امریکی ڈالر/سوئس فرانک: شرح تبادلہ، خبریں اور تجزیے

M15 timeframe par dekhi gayi lineari regression channel ki chadhai ek bullish trend ko darust karti hai. Ye dikhata hai ke kharidar ki kafi sakht gati hai, jo ke bechne walon par dabaav dal rahi hai aur assets khareedne ke liye munasib shiraa'it paida kar rahi hai. Halankay ghalat fehmi ka imkan hai, mojooda market trend ke khilaf bechnay ki bajaye khareedne ke trend ke sath chalna, bechne ke muqable mein bohot zyada nuksan ko janam de sakta hai. Is liye, ek stop-loss strategy ko lagoo karna zaroori hai taake agar market trading plan ke khilaf chalay to mogheya nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake. Muntakhab stop-loss level ko 0.88724 par set kiya gaya hai, yaad rakhte hue ke nuksan ko qaboo mein rakha jaye ek qubooliyat mein rahe. Shakhsan, main 0.88724 ke darja ke neeche channel ka hadda muntakhib karne ka intezar karta hoon, ek kharid dakhil hone ka tasawwur karte hue, ek maqsood ko 0.88940 par set karta hoon, jo ke upper channel target ko darust karta hai. Bechnay ke mauqe upper channel ki hudood ke qareeb muntazir hain. Musafir ki salah hai ke sabr aur rukawat ke doran ek sudhar ko asal mein shuru karne ke liye intezaar karen. Ghanton ka chart lineari regression channel ko upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, M15 channel ko direction mein muntaqil karte hue. Ye hamare is aala ke bullish trend ko mad-e-nazar banata hai. Mera tawajjo channel ke neeche hudood par khareedne par hai, qareeb 0.88678 darja ke aas paas. 0.89211, upper channel had, tak barhne ki tawaqo hai, jahan potential market resistance waqoo ho sakta hai. Upper channel hudood ke qareeb lambe arsay tak qareebi ek inkaar ki taraf ishara deti hai. Main trend ke khilaf bechnay se guraiz karta hoon taake mojooda uptrend ko muqabla na karen, jabke upper momentum ke dair tak na retracement ki absence ko ishara deti hai. Is tarah, market dakhil hone ke liye ek pullback strategy ka istemal karta hoon, mazboot bullish khiladiyon ke saath mil kar bearish jazbat ko mazboot karne ki tawaqo ko tasdeeq karte hue. Ye tareeqa nafa ka imkan ko barhata hai

Tasalsul: Forex trading ke tezi se bhari duniya mein, faidaymand moqaon ka pehchan karna un traders ke liye intehai zaroori hai jo apni nafa mandi ko optimize karna chahte hain. Aaj, hum USDCHF trading ke dynamic manzar mein dakhil ho rahe hain, ahem support aur resistance levels ko tafseel se tajziya karke kamiyabi ke potential raste zahir karne ke liye.

Support Levels ka Tafseeli Jaiza:
Hamara tajziya sab se kam support levels se behtareen dakhil points ka pehchan karne par mabni hai. 0.88193 par strategy se mojood, ye support levels kharidari positions shuru karne ka aham mauqa faraham karte hain. Khatraat ko kam karne aur apne deposit ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye, ehtiyati tor par aik daanista stop loss jo ke kareeb level 0.88168 par hai, lazmi hai.

Strateegi Se Dakhil Points:
0.88193 par kamyab dakhil hone ke baad, traders 0.89223 ka nafa target hasil karne ke liye tayyar hote hain, jo ke munafa ko zyada karnay ka acha moqa hai. Mazeed, 0.88692 par nazdeeki support level se aik dosra mauqa paida hota hai, jis ke sath hi nafa target 0.89223 hai. Lekin, potential market ki girawat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue ehtiyaat se munafa kaar risk management intehai ahem hai. Is liye, aik muhafizana size ke sath shuruaati tor par mubashir rehne ki mashwarat di jati hai taake fluctuations ko behtareen tareeqay se guzara ja sake.

Risk Management Ka Qubool Karna:
Forex trading ke mozdawar duniya mein, risk management kamiyabi ka aik sutool hai. Risk kam karne ke tareeqon par pehle darja tawajjo de kar, traders potential nuqsan ko kam kar sakte hain aur nafa hasil kar sakte hain. Position sizing ka ek mazboot aur ehtiyaat pasand tor par rakhna, saath hi sahi stop loss ka mojoodgi, market ke buray rawayan ke khilaf hifazat faraham karta hai. Mazeed, chokas rehne aur tarmeem ke qabiliat, traders ko mustaqbil ki market ke shara'it ke jawab mein apne strateegiyan dinamic taur par tabdeel karne ki tawfeeq faraham karta hai.

