dauran economic indicators aur technical signals par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Fundamental data aur technical analysis ke beech ka taluq humein hamare trading strategies ko behtar banane mein madad dega, khaaskar jab hum hafte ke volatile aakhri hissay ki taraf barh rahe hain.




In elements ko mila kar, hum potential trading opportunities ke liye behtar taur par tayar ho sakte hain jab ke risks ko theek se manage karte hain.

Aap sab ka trading week kamiyab ho!

EUR/JPY Market Analysis

EUR/JPY ka pair aik chand waqt ke liye rally dekhta hai, jo ke weekly high tak pohanch gaya, lekin baad mein selling pressure ka shikar hota hai aur wapas gir gaya. Yeh girawat Japanese Yen ke mazid taqatwar hone ke sath coincide hoti hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai.

Pehla, Bank of Japan ke board member Asahi Noguchi ke bayan se yeh izhar hota hai ke central bank ke paas interest rates barhane ka mauqa hai, halankeh ehtiyaat se, jis ne Japanese Yen ko support diya. Dusra, Middle East mein barhti geopolitical tensions ne Yen ki safe-haven appeal ko barhaya. Teesra, Euro kamzor hota hai kyunke European Central Bank se umeed hai ke wo October mein dobara interest rates cut karega, jabke inflationary pressures kam ho rahi hain aur economy slow ho rahi hai.

In challenges ke bawajood, EUR/JPY pair ab bhi Bank of Japan ke future interest rate hikes ke around uncertainty se supported hai. Japan ke naye Prime Minister aur Economic Revitalization Minister ne deflation par qabo paane ki ahmiyat par zor diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke interest rates qareeb future mein kafi zyada nahi barhaye jayenge. Yeh Japanese Yen ki qeemat barhne ko limit kar sakta hai aur EUR/JPY pair ko ek tailwind de sakta hai.




Technical Analysis:

Technical nazar se dekha jaye toh daily chart par "death cross" ka formation hai, jahan 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 200-day SMA ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo EUR/JPY pair ke liye bearish bias darshata hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke qareeb hai, jo oversold conditions ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apne trigger aur zero lines ke neeche hai, jo downward trend ko mazid support karta hai.

Short term mein, EUR/JPY pair thoda pullback dekh sakta hai jab yeh 155.15 support level ko test karega. Agar pair is level ke upar rukne mein kamiyab raha, toh yeh 158.00 ki short-term downtrend line ki taraf recovery karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, phir 159.30-160.05 limit zone tak, jo 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downtrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement shamil hai. Magar, overall bearish technical outlook ko dekhte hue, agar 155.15 support level ke neeche girawat hoti hai toh mazeed decline ki sambhavna hai.

Crucial Level: Analysis of the Current Bullish Momentum

Yeh level bohot ahem hai kyunke yeh maujooda bullish momentum ki taqat ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh mazeed upward movement ka signal de sakta hai aur bullish trend ki jaari rehne ka darshata hai. Lekin agar price is level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai aur reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke bears ab bhi control mein hain, jo support level ki taraf wapas aane ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Key Resistance Level: 170.53

170.53 par resistance level ke hawale se do mumkinah scenarios ban sakte hain:

Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout

Pehle scenario mein, price 170.53 ke resistance level ko tod sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully breach hota hai, toh yeh mazeed buyers ko attract kar sakta hai, bullish sentiment ko barhate hue. Traders breakout ki tasdeeq ke liye dekhte hain, jo shayad 170.53 level ka dobara test karna ho jo ab naye support ke tor par kaam karega. Agar price is level ke upar rukti hai, toh yeh mazeed upar ki taraf barh sakti hai, 171.00 ya usse bhi zyada resistance levels ko target karte hue. Yeh scenario un logon ke liye ideal hoga jo long positions hold karte hain, kyunke yeh bullish trend ki jaari rehne ka darshata hai.




Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection

Dusre scenario mein, price 170.53 par resistance level ko todne mein nakam hoti hai. Agar price is level par reject hoti hai, toh yeh sellers ki mazid maujoodgi ka signal de sakta hai, jo bearish reversal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, price support level 170.217 ki taraf gir sakti hai. Agar selling pressure barh jata hai, toh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh traders ke liye aik ahem lamha hoga ke woh bearish candlestick patterns ya dusre technical indicators ko dekhain jo rejection ko tasdeeq kar sakte hain. Long positions hold karne walon ke liye, EUR/JPY apni downward trajectory ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, jahan pehle ka high 171.55 pehla defense line banega. Yeh level 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath coincide karta hai, jo iski support function ko mazid majbooti deta hai. Agar price is point ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish sentiment ki lehar ko chalu kar sakta hai, price ko 169.70 tak le ja sakta hai jo 50-day EMA ya 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke kareeb hai, jo takreeban 169.50 ke aas-paas hai, jo uptrend line ke qareeb hai.

Conclusion

Khulasa yeh hai ke traders ko 170.53 resistance level par nazar rakhni chahiye. Aik successful breakout mazeed bullish momentum ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur upar ke levels ko target kar sakta hai, jabke rejection bearish control ka signal de sakta hai aur potential downward correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Market indicators par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Currency Pair EUR-JPY

EUR/JPY currency pair daily chart par do levels 163.58 aur 155.20 ke darmiyan flat nazar aata hai. 155 ka figure do martaba visit hua aur do baar upar se exit kiya, isliye ise double bottom samjha ja sakta hai, jo hamari price ko upar ki taraf le gaya. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh kam az kam 175.47 tak barh raha hai, lekin ismein abhi tak koi purchases ka confirmation nahi hai. Hamare paas bullish engulfing aur 155 figure se double rebound hai, lekin agar yeh 163.58 ko tod kar is level ke upar consolidate karte hain, toh phir baat alag hai: aap medium term mein kharidari kar sakte hain aur aapko nuqsan nahi hoga.

Is waqt, price flat mein trade kar rahi hai aur Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke andar hai, jahan bulls pehle wale general upward trend ko wapas lane ki koshish kar rahe hain; lekin yeh abhi bhi bohot realistic nahi hai, lekin acceptable hai. Chart par price 162.40 ke 25% resistance level ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur main ne jo ascending line draw ki hai, uske neeche hai. Mere khayal mein, agar north ki taraf successful acceleration hoti hai, toh bulls is taraf nazar aayenge. Isliye, main yeh risk uthane ko tayar hoon ke mujhe qareeb future mein, kuch consolidation ke baad, northern movement ki umeed hai.




Market par neutral position ko confirm karta hai. Agar 163.58 se rebound hota hai aur current levels se bearish engulfing shuru hoti hai, toh kya hoga agar hum 155 figure par wapas girte hain ya, aur bhi bura, 153.30 ko test karte hain? Yahan se hum shayad 175 figure ki taraf upar turn kar sakte hain.

Daily timeframe par CCI indicator upar ki taraf dekh raha hai, jo bulls ki taqat ko confirm karta hai, lekin yeh abhi level par ruk gaya hai, aur humein iski reaction par nazar rakhni hogi, kyunke is indicator aur bullish engulfing ke mutabiq, 163.58 ke upar jane ke liye har mauqa hai.

EURJPY

Main daily chart par euro-yen pair par nazar daal raha hoon. Yeh pair ek upar ki taraf jaane wale trend channel mein trade kar raha tha. Phir isne buying volume ka amal shuru kiya aur mujhe laga ke yeh is trend channel ke neeche ki taraf jaayega. Aam tor par jab pair buying volume shuru karta hai, toh yeh is trend channel ke neeche tak pohanchta hai. Yeh 153.740 par support tak pohanch gaya. Pehle ke lows se double touch hone ke baad, pair ne dobara growth shuru ki. Phir mujhe laga ke yeh ab se growth kar sakta hai, yani 155.110 ke mark se. Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, yeh resume hua, aur pehle ke highs tak pohanch gaya. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aur upar jayega, 167.586 ke resistance tak.

EURJPY currency pair upward dynamics dikhata hai. Price ne 163.41 par resistance ka samna kiya. Technical taraf se dekhte hain, four-hour time interval par price Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke upar, cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur Chikou-span line price chart ke upar hai, saath hi golden cross bhi active hai.




