جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga. GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

GBP/USD ki hourly chart par, yeh nazar aata hai ke pair downtrend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh ye nahi kehne ka matlab hai ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Yeh pair mukhtalif hafto se side movement dikha raha hai aur pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka hai. Isi tarah, British currency phir se buland ho rahi hai aur overall, yeh behtareen aur aksar gair mantiki harkatein dikha rahi hai.
Aaj, is haftay ki trading ki aakhri din par, hum GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.

Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.

Kal, GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal tashkeel kiya. Euro ki tarah, keemat ne 1.2748 ke darje ko paar karne ki koshish 5-6 ghanton tak ki, jab yeh kamiyab hui, pair tezi se nahi badha kyun keh volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Magar aap long position raat bhar tak rakh sakte the, kyun keh pair kamzor harkat dikhata hai aur ek din ke andar signal ko anjam dene ka aitmaad na karna na mumkin tha

GBP/USD Currency Pair ka Market Outlook:

Thursday ko GBP/USD currency pair mein setback dekhne ko mila, jo critical 1.3000 level se niche gir gaya. Yeh downturn us robust rally ke baad aaya jo hafta ke aghaz mein hui thi, jo heightened expectations ki wajah se thi ke Federal Reserve jald hi interest rate cut karega. Jaisay hi market sentiment badla, investors ne ehtiyaat se kaam liya, jis se US dollar ko kuch ground wapas mil gaya. Jab ke UK unemployment claims mein thodi behtari dekhne ko mili, overall economic data zyada tar forecasts ke sath line mein rahi. Doosri taraf, US jobless claims mein izafa hone se economic slowdown ka speculation barh gaya, jo Fed rate reduction ke case ko mazboot banata hai. Market participants ab eagerly UK retail sales figures ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hongi, jo pichle mahine ke growth ke muqable mein contraction dikhane ki umeed hai. September rate cut ke likelihood mein izafa ek dominant theme ban gaya hai market mein. Jab ke is move ki expectations lagbhag yaqini ban chuki hain, investor ka focus ab reduction ke magnitude par shift ho raha hai. Jab ke labor market weakening dikhata hai, zyada substantial rate cut ke bets gaining traction mein hain.

Technically, GBP/USD pair apne 12-month high 1.3044 se pull back hua hai, jo upward momentum loss ko indicate karta hai. 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2922 ab ek key support level hai. Agar yeh point sustain nahi hota aur decline hota hai, to downward pressure intensify ho sakta hai, jo pair ko 200-day EMA 1.2621 ki taraf drive kar sakta hai. Magar, given ke current position long-term moving average ke upar hai, ek bullish rebound 1.2800 level se mumkin hai, khaaskar 50-day EMA 1.2754 par support offer kar raha hai. Yeh scenario sellers ke liye MACD middle line 1.2733 ke around pohanchne ka darwaza khol dega.

Aaj ka GBP/USD Technical Snapshot British Pound (GBP) ka US Dollar (USD) ke against outlook southern direction mein developments par focus hai, yani pound ki kamzori. Yeh long-term trend central bank policies ke anticipated difference ki wajah se hai jo UK aur US mein hai. Bank of England (BOE) apna refinancing rate kam karne ka plan bana raha hai, jo asal mein borrowing cost ko businesses aur individuals ke liye kam karta hai. Yeh move UK economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hai. Magar, Federal Reserve System (Fed) US mein apna rate barqarar rakh raha hai, taake inflation se lar sake
Kal ki Jerome Powell, Chair of the Fed, ki speech kaafi significant thi. Unho ne premature rate cuts ke khilaf apni stance dohrayi, aur zarurat par zor diya ke inflation ke slow hone ke clear evidence se pehle aisa na kiya jaye. Yeh hawkish stance USD ko GBP ke muqablay mazboot banata hai, jo apni rate policy ke sath accommodative hai. Jab crucial US inflation data Thursday ko release hoga, do potential scenarios GBP/USD currency pair ke liye saamne aate hain. Is scenario mein, GBP/USD price apne current support level 1.2761 ke neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh tab hoga agar US inflation data expectations se lower aaye, magar Fed ke target se upar rahe.
Aisa result Fed ko rate hike consider karne ka sign samjha ja sakta hai, jo interest rate gap ko US aur UK ke darmiyan aur barhata hai. Agar yeh breakout smoothly hota hai, toh price phir 1.2700 ke agle support level ki taraf apni southward journey continue kar sakti hai. Yeh scenario four-hour chart ke technical indicators aur upar mentioned fundamental factors se align karta hai. Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke GBP/USD price 1.2761 support level ke upar rahe. Yeh tab hoga agar US inflation data significant slowdown dikhaye, jo market ko yeh samajhne par majboor kare ke Fed rate cut jald aasakta hai.
Is case mein, hum price mein ek aur upward wave dekh sakte hain, jo current local high 1.2858 ko break karne ka target bana sakti hai. Magar, yeh bullish momentum zaroori nahi ke barqarar rahe. Aakhir mein, agar Fed apni stance par firm rahe aur inflation utni cool down na ho jitni anticipate ki gayi hai, toh "bears" (jo price decline expect karte hain) control le sakte hain aur price ko wapas 1.2700 support level ki taraf push kar sakte hain, jo current trading range ka lower boundary four-hour chart par hai. Overall, GBP/USD currency pair ek crossroads par hai, US inflation data ke release aur Fed ke subsequent reaction ka intezaar hai. Pound ki direction in key factors par depend karti hai, jisme ya toh continued weakening ya ek reprieve pehle ke downward trend resume se pehle aasakti hai

GBP/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko setback face kiya, aur critical 1.3000 level se neechay chal gaya. Yeh downturn us solid rally ke baad aaya jo week ke start mein hui thi, jab Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeedain barh gayi thi. Market sentiment shift hone se, investors ne cautious stance le li aur US dollar ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya. UK unemployment claims thori si behtari dikhayi, magar overall economic data ziada farq nahi layi. Doosri taraf, US jobless claims mein izafa hua, jo economic slowdown ke speculation ko barhawa diya, aur Fed rate cut ke case ko mazid mazboot banaya. Market participants ab eagerly UK retail sales figures ke release ka intizar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko aayengi aur previous month's growth ke mukable contraction dikhane ki umeed hai. September rate cut ke chances ab market ka dominant theme ban gaye hain. Jese jese is move ki expectations lag bhag certain hoti ja rahi hain, investors ka focus reduction ke magnitude par shift ho gaya hai. Labor market ke weakening signs dekhte hue, ziada substantial rate cut ke bets barh rahe hain.



Technically, GBP/USD pair apne 12-month high of 1.3044 se pull back hui, jo upward momentum loss indicate kar raha hai. 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2922 ab ek key support level hai. Agar yeh point sustained decline hota hai, toh downward pressure intensify ho sakta hai, aur pair ko 200-day EMA at 1.2621 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar, current position jo long-term moving average ke upar hai, usse bullish rebound ka possibility 1.2800 level se ab bhi maujood hai, specially 50-day EMA 1.2754 pe support offer kar raha hai. Yeh scenario sellers ke liye MACD middle line around 1.2733 ko reach karne ka rasta khol dega.

Agar h1 time frame se jaye toh, agar sab se ooncha h1 resistance ko guzar diya jaye, toh mujhe zaroorat hai ke mein ihtiyat se kaam loon kyun ke ye gbpusd ko mazeed ooncha kar sakta hai. Lekin, aaj mein haqeeqatan dekhta hoon ke upar uthne ke bajaye, neechay jaane ka zyada moqa hai. Pehli wajah ye hai ke mumkinat ke dauran candle ne abhi tak 1.3040 ke supply area ko guzar na paya hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd ko mustaqil taqat mein rehne mein mushkil hogi. Dusra sabab ye hai ke bara time frame mein, ek evening star shakl mein tasdeeqi mumkinat ki shakal mein aaya hai. Aam taur par jab ek pattern aata hai, market rukh badal deta hai, jo pehle oopar uth raha tha aur ab neeche jaane ki taraf badal raha hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaaye toh, candle ka maqam abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper hai. Jab tak candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper rahega, gbpusd ki harkat oopar ki taraf rahegi. Abhi, candle ka maqam khud neele Kijun Sen line ko chhua hai, jo kehta hai ke agar gbpusd kuch pips gir jaye, toh naye intersection ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, stochastic indicator se, uska maqam oversold area mein hai. Iska saboot hai ke line ne level 20 ko guzarna shuru kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ke kal jo giravat hui thi, wo overbought thi. Mujhe ihtiyat se kaam karna hai kyun ke gbpusd phir se oopar uth sakta hai kyun ke abhi tak candle ne 1.2991 ke RBS area ko guzar na paya hai. Mein umeed karta hoon ke ye area jald tor diya jaye taake gbpusd jaldi neeche ja sake.
Toh aaj ki tanqeed ka ikhtitam ye hai ke gbpusd jori abhi tak 1.3044 ke supply area ko guzar na paayi hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd future mein neeche jaayegi. Iske ilawa, bara time frame mein ek evening star pattern bhi mojood hai. Isi liye mein doston ko mashwarah deta hoon ke agar is jori mein trade karte hain, toh pehle sell positions par tawajjo den. Aap target ko 1.2901 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.3049 ke qareebi resistance par rakh sakte hain.