Nafa Zadgi Ke Strateegiyan:
USDCHF trading mein nafa hasil karne ke liye, aik mukhtalif tareeqay ka amal lazim hai jo ke dakhil points, ehtiyaati risk management, aur sani hoshiyar faislay ko shamil karta hai. Behtareen market shara'it ka faida uthate hue aur technical indicators ka istemal karke, traders nafa faraham ke liye faidaymand moqaat ko khol sakte hain. Mazeed, aik mazboot dimagh aur pehle tay kardi gayi trading plans ka paas hona, forex market mein lambay arsay tak kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai.

Nateeja:
Ikhtiyarat ke mazeed karne ka nateeja yeh hai ke USDCHF trading ke uljhanon ko samajhna bazar ke dynamics ka mukhtasir ilm aur ehtiyaati risk management ka tajziya karta hai. Behtareen dakhil points ko pehchanna, mazboot risk kam karne ke tareeqay ko amal mein laana, aur market ke shara'it ke tabadil hone par muawin rehna, traders ko forex trading ke mukhtalif duniya mein kamiyabi ke liye mukhtasir karta hai. Mehnat, nisbat, aur strateegi ikhtiyar karne ki salahiyat ke sath, traders USDCHF trading mein faidaymand moqaat ko khol sakte hain.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:


Neechay ke channel se hum 0.8905 par wapas aa gaye, aur phir dakshin ki taraf chal diye neechay ke channel mein, jiska shuruaati hissa 0.8940 par shuru hota hai. lekin hum channel mein dakhil nahi ho payenge, hum raat ko ya toh border par rukenge aur naye range ka intezaar karenge, ya fir din ke shuruaat par vapis lautenge. kyunki aaj ke southern range ka ant 0.8900 par hai, chahe hum channel par bhi chhedak lein, hum phir bhi uske upar band kar denge. Agar jodi 0.8920 se waapas aati hai, aur samay par gadi aur gaadi chhoti hain, aur woh din ka ulta shuruaat 1.0888 par uttar ki taraf bhaage, toh hum uttar ki taraf tasdeek mil jayegi, aur 0.8910 tak pahunch kar upper channel ke border tak pahunch sakte hain, aur kyunki din ka range 0.8930 par khatam hota hai, achchi khabar ke saath woh bhi uttar ki range mil sakti hai aur woh channel mein bhi reh sakte hain. Wahan hum naye Wednesday ke range ka intezaar karenge, aur agar hum raat ko 0.8940 ke border par rukte hain, toh kal aasaani se 0.8950 tak pahunch sakte hain. Kal woh zyada tar neeche ke channel mein ghir jayenge uske neeche ke border par 0.8945.




Mujhe lagta hai ke humein 0.8940 chahiye aur isliye jodi dakshin ki taraf gir jaayegi, agar aaj din ka ulta shuruaat uttar ki taraf phat jaata hai toh. Amooman, jab tak main 0.8930 tak neeche intezaar kar raha hoon, toh din ka range neeche 0.8940 se thoda neeche khatam hota hai, yeh namumkin hai ke woh neeche ke channel mein dakhil ho saken, kyunki 0.8930 se mujhe vridhi ki taraf lautne ki umeed hai upper channel ke border tak 0.8910 tak. Agar uttar aur na ke dakshin ki tasdeek hoti hai, toh hum uttar ki taraf badhege channel 0.8930 tak, aur yahan woh channel mein dakhil ho sakte hain, kyunki range 0.8930 par khatam hoti hai, jo jodi ko channel ke andar raat guzaarne ke liye kaafi hai aur kal woh upper boundary of the channel ko 0.8940 par khatam karne lagenge, kyunki aaj ka satta, woh din ke range se 15 point zyada phek sakte hain, aur phir definitely upper channel mein rukne ka mauka milega.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:


USD/CHF ke chart par jab USD/CHF pair ne pehle se banayi gayi maximum ko halki si update kiya, toh woh kuch aise lag raha hai jaise ek bearish signal ban raha ho. Agar price upar jaati hai aur maximum ko update karte hue, upar ki liquidity poori tarah se khatam ho jati hai, toh is case mein is pair ki keemat ko aur upar le jaane mein koi faida nahin hai, kyun ke shayad smart money ke liye kuch bhi dilchaspi ka na ho. Agar aisa hai, toh USD/CHF ka scenario jismein ek southern shade ho sakta hai aur jismein price, mere figure mein diye gaye steps ke saath neeche ja sakti hai, around 0.8773 ke aas-pass jahan par paisay ke accumulated volumes ka level hai. Agar price abhi upar udd jati hai aur baad mein banaye gaye maximum ke upar pakka ho jata hai, toh is case mein agar aisa south execute kiya ja sakta hai, toh poori cancellation ho sakti hai.


Aaj, dilchasp baat yeh hai ke jodi ne kisi mazboot reaction ka jawab nahin diya, jaise doosri major currencies ne dikhaya. Pair ne haftay ki resistance at 0.8897 aur fast EMA8 at 0.8870 ke darmiyan ek tang range mein tairra. Ek option hai ke pair ne chhoti si pattern banayi hai jo ek brunette ki shakal mein hai, jo 0.8850 ke level tak le ja sakta hai, uske baad ek u-turn ho kar mazeed izafa ke liye. Agar 0.8897 ke upar pakka ho jata hai, toh yeh ek signal dega ke pair ka izafa hone wala hai, aur wahan targets 90s figures ke area mein honge. Pair abhi tak flat range ke upper limit par hai, jo thoda sa expand ho raha hai. Mere paas 4H ki EMA ek EMA ki shakal mein hai, aur sabhi price ke neeche hain, lekin haftay ki EMA50 abhi bhi resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai.

