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EUR-JPY Pair Forecast

EURJPY currency pair ke halat ko last week ke end se samajhne par yeh clear hai ke sellers ka dominance ab bhi hai, jahan price ne early week mein bullish movement shuru ki thi aur week ke end tak phir se strong momentum hasil kiya jo downward pressure banane ka sabab bana, aur price bearish hote hue 162.22 tak pohnch gayi. Yeh zaroori reference banega agle trading position ko determine karne ke liye is hafte, jahan price ke bearish direction mein move karne ke chances hain. Pichle hafte market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein tha lekin neeche bhi ja sakta hai.

Market conditions ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke trend movement abhi bhi strong hai aur sellers price ko dobara neeche push kar sakte hain. Isliye, hum yeh maan sakte hain ke price phir se bearish hogi aur initial target 160.45 ke price range ho sakti hai. Analysis ke results ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator par Lime Line ne level 50 ke neeche gir kar price ko strongly bearish move karne ka signal diya hai aur ab tak market sellers ke control mein hai, price ke downward trend mein move karne ki ummeed hai. Agar hum long-term trend conditions ko follow karein, to EURJPY currency pair ab bhi bearish trend mein hai, isliye yeh estimate kiya ja sakta hai ke price phir se neeche ja sakti hai.

EURJPY currency pair ke halat ko last week ke end se samajhne par yeh clear hai ke sellers ka dominance ab bhi hai, jahan price ne early week mein bullish movement shuru ki thi aur week ke end tak phir se strong momentum hasil kiya jo downward pressure banane ka sabab bana, aur price bearish hote hue 162.22 tak pohnch gayi. Yeh zaroori reference banega agle trading position ko determine karne ke liye is hafte, jahan price ke bearish direction mein move karne ke chances hain. Pichle hafte market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein tha lekin neeche bhi ja sakta hai.

EURJPY currency pair iss waqt neutral position mein phansi hui lag rahi hai. Yeh ek nested dolls jaisa hai, jahan pura currency structure hamesha nazar aata hai. Halat ko yeh kaha ja sakta hai:
February se main ek clear ascending channel ko track kar raha hoon, jahan zigzag peaks guidelines ki tarah kaam kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek additional, chhota channel bhi ubhar kar aya hai, jo humein wapas pichle upper band of the ascending channel pe le aya hai, jo 173.00 level par hai. Hum ab is level par hain, jahan pichle paanch daily candles 173.00 mark ke neeche dip hui hain. Ek clear support level ab identify kiya gaya hai iss ascending guide ke sath, jo dynamic hai aur filhal 172.00 par hai.

Is setup ke sath, hum ek quick technical analysis kar sakte hain: ya to hum 173.00 level par sell karne ka plan bana sakte hain ya phir 172.00 support ke neeche breakout hone ka intezar kar sakte hain. Humara pehla target downside par 170.00 level hai. Currency pair upwards move kar raha hai, aur 100-period moving average northwards 10-degree angle par upar chadh raha hai. Ichimoku cloud bullish shades dikhata hai, aur umeed hai ke yeh aglay outlook mein 30-degree angle par upar chadhega. 18-period moving average takreeban current price ke barabar hai. Stochastic oscillator overbought region se bahar nikal chuka hai; lekin, ab tak humein ek clear sell signal nahi mila. Wahi, MACD ne pehle hi ek sell signal generate kar diya hai, jo potential downward correction ko indicate karta hai.