**Technical Reference: 1.29455 ke ooper rehne par kharid sakte hain**
Resistance 1: 1.30270
Resistance 2: 1.30400
Support 1: 1.29625
Support 2: 1.29455

GBPUSD ko Europan trading session mein aaj sham (18/7/24) mein barhne ki mumkinat hai. Is barhne ki mumkinat ko Moving Average (MA) indicator se support mil raha hai jo ke barhne ki taraf rahega, jiska matlab hai ke average harkat abhi tak barhti rahegi aur Stochastic jo ke oversold area se dobara chala aaya hai, iska matlab hai

Friday ko British Pound ne US Dollar ke against rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aaya. Yeh kaafi interesting tha kyunki latest US jobs report mixed signals de rahi thi. June nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, jisme 206,000 new jobs add hue aur expectations ko exceed kiya. Lekin, yeh positive data point significant downward revision se tempered ho gaya, pichle mahine ke figures mein. May jobs number ko revise karke 272,000 se 218,000 kiya gaya. Wage growth bhi cooling dikhayi di, average hourly earnings forecasts ko miss karte hue. Year-on-year increase 3.9% pe aayi, jo pichle mahine ke 4.1% se neeche thi. Additionally, unemployment rate 4.1% tak badh gaya, jo December 2021 ke baad se highest level hai, aur expectations of 4.0% ko exceed kiya. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects pe zyada focus kiya, leading to the conclusion ke Federal Reserve monetary policy loosen kar sakta hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo zyada likely hai ke interest rates cut karega, generally stocks aur currencies jaise Pound ke liye positive viewed hota hai.

Market ab 80% chance price kar rahi hai ke Fed rates cut karega by September 18th. Investors closely watch karenge Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko agle hafte for further clues about central bank ke intentions. Agle hafte bhi key data releases from the US aayenge. Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures for June Thursday ko aayenge. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index Friday ko aayenge.
GBP/USD pair ko 1.2655 pe support mil raha hai, jo June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 1.2620 pe one-month low tak gir sakta hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo January aur March mein firm tha. On the upside, agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, toh pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakti hai. A breakout above this zone could set the pair on a path to test the recent highs in the defined range of 1.2816-1.2859. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, toh pair potentially 2024 ke peak 1.2892 tak return kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD/H1

Aaj high-impact news hai. High-impact news mukhtalif currencies ko affect kar rahi hai. Humare paas kuch low aur medium-impact news bhi hain. Is wajah se volatility zyada hogi aur in currencies se related pairs mein zyada hargizaayengi. Traders ko is baat ka khayal rakhna chahiye aur apne money management skills ka achi tarah se istemal karna chahiye jab aaj trading karein. Forex market mein trading karte waqt ehtiyaat se kaam lena bohot zaroori hai. Neeche di gayi tasveer mein aaj ke available news ke mutabiq mazeed maloomat hai.
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Ek waqt par, GBP/USD pair ka quote 1.2683 par tha. Analysts ne yeh andaza lagaya tha ke pair resistance level ko 1.2728 se 1.2746 ke range mein test karega. Yeh resistance zone bohot critical hai kyunke aksar yeh mazeed upward movement ke liye barrier ka kaam karta hai. Jab price aise resistance level par pohonchti hai, toh ya toh breakthrough hota hai, jo ke further gains ka sabab banta hai, ya phir rejection hota hai, jo ke pullback ka sabab banta hai.

