usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka USD/JPY ko bara taur par dekha jaye, toh downtrend ko extend karein aur samjhein ke pair ne uptrend ko tod diya hai, aur agar trend badla nahi, toh pair ek achi correction ki taraf ja raha hai. 147.18 se neeche, kam az kam yeh technically hona chahiye, ya toh pair mojooda level par kuch dair tak stable rahe aur phir barh jaye, lekin correct ho. Yahan, khud US dollar market-wide correction ke liye tayar hai. Yeh girawat ruk gaya hai aur ab waqt hai 3-4% correction ka, toh growth zyada zahir hai, aur girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar pair 140.50 ke qareeb break karta hai, toh yeh lagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazbootlagbhag ek naya low aur ek mazboot level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun toh aaj ke US data par market ka reaction ajeeb tha. level hoga. Kal hum University of Michigan inflation forecast ka intezar karenge aur market ke ispar reaction ko dekhenge. Sach kahun

hai. European session shuru honay par humein charts par nazar rakhni hogi. RSI abhi 53.6393 par hai jo dikhata hai ke market uptrend main hai lekin aglay kuch dino main neeche ja sakta hai. MACD indicator 6.537 par hai aur low volume bar show kar raha hai. USD/JPY 20 aur 50 period ki exponential moving average kay upar hai jo bullish signal dikhata hai. Minor support aur resistance areas hain jo entry points kay liye use kiye ja sakte hain. Market ka rise resistance target 151.84 par hit kar sakta hai jo primary resistance level hai. Agar aap buy kartay hain to price range 161.40 tak target ki ja sakti hai aur teesra target 171.30 kay aas paas ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price girta hai to primary support level 139.83 par hai. Agar sell hota hai to doosra support level 124.14 par hai. Us kay baad, price teesray resistance level 101.10 ko test kar sakta hai. Technical point of view say, best approach yeh hai kay trend kay mutabiq short positions open ki jayein taake profit mil sake.USD/JPY ka impulsive price movement supply area 147.22 - 146.68 tak pohanch gaya hai. Is se price ko correct ho kar RBS area 144.29 tak girne ka chance milta hai aur phir wahan se upward rally continue ho sakti hai. EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko cross kar kay golden cross signal generate kiya hai, jo is baat ko indicate karta hai ke trend bullish hai. Stochastic indicator bhi support kar raha hai ke price correct ho. Parameters jo overbought zone 90 - 80 level par cross kar rahay hain, yeh dikhata hai ke overbought point ab pohanch gaya hai. Agar koi reversal candlestick pattern, jaise bearish engulfing ya dominant break, nazar aaye to yeh surety milegi ke price correct ho raha hai. Lekin agar Japanese Yen ka outlook weak hi rehta hai aur buyers profit taking nahi karte, to price increase ka rally supply area ko pass kar kay continue ho sakta hai.Trading plan ke liye behtari yeh hai ke abhi BUY moment ka intezar kiya jaye, kyun ke trend already bullish hai jab se golden cross signal aaya hai. Entry position RBS area 144.29 par rakhi ja sakti hai

Is aane wale Mangal ko, USD/JPY market ek aham challenge ka samna karegi jab yeh apni position 148.00-149.29 range ke upar barqarar rakhne ki koshish karegi. Yeh zone bohot hi critical hai taayun karne ke liye ke aage price kis direction mein jaane wali hai, khaaskar bulls ke liye. Agar price is range ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh bulls ko zaroori momentum de sakta hai taake price ko aur upar dhakel sakein. Ek key level jo dekhna hoga, woh hai 147.90 ka support. Agar price is support ke upar rehti hai, toh bulls ko aur zyada confidence milega ke woh price ko 148.00 ke psychological round mark tak push kar sakte hain.

148.00 ka level bohot ahm hai, aur iski significance ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh ek psychological barrier ka kaam karta hai, aur is level ke paar jaana market ko aur upar le ja sakta hai, khaaskar 148.70 aur 149.63 tak. Yeh levels historically important resistance zones rahe hain, aur agar price in levels ke upar jati hai, toh yeh aur bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai. Un traders ke liye jo long positions dhoond rahe hain, yeh levels critical milestones ke taur par kaam karenge. Agar price in resistance points ko break karke close hoti hai, toh yeh indicate karega ke market ek continued upward trend ke liye set hai.