USD/CHF ke liye kal, neeche se upar tak muqami resistance level ko test karne ke baad, jo ke meri shumar mein 0.88860 par hai, qeemat phir se bhar gayi aur aik choti si mombatti ban gayi, jo ulta hogayi. Yeh janoobi taraf thi. Mojooda surat hal ke mutabiq, mujhe yahan abhi kuch dilchaspi nahi nazar aati. Beshak, muqami sahelayi harkat ka hissa ke tor par janoobi harkat ho sakti hai, lekin mujhe ek wazeh janoobi tasveer dekhna pasand hai. Aaj, main 0.88860 ke nominal resistance level ki nigraani jaari rakhoonga, jis ke qareeb halat ka tajziya kiya ja sakta hai. Pehla manzar jo ke muqami support level ko toorna shamil hai, jo 0.87426 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb, main muqami sahelayi trend ke tor par phir se ubharte hue mazeed izafa ki bullish alaamat dhoondhta rahunga. Aaj ke 0.88860 resistance level ke test ke doran keemat ke amal ka doosra tajruba, aik plan mein shamil hai jisme ke keemat is level ke oopar miljati hai aur mazeed shumali raaste par chalti hai. Agar yeh mansoobah kaam karta hai, to main keemat ko 0.89535 par moqooq karne ka intezar karunga. Agar keemat is resistance level ke oopar bahal hojati hai, to main mazeed shumali raaste ki taraf chalte hue keemat ko 0.90522 ya phir 0.91126 ke resistance level par phir se barhnay ka intezar karunga. Main in resistance levels ke qareeb trading setups ka intezar karunga, jo mazeed tehqeeqati tijarat ki taraf madad karenge. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed shumali raaste par barhaya ja sakta hai, jo 0.92408 ke resistance level par hai, lekin yahan aapko surat hal ka jayeza lena hoga aur sab kuch qisam par munhasar hoga. Picheedah khabrein shamil ki jayengi. Keemat ka amal aur keemat ke tay kiye gaye shumali hadafon par keemat ka kis tarah ka rad-e-amal hoga. Chhotay andarun, aaj mujhe khud ke liye kuch dilchasp nahi milta. Main zyada tar shumali trend ko jari rakhne ke liye rawana hota hoon, aur is tarah se main qareebi support levels se shumali setups dhoondhta hoon

USD/CHF abhi tak 13 February ke impulse candle ke andar trade kar raha hai. Jumma ko, mojooda unchi ki imtehan hui, phir ek taizi se kam hua aur rozana ki mombi candle pin bar ki shakal mein band hui. Aaj mujhe 1/2 NKZ tak kami ka tawaqa hai, lower atr 0.87847 tak. In nishanon se, agar khareedne ke patterns bante hain, to market mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Ahem support levels mein se, mein 0.87514 ko nikaarunga. Is level ke neeche trading din ka band ho jana trend ko neechay ki taraf tabdeel kar dega, kyun ke ye 1/2 NKZ ke neeche mazid jama ho jayega aur aakhri impulse ko ulte rukh mein ghol dega. Bulls apne khareedne ke positions ko sahara dene ki koshish kar rahe hain aur keemat ko mazeed upar dabaane ki koshish bhi kar rahe hain. Kharidar ke liye 0.88568 ke darja tak pohunchne ki khwahish bilkul jayaz hai. Market ke is hisse mein, behtar hoga ke

kharidar ki harkat mein shamil ho jayein aur unke saath unki lambi positions ko 0.88568 ke darja tak barqarar rakhein. Buland market ke shadeed uchhal-dauri aur tezi se barhne ke upar 0.88568 ke darja ke upar se, mein ek correcting giravat ke liye trade kar sakta hoon. Mojooda keemat se 0.88206 se bechnay ka moqa ab namumkin hai, lekin movement ke top se bechna (jab keemat 0.88568 ke upar hoti hai) ko kafi acha nateeja de sakta hai. Bhoolna mat ke USDCHF jodi abhi tak ek bullish momentum mein hai, aur is ke ant mein farokht sirf ek correction hoga. Isliye maujooda fundon ko paisay ke intizam ke tareeqe ke mutabiq taqseem karna chahiye

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:



USD/CHF currency pair using the Bollinger indicator and assessing the situation with vertical volumes. Meri nazar se, abhi pair 0.8870 par trading kar raha hai, long jaana acha moqa lagta. Mumkinah target indicator is at the top, at 0.8890 level. Ye level indicator ki dobara tameer hone ke natije mein thora sa tabdeel ho sakta hai, isliye choti si qeemat ka tabdeel hongi. Ye bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai, ki price ka rawayya indicator ke hawale se dekha jaye jo 0.8880 hai. If a reversal formation occurs and the mojooda quote falls below 0.8870, the main long position should be closed and a sell transaction should be initiated. Khas taur par agar bechnay wale apne positions ko mazboot karte hain, aur 0.8890 ke neeche price ko tasdeeq karte. Is surat mein, farokht ka target nichle curve ke border par 0.8915 ke level par relevant ho jati hai. Bazar ki bhaddal and shirakat karne walon ki fa'al harkat ke maddaayam se, aik naram aur jawabdeh strategy aur tabdiliyon ka jawab dena trading mein ahem tareen unsar banaate hain.
Taqat barqarar hai, and hum 0.8800 range ke qareeb ja sakte hain. 0.8800 ke range mein trading abhi resistance hai aur test ke baad, girawat jari reh sakti hai. Tawanai barqarar rakhne ke liye, 0.8890 ke range ki toorna zaroori hai. 0.8800 ke range mein ek farokht hai aur wahan se, tawanai jari rahe. 0.8845 ke range ka ek jhooti tor se bahar nikalna izazat hai, and aise ek tor ke baad, girawat jari rahegi. Farokht ka set abhi bhi jari hai, and 0.8700 ke range toorna mumkin hai. Ab tak ye sabit hota hai, 0.8005 ke range mein ek farokht hai jo girawat jari rakhte hue toorna hai takay ke rate ki girawat jari rahe.

Maine pehle se manzar ko pehle se bana liya hai, jaise ke ab waqt par lag raha hai, but yeh yeh nahi ke ek ya do dafa hone ka matlab hai ke is waqt aise tasveer ka koi technical saboot nahi hai. Main ise likh toon ga. USD/CHF has a significant margin. Aur yeh tab tak ho ga, toh woh doosre correction zone 1/2, 0.8770-59 ke neeche qadam jama lenge. Yahan hum peechle KM ko thoda neeche todenge, uttar ki technical breakdown lenge, and daily chart par khubsurat taur par nazar aa raha double top ka development confirm karenge.

Aur hum ascending channel ko chud denge. Aur neeche, is halat mein, hamare paas 0.8656 ka ek target hai, haftay ke daire mein yeh fit hai. No, not really. Humne ek gap down ke saath shura kiya. Humne daily pivot 0.8820 ko kaat diya. Bunyadi taur par is waqt uncertainty hai, whereas zyada tar uttar ke haq mein. Sir, aapke expectations tak wapas chale gaye, jahan se woh bounce back kar sakte hain, main ittefaq karta hoon. Baqi mera script, hum din ko kaise band karte hain; is par yeh nirbhar karta hai. Hum flat accumulation mein laut gaye, and qanooni tor par is se wapas lade. Is it true that upar uttar ki taraf jayenge? Chalo din ko neeche se lambi peech dari ke saath band karte hain, meri script toh kharaab ho raha hai.

Dakhhni ki taraf humein 0.8770 ke neeche band karna hai. Uttariyon ke mushfiqeen abhi se mojooda mein izaafi barhne ke signals talash karta hain. Yes, that is correct. Mera umeed aaj bhi dakhhin ke liye zinde hai. Chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke pehla darja regression line (golden dotted line), jo ke instrument ki taraf ishaarat deti hai aur maqsood time frame (time-frame H4) par mojooda asal trend ka haal dikhati hai, ooper ki taraf mojooda hai, jo ke analyzed instrument ke prevailing ooper ki taraf jaane wale trend movement ko darust karti hai. Ghair-linear regression channel (mudhrayi ya mukhrouj rangon se bhari lines) sidha ho gaya hai, and golden ooper ki taraf ka trend line ko ooper se neeche cross kar gaya hai, aur abhi dakhhini harkat ko dikha raha hai


Bollinger indicator and vertical volumes ka tajziati nazar aara hai, jo ke pair ab 0.8870 par trade kar raha hai, to long jaane ka moqa behtar lagta hai. Maqsood's nishana indicator is up, with a level of 0.8890. Ye level thori si tabdeeli ke ba'is par taqreeban tarmeem hone ke ba'ad badal sakta hai, choti si price adjustments ki zarurat hoga. Ahem, price ka rawayya indicator ke average ke mutabiq jo ke 0.8880 hai, kaafi mehtaat rakhein. Agar aik ulat chaal shakal banti hai aur mojooda qeemat 0.8870 ke neeche gir jati hai, to main aik chhote nuksan ke saath long position ko band karne aur sell transaction kholne ki sambhavna ko madde nazar rakhta hoon. Khaas taur par, agar sellers apni positions mazbootkarte hain, 0.8890 ke neeche price gir jati hai. Is surat mein, farokht ka nishana relevant ho jayega, ke 0.8915 ke level par nichli curve ki hadood par hogi. Market ki ghairatmandi aur shirkaat daron ki fa'al harkat ke pesh nazar thehranay ke doran, ek narmik aur tabdeeliyon ka jawab dena trading mein klidain element banaya hai.