Is scenario mein, expected movement yeh thi ke GBP/USD pair resistance zone 1.2728-1.2746 ki taraf rise karega. Magar analysis ne yeh predict kiya tha ke is resistance par pohonch kar, pair ko aik significant challenge ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar resistance hold karti hai, toh yeh rebound ka sabab ban sakta hai, jise ke baad decline hoga. Is decline ka anticipated target 1.2659 aur 1.2626 ke darmiyan tha, aur shayad isse bhi neeche. Yeh target range previous support levels aur descending channel mein observe ki gayi overall trend dynamics par mabni thi. Descending channel khud downward trend ka visual representation provide karta hai.

جولائی 20 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی


پاؤنڈ میں اب اتنی طاقت نہیں ہے کہ وہ مزید بڑھ سکے۔ قیمت کا الٹ مارلن آسیلیٹر کے افقی ڈائیورژن پر ہوا — پاؤنڈ اپنی آخری طاقت کے ساتھ بڑھ رہا تھا۔



بہر حال، الٹنا ابھی شروع ہوا ہے، اور تصدیق کے لیے، مارلن آسیلیٹر کو نیچے کی طرف رجحان کے علاقے میں داخل ہونا چاہیے۔ دوسری طرف، اگر قیمت پہلے ایسا کرنے کا انتظام کرتی ہے، تو اسے 1.2847 پر سپورٹ پر قابو پانے کی ضرورت ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر نیچے کی طرف رجحان پیدا ہوا ہے: مارلن آسیلیٹر سیٹل ہو گیا ہے اور زیرو لائن سے نیچے گرا ہوا ہے، اور قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے آ گئی ہے۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ پاؤنڈ 1.2847 کے ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ جائے گا۔ آج، یوکے جون کے لیے خوردہ فروخت کا ڈیٹا جاری کرے گا - پیشن گوئی -0.6% ہے (0.2% y/y بمقابلہ مئی میں 1.3% y/y)۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD nay peer ko musbat trading shuru kiya. Haan, sterling din khatam honay par buland nahi hui, magar pair wapis bhi nahi gaya. Din ke pehle hissay mein, pound thoda sa neechay jaane ki koshish kar rahi thi, lekin agar market ise khareedna jaari rakhta hai to isay kahan jaana chahiye?

Kal market ko pair khareedne ke liye koi wajah nahi thi. Lekin market ne bohat arsay se reasons aur basis ki zaroorat nahi rakhi hai. Pound sterling kai dinon se buland hai, ye bhi ignore karte hue ke Bank of England 1st August ko rate kam kar sakta hai aur UK mein mahangai central bank ke target level tak gir gayi hai.

Lekin market ke liye ye sab kuch mayne nahi rakhta. Local upar ki trend jaari hai, jo ke buland trend line se saboot hai. Iska doosra point bas ek flat mein hai, extreme nahi hai. Agar bina kisi wajah aur justification ke bhi pound khareeda ja raha hai to ye itni der tak buland ho sakta hai jitna chahe.

5-minute timeframe par qeemat 1.2980-1.2993 ke area mein wapas gayi. Isay paar nahi kar saki, lekin agla important level ya area paar hojaye to isay farq nahi parta. Market in resistances ko correction ya rollback ke liye bhi nahi dekh raha hai. Is liye acha chance hai ke pound is area ko paar karne ke baad aur buland hojaye.

Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne neeche jaane ki nishaniyan dikhana jaari rakhi hai, lekin ye ye matlab nahi ke pair upar ka trend na bana sake. Pair phir se buland ho raha hai aur overall, ye atishuda aur ghair mantqi harkatein dikha raha hai. Abhi current mein pound sterling ne apni latest local high ko paar kar liya hai aur muddai aslamiyat ko ignore kar raha hai. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.

Tuesday ko, agar pound 1.2980-1.2993 ko paar na kar sake to pound sterling 1.2913 ke level ki taraf dheere dheere girna shuru kar sakta hai. Lekin hum tezi se girne ka tawaqo nahi rakhte agar pound trend line ko breach na kare. Aur agar breach bhi kare, to shayad yeh bilkul na ho. Is tarah ka kam az kam paanch martaba recent months mein ho chuka hai.

5-minute chart par key levels hain 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791 -1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. UK economic calendar practically barren hai. Kal ek Bank of England official ne speech di aur kaha ke key rate ko kam karna chahiye, lekin is ka market par koi asar nahi hua. US docket mein retail sales report shamil hai, jo greenback ke beqabu girne ko rok nahi sakega.

USD/JPY Market Outlook

Adaab aur Subah bakhair dosto!
Kal, ham ne USD/JPY market mein thora sa tabdeeli dekha. Yeh kareeban 156.60 zone tak pohanch gaya tha. Aur, US dollar ke musbat news data ne buyers ki qeemat barhane mein madad ki hai. Is liye, short-term traders ko hoshiyar aur mutabiqi ke sath trade karna chahiye. D1 chart bhi bechne ki isharaat faraham karne mein khaas kirdar ada karta hai. Yeh chart market ke mukhtalif rukh ko samajhne aur ahem support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madad deta hai. D1 chart ko qareeb se nazar andaz karke traders ko mojooda market trends ka saaf tajziya karne mein madad milti hai aur unke strategies ko mutabiq karne mein sakht asan hoti hai. Yeh khaas tor par zaroori hai high-probability trading opportunities ko pehchanne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, USD/JPY market traders ke liye ek dinamik aur mushkil mahol pesh karta hai. Bechnay ki dabao mein istiqamat barhne ke sath-sath, JPY news events ke asar bhi challenges aur opportunities paida karte hain. Is market ko kamyab tareeqay se samajhne ke liye, traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, asli signals ko pehchanna chahiye, aur aam ghaltiyan se bachna chahiye. D1 chart ki farahmiya aur news events ki monitoring ki ehmiyat mazeed is baat ko wazeh karte hain ke saqafat aur maloomat par mabni approach zaroori hai. Jab tak market tarteeb mein rehti hai, naye maloomat ke mutabiq tabdeeli ki taraf jawabdeh aur muntasir hone ka amal trading mein kamyabi hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai.

Ham 156.45 tak ke short target ke sath ek sell position khol sakte hain. Isi tarah, traders ko lambi term ki nazar bhi rakhni chahiye. Jabke short-term market movements harkat angaiz aur ghair mutawaqa ho sakte hain, lambi term ki nazar traders ko bari rukh par tawajjo dene aur temporary fluctuations se bachne mein madad deti hai. Is approach se traders apni overall trading strategy par tawajjo jama kar sakte hain aur jazbati trading ke nuqsanat se bach sakte hain. Apni trading mein stop laws ka istemal lazmi karen aur US trading zone ke doran hoshiyar rahein.

Aap sab ko jumma mubarak ho aur kamyabi se bhara din guzarne ki dua hai!

GBP/USD ke liye kuch correction shuru ho gayi hai, buyers 1.30 ke level se upar rehne mein nakam rahe, aur hum pehle hi is se neeche trade kar rahe hain. Qeemat ne bhi 1.29375 ke level ko tor diya, jo humein upward trend mein pehla break diya aur decline continue hone ka signal mila. Agar hum is ke peechay merge karte hain, to qeemat ke decline ka agla target 1.28979 points hoga. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ek aur wave upward karne ki koshish karenge, yeh zaroori nahi ke woh current local maximum 1.30436 ke level ko break kar sakein, aur yeh growth sales ke liye entry points dhoondne ka mauka faraham karegi, umeed hai ke ek aur wave of decline zaroor aayegi.


Pound pair central zone of the tapes mein hai, aur tapes khud horizontal ho gaye hain. Qeemat increase ya decline ka naya signal paane ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir yeh evaluate karna chahiye ke bands outwards open hote hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti. 2 - AO indicator negative zone mein fading ho raha hai, agar hum dekhein ke zero ke through transition aur jaldi positive zone mein active growth hoti hai, to humein qeemat increase ka powerful signal milay ga. Negative zone mein nayi increase qeemat decline ka signal degi. 3 - Purchases ke liye entry point ko 1.29499 ke level se dekha ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation par qeemat growth ka intezar 1.29668 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. 4 - Sales ko 1.29330 ke level par place kiya ja sakta hai, qeemat decline ka intezar 1.29232 ke level tak pohochne ki umeed hai.