Indicators ke is complex combination ko dekhte hue, overall picture ab tak unclear hai, aur ek clear sell signal ab tak materialize nahi hua. General situation ab tak stable hai: EURJPY 173.00-172.00 ke range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Hum is range ke boundaries par nazar rakhenge aur price ke isse break out karne ka intezar karenge

Chaliye EUR/JPY pair ko Fibonacci retracement levels ke zariye ghor se dekhte hain, jo ke possible price movements ka valuable insight dete hain. Agar hum pichlay kuch saalon ke poore upward trend par base karke Fibonacci grid draw karen, to humein yeh nazar aata hai ke price filhal 23.6% retracement level, jo ke 160.89 par hai, se thora neechay hai. Pair ka current price 160.77 hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke hum iss crucial level ke bohot qareeb hain.
Yeh well known hai ke prices aksar 23.6% aur 38.2% Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan fluctuate karti hain, jo ke important support aur resistance zones hoti hain. Interesting baat yeh hai ke iss case mein, price ab tak 38.2% level ko touch nahi kiya hai. Balkay, yeh halfway reverse ho gaya aur wapas 160.89 level par aa gaya. Yeh behavior noteworthy hai kyunki yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan potential struggle ho rahi hai.

Yeh potential downward move kaafi substantial hai, takriban 900 pips ka. Aise decline ka prospect un logon ke liye optimism ka ek layer add karta hai jo bearish continuation ki umeed rakhtay hain. Aise girawat ke chances hain ke pair ko lower Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb le aaye, jo ke bearish trend ko further reinforce karega.

To summarize karte hue, current Fibonacci analysis EUR/JPY ke liye important trading levels ko highlight karta hai. Price filhal ek critical range mein hai, aur 61.8% aur 76.4% ke key Fibonacci levels potential buy signals de sakte hain. Profit targets ko 123.6% aur 138.2% levels par set karne se traders expected price movements ka faida utha sakte hain, jab ke potential reversals ko bhi anticipate kar sakte hain. In levels ko closely monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, apni trading strategy ko optimize kar sakte hain, aur market ko effectively navigate karne ki ability enhance kar sakte hain

Traders ko EUR/JPY market explore karne ki targhib dena zaroori hai, aur ek wazeh strategy provide karna dusron tak asani se pohanch sakta hai. Yeh currency pair is waqt 156.50 pe trade kar raha hai aur 142.70 tak barhne ke liye tayar lagta hai. Halaat ke bawajood recent sideways movement ke, ek bearish shift ka potential hai jo ke H4 chart pe 200 MA resistance ki wajah se aur bullish progress ko rok sakti hai. Mojooda market structure ko dekhte hue, bearish trend barqarar reh sakta hai aur qareebi muddat mein 158.84 tak pohanch sakta hai. Mazeed, Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein hai, jo ke possible downward reversal ka signal de raha hai. Humari mushkil aur munafa bakhsh field mein kamiyabi dekhna himmat afza hai. Meri tajziyaat ke mutabiq, maine ek selling entry point identify kiya hai. Halanki main initial move miss kar gaya, abhi bhi market open pe is currency pair ko sell karne ka mauka hai. Tajurba se, maine trading ka zyada systematic approach develop kiya hai, jo ke aam yakeen ko challenge karta hai ke market sirf ehtiyat se navigate ho sakti hai

Currency market ek dynamic playground hai jahan opportunities aur risks ek saath mojood hain. Haali market fluctuations se potential gains ka ishara milta hai, jese ke peechle haftay ka upward momentum slow ho gaya hai, jo ke 157.00 ke critical level tak pohanch sakta hai. Is landscape ko successfully navigate karne ke liye, support aur resistance points ke saath saath dusri market signals ko qareebi taur pe observe karna zaroori hai, taake well-informed trading choices banayi ja saken. Global economic occurrences aur news pe bhi chaukanna nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh EUR/JPY jaise currency pairs ke direction ko aham tor pe badal sakte hain. European Central Bank policies, Japanese economic indicators, aur geopolitical events jaise factors sab is pair ki trajectory ko shape karne ki power rakhte hain

