جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD ne European trade mein Monday ko 1.3050 ke neeche girawat dekhi, jisme US dollar ki thodi mazbooti usay dominate karne mein kaamyaab rahi. Is waqt market ka overall background is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke aage aur bhi girawat ka imkaan hai, kyun ke investors ab Federal Reserve (Fed) ke upcoming statements ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte ke dosray hissay mein, relative strength index (RSI) 4-hour chart par 50 ke neeche aa gaya, jo buyers ke confidence mein kami aur market ki uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Agar downside par dekha jaye, toh 1.2980 ka level pehla static support hai, iske baad 1.2960 ka support level hai, jahan 100-day simple moving average (SMA) bhi majood hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish sellers ko aur attract karegi, aur price 1.2900 tak ja sakti hai, jo ek round level aur static support point hai.
Upar ki taraf resistance 1.3090-1.3100 ke zone mein hai, aur 1.3050 ka level 50-SMA ke qareeb hai, jo ek aham resistance ka kaam karega. Iske ilawa, 1.3140 ka level 50-day SMA ka hai, jo ek aur resistance zone hai. GBP/USD ne Thursday aur Friday ko thoda pressure face kiya, lekin uske bawajood usne kuch faida hasil kiya, magar new week ki shuruaat ke saath hi price 1.3000 ke neeche gir gayi. Agar price 1.2960 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh aur bhi downside ka imkaan hai, jo agla leg downward trend ko zahir karega.

Pound Sterling ne pichle hafte ke dosray hissay mein apni position mazboot ki, jab ke isne euro ke muqable mein capital outflows ko capture karne mein kaamyaabi hasil ki. Iske ilawa, risk sentiment mein behtari ne GBP/USD ko upar push kiya, lekin Monday ko risk-off sentiment ne US dollar ko mazid taqat di, jis ne GBP/USD ko neeche rakha. US stock index futures ne bhi Monday ko halka loss dikhaya, jab ke Wall Street ke major indices ne Friday ko faida hasil kiya tha. Monday ko economic calendar mein koi aham data release nahi thi, is liye investors risk sentiment ke changes par apni strategy bana rahe hain. Agar US equity indices downward pressure face karte hain, toh US dollar apni strength ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye losses ko rokne mein mushkilat paida karega.

/USD pair ne apne haal hi ke modest recovery gains par aage barhne mein mushkil mehsoos ki, aur yeh Monday ki Asian session mein 1.3050-1.3045 ke aas-paas ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Haalankeh recovery hui hai, lekin spot rates ab bhi pichle hafte record kiye gaye one-month lows se kaafi neeche hain aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh 1.3435 ke aas-paas se chalu hone wale recent downtrend ko aur barhane ke liye vulnerable hain, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai. UK inflation ka achanak giraawat, jo April 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur Bank of England ke 2% target se neeche hai, ne November 7 ki meeting mein 25bp rate cut ke chances ko barha diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency markets December mein BoE se ek aur rate cut ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo pound ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske sath sath, US dollar (USD) ke liye underlying bullish sentiment bhi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazid zor deta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne naye hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai, jo early-August ke high se halka sa pullback rok raha hai. Market mein yeh bhari bharak chuka hai ke Federal Reserve agle saal dheere dheere interest rates cut karta rahega, jis se US Treasury yields uncha rehne wale hain aur dollar ko support milega. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical risks bhi safe-haven greenback ko support karne ka ek aur pehlu ban gaye hain.

UK ya US se koi market-moving economic data ke bagair, upar zikr kiye gaye fundamental factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, koi bhi intraday upside ko selling opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Bearish traders shayad 1.3000 ke neeche psychological barrier ko accept karne ka intezar karen ge, phir nayi trading positions kholne ke liye tayaar ho sakte hain aur 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf decline ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo is waqt 1.2960 ke aas-paas hai.

Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai

GBP/USD ka forecast:

Jummah ko, GBP/USD market ka trading range 1.30638 aur 1.30893 ke darmiyan raha, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke liye ek aham battle zone ban gaya. Yeh range significant rahi hai, kyunke is ne market mein dono taraf ka control hasil karne ke liye ongoing struggle ko showcase kiya. Tareekhan, is area mein sellers ne aksar upper hand rakha hai, aur GBP/USD pair par downward pressure dala hai.