GBPUSD currency pair downward trajectory par hai, jaise ke kal ka decline darshaata hai. Wave structure upwards build ho rahi hai, jo potential recovery ko indicate karti hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin yeh apni signal line ke neeche dip ho gayi hai, jo bearish sentiment ko suggest karti hai. Pehle, ek five-wave growth cycle observe hui thi, jo MACD indicator par bearish divergence ke saath khatam hui. Yeh divergence pehle hi play out ho chuki hai, aur qeemat horizontal support level 1.2991 ko push through kar chuki hai. Yeh mazeed decline ki probability ko suggest karti hai. CCI indicator decline ke doran lower overheating zone tak pohanch gayi hai, jo aam tor par purchases ke liye favorable hoti hai, lekin yeh daily chart par neeche gayi. Is analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke decline continue hoga aur current growth wave ke minimum ke neeche exit ho sakta hai, jo 1.2933 se neeche hai. Long term mein, ek descent 1.2858 area tak ho sakti hai. 1.2933 se neeche exit ke baad, yeh fall se correction ke liye potential purchase zone ban sakta hai, lekin main yahan khareedne ki sifarish nahi karunga, kyunke deeper decline ka high potential hai. Low point se aage, MACD indicator drop hoga, neutral level ke qareeb approach karega. Bohot cases mein, qeemat movement generated signal ke mutabiq nahi hoti. Daily chart ko examine karte hue dikhta hai ke kal ke downward-trending candle ke baad, bearish engulfing pattern emerge hui, jo mazeed potential decline ko suggest karti hai. Main khareedne ki sifarish nahi karunga, kyunke koi bhi growth limited hogi aur substantial profits generate nahi kar sakegi. Best yeh hoga ke kisi bhi uptrend ke end ko monitor karein, khaaskar shorter time frames jaise M5-M15 par, aur sell signal formations ko dekhein. Economic calendar mein koi major news events nahi hain, sirf medium importance wale events hain.

Friday ko British Pound ne US Dollar ke against rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aaya. Yeh kaafi interesting tha kyunki latest US jobs report mixed signals de rahi thi. June nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, jisme 206,000 new jobs add hue aur expectations ko exceed kiya. Lekin, yeh positive data point significant downward revision se tempered ho gaya, pichle mahine ke figures mein. May jobs number ko revise karke 272,000 se 218,000 kiya gaya. Wage growth bhi cooling dikhayi di, average hourly earnings forecasts ko miss karte hue. Year-on-year increase 3.9% pe aayi, jo pichle mahine ke 4.1% se neeche thi. Additionally, unemployment rate 4.1% tak badh gaya, jo December 2021 ke baad se highest level hai, aur expectations of 4.0% ko exceed kiya. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects pe zyada focus kiya, leading to the conclusion ke Federal Reserve monetary policy loosen kar sakta hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo zyada likely hai ke interest rates cut karega, generally stocks aur currencies jaise Pound ke liye positive viewed hota hai.

Market ab 80% chance price kar rahi hai ke Fed rates cut karega by September 18th. Investors closely watch karenge Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko agle hafte for further clues about central bank ke intentions. Agle hafte bhi key data releases from the US aayenge. Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures for June Thursday ko aayenge. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index Friday ko aayenge.
GBP/USD pair ko 1.2655 pe support mil raha hai, jo June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 1.2620 pe one-month low tak gir sakta hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo January aur March mein firm tha. On the upside, agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, toh pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakti hai. A breakout above this zone could set the pair on a path to test the recent highs in the defined range of 1.2816-1.2859. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, toh pair potentially 2024 ke peak 1.2892 tak return kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD PAIR REVIEW Haal hi ke trading ke mutabiq, British pound ka US dollar ke khilaaf exchange rate GBP/USD 1.30 ke psychological resistance barrier ke qareeb ruk gaya hai, jab ke US retail sales numbers release huwe jo ke consensus se zyada they. Agar Britain mein kal ke inflation numbers desired level se kam aate hain, to profit taking operations extend ho sakti hain. British pound apne recent highs se US dollar ke khilaaf gira hai jab US retail sales report ne consensus ko exceed kiya. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/USD pair din ke doran 0.20% gir ke 1.2940 par a gaya, jab retail sales ne monthly basis par 0% ka flat reading record kiya June mein, jab ke expectations -0.3% thi. Core retail sales 0.4% se barh gayi, jo estimates se 0.1% zyada thi aur US dollar ke liye ek supportive surprise hai.

Is event aur us ke asar par comment karte huwe. “Aaj ke data se yeh ek aur yaad dihani milti hai ke aap kabhi bhi American consumer ko underestimate nahi kar sakte,” Ali Jafari, economist at CIBC Capital Markets kehte hain
Forex market trading ke mutabiq. Pound ne July mein dollar ke khilaaf 2.50% ka izafa kiya, jo ke is waqat ek saal pehle ke level ke qareeb hai, rising expectations of a September interest rate cut se supported hai. Yeh ek strong, convincing data series legi course ko September mein reduction ke liye reverse karne ke liye. Lekin analysts ke mutabiq, “Kya consumption mein strength Fed ke liye evidence ka balance change kar sakta hai aur signal de sakta hai ke economy mein demand barh rahi hai?” Hum aisa nahi samajhte. Evidence jo inflation aur slowing labor market ko show karta hai, Fed ko September mein interest rates cut karne ke liye convinced karne ke liye kaafi hoga.
Overall data yeh show karta hai ke exchange rate appreciation sirf six pips pehle 1.30 psychological resistance level par ruk gaya, jo ke sell orders ke placement ke consistent hoga pehle bade mark ke. Highest level July 2023 mein 1.3142 par tha, lekin British pound yeh levels bohot dair tak maintain nahi kar saka
GBP/USD analysis:
GBP/USD exchange rate ne apni strong upward march continue rakhi hai Federal Reserve ke relatively pessimistic statement ke baad aur Britain mein aanay wale inflation data se pehle. Yeh teen consecutive din barh gaya hai aur psychological point 1,300 par pohch gaya, jo July 2023 ke baad ka highest swing hai. GBP/USD pair ne apni strong rise continue rakhi hai Monday ke Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ke statement ke baad. Apne statement mein, Powell ne pichlay teen mahine ke US inflation numbers ko welcome kiya, jo ke price stability show karte hain. Powell comfortable hain is saal interest rates cut karne ke liye agar inflation continue girta hai halaan ke yeh 2.0% se upar hai. Fed ab lagta hai ke labor market ke baare mein zyada concerned hai, jo ke pichlay kuch mahino mein decline hui hai

Discussion iss waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair sirf decline karega, minor upward pullbacks ko nazarandaaz karte hue. Daily pivot 1.2640 tak retracement ke baad, main sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur mera target aaj ka support 1.2562 hai. Agar yeh main level breakout ho gaya aur consolidation ho gayi to outlook change ho sakta hai, lekin price ne abhi tak koi strong inclination nahi dikhayi. GBP/USD ne downward move exhibit kiya jo Tuesday ko expected tha. Kal mujhe is outcome par doubt tha aur main ne potential rebound ka socha tha jo zyada extended periods ke liye ho sakta tha, jo ek developing pattern ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin ek aur scenario emerge hua, jis se mujhe movement capitalize karne ka moka mila, aur 30 points gain karne ke baad main exit kar gaya. Kyun ke mujhe 26th figure ke breakdown ka andaza nahi tha, is liye kal ka din unproductive raha, koi significant market reactions nahi hue. Aaj, Asian session ne ek upward flicker dikhayi hai, jo main monitor kar raha hoon. Din ke andar ek rebound ka chance lagta hai agar minimum ko dekha jaye. Yeh mera primary expectation hai pehle half of the day ke GBP/USD market abhi resistance aur support ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur dono taraf breakout naye trends sthapit kar sakte hain. Market apne ban rahe aur barhte hue trends ka istemal karne ki consistent respect trader ke liye ek aitmaad afzai nishani hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh 1.2570 par support aur resistance sthapit karega. Yeh tajziya H4 time frame ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai.

H4 chart ke technicals ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai lekin 1.2748 ke resistance ko todkar guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har koshish nakam ho gayi hai, jis se market support level par palat gaya hai. Market trend ka intezaar hai ke jab tak 1.2668 ke support level par inkaar na mile, bearish rehne ka intezaar hai. Is natije mein market trend side mein rehne ki umeed hai, jo technical ilm rakne walo ke liye faidemand aur munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.