Usd/jpy

USD/JPY Price Action

Haal hi mein USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza lena ek ahem mawzu ban gaya hai. Main koi hint nahi de raha, magar currency market section mein geopolitical issues par baat karne se thak gaya hoon. Raat ko Middle East mein nayi tensions ka izhaar hua hai, aur agar kuch hota hai, to Monday ko market ki opening USD/JPY ke liye kuch surprises laa sakti hai. Har surat mein, ye Japanese yen ko mazid mazbooti ki taraf le jayegi. Bearish trend ab bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko quotes 147.90 ke upar nahi jaati, to shayad is price se selling market mein enter karna theek hoga. Lekin hum is idea ko weekend ke baad analyze karenge taake sab fundamental factors ko dhyan mein rakha ja sake. Agar hum USD/JPY pair ke last maximum se downward impulse ko 100% samjhen, to agla downward wave 133rd figure ke aas-paas hona chahiye, jahan nearest 138th Fibonacci level hai.

Yeh wahi jagah hai jahan yen ko upward correction ke complete hone ke baad dekhna chahiye. Trend line ke neeche consolidation aur breakout ke saath, aage ke southern zigzag banane ke grounds hain. Hourly chart dekhte hue, humein 146.30 ka ek achha support level milta hai, jo last Tuesday ka high hai, aur price ne is par ek baar bounce kiya hai, aur general tor par, week is level ke upar close hui hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ki agle trading week mein is level se long positions open karna mumkin ho sakta hai. Aise positions ka goal ye hoga ke USD/JPY currency pair 161st Fibonacci level tak barh sakti hai, jo lagbhag 151.70 hai. Mujhe lagta hai ki agle hafte hum 148.53 tak pahunchenge, ya kam se kam 200 points milenge. Main recommend karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko double-check karein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur USA ke taraf se kai important news planned hain, isliye foundation bhi price movement ko effect karegi.

USD/JPY ka Fundamental Phase

Jumeraat, 1st August ko, New York mein din ke aakhir mein U.S. greenback yen ke muqable mein 0.21% gira aur 149.65 par close hua. Is se pehle yeh 148.51 tak pohonch gaya tha, jo ke 15 March ke baad ka sabse lowest point tha. Halanki, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke zariye release ki gayi statement thodi balanced thi, lekin Budh ke din Powell ne kaha ke agar U.S. economy expected path par develop karti hai, toh interest rates September tak reduce ho sakti hain. Unki iss statement ka asar foreign exchange market par investors ke liye zyada important tha.

Abhi ke liye, traders ne year ke end se pehle 25 basis points ke 3 rate cuts ka expectation fully digest kar liya hai, aur yeh expected hai ke Federal Reserve apni September, November, aur December ki meetings mein interest rates cut karega. Agla important U.S. economic data jo Fed ki policy ko drive kar sakta hai, wo Friday ko July ka employment report hoga.

USD/JPY ka Technical Phase

Expect kiya ja raha hai ke report yeh show karegi ke July mein 175,000 jobs add hui hain, aur unemployment rate 4.1% par barqarar rahega. Agar non-agricultural data mein koi surprise nahi hota, toh market ka Fed ke September rate cut par confidence nahi hilega. Bank of Japan ke rate hike se boosted yen ke further rise hone ke chances hain. Yani yeh keh sakte hain ke kuch aur taraqqi bhi ho sakti hai (Federal Open Market Committee) ke 2% target ko achieve karne mein, jabke unemployment rate 4.1% par stable rahe.

**USD/JPY ka Asasi Pehlu**

Jumeraat, 1 August ko, New York mein din ke ikhtitam par U.S. dollar yen ke muqablay mein 0.21% neeche gir gaya, aur 149.65 par band hua. Is se pehle, yeh 148.51 par chala gaya, jo ke 15 March ke baad se sab se kam hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki taraf se jaari honay wali bayaan ka lehaaz se zyada mutawazan lag raha tha, lekin budh ko Powell ne kaha ke agar U.S. ma'eeshat mutawaqqa raaste par chalti rahi, toh September tak bawajaqat rate cut ho sakta hai. Unke is bayaan ka asar forex market par zyada investors ke liye tawajjo ka markaz raha. Filhaal, tajiron ne poori tarah se teen martaba 25 basis points ke rate cut ka intezar kar liya hai jo ke saal ke ikhtitam se pehle hone ki umeed hai, aur Federal Reserve se yeh tawakko ki ja rahi hai ke woh apni September, November, aur December ke ijlason mein rate cut karega. Agla aham U.S. ma'eeshi data jo ke Fed ki policy ko faraham kar sakta hai, woh Juma ko July employment report hogi.

**USD/JPY ka Technical Pehlu**

Report mein yeh dikhaya gaya hai ke July mein 175,000 jobs shaamil ki gayi hain, aur be-rozgaari ki sharah 4.1% par qayam rehne ki umeed hai. Agar non-agricultural data mein koi hairani nahi hoti, toh market ka Fed ke September rate cut par aitmaad mutasarrar rahega. Yen, jo ke Bank of Japan ke rate hike se mazid taqatwar hoti ja rahi hai, mazeed upar jaane ka chance rakhta hai. Is ke ilawa, (Federal Open Market) Committee ke 2% target ko hasil karne mein bhi kuch mazeed taraqqi hui hai, jab ke be-rozgaari ki sharah ko 4.1% par qaim rakha gaya hai.

**USD/JPY Analysis Updates - 13 August 2024**
"Aud/USD market mein price increase ka faida abhi bhi ho sakta hai."

USD/JPY pair ki trend journey ko monitor karte hue dekha gaya ke pichle hafte mein bullish movement thi. Jab forex market ne last night early trading period mein operate kiya, to price position ab bhi increase ko continue kar rahi thi. Jo candlestick pehle sellers ne push down karke 141.71 ke aas-paas girayi thi, ab phir se 147.51 zone ki taraf upar aayi hai. Dekha jaye to, market mein aaj tak jo price increase hui hai, usse lagta hai ke sellers ke paas movement ka koi bhi faida nahi hai jo pichle hafte mein thoda decrease laa sake.

Shayad aaj raat trading ke doran aur bhi zyada volatile bullish journey dekhne ko mil sakti hai jab tak market close nahi hoti. USD/JPY market ka chart dekhne se, yeh lagta hai ke price rise karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Main ne 4-hour aur 1-hour time frames par situation ko monitor kiya. Pichle kuch hafton mein sellers ne price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish ki, lekin last week mein ye efforts successful nahi hui, isliye upar ki taraf bounce dekha gaya. Market mein long-term sentiment ab bhi bullish trend mein lagta hai, isliye current market situation par focus rehna behtar hai.

Market conditions ke mutabiq, 4-hour time frame se dekha jaye to weekly trend ab bhi Uptrend ki taraf ja raha hai. Current market situation consolidation zone mein chal rahi hai jo aaj subah se shuru hui thi. Pichle hafte ki trading mein buyers ne price ko upar le jane ki koshish ki thi. Last night tak results se lagta hai ke buyer power ab bhi market mein aa rahi hai aur buying transaction volume kaafi volatile hai, jo price trend ko Uptrend ki taraf le jaa raha hai.

**Trading Recommendations: BUY (4-Hour Chart)**

**Position Opening Strategy:**

Daily time frame par monitor karne se dekha gaya ke 148.00 zone ke aas-paas ek important price zone tha jo buyers ne last night successfully reach kiya. Lekin, sellers ke sell transaction ki wajah se, price ab bhi iske neeche chal rahi hai. Pichle kuch din ke market situation aur is hafte ke shuru mein market trend ko dekhte hue, market trend ko bullish price continue karne ka faida lagta hai. Candlesticks ki increase ab 100-period simple moving average zone ke kareeb hai.


Agar candlestick journey 147.58 price zone ko touch karti hai, to according to the analysis, yeh area Buy position kholne ke liye ideal zone hai. Agle bullish journey ke target ke liye, buyers shayad 147.96 area ko test karne ki koshish karenge, aur dusre buyers ko upward price trend support dene ke liye opportunities open karenge, taake candlestick week ke shuruat ke highest trading zone ko paar kar sake.

USD/JPY/H4/160.35


آج ہمارے پاس اعلیٰ اثرات والی خبریں ہیں۔ مختلف کرنسیوں سے متعلق خبروں کا اعلیٰ اثر ہے۔ ہمارے پاس کچھ کم اور درمیانے اثرات کی خبریں بھی ہیں۔ اس علاقے میں اور نیچے دی گئی کرنسیوں سے متعلق کسی بھی جوڑی کے ساتھ بہت زیادہ اتار چڑھاؤ ہو گا۔ تاجروں کو اس کا نوٹ لینا چاہیے اور آج ٹریڈنگ کرتے وقت پیسے کے انتظام کی مہارتوں کا اچھا استعمال کرنا چاہیے۔ احتیاط کے ساتھ تجارت کرنا سیکھیں۔ فاریکس مارکیٹ کی تجارت میں یہ بہت اہم ہے۔ آج ہمارے پاس موجود خبروں کے بارے میں مزید معلومات کے لیے نیچے دی گئی تصویر پر ایک نظر ڈالیں۔
USD/JPY/H4/160.35


دیا گیا ہے کہ تکنیکی تجزیہ اور چارٹ کے نمونے، اس مقام پر ایک خریداری کی انٹری لینا عقلمندی ہے۔ اس تجارت کے لیے فوری ہدف 161.82 کی سطح ہوگا۔ یہ ہدف حالیہ قیمت کی حرکات اور مزاحمتی سطحوں کی بنیاد پر منتخب کیا گیا ہے۔ خطرے کو مؤثر طریقے سے منظم کرنے کے لیے، 162.25 کی سطح پر ایک اسٹاپ لاس مقرر کرنا دانشمندی ہے۔ یہ اسٹاپ لاس لیول موجودہ مزاحمت سے تھوڑا اوپر ہے، اس بات کو یقینی بناتے ہوئے کہ اگر تجارت توقع کے مطابق نہ ہو تو ممکنہ نقصانات کو کم کیا جائے۔

کل، USD/JPY جوڑی نے بلند علاقوں میں تجارت کی اور دن کے آس پاس 161.25 پر بند ہوا۔ آج، یہ اوپر کی طرف بڑھا ہے اور 161.65 کی قیمت کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا ہے۔ ذیل میں گھنٹہ وار چارٹ پر ایک نظر ڈالیں، یہ قابل ذکر ہے کہ USD/JPY 160.35 پر MA (200) H4 کی حرکت پذیر اوسط لائن سے اوپر ٹریڈ کر رہا ہے۔ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ہمارے پاس ایک جیسی صورتحال ہے کیونکہ USD/JPY فی الحال MA (200) H4 کی حرکت پذیر اوسط لائن سے اوپر ٹریڈ کر رہا ہے۔ اس نوٹ پر، اوپر بیان کردہ حقائق کو مدنظر رکھتے ہوئے، تاجروں کو اصلاح کے بعد خریداری کے لیے ایک اچھا اندراج نقطہ تلاش کرنے کا مشورہ دیا جاتا ہے۔ نیچے دی گئی تصویر اور چارٹ اس تجزیے پر بہتر معلومات فراہم کرتے ہیں۔ براہ کرم اس پر ایک نظر ڈالیں۔

USD/JPY trades ka tajziya aur tips:

146.97 ka price test tab hua jab MACD indicator ne zero line se downward move karna shuru kiya, jo ke dollar sell karne ke liye correct entry point ko confirm karta hai. Iske natije mein, USD/JPY pair 60 pips neeche gir gaya. Aaj ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai kyun ke Friday ko dollar ke girne ke baad usay foran wapas khareed liya gaya. Volatility shaayad achi level par barqarar rahegi, jo dollar ko mazeed barhne ka moqa de sakti hai—khaaskar is hafte kuch ahem fundamental data aane se pehle. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Bank of Japan ke numaindon ke potential speeches aur statements stock market mein halat ko behtar kar sakti hain aur forex market ko stable kar sakti hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada reliance scenario No. 1 aur 2 ke implementations par rakhunga.

**Buy signals**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko us waqt khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point 147.35 ke aas paas pohonche, jo chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur target 147.83 tak rise ka hoga, jo chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. Jab price 147.83 ke aas paas pohonch jaye, toh mein long positions exit kar ke opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, aur expect karunga ke wahan se 30-35 pips ke movement opposite direction mein ho. Aaj pair ke rise hone ki umeed hai as part of upward correction. Lekin jitna pair upar jayega, utna hi dollar sell karna attractive hoga. Ahem: Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahan se rise karna shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko is surat mein bhi khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 147.04 ka do baar consecutive tests hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upturn de sakta hai. Aap growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 147.35 aur 147.83 tak.

**Sell signals**

**Scenario No. 1:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko us waqt sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 147.04 ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur yeh pair mein rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 146.57 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karke foran opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, aur expect karunga ke wahan se 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein ho. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar pehle half day mein correction successful na ho aur daily high test na ho. Ahem: Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se decline karna shuru kar raha ho

USD/JPY trades ka tajziya aur tips:

146.97 ka price test tab hua jab MACD indicator ne zero line se downward move karna shuru kiya, jo ke dollar sell karne ke liye correct entry point ko confirm karta hai. Iske natije mein, USD/JPY pair 60 pips neeche gir gaya. Aaj ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai kyun ke Friday ko dollar ke girne ke baad usay foran wapas khareed liya gaya. Volatility shaayad achi level par barqarar rahegi, jo dollar ko mazeed barhne ka moqa de sakti hai—khaaskar is hafte kuch ahem fundamental data aane se pehle. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Bank of Japan ke numaindon ke potential speeches aur statements stock market mein halat ko behtar kar sakti hain aur forex market ko stable kar sakti hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada reliance scenario No. 1 aur 2 ke implementations par rakhunga.

**Buy signals**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko us waqt khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point 147.35 ke aas paas pohonche, jo chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur target 147.83 tak rise ka hoga, jo chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. Jab price 147.83 ke aas paas pohonch jaye, toh mein long positions exit kar ke opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, aur expect karunga ke wahan se 30-35 pips ke movement opposite direction mein ho. Aaj pair ke rise hone ki umeed hai as part of upward correction. Lekin jitna pair upar jayega, utna hi dollar sell karna attractive hoga. Ahem: Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahan se rise karna shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko is surat mein bhi khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 147.04 ka do baar consecutive tests hota hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upturn de sakta hai. Aap growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 147.35 aur 147.83 tak.

**Sell signals**

**Scenario No. 1:** Mein aaj USD/JPY ko us waqt sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 147.04 ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur yeh pair mein rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 146.57 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karke foran opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, aur expect karunga ke wahan se 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein ho. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar pehle half day mein correction successful na ho aur daily high test na ho. Ahem: Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se decline karna shuru kar raha ho

Hamari current focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ko evaluate karne par hai. USD/JPY ki price apni current levels se decline kar sakti hai, lekin meri raye mein, upward correction abhi tak itni significant nahi hui. Jab price sharply drop hui thi, toh uski recovery minimal rahi. Magar yeh meri perspective hai, aur market aksar apna rasta khud banata hai, jo ke meri raye se mil bhi sakta hai aur nahi bhi (is dafa shayad mil jaye). Hum ek bearish trend anticipate kar sakte hain—isse koi shak nahi. Lekin agle hafta (ya shayad do ya teen hafton mein), yeh faidemand hoga agar price 150.01 ke upar push kar sake aur yeh impression create ho ke upward trend shayad continue kare. Broader market mein, agar US dollar thoda strengthen ho, toh yeh beneficial ho sakta hai. Ek trading method ke mutabiq jo Fibonacci grid use karta hai, yeh logical hoga ke price 156.65 (9%) tak rise kare pehle ke 132.46 (50%) tak decline ho.

Friday ko, pair ne kuch selling pressure experience kiya. Main Monday ke movement ka andaza lagaunga, dekhte hue ke bearish trend continue karega ya koi alternative scenario unfold ho sakta hai. Iske liye, aaj ka technical analysis dekhte hain aur recommendations review karte hain. Moving averages selling suggest karte hain, technical indicators strongly selling recommend karte hain, aur overall conclusion bhi selling ka hai. Yeh technical analysis bearish direction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ab, Monday ke liye kisi significant news releases ko consider karte hain. Japan se koi major news nahi nazar aa rahi, khaaskar isliye ke Monday ko holiday hai. US se kuch essential news hogi, lekin forecast abhi tak neutral hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, humein expect karna chahiye ke pair sideways move kare. Sales price ko 145.46 ke support level tak push kar sakti hai, jabke buying ise 147.91 ke resistance level tak le ja sakti hai.

Hello traders, good morning. Daily pivot point analysis ke base par, USD/JPY ab strengthening area mein hai aur daily candle ke upper side par yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke yeh purane high candle area ko break kar raha hai. Iske baad, downward correction ki umeed rakhein aur buy entry us waqt lein jab daily candle area se 38% tak kamzor ho. Filhal buy entry ka waqt theek nahi hai kyunki price abhi kal ki close candle ke area mein hai. Aaj European session ya US session mein price ke wapas kamzor hone ka intezar karein. Technical analysis ke liye, hamesha previous history ko reference banaya jata hai jo aaj ki price movement ke liye madadgar hoga. Analysis ke hisaab se, main buying entry tab consider karunga jab price aaj ke movement se thodi kamzor ho aur weekly resistance point 2 tak majbooti ki umeed hai, jo niche diye gaye picture mein dikhaya gaya hai.
Overall, main is instrument ke liye apna plan barqarar rakhta hoon aur puri ummeed hai ke aaj ke din nearest resistance level par reaction dekhne ko milega, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 161.951 par hai. Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, is resistance level ke aas-paas do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar rahe aur north ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan achieve hota hai, toh main price ke agle resistance level 164.500 tak jane ki umeed rakhunga. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading pattern formation ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Yahan tak ke price distant northern target 168.000 tak pohnchne ki possibility bhi hai. Lekin, agar yeh plan achieve hota hai, toh price movement ke dauran south ki taraf pullback hone ki poori umeed hai, jise main nearest support levels se bullish signals dekhne ke liye use karunga, price ke increase ke liye global bullish trend formation ke under.

Resistance level 161.951 ko test karne ke baad price movement ka ek aur alternative plan yeh hai ke reversal candle formation ho aur price phir se neeche chale. Agar yeh plan hota hai, toh main price ke support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. In support levels ke paas bhi bullish signals dekhne ki koshish karunga, price ke increase ki umeed mein. Ek aur distant southern target tak pohnchne ki possibility bhi hai, lekin filhal is par zyada focus nahi kar raha kyunki iske jaldi achieve hone ke prospects nazar nahi aa rahe. Overall, agar main summarize karoon, toh filhal mujhe lagta hai ke price nearest resistance level par react karegi aur agar buyers is level ko hold kar lete hain, toh main apne targets ko zyada distant northern target ki taraf move kar dunga.

USD/JPY Outlook Analysis:
USD/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par, currency pair filhal mazbooti ke signs dikhata hai. Yeh tab nazar aata hai jab price ne recently previous high candle ke upper boundary ko breach kar diya hai, jo bullish momentum ka ishara hai. Aisa breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke USD/JPY ek stronger phase mein enter kar raha hai, jo trend ke continue hone par mazeed faida de sakta hai. Isliye, buy entry lene se pehle anticipated correction ka intezar karna behtar hai. Key strategy yeh hai ke recent uptrend ke 38% Fibonacci level par retracement ko monitor kiya jaye. Yeh level ek significant support area ke tor par jaana jata hai jahan buying pressure phir se barh sakta hai, aur traders ke liye ek behtar entry point offer kar sakta hai. Jab tak price is Fibonacci level tak retrace nahi karti, buy position lena premature ho sakta hai, kyunki price abhi previous day’s closing range ke bounds mein hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market shayad naye bullish move ko sustain nahi kar sakta. Jabke USD/JPY pair positive strength dikhata hai, buy entry consider karne se pehle downward correction aur 38% Fibonacci level tak retracement ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Is strategic level ke intezar se successful trade ki likelihood barh sakti hai aur market movements ke sath better align ho sakti hai.




USD/JPY ke H4 Time Frame Chart:

USD/JPY ke H4 time frame chart par, currency pair corrective phase se guzra hai, aur recently yen ya dollar par koi significant news nahi aayi. Is correction ke bawajood, market ka bearish trend Thursday tak continue rehne ka possibility hai. Market ke potential direction ko samajhne ke liye US unemployment claims data ka analysis zaroori hai, jo labor market ke current state ke baare mein insights provide kar sakta hai. Agar data labor market ke kamzor hone ko show karta hai, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Lekin, recent US unemployment claims data ke results expected se behtar the. Yeh unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko boost diya hai, jisse dollar yen ke muqablay mein appreciate hua hai. Data ke behtar performance se yeh indication milti hai ke labor market shayad pehle se behtar condition mein hai, jo dollar ko mazbooti de sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko closely monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ko samjha ja sake. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur currency movements ko influence karne wale immediate aur broader economic factors ko consider karna chahiye.

Good morning, pichle 4 ghanton ka UsdJpy pair chart dekhne se lagta hai ke market consolidation phase mein hai. Pehle price bohot zyada bearish thi, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke market sellers ke pressure mein hai. Is wajah se agle price movement ke bearish hone ki zyada ummeed hai. Mere khayal mein, Sell transaction karna zyada mehfooz rahega. Kal se price girne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur market ke band hone par is subah seller ne market par control bana rakha hai. Candlesticks 151.96 ke level tak gir sakti hain. Pichle kuch dinon ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue, trend kaafi clear hai ke downward side ki taraf ja raha hai.
Jese ke kal bearish situation thi, price niche gayi aur lagta hai ke bearishness aur gehri ho sakti hai. Aaj market band hai, aur price temporarily 153.76 area mein ruk gayi hai. Mere nazariye se, market ki overall situation se yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke price ke paas phir se girne ka mauqa hai aur agle kuch dinon tak bearish trend continue kar sakta hai. Lekin abhi thori confirmation zaroori hai taake market direction ka support mil sake, kyun ke trend ke hisaab se price aage bhi niche ja sakti hai.

Market mein price journey ki prediction yeh hai ke price 152.96 area tak gir sakti hai, is wajah se downtrend continue karne ka chance hai. Market ki conditions ko dekhte hue, jo ke abhi bhi decline zone mein hai, agle hafte bhi market isi direction mein rehne ka potential rakhti hai. Sellers market ko dominate karne ka plan bana sakte hain aur bearish movements mein lowest area tak jaane ki koshish kar sakte hain. UsdJpy market mein future trading plan ke liye, main Sell position choose karta hoon.

Aaj, USDJPY ki trading 147.23 ke price se shuru hui. Agar aap h1 timeframe dekhain, to candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully break hota hai, to USDJPY aur upar barh sakta hai. Lekin, agar resistance area ko nahi paar kiya jaata, to USDJPY phir se neeche aayega. Pichle Thursday ko, USDJPY girne ke baad phir upar gaya tha. Yeh tab hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi aur iski movement bhi kaafi high thi, kyunki yeh 150 pips tak upar gaya.
Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke paas abhi bhi barhne ka mauka hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko paar kar liya hai. Lekin aapko ehtiyaat bhi rakhni hogi kyunki candle MA50 line ko abhi tak nahi paar kar paayi. Wahan ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko girane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario kaam karta hai aur market participants ko yeh convince kar diya jata hai ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, to log is pair ko bechne lag sakte hain, kyunki price zyada upar nahi jana chahti aur ho sakta hai ke market participants soch rahe hain ke price ab is minimum ke neeche gir sakti hai.

Agar yeh trap kaam karta hai, to USDJPY initial key se bina kisi rollback ke 159.13 tak barh sakta hai, aur agar yeh hota hai, to wahan se 159.13 ke level se price neeche bhi gir sakti hai. Main khud yeh predict karta hoon ke USDJPY aage bhi barhega kyunki h1 pe support price 145.88 abhi tak todha nahi gaya. Isliye, main sabko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, sirf buy positions kholne par focus karne ki salahiyat deta hoon. Aap apna take profit target resistance price 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support price 145.45 par set kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY ne ek record high ko touch kiya hai, jo ke tez izafa aur munafa kamane ke mauqe ko darshata hai. US session se pehle girawat ka bhi imkaan ho sakta hai. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ka indication hai. Hourly aur 15-minute charts ki analysis ke mutabiq, girawat ka imkaan hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai aur USD/JPY pair ka higher zone mein move karne ke potential ko darshata hai. Is hafte ka trend pattern narrow range ke andar uptrend ko indicate karta hai. Modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh izafa agle hafte tak bhi jaari reh sakta hai, aur prices ke uptrend ko maintain karne ka expectation hai.
Subah ka candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hua, jo ke market trends ke rise ko suggest karta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar sakte hain, to USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko darshata hai aur support line ke taur par kaam karta hai. Bullish rally ke liye, buyers ko 162.15 pe resistance ko break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ko apne movement ko continue karne ka mauka dega. Pehla target 160.47 ka supply zone hoga, jahan historically sellers ne price ko neeche push kiya hai. Short side ki taraf reverse movement bhi ho sakta hai, lekin bears ko 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jo aksar price ke bounce-back zone ke taur par hota hai. Agar price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to bears ki strength confirm hoti hai, jo price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh recent trading session mein Wednesday ko clear tha jab price ne significant downward movement dekha. Chhoti timeframes par price position ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average ke upar hai, saath hi slight upward correction bhi dekha gaya hai. Aaj ki price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke aas-paas consolidate ho sakti hai, kyunki aise conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. H1 timeframe par market trend conditions ko analyze karne se clear hota hai ke market abhi downward phase mein hai, lekin range zyada wide nahi hai. Is hafte ka trend thoda bearish raha hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke upward movement ke baad se hai jo July 2024 se shuru hui thi.

Agar USD/JPY pair is level ke neeche hold nahi karta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke 168.00 ya usse lower ho sakte hain. Agar support hold hota hai, to rebound dekha ja sakta hai aur pair pichle highs ko 168.70-169.00 ke aas-paas test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur par kaam karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rahta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, moving average ke neeche sustained trading trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka indication de sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka test pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai. Traders ko is level ke aas-paas pair ka behavior closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future price movements ke regarding significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach apnaana, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karna, agle dino mein USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

Jaise ke maine pehle zikr kiya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ka tajziya weekly chart ke hawale se kiya gaya. Main yaad dilana chahunga ke price action method ka use kiya gaya tha, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break ke baad steep decline ko indicate kiya, aur uske baad sellers ne market ko kafi der tak apne control mein rakha. Total decline 1720 points ka tha, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ke ek significant Moving Average (MA) ke sath coincide karta tha. Main ne yeh sab screen pe draw kiya tha, jo direction ko rok gaya, aur price significant higher move ki taraf chal pada. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle hafte tak hum 148.53 tak pahunch sakte hain, jo ke kam se kam 200-point ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke aap apni trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US se kaafi significant news aa rahi hai, isliye fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge.
USD/JPY currency pair ne strong upward correction dekha hai, lekin main in prices par selling ke liye cautious feel kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agla hafta kya lata hai, kyunki humein is weekend ko bhi paar karna hai. Main nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch fix hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, to Monday ko market khulne par humein surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko aur strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend ab bhi relevant hai, aur agar prices Monday ko 147.90 mark ko break nahi karti, to selling ke liye market mein enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, hum is idea ko weekend par analyze karenge, sab fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final decision se pehle.




Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas ab bhi upar jane ka mauka hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin, ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki candle abhi tak MA50 line ko nahi paar kar paayi. Yahan se rebound ho sakta hai jo ultimately price ko neeche le jaa sakta hai. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario perform ho aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein enter karein, jab market participants sochne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur yahan se selling shuru ho jaye. Agar yeh trap kaam karta hai, to USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh hota hai, to market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai.

Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY ab bhi barhega, kyunki H1 support price 145.88 abhi tak break nahi hui. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, wo sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko 145.45 par place kar sakte hain.

USD-JPY Pair Forecast
Aaj, technical analysis ke zariye, maine Bollinger Bands, EMA50, aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators ka use karke USDJPY currency pair ki price growth ka tajziya kiya.

Aaj ke trading session mein, 4-hour market chart ke mutabiq, price Bollinger Bands ke Middle Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators ke level 80 ke upar trade kar rahi thi. Yeh saaf dikhata hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi valid hai. Bullish candlesticks ki support ke saath, buyers ki purchases ke mazid barhne ki ummeed hai jo ke 149.00 ke price par nearest resistance level ko test karega. Agar yeh resistance level successfully break hota hai, to price ko aur upar push kiya ja sakta hai, aur agle resistance level ko test kar sakta hai.

Aaj ka Trading Plan




Upar di gayi technical analysis ke madad se, aaj ka trading plan yeh hai ke USDJPY currency ke liye buy option par focus karein. Technical analysis ke ilawa, aaj release hone wali economic news ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki technical aur fundamental analysis ko samajh kar hum trading activities ko zyada asaani se anjam de sakte hain. Buy market entry ke liye, hum support level 146.50 ko test karne ke liye correction price ka intezar karenge, minimum stop loss ratio 1:1 rakhenge, aur profit target ke liye market entry price se 200 points tak le sakte hain, ya aaj ke market conditions ke mutabiq adjustment kar sakte hain.

Overall, USDJPY currency pair ka technical analysis yeh darshata hai ke 4-hour market chart par trend bullish bias hai, jo ke ek dilchasp buying action ko darshata hai. Trading ki sahulat ke liye, humein apne emotions ko control karna chahiye, safe lots use karne chahiye, aur trading plan ke mutabiq chalna chahiye, taake hum jo profits hasil karein woh optimal ho sakte hain. Humein sabse zyada dhyan dena chahiye ke nearest resistance level ko achieve karna hai.