eur/usd

Euro (EUR) US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kafi pressure mein hai aur apne week ke sabse kamzor point par aa gaya hai, jo abhi lagbhag 1.0800 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh weakness recent positive US employment data se stem karti hai. Data ne strong increase dikhayi non-farm payrolls mein, jo ke farming industry ke ilawa kaam karne wale employees ki tadaad hai. Yeh upbeat data, jo ke May mein 272,000 jobs ka gain dikhata hai, US dollar ko boost diya hai aur Euro par significant pressure dala hai.

Aage dekhte hue, analysts 1.0900 ko ek critical resistance level ke tor par dekh rahe hain EUR/USD pair ke liye. Yeh level rising trend channel ka middle point represent karta hai, jo ek technical indicator hai future price movements ko gauge karne ke liye. Agar Euro kisi tarah 1.0900 se upar rise kar sakta hai aur isey ek support level bana sakta hai, to possibility hai ke yeh aur bhi upar chadh sakta hai towards 1.0950 aur hatta ke 1.0980 tak.

Lekin, current trend ek different scenario suggest karta hai. Downside par, analysts ne ek support zone identify kiya hai around 1.0860-1.0850. Yeh zone 55-period simple moving average (SMA) ke saath banayi gayi hai 4-hour chart par, jo ek aur technical indicator hai price trends ko analyze karne ke liye. Yeh zone ek potential buffer ka kaam karti hai Euro ke critical level 1.0800 tak pohnchne se pehle. In observations ke basis par, kuch analysts predict karte hain ke Euro ki decline continue hogi. Woh anticipate karte hain ke EUR/USD pair likely drop karta rahega jab markets Monday ko reopen hongi. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh sirf ek forecast hai, aur currency pair ka actual movement mukhtalif upcoming economic news aur events se influenced ho sakta hai.

Yeh situation traders ko ehtiyat se agle steps plan karne par majboor karti hai, khas taur par jab Euro apne critical support aur resistance levels ke aas paas ho. Jab markets reopen hongi, traders ko close attention deni hogi market movements aur any new economic data par. Yeh flexible aur well-informed approach traders ko madad de sakti hai ke woh effectively navigate kar sakein EUR/USD pair ke unpredictable market conditions ko aur apni trading strategies accordingly adjust kar sakein.

Eur/usd

EUR/USD aur iski trading forex market mein bohot ahmiyat rakhti hai. Yeh ek forex pair hai jo Euro (EUR) aur United States Dollar (USD) ko compare karta hai. Forex market duniya ka sab se bara aur sab se liquid financial market hai, jahan har din trillions of dollars ki trading hoti hai. EUR/USD pair sab se zyada traded aur highly liquid pairs mein se ek hai.
**EUR/USD ki Base Currency aur Quote Currency:**

Forex trading mein har currency pair mein do currencies hoti hain. Pehli currency ko base currency kehtay hain aur doosri ko quote currency. EUR/USD pair mein, Euro base currency hai aur United States Dollar quote currency. Agar EUR/USD ki value 1.20 hai, iska matlab hai ke 1 Euro 1.20 US Dollars ke barabar hai.

**Forex Market aur EUR/USD ka Role:**

Forex market mein EUR/USD ka role kafi significant hai. Yeh pair khas taur par European aur US traders ke darmiyan popular hai. Europe aur United States donon global economic powerhouses hain. Donon currencies ke darmiyan exchange rate ka asar na sirf local markets par, balki global markets par bhi hota hai.

**Factors Jo EUR/USD ko Mutasir Karte Hain:**

Bohat se factors hain jo EUR/USD exchange rate ko mutasir karte hain. Economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth rates, employment data, inflation rates, aur central bank policies, sab ka asar hota hai.

**Central Banks ka Role:**

Eurozone ki central bank, European Central Bank (ECB), aur US ki central bank, Federal Reserve (Fed), donon ka EUR/USD par bara asar hota hai. Donon central banks apni monetary policies ko regulate karte hain taake apni economies ko stable rakha ja sake. Agar ECB apni interest rates ko barhata hai, to Euro strong hota hai aur EUR/USD exchange rate barhta hai. Iske baraks, agar Fed apni interest rates ko reduce karta hai, to US Dollar weak hota hai aur EUR/USD rate barhta hai.

**Geopolitical Events aur Market Sentiment:**

Geopolitical events, jaise ke elections, trade wars, aur global conflicts, bhi EUR/USD par asar andaz hote hain. Market sentiment yani traders ka confidence bhi bohat zaroori hai. Agar traders ko lagta hai ke economy achi chal rahi hai, to wo risky assets khareedte hain, jese ke stocks, aur Euro strong hota hai. Agar market sentiment negative hai, to investors safe haven assets, jese ke US Dollar, mein invest karte hain.

**Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategies:**

Traders EUR/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye technical analysis ka istemal karte hain. Charts aur technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), traders ko price movements ko predict karne mein madad karte hain.

Scalping aur day trading, EUR/USD ko trade karne ke common strategies hain. Scalpers short term trades karte hain aur bohat kam profits per focus karte hain, jabke day traders din bhar mein multiple trades karte hain taake intraday price movements ka faida uthaya ja sake.

**Risk Management:**

Forex trading mein risk management bohat zaroori hai. Leverage ka istemal karte waqt, traders ko bohat ehtiyat se kaam lena padta hai, kyun ke leverage na sirf profits ko barhata hai, balki losses ko bhi magnify karta hai. Stop loss aur take profit orders ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai taake unexpected market movements se bacha ja sake.

**Conclusion:**

EUR/USD trading forex market mein ek dynamic aur challenging task hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur technical analysis, sab ka mila julay asar se EUR/USD ki value mein fluctuations hoti rehti hain. Forex trading mein success hasil karne ke liye, traders ko in tamam factors ka gehra understanding hona chahiye aur effective risk management techniques ka istemal karna chahiye.

Yeh market itna dynamic aur ever-changing hai ke ismein koi bhi cheez certain nahi hoti, aur har din naye opportunities aur challenges le kar aata hai. Har trader ka objective yeh hota hai ke wo in fluctuations ka faida uthaye aur apni trading strategies ko behtareen tareeqay se implement kar sake.

EUR/USD aur iski trading forex market mein bohot ahmiyat rakhti hai. Yeh ek forex pair hai jo Euro (EUR) aur United States Dollar (USD) ko compare karta hai. Forex market duniya ka sab se bara aur sab se liquid financial market hai, jahan har din trillions of dollars ki trading hoti hai. EUR/USD pair sab se zyada traded aur highly liquid pairs mein se ek hai. **EUR/USD ki Base Currency aur Quote Currency:**

Forex trading mein har currency pair mein do currencies hoti hain. Pehli currency ko base currency kehtay hain aur doosri ko quote currency. EUR/USD pair mein, Euro base currency hai aur United States Dollar quote currency. Agar EUR/USD ki value 1.20 hai, iska matlab hai ke 1 Euro 1.20 US Dollars ke barabar hai.

**Forex Market aur EUR/USD ka Role:**

Forex market mein EUR/USD ka role kafi significant hai. Yeh pair khas taur par European aur US traders ke darmiyan popular hai. Europe aur United States donon global economic powerhouses hain. Donon currencies ke darmiyan exchange rate ka asar na sirf local markets par, balki global markets par bhi hota hai.

**Factors Jo EUR/USD ko Mutasir Karte Hain:**

Bohat se factors hain jo EUR/USD exchange rate ko mutasir karte hain. Economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth rates, employment data, inflation rates, aur central bank policies, sab ka asar hota hai.

**Central Banks ka Role:**

Eurozone ki central bank, European Central Bank (ECB), aur US ki central bank, Federal Reserve (Fed), donon ka EUR/USD par bara asar hota hai. Donon central banks apni monetary policies ko regulate karte hain taake apni economies ko stable rakha ja sake. Agar ECB apni interest rates ko barhata hai, to Euro strong hota hai aur EUR/USD exchange rate barhta hai. Iske baraks, agar Fed apni interest rates ko reduce karta hai, to US Dollar weak hota hai aur EUR/USD rate barhta hai.

**Geopolitical Events aur Market Sentiment:**

Geopolitical events, jaise ke elections, trade wars, aur global conflicts, bhi EUR/USD par asar andaz hote hain. Market sentiment yani traders ka confidence bhi bohat zaroori hai. Agar traders ko lagta hai ke economy achi chal rahi hai, to wo risky assets khareedte hain, jese ke stocks, aur Euro strong hota hai. Agar market sentiment negative hai, to investors safe haven assets, jese ke US Dollar, mein invest karte hain.

**Technical Analysis aur Trading Strategies:**

Traders EUR/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye technical analysis ka istemal karte hain. Charts aur technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), traders ko price movements ko predict karne mein madad karte hain.

Scalping aur day trading, EUR/USD ko trade karne ke common strategies hain. Scalpers short term trades karte hain aur bohat kam profits per focus karte hain, jabke day traders din bhar mein multiple trades karte hain taake intraday price movements ka faida uthaya ja sake.

**Risk Management:**

Forex trading mein risk management bohat zaroori hai. Leverage ka istemal karte waqt, traders ko bohat ehtiyat se kaam lena padta hai, kyun ke leverage na sirf profits ko barhata hai, balki losses ko bhi magnify karta hai. Stop loss aur take profit orders ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai taake unexpected market movements se bacha ja sake.

**Conclusion:**

EUR/USD trading forex market mein ek dynamic aur challenging task hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur technical analysis, sab ka mila julay asar se EUR/USD ki value mein fluctuations hoti rehti hain. Forex trading mein success hasil karne ke liye, traders ko in tamam factors ka gehra understanding hona chahiye aur effective risk management techniques ka istemal karna chahiye.

Yeh market itna dynamic aur ever-changing hai ke ismein koi bhi cheez certain nahi hoti, aur har din naye opportunities aur challenges le kar aata hai. Har trader ka objective yeh hota hai ke wo in fluctuations ka faida uthaye aur apni trading strategies ko behtareen tareeqay se implement kar sake.

Tuesday ko EUR/USD pair thodi si neeche trade hui aur 1.1111 ka level touch kiya. Yeh decline tab aaya jab pair ne US Dollar ke muqable mein thori si mazid taqat hasil ki. Is harkat ka asal wajah yeh hai ke market mein yeh umeed hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apne aane walay September ke meeting mein aik significant interest rate cut ka elan kar sakta hai. Aam tor par, agar aisa hota hai, toh USD kamzor hota hai kyun ke kam interest rates foreign investors ke liye USD ko kam attractive bana dete hain, aur capital inflows mein bhi kami hoti hai.

Federal Reserve Ka Ihtimal Rate Cut: Market Expectations

Market mein rate cut ke intezar ka jazba barh raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, aksar log umeed kar rahe hain ke Fed kam az kam 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karega. Federal Reserve Atlanta ke President Raphael Bostic, jo aksar hawkish stance rakhte hain, ne bhi kaha ke "ab waqt hai ke hum rate cuts par move karain." Is ka sabab cooling inflation aur unemployment rate ka umeed se zyada hona hai.

Maujooda Market Pricing aur Mustaqbil ki Projections:

Financial markets ab tak September mein 25 bps ka rate cut hone ke 70% chances dekh rahe hain. Jab ke 50 bps ka bara rate cut hone ke 30% chances hain, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq. Ab jab ke investors zyada wazeh signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, unki tawajjo Friday ko aane wale US employment data par hogi. Yeh data agle rate cuts ke mutaliq mazeed raahnumai faraham karega.






EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pichlay maheenay ke aghaz mein, EUR/USD pair ne 13-month high ko briefly touch kiya tha jo 1.1202 ka level tha. Magar, haal ke trends ne Greenback flows mein thori pullback dekhayi hai, jis se traders apni bullish positions par doobara ghoor kar rahe hain. Is ke bawajood, lambi muddat ka outlook optimistic lag raha hai. 50-day aur 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) dono hi upwards direction mein hain, 1.1083 aur 1.1086 ke qareeb. Saath hi, EUR/USD pair 4-hour time frame par aik Rising Channel ke andar hai, jo abhi bhi bullish sentiment ka izhar kar raha hai.

Spot price abhi bhi 100-day EMA ke kaafi upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke filhal 1.1086 par hai. Lekin, bearish retracement ka samna hai jab ke traders apni tawajjo thori si upar walay 50-day EMA par laga rahe hain, jo 1.1083 par hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 60.00 se neeche aaya hai, jo pehle overbought condition 75.00 ke qareeb thi, is liye market sentiment mein shift ka imkaan hai.

Subah ke forecast mein, meri tawajjo 1.1117 level par thi aur meine apni trading decisions isi ke hisaab se banaye. Aayein 5-minute chart ka jaiza lete hain aur dekhte hain ke kya hua. 1.1117 ke qareeb ek decline aur false breakout ne euro ke liye ek buy signal diya, jis ka nateeja yeh nikla ke pair 25 points se zyada barh gaya. Ab din ke doosray hisay ke liye technical picture ko dobara dekhte hain.

EUR/USD par Long Positions kholne ke liye:

Jaise ke expected tha, euro ne ZEW institute se Germany aur Eurozone ke weak data ki wajah se decline ka reaction diya, jo subah ke bullish momentum ke baad pair ke upside potential ko limit kar gaya. Din ke doosray hisay mein mazeed ahm aur dilchasp statistics US economy se mutaