یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis
Maujooda Keemat Ka Amal:

Jaise tajwez tha, buyers ne EUR/USD pair ko phir se buland kiya. Aaj, hum shayad dekhen ge ke jaise pair 1.0918-1.0935 ke resistance zone se neeche girta hai. Magar is dafa, aik gehra keemat correction ka intezar hai, jo pichle tora full margin zone 1.0833-1.0850 ki taraf muntazim hai. Ye kisi area se guzarti hui uth rahi trendline zarai market ko mazeed support faraham karegi. Us point ke baad, EUR/USD ke aglay raaste ka faisla karne ke liye mazeed tajziya ki zarurat hai.

Technical Analysis:

1. Resistance aur Support Levels:
- Resistance Zone: Maujooda resistance zone 1.0918 aur 1.0935 ke darmiyan hai. Agar is zone ko tor diya jata hai, toh ye ishara hota hai ke aik muntazim wapas giravat ka darust nazar aata hai, jis se bullish nazariya mazid taqat hasil karta hai short term ke liye.
- Support Zone:Gehri correction ke liye nishana support zone 1.0833 aur 1.0850 ke darmiyan hai. Ye area pichle tora full margin zone ko shamil karta hai aur aik uth rahi trendline, jo ke ahem support faraham karta hai.

2. Trendline Analysis:
- 1.0833-1.0850 support zone se guzarti hui uth rahi trendline iss area ko taqat deta hai, ye ke yahan se buyers ke liye aik mazboot bunyadi farsh ho ga market mein dobara shamil hone ke liye. Is trendline se giravat is ki darustgi ko tasdeeq karegi aur imtiaz ka ishara de sakti hai ke broad uptrend ka jari rakhne ke liye.

3. Harkat Averah:
- 50 din ka simple moving average (SMA) fee abhi price se oopar hai, jo ke short-term bearish momentum ki nishani hai. Magar price abhi 100 din ka SMA ke oopar hai, jo ke ye dawa karta hai ke overall bullish trend shaed ke abhi bhi mojood hai.

4. Candlestick Patterns:
- Support zone mein hammer ya bullish engulfing jaise bullish reversal candlestick patterns ke liye dekha ja raha hai, jo ke potential bounce ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai aur long positions ke liye entry signals faraham kar sakta hai.

Buniyadi Factors:





1. Maliati Data:
- Dono Eurozone aur US se ahem maliati indicators EUR/USD pair ko mutasir karenge. Eurozone se mukhtalif data euro ko support kar sakte hain, jabke US ke kamzor economic reports dollar par bojh dal sakte hain.
- Anay wale releases, jese Eurozone GDP growth, inflation data, aur US employment figures, pair ke raaste ko faisla karne mein ahem sabit honge.

2. Markazi Bank Policies:
- European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy aur statements euro par asar andaz honge. ECB ke taraf se jamid ya halki bareek signal se euro ko majboot ya kamzor banaya jaa sakta hai.
- Barabar, US Federal Reserve ke policy decisions aur aagahi dollar par asar andaz hongi. Fed se dovish signals EUR/USD pair ko support kar sakte hain.

3. Siasi Events:
- Siasati taraqqiyan, jese trade negotiations aur region tensions, kisi wuqoo ki wajah se ziada volatility par muzammil ho sakte hain. Europe mein husool ya US se na-farman khabrain pair ke movement par asar daal sakti hain.

Market Mazammat:

Market ki soch filhal short-term correction ke rukh par hai, traders ne support zone 1.0833-1.0850 pe potential buying opportunities ke liye nazar rakha hai. Uthti hui trendline ki mojudgi aur mazeed support levels ek mufeed setup faraham karte hain aik rebound ke liye.

Nateeja

EUR/USD pair 1.0918-1.0935 ke resistance zone se neeche ke liye tayyar hai, aik gehri correction target karte hue 1.0833-1.0850 ke support zone ki taraf. Is area mein uth rahi trendline mazeed support faraham karegi. Maliati data, markazi bank policies, aur siasi events ka nazar rakhna pair ke aglay qadam ko samajhne ke liye zaroori hai. Traders ko support zone mein bullish reversal patterns ke liye dekhna chahiye ta ke potential buying opportunities ko tasdeeq kiya ja sake aur potential volatility ka saamna karne ke liye mufeed risk management strategies istemal kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD Pair Potential Surprises ke Darmiyan Urdughat Geedar Raha Hai

EUR/USD currency pair ne apni darmiyani doar mein Urdughat trend jaari rakhi hai, jismen mazbooti aur mustqil izafa nazar aata hai. Ye trend market ke surprises ke liye maujooda imkanat ke bawajood barqarar hai, khas tor par jab traders Jumma ko aage ke ahem waqe ya izharat ki taraf nazar daal rahe hain. Pair ke darmiyan is manazir ki qabiliyat is ke neechayi mazbooti aur market ke ittehad mein euro ki iqtedar ko darust karta hai.

