eur/usd

EUR/USD

EUR/USD ka jora dheere dheere apne maqsad ki taraf barh raha hai, jo 1.1 hai. Meri khayal mein, aaj ya kal yeh pahunchega, jiske baad upar ki taraf ek rollback ho sakta hai. Lekin 1.12 par pahunchnay ka pura irada ab shak mein hai. Ab sab Israel ke jawab ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur Irani nuclear facilities par hamlay ki baatain ho rahi hain. Umeed hai yeh nahi hoga, lekin is tarah ki baatein tanav paida karti hain. Is wajah se risk se door rehne ka pressure barqarar rahega.

Saath hi, kal euro futures par OI mein aur kami hui. Long positions band ho rahi hain, jo quotes ke harkat ko asar انداز mein laati hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, kami ka taluq sirf corrective harkat se hai. Jab kami OI ke izafa ke sath hoti hai, tab hum jazbat mein tabdeeli ki baat kar sakte hain, jo tamam natijaat ko janam deti hai. Hum haalat ko dekhte rahenge. Is buniyad par, is currency pair ke liye, prescribed kami apne aakhri marahil mein hai, jiske baad upar ki taraf ek rollback mumkin hai. Sabko accha mauqa mile.

Aaj hum pehle hi 1.1024 par pahunche hain, halankeh mujhe nahi pata yeh kyun ahmiyat rakhta hai. Kisi bhi surat mein, kal kuch paishgoiyan thi ke hum ulat sakte hain, lekin kami jaari rahi aur ab hum bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain. Mere liye neeche koi wazeh maqasid nahi hain, lekin platform abhi bhi maximums par hai. Aur yahan yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke dollar kis tarah se trade karega, jo ab support le raha hai. Humein States se bohat si ahmiyat ki statistics milne wali hain. Kisi bhi surat mein, filhal mein kisi bhi direction mein transactions ka soch nahi raha. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke hum 1.10 ke neeche ja sakte hain, aur agar koi false breakout hota hai, toh main kharidne ki koshish karunga.




Currency Pair Trend

Asian session aur European session ke shuru hone par EUR/USD currency pair apne southward course par jaari hai. Pehle, maine is instrument ke upward trend ke liye ek support line banai thi August aur September ke lows ke along. Lekin is trend ko is trading week mein toota hai, aur ab naye support ki talash karna samajhdaari hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke currency speculators jo long positions par focus karte hain, woh 1.10 EUR/USD ke horizontal line ke aas paas downward wave ko roknay mein kaamyaab honge. Mujhe lagta hai ke is figure ke nazdeek aate hi long position lene ki koshish karni chahiye.

EUR/USD Trading Update

American trading mein EUR/USD jore ne Asian session ke dauran notable losses ke baad thoda rebound dekha. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support provide kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. It historical taur par, EUR/USD bade round numbers ke darmiyan movement karta hai, toh agar euro kamzor hota raha, toh agla logical target 1.10 hoga. Yeh mark pehle ek ahm support area ke taur par kaam karta raha hai, aur agar euro is point ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh strong bottom banne ki nishani ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hota hai, toh 1.12 ka level resistance ke taur par kaam karega.

Filhal, yeh jora choppy aur sideways action dekh raha hai, isliye traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh key round numbers par nazar rakhein jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ka technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar andaaz hota hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive banata hai.

Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke phases se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur complex banata hai. Is mahol mein, euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Is liye, ek strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ko assess karna aur is insight ko doosre currency pairs par apply karna. Misal ke taur par, agar dollar euro ke muqable mein strong rahta hai, toh dollar ko kisi fast-moving ya exotic currency ke against trade karna zyada faida mand ho sakta hai.



EUR/USD jore ke liye, short-term chart analysis shayad zyada munasib hoga, is market ki volatility aur price levels ki fluctuations ko dekhte hue. Eurozone aur U.S. economies ke as paas uncertainties ke chalte, traders ko 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh critical support aur resistance points hain jo short-term trading decisions ko guide kar sakte hain. Market ki sensitivity in key levels ke aas paas central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jaati hai. Jab tak ECB aur Federal Reserve apni easing measures jaari rakhte hain, yeh jora zyada volatility dekhega, jisse short-term trades long-term positions ke muqable mein zyada profitable ban sakti hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur agility se kaam lena chahiye, market movements aur central bank strategies mein tabdeeliyon ke liye tayar rehkar short-term opportunities ka faida uthana chahiye.

EUR/USD: Price Movements

Filhal, hum EUR/USD currency pair ki live pricing ka jaiza le rahe hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke ismein potential growth sirf short-term rebound ke taur par hai. Kisi nayi high ka banna pehle se zyada uncha nahi hoga, khaaskar bade time frames jaise 4-hour aur daily charts par. Lekin, yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh foran abhi ke levels se ho. Kal ki downward movement 1.1009 level ki taraf jaari reh sakti hai, jab tak ek rebound nahi aata. Bade time frames is tarah ki correction ka talab karte hain, jo chhote periods ko realign karne ki zaroorat hoti hai, taake ek significant reversal ho sake.

Aadha ghanta ke chart aur chhote time frames par ek upward signal nazar aaya, lekin yeh puri tarah se materialize nahi hua. Yeh asar buyers ke liye acha nahi hai, balke sellers ke liye faida mand hai, khaaskar jab U.S. stock index futures apne lows ke kareeb hain. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke price aaj poore din girta rahega is waqt ke consolidation se.

EUR/USD ke liye, ab bhi kuch had tak uncertainty hai, jo kal ki market fluctuations ki wajah se hai. Yeh situation kaos se bhari lagti hai, halankeh yeh doosron ko zyada wazeh lag sakti hai. Margin system ke mutabiq, trend bearish stance ki taraf shift ho chuka hai. System ke rules ke hisaab se, behtareen approach yeh hai ke 1.1086–1.1137 range se becha jaye, lekin sirf tab jab ek reversal pattern banta hai taake stop ko pattern ke high par set kiya ja sake.




Main yeh plan kar raha hoon ke price is zone mein upar aaye aur phir ek decisive sell karun, bina kisi clear reversal pattern ka intezar kiye. Haan, main ab bhi neeche ki taraf movement ki umeed rakhta hoon. Haan, main ab bhi expect karta hoon ke daily chart par broken triangle ki upper boundary ki taraf wapas jaaye. Aur haan, main U.S. dollar ke mazid mazboot hone par bhi bharosa rakhta hoon, jo EUR/USD ko mere target 1.0859 ki taraf le jayega. Dekhte hain yeh kaisa hota hai.

EUR/USD Price Action Analysis

Overview

Agar EUR/USD ki price upar ki taraf barhti hai aur weekly resistance level W1 Resistance C ko 1.104309 par cross karti hai, toh yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke recent decline sirf ek temporary retracement thi, na ke trend ka reversal. Yeh yeh suggest karta hai ke overall bullish trend ab bhi barqarar ho sakta hai. Key resistance levels ko todna aksar market ki taqat ko darshata hai, jo sustained bullish movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Key Resistance Levels

Agar price 1.104309 level ko todti hai, toh agle targets R3 par 1.10216 aur R4 par 1.1046 ho sakte hain. Yeh levels ahmiyat rakhte hain kyunki yahan market ko resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo price ko rokne ya reverse karne ka kaaran ban sakta hai. Lekin, agar price in resistance levels ko successfully breach karti hai, toh yeh yeh darshata hai ke EUR/USD move ki fifth wave complete ho gayi hai. Elliott Wave Theory ke mutabiq, fifth wave aksar trend ka end darshati hai, jiske baad reversal shuru ho sakta hai.

Trading Opportunities

Traders ke liye yeh situation critical opportunities paida karti hai. Sabse pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke in resistance levels ke aas paas price action ko nazar mein rakhein, kyunki yeh yeh tay karega ke uptrend jari rahega ya reversal nazdeek hai. Agar price in resistance levels ke kareeb aati hai aur kamzori ya reversal ke signs dikhati hai, toh yeh short (selling) positions mein enter karne ka behtareen mauqa ho sakta hai. Yeh resistance levels, khaaskar 1.1046 ke aas paas, market mein turning points ban sakte hain, jo bullish phase ke end aur downward movement ke shuru hone ka ishara dete hain.




Capitalizing on Price Shifts

Traders jo market mein potential shifts ka faida uthana chahte hain, unhein in critical levels par price action par dhyan dena hoga. Agar reversal confirm hota hai, toh naye downward movement ki pehli wave short positions ke liye acha entry point ho sakta hai. Iske mukablay, agar price higher resistance levels ko todti rehti hai, toh yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke upward trend ab bhi active hai. Aise mein, long (buying) positions ko barqarar rakhna ya naye long entries par ghoor karna faida mand ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

Aakhir mein, EUR/USD ki price movement in key resistance levels ke aas paas market ka agla rukh tay karegi. Traders ko price reactions ke mutabiq apni positions adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, kyunki bullish aur bearish trades ke liye mauqay in critical levels par market ke behavior par depend karte hain.

Ek ahem indicator jo is bearish sentiment ka darshak tha, woh tha MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). MACD par bearish divergence bana tha, jo yeh signal deta hai ke jabke price higher highs bana raha tha, lekin underlying momentum kamzor hota ja raha tha. Yeh divergence aksar aik mazboot sell signal mana jata hai, kyunki yeh darshata hai ke upward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur reversal qareeb hai. Jo traders is signal ko pehchanne mein vigilant rahe, unho ne is mauqe ka faida uthaya, sell positions shuru karte hue is significant drop se pehle. Daily chart par price action yeh tasdiq karta hai ke pichlay hafte sellers ne market par mazboot control rakha.

EUR/USD pair lagataar neeche ki taraf chala gaya, key support levels ko todte hue aur bearish trend ko mazid majboot karte hue. Jab price gir raha tha, to yeh wazeh hota gaya ke buyers ki dilchaspi mehdood thi, jis se sellers ko pair ko mazeed negative territory mein push karne ka mauqa mila. Agay dekhte hue, traders ke liye yeh sawal hai ke kya bearish momentum jari rahega ya kya pair kisi potential reversal ke liye tayar hai.

Ek ahem factor jo dekhna hai, wo yeh hoga ke current support levels par kya jawab milta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair in critical support ke upar barqarar rehne mein kaamyab hota hai, to hum consolidation ka ek dor ya phir thodi bahar uthne ki surat dekh sakte hain jab buyers control wapas hasil karne ki koshish karte hain. Lekin agar yeh levels fail ho jate hain, to bearish trend jari reh sakta hai, jo short trades ke liye mazeed mauqe faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone aur U.S. se aane wale economic data aane wale moves ka faisla karne me

EUR/USD pair ko bohot se traders ne liquidity aur fundamental aur technical factors ke hawalay se dekha hai. Filhaal, price action ne short-term aur medium-term trades ke liye opportunities dikhayi hain, jo market ke conditions par depend karti hain. H4 time frame par hum dekh sakte hain ke EUR/USD ne recent market developments se mutasir hote hue steady movements dikhayi hain. Daily chart par technical analysis ke zariye, pair ka behavior samajhna asaan hai, khaaskar jab key support aur resistance levels ko identify kiya jata hai. Yeh levels traders ke liye bohot important hote hain kyun ke yeh entry aur exit points ke hawalay se insights detay hain, aur market ka general direction samajhne mein madad karte hain.
Filhaal, EUR/USD ek defined range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan 1.1100 level ek significant support ka kaam kar raha hai aur resistance 1.1200 ke aas paas hai. Pichlay haftay ke dauran, price in dono levels ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, lekin bullish bias ubhar raha hai. Jab EUR USD ke muqablay mein strong hota nazar aa raha hai, traders ko breakout ke potential ko dekhna chahiye, khaaskar agar price 1.1100 resistance ko cross karta hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh hum further bullish movement dekh sakte hain jo 1.1250 level tak ja sakti hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ko dikhata hai. EUR/USD ke H1 time frame chart par, exchange rate filhaal 1.1150 ke aas paas hai, aur market mein clear bearish trend hai. Yeh downtrend broader euro ki weakness ko reflect karta hai USD ke muqablay mein, jo ke economic data, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment se drive hota hai. Traders ko in influences ka note lena chahiye kyun ke yeh market ke current momentum ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Technical indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain. Pair apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo continued downside momentum ko signal karta hai. RSI bhi oversold zone ke kareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend bearish rahega jab tak koi sustained reversal na aaye.
EUR/USD pair H1 time frame par bearish phase mein hai, aur bohot se factors euro ki weakness mein contribute kar rahe hain USD ke muqablay mein. Traders ko aane wale economic data releases aur geopolitical developments par closely nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko further mutasir kar sakte hain. Filhaal, long positions ke liye ek cautious approach recommend ki jati hai,
Eur/Usd ko 1.1071 break karna hoga, jo ke din ka peak hai. Ek recovery pair ko 1.11 ya usse upar le ja sakti hai. Main pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon jab yeh possible bottom ke near hai. 1.0951 ka support strong hai, followed by 1.0931. 1.10 level bhi significant hai, lekin 1.0987 ki relevance clear nahi hai. Price bullish weakness show kar raha hai aur intraday local bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai.

EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha
jaari rahi toh dono targets achieve ho sakte hain. Chaliye ab hourly timeframe par nazar daalte hain.Dusri chart par H4 timeframe hai, lekin targets dekhne ke liye hum hourly buy signal par discussion karenge. Signal level 1.11446 par consider kiya ja raha hai. Is signal level se neeche aur stop-loss level se ooper jo bhi buy entries hoti hain, wo advantageous aur sahi buying points hain. Stop-loss level ko 1.10677 ke neeche consider kiya gaya hai. Target jo mention kiya gaya hai, wo 1.12209 hai. Agar hum signal level se ooper buying karte hain, toh risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 1 se kam ho jata hai, jo ke long-term mein profitable nahi hoga. Dosre lafzon mein, buying entry point aise select karna chahiye ke wo 1 to 1 ratio se neeche na ho. Agar 1 to 2 ratio achieve karna hai, toh buy entries 1.11187 se start karni chahiye. Aur agar 1 to 3 ratio achieve karna hai, toh entries 1.11038 se start karni hongi. Maine chart par grid aise set kiya hai ke wo ek ruler ki tarah lagta hai. Yani, 0.0% stop hai, 100% profit hai, aur 50% level signal level hai. Currency pair EUR/USD ne Thursday ke din low level 1.10680 se reversal le kar northwards move kiya. Abhi pair Bollinger Bands ke bullish zone mein 1.11625 ke level par hai. MACD histogram zero mark se ooper hai, aur RSI midline ke ooper hai. Agle hafte price ka mazid strong hona aur 261.8% level (1.13133) tak pohanchna expect kiya ja raha hai. EUR/USD apni taraf se barhkar saal ki unchi simat 1.1200 ke nazdeek pahuncha hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna hai kyun ke China ke taraf se bada stimulus plans ka elan hua hai jo unki ma'ashi slowdown ke khataron se nikalne ke liye hai. Aam tor par, khushgawar market sentiment ke doran US Dollar mein investment flows kam hote hain.
China ke is bade stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se November mein bade rate cuts ki umeedon mein izafa ne bhi US Dollar ko pichhe dhakel diya hai