Bollinger bands upar ki taraf hain, relative strength indicator 50 ke upar hai, MACD oscillator volumes barh rahe hain, aur trend filter oscillator green rang mein hai, jo bullish market sentiment ka signal deta hai. Growth ka potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar price 163.41 ke level par breakthrough aur successful consolidation karti hai, toh naye purchases par nazar rakhna samajhdaari hogi. Is surat mein agla potential target 165.65 ka resistance level hai.

Price agay barh sakti hai aur green zone ko poori tarah kaam kar sakti hai. Upar price ke liye kuch reference points hain - MA resistance levels. Price ne do resistance levels ko kaam kiya, blue aur red MA, red MA ko upar ki taraf break kiya aur black MA (164.95) ki taraf barh gaya. Price black MA ko upar ki taraf break karke bade green zone ko kaam karne ki koshish kar sakti hai.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

EUR/JPY ka technical analysis H4 chart par kiya gaya hai, jisme trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ka istemal kiya gaya hai taake market ki potential direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Filhal, market ek uptrend mein hai aur 162.70 ke resistance level ko break karne ki taraf barh raha hai. Chart ko ghor se dekhne par pata chalta hai ke market trend line ka jawab de raha hai, resistance ko break karne ki bajaye iske saath chal raha hai. Itihaas mein, yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahi hai aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh ab bhi yeh kaam kar rahi hai.

Market system level se break hua, upar neeche hua, resistance ko support mein tabdeel kiya, aur phir apni upward movement ko resume kiya. Is waqt, 50-day simple moving average market ke neeche 161.55 par hai, jo support level ka kaam kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, 200-day simple moving average bhi market ke neeche hai, jiska pehla support level 160.20 hai. RSI indicator filhal 30 se 70 ya 75 ke beech hai. Halankeh market mein thoda sa dip aaya hai, lekin indicators yeh darshate hain ke further upward movement ka potential ab bhi hai.

Aaj dopahar, EUR/JPY currency pair apne bullish trend ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo aaj (Monday) price ko 161.00 tak le ja sakta hai. EUR/JPY ki recent price increase ka zyada tar sabab yen ka kamzor hona hai, kyun ke Japan ke M2 Money Stock data mein 0.2% kami dikhayi gayi, aur Nikkei index 7,500 points gir gaya. Yeh sab factors EUR/JPY ki price ko 161.00 tak le jane mein madadgar rahe.

Iske ilawa, Euro ki value bhi haal hi mein mazboot hui hai, jo Germany ke positive economic data ki wajah se hai. German CPI (Consumer Price Index) mein 0.3% ki izafa hua, jabke German WPI (Wholesale Price Index) 0.1% tak barh gaya. Yeh Euro ki taqat ko barhata hai, isliye yeh aaj mazboot rehne ki sambhavana hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, main EUR/JPY kharidne ki taraf rujhan rakh raha hoon, jiska target 161.00 level hai.




Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY aaj dopahar phir se 161.00 tak barhne ki umeed hai. H1 time frame par, EUR/JPY currency pair ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo ek strong BUY signal hai. RSI 14 indicator ko dekhne par, EUR/JPY ka current price 160.75 ke aas-paas hai, jo overbought ya buying saturation ka signal nahi de raha. Isliye, EUR/JPY pair aaj 10-50 pips tak aur barhne ki sambhavana hai.

Khatta, dono technical aur fundamental indicators yeh darshate hain ke EUR/JPY apne bullish trend ko jaari rakhne ki umeed hai, aur qareeb mustaqbil mein mazeed faide ki sambhavana hai.

Trading Update

Sab ko acha din aur bohat saare munafa mile! Is waqt meri trading strategy, jo Heiken Ashi, TMA, aur RSI candlestick indicators par mabni hai, mujhe yeh batati hai ke currency pair ya instrument kharidne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Is system ke signals yeh darshate hain ke bulls ne clearly haalaat ka rukh badal diya hai, aur ab sirf purchases ko tarjeeh di ja rahi hai. Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price quotes ko acha smooth aur average karte hain, hamein reversal moments, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko waqt par dekhne mein madad dete hain.

TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo chart par moving averages ka istemal karke current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, trading mein ek behtareen madad hai. Yeh asset movement ke boundaries ko dikhata hai jo moment ke mutabiq hain. Signals ko final filter karne aur deal karne ka aakhri faisla karne ke liye RSI oscillator istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ki overbought aur oversold zones ko darshata hai. Mere khayal mein, aise trading instruments ka intekhab technical analysis ke amal ko behtar banata hai aur market mein ghalat entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

Jis chart par hum baat kar rahe hain, wahan Heikin Ashi candles ne rang badal kar neela kar diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish mood ab bearish mood par faida le raha hai. Isliye, market mein entry point talash karna samajhdari hai taake long deal ki ja sake. Price quotes linear channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar chale gaye, lekin sabse neeche LOW point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh wahan se bounce hokar channel ki central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf mod gaye.




Daily chart aaj sellers ke haq mein rahega. Is hafte ke liye scheduled news events ko bhi mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ke behavior par bohot asar daal sakte hain. News market mein volatility la sakti hai aur technical signals se baghair kisi bhi taraf market ko push kar sakti hai. Is liye, traders ko kisi bhi economic data releases ya significant geopolitical events se waqif rehna chahiye jo currency values ko affect kar sakte hain. Yeh events aam support aur resistance levels ko override kar sakte hain aur ghalat price movements ki taraf le ja sakte hain, isliye aise conditions mein market se approach karte waqt ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

Aam tor par, EUR/JPY market ab zyada upar ki taraf move karne ki taraf rujhan rakhta hai. Market ka overall sentiment yeh darshata hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain, jo price ko upar ke levels, jaise 162.65, par le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level tak pohanchte hain, toh is se aur upar ki potential ki nishani mil sakti hai, agar koi significant negative events current trend ko disrupt nahi karte. Halankeh kuch log 162.35 ke support level par sell karne ka soch rahe hain, lekin maujooda trend yeh darshata hai ke EUR/JPY market apni upward trajectory ko jaari rakhne ki zyada sambhavana hai. News events par nazar rakhna risk manage karne ke liye zaroori hoga, kyun ke yeh market ke direction ko achanak shift kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair ki Taqreeb

EUR/JPY currency pair ke liye technical analysis par mabni prospects. Hum khaaskar resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par tawajju denge. Chart ko dekhte hain: Aaj pair phir se thoda gir gaya hai. Yen bilkul bhi barh nahi raha aur aaj yeh phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart yeh darshata hai ke pair ne 155.40 ka support level test kiya hai aur ab 156.59 par trade kar raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf kuch uncertain nazar aa raha hai, AO ek kamzor buy signal de raha hai, aur price pichle din ke trading range ke neeche hai. Signals kamzor hain, lekin yeh slight decline ka imkaan darshate hain. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke pair 155.40 ka support level test karega. Analysis ke mutabiq, abhi ke liye 155.50 ka target rakh kar cautious sales ka sujhav diya gaya hai. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak badal sakta hai, isliye apne risks ka ghor se andaza lagana zaroori hai.

Mausool taur par, hamara forecast EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai, kyunki main bhi chaar ghante ke time interval par 157.34 ke resistance zone ki taraf correction ki umeed rakhta hoon, jo average Bollinger moving line ke range mein hai. Hamaray paas ek downward southern trend hai jo bar bar north ki taraf zigzag corrections de raha hai. Global maqsad jo achieve hona chahiye, wo medium term mein 154.40 ka support level hai, jo shayad kuch kaam karne wale dinon mein kaam hoga. Is tarah, humein ek double bottom trader geometric figure dekhne ko milta hai, jisse achhi northern correction ya trend reversal ki talash ki ja sakti hai. Lekin zyadah sambhavna hai ke choti correction ke baad downward southern trend jaari rahegi jab tak global ya medium term trend mein reversal ke liye clear prerequisites na banein.




EUR/JPY pair ne 157.10 area tak pohanchne ke baad dobara selling pressure ka samna kiya. Yeh girawat August ke low se modest recovery ke baad aayi hai, jo 155.00 psychological level ke aas-paas tha. Japanese yen ab bhi Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke officials ke hawkish signals se support le raha hai, jo saal ke aakhir tak interest rate hike ka imkaan darshate hain. Iske ilawa, is hafte ke major central bank events se pehle market ki pareshani bhi yen ki taqat aur EUR/JPY par downward pressure ko barhati hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka policy decision Wednesday ko announce hone ki umeed hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ke update ke baad aayega. Lekin, buniyadi tawajju BoJ ke policy update par Friday ko hoga, jo Japanese yen aur EUR/JPY ki near-term dynamics par bohot asar daal sakta hai.

