aud/usd

AUD/USD Market Outlook

Salam aur subh bakhair dosto!

Is hafte, AUD/USD market shayad 0.67800 par resistance ko paar kare. Iske ilawa, khabrein final role ada karengi. US dollar se mutaliq kayi ahm khabron ka asar market sentiment ko badal sakta hai aur mukhtalif currency pairs aur financial markets ka nazara tabdeel kar sakta hai. Kuch key economic indicators aur events, jaise ke US Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits, aur Empire State Manufacturing Index, jari kiye jaane wale hain, jinhein US economy ki outlook tay karne mein ahmiyat di ja rahi hai. Yeh indicators job market, manufacturing sector, aur housing market ki sehat ka achha andaaza denge, jo US dollar ki taqat ko asar de sakte hain. AUD/USD par trading ke liye, main 0.6775 ke short target ke sath buy order ko tarjeeh deta hoon.

Labour front par, US Unemployment Claims report sabse nazar rakhne wale economic indicators mein se ek hai. Yeh un logon ki taadaad darshata hai jinhon ne pichle hafte pehli dafa unemployment insurance ke liye darkhwast di. Agar unemployment claims ki shakal mein kuch kam hota hai, toh yeh job market ki taqat ka ishara hai, jo US dollar ki taqat ko barhawa deta hai. Lekin agar claims zyada hoti hain, toh yeh labour market mein kamzori ka ishara de sakta hai, jo currency ki kami ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is hafte ka unemployment data market sentiment ko tay karne aur Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy decisions ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Main aapko AUD/USD par trading mein stop loss istemal karne aur aane wali khabron par nazar rakhne ki salahiyat deta hoon.

Khush rahiye aur pur sukoon rahiyega!

AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Is trading instrument ki price gir gayi hai, lekin ab 0.6700 ke critical support level ke qareeb hai, jo todne mein hichkichahat dikha raha hai. Agar price achanak 0.6755 ke accumulation zone ki taraf badhti hai aur phir current low se neeche girti hai, toh is movement ko qareebi taur par dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar price naya low hit karti hai aur increasing volume ke sath upar jaati hai, toh yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke neeche ki liquidity mukammal ho gayi hai. Aise halat mein hum ek tez upward move dekh sakte hain jo 0.6926 tak pohonch sakta hai, jahan significant funds ho sakte hain. Wave structure ek upward trend ka ishara kar raha hai, halan ke RSI lower selling zone mein hai. Lekin yeh abhi tak signal line ke upar hai, jo ek upward correction ko hint karta hai. Pehle main ne price ke sharp girne ka andaaza lagaya tha jab MACD par bearish divergence aur reversal pattern – ek ascending wedge – dikhi thi jo ab break ho chuki hai.
Ek mazboot consolidation 0.6906 level ke neeche sell signals ko confirm karta hai, jahan optimal selling point wahi level tha jab yeh resistance ban gaya tha. Sab kuch perfectly khela, khas tor par do haftay pehle US dollar ki strength ki wajah se jo doosri ahem currencies ke muqablay mein mazboot tha. Peechle hafte bhi downward pressure barqarar raha aur US dollar ne zyada tar major currencies ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhayi. Jab price daily chart par ek ascending support line tak pohonchi, toh MACD ne ek halki bullish divergence dikhayi jab yeh oversold zone se nikalne ki koshish kar raha tha. Magar yeh signal fail ho gaya, aur price aur neeche jaane ke asar hain, jo upward trend ke break hone ko zahir karta hai. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.6639 tak giray gi, halan ke ek brief retracement broken line aur 0.6815 tak dekhne ko mil sakta hai uske baad aur girawat se pehle.

### AUD/USD Price Move

Ye discussion AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis hai. AUD/USD trading instrument ki price gir gayi hai, lekin ye ab 0.6700 ke critical support level ke nazdeek hai, jo tutne ke liye reluctant nazar aata hai. Agar price achanak 0.6755 accumulation zone ki taraf upar uthti hai aur phir current low se neeche girti hai, toh agle halat ko dekhna bohot zaroori hoga. Agar price ek naye low ko hit karti hai aur volume ke sath upar uthti hai, toh ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke neeche liquidity puri tarah se khatam ho gayi hai. Aise mein, hum 0.6926 ki taraf ek sharp upward move dekh sakte hain, jahan significant funds bhi aane ki sambhavana hai. Wave structure upward trend dikhata hai, halankeh RSI lower selling zone mein hai. Ye signal line ke upar hai, jo upward correction ka ishara deta hai. Pehle, maine decline ka andaza lagaya tha jab price itni tez gir nahi rahi thi, iski wajah bearish divergence thi MACD par aur ek reversal pattern tha—ascending wedge jo uske baad breakdown kar gaya.

0.6906 level ke neeche ek mazboot consolidation ne sell signals ko confirm kiya, jahan optimal selling point wahi level bana jab ye resistance ban gaya. Ye sab kuch behtareen tarike se hua, khaaskar US dollar ki doosri major currencies ke muqablay mein taqat ki wajah se do haftay pehle. Pichle haftay tak downward pressure jari raha, aur US dollar ne aksar major currencies ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhayi. Halankeh price daily chart par ascending support line tak pahuncha, lekin MAD ne thoda bullish divergence dikhaya jab ye oversold zone se upar uthne ki koshish kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal fail ho gaya, aur price ke neeche jane ki sambhavana dikh rahi thi, jo upward trend mein break ka ishara deti hai. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.6639 ki taraf gir jayegi, lekin is se pehle ek chhoti retracement broken line aur 0.6815 tak hone ki sambhavana hai, phir iske baad further decline hoga.

Trading Wisdom: AUD/USD

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price performance ka analysis karenge. Umeed hai ke US dollar mazeed mazboot hoga, khaaskar is liye ke Federal Reserve ke rates mein achanak se kami karne ka koi imkaan nahi lagta, balki ECB aur doosre central banks ki tarah yeh bhi darja ba-darja approach apnaye ga. Kal ke shuruati reports ne kuch concerns raise kiye, lekin market ne ziada tawaajo nahi di. Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, toh pair ka behavior channels ke andar kaafi interesting hai. Pehle upward channel break karne aur breakdown test karne ke baad, ab yeh descending channel ko upside mein break kar chuka hai. Abhi tak mein apne targets ko situation ke mutabiq dobara assess kar raha hoon.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, mai ek qareebi upward movement dekhta hoon, jo lagbhag 0.686 par peak karega. Agar market wahan tak nahi pohanchta, toh bulls ka target shayad 0.6820 par settle ho jaye. Yeh scenario tabhi discount hoga jab trend mein khaas kamzori aa jaye aur apne projected goal ko achieve na kare. Filhal, mera pehla maqsad yeh hai ke AUD/USD ko 0.6820 ki taraf move hota dekhna.

Is haftay buyers itne hi strong lagte hain jitne ke sellers, lambi muddat ke perspective se dekha jaye toh is level tak ka rise mumkin hai, phir wapas bearish trend mein shift ho sakta hai. Agar yeh upward momentum nahi banta, toh 0.6688 ka support level ek buying opportunity banayega, jo ek corrective move ka hissa hoga. Market kaafi mumkin hai ke is plan ke mutabiq chale aur waves ko is trajectory par build kare. Kal ka slight upward movement shayad US ke weak economic data ke release ki wajah se tha, jisme Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures shamil hain, ya phir bears ne apni positions weekend se pehle close kar di thi. Har surat mein, downtrend abhi tak intact hai, aur jo current price action hai wo sirf ek correction lagta hai. Agar correction continue hoti hai, toh buyers shayad price ko 0.6773 ke resistance level tak push karen.

Basically, AUD/USD pair ki price movement abhi bhi bearish trend ki wajah se neeche girne ki tendency rakh rahi hai. Haan, ek impulsive price increase zaroor dekha gaya hai lekin yeh zyada se zyada aik secondary reaction hai. Agar hum observe karein, to jo price low 0.6661 par thi, wahan se bounce karkay EMA 50 ko cross kiya aur FR 50 - 0.6712 par ruk gaya. Price ne phir se neeche girna shuru kiya aur yeh rally low 0.6661 se neeche tak jani chahiye thi. Lekin jab price FR 23.6 - 0.6685 ke aas paas pohanch gayi, to phir se bounce karkay FR 50 - 0.6712 ki taraf gayi aur ab FR 38.2 - 0.6700 par stuck hai. Agar price EMA 50 ya FR 38.2 - 0.6700 ke neeche nahi jati, tou iska matlab hai ke price correction upwards hote hue FR 61.8 - 0.6723 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke SMA 200 ke saath dynamic support mein confluent hai.Dekha jaye tou price ko bar bar FR 50 - 0.6712 par rejection ka samna hai kyun ke yeh SBR area ke qareeb hai. Iske ilawa, low price 0.6704 par aik invalidation level bhi hai jo ke lower low - lower high pattern ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki upward correction high 0.6762 ko cross nahi karti, yeh structure qaim rahega aur price ka increase lower high pattern banane tak mehdoot rahega. Magar yeh zaroori hai ke hum dehaan dein jab upward correction SMA 200 ko cross karkay FR 78.6 - 0.6740 tak pohanchti hai, tou us waqt ek possibility hai ke price upper correction ko barqarar rakhti hai agar price SMA 200 ya FR 50 - 0.6712 ke neeche wapas nahi jati.Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki perspective se, uptrend momentum dekha gaya hai halan ke yeh ab kamzor ho raha hai. Red histogram volume jo level 0 ya positive area ke upar tha, wo ab narrow ho raha hai. Lekin yeh phir bhi AUD/USD pair ki price ko upward correction phase mein support kar sakta hai, kyun ke histogram abhi negative area ya level 0 ke neeche cross nahi hua, jo ke downtrend momentum ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator ka parameter oversold zone (level 20 - 10) tak nahi pohanch saka kyun ke pehle hi cross ho gaya. Yeh bhi price ke upward correction ko support kar sakta hai jab tak price EMA 50 ke upar hai. Agar parameter level 50 ko cross karta hai, tou yeh confirm hoga ke price upward correction continue karegi aur overbought zone (level 90 - 80) mein pohanch kar rukegi.

Basically, AUD/USD pair ki price movement abhi bhi bearish trend ki wajah se neeche girne ki tendency rakh rahi hai. Haan, ek impulsive price increase zaroor dekha gaya hai lekin yeh zyada se zyada aik secondary reaction hai. Agar hum observe karein, to jo price low 0.6661 par thi, wahan se bounce karkay EMA 50 ko cross kiya aur FR 50 - 0.6712 par ruk gaya. Price ne phir se neeche girna shuru kiya aur yeh rally low 0.6661 se neeche tak jani chahiye thi. Lekin jab price FR 23.6 - 0.6685 ke aas paas pohanch gayi, to phir se bounce karkay FR 50 - 0.6712 ki taraf gayi aur ab FR 38.2 - 0.6700 par stuck hai. Agar price EMA 50 ya FR 38.2 - 0.6700 ke neeche nahi jati, tou iska matlab hai ke price correction upwards hote hue FR 61.8 - 0.6723 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke SMA 200 ke saath dynamic support mein confluent hai.Dekha jaye tou price ko bar bar FR 50 - 0.6712 par rejection ka samna hai kyun ke yeh SBR area ke qareeb hai. Iske ilawa, low price 0.6704 par aik invalidation level bhi hai jo ke lower low - lower high pattern ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki upward correction high 0.6762 ko cross nahi karti, yeh structure qaim rahega aur price ka increase lower high pattern banane tak mehdoot rahega. Magar yeh zaroori hai ke hum dehaan dein jab upward correction SMA 200 ko cross karkay FR 78.6 - 0.6740 tak pohanchti hai, tou us waqt ek possibility hai ke price upper correction ko barqarar rakhti hai agar price SMA 200 ya FR 50 - 0.6712 ke neeche wapas nahi jati.Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki perspective se, uptrend momentum dekha gaya hai halan ke yeh ab kamzor ho raha hai. Red histogram volume jo level 0 ya positive area ke upar tha, wo ab narrow ho raha hai. Lekin yeh phir bhi AUD/USD pair ki price ko upward correction phase mein support kar sakta hai, kyun ke histogram abhi negative area ya level 0 ke neeche cross nahi hua, jo ke downtrend momentum ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator ka parameter oversold zone (level 20 - 10) tak nahi pohanch saka kyun ke pehle hi cross ho gaya. Yeh bhi price ke upward correction ko support kar sakta hai jab tak price EMA 50 ke upar hai. Agar parameter level 50 ko cross karta hai, tou yeh confirm hoga ke price upward correction continue karegi aur overbought zone (level 90 - 80) mein pohanch kar rukegi.

AUD/USD abhi 0.6707 par trade kar raha hai aur positive momentum kay sath shuruat hui hai jo abhi tak 0.6760 ki taraf barh raha hai. Is chart par dono technical indicators positive nazar aa rahay hain jo is baat ki nishani hain kay short term mein price barhay ga. Khaaskar, RSI 50 kay neutral threshold se upar trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, MACD bhi zero aur apni red signal line se upar hai, jo positive zone mein point kar raha hai. Moving averages kay mutabiq trend bullish hai short term mein. 20 EMA aur 50 EMA bhi indicate karte hain kay trend bullish hai jo buyers ki taraf se pressure ko zahir karta hai. Pehla ahem resistance level AUD/USD kay liye 0.6720 hai. Agar bullish momentum jaari rehta hai, to price pehle resistance level ko tod kar doosray level 0.6760 tak barh sakta hai. Dosray resistance level ka breakout AUD/USD ki nayi growth ki lehar ko lead karega aur northward movement jaari rahega. Dosri taraf, price reverse ho sakti hai aur 0.6659 ka retest kar sakti hai jo pehla support level hai. Agar bearish momentum jaari rehta hai, to price pehle support level ko tod kar doosray level 0.6123 tak jasakti hai. Dosray support level ka breakout AUD/USD ki nayi southward movement ko lead karega. Overall, intraday gains AUD/USD price mein had tak limited ho sakti hain, lekin positive trend abhi bhi maujood hai. Magar markets kabhi kabhi unpredictable hoti hain aur achanak reversals hamesha mumkin hain. Risk management strategies jese kay stop-loss orders set karna, portfolio ko diversify karna aur over-leveraging se bachna is uncertainty ko handle karne mein madadgar sabit hoti hain. Main suggest karta hoon kay hum abhi AUD/USD par buy order open karain. Aur, ye samajhne ki koshish karein kay upward market movements kis cheez se driven hain, jo yeh faisla karne mein madad karega kay trend kitni dair tak barqarar reh sakta hai.

AUD/USD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

AUD/USD D1 time frame chart par bearish outlook mazboot hai, kyunki yeh jorhnee neechay ki taraf chal raha hai. Market ne kisi bhi reversal ka zyada shor nahi dikhaya, aur sellers ka control mazboot hai, jo price ko neeche le ja rahe hain aur pair par bohot zyada pressure bana rahe hain. Haal hi mein, humne dekha ke agla target, jo ke 0.6709 level ke aas paas tha, woh bhi hata diya gaya hai, jab pair aur bhi neeche levels par trade kar raha hai. Yeh bearish trend ki taqat ko darshata hai jo pichhle kuch sessions mein market par cha gaya hai.

Neeche ki taraf chalne ka jazba Australian dollar ki wider kamzori ko darshata hai, jo ke global economic uncertainty, naram commodity prices, aur China jaise aham trading partners mein aamad-o-raft ke rukne ki fikron ke beech muskilat ka shikaar hai. Dusri taraf, U.S. dollar ne mazbooti dikhai hai, jo ke safe-haven demand aur Federal Reserve policy ke hawale se umeedon ki wajah se hai.

Agar yeh bearish momentum isi tarah jari raha, toh traders ka agla focus neeche support levels ko identify karna ho sakta hai, jo shayad 0.6650 ya 0.6600 ke aas paas ho. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke dekhna padega ke price in levels ke aas paas kis tarah ka bartao karti hai aur kisi bhi fundamental developments ko monitor karein jo AUD/USD pair ki direction par asar daal sakti hain, jaise ke Australia aur U.S. se aane wale economic data. Filhal, outlook negative hai, aur traders ko is environment mein kisi bhi bullish positions lene se pehle ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

AUD/USD H4 time frame chart par, pair kuch uncertainty ka samna kar raha hai, is liye traders ke liye ehtiyaat baratna behtar hai. Is waqt ek samajhdar strategy yeh hogi ke 50-day simple moving average ke upar ek decisive move ka intezaar kiya jaye, jo abhi 0.6709 level ke aas paas ek aham support barrier ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar is level ke upar mazboot break hota hai, toh yeh AUD/USD pair mein ek potential near-term uptrend ki tasdeeq kar sakta hai, jo market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishara dega aur aage ke liye faida hasil karne ki sambhavna ko badha sakta hai.

Jab tak aisa breakout nahi hota, yeh kehana risky ho sakta hai ke pair apni current course ko ulatne ke liye tayaar hai. Is beech, investors U.S. economic calendar par aanewale events par nazar rakh rahe hain, khaaskar construction permits aur housing starts data ki release par. Yeh reports bohot ahem hain kyunki yeh U.S. housing market ki sehat ke bare mein insight dete hain, jo U.S. dollar par broader asar daal sakta hai. Agar data ummeed se zyada mazboot nikalta hai, toh yeh dollar ko mazid majboot karega aur AUD/USD pair par neeche ki taraf pressure bana raha sakta hai.

Traders ko kisi aur fundamental developments par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo market sentiment ko badal sakti hain, kyunki technical aur economic factors ka combination near-term direction ko shape karne mein ek aham kirdar ada karega. Jab tak 0.6709 level ke upar ek clear move nahi dekha jata, outlook ehtiyaati tor par neutral hai.

September mein, US housing starts mein 6.8% ki aham kami dekhi gayi, jo ke 1.238 million units tak gir gayi, jabke June mein halki si 1.1% ki izafa hua tha. Ye kami housing sector mein chal rahe muskilat ko dikhati hai. Iske muqablay mein, University of Michigan ka Consumer Sentiment Index paanch mawaqay mein pehli dafa barh kar October mein 67.8 par aa gaya, jabke July mein ye 66.4 tha, jo ke umeed se zyada hai. Retail sales ne bhi acha surprise diya, jo July mein mahine dar mahine 1.0% tak barh gayi, August ki 0.2% ki kami se behtareen wapas aayi aur 0.3% ki pehle se tay ki gayi growth ko bhi paar kar gayi. Iske ilawa, Initial Jobless Claims jo August 9 tak wale hafte mein 227,000 tak giri, jo ke umeed se behtar hai kyunke ye 235,000 ki pehli se umeed thi, is se market mein ek resilience ka izhar hota hai.

Asia-Pacific region mein, price ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhai hai, jo RBA ke is faislay par mehfooz hai ke wo saal ke aakhri tak interest rates ko barqarar rakhega. RBA inflationary pressures se waqif hai, aur umeed hai ke Official Cash Rate (OCR) lambi muddat tak waise hi rahegi. Halankeh pair ne haal hi mein apne short-term uptrend line ke neeche girawat dekhi, lekin ye 0.6660 ke swing low tak pahunchne ke baad mazbooti dikhata hai.

0.6600 ka critical support level agle girawat se bachane ki umeed hai, jabke agla ahem rukawat 0.6575 par hai. Agar ye level toot jata hai, to pair 0.6500 ki psychological support ko test kar sakta hai, jo pehle resistance point tha. Ye technical analysis ye batata hai ke agar 0.6500 ka threshold kisi faisle se toota, to ye mazeed selling pressure ko janam de sakta hai, jo ke prices ko 0.6550 tak le ja sakta hai. Investors dono US aur Australia se aanewali data par nazar rakh rahe hain, kyunki ye market dynamics aur currency valuations par gehra asar daal sakti hai.

AUD-USD PAIR ANALYSIS

Aaj main AUD/USD pair ka jaiza lunga jo agle hafte ke liye trading choice ban sakta hai. Pichle hafte ke aakhri trading session mein, market ne aise price condition dikhai jo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar rahi thi, aur is dauran price 0.6762 ke position tak pahunch gayi. Yeh price position simple moving average zone ke 100 period ke nazdeek pahunchne ki koshish kar rahi thi, jo yeh darshata hai ke market bearish trend se correction ki taraf ja raha hai.

Lekin, is hafte price dobara barhne mein nakam rahi, aur candlestick bohot gehra gir gaya hai, jisse bearish price ka safar hafte ke aakhir tak chala gaya.

Theek hai, yeh raha aapka analysis:

**AUD/USD PAIR ANALYSIS**

4-hour time frame par graph ka monitoring karne ke natije dikhate hain ke is hafte ke shuru mein market ki halat 0.6741 ke price position se shuru hui, jo abhi bhi sellers ke control mein thi, is liye price bearish rally mein chali gayi. Pichle Jumme ke raat tak trading period mein, neeche ki taraf trend mein thodi correction ka koshish ki gayi, lekin yeh range zyada nahi thi. Aakhir ke kuch dinon mein market ka jaiza lene par yeh saaf hai ke pichle hafte ka safar zyada tar bearish candlesticks se bhara raha. Jab journal update hua, tab market weekend holiday ki wajah se band thi aur price position temporarily 0.6709 par ruk gayi. Sellers abhi bhi mazboot asar rakhte hain, jisse wo price ko hafte ke shuruat ke position se aur neeche le ja sakte hain.

Is hafte ke halat ko dekhte hue, main yeh andaza laga raha hoon ke agle hafte AUD/USD pair ka price trend bearish halat ko jaari rakh sakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price neeche ke zone mein chale jaye. Yeh nishaaniyan hain ke sellers abhi bhi market ko control kar sakte hain, kyunki pichle kuch dinon mein buyers ki price barhane ki koshish itni mazboot nahi rahi ke candlestick market ke pichle hafte ke opening position se upar ja sake. Pichle raat ki trading mein, price bohot tezi se gira, aur yeh haal next week tak chalne ki sambhavana hai. Aaj subah ka candlestick 100-period moving average zone ke neeche band hua, jo yeh signal deta hai ke market trend abhi bhi bearish hone ki sambhavana rakhta hai.

**Transaction Options:**

- Sell in the 0.6690 area, Take Profit: 0.6645, Stop Loss: 0.6725

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karne par markuzi hogi. Australian dollar ka hourly chart par pichlay haftay ka aghaaz ek kami ke saath hua, jo 0.67879 support level ko torte hue dekha gaya. Mangal ko, qeemat phir se resistance par wapas aayi, jo bechne ke moqay kholti hai. Ye sell signal waise hi chala, jahan qeemat ne 0.67249 support tak pohanch gaya. Budh ko, 0.67349 support level tor diya gaya, jahan consolidation is markaz ke neeche hui. Isne doosra sell signal paida kiya, jo 0.66607 support ko target karta hai. Jummay ko, resistance par bechne ki ghalat khabar mili, lekin phir qeemat ne ulat kar support tor diya aur ghalat sell signal diya. Baad mein us din, qeemat ne phir se 0.67249 resistance ko tor diya, jo 0.67879 tak ke liye ek valid buy signal bana raha. Ye buy signal abhi tak active hai, lekin shayad andar aana der ho gaya hai kyunke qeemat pehle se hi target tak adha hai. Agar 0.67879 resistance tor di gayi, to qeemat 0.68521 resistance level tak barh sakti hai. Ye price ki mazid mazbooti tab tak jari rahegi jab tak 0.6765 par ek naya supply na ho. 0.6720 par supply area ek ahem tasdeeqi area hai, jo ye tay karega ke aage koi reversal pattern banega ya nahi. Agar ye supply area tor diya gaya, to qeemat palat kar resistance area 1.26000 tak barh sakti hai. Halankeh D1 chart par qeemat ek mazboot downtrend mein hai, lekin ye sambhavna hai ke ye mazeed kamzor ho sakti hai. Lekin agar main 0.6705 par rejection support dekhta hoon, to qeemat shayad phir se mazboot ho jaye, ek naya lower high banate hue. Jab hum D1 chart par qeemat ki harkat dekhein, to hum market mein enter karne se pehle valid tasdeeq ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar qeemat 0.6810 support ke neeche band hoti hai, to downtrend shayad jari rahe, lekin agar qeemat band hoti hai aur supply 0.6680 tak tor diya jata hai, to qeemat mazboot ho jayegi.

Ek aur aham factor jo AUD/USD pair ko mutasir karta hai, woh hai bazar mein overall risk sentiment. AUD ko aksar ek risk-sensitive currency samjha jata hai kyunki Australia ki China ke saath gehri rishte hain, jo ke ek badi global economic powerhouse hai. Agar China ke economic outlook mein koi tabdeeliyan aati hain, khaaskar Australian commodities jese ke iron ore aur coal ki demand ke hawale se, toh yeh AUD ki performance ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Agar China me economic slowdown ya stricter regulations ka asar nazar aata hai, toh is se AUD par negative asar ho sakta hai, jo USD ke muqablay mein iski kami ko barha sakta hai.

Is waqt AUD/USD pair ka nazar aana kayi factors se tay kiya gaya hai, jisme geopolitical tensions, inflation data, aur overall market sentiment shamil hain. Jab traders aur investors is pechida mahol ko navigate karte hain, toh yeh mumkin hai ke AUD phir se 0.6790 se neeche chala jaye, khaaskar agar Australia mein inflationary pressures barh rahe hon aur USD ki taqat barqarar rahe. Aane wale din bahut ahm honge, jahan significant economic releases is AUD/USD currency pair ki aane wali direction ko tay karenge. In developments par nazar rakhna is dynamic market environment mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hoga.

0.67251 ka support hai, jo ke ek false breakout ke liye buy signal trigger karta hai jo 0.67881 resistance tak le ja sakta hai, jo kal ke liye relevant hai. Wahan ek bara, narrowing triangle hai. Do haftay pehle upward breakout, jo 0.6871-81 ke aas paas tha, wo false tha, aur AUD/USD ne phir se is pattern mein wapas aa gaya. Bears ab shayad is pair ko is triangle ki lower boundary ki taraf le jayein, jo ke 0.6681-86 ke aas paas hai.

AUD/USD currency pair filhal upar ki taraf rujhan dekh raha hai, halanke interest rates waise ke waise hain. Yeh bullish movement jaari reh sakti hai, lekin agar bearish traders 0.6738 level ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to price 0.6614 tak gir sakti hai. Choti time frames par thodi divergence ban rahi hai, jo aaj aage barhne mein rukawat daal sakti hai. Is liye, is waqt kharidna munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuki hai. Yeh behtar hoga ke market ki progression ko dekhte rahein pehle koi kadam uthane se. Filhal, Australian dollar ki zyada tawajjoh nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ki agle rujhan ka farq aaj ke resistance levels par kaise react karega, par hoga. Agar price 0.6901 level ko paar karti hai, to 0.6896 resistance support mein tabdeel ho sakti hai, jo aage girawat ke chances ko kam karega. Daily chart par, pair 0.6838 se upar chala gaya hai aur 0.6872 ki taraf ja raha hai, ek secondary scenario ke tehat. Market ab 0.6893 ke paas agle buying target ki taraf badh rahi hai, jahan resistance zone ko 0.6893 se 0.6901 ke darmiyan test karne ki umeed hai, jo niche ki taraf rebound trigger kar sakta hai.

Pichle andazay ke bawajood, Australian dollar daily chart par apne upar ki taraf ke rujhan ko jaari rakhe hue hai. Price ne haali mein resistance aur support levels ko test kiya, jis wajah se analysts range-trading strategy ko pasand kar rahe hain. Lekin, Peer ko price ne is range ko todte hue 0.6824 resistance level ko paar kar diya. Jab din ka band hona is level se upar hua, to aaj ke resistance growth par tawajjoh badh gayi jo 0.6887 ki taraf hai. Agar price is level ke paas band hoti hai, to agle resistance target 0.6949 par tawajjoh di jaye


AUD/USD chart yeh darshata hai ke price movements aam tor par market manipulations se asar lete hain jo aksar institutional traders karte hain. Is pattern mein volume ke zariye naye trading positions banana aur phir liquidity ko wapas lena shamil hota hai. Analyst is pattern se waqif hai aur umeed hai ke jab tak upar ka rujhan jaari rahega, aakhir mein ek aisi jagah aayegi jab price ki barhavat upar se liquidity ko clear karegi.boundary ke qareeb 0.6709 ki taraf significant upward move ke liye tayyari ko darust karti hai. 0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan area crucial hai aur demand zone ke tor par jaana jata hai. Bohot saare traders ne is level par buying ka interest dikhaya hai, jise strong support region banata hai. Support ek price level hai jahan concentrated demand ek downtrend ko rok sakti hai. Mukhtalif, 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan area ek supply zone hai, jisme strong selling pressure hota hai. Jab price is level tak pohochta hai, traders often sell karte hain, jise price ko phir se girane ka potential hota hai. Yeh area possible reversals ke liye monitor karna zaroori hai.


Jab volume indicators yeh confirm karte hain ke upar se liquidity shayad clear ho chuki hai, to ek girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan price 0.6658 tak gir sakti hai, jahan liquidity ka ikattha hona umeed hai. Filhal, AUD/USD pair growth ke nishan dikhata hai aur 0.6891 level ko test karne ki umeed hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, 0.6896 par resistance maujood hai, jo overall outlook ko nahi badalta. Lekin, yeh 0.6896 par resistance mazboot rahne ki umeed hai, jo pair ko 0.6830 support level ki taraf wapas le ja sakta hai.

Aaj main AUD/USD pair ka jaiza lunga jo agle hafte ke liye trading choice ban sakta hai. Pichle hafte ke aakhri trading session mein, market ne aise price condition dikhai jo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar rahi thi, aur is dauran price 0.6762 ke position tak pahunch gayi. Yeh price position simple moving average zone ke 100 period ke nazdeek pahunchne ki koshish kar rahi thi, jo yeh darshata hai ke market bearish trend se correction ki taraf ja raha hai.

Lekin, is hafte price dobara barhne mein nakam rahi, aur candlestick bohot gehra gir gaya hai, jisse bearish price ka safar hafte ke aakhir tak chala gaya.

Theek hai, yeh raha aapka analysis:

**AUD/USD PAIR ANALYSIS**

4-hour time frame par graph ka monitoring karne ke natije dikhate hain ke is hafte ke shuru mein market ki halat 0.6741 ke price position se shuru hui, jo abhi bhi sellers ke control mein thi, is liye price bearish rally mein chali gayi. Pichle Jumme ke raat tak trading period mein, neeche ki taraf trend mein thodi correction ka koshish ki gayi, lekin yeh range zyada nahi thi. Aakhir ke kuch dinon mein market ka jaiza lene par yeh saaf hai ke pichle hafte ka safar zyada tar bearish candlesticks se bhara raha. Jab journal update hua, tab market weekend holiday ki wajah se band thi aur price position temporarily 0.6709 par ruk gayi. Sellers abhi bhi mazboot asar rakhte hain, jisse wo price ko hafte ke shuruat ke position se aur neeche le ja sakte hain.