Chalo EUR/JPY pair ko thoda gaur se dekhtay hain, Fibonacci retracement levels ka istamaal karte huay jo ke price movements ke mutaliq qeemti maloomat faraham karte hain. Agar hum pichlay chand saalon ke doran hone walay poore upward trend par Fibonacci grid lagain, to hum dekh sakte hain ke is waqt price 23.6% retracement level ke thora neeche, yani 160.89 par hai. Pair ki mojooda price 160.77 hai, jo ke is ahem level ke qareeb hai. Yeh aam baat hai ke prices aksar 23.6% aur 38.2% Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan fluctuate karti hain, jo ke ahem support aur resistance zones hote hain. Is mamlay mein, abhi tak price ne 38.2% level ko touch nahi kiya. Is ke bajaye, price ne halfway se reverse kar ke dobara 160.89 level ki taraf move kiya. Yeh behavior khaas tor par qabil-e-ghor hai kyun ke yeh market mein bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan potential struggle ko zahir karta hai.

Yeh potential downward move kaafi bara hai, jo ke taqreeban 900 pips cover karta hai. Is qisam ki decline ka imkaan un traders ke liye umeed ka bais ho sakta hai jo ke bearish continuation ki tawaku karte hain. Is qisam ka girawat pair ko lower Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb la sakti hai, jo ke bearish trend ko mazid mazboot karegi.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY ke current Fibonacci analysis se ahem trading levels samajh mein aate hain. Price is waqt ek critical range mein hai, aur 61.8% aur 76.4% ke key Fibonacci levels potential buy signals de sakte hain. Profit targets ko 123.6% aur 138.2% levels par set karke traders expected price movements ka faida utha sakte hain, aur potential reversals ka bhi andaza laga sakte hain. In levels ko closely monitor karke, traders apni trading strategy ko optimize kar sakte hain aur market mein behtareen faislay karne ki salahiyat barha sakte hai

previous din ke one-week high se thodi si pullback ke baad bargain hunting ki wajah se tha. Is pair ki gains zyada tar Japanese yen ki kamzori ki wajah se thi, jo ke kuch factors ki combination se faida utha rahi thi. Equity markets mein positive sentiment aur Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks ne yen ki demand ko kam kar diya. Uchida ke bayan ke mutabiq, central bank market instability ke dauran interest rates ko nahi barhaye ga aur former BOJ board member Makoto Sakurai ke March 2025 tak rate hike ke prediction ne yen ki girawat mein contribute kiya. Magar, BOJ ke July policy meeting ke minutes se ye pata chala ke kuch members further rate hikes aur policy normalization ke liye inclined hain, jo yen ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai. Middle East ke geopolitical tensions aur ongoing Russia-Ukraine war ne yen ki kamzori ko counter balance kiya, jisse significant losses ko roka gaya. Is backdrop ke saath EUR/JPY ke upside potential ko bhi limit kiya gaya, traders ko zyada pronounced price movement ka intezar karna chahiye pehle position establish karne se. Eurozone ka Q2 GDP data Wednesday ko release hone wala hai aur Japanese Q2 GDP report Thursday ko aayegi, jo pair ko fresh impetus de sakti hai. Geopolitical developments bhi short-term trading opportunities de sakti hain.weakness ka bhi kuch impact zaroor hoga, khas taur pe Germany Haalat ko dekhte hue, mujhe agle hafte mein nearest resistance level ka retest hone ki poori umeed hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 170.53 par waqia hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh current bullish momentum ki strength ko test karega. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh further upward movement aur bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break karne mein naakam rehti hai aur yahan se reject hoti hai, toh yeh is baat ka indication hoga ke bears ab bhi control mein hain aur ek potential reversal wapas support level ki taraf ho sakta hai. 170.53 resistance level ke qareeb do possible scenarios ho sakte hain: Bullish Breakout: Pehle scenario mein, price resistance level 170.53 ko break kar

JPY currency pair ne Wednesday ko ek rebound experience kiya, jo 161.10 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Yeh pechle saat dinon ki losing streak ka reversal tha. Japanese yen weak ho gaya, jab Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke dovish remarks aaye, jinhon ne indicate kiya ke central bank apni accommodative monetary policy ko market instability ke bawajood maintain karega. Four-hour chart pe overall trend ab bhi bearish hai, kyunki price crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni midline se upar chala gaya hai, jo near-term mein aur gains ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Immediate upside resistance Bollinger Band ke upper border ke paas 162.18 pe locate hai. Ek mazeed resistance level 162.90-163.00 region mein hai, jo psychological levels aur pehle August 1 ka high ka confluence hai. Downside pe, initial support EUR/JPY pair ke liye August 6 ke low 157.30 pe milta hai. Pair ne repeated attempts kiye hain 168.00 level aur downward-sloping trendline February se, jo resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, ke upar break karne ke liye. Pehle ki nakami ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ne is long-term trendline ke upar chaar consecutive dinon tak rehte hue bullish breakout ka potential dikhaya hai. Technical indicators bhi oversold conditions ko suggest karte hain, jo ek upward move ka possibility support karte hain.

Euro against Japanese yen pair, jo pichle hafte gir gaya tha, ab dheere dheere apni position recover kar raha hai. Overall, markets panic mein kaafi neeche gir gayi thi, to chahe fundamentals isko support na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke prices is decline ka significant hissa recover kar sakti hain. Haan, higher timeframes pe dekhte hue trend downward hi hai, lekin chhote timeframes pe kuch buying opportunities mil sakti hain. EUR/JPY pair ke liye, long positions tab open ki ja sakti hain agar price support level 159.50 ke upar rehne mein kamyab ho jati hai. Agar pair neeche jata hai, to ek aur support level 157.26 pe hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka minimum tha, aur buying ke entry points wahan se dhoonde ja sakte hain, preferably ek signal

Chalo EUR/JPY pair ko thoda gaur se dekhtay hain, Fibonacci retracement levels ka istamaal karte huay jo ke price movements ke mutaliq qeemti maloomat faraham karte hain. Agar hum pichlay chand saalon ke doran hone walay poore upward trend par Fibonacci grid lagain, to hum dekh sakte hain ke is waqt price 23.6% retracement level ke thora neeche, yani 160.89 par hai. Pair ki mojooda price 160.77 hai, jo ke is ahem level ke qareeb hai. Yeh aam baat hai ke prices aksar 23.6% aur 38.2% Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan fluctuate karti hain, jo ke ahem support aur resistance zones hote hain. Is mamlay mein, abhi tak price ne 38.2% level ko touch nahi kiya. Is ke bajaye, price ne halfway se reverse kar ke dobara 160.89 level ki taraf move kiya. Yeh behavior khaas tor par qabil-e-ghor hai kyun ke yeh market mein bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan potential struggle ko zahir karta hai.

Yeh potential downward move kaafi bara hai, jo ke taqreeban 900 pips cover karta hai. Is qisam ki decline ka imkaan un traders ke liye umeed ka bais ho sakta hai jo ke bearish continuation ki tawaku karte hain. Is qisam ka girawat pair ko lower Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb la sakti hai, jo ke bearish trend ko mazid mazboot karegi.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY ke current Fibonacci analysis se ahem trading levels samajh mein aate hain. Price is waqt ek critical range mein hai, aur 61.8% aur 76.4% ke key Fibonacci levels potential buy signals de sakte hain. Profit targets ko 123.6% aur 138.2% levels par set karke traders expected price movements ka faida utha sakte hain, aur potential reversals ka bhi andaza laga sakte hain. In levels ko closely monitor karke, traders apni trading strategy ko

EUR/JPY karansi peir ki haal hi ki winning streak ruk gayi hai. Che din ke utthan ke baad, Euro (EUR) kamzor ho gaya Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqable mein aur 174.20 level par aa gaya Asia ke trading ke doran Thursday ko. Yeh tabdeeli un fikron se judi hai jo Japanese authorities ke forex market mein mudakhlat karne ke irade par hain. Yeh fikr is baat se utpan hoti hai ke kamzor hoti Yen se Japani consumers ka itminan mutasir ho sakta hai kyun ke imported maal mahnga ho jata hai. Apne consumers ko bachane ke liye, Japanese authorities Yen ko mazboot karne ke liye market mein Yen khareed sakte hain. Yeh karwai EUR/JPY ke upward momentum ko rok sakti hai. Yen ke haq mein ek aur support Japan ke services sector ki recent kamzori hai. Wednesday ko jari data ne dikhaya ke June ke liye services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) mein significant girawat aayi, jo 49.4 par aa gaya, jo ke early 2022 ke baad se sabse kam hai. Aisi kamzori Yen ko aur zyada kamzor kar sakti hai aur doosri karansiyon ke liye faida mand ho sakti hai, jaise Euro

Is haftay ke aghaz se market ne bearish price condition ko dikhaya hai, aur pichlay do dinon se price kaafi bara range mein niche ja rahi hai. Mahine ke aghaz se price journey ki tendency ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke yeh bearish side ki taraf ja rahi hai aur doosre sellers ka support mil raha hai. Price decline ne candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 100 indicator zone se pass karne mein madad di hai. Lagta hai seller abhi bhi current price zone se neeche ke area tak pahunchne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aaj Eur/Jpy market apni journey 168.79 position se shuru ki hai. 4-hour time frame ko dekhte hue, kuch dinon se seller ka asar nazar aa raha hai jo price ko aur neeche le jane mein madad kar raha hai. Ab market narrow range ke sath neeche move kar rahi hai.

EUR/JPY pair ko Fibonacci retracement levels ke zariye detail mein dekhte hain, jo ke price movements ke potential insights dete hain. Agar hum is pair ko Fibonacci grid ke zariye analyze karein jo ke pichle kuch saalon ki upward trend se draw kiya gaya hai, to humein dekhne ko milta hai ke price abhi 23.6% retracement level ke thoda neeche hai, jo ke 160.89 par hai. Current price 160.77 hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke hum is crucial level ke bohot qareeb hain.
Yeh well-known hai ke prices aksar 23.6% aur 38.2% Fibonacci levels ke beech fluctuate karte hain, jo ke important support aur resistance zones hote hain. Is case mein, price ne abhi tak 38.2% level ko touch nahi kiya. Balki, price ne beech mein hi reverse ho kar 160.89 level ki taraf wapas move kiya. Yeh behavior noteworthy hai kyunki yeh bullish aur bearish forces ke beech potential struggle ko suggest karta hai.

Yeh potential downward move kaafi substantial hai, lagbhag 900 pips cover karte hue. Aise decline ke prospects bearish continuation ke liye optimistic view ko add karte hain. Itni badi girawat se pair lower Fibonacci retracement levels ke qareeb aa sakti hai, jo bearish trend ko aur bhi reinforce karega.

Summary yeh hai ke EUR/JPY ka current Fibonacci analysis important trading levels ko highlight karta hai. Price abhi ek critical range mein hai, aur 61.8% aur 76.4% Fibonacci levels potential buy signals offer karte hain. Profit targets ko 123.6% aur 138.2% levels par set karna traders ko expected price movements ka faida uthane aur potential reversals ko anticipate karne ka mauka deta hai. In levels ko closely monitor karke traders apni trading strategy ko optimize kar sakte hain aur market ko effectively navigate karne mein madad mil sakti hai

EUR/JPY currency pair ne do din tak girawat dekhi, jo ke haal hi mein 163.85-163.90 ke aas-paas ke high se niche aaya. Yeh girawat zyada tar Japanese yen ki mazbooti ki wajah se hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hui. Pehla, Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Hamas ka ceasefire proposal rad karna, ne yen ki taraf safe-haven flows ko barhawa diya hai, jo EUR/JPY pair par neeche ki taraf dabao daal raha hai. Doosra, Bank of Japan ki hawkish stance, jo GDP aur machinery orders ke strong data ke saath mazid barh gayi hai, ne yen ki appeal ko mazboot kiya hai. Dusri taraf, euro market expectations ki wajah se kamzor hai, jahan European Central Bank se interest rate cuts ki ummed hai, inflation aur economic concerns ke beech Eurozone mein.
Technical indicators mixed signals de rahe hain. Jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) multi-year lows se upar ja raha hai, Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) EUR/JPY ki downtrend ke kamzor hone ka ishara de raha hai. Agar Stochastic oscillator oversold territory se bahar nikalti hai to ek bullish signal mil sakta hai. Filhaal, EUR/JPY pair 159.64 level par trade kar raha hai, jo August 5 ke 154.38 ke low se kafi neeche hai. Market sharp decline ke baad stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo Bank of Japan ke rate hike aur US mein recessionary fears ki wajah se hui thi. Yen ki strength is market movement ka primary catalyst hai, aur EUR/JPY pair apne record high se lagbhag 9% gir chuka hai. Jaise jaise market in challenges se guzarti hai, upcoming economic data, jaise Eurozone PMI, EUR/JPY pair ke future direction ko determine karne mein crucial hoga. Traders ko MACD middle line break karte hue 158.90 ke aas-paas ke immediate resistance breakout zone ko dekhna chahiye poore hafte

EUR/JPY ki trading ke aghaz mein is haftay Euro ke losses Japanese Yen ke against barh gaye, aur yeh 154.39 ke support level tak gir gaya, jo 2024 ke doran is currency pair ka sabse kamzor level hai. Analysis likhne ke waqt yeh 157.90 ke level ke aas paas stable tha. Japanese Yen ne doosri bari currencies ke against mazeed gains hasil kiye, jabke global stock markets ke collapse aur US economic recession ke dar ke bais risk aversion barh gaya. Eurozone Stoxx 50 index 3.5% gira aur 4475 tak pohnch gaya, jo pichle hafte se takreeban 4.6% ki girawat thi. European Stoxx 600 index bhi 3.2% gira aur 480 par a gaya, jo pichle hafte se 2.5% ki girawat thi.

Technology sector ne sell-off ko lead kiya, jo ke investors ke risk appetite ko zahir karta hai. Eurozone ki sabse badi company ASML ne takreeban 7% ka nuqsan uthaya, jo ke teen haftay pehle record high se 31% ki girawat hai. SAP ke shares ne bhi 4% ka nuqsan uthaya aur Infineon ke shares 2% se zyada gir gaye uske earnings report ke baad. Financials aur luxury stocks bhi gir gaye, jisme BNP Paribas, ING, UniCredit, LVMH aur Hermes ke shares 5% se 4% tak ghat gaye.

Isi silsile mein, Japanese stocks bhi 12% se zyada gir gaye. Nikkei 225 index 12.4% gira aur 31,458 points par close hua, jabke broader Topix index 12.23% gira aur 2,227 points par pohnch gaya Monday ke din, dono indexes ne nau mahinon ka sabse neecha point chhoda. Investors abhi bhi Japan mein barhti hui interest rates ke prospect ke saath joojh rahe hain. Japanese stocks ne 1987 ke Black Monday ke baad apni sabse buri ek din ki girawat dekhi, aur yeh bear market mein dakhil ho gaye.

Pichle hafte, Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur mazeed rate hikes ki willingness zahir ki, jiske bais markets ne is fiscal year mein mazeed do hikes ki bet lagayi, jo March 2025 ke end tak hosakta hai.

Iske ilawa, Japanese stocks ne Wall Street ke losses ko track kiya jo ke US mein recession ke dar aur major technology companies ke disappointing earnings ke wajah se thay. Financials ne selloff ko lead kiya, jisme Mitsubishi UFJ (-17.8%), Sumitomo Mitsui (-15.2%) aur Mizuho Financial (-19.7%) ke shares ne bhari losses uthaye. Heavy tech, auto aur consumer stocks, jisme Tokyo Electron (-18.4%), Toyota Motor (-13.7%) aur Fast Retailing (-9.6%) shamil hain, bhi gir gaye.