Mazeed mazbooti jari hai, and hum 0.8800 range ke qareeb ja sakte hain. 0.8800 ke range mein trading bhi mukhalif hai, aur test ke baad girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Tawaqo karta hoon ke qualitative girawat jari rahegi, 0.8890 ke range ka tor karne ke liye. Trading is allowed in the 0.8800 range. 0.8845 ke range ka ghalat tor bhi mukammal hai, or aise tor ke baad girawat jari rahegi.Farokht ka set ab bhi jaari hai, whereas 0.8700 ke range ko torne ka mumkin hai. Abhi tak ye sabit hota hai, 0.8005 ke range mein trading hai, ki girawat jaari karne ke liye tori jani chahiye.

Technical Analysis of USD/CHF

• USD/CHF ki halat stable hai or traders ko 0.8600 level ko paar karna hai.
• Pair mein behtareen nishane aane lag gaye hain, lekin traders ko 0.8600 level se upar jaana hoga.

USD/CHF sideways trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.8910 ke upar rehne mein na-kami ka samna kar raha hai, 2023 ke aakhri mein 0.8831 ke upar 9 mahine ke uchayi tak pohanchne ke baad. RSI aur MACD dono pichle haftay mein barh gaye hain, jo behtar market sentiment ko darust karte hain. Kharidari waale beghairat 0.8750 ke darmiyan ki 20-dinon ki simple moving average aur ahem 0.8600 level ki taraf daur karenge, jo ke taza girawat ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level aur November resistance shamil karta hai. Agar keemat iss ilaake se guzar jaye to, aik girawat ka rukh 0.8700 resistance aur 50-dinon ki EMA ki taraf mumkin hai, jab ke is ilaake se oopar, kharidari waale 200-dinon ki EMA aur 0.8930 par 61.8% Fibonacci zone ko check karne ke liye dekhte hain.



Agar bechne waale tezi se agayi aur kabu mein aa gaye, to keemat ko foran March 2024 ki girawat ki rekha se 0.8760 par fori sahara mil sakta hai. Agar keemat girne ke chakkar mein rahti hai, to neeche ki taraf girawat ke daire se test hone ki tawaqqo hai 0.8625-0.8550 ilaake mein. Agar yeh ilaqa bhi toot jaye, to bechnay ka toofan 0.8500 tak phail sakta hai, jahan December 2022 se neeche ki taraf girne wali rekha mojood hai.

Bunyadi tor par, USD/CHF choti muddat mein stable rah raha hai aur darmiyan muddat mein bullish hai, jab ke March mein shuru hui uchhal ko jari rakhte hain. Agar 0.8558 ke oopar kamyabi se band ho jaata hai, to bullish palatne ke imkanat barh jaayenge. Warna, bechne waale naye lows tak keemat ko le ja sakte hain. USD/CHF ka rasmi qeemat is maheenay stable rahi hai, jahan pair 0.8853 par 50 aur 200 moving averages ke darmiyan nishast raha. Rozana chart ke mutabiq, agar pair buland hota hai, to nishana resistance levels 0.8962 aur 0.9105 honge. Dusri taraf, agar pair girta hai, to uski sahara levels 0.8550 aur 0.8391 par tawanai deni hogi. Yahan rozana chart laga hai:

H4 time frame par USDCHF mein dikh raha hai ke sellers ko buyers ke khilaf resistance dena hai aur price ko neeche dabaana chah rahe hain, jab price 0.8892 ke demand area mein dakhil hoti hai. Teen din pehle ek bearish candle ke baad ek bullish candle ka ubhar asal mein bechna ka sahi waqt hai. Subah tak aakhri shorat tak, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki lekin thodi mushkil se, neeche ek aur bearish candle banai jiski lambi body thi, matlab sellers ne zyada dominate kiya. Magar giravat ka maqsad nahi pohanchne ka pesh-goi kiya gaya hai, is liye yeh maan liya ja sakta hai ke yeh giravat sirf ek correction tak mehdood hai jo ke phir se oopar uthne ki kshamata rakhta hai, ek daily supply area ke maqsad ke saath jo ke 0.9000 hai.



Doosre mazeed madadgar data ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki line jo ke level 30 se neeche gir gayi hai, yeh ishaara hai ke market bearish trend mein hai. Pichle kuch dinon ke trading mein, price bullish direction mein bhi chali gayi thi. Aaj subah seller ka ek koshish hua jo ke abhi bhi price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish kar raha tha, lekin ab tak price dobara 0.8854 area tak gir gayi hai, seller ko market par asar daalne aur price ko ek bearish direction mein le jane ka pesh-goi kiya gaya hai, is liye agle trading session mein main bearish trend ke sharton ke mutabiq sell entry area dhoondne ki koshish karunga. Magar, dobara dakhilah zone aur maqsad ko yaqeeni banane ke liye main isay chhote time frame par dekhunga.