Lekin, market ki movement is baat par bhi depend karegi ke kya bulls important support levels ko maintain kar sakte hain ya nahi. Agar price 149.00 mark se neeche girti hai, toh yeh ek potential reversal ya short-term retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is level ke neeche girne se bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur bears ke liye ek mauqa mil sakta hai ke woh price ko aur neeche dhakel sakein. Is surat mein, traders ko 147.90 ke aas-paas ke agle support level par nazar rakhni hogi. Agar yeh support break hota hai, toh market mein ek deeper correction ka imkaan ho sakta hai, jisme lower levels test ho sakte hain.

Aane wale trading sessions bohot critical honge market ke direction ko taayun karne ke liye. Bulls ko 148.00-149.29 zone ko defend karna hoga taake apna upward momentum barqarar rakh sakein. Agar woh is mein nakam rehte hain, toh balance bears ke haqq mein ho sakta hai, jo price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke jab price in key levels ke qareeb aaye, toh volatility barh sakti hai, aur unhe appropriate risk management strategies implement karni chahiye taake market sentiment ke sudden shifts se bach sakein.

Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY market ek faisla karnay wale mor par hai. 148.00 level ke upar support barqarar rakhna bulls ke liye bohot ahm hoga, aur agar price is se upar break karti hai, toh 148.70 aur uske baad ke targets dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Warna, agar price 149.00 ke neeche girti hai, toh ek bearish reversal ka imkaan ho sakta hai, jahan 147.90 agla critical support hoga.

Is haftay ki khamosh market mein USD/JPY ki qeemat mein halka sa farq aaya hai. European session mein, USD/JPY 148.72 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.36% ka izafa hai. Sawal yeh hai ke kya Federal Reserve ki meeting ke minutes November ke liye koi rehnumai dein ge? Aaj Federal Reserve apni September meeting ke minutes release karega.

Yeh session ek ahem mor tha kyun ke Federal Reserve ne 50 basis points ki cut ki, jo pichlay chaar saalon mein pehli dafa hua. Yeh minutes iss baat par roshni daal sakte hain ke Federal Reserve ne itna bara rate cut kyun kiya, aur aglay rate trajectory ke hawalay se bhi kuch clues mil sakte hain.

September ka rate cut tab aaya jab jobs report umeed se zyada kamzor thi. Hum Federal Reserve ke aglay action se kya umeed kar sakte hain? Guzishta haftay ki nonfarm payrolls report jo 254K thi, umeed se kaafi zyada strong thi, aur unemployment rate 4.1% par aa gaya. Yeh naye numbers Federal Reserve ke policymakers ko fikar mein daal rahe hain, kyun ke employment toh taqatwar hai lekin inflation gir rahi hai. Federal Reserve ke member Philip Jefferson ne mangal ke din kaha ke inflation aur employment dono ke hawalay se risk barabar hain.

Jefferson ne yeh bhi kaha ke woh har maheenay apna faisla dubara karte hain, aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke doosray Federal Reserve ke members bhi isi tarah karte hon. Market mein rate valuations hamesha badalte rehte hain, aur is waqt 25 basis points ke izafay ka imkan 86% hai. Yeh surat-e-haal guzishta inflation report ke baad tabdeel ho sakti hai, jisme September ka inflation 2.3% tak girne ki umeed hai, jo August mein 2.5% tha.

Japan mein voters 27 October ko elections ke liye jaenge. Naye Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ne apne daftar sambhalne ke sirf aath din baad election ka elan kiya. Ishiba ka chhota sa tenure is doran jab khatam hua jab unhone monetary policy se doori ikhtiyar ki aur kaha ke rate barhane ki koi zarurat nahi hai.

hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain

JPY pair ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai. Click image for larger version

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pair ne Asian session mein tight range mein trade kiya, jo ke kal ke closing levels ke qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai. Click image for larger version
Name: image_254653.