Is hafte ke halat ko dekhte hue, main yeh andaza laga raha hoon ke agle hafte AUD/USD pair ka price trend bearish halat ko jaari rakh sakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price neeche ke zone mein chale jaye. Yeh nishaaniyan hain ke sellers abhi bhi market ko control kar sakte hain, kyunki pichle kuch dinon mein buyers ki price barhane ki koshish itni mazboot nahi rahi ke candlestick market ke pichle hafte ke opening position se upar ja sake. Pichle raat ki trading mein, price bohot tezi se gira, aur yeh haal next week tak chalne ki sambhavana hai. Aaj subah ka candlestick 100-period moving average zone ke neeche band hua, jo yeh signal deta hai ke market trend abhi bhi bearish hone ki sambhavana rakhta hai.

AUD/USD

USDX index ke liye is hafte price bullish candle ke sath band hui hai, lekin agar hum H1 time frame par chart ghoor se dekhein to USDX index abhi bhi consolidation phase mein hai. Sabse qareebi support filhal 102.89 ke aas-paas hai, aur Saturday ko market band hone se pehle buyers ke push ke sath price ne kuch izafa dikhaya. Mere scenario ke mutabiq, USDX index ke liye ye bohot mumkin hai ke price 103.15 ke aas-paas ke supply aur resistance area ko test kare. Agar 103.15 ka level successfully break ho gaya, to izafa ka potential barqarar rahega. Agar price is level ko break karne mein nakam hota hai, to price pullback karne ka imkaan hai.
Agar main H4 time frame par chart dekhoon, to USDX index mein significant fluctuations dikhai de rahi hain. USD session mein buyers dominate kar rahe hain, jisse price ne 103.15 ka supply aur resistance level successfully break kar diya. Agla target 103.52 ka supply aur resistance level ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ko break karne mein nakam hota hai, to pullback hone ka chance barh jayega. Ye rejection yeh dikhata hai ke bulls control mein hain, lekin key levels par supply immediate gains ko rok rahi hai. Ainday ke liye, agar 101.80 ka level dobara test hota hai, to bullish momentum dobara zinda ho sakta hai, aur potential targets 104.81 aur 106.15 ho sakte hain.

Aaj raat USD session ke dauran, price ne pehle decline dikhaya, lekin thodi dair baad USDX index dobara upar ki taraf move karne laga. Ab ka price supply aur resistance level 103.32 ko test kar raha hai. Meri apni assumption ye hai ke agar 103.32 ka level break ho gaya, to izafa ka potential barqarar rahega. Agar ye level successfully break ho gaya, to agla target 103.50 par hoga. Agar 103.50 ka level break nahi hota, to price ka pullback hone ka imkaan hai.

## Daily (D1) Time Frame par AUD/USD Analysis
### Hal hi mein Price Movement

Pichle kuch dinon mein, AUD/USD pair ne daily (D1) time frame chart par mukhtalif range zones ke andar oscillate kiya hai. Yeh range-bound behavior historical data se wazeh hota hai, jahan price ne clear long-term trend establish kiye bagair sideways move kiya hai.

### Trend Line Interaction

Recent price action ne dekha hai ke AUD/USD ne aakhri daily candle mein ek trend line ko touch kiya hai. Yeh interaction trend line ke sath current candle ke upward movement ka sabab bana. Aise touch aksar ek potential reversal ya continuation ka signal dete hain, jo ke baad ki price action aur overall market sentiment par depend karta hai.

### Moving Averages aur Trend Direction

Aane wale ghanton mein ek crucial point yeh dekhna hoga ke AUD/USD moving average lines ke upar cross karta hai ya nahi. Yeh lines aam tor par dynamic support aur resistance levels ki tarah kaam karti hain, aur agar price upside par crossover karti hai to yeh trend direction mein shift ko indicate karega. Agar price in moving average lines ke upar break aur close karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh substantial buying momentum ka signal hoga.

### Recommendations aur Target Levels

Current scenario ko dekhte hue, agar AUD/USD moving average lines ke upar close karta hai, to ek bullish outlook recommend kiya jata hai. Aise mein, long positions enter karna favorable ho sakta hai, target resistance levels 0.6689 aur 0.6705 par identify kiye gaye hain. Yeh levels potential hurdles ko represent karte hain jahan price resistance face kar sakti hai lekin short-term traders ke liye profit-taking points bhi serve karte hain.

### Conclusion

Summary mein, D1 time frame par AUD/USD ek critical juncture par hai. Recent touch of the trend line ne upward movement ko spark kiya hai, aur ab focus moving average lines par shift ho gaya hai. Agar yeh lines ke upar successful close hota hai, to yeh bullish sentiment ko validate karega aur resistance levels 0.6689 aur 0.6705 ke raaste ko kholega. Traders ko yeh levels closely monitor karni chahiye aur agar price action bullish breakout ko confirm karta hai to long positions enter karne par consider karna chahiye.