Market is range mein fluctuate karte hue aage barhta hai, traders price movements aur potential breakout points ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. 1.30893 par jo resistance level hai, wo bulls ke liye ek tough barrier sabit hua hai. Jab price is level ke qareeb aata hai, toh sellers apni activity barh dete hain, taake price ko neeche dhakel sakein. Is situation ke nateejay mein market sentiment zyada bearish lagta hai, khas tor par agar resistance bullish attempts ke khilaaf mazboot rehta hai.

Agar current trend jaari rehta hai, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD ka price neeche ki taraf drift kar sakta hai, khas tor par 1.30684 aur 1.30757 ke levels ke aas paas. Yeh levels potential support points ko darshate hain, jo bearish momentum mein ek temporary pause de sakte hain. Traders is baat ko dekhne mein dilchaspi rakhenge ke market in levels ko dobara test karte waqt kaisa react karta hai. Agar price in support points se bounce hota hai, toh yeh renewed buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai, aur wapas resistance level ki taraf rally ka mauqa de sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar price 1.30638 ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh ek mazid bearish sentiment ko indicate karega aur further declines ka raasta khol sakta hai. Aise movement ka matlab hoga ke sellers ko market par zyada control mil raha hai, jo ke barhtay hue selling pressure ko shamil kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein, traders apni strategies adjust karenge, jisme short positions par focus hoga jab market bears ke haq mein shift hote hue nazar aayega.

Technical indicators bhi GBP/USD pair ke potential direction ko samajhne mein madad kar sakte hain. Moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur doosray oscillators traders ko market momentum ko gauge karne mein madad dete hain aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko pehchan ne mein madadgar hote hain. Agar indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke market lower range ke qareeb hote hue oversold ho raha hai, toh yeh buyers ko market mein enter karne ke liye entice kar sakta hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Market sentiment bhi ek aham aspect hai jo consider karna zaroori hai. News events, economic data releases, aur geopolitical factors ka GBP/USD pair par bohat zyada asar hota hai. Misal ke taur par, agar UK economy mein positive developments hoti hain ya Bank of England se interest rate hikes ki umeed hoti hai, toh yeh pound ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot kar sakti hai aur price ko upar dhakel sakti hai. Doosri taraf, negative news ya economic uncertainty currency pair par downward pressure ko barha sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain. Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Upar ka chart dikhata hai ke market pehle kaafi dheere chalti hai, lekin phir price phir se apne sab se unche level tak barh jaati hai, toh kayi buyers shayad isay aage badhane ki koshish karenge. Market ke volatility level mein baad mein European session ke doran izafa ho sakta hai, jo aksar is session ke doran hota hai. Price ki umeed hai ke wo kai baar overbought zone mein jayegi. Lekin, thodi correction ke baad, yeh phir se barh sakti hai aur apne asal value ko bhi paar kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai trading ka jab price gir rahi ho, bohot saari long positions kholne ka. Yeh zaroori hai ke reversal moment ka faida uthaya jaye, jo beech hafte mein ho sakta hai.GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai

Haal hi main, US ka monthly job data acha aya hai, jis ki wajah se US Dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai aur GBP/USD pair girawat ka shikar hai. Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai, jo August main pehle resistance point tha. Agar aur girawat dekhi gayi, toh 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.3186 par hai aur critical level jo 1.3100 hai, mazid support de sakte

Bank of England ke 2% target se neeche hai, ne November 7 ki meeting mein 25bp rate cut ke chances ko barha diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency markets December mein BoE se ek aur rate cut ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo pound ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske sath sath, US dollar (USD) ke liye underlying bullish sentiment bhi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazid zor deta hai.
US Dollar Index (DXY) ne naye hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai, jo early-August ke high se halka sa pullback rok raha hai. Market mein yeh bhari bharak chuka hai ke Federal Reserve agle saal dheere dheere interest rates cut karta rahega, jis se US Treasury yields uncha rehne wale hain aur dollar ko support milega. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical risks bhi safe-haven greenback ko support karne ka ek aur pehlu ban gaye hain.

UK ya US se koi market-moving economic data ke bagair, upar zikr kiye gaye fundamental factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, koi bhi intraday upside ko selling opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Bearish traders shayad 1.3000 ke neeche psychological barrier ko accept karne ka intezar karen ge, phir nayi trading positions kholne ke liye tayaar ho sakte hain aur 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf decline ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo is waqt 1.2960 ke aas-paas hai.