Halankeh US dollar ki bechne ki current wave euro ko kuch support de sakti hai, BoJ aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke liye diverging outlook yeh darshata hai ke EUR/JPY ke liye headwinds ab bhi negative hain. ECB ka haal hi ka faisla interest rates ko cut karne aur aane wale mahine mein lower borrowing costs ka path darshane ka yeh euro aur EUR/JPY ko kuch support de sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Outlook Analysis

EUR/JPY D1 time frame par nazar daal kar, demand abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein hai kyunki bearish momentum overall trend par dominate kar raha hai. Filhal, pair pressure mein hai, aur sellers ka control tab tak rahega jab tak market mein koi significant tabdeeli nahi aati. D1 chart par technical indicators is bearish outlook ko support karte hain, jahan price key moving averages ke neeche hai aur recent sessions mein steady decline dikhata hai. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market sirf technical factors se nahi chalta. Is hafte ki scheduled news events price action ko shape karne mein bohot asar daal sakti hain.

Fundamental developments, khaaskar jo European aur Japanese economy se mutaliq hain, yeh tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhte hain ke kya yeh downtrend jari rahega ya reverses hoga. Major economic announcements, jaise central bank meetings, inflation reports, aur GDP numbers, volatility ko barha sakte hain. News releases market sentiment ko achanak badal sakte hain aur technical patterns ko disrupt kar sakte hain, chahe prevailing trends kuch bhi hon. Is liye, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur in crucial events ke dauran potential price swings ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Jabke technical setup filhal sellers ke haq mein hai, news ka asar nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, aur traders ko technical aur fundamental aspects ko assess karte waqt ek balanced approach istemal karni chahiye.

Aaj raat EUR/JPY currency pair ki movement mein kaafi izafa hua hai, jo 140 pips tak barh gaya hai, 158.80 se 160.22 tak. EUR/JPY ki aaj ki izafa ka sabab euro exchange rate ka mazboot hona hai, jab Spain se severance data release hua, jo 3200 jobless par aaya, aur Italy mein average severance rate bhi 6.2 per month tak gira. Is wajah se EUR/JPY ki movement raat ko 160.30 tak barhne ki umeed hai. Iske ilawa, yen exchange rate bhi kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai, jab Japanese Monetary Base data release hua jo -0.1 par gira, aur kai Japanese investors ne 4 trillion yen se zyada ka investment wapas le liya. Is sab ka asar EUR/JPY ki movement par bohot zyada hai, jisse yeh 160.30 tak barhne ki umeed hai.




Meri fundamental analysis ke natije mein, maine decide kiya ke main EUR/JPY ko 160.30 par buy karoon. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 160.40 tak barh sakta hai. H1 time frame par, EUR/JPY ne ek bullish engulfing candle banayi hai, jo buy karne ka strong signal hai. RSI 14 index ke analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY ka price 158.30 par oversold tha, isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai ke raat ko EUR/JPY 160.50 tak barh jaye.

EUR/JPY ke buy signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci techniques se bhi support milta hai, kyunki jab EUR/JPY ka price 159.00 ke area mein aaya, yeh Resistance Become Support (RBS) area mein tha, isliye buyers ka EUR/JPY par enter karna bohot mumkin hai. Meri technical analysis ke natije mein, maine decide kiya ke main EUR/JPY ko 160.50 tak buy karoon.

EUR/JPY Daily Market Analysis

Sab doston ko good morning! Aaj subah main EUR/JPY currency pair ke banne wale pattern ka analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Is pattern ko samajh kar hum yeh dekh sakte hain ke aage price action kaisa hoga. EUR/JPY currency pair pichle kuch dinon se kaafi upar ki taraf pressure mein hai, aur yeh dekhna hai ke kya yeh trend revers hone wala hai, ya sirf ek price correction hai. Is liye, main D1 time frame par EUR/JPY currency pair ka gehra analysis karne ki koshish karunga.