Maujooda Keemat Action

EUR/USD pair ne qabil zikar upar ki momentum dikhayi hai, musalsal upar ki taraf trading karte hue aur darmiyani doar ki bullish trend ko mustabeed bana raha hai. Haal ki keemaat action ne unchi unchi aur neechi neechi barhaawe ko pesh kiya hai, jo barqarar uthar se ek maamuli nishan hai. Ye mustaqil izafa ek nuks ek uthne wali trend ki alamat hai. Market ke ittehad ko euro mein imarat kiya gaya hai, jise mukhtalif maeeshati aur siyasi factors ne madad di hai.

Technical Analysis

1. Sahara Aur Rage Warzish Kevel:
- Qareebi Sahara:Qareebi sahara keval 1.0850 ke aas paas hai, ek ahem khit ka jahan haftawaar ghoom samajh rakha gaya hai. Ye keval bhi 50 dinay jari moving average (SMA) ke saath milta julta hai, aur ziada sahara faraham karta hai.
- Rage Warzish Kevel:Fehrist ke rage warzish kevel beach 1.0950 ke aas paas hai, jo ke ab 1.1000 ke baad hai, jo ek dimaghi rukawat hai. In darjahon ko torrne se unke barqarar trend ka ishara milay ga.

2. Hilne Wale Averages:
- 50 dinay ka SMA upar ki taraf ta'alluq rakhta hai, jo choti doar ki uthne wali momentum ko darust karti hai. 100 dinay ka SMA bhi uth raha hai, darmiyani doar ki musbat nazar.

3. Mombatti Ke Patterns:
- Haal ki bullish mombatti ke patterns, jese ke bullish engulfing aur hammer formations, tageefan kharidari ke dilchaspi ko darust kar rahe hain. Ye patterns barqarar uthan wali trend ko tasdeeq dete hain aur traders ke liye entry signals faraham karte hain.





Buniyadi Factors

1. Maeeshati Data:
- Eurozone ke maeeshati data behtareen hain, GDP ki izafa, industrial production aur consumer ietmad mein izafa. Ye indicators euro ki iqtedar ko madad faraham kar rahe hain.
- America ke maeeshati data, agar mukhtalif bhi hain, to kisi had tak dabi hoe hain, khas taur par inflation aur rozgaar figure me, jo dollar ka bojh badha sakte hain aur EUR/USD pair ko faida pohnchay sakte hain.

2. Central Bank Policies:
- European Central Bank (ECB) ne mustaqil policy stance banae rakha hai, haal ki bayanat mein Eurozone ki maeeshat ke liye ehtiaati lekin umang bhari nazar hai. Kisi mustaqbil karkardgi ke ishaaron se euro ko aur izafa mil sakta hai.
- America Federal Reserve ka patience stance aur imkani darust bandish mein rukawat, dollar ko daba kar rakha hai, EUR/USD pair ko aur sahara faraham kar raha hai.

3. Siyasi Events:
- Chalti hui siyasi tensions aur trade negotiations market mein andeshon ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Europe mein acha izaafa ya America se bura khabar pair ki taraf asar andaaz ho sakti hai.

Market Asar

Market ka andaz bullish rahta hai, traders EUR/USD pair mein mazeed izafa ke ummedwar hain. Euro ke mazbooti ke sath potential market surprises ke darmiyan euro ka mustaqil qayam market ke mazbooti ke buniyadi factors aur currency ke iqtedar ko tasdeeq karta hai.

Nateeja

EUR/USD currency pair apni medium-term upar ki trend ko barqarar rakhta hai, Eurozone se mukhtalif maeeshati data, mustaqil ECB policy stance aur mukhtalif America maeeshati indicators ki madad se. Sahara aur rage warzish ke kevel, traders ke liye wazeh maqasid faraham karte hain, jabke overall market asar bullish rahta hai. Traders Jumma ke ahem waqe aur izharat ke liye aage dekhte hain, pair ke qabil-e-dawat manzil ki nazar rakhte hue, agar euro ki mazbooti barqarar rahti hai to mazeed izafa mumkin hai. Tajarbazane fesha zarurri hoga aur buniyadi aur takniki indicators ki monitorin zaroori hai potential market surprises ka samna karne ke liye.

EUR/USD Tahlil: Bullish Trend Ko Khatra Hai Ke Mumkin Reversal

Jumma ki EURUSD trading 1.0883 par band hui. Bandish ka mansab market ke khulnay se thora ooncha tha, jab EUROUSD din bhar taq upar ki taraf chal raha tha. Ye harkat qabil e waja thi, jab EUROUSD 46 pips ke range ke andar chala gaya. Budh ke din, EUROUSD ne gehri girawat mehsoos ki thi, lekin mombatti 1.0863 ke sahara ko tor nahi saki, mazeed girawat ko rok kar. Is izafa ke natije me, 1.0900 par mukhalifat qaim ho gayi, jo ek bullish trend ka ishara hai. H1 waqt ki tahlil se, sab se qareebi mukhalifat 1.0900 ko torne se EUROUSD mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Regardless, aaj, mein tezi se girawat ki baraqarari ke muqable mein giriftar rehne ka zyada imkan dekhta hoon, kyun ke mombatti abhi tak 1.0911 ke supply ilaqe me phansi hui hai. Jab tak ye supply ilaqa na tor jaye, girawat ka moqa bana rehta hai. Mubadala tor par, agar supply ilaqa tor diya jaye, izafa ziada sakht ho sakta hai. Mazeed, aik bearish harami mombatti ke pattern ka imkan hai, jo nazdeek mustaqbil mein market ka palatna ishara karta hai.