qareeb tha. Monday ko yen dollar ke muqable mein weak hua aur is movement ka sabab Federal Reserve ke aanay walay meeting ke hawalay se expectations hain jo Wednesday ko hone wala hai. Pair ne pichlay hafte ke aakhri dino mein girawat ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil hone ki koshish ki. Main nahi samajhta ke yeh growth continue karegi kyun ke yen ki demand abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Aaj pair US markets ke khulne ka intezar karegi aur important data bhi US se aane wala hai jo ke currency markets mein significant volatility ko janam de sakta hai. Pehle aaday din mein kisi barae movement ka imkaan nahi lagta aur correction upper side tak ja sakta hai, magar overall dekha jaye to downward trend wapas aane ki umeed hai. Reversal point 141.35 par expect kiya ja raha hai aur main is level ke niche sell karunga, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 par set hain. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke pair rise kare, 141.35 ka mark break kare aur merge kare, phir raste khul jayenge 141.65 aur 141.85 levels tak. BOJ ki policy rate aur press conference bhi sellers ke liye madadgar sabit hui hai, lekin abhi bhi buyers ka pressure market par hai. Is liye bullish journey wapas shuru hosakti hai. Hamein news strategy ka istamal karna chahiye aur market ko technical tor par bhi analyze karna chahiye kyun ke yeh tareeqa traders ko data ko gehraai se samajhne mein madad deta hai aur market dynamics mein tabdeeliyan anticipate karne ka moka deta hai. Global view rakhnay walay traders samajhte hain ke US monetary stance mein tabdeeliyon ka asar international economies, commodities, aur equities par kis tarah hota hai, jo ke diverse investment strategies ke liye mouqe paida karta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY market resistance zone 142.75 ko cross karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech, jo higher interest rates ko signal karta hai, emerging markets ke liye challenges khara kar sakta hai jo ke foreign capital inflows par depend karti hain. Jab capital US mein higher-yielding assets ki taraf flow karta hai during tighter monetary policy periods, to emerging markets par pressure parhta hai. Agar dovish stance adopt kiya gaya to yeh emerging markets par pressure ko kam karega aur global risk appetite ko boost karega. FOMC member Harker ka speech closely watched hoga kisi bhi hint ke liye jo Fed ke approach ke hawalay se ho, khaaskar balance sheet management aur quantitative tightening ke pace ke bare mein. Fed ki balance sheet reduction, jo assets ko sell karne par mabni hai, bhi ek important factor hai. Click image for larger version
Name: image_254653.jpg

Yeh ek psychological barrier ka kaam karta hai, aur is level ke paar jaana market ko aur upar le ja sakta hai, khaaskar 148.70 aur 149.63 tak. Yeh levels historically important resistance zones rahe hain, aur agar price in levels ke upar jati hai, toh yeh aur bullish momentum ka ishara de sakta hai. Un traders ke liye jo long positions dhoond rahe hain, yeh levels critical milestones ke taur par kaam karenge. Agar price in resistance points ko break karke close hoti hai, toh yeh indicate karega ke market ek continued upward trend ke liye set hai.
Lekin, market ki movement is baat par bhi depend karegi ke kya bulls important support levels ko maintain kar sakte hain ya nahi. Agar price 149.00 mark se neeche girti hai, toh yeh ek potential reversal ya short-term retracement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Is level ke neeche girne se bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, aur bears ke liye ek mauqa mil sakta hai ke woh price ko aur neeche dhakel sakein. Is surat mein, traders ko 147.90 ke aas-paas ke agle support level par nazar rakhni hogi. Agar yeh support break hota hai, toh market mein ek deeper correction ka imkaan ho sakta hai, jisme lower levels test ho sakte hain.

Aane wale trading sessions bohot critical honge market ke direction ko taayun karne ke liye. Bulls ko 148.00-149.29 zone ko defend karna hoga taake apna upward momentum barqarar rakh sakein. Agar woh is mein nakam rehte hain, toh balance bears ke haqq mein ho sakta hai, jo price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke jab price in key levels ke qareeb aaye, toh volatility barh sakti hai, aur unhe appropriate risk management strategies implement karni chahiye taake market sentiment ke sudden shifts se bach sakein.

Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY market ek faisla karnay wale mor par hai. 148.00 level ke upar support barqarar rakhna bulls ke liye bohot ahm hoga, aur agar price is se upar break karti hai, toh 148.70 aur uske baad ke targets dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Warna, agar price 149.00 ke neeche girti hai, toh ek bearish reversal ka imkaan ho sakta hai, jahan 147.90 agla critical support hoga

USD/JPY pair nay apnay pehlay nuqsanat ko reverse kiya aur Monday ko 0.09% ka halkay se faida hasil kiya, jo ke US Dollar ki nayi taqat se mazid mazbooti mili. Filhal yeh pair 148.59 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jab ke din ke low 148.08 ko hit karne ke baad bounce back hua, jo ke bazaar mein ehtiyaat ka izhar karta hai. Lekin, yeh pair ab bhi week ke aakhir mein anay walay aham economic data ki wajah se exposed hai, jo ke mazeed market movement ko trigger kar sakta hai.USD ki taqat ka aik bara wajah US Durable Goods Orders ka strong performance tha, jo ke August mein 9.9% month-over-month barh gaye. Yeh bara izafa tha, khaaskar June ke 6.9% decline ke baad, aur market ki expectation se kafi zyada tha jo ke 4.0% ka izafa tha. Yeh May 2020 se sabse bara izafa tha, jis ne US economy ke slowdown ke hawalay se kuch tashveesh door ki aur US dollar ko temporary boost diya.Federal Reserve ke officials ne bhi overall market outlook mein dovish comments diye. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker ne zor diya ke interest rates ko dheere dheere kam karna chahiye, jo ke Fed ki ehtiyaat se approach ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne kaha ke mojooda monetary policy pehle hi kaafi restrictive hai aur Fed ka focus ab employment targets hasil karne par hai. In remarks ne US dollar ke faiday ko limited rakha, kyun ke market ne mazeed rate hikes ke hawalay se apni expectations adjust kar li.Japanese side par, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne market ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke central bank ka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke long-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) ko sell karain, as part of apni interest rate adjustment strategy. Unho ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar JGB purchases ko kam kiya gaya tou yeh BoJ ke overall balance sheet ka aik chhota hissa hoga. Sath hi, unho ne yeh bhi bataya ke thodi interest rate adjustments ho sakti hain agar economic conditions bank ki forecast ke mutabiq hui, lekin koi bara policy shift abhi expect nahi kiya ja raha. Aagey dekhte huay, yeh pair ab ek aham downtrend line ke qareeb hai jo ke 148.00 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai tou mazeed declines dekhnay ko mil sakte hain, aur agla target October 4th ka low 145.93 hoga. Agar yeh level break hota ha

Aaj USD/JPY currency pair ki movement mein ek aham girawat dekhi gayi, jo ke price 148.17 se gir kar 147.48 tak pohanch gayi. Ye girawat us waqt hui jab yen ka exchange rate kafi significant tor par mazboot hua, jab ke data release hone ke baad household spending mein 0.6% ka izafa dekha gaya aur Japanese current account ab bhi 3.02 trillion yen par barqarar hai. Is wajah se USD/JPY currency pair ki price gir kar 147.48 tak chali gayi. Iske ilawa, aaj US dollar bhi halka ya thoda kamzor nazar aya jab consumer credit ka data release hone ke baad ye 8.9 billion dollars tak gir gaya, lekin dopahar ke waqt USD/JPY dobara barh kar 148.10 par chala gaya kyun ke yen ka exchange rate phir se kamzor hua jab economy watchers sentiment ka data 47.3 tak gir gaya, jo ke USD/JPY ki movement ko dobara 148.10 tak layi. Meri fundamental analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine aaj faisla kiya hai ke USD/JPY ko BUY karun 148.50 tak ke price par. Agar main technical analysis ke hawale se USD/JPY ki future movement ko dekhoon, toh lagta hai ke ye dobara barh kar 150 tak ja sakti hai. Is liye ke H1 time frame par USD/JPY ki movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle form ki hai, jo ke USD/JPY ko BUY karne ka kafi strong signal hai 150 tak ke price ke liye. Iske ilawa, jab main RSI 14 indicator ka jaiza leta hoon, toh pata chalta hai ke current USD/JPY price jo ke 148.00 par hai, overbought nahi hui ya yani zyada khareedari ka saturation nahi dikhata, is liye ye kafi mumkin hai ke USD/JPY apni barhavat jari rakhe aur 148.60 tak pohanch jaye. USD/JPY ko BUY karne ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support karta hai, kyun ke jab USD/JPY price 147.48 par aayi, toh ye already apni RBS area mein thi, is liye ye kafi mumkin hai ke USD/JPY ki movement barh kar 149.00 tak chali jaye. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine aaj faisla kiya hai ke USD/JPY ko BUY karun 150.00 tak ke price par.

USD/JPY

Foreign exchange market aksar volatility ka shikar hota hai, jo mukhtalif factors jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke tabadlon se mutasir hota hai. Jab currency pairs ka analysis kiya jata hai, kuch specific technical levels ahem indicators ke taur par kaam karte hain jo potential price movements ko samajhne mein madad dete hain. Iss context mein hum 144.00 aur 145.60 levels ke implications ko examine karenge is currency pair ke liye.
Jab ek currency pair 144.00 level ke qareeb aata hai, yeh traders ke liye aksar ek psychological barrier ban jata hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek tabadli ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ek short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai. Short-covering tab hoti hai jab wo traders jo currency pair ke against bet karte hain (yaani short positions lete hain), apni positions close karna shuru karte hain jab prices upar jati hain. Yeh buying pressure momentum create kar sakta hai jo price ko upar le jaye, aur shayad agle resistance area tak pohcha de jo 144.55 hai.