Analysis ka pehla qadam hai trend ko samajhna. Filhal price Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, Stochastic Indicator overbought area ke kareeb hai, isliye pehli price correction ka imkaan hai.

Jab hum jaan lete hain ke trend bullish hai, toh hum EUR/JPY currency pair ko kharidne ka option tay karte hain. Humein tab tak intezar karna chahiye jab tak Stochastic Indicator oversold area mein nahi aata. Tab hum kharidari kar sakte hain. Ideal buying momentum choti time frames, jaise M30 ya M15 par banta hai. Agar hum filhal price par enter karte hain, toh pehle neeche ki taraf khichne ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai.

Agar humein agle qadam ke liye buy option milta hai, toh humein stop loss area tay karna hoga. Main stop loss area ke liye price level 158.04 ka support area istemal karunga. Aur profit target ke liye resistance area ko price level 167.88 par rakhunga.

Jo log is analysis ko samajhne mein pareshani mehsoos kar rahe hain, woh neeche diye gaye image ko guide ke liye dekh sakte hain. Yeh mera chhota sa analysis hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke baare mein, umeed hai yeh Invest social forum ke members ke liye faida mand hoga.




Note:
- Buy position order option (price correction ka intezar)
- Support: 158.04 (stop loss)
- Resistance: 167.88 (target area)

JPY Pair Movement Analysis During Trading Sessions

European Session: Lack of Direction

JPY pair ki movement US trading session ke doran shuru hui, jo European session mein dekhe gaye stagnant price action ke bilkul muqabil thi. European session ke doran, price mein sirf minimal changes dekhe gaye aur yeh 159.89 se 159.51 ke beech ek tang range mein confined rahi. Yeh key support/resistance zone zyada tar nazarandaz kiya gaya, jab ke yeh aam tor par traders ke liye ek ahm signal hota hai. Is range ki ahmiyat ko na samajhne ki wajah se traders ko trading day ke shuru mein clear positions tay karne mein mushkil hoti rahi.

Kai traders jo European session mein mauqay talash kar rahe the, unhein volatility aur clear price direction ki kami ki wajah se pareshani ka samna karna pada. 159.89-159.51 area par koi react na karna actionable signals ki kami ko darshata hai, jo bohot se traders ko sideline par rehne par majboor karta hai jab tak koi breakout ya direction clarity nahi milti. Jab market ne is pivotal price zone ka khayal nahi rakha, toh bohot si positions European session ke doran on hold rahi.




US Session: Emergence of Volatility

Jab market US trading session mein shamil hua, toh ek zyada dynamic movement shuru hui. Price action kaafi pronounced ho gaya, jo traders ko market mein enter karne ke naye mauqay faraham karta hai. Lekin, US session ke doran jo sharp decline aayi, woh anticipate karna mushkil tha. Market sentiment mein achanak tabdeeli ne bohot se traders ko hairan kar diya, khaaskar isse pehle koi clear indicators nahi the.

Yeh momentum ka tabdeel hona do trading sessions ke darmiyan tafreeq ko darshata hai. Jabke European session ek pur sukoon aur uncertainty ka dor tha, US session ne yeh dikhaya ke market sentiment kitni jaldi shift ho sakta hai, jo traders ke liye risks aur opportunities dono create karta hai. US session ke doran anjaam dene wala unexpected drop yeh yaad dilata hai ke forex trading ki ever-changing landscape mein adaptability aur vigilance kitni zaroori hai.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

Current Market Sentiment Overview

Mere khayal mein, jab bears ne weekly trend line ko successfully break kiya, toh market mein bullish energy kam ho gayi, jisse currency pair ne south ki taraf move kiya. Lekin, yeh neeche ki taraf movement sirf ek corrective recovery nahi hai. Bechne ka option tabhi viable hua jab trend line tod di gayi, jo market trend mein potential shift ko darshata hai.

