usd/jpy analysis

USD-JPY PAIR REVIEW

Meri rai mein, Tokyo mein barhtay huay inflation rate ke sath, Yen ko mazbooti ka mauka milta hai. Kyunke meri samajh ke mutabiq, jab inflation rate barhta hai, tou yeh aam tor par central bank ke interest rate mein izafa ka aghaz hota hai. Bhai, jab central bank ka interest rate zyada hota hai, tou hukoomat ke jari karda bonds par bhi zyada interest rate hota hai. Kyunke hukoomati bonds ko mehfooz samjha jata hai, khaaskar Japan jese taraqqi yafta mulk ki hukoomat ke bonds ko, tou zyada se zyada foreign investors inhe khareedte hain. Tou, Tokyo mein barhtay huay inflation rate ke sath, yeh eventually USDJPY pair mein bearish movement ko drive kar sakta hai. Magar, masla yeh hai ke BOJ ka interest rate aaj bhi 0.10% par hai jabke Fed ka interest rate 5.25% par hai. Bhai, aqalmand investors apna capital Japan nahi le jayenge balki US le jayenge. Is liye USD ki demand JPY se zyada hai jo USDJPY pair ko bullish movement mein rakhta hai. Ek aur masla yeh hai ke, USDJPY pair mein jo bullish trend nazar aa raha hai us se forex traders BUY position kholne ki himmat nahi karte. Kyunke yeh mumkin hai ke Japanese hukoomat achanak se dobara mudakhlat kare jo ek deep bearish spike banata hai. Tou, yeh dekhte huay ke price abhi bhi Bollinger Band indicator ke upper band area mein hai H1 time frame mein, mein abhi bhi BUY position kholne ki himmat nahi karta

Isi dauran, aaj buyers ne market ko control kiya aur prices Friday ke daily open 160.74 se ooper chal gaye. Positive impulse ne 160.84 area ko successfully breakout karwaya aur resistance 161.12 ki taraf continue kiya jo aaj ke daily open se sabse qareebi resistance hai
Buy tab tayar hai agar 161.12 area breakout karta hai EMA 12 aur EMA 36 h1 ke support se jo upar ki taraf extend ho raha hai aur strengthening ka potential 161.72 - 162.59 ke level par hai. Waisay hi, selling dusra option hai agar yeh izafa continue karne mein nakam rehta hai aur price support 160.38, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke niche move karke negative hoti hai aur weakening ka potential level 159.76 ki taraf hota hai
Tou yeh tha aaj ka plan USDJPY pair ke liye, hamesha pur josh raho

USD/JPY ka daily H1 timeframe chart
Niche ki taraf, USD/JPY ke liye foran support 158.60 par nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) hai. Agar yeh level toot jaye to sell-off ho sakti hai, aur exchange rate ko ascending channel ke lower border ke qareeb 155.60 tak push kar sakti hai. Agar yeh point bhi toot gaya to support ka test 152.80 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar upward pressure barqarar rehta hai to price ko pehle 158.25 par resistance mil sakti hai. Aage barhne par 159.10 par key Fibonacci retracement level resistance de sakta hai. Agar yeh area decisively break ho gaya to 34-year peak 160.20 ka test ho sakta hai. Badi tasveer mein, agar USD/JPY pair selling pressure ka shikaar hoti hai to initial support 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level 156.35 par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya to decline 154.64 Fibonacci level tak ho sakti hai. Agar bears control mein rehte hain aur pair ko aur niche push karte hain to May ka inflection point 151.90 par floor ka kaam kar sakta hai. Japanese yen (JPY) do din se US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein strong ho rahi hai. Iss recent surge ne USD/JPY pair ko psychologically important level 160.00 ke qareeb le aaya, jisne Japan ko market mein intervene karne par majboor kar diya, yani yen khareed kar USD/JPY ko weak karne ki koshish ki
Iss trade ka target 160.00 aur 159.60 ke darmiyan set kiya gaya hai. Yeh target range pair ke strong support area 160.00 ko dobara dekhne ki potential aur 159.60 tak deeper pullback ki possibility ko madde nazar rakhti hai. Conservative target set karne se traders forex market ki inherent uncertainties ko navigate karte hue profits lock kar sakte hain

USD/JPY pair ki technical analysis H1 interval par continued uptrend dikhati hai jahan significant support aur resistance levels hain jo traders ko closely monitor karne chahiye. 160.00 ka support area robust sabit hua hai, jo pair ko buy karne ka acha entry point hai. Resistance levels 160.27 aur 160.65 par hain, aur critical support level 159.60 par hai, jo market dynamics ko further upward potential suggest karta hai. 160.40 par buy position enter karna, 160.60 par stop loss ke sath aur 160.00-159.60 ka target range, current technical landscape ke sath achi tarah align karta hai aur risk management aur profit potential ka balanced approach offer karta hai