144.55 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ek short-term resistance point ko represent karta hai jise traders ghoor se dekh rahe honge. Agar price is level tak pohchti hai aur rejection ka samna karti hai, toh yeh profit-taking ya renewed selling pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo rally ke dauran hasil ki gayi gains ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair is level ko convincingly break kar leta hai, toh yeh further buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek ziada strong bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.

Lekin, traders ko longer-term upward trend mein confidence tab hoga jab currency pair key resistance level 145.60 ko overcome karega. Yeh level is liye significant hai ke pehle bhi price reversals is level par dekhne ko mile hain. 145.60 mark par shayad sellers ka intezar hoga jo market ke overextended hone ko dekhte hue profit kamaana chahte honge. Is liye yeh level aksar ziada trading volume aur heightened volatility ko dekhta hai.

Trading mein psychological aspect ko underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Resistance levels jaise 145.60 aksar traders ko apni positions par doobara sochne par majboor karte hain, jo market activity ko barha dete hain jab wo price movements par react karte hain. Agar pair 145.60 ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh ek significant momentum shift ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo further upward movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Wo traders jo pehli rally miss kar chuke hain, shayad positions lein, anticipating ek bullish continuation.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 145.60 resistance ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai aur retrace karna shuru karta hai, toh yeh ziada pronounced bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par rejection stop-loss orders ko trigger kar sakti hai un traders se jo breakout ke liye position le chuke hain, jo price par downward pressure barha dega. Aisi surat mein, focus neeche support levels par shift hoga, jo currency pair ke agle direction ko determine karne mein pivotal role ada karenge.

Conclusion:
Price action jo 144.00 aur 145.60 levels ke aas paas hoti hai, yeh currency pair ke potential movements ko samajhne mein bohot ahem hai. 144.00 ke upar ka breakout ek short-covering rally ko ignite kar sakta hai jo prices ko 144.55 tak le jaaye, jab ke 145.60 par key resistance ko dekhna zaroori hai for sustained upward momentum. Traders ko technical levels ke saath broader market context ka bhi dhyaan rakhna chahiye, jaise ke economic indicators aur geopolitical developments, jo price behavior ko impact kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ka price action hamari guftagu ka markazi topic hoga. Agar USD/JPY pair market khulne ke baad apni neechey ki taraf harakat jari rakhti hai, toh 140.62 ka volume level focus mein hoga, jo ke abhi ke price se neeche hai. Agar price is level ko pohanchti hai aur 140.62 par jamaat (accumulation) isse aur neechey girne se rokta hai, toh ek corrective pullback ho sakta hai. Iss surat mein, price 140.62 se upar uth kar 143.43 level ki taraf ja sakti hai, jahan par accumulated trading volumes maujood hain, aur uss area ko test kar sakti hai. Agar yeh test fail ho jaye aur 143.43 resistance ka kaam kare, toh hum ek tezi se reversal dekh sakte hain jo price ko recent minimum se neechey le ja sakta hai. Aane walay ghanton mein, humein mumkin outcomes ko monitor karna hoga. Technical analysis, jo forex neural network se support hoti hai, ek upward movement ko suggest karti hai jo resistance level 143.61 tak ho sakti hai. Buyers ke paas momentum hai jo price ko barhane mein madad de sakta hai, aur yeh primary scenario ho sakta hai. Asia ki Friday trading session mein kaafi currency pairs mein volatility dekhi gayi, khaaskar Japanese yen ke mazid taqat paane ke baad jab Japan ke naye prime minister ka dobara election hua. Halankeh naye administration ki policies abhi tak clear nahi hain, lekin initial market reaction yen ke liye positive raha. USD/JPY pair bhi yeh trend follow karta hua 146.51 ke resistance level se 143.01 ke support level tak achanak gira, jismein 350 points ka nuqsan dekha gaya, aur phir 100 points aur gir ke 142.01 tak chala gaya. Friday ko market band hone par, yeh pair lagbhag 142.19 par set ho gaya, jabke Monday ko opening 143.92 par hui thi, is dauran lagbhag 173 points ka total drop dekha gaya. Is week kaafi aaram se guzar raha tha jab tak Friday ki volatility ne market ko apni lapet mein nahi le liya. Aajkal yen kaafi unpredictable hai, jabke pehle yeh ek safe-haven currency ke tor par jaana jata tha. Halankeh main concrete predictions denay se katrat karta hoon, lekin technical analysis ek aur decline ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai jo support level 140.01 tak ya shayad is se bhi neeche ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY karansi jora, jo is waqt 149.20 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, haal ke trading sessions mein ek bearish trend dikhaya hai. Yeh neeche ka rujhan mukhtalif factors ka natija hai, jin mein market sentiment, iqtisadi asharyaat, aur central bank policies shaamil hain. Halankeh yeh girawat dheemi rahi hai, lekin bohat se traders ka yeh yakeen hai ke aane wale dino mein ek bara harkaati moqa mumkin hai, jo aane wali iqtisadi maloomaat aur policy tabdeeliyon se mutasir ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY ko mutasir karne wala aik bara factor U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki monetary policy mein farq hai. Federal Reserve nisbatan sakht rukh apna raha hai, jisme woh afraati mehngai ke khilaf maidan mein barqarar rehkar unchi shara-e-sud rakhta hai, jabke BoJ apni bohot hi moolayam monetary policy jari rakhe hue hai, jisme woh low interest rates ka istemal kar raha hai taake iqtisadi taraqqi ko barhawa de sake. Yeh policy farq rawaiti taur par U.S. dollar ko support karta raha hai, lekin halia taraqqiyat shayad is dynamic ko tabdeel kar rahi hain.