Support Levels Establishing

Maine figurative similarity ke adhar par ek matrix structure identify kiya, jo woh sabse wazeh level darshata hai jahan se downward movement 100% tak pahunchegi, yeh Fibonacci analysis ke mutabiq hai. Isliye, maine local support break hone ke baad sell position lene ka faisla kiya, profit ka aim quote 158.79 rakha. Mujhe us linear decline par poora bharosa nahi hai jo market ne haal hi mein dikhaya hai, kyunki smooth, rollback-free impulses aam tor par asal downward movement se zyada manipulation ko darshate hain.

Technical Indicators aur Price Projection

MACD indicator filhal negative zone mein hai, jo bearish momentum ko darshata hai. Aisa lagta hai ke agle hafte, is trading instrument ki price lagbhag 155.00 tak gir sakti hai. Sideways trend ki upper boundary ko pehle hi test kiya ja chuka hai, aur ab price neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Jab neeche wale taraf test kiya jayega, toh upper border ki taraf bounce back hone ki sambhavna hai.

Market Dynamics aur Oversold Conditions

Chart par ek significant green zone ban chuka hai, jo potential price action ko darshata hai. Technically, pair oversold condition mein hai, lekin downside reversal ki sambhavna abhi bhi hai. Key support levels 166.15, 165.00, aur 200-day moving average ke aas-paas hain jo in points ke neeche hai. In levels ke neeche break hone se ek sustained downtrend ka signal mil sakta hai.

Resistance Levels

Upar ki taraf, psychological level 160.00 ke aas-paas resistance ki sambhavna hai. Summary ke tor par, EUR/JPY pair ek challenging outlook ka samna kar raha hai global economic uncertainties, geopolitical risks, aur diverging monetary policies ke milne ki wajah se. Jab ke short-term bounces ya consolidations ki sambhavna ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, significant downside movement ka potential kaafi pronounced hai.




Structural Insights

EUR/JPY currency pair filhal ek neutral position mein hai, jo nested dolls ke structure ki tarah hai jahan har hissa wazeh hai. Main February se ek clear ascending channel ko track kar raha hoon, jahan zigzag peaks guiding lines ki tarah kaam kar rahi hain. Lekin, ek chota channel emerge ho raha hai, jo 173.00 level ke aas-paas previous upper band ki taraf wapas aane ka sanket de raha hai.

Concluding Remarks

Iss waqt, trading phase yeh darshata hai ke pichle paanch daily candles 173.00 mark ke neeche band hui hain, jo ek clear support level establish kar rahi hai jo ascending guide ke sath dynamically badal raha hai. In levels aur overall market sentiment par nazar rakhna aage ke analysis aur trading strategy execution ke liye kaafi ahm hoga.

indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ka istemal karte hue, hum aaj ke H4 timeline mein market ke rukh ka taayun karain ge. Is waqt, market uptrend mein hai, jo resistance level 162.70 ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Is chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market resistance ko torne ke bajaye ek trend line ko follow kar raha hai. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai, kyun ke main bhi four-hour time interval par 157.34 ke resistance zone tak correction ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo average Bollinger moving line ke range mein hai. Hamare paas ek southern downward trend hai jisme northern zigzag corrections ho rahi hain, aur global goal jo achieve hona chahiye wo 154.40 ka support level hai medium term mein, jo kuch kaam ke dinon mein mukammal ho sakta hai. Is tarah se, humare paas ek double bottom trader geometric figure hai jisse acha northern correction ya trend reversal dhoondha ja sakta hai, magar ziada chances hain ke choti si correction ke baad downward southern trend jaari rahega jab tak global ya medium term trend ke reversal ke liye wazeh asbaab nazar nahi aate. Filhal, priority southern fall ki taraf