H1 time frame par, sell confirmation nazar aayi jab supply zone ko penetrate kiya gaya (engulfed) aur price ne 50 MA ko bhi tod diya. Haalaanki, jab pehla maqsad 100 MA tak pohanch gaya, phir bhi price ka 200 MA tak pohanchne ka chance hai. Is liye, agar price SBR 0.8865 zone mein dakhil ho toh main sell kholne ka iraada rakhta hoon jo ke MA 100 ke level ke barabar hai. Aur sach mein agar yeh MA 100 tak sudhar jaye toh dobara dakhilah karne ka acha pattern hai. Toh, ikhtitami taur par, main sell option par tawajjo di hui hai.

USDCHF H4 waqt frame par dikhata hai ke farokht karne walay keemat ko neechay daba kar kharidaron ko rukawat dene ki koshish kar rahe hain, ye tab hota hai jab keemat maqboolat wale ilaqe 0.8892 mein dakhil hoti hai. Aik bearish candle ki shakal ka zuhoor tain din pehle ek bullish candle ke peechay asal wakt hai sell khulne ka. Subah tak aakhir kefiyat, keemat ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki magar thori pareshani thi, neeche ek aur bearish candle bana kar lambi jism ke saath, matlab farokht karne walay zyada ghalib the. Magar, yeh pehle se hi darust hai ke girawat manzil tak nahi pohanchegi, isliye ye kaha ja sakta hai ke ye girawat sirf ek dorrection tak mehdood hai jo ke abhi bhi mazeed bulandi ke imkaan ke sath phir se uthne ka ho sakta hai, target ke sath rozana faraham ki gayi maqboolat wale ilaqe 0.9000 mein.
Dusri mukhtalif ta'eeda data ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index indicator line ke maqam par nazar dalne se jo ke level 30 ke neechay gir gaya hai, ye ishara hai ke market ek bearish trend mein ja raha hai. Pichle kuch dino ke trading mein, keemat bhi bullish rukh mein chali gayi thi. Subah ko ek koshish ki gayi thi jo ke farokht karne wale keemat ko abhi tak dobara neeche lana chahte the, magar ab tak keemat dobara 0.8854 ilaqa tak gir gayi hai, isse farokht karne wale ka market par asar dalne ka imkaan hai aur keemat ko ek bearish rukh mein neeche laane ka, isliye agle trading session mein main kosish karunga The SELL Entry ilaqa dhoondhne ka jo bearish trend shara'it ke sath mawafiq hai. Magar, dobara dakhil hone ki zone aur target ko yaqeeni banane ke liye main ise chhote waqt frame par dekhon ga.




Waqiye, H1 waqt frame par, aap supply zone ko tor kar farokht ki tasdiq dekhte hain (engulfed) aur keemat ne MA 50 ko bhi tor diya. Halankeh ye MA 100 tak phunch gaya hai pehli manzil ke tor par, lekin abhi bhi keemat ka MA 200 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai. Is liye agar keemat SBR 0.8865 ilaqa mein dakhil hoti hai jo ke MA 100 ke maqam ke barabar hai, to main farokht kholne ka irada rakhta hoon. Aur haqeeqat mein jab ye MA 100 tak dorrection hota hai to dobara dakhil hone ka acha pattern hota hai. To, ikhtitam mein, main farokht ka option par tawajjuh deta hoon.

Tajziya-e-Tijarat ka ikhtitam:
Farokht dakhilon ke liye, main keemat 0.8865 par dorrection ka intezar karoonga jahan stop loss 0.8880 aur take profit 0.8809 ke hawale se rakha jayega.
Kharid dakhilon ke liye, main keemat 0.8812 par pending buy limit order rakhoonga jahan stop loss keemat 0.8785 aur take profit keemat 0.8892 par hoga.

USDCHF FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS


USD/CHF is waqt aik janib ko trading kar raha hai, jo ke 0.8910 ke upar qaim nahi reh sakta, baad mein 2023 ke akhri mein 0.8831 ke upar 9 mahine ka qeemat tak barh gaya tha. RSI aur MACD dono pichle haftay mein barh gaye hain, jo behtar market sentiment ka aks dikhata hai. Kharidaron ka toh wazeh hai ke wo 20-day simple moving average 0.8750 aur ahem 0.8600 ke darmiyan ilaqay ko nishana banayenge, jo ke akhri downtrend aur November resistance ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level shamil hai. Agar keemat is ilaqay se guzar jati hai, to 0.8700 resistance aur 50-day EMA ki taraf barhne ka imkaan hai, jab ke is ilaqay ke upar, kharidaron ko 200-day EMA aur 0.8930 par 61.8% Fibonacci zone ko test karne ka irada hai.



Agar farokht karne walay taizi se barh kar control hasil karte hain, to keemat ko foran support mil sakta hai March 2024 ke downtrend line se 0.8760 par. Agar keemat girne ka silsila jaari rahe, to 0.8625-0.8550 ke ilaqay mein neechay ke boundary of the downward price channel ka imtehan liya ja sakta hai. Agar ye ilaqa bhi toota, to farokht ki lehar 0.8500 tak phail sakti hai, jahan December 2022 se neeche chalne wali trend line mojood hai.