USD/JPY mein jari bearish sentiment donon central banks ke mustaqbil ke action ke hawale se market expectations ka aaks ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve rate cut ya pause ki taraf ishara karta hai kamzor hotay iqtisadi data ya afraati mehngai ke kaam hone ki wajah se, to U.S. dollar neeche ki taraf dabao mehsoos kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar BoJ afraati mehngai ke dabao ke jawab mein apni policy ko tight karne ka ishara deta hai, to yeh yen ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ko aur neeche dhakel sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, geopolitics aur global iqtisadi ghair yaqiniyan, jaise ke bara economics ke slow down hone ke khauf, forex market mein asar dal sakti hain. Risk-off sentiment aam tor par yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par faida pohanchata hai, jo USD/JPY ke bearish trend ko mazeed taqat de sakta hai.

Magar, halan ke ab tak ka movement dheema raha hai, market aik baray harkat ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Traders ko bohat close se ahem iqtisadi events ka dehaan rakhna chahiye, jaise ke U.S. inflation data, Federal Reserve ke meeting minutes, aur BoJ officials ke bayanaat. Yeh events USD/JPY pair mein tez harkaati shifts ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Aakhir mein, jab ke USD/JPY is waqt neeche ki taraf rujhan dikhata hai, aik bara tabdeeli ka imkaan barqarar hai. Market intezar ki halat mein hai, jahan traders central banks aur iqtisadi maloomaat se wazeh isharaat ke muntazir hain. Is tarah se, taiyyar rehna zaroori hai kyun ke kisi bhi taraf ka breakout mumkin hai. Aane wale chand din ya hafte mazeed bara harkat la sakte hain, jo forex traders ke liye risk aur mouqay donon faraham kar sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne 149.01 ki muzahmati satah ko todte hue zabardast faidah uthaya. Filhal, jodi is nishan se ooper mustahkam hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yah kamyab ho jata hai to, ek kharid signal paida hoga, jisme bulls qimat ko mazid ooper le jayenge. Agla hadaf 150.86 ki muzahmati satah ho sakti hai jis tak pahunchne ke liye kharidar bahut bechain hain. Halankeh, is tarah ke numaya muzahmati satah ko paar karna itna aasan nahin hoga. Iske alawa, bears har mumkin tariqe se muzahmat karne ka imkan rakhte hain aur jode ko niche lane ke liye har mumkin koshish karte hain. Lehaza, mai is imkan ko mustarad nahin kar sakta keh dollar/yen jodi ke niche jane ke sath, 149.01 ki satah se niche farokht ka signal paida hoga. Yaqinan yah kami pullback se zyada kuch nahin ho sakti. Aakhir kar, ek mukammal reversal ke liye zyada sanjidah eqdamat ki zarurat hai.