yeh growing bearish pressure ka clear signal hoga. Yeh level pehle bhi ahmiyat rakhta tha, aur iske neeche break ka matlab hoga ke sellers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. Is region mein price action ko monitor karna traders ke liye intehai zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh aglay downward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar EUR/JPY 160.30 se neeche break karta hai aur girawat jari rehti hai, toh yeh bearish momentum ke mazid strong hone ka pata dega, aur aage aur bhi girawat ki umeed barh jati hai. Agar yeh bearish trend 159.57 se neeche jata hai, toh yeh market mein aur bhi deep losses ka indication hoga. Jo traders downward trend ki confirmation dhoond rahe hain, unke liye 159.57 se neeche ka sustained move ek strong signal hoga ke mazid selling pressure aane wala hai. Agar price 159.50 ke level ko hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek bearish shift ko confirm karega, jo ke mazid downtrend ko janam de sakta hai. Aaj ke din, EUR/JPY pair ECB ke decision se pehle positive momentum dikhara hai, jab ke Japanese yen mein monthly low se recovery ke baad thori si weakness hai. Expected hai ke ECB apni September monetary policy meeting ke baad 25 basis point ka rate cut announce karega. Yeh is dafa ki easing cycle ka dosra adjustment hoga. Lekin traders ko updated economic forecasts par bhi tawajju deni hogi. Saath hi, ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ke comments post-meeting press conference mein bhi common currency aur EUR/JPY pair ke short-term trajectory ko influence kar sakte hain. Eurozone central bank ke upcoming events se pehle, Japan ke weak PPI (Producer Price Index) data ne Bank of Japan ke hawkish signals ko undermine kar diya hai, jiski wajah se Japanese yen ki selling hui hai. Dar haqeeqat, Japan ka core PPI August mein 0.2% decline hua, aur annual rate bhi expectations se zyada gira, July ke 3.0% se gir ke 2.5% par aa gaya. EUR/JPY pair abhi bearish trend mein hai, aur price takreeban 157.72 par trade kar raha hai. Magar, technical aur fundamental factors dono yeh indicate kar

market ke rukh ka taayun karain ge. Is waqt, market uptrend mein hai, jo resistance level 162.70 ko tor kar upar jaa raha hai. Is chart mein hum dekh sakte hain ke market resistance ko torne ke bajaye ek trend line ko follow kar raha hai. Market history dikhati hai ke market trend line ke upar move kar chuka hai. Yeh trend line market ko upar ki taraf guide karti rahegi. Market ne system level se break kiya, upar aur neeche gaya, resistance ko support mein badla, aur phir se upar chala gaya. Filhaal, 50-day simple moving average market ke 161.55 ke neeche hai, jo takreeban hamara support level hai. Hamara 200-day simple moving average market ke neeche hai, aur hamara pehla support 160.20 pe hai. RSI indicator 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai, yaani ke 75 ke aas-paas. Market waqai neeche ja raha hai, aur humare paas sahi indicators hain jo is baat ko sabit karte hain. Market mein mazeed growth ki umeed hai EUR/JPY currency pair ke prospects technical analysis ki buniyad pe. Hum resistance aur support levels, volumes, aur basement indicators par khaas tawajju dein ge. Chaliye chart ko dekhein: Pair ne aaj phir se thora neeche move kiya hai. Yeh jew growth nahi dikhana chahta, aur aaj phir se neeche ja raha hai. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne support level 155.40 ko test kiya aur ab yeh 156.59 pe trade ho raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai aur neeche ki taraf bemani nazar aa raha hai, AO weak buy signal de raha hai, aur price peechlay din ki trading range se neeche hai. Signals weak hain, magar yeh thoda decline ki imkaniyat dikhate hain. Is liye, main yeh samajhta hoon ke pair support level 155.40 ko phir se test karega. Analysis ki buniyad pe, filhal ehtiyaat ke sath 155.50 ka target rakh kar sale karna behtar rahega. Lekin yaad rahe ke market achanak tabdeel bhi ho sakta hai, is liye apne risks ko ache tareeke se assess karein. Asal mein, hamara forecast current EUR/JPY asset ke liye lagbhag wahi hai, kyun ke main bhi four-hour time interval par 157.34 ke resistance zone tak correction ki umeed kar raha hoon, jo average Bollinger moving line ke range mein hai. Hamare paas ek southern downward trend hai jisme northern zigzag corrections ho rahi hain, aur global goal jo achieve hona chahiye wo 154.40 ka support level hai medium term mein, jo kuch kaam ke dinon mein mukammal ho sakta hai. Is tarah se, humare paas ek double bottom trader geometric figure hai jisse acha northern correction ya trend reversal dhoondha ja sakta hai, magar ziada chances hain ke choti si correction ke baad downward southern trend jaari rahega jab tak global ya medium term trend ke reversal ke liye wazeh asbaab nazar nahi aate. Filhal, priority southern