Ichimoku indicator ki tahlil se maloom hota hai ke mombatti ka mansab abhi tak Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar hai, jo dharai tezi abhi tak mustaqil hai. Kal, jab EUROUSD giraa, mombatti ne neela Kijun-sen line ko chooya, lekin ise nahi guzra, natija ye hua ke us se umeed hai aur EUROUSD mein aage izafa hua. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue, jabke Ichimoku indicator upar ki taraf tezi ka ishara deta hai, bearish harami mombatti ke pattern aur mombatti ka 1.0911 ke supply ilaqa mein mojood hona girawat ke muqable mein buland ihtimal dikhata hai. Agar supply ilaqa mamoom rahe, to girawat ka moqa barqarar rahega. Lekin, agar tor diya gaya to izafa kafi sakht ho sakta hai. Is liye, EUROUSD ke mustaqbal ki harkat tafteesh karne ke liye 1.0911 supply ilaqa aur bearish harami pattern ka intezari monetering zaroori hai.

EUR/USD jodi H4 chart par 1.0894 par trade kar rahi hai, jabke haal ki qeemat ke amal se market sentiment mein aik mumkin tezad nazar arahi hai. 1.0915 par mukhalifat ka samna karne ke baad, jori ek girawat dekhi jaye, jo aik tasdeeq mombatti ki saath sath girawat ka bias short term mein darust karti hai. Is ke bawajood, MACD indicator ne mustaqil signal dikhaya hai, jo be tarteebi se market activity ki numaya darust hai bila ikhtiyar tezi ke palat nazar aane se.

Se bari mansuba ka tajzia karte hue, H4 chart 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar price ka dabao dikhata hai, jo aik sahara satah ke tor par kaam karta hai, ye tasawar ko mazid mazboot karta hai ke haal hi mein rukawaton ke bawajood tezi ka dabao abhi tak barqarar hai.

Aage dekhte hue, agar bechnay ka dabao barqarar rahe to agla ahem sahara satah 1.0844 par hai. Ye satah ahmiyat rakhti hai aik potential girawat ke khilaf rukawat ka imkan, jahan buyers market mein dobarah shamil ho saktay hain, qeemat ke amal ko mustahik karne mein madad faraham karte hue.





Mukhalif, aik palat aur 1.0915 mukhalifat ke tor par tor phoot bullish trend ka jaari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise manazir recent high 1.1028 par target karenge, aik ahem mukhalifat ka point. Is satah ke tor par ek phoot mazeed ooper ki harkat ke liye door darwaza khol sakta hai, jise market mein mazeed buyers kar sakte hain.

Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD jodi aik pivotal lamha ka samna kar rahi hai. Traders mukhtareen key levels: 1.0915 mukhalifat aur 1.0844 sahara, ke nazdeek moniter kar rahe hain. Ye levels trading decisions ko guide karenge, breaks upar ya neeche potential shift market dynamics ki taraf signal dete hain. Traders ke liye lazmi hai ke hoshiar rahen, sirf price movements ki nigaah nahi rakhen balkay MACD jaise indicators ko bhi trend ke tasdeeq ke liye dekhen. Agar market signals ke jawab dena seekhenge, traders mojooda volatility mein safar kar sakte hain aur EUR/USD pair ki mustaqil qeemat ke amal ke mutabiq inform decisions bana sakte hain.

Ab char ghante ka chart dekhte hue wazeh ho raha hai ke peechle haftay EURUSD currency pair ne aik taqatwar ooper ki harkat ko janam diya. Magar sirf euro ke khilaf US dollar kamzor nahi hua, balkay yeh khilaf taqreeban poora market spectrum mein kamzor hua. Laher dhancha ooper ki taraf apna tarteeb banane laga, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai. Agar pehli lahre par target Fibonacci grid lagaen, to aap manzil dekhsakte hain - level 161.8, jo puri ki gayi. Is level ke qareeb positions fixed ki gayi aur ek horizontal support level 1.8000 tak ek rollback hua, wahan, level tak nazdeek, qeemat foran uthai gayi aur phir se ooper uthai gayi. Phir keemat phir se 1.0800 par le gayi, dheere dheere lekin is level tak push ki gayi. Yeh level is baat se mazeed barhaya gaya hai ke yeh aik integer hai. Aap chaar lahron ki growth structure dekh sakte hain, shayad ab chouthi ki khatam hone lagi hai aur paanchvi me update ke sath ooper ki taraf barhti rahegi is hafte ke maximum mein aur dakhil hona 1.0846 se 1.0861 ke darmiyan resistance area mein.





Yeh ishaara karti hai CCI indicator, jo lower overheating zone se ooper jane ke liye tayar hai. Upar jaane par MACD indicator par bearish divergence shakal mein banaygi aur paanch waves ka mukamal chakkar hoga, wahan se reversal aur kami ki tawaqo ki ja rahi hai. Yeh pura manzar is level se toot jata hai jahan 1.0800 ke neeche mazid mazbooti hai, phir 1.0768 ki test tak chadhai ki umeed hai. Aaj ke khabron se hum note kar sakte hain: 17-00 Moscow time - US Federal Reserve System Powell ki guftagu. Agar bhi yeh lagta hai ke uski guftagu kal thi aur usi waqt, mujhe samajh nahi a raha, kya wo wahan her din boltay hain ya kuch. Agar kal bolay, to yeh market ko kisi tarah bhi kisi asar ka samne nahi aaya. Choti baat hai, mein kam az kam do point ke liye kal ke low ke bahar ka nikalna umeed kar raha hoon, aur phir agar unhone M5-M15 par aik mirror level pe ooper ki dakhil banayi, to pehli option puri hone ki bulandi hai.

EUR/USD mein aik numaya izafa hua, jis ne kamyaabi se 1.0845 ke opposition level ko tor diya. Jab yeh resistance tor di gayi, to pair jald hi 1.0897 tak pahunch gaya, lagbhag 60 pips ki aham barhawat darust karte hue.
EUR/USD ke izafay ka shumaar market ke liye aham hota hai jo around 1.0894 pe supply area mein focus kar raha tha. Yeh harkat darust karti hai ke market participants ko is supply zone tak pohanchne ka clear maqsad tha, jo aksar aik ahem level hota hai jahan se sellers market mein shamil hone ke liye tayyar hote hain, aur mazeed izafay ko ruk sakte hain. 1.0845 ke resistance ko kamyaab tor kar and 1.0897 tak pohanch kar EUR/USD mein taqatwar bulllish momentum highlight hoti hai.
Haal ki qeemat ka amal yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD nay aik naye trading range mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jahan purani resistance level 1.0845 ab support level ka kaam karega. Agar pair is level ke upar qayam kar sakta hai, to ye mazeed izafay ke raste ko khole ga. Magar, 1.0894 ke qareeb hone ka maamool dikhata hai ke pair ke samne selling pressure ho sakta hai, jo aik mustaqil phase ya potential pullback ka bais bana sakta hai.
Aage dekhtay hue, traders Eurozone aur United States ke aham aikai indicators ka nazarandaz kar rahe honge takay EUR/USD ke maazi ko maloom kia ja sakay. Kisi bhi ahem data release, khas tor par mahangai, rozgar aur central bank policies se mutalliq, pair mein shandar ghanudgi ko janibdar kar sakti hai.
Mukhtasir tor par, Thursday ko EUR/USD ka mazboot performance, 1.0845 resistance ko tor kar 1.0897 tak pahunchne ke sath, mojooda bullish sentiment ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai. Pair ka former resistance level ke upar apni position qaim rakhne ki qabliyat iska agla kadam tay karna mein ahem hoga. Market participants ko waqtan fa waqtan pair ke raaste ko influence karne wale kisi bhi aikai data ka muntazir rehna chahiye, khas tor par 1.0894 ke aas paas supply area ke hone ki wajah se jo mazeed upside potential ko mehdood kar sakta hai.
EUR/USD par uncertainty jari reh sakta hai jis takke Friday tak. Lekin euro-dollar ne abhi tak apni bearish pullback ko khatam nahi kiya hai.
Bearish daily Pin bar ne technical correction ke khatam hone ka ishara diya hai H-4 time frame tak. Is tarah, agle kuch dinon mein hum euro-dollar pair ke ek aur neeche ki taraf rawish dekh sakte hain, jis se ho sakta hai ke April ke daily resistance zone tak pohanch jayein. Aaj, pair ne mukhtalif directions mein trade kiya. Powell ke taqreer ke shuru hone par dollar kamzor dikhne laga. Yeh temporary lure ho sakta hai ya asal mein bullish move ka sachcha signal ho sakta hai, bearish reversal pattern ko mansookh karne ki mumkinat ki taraf ishara dete hue. Lekin yeh sirf meri raay hai. Jaise ke US market ka reaction hota hai, hum dekh sakte hain ke woh situaion ka tawazun kaise qarar deta hai. Halat ki taraf mod raha hai reverse bullish Pin bar, lekin yeh ghoshit nahi kiya ja sakta ke yeh din ke aakhir tak qaim rahega. Yeh tajziya market ki tauqeerati ravish aur anay walay maali data ke muntazir intezar ki alamaat hai. Traders ko dono directions mein movement ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin mojooda indicators ke mutabiq bearish trend zyada mutasir nazar aata hai.

Euro ne pehle trade mein Monday ko sab se zyada utar chadhav dekha jab yeh 1.09 tak barh gaya. Yeh ek aham round number hai jo psychological tor par kaafi traders ki tawajjo hasil karta hai. Market ke naye fluctuation patterns aur round figures mein trading se yeh movement zyada predictable ban jati hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ke akhri faislon ke baad, ab dekhna yeh hai ke Federal Reserve rate cut karega ya nahi.

Is surat mein, Federal Reserve rate cut ki koi guarantee nahi deta. Ek mamooli 25 basis point cut akhir saal tak ho sakta hai, lekin yeh sirf pichle mahine ke prices par le aayega. Iske natijay mein, euro ka trading aggressively hota rahega, jo broader market ki surat-e-hal ko reflect karta hai. Yeh do currency zyada tar US dollar ki strength ya weakness ka barometer hoti hain.

US dollar ki value mein tabdeeli euro mein zyada pronounced hoti hai aur yeh doosri currency pairs, jaise ke Canadian dollar ya British pound, ko bhi asar kar sakti hai. Isliye 1.0850 aur 1.0920 levels ko closely dekhna chahiye. 1.0850 ke niche break hone se yeh 1.08 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar 1.0920 cross kare to yeh 1.10 tak khul sakta hai.

Overall, mera in do currencies par mawqaf neutral hai. Waqt ke hisaab se euro ka trading behavior ek indecision period ko mark karta hai, jahan koi clear path nazar nahi aata. Market developments aur euro ko asar andaz karne wale external factors ke madde nazar, prudent yeh hi lagta hai ke neutral rahein jab tak kuch aur concrete saamne nahi aata. Abhi ke liye, euro ka momentum shaayad broader market reaction ko reflect karta rahe ga jo US budget aur economic indicators mein improvements se mutaliq hoga.

Hello sab ko! Is hafte ke pehle trading din pe euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan trade relatively neutral rahi aur isne overall picture pe zyada asar nahi dala. Global level pe, ab bhi ek upward trend hai, aur agar price support level ke qareeb 1.0840 pe bhi girti hai, toh EURUSD currency pair phir bhi apne highs ko update kar sakta hai. Lekin filhal, price kuch growth ke baad retrace ho rahi hai aur ab 1.0917 level ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, jo hamara pehla high tha. Iss halat mein, agar price ko rise continue karna hai, toh yeh zaroori hai ke yeh is level ke upar chali jaye. Agar yeh halat barqarar rehti hai, toh short term mein short positions open karna worth ho sakta hai, jahan 1.0920 level acha resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, jo maine pichle trading week ke peaks se stretch kiya, yeh assume kiya ja sakta hai ke price 161st level ke qareeb, yani 1.0830 tak gir sakti hai. Is basis pe, short term ke traders ke liye short positions open karne ka moka mil sakta hai agar price 1.0920 resistance level ko break nahi karti.

Technical analysis ke hesaab se, abhi ke liye euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan trading kaafi important levels pe ho rahi hai. Agar price 1.0917 ke upar jati hai, toh yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai aur price ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break nahi karti, toh bearish sentiment barh sakta hai aur price 1.0840 tak gir sakti hai. Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq 1.0830 ek important support level ban sakta hai.

Aise halat mein, traders ko caution ke sath trade karna chahiye. Support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Forex market ki volatility ke madde nazar, risk management strategies ka bhi implement karna zaroori hai.

In conclusion, EURUSD pair ka technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi market ek critical juncture pe hai. Support aur resistance levels pe nazar rakhte hue, informed decisions lena traders ke liye beneficial ho sakta hai. Is waqt ke global economic developments ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo currency pair ko influence kar sakti hain.

EUR/USD Tahlil: Bullish Trend Kay Samnay Mokammal Tabdeeli Ka Khatra
Jumma ko EURUSD trading 1.0883 par band hui. Band hone ka darja market ke opening se thoda ziata tha, jabke EURUSD din bhar mein mazeed izafa kartay rahay. Is movement mein khaas taur par 46 pips ke andar ka izafa dekha gaya. Thursday ko EURUSD ne gehraye se giravat ka samna kiya tha, lekin candle ne 1.0863 support ko tora nahi, jo mazeed giravat se bachaya. Is izafa ke natijay mein, 1.0900 resistance ko tay kiya gaya, jo bullish trend ka ishara hai. H1 timeframe ki tafseeli tahlil se pata chalta hai ke 1.0900 resistance ko paar karna EURUSD mein mazeed izafay ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin aaj, mujhe izafay ki bajaye giravat hone ka zyada imkaan nazar ata hai kyun ke candle abhi bhi 1.0911 supply area mein phans gaya hai. Jab tak yeh supply area tora nahi jata, giravat ka imkaan mojood rahega. Umooman, agar yeh supply area tor di jaye, to izafa ziata hosakta hai. Is ke sath hi, bearish harami candle pattern ka bhi zikr hai, jo nazdeek mustaqbil mein market ki mukhalif rukh ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Ichimoku indicator ki tahlil se pata chalta hai ke candle abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke ooper hai, jo keh raha hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi jari hai. Kal jab EURUSD giraya, to candle ne blue Kijun-sen line ko chhua lekin uss se guzra nahi, jis se ke is level par rebound hua aur phir EURUSD mein izafa hua. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jabke Ichimoku indicator bullish trend ki taraf ishara deta hai, bearish harami candle pattern aur candle ka 1.0911 supply area mein hona giravat ke zyada imkaanat ko zahir karta hai. Agar supply area tora nahi jata, to giravat ka imkaan qaim rahega. Lekin agar yeh tor diya jaye, to izafa mazeed hosakta hai. Is liye EURUSD ke mustaqbil ke liye 1.0911 supply area aur bearish harami pattern ko mutwazin tor par dekhbhal

Salam, EUR/USD European trading mein haftay ke gain ko 1.0900 tak barha raha hai. Jari US dollar ki kamzori ke chaltey pair ke support mein ijmaar jaari hai, jis ke piche soft US CPI data aur USD/JPY sell-off ka bhi kirdar hai. US PPI inflation data ka intezaar hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 70 ke upar hai, jis se nazar aata hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi technically overbought hai, haalanki Thursday ke late US session mein kuch kami nazar aayi.

Neche 1.0840-1.0850 (Fibonacci 23.6% latest uptrend, retracement of static levels) pehli support ke tor par aata hai pehle 1.0800, jahan 100-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages hote hain. Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 ke upar chadhte hue aur ise support ke tor par tasdiq karte, to phir 1.0950 (static level) next resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai phir 1.1000 (psychological level, static level). Thursday ke US session mein pair ne aapna sarvottam star ko choo liya tha, jise 1.0900 tak pahunchate hue dekha gaya tha. Ek neeche ki correction ke baad pair ne European session mein Friday ko aaram se 1.0850 ke upar daka laga rakha.

US dollar ko zor ka samna tha soft US inflation data ki wajah se. Mahine ke hisab se, Consumer Price Index me 0.1 percent ki kami dikhai di, jabki core CPI sirf 0.1 percent barha over the same period. Dono hi readings market ke expectations se kam thi aur investors ko September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed jaari rakhi. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ko policy rates ko September mein be change rakna ke chances 10 ke nichhe they. PICH day main, Producer Price Index data for June US economic docket mein shamil hai. Mahine ke hisab se, PPI ka 0.1 percent barhne ka tajaawur hai. Ek negative reading USD par aur dabaw dal sakti hai aur EUR/USD ko oopar le jane mein madad kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, ek mazboot tajaawur maazbot dollar ke rivayton ke khilaf madadgar ho sakti hai, magar market ke reaction mein had maayat ho sakti hai.

Iss trading week mein Euro ki keemat US dollar ke muqablay mein EUR/USD bullish rahi, aur 1.0948 resistance level tak gain kiya, jo ke currency pair ke liye chaar mahine ka sabse uncha resistance level hai. Is analysis ke waqt, ye 1.0935 level ke qareeb settle hua hai, European Central Bank ke announcement ka intezar karte hue. Forex trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK inflation release ke baad US dollar ke girne se Euro ki keemat mein izafa hua.
Aam tor par, US dollar ko widespread pressure ka samna hai jabke foreign exchange markets mid-week session mein fluctuate kar rahi hain. Iska sabab British pound/US dollar exchange rate mein izafa aur Bank of Japan ke possible intervention hai, jo Euro ki keemat ko mazboot kar raha hai. Dollar ki bechne ka amal UK mein strong services inflation figure ke baad hua, jisne Bank of England ke August 1 ko interest rate cut ke chances ko kam kar diya.

Economic calendar data front pe, Eurozone ke inflation rate ki confirmation hui. Official announcement ke mutabiq, June 2024 mein Euro area ka annual inflation rate 2.5% confirm hua, jo ke May mein 2.6% aur pichle saal 5.5% tha. Energy prices 0.2% se kam hui jo ke pehle 0.3% thi, jabke food, alcohol, aur tobacco prices 2.4% se kam hui jo pehle 2.6% thi. Doosri taraf, services (4.1%) aur non-energy industrial goods (0.7%) mein inflation stable rahi. Pichle mahine ke muqable mein, CPI 0.2% se barh gaya, jo ke May aur preliminary estimates ke mutabiq same level par hai.

Isi waqt, core consumer prices, jo energy, food, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karti hain, year-on-year 2.9% barhi, jo ke May ka same level hai. Bloc ke sabse bade economies mein, inflation Germany (2.5% vs. 2.8%), France (2.5% vs. 2.6%), aur Spain (3.6% vs. 3.8%) mein slow hui, lekin Italy (0.9% vs. 0.8) mein barhi. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, Euro ke price mein US dollar ke muqable mein upward shift hai, bulls control mein hain aur trend 1.1000 ke psychological resistance ko cross karke mazboot ho raha hai. Is resistance ko break karne se technical indicators overbought levels tak pohnch jayenge. Doosri taraf, agar Euro/Dollar ka price 1.0790 support ki taraf retrace karta hai, to ye current upward rebound ke liye khatra maana jayega. Euro ke price ko European Central Bank ki announcement aur Governor Lagarde ke statements seedha affect karenge. Additionally,

EUR/USD currency pair par guftagu karoonga. Seedha chart par chalte hain, aur main daily time frame se shuru karoonga takay hum zyada broadly dekh sakein ke market kaisa chal raha hai. Yeh chart dikhata hai ke peechli keemat mein kami ek double bottom chart pattern ban gaya hai, jaisa ke neechay tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai. Yeh girawat na hui aur 1.0710 ke support level ko tod diya, isliye Thursday ko keemat kaafi had tak 225 pips ke qareeb upar chali gayi. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq is pair mein aglay keemat ke movement mein, keemat zyada buland hone ka imkan hai aur 1.0760 ke resistance level ko test karne ka imkan hai, keemat ko taqwiyat ke saath. H4 time frame par, aik trend reversal pattern aya hai jo pehle ke bearish position se abhi ke bullish position tak aya hai, aur Bollinger band indicator ne ishara diya hai ke mojooda keemat ka halat mid-BB area ke upar hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke ab kharidardar kaafi dominant hain. Agar market mazeed buland rehti hai to aglay haftay ke doran keemat phir se buland hone ka zyada imkan hai. Abhi, main andaza lagata hoon ke keemat ko 1.0765 ke resistance ko test karna hoga, jo ke mojooda keemat se lagbhag 230 pips door hai takay woh mazeed taqwiyat hasil kar sake qareeb bhavishya mein. Is pair mein, kharidne ki option ka bohot zyada ahmiyat hai kyunke is par bohot zyada wazan hai. Aglay haftay ke trading ke liye manzoori. Hum pehle diye gaye technical analysis se ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke EUR/USD pair pehle se hi ek bullish trend mein hai, isliye aglay haftay ke trading plan ke mutabiq, main bechna ke bajaye kharidne ki taraf rujhan deta hoon is pair par. Area mein dakhil hone ke liye, main pehle keemat ko girte hue dekhna pasand karonga takay woh nazdeeki support level tak correction kare, jis par ek SL lagayi jayegi jiska qareebi faida 30 pips hai aur kam se kam inaam 30 se 40 pips hai. Position ko lambay arsey tak rakhne ke liye, aap use najdeeki resistance level par rakh sakte hain. Mere trading scheme mein bechnay ki option shamil na hone ke bawajood, mera sab se zyada priority kharidne ki option par bani rahti hai jab tak keemat support EUR/USD currency pair ko influence karte hain. Eurozone aur USA ke economic data releases, jese ke GDP growth rates, unemployment data, inflation reports, aur central bank policies, currency pair ke movements ko significantly affect karte hain. Eurozone ka positive economic data Euro ki strength ko support karega aur price ko resistance level breach karne mein madadgar hoga. Wahi pe, USA ka strong economic data USD ki strength ko barhata hai aur Euro ki value ko pressurize karta hai.
Resistance area mein trading ke liye mukhtalif strategies adopt ki ja sakti hain. Ek common strategy yeh hai ke resistance area ke qareeb short positions lena, kyunke expectation hoti hai ke price is level se gir jayegi. Lekin agar strong bullish signals mil rahe hain, to breakout trading strategy use ki ja sakti hai, jahan pe resistance level breach hone pe buy positions lena suitable hota hai. Stop loss aur take profit levels ko carefully set karna bhi zaroori hai taake risk ko manage kiya ja sake.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously

EUR/USD par pressure dal raha hai, woh United States se aane wala recent labor market data hai. Higher-than-expected payroll numbers ne softening labor demand ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke recent employment indicators se paida hui thi. April ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data aur May ke liye ADP Employment Change dono ne expectations se kum perform kiya, jabke 31 May tak ke week ke Initial Jobless Claims ne estimates ko exceed kar diya, jo ke labor market mein thodi cooling dikhata hai.
Is labor data ne investors ko apni expectations reconsider karne par majboor kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut karega. Iske natije mein US Treasury bond yields elevated rahein. Persistent high yields aur equity markets mein cautious sentiment ne safe-haven US Dollar (USD) ko mazid support diya, jo ke EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal raha hai.
EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.
EUR/USD pair ke liye mufeed outlook ko tasdeeq karega aur pair ko agle relevant resistance tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0960-1.0965 area ke qareeb hai. Momentum March peak, yani 1.0880 area ke paar ja sakta hai, jisse spot prices ko pehli baar January se pehle 1.1000 psychological mark tak pohnchne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, European Central Bank (ECB) meeting ke qareeb jaate hue.
Dusra mudda ye hai ke kisi bhi maayne dar dip ke doran zahir ho sakta hai ke neeche ki taraf naye buyers attract ho jayenge, jo ke descending trend-line resistance breakpoint ke qareeb, 1.0870-1.0865 area mein honge. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye downside ko qareeb 1.0800 confluence support tak seemit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, support 1.0755-1.0750 horizontal zone ke qareeb hai, jise agar toota jaaye to spot prices ko 1.0700 mark se neeche le ja sakta hai, June swing low, yani 1.0665 area ke taraf.

EUR/USD D1 chart

Kuch purani posts milin jin ka date July 5 tha, aur aaj humaray paas ninth hai. Toh maine socha ke daily chart pe situation ko wave technique se dekha jaye: MA100 parallel to floor space mein kaam kar rahi hai - jo ke week ke dauran flat mood ka signal hai. MA18 ne ek waqt mein bearish mood dikhaya: yeh thirty degrees ke trend angle pe niche ki taraf move kar rahi thi. MA100 ko top se bottom cross kiya, aur ek dead cross banaya - jo ke sell signal hai. Lekin pichle haftay ke bulls ke asar ke neechay, jab woh vertical ascending channel mein north ki taraf move kar rahe thay. Aur yeh light moving average bhi floor ke parallel space mein kaam kar rahi hai. Sab candles moving averages, guiding averages, aur local Nichimoku cloud ke upar space mein ban rahi hain. Yeh iska matlab hai ke humara mood bullish rehta hai. Nichimoku cloud is waqt bullish rangon mein hai. Forecasting ke point of view se, Kumo bears ke favor mein jata hai. Aur - MA100 ke upar position mein stagnate kar raha hai - yeh signal hai ke bears abhi real nahi hain, filhal - sirf correction dikhate hain, aur phir - kaafi mumkin hai - hum dobara upar jayen. Abhi tak mujhe is instrument pe sirf flat dikh raha hai
Atlantic ke par, focus Germany ke inflation data pe shift hota hai Thursday ko, jo ke eurozone ke price pressures pe insights provide karega. Expectation yeh hai ke inflation stubbornly 2.5% ke aas paas rehti hai, jo ke European Central Bank ka 2% target exceed karti hai. Yeh persistent inflation eurozone ki economic recovery pe pressure dalti hai aur ECB ke monetary policy decisions ko challenge karti hai. Euro khud US dollar ke against comeback ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh recently December 2023 se jo downtrend line in place thi uske upar break karne mein kamiyab raha, jo ke potential reversal signal karta hai. Lekin technical indicators resistance levels around 1.0859 aur 1.0998 ko hurdles banate hain euro ke ascent ke liye. Conversely, agar key moving average ke niche fall hoti hai toh yeh further decline trigger kar sakti hai towards 1.0630 level. Aane wale din euro ke liye ek critical test honge, jahan political uncertainty aur economic data ke interplay se iska short-term trajectory determine hoga

EUR/USD H4 Analysis

Hamarey bechari mein hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price changes ka tajziya karenge. Powell ne ECB forum mein baat ki aur, hamesha ki tarah, US dollar ko "drop" kar diya, halaan ke Lagarde ne us se pehle baat ki thi aur thodi si euro ko support di thi. Bawajood Powell ke kuch naye baat na kehne ke, EUR/USD 1.0739 level ko tor kar 1.0749 resistance ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Critical resistance level, jo ke EMA-200 se marked hai, 1.0759 par hai. Ye samajhna mushkil hai ke market ne Powell par is tarah ka reaction kyun diya, kyunki uski remarks groundbreaking nahi the. Usne kaha ke labor market mazboot hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur disinflation ke signs hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke halaan ke inflation sahi direction mein ja raha hai, lekin abhi kehna mushkil hai ke yeh waisa hi rahega. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed apne faislay mein jald bazi nahi karega aur US aur Europe ki inflation alag issues hain jo mukhtalif approaches mangti hain. Bawajood uske comments ke, market hesitant hai US dollar ko khareedne ke liye.

Europe mein siyasi developments ne market sentiment ko kaafi mutasir kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections jo Euro pe confidence ko dent karti hain. France ka apni parliament ko tor kar snap elections ka elan, jo ke President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein substantial defeat ke baad kiya, ne market uncertainty ko barhaya hai.

Marine Le Pen, jo ke National Rally ki ek right-leaning conservative politician hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ka prospect financial markets ko hilaa raha hai. Le Pen ka platform, jo ke steep tax cuts, retirement age ko kam karna aur stringent immigration controls shamil karta hai, France mein kaafi popular ho gaya hai.

Le Pen ke jeetne ka potential European financial markets mein apprehension paida kar raha hai. Unki policies significant fiscal challenges impose kar sakti hain jab European economic indicators pehle hi underperform kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) persistent inflation issues ke wajah se rate cuts implement karne mein constrained hai Eurozone mein.





4o