Aa ka Euro Yen Forecast:

Niche diye gaye daily chart ke mutabiq, Euro ka Japanese Yen ke against downward trend mazid strong hota ja raha hai aur uske losses itne zyada hain ke sab technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf push ho gaye hain. Magar risk aversion ke barqarar rehne ke bawajood, yeh currency pair mazeed losses ka shikar ho sakta hai. Agla support level 153.00 ho sakta hai. Yeh baat dhyan mein rakhni chahiye ke Forex investors recent strong selling operations ka faida utha kar buying opportunities talash kar sakte hain taake rebound ka faida uthaya ja sake.

EUR/JPY

EURJPY Trading Update

EURJPY currency pair mein abhi behtareen selling pressure hai, aur price ab 161.334 par hai. Mein apni sell positions ko continue kar raha hoon, kyunki market pehle key level 161.483 ko already cross kar chuki hai. Agla significant target level 160.671 hai, jo ek guiding beacon ki tarah kaam kar raha hai.

Current Market Situation

Bearish momentum abhi bhi strong hai, aur na to sell positions close karne ke indications hain, aur na hi naye buy trades consider karne ki zaroorat hai. Lekin do scenarios hain jo trading strategy ko reevaluate karne ke liye zaroori ho sakte hain:

• Break Above 161.483:
  • Scenario: Agar price decisively 161.483 level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh market dynamics ke shift ko signal karega, aur buyers ke control mein aane ka indication ho sakta hai.
  • Implication: Yeh breakout suggest karega ke selling pressure kam ho raha hai aur shayad reversal ya temporary halt in the downward trend ho sakti hai. Is case mein, agar upward movement continue hoti hai, to buying opportunities consider karna prudent ho sakta hai.
• Price Moves Below 161.483:
  • Scenario: Agar price decline karti rehti hai aur 161.483 level ke niche chali jati hai, to yeh suggest karega ke selling pressure abhi bhi control mein hai aur shayad intensifying ho raha hai.
  • Implication: Yeh situation indicate karegi ke market us phase mein enter kar raha hai jahan current downtrend shayad continue ho sakta hai towards the target level of 160.671. Is scenario mein bearish trend continue hota hai, to sell positions ko hold karna reinforce ho jata hai.

Trading Strategy

• Maintain Sell Positions:
  • Current Position: Continue to hold sell positions aur price ko key levels ke relative monitor karte raho. Focus abhi bhi downside target 160.671 par hai.
  • Stop-Loss Considerations: Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop-loss orders ensure karo. Price movements ke basis par stop-loss levels ko adjust karte raho.
• Considerations for Buying:
  • Breakout Above 161.483: Agar price 161.483 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh bullish trend ke potential shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. Assess karo agar naye buying opportunities market conditions ke saath align karti hain aur strategy ko accordingly adjust karo.
  • Continued Decline: Agar price 161.483 ke niche move karti hai, to bearish outlook ko maintain karo aur selling strategies par focus raho jab tak market reversal ke clear signs nahi milte.

Conclusion

Summary mein, EURJPY pair currently aggressive selling pressure experience kar raha hai, aur price 161.334 par hai. Immediate focus sell positions ko maintain karne par hai with a target of 160.671. Level 161.483 crucial hai: agar is level ke upar break hota hai to buying opportunities ke signal ho sakte hain, jab ke is level ke niche move hone se current bearish trend reinforce hota hai.

Key levels ke basis par strategy ko adjust karna traders ko evolving market conditions ko effectively navigate karne mein madad karega. Strong risk management practices implement karna potential losses ko mitigate karne aur trading performance ko optimize karne mein help karega.

4-hour chart par, price ek support area ke qareeb hai, jo weekly level 162.83 ke aas paas hai, aur saath hi red channel line ke kareeb bhi hai. Is haftay ke doran, price ne price channels mein trade karna shuru kiya hai, jismein ek channel ascending hai aur doosra descending. Lekin ab tak ke price movement se ye baat samajh aati hai ke price ne ascending channel ka ehtiram kiya hai, jis se is haftay ab tak ek ascending week bana hai.

Is liye, red channel line ek achi support ban sakti hai, jo price ko wapas upar ki taraf le aayegi. Aur sab se behtareen trading opportunity tab milegi jab channel line ke saath ascending price action banegi, aur tab buy karna munasib hoga.

Economic side par dekha jaye to Eurozone ka GDP growth rate confirm ho gaya hai. Jo announce kiya gaya uske mutabiq, Eurozone GDP ne dusre quarter of 2024 mein quarterly basis par 0.3% ka expansion dikhaya, jo ke pehle period ke barabar hai aur initial estimate ke mutabiq bhi hai. Badi economies jismein France (0.3% vs. 0.3% Q1), Italy (0.2% vs. 0.3%), aur Spain (0.8% vs. 0.8%) ne bhi quarter mein expansion dikhaya. Belgium (0.2% vs. 0.3%), Ireland (1.2% vs. 0.7%), Portugal (0.1% vs. 0.8%), Lithuania (0.9% vs. 0.9%), Cyprus (0.7% vs. 1%), Slovakia (0.4% vs. 0.6%) aur Finland (0.4% vs. 0.2%) ne bhi expansion dikhaya. Doosri taraf, Estonia (0.2% vs. -0.4%), Netherlands (1% vs. -0.3%) aur Slovenia (0.2% vs. -0.1%) mein GDP rebound hua. Lekin sab se badi economy, Germany, ne unexpected contraction dikhaya 0.1% ka, kyun ke industrial sector ab bhi high interest rates ke pressure se guzr raha hai. Latvia ki economy mein bhi 1.1% ka contraction aaya aur Austria ka GDP stagnant raha (vs. 0.2%).

Annual basis par, Eurozone GDP ne 0.6% ka expansion dikhaya, jo pichlay paanch quarters mein sab se zyada hai. European Commission expect karti hai ke Eurozone economy is saal 0.8% grow karegi, 2023 mein ek broad recession ke baad.

Yen (JPY) poore din, naye highs break karne ki koshish karte hue. Magar, yeh lagta hai ke ek wall se takra gaya hai, aur previously established resistance level ko push nahi kar pa raha. Yeh bears ko embolden kar raha hai, jo believe karte hain ke Euro weaken hoga. Woh price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin analysts short-selling bandwagon par jump karne mein cautious hain. One-hour chart par, technical indicators, jo future price movements predict karne ke tools hain, abhi bhi Euro ko upar jaane ke favor mein hain




Magar, ek warning sign saamne aaya hai. Yeh indicators shorter timeframes par weakness ke signs dikhate hain, jo overall uptrend se potential divergence ka signal hai. Problem? Yeh bearish signals pehle bhi bohot baar aayi hain, sirf Euro ki continued strength se defy hone ke liye. Traders yeh warnings se indifferent ho rahe hain. Lekin, ek different indicator chart par eyebrows raise kar raha hai. Bollinger Bands, jo price volatility measure karte hain, narrow ho rahi hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke ek potential period of consolidation aa sakta hai, jahan price kuch waqt ke liye sideways trade kar sakti hai. Agar Euro comfortably lower Bollinger Band ke andar settle karta hai, jo traditionally bearish zone mana jata hai, to yeh ek aane wale reversal ka zyada convincing sign ho sakta hai. Yeh consolidation woh opportunity ho sakti hai jiski bears intezar kar rahe hain. Agar Euro iss lower zone mein phas jata hai, to yeh short positions open karne ka acha time ho sakta hai, essentially betting on the Euro to fall. Lekin analysts warn karte hain ke bulls ko underestimate na karein, jo believe karte hain ke Euro rise karta rahega. Woh bears ko surprise karne ke liye kuch tricks apni sleeve mein rakh sakte hain before any significant decli