Kul mila kar, USD/CHF choti arse mein aik mustaqil rah par hai aur darmiyani arse mein bullish hai jabke March mein shuru hui uptrend jaari hai. Agar 0.8558 ke upar kamyab bandish ho jaye, to bullish u-turn ke imkaanat barh sakte hain. Warna, farokht karne walay keemat ko naye low par le ja sakte hain. USD/CHF ka official price is maheenay mein mustaqil raha hai, jahan jodi 50 aur 200 moving averages ke darmiyan 0.8853 par qaim ho gayi. Rozana chart ke mutabiq, agar jodi buland hoti hai, to nishana resistance levels 0.8962 aur 0.9105 honge. Doosri taraf, agar jodi giray, to support levels ke nishane 0.8550 aur 0.8391 par honge. Yahan rozana chart mojood hai.

Swiss franc (CHF) ne America ki dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein aik hairat angez mukhtalif mojooda halat mein foran izafa kiya. Yeh tezi Jerome Powell ke congressional gawahim par aai, jahan unho ne qareebi mustaqbil mein interest rate ko khatra darja denay ka ishara kiya. Ye, sath hi mil kar, kuch nakaam America ki ma'ashiyati data aur behtar asar ke aane par USD par neeche dabaav daal gaya, jo ke USD/CHF jori ko kamzor kar diya. Taaza riwayat ADP rozgar aur JOLTS naukriyon ki dukaan dono aashaiyon se kam reh gayi, jis ne USD ke bullion ke jazbaat ko aur bhi kamzor kar diya. Magar, franc ka khud ka mustaqbil Switzerland mein sust inflation ke imkanat se dhundla hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke markazi bank zahiran kam interest daro ko barqarar rakhe gi, jo ke gair mulki maal ka dakhil honay ko rokay gi aur franc ko kamzor kar sakti hai. In fikron ke bawajood, December mein shuru hui izafa rasta par hai, jo ke mojooda 0.8765 par sahara par imtehan kar raha hai. January ki unchaai 0.8727 bhi ahem hai, jo ke buland dabaav ko asan kar sakta hai. Is darjeel se neeche girna is leval ko tor sakta hai, jo ke 0.8680 zone ki taraf keemat ko kheench sakta hai. Ye ilaqa aik ahem Fibonacci punar atraaf leval ko darust karta hai, jo ke tareekhi keemat ke harkaat par aik potenshal mawqay ko darust karta hai. Aur mazeed tezi se kami keemat ko 0.8545 ilaqa tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke doosra Fibonacci punar atraaf leval ke saath markazii hai. Technicalail numinde bhi ek bearish tasveer ka paigham pesh karte hain. RSI ka tajwiz hai ke 50 ke neeche giray ga, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche hee barqarar rahe ga. Stochastic numainde bhi ek neeche ki raah ko ishaara dete hain, bhalay hee wo oversold leval ke oopar abhi tak hai. Rozana ka chart February aur March ke unchaiyon ke darmiyan ek bearish keemat ka farq numaya karta hai. Jabke March ki unchaai February ki unchaai se zyada thi, lekin MACD is izafa ko naqal na kar saka, ishara dete hue ke ek kamzor bullish harkat aur aik potenshal rukawat hai. Mazeed, late February aur early March mein aik mumkin doosra top pattern ban raha hai jo trend ka ulta karne ke imkanat ko mazboot karta hai.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:


Kal, USD/CHF currency pair ab bhi urooj ki taraf lekin 0.8800 ke mark tak mehdood nahi raha, balke ooncha chala gaya. Abhi ke moqay par, keemat 1.09300 ke darja tak pohanch chuki hai, jo asal mein uttar aur dakshin ko taqseem karta hai. Agar hum is se ooncha torr sakte hain, to phir hum 0.8900 ki taraf barhte hain. Magar abhi mojooda darjat se khareedai mein thodi behtar mehsoos nahi hota, kyunki aise khabron ke jhatke ke baad, ek wapas chukav 0.8800 ke ilaake tak ane ka khud apne aap ko pesh karta hai, aur wahan se, agar kuch nahi hota, tab khareedai ki ja sakti hai. Aam taur par, kal mujhe bechne par itna yaqeen ho gaya tha aur lag raha tha ke wo 1.08 aur 1.07500 ke darjat ko lene jayenge. Magar phir bhi technology faldaan ban gayi. Wo uttar ko rad nahi kar sakte the, haan ke woh us ke bohot qareeb the. Theek hai, khabrein abhi bhi bearish taraf jaari hain.


