Recent bearish trend ka aik ahem sabab Swiss franc ki taqat hai, jo traditionally ek safe-haven currency samjha jata hai. Jab global economic uncertainty hoti hai, investors aam tor par safer assets jese ke Swiss franc ki taraf jate hain, jis se Swiss franc U.S. dollar ke muqable mein mazid strong ho jata hai. Iske ilawa, U.S. dollar bhi kuch pressure face kar raha hai due to mukhtalif factors, jin mein weak economic data releases aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions shamil hain.
Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance USD/CHF pair ki movement mein aik badi role ada karta hai. Agar Fed interest rates ko barhane ka faisla karta hai, to U.S. dollar mazid strong ho sakta hai, jis se current bearish trend ka reversal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar Fed rates ko barqarar rakhta hai ya unhe cut karta hai, to dollar mazid kamzor ho sakta hai, aur bearish momentum ko taqat mil sakti hai.
Doosri taraf, Swiss National Bank (SNB) bhi apni monetary policy ke hawale se kaafi ehtiyat se kaam le raha hai. Agar SNB koi unexpected moves kare, jaise ke interest rates mein tabdeeli ya foreign exchange market mein intervention, to USD/CHF pair mein aik achanak shift aa sakti hai. Traders ko central banks ke announcements aur policy statements par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh ek badi move ke triggers ban sakte hain.
Technical analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke USD/CHF pair kuch critical support levels ke qareeb aa raha hai. Agar price in levels se neeche break karta hai, to bearish trend tez ho sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar support se bounce milta hai to yeh potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, ya kam az kam downtrend mein aik temporary pause dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Key technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur relative strength index (RSI), ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake koi potential trend change identify ho sake.
Akhir mein, jabke USD/CHF bearish direction mein trade kar raha hai, market ek potential breakout ke liye tayar hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur agle kuch dinon mein badi movement ke liye tayari karni chahiye, khaaskar jab economic data releases aur central bank decisions samne ayenge. Slow market ke bawajood, ek achanak shift bohot se traders ko surprise kar sakta hai, isliye zaroori hai ke traders apni positions ko ehtiyaat se manage karein aur puri maloomat se waqif rahein.