Technical indicators ab tak oversold conditions ko confirm nahi karte. Jabke Stochastic indicator 20 ke neeche gira gaya hai, RSI ab bhi 30 par oversold level se upar hai. Isi tarah, price ne bhi Bollinger Band indicator ke lower bound ko nahi chhua. Agar pair 1.3000-1.3040 ke neeche downtrend reversal ka signal deta hai, to yeh 2022 ka key support trend line jo 1.2917 par hai, ke qareeb shelter dhund sakta hai. April se September tak ke uptrend ka thoda neeche 50% Fibonacci retracement level jo 1.2863 par hai, wahan bhi downside pressure dekha ja sakta hai

GBP/USD pair ne apne haal hi ke modest recovery gains par aage barhne mein mushkil mehsoos ki, aur yeh Monday ki Asian session mein 1.3050-1.3045 ke aas-paas ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Haalankeh recovery hui hai, lekin spot rates ab bhi pichle hafte record kiye gaye one-month lows se kaafi neeche hain aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh 1.3435 ke aas-paas se chalu hone wale recent downtrend ko aur barhane ke liye vulnerable hain, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai.
UK inflation ka achanak giraawat, jo April 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur Bank of England ke 2% target se neeche hai, ne November 7 ki meeting mein 25bp rate cut ke chances ko barha diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency markets December mein BoE se ek aur rate cut ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo pound ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske sath sath, US dollar (USD) ke liye underlying bullish sentiment bhi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazid zor deta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne naye hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai, jo early-August ke high se halka sa pullback rok raha hai. Market mein yeh bhari bharak chuka hai ke Federal Reserve agle saal dheere dheere interest rates cut karta rahega, jis se US Treasury yields uncha rehne wale hain aur dollar ko support milega. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical risks bhi safe-haven greenback ko support karne ka ek aur pehlu ban gaye hain.

UK ya US se koi market-moving economic data ke bagair, upar zikr kiye gaye fundamental factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, koi bhi intraday upside ko selling opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Bearish traders shayad 1.3000 ke neeche psychological barrier ko accept karne ka intezar karen ge, phir nayi trading positions kholne ke liye tayaar ho sakte hain aur 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf decline ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo is waqt 1.2960 ke aas-paas hai.

Technical indicators ab tak oversold conditions ko confirm nahi karte. Jabke Stochastic indicator 20 ke neeche gira gaya hai, RSI ab bhi 30 par oversold level se upar hai. Isi tarah, price ne bhi Bollinger Band indicator ke lower bound ko nahi chhua. Agar pair 1.3000-1.3040 ke neeche downtrend reversal ka signal deta hai, to yeh 2022 ka key support trend line jo 1.2917 par hai, ke qareeb shelter dhund sakta hai. April se September tak ke uptrend ka thoda

GBP/USD pair ne apne haal hi ke modest recovery gains par aage barhne mein mushkil mehsoos ki, aur yeh Monday ki Asian session mein 1.3050-1.3045 ke aas-paas ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Haalankeh recovery hui hai, lekin spot rates ab bhi pichle hafte record kiye gaye one-month lows se kaafi neeche hain aur aisa lagta hai ke yeh 1.3435 ke aas-paas se chalu hone wale recent downtrend ko aur barhane ke liye vulnerable hain, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level hai. UK inflation ka achanak giraawat, jo April 2021 ke baad se sabse kam hai aur Bank of England ke 2% target se neeche hai, ne November 7 ki meeting mein 25bp rate cut ke chances ko barha diya hai. Iske ilawa, currency markets December mein BoE se ek aur rate cut ki umeed laga rahe hain, jo pound ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Iske sath sath, US dollar (USD) ke liye underlying bullish sentiment bhi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye bearish outlook ko mazid zor deta hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne naye hafte ka aghaz positive note par kiya hai, jo early-August ke high se halka sa pullback rok raha hai. Market mein yeh bhari bharak chuka hai ke Federal Reserve agle saal dheere dheere interest rates cut karta rahega, jis se US Treasury yields uncha rehne wale hain aur dollar ko support milega. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical risks bhi safe-haven greenback ko support karne ka ek aur pehlu ban gaye hain.

UK ya US se koi market-moving economic data ke bagair, upar zikr kiye gaye fundamental factors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan raasta neeche ki taraf hai. Is liye, koi bhi intraday upside ko selling opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Bearish traders shayad 1.3000 ke neeche psychological barrier ko accept karne ka intezar karen ge, phir nayi trading positions kholne ke liye tayaar ho sakte hain aur 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf decline ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo is waqt 1.2960 ke aas-paas hai.

GBP/USD ke H1 timeframe per analysis se kuch interesting movement samnay aa rahi hai. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne recently downward trend follow kiya hai, jahan price ne 1.3100 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya aur wahan se girawat dekhne ko mili. Filhaal, price 1.2980 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, jahan se ek choti si bounce nazar aa rahi hai. Chart per hum dekh sakte hain ke moving averages (MA) ke niche price trade ho rahi hai, jo short-term bearish trend ko indicate karti hai. Specifically, yellow aur white MA lines ke niche price ka movement clear hai. Jab tak price in moving averages ke upar close nahi karti, tab tak selling pressure barqarar reh sakta hai. Is waqt RSI indicator bhi oversold nahi hai, jo batata hai ke selling abhi over-extended nahi hui, lekin RSI 40 ke qareeb hai, jo potential recovery ka signal bhi day raha hai. Lekin agar price 1.2977 ke support level se break karti hai, to next target 1.2960 ke qareeb hoga.
Agar buyers wapas market mein aatay hain aur price ko 1.3035 ke aas-paas tak le jatay hain, to bullish sentiment wapas aa sakti hai. Wahan se 1.3075 aur 1.3100 ke levels tak ki upper targets honge. Magar filhal, price ek consolidation phase mein lagti hai, jahan support aur resistance ke beech range-bound trading possible hai. Summary yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ko abhi selling pressure ka samna hai, lekin agar support levels se koi bounce hoti hai to buyers ke liye kuch opportunities create ho sakti hain. Price ka moving averages ke upar close karna zaroori hoga bullish reversal ke liye, jab ke 1.2977 ke support ka breakdown bearish momentum ko aur extend kar sakta hai.
Trading Tip:
Agar price 1.2977 ka support todti hai, to sellers ke liye acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price upar ki taraf jati hai aur 1.3035 ke upar sustain hoti hai, to buying opportunities ko explore karna chahiye. Yeh post GBP/USD ke H1 chart ka ek detailed analysis hai jo aapko market ke ainday ke movements ke liye tayar rehne mein madad karay ga.

Is waqt ka market scenario currency pair ke liye aik ahem moqa highlight karta hai, jahan 1.30000 ka level ek pivotal liquidity zone ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ke continuation ko confirm kar sakta hai, aur niche ke targets, jaise ke 1.29500 ya us se bhi neeche, ka imkaan ban sakta hai. Yeh pehle se established demand areas ke sath align karta hai, jahan buying interest ubhar sakta hai. Is context mein, lagta hai ke bears ab bhi control mein hain, aur traders ko further bearish momentum ke signs ke liye hoshiar rehna chahiye.Iske baraks, agar price rally kar ke 1.31000 resistance ke upar break hota hai, to yeh market sentiment mein aik shift ko signal kar sakta hai, jisse bullish retracement ka imkaan hai. Yeh move Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone ko target karega, jo buyers ke liye market mein dobara daakhil hone ka mauqa faraham karega. Aik push 1.31500 aur 1.32500 ke darmiyan levels tak ja sakta hai, jahan traders bullish momentum ka faida uthaenge.Filhal, market consolidation phase mein hai, jo indecision aur uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Bulls aur bears dono key levels, khaaskar 1.30000 aur 1.31000 ke qareeb, ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Yeh consolidation yeh dikhata hai ke liquidity accumulate ho rahi hai, jo aglay significant price movement ke liye raasta bana rahi hai. Bulls aur bears ke darmiyan jang waazeh hai, dono apni positions ko validate karne ke liye momentum ka intizaar kar rahe hain.Traders ke liye yeh consolidation ka period qeemti opportunities faraham kar sakta hai. Agar price 1.30000 ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish strategy ko trigger kar sakta hai, jab ke 1.31000 ke upar break focus ko bullish plays ki taraf shift kar sakta hai. FVG zone buyers ke liye ek critical target rahega, lekin yeh maan lena zaroori hai ke jab tak price 1.31000 ke neeche hai, bears ka upper hand barkarar hai. In levels ko closely monitor karna aglay significant move ko anticipate karne ke liye ahem hoga is evolving market landscape mein.

GBP/USD ka tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ke jode ke muqable me pound/dollar ke jode me nayi nichli satah tak pahunche beghair islah me dakhil hone ka zyada imkan hai. Iski wajah yah hai keh kal, pound/dollar ke jode ne haftawar chart par 1.2954 par waqe manfi hadaf aur mumkena support satah ka test kiya. Jabkeh kal ki nichli satah ka dobara test mumkin hai, imkan nahin hai keh ham koi numaya nichli satah dekhenge. Halankeh, chart par maujudah qimat ki satah ke nisbat darmiyani muddat ka trend support filhal 1.2915 par hai.
Is waqt, market ek bahut hi muqami downtrend channel ke andar aage badh rahi, lehaza kisi bhi pullback ko farokht ke mauqe ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar qimat haftawar pivot 1.3041 aur 1.3052 ki afqi satah se ooper jati hai aur mustahkam hoti hai , jo muzahmat ke taur par bhi kam karta hai to, qalil muddati mandi ke rujhan me waqfe par bhi tabadla khayal kiya ja sakta hai.
Aaj, European session shuru hone se pahle, jodi me girawat aane ka imkan hai, jiske bad kal ki nichli satah ka dobara test karne ke liye girawat dobara shuru hoga, mumkena taur par ek mamuli nayi nichli satah ke sath.

اکتوبر 23 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

منگل کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ گرین پرائس چینل کی نچلی حد تک نہیں پہنچا، کیونکہ قیمت تیزی سے اوپر کی طرف دھکیل دی گئی۔ جب تک قیمت 1.2994 پر قریب ترین مزاحمت کے اوپر مستحکم نہیں ہوتی ہے، یہ اس ہدف تک پہنچنے کے لیے اسی طرح کی تیزی سے کمی کے امکان کو برقرار رکھتی ہے۔



قیمت میں 1.2925 تک بقیہ رینج کے ذریعے مستقل دھکیلنے کے لیے وسائل کی کمی ہے، کیونکہ مارلن آسیلیٹر اوپر کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے، اگرچہ بہت معمولی کنورجنس کے ساتھ۔ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف بڑھ رہا ہے، اور قیمت فی الحال ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر ہے، 1.2994 مزاحمت تک پہنچنے کے لیے 20 سے کم پپس باقی ہیں۔

یہ تمام عوامل قیمت کو 1.2994 کی سطح سے اوپر جانے اور 1.3080 ہدف کی طرف بڑھنے سے روکتے ہیں۔ بیرونی منڈیاں ملی جلی رہیں، بغیر کسی متحد خطرے سے دور کے اقدام کے: ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں کل 0.05% کی کمی ہوئی، تیل میں 2.00% کا اضافہ ہوا، سونے میں 0.79% کا اضافہ ہوا، اور امریکی حکومت کے بانڈز پر پیداوار آہستہ آہستہ بڑھ رہی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Jummah ko, GBP/USD market ka trading range 1.30638 aur 1.30893 ke darmiyan raha, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke liye ek aham battle zone ban gaya. Yeh range significant rahi hai, kyunke is ne market mein dono taraf ka control hasil karne ke liye ongoing struggle ko showcase kiya. Tareekhan, is area mein sellers ne aksar upper hand rakha hai, aur GBP/USD pair par downward pressure dala hai.

Market is range mein fluctuate karte hue aage barhta hai, traders price movements aur potential breakout points ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. 1.30893 par jo resistance level hai, wo bulls ke liye ek tough barrier sabit hua hai. Jab price is level ke qareeb aata hai, toh sellers apni activity barh dete hain, taake price ko neeche dhakel sakein. Is situation ke nateejay mein market sentiment zyada bearish lagta hai, khas tor par agar resistance bullish attempts ke khilaaf mazboot rehta hai.

Agar current trend jaari rehta hai, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD ka price neeche ki taraf drift kar sakta hai, khas tor par 1.30684 aur 1.30757 ke levels ke aas paas. Yeh levels potential support points ko darshate hain, jo bearish momentum mein ek temporary pause de sakte hain. Traders is baat ko dekhne mein dilchaspi rakhenge ke market in levels ko dobara test karte waqt kaisa react karta hai. Agar price in support points se bounce hota hai, toh yeh renewed buying interest ko signal kar sakta hai, aur wapas resistance level ki taraf rally ka mauqa de sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar price 1.30638 ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh ek mazid bearish sentiment ko indicate karega aur further declines ka raasta khol sakta hai. Aise movement ka matlab hoga ke sellers ko market par zyada control mil raha hai, jo ke barhtay hue selling pressure ko shamil kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein, traders apni strategies adjust karenge, jisme short positions par focus hoga jab market bears ke haq mein shift hote hue nazar aayega.

Technical indicators bhi GBP/USD pair ke potential direction ko samajhne mein madad kar sakte hain. Moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur doosray oscillators traders ko market momentum ko gauge karne mein madad dete hain aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko pehchan ne mein madadgar hote hain. Agar indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke market lower range ke qareeb hote hue oversold ho raha hai, toh yeh buyers ko market mein enter karne ke liye entice kar sakta hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Market sentiment bhi ek aham aspect hai jo consider karna zaroori hai. News events, economic data releases, aur geopolitical factors ka GBP/USD pair par bohat zyada asar hota hai. Misal ke taur par, agar UK economy mein positive developments hoti hain ya Bank of England se interest rate hikes ki umeed hoti hai, toh yeh pound ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot kar sakti hai aur price ko upar dhakel sakti hai. Doosri taraf, negative news ya economic uncertainty currency pair par downward pressure ko barha sakti hai.

Technical Analysis

Pound Sterling apne aksar peers ke muqable mein upar ja raha hai, jabke BoE ki Greene ne UK ki inflation ke girne ki wajah soft volatile components ko bataya. Investors BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ki taqreer aur flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo October ke liye hai.

IMF ne is saal aur agle saal ke liye US growth projections ko upar ki taraf revise kiya hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) apne aksar peers par behtar performance de raha hai, siwa US Dollar (USD) aur Canadian Dollar (CAD) ke, Wednesday ko. British currency ko Bank of England (BoE) ke Monetary Policy Committee ki member Megan Greene ke thode hawkish interest rate guidance ka faida mila, jo Atlantic Council think-tank ke sath IMF ki meeting ke doran kiya gaya.

"Main sochti hoon ke sabse zyada mumkin hai ke monetary policy ko lagataar dabao daalna hoga taake inflation ko target tak laya ja sake," Greene ne kaha. Jab unse pucha gaya ke UK inflation ka haal hi mein girna unke vote ko November ki monetary policy par asar daalega ya nahi, to Greene ne kaha ke inflation mein sharp girawat volatile components ki wajah se thi. Isliye, wo inhein zyada ahmiyat nahi dena chahti.

Investors ko yaad rakhna chahiye ke Greene un char Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members mein se thi jinhein August mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ke liye vote diya tha, jahan BoE ne inhein 25 basis points (bps) se ghatakar 5% kar diya tha.

Pound Sterling ka agla trigger BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ki taqreer hoga, jo 18:45 GMT par scheduled hai. Investors is par nazar rakhain ge taake November aur December ki monetary policy action ke bare mein naye cues mil sakein. Is dauran, traders ne November mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeed rakhi hui hai.

Economic front par, market participants flash S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data par tawajjoh denge, jo Thursday ko publish hoga. PMI report se umeed hai ke ye dikhayegi ke overall business activity ek moderate pace par barh rahi hai.

Pound Sterling European trading hours mein 1.3000 ke psychological level ke neeche rehta hai. GBP/USD pair ka outlook bearish hai kyunki ye 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, jo ke 1.3080 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke aas-paas gir raha hai, jo bearish momentum ka ishara de raha hai.

Niche ki taraf, upward-sloping trendline jo April 22 ke low 1.2300 se draw ki gayi hai, Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek major support zone banegi jo 1.2920 ke aas-paas hai. Is level ke neeche girawat hone par pair 200-day EMA ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo 1.2845 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Upar ki taraf, Cable ko 20-day EMA ke aas-paas 1.3110 par resistance ka samna karna padega.