Agar jora 0.8960 ke muqablay se guzarna sakta hai, to phir sab kuch hafte ke shuru se mutabiq hoga, jora 0.9000 ke mark ki taraf barh raha hoga, aur is hafte ke baqi dino ke liye, woh is tak pohanch sakta hai aur usay wahan pe ek hafte ki unchaai tak mukammal kar sakta hai. Agar wapas 0.8850 ke support ko torr sakte hain, aur kal ke low ko update kar sakte hain, to phir giraavat ka rasta 1.0810 tak hona zaroori hai, yehan pe aham support darja hai, iska tor kisi bhi tawaqo ko shikast de dega aur jorah agle mutasire kirdar ko jaari rakhega 0.8840 tak, agar 0.8810 hai, to yeh us jhatke ko rok sakta hai aur jora us se wapas kar sakta hai, mujhe umeed hai ke hum phir se 0.8930 tak lautenge.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:


Trading range ke resistance level 0.88845 ke breakdown ki fitrat samajh nahi aa rahi. Agar yeh "false breakout" hai, toh bears breakout area mein foothold hasil karte hain aur isey use karke daily ascending channel ki support line (trend line) ko attack karte hain breakout ke khatre ke saath. Yani ke hum asal mein purane trading plan ki taraf laut rahe hain, jahan price ko trend line ke sahi taraf fix karna bearish correction ka vikas ka matlab hoga jiska ek prospect hai ki daily range ke lower limit tak pahunch jaaye ga 0.87303 ke elev par. Agar bulls ke dwara resistance level 0.88845 ka opening ek reconnaissance in force hai, toh aaj bulls ko ek aur baar level ko test karna chahiye breakout area ke upar consolidate karne ke mauke ke saath. Yani ke hum daily trend ki bahaal hone ki tasdeek prapt karte hain sthaniya adhiktar ko par karke. Mukhya baat: 0.88845 par niyantran yeh dikhayega ki bazar mein raaj kis ke haath mein hoga, aur phir main is plan ke mutabiq adjust karunga.


USD/CHF currency pair aaj subah thodi izafa ke saath trade kar raha hai. Pair ek achhe downward movement ke baad correction kar raha hai jo ki kal ke parinaam ke baad hua. Budhvar shaam ko, pair ko moolya currencies ke ek samundar ke khilaaf giravat mein khaas taur par dikhayi di. Traditional safe instruments, jaise ki franc, mein investors ki demand bhi badh gayi hai. Aaj Swiss Central Bank ne interest rates par faisla karna hai. Zyadatar imkan ke saath, regulator kuch nahi badlega. Pair mein kuch movement mumkin hai. Warna, sabhi dhyaan American market ke khulne par hoga. United States se kuch ahem data aayenge, khaaskar, investors ko initial applications for unemployment benefits ke statistics ka intezaar hai. Is instrument ke liye, din ke pehle daur mein upward correction jaari reh sakta hai, lekin phir main umeed karta hoon ki downward trend jaari rahega. Expected turning point 0.8885 ke level par hai, main isse is level ke neeche bechunga target ke roop mein levels 0.8815 aur 0.8785 par. Vikalp se, pair growth ko dobara shuru kar sakta hai, 0.8885 ke upar jaake consolidate hoga, phir pair is week ke highs ke area mein laut sakta hai.

Jab USD/CHF ka jaiza lagaya jata hai, to market mein bullish movement ka imkan wazeh rehta hai, jo mustaqbil mein mazeed mazboot bullishness ka mawad hai. Yeh maloom hota hai kee dollar swiss franc ke muqablay mein mustakbil mein taqat ki taraf ja raha hai. Magar, khareedne walon ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyun ke mojooda surat hal overbought position mein hai, jo ulte ka imkan barha deta hai. Overbought positions mein, market ke buyers zyada ho jate hain aur yeh aksar ek trend reversal ki nishani hoti hai. Is wajah se, kisi bhi faislay se pehle intezar karna aur dekhna munasib ho sakta hai. Shakhsti taur par, agar jodi 0.87 ilaqa par H4 mombatti ko band karti hai, to phir se kharidne ka tawazon karna mujhe munasib lagta hai. H4 mombatti ka band hona ek potential entry point ho sakta hai. Is waqt, market ki taqat aur weakness ka pata lagaya ja sakta hai. Agar H4 mombatti band hoti hai aur price 0.87 ilaqa par, to yeh ek bullish reversal ki indication ho sakti hai. Yeh ek moqa ho sakta hai kee traders ko long positions lena chahiye.



Lekin, yeh tawazon rakhne ke liye zaroori hai kee dosri indicators aur signals bhi dekhein. Jaise kee RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). Agar yeh indicators bhi bullish signals dete hain, to yeh bullish movement ko confirm kar sakta hai. Agar nahi, to phir mazid observation aur analysis ki zaroorat hoti hai. Iske ilawa, risk management ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Stop loss orders lagana aur position size control karna zaroori hai takay nuksan se bacha ja sake. Market mein kisi bhi waqt unexpected events ho sakte hain jo price action ko asar andaz karte hain, is liye risk management ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Final tajziya yeh hai kee, jab USD/CHF ka jaiza lagaya jata hai, bullish movement ka imkan hai magar overbought position mein hone ke bawajood ehtiyaat baratni zaroori hai. Agar 0.87 ilaqa par H4 mombatti band hoti hai, to phir se kharidne ka tawazon karna munasib hai lekin dosri indicators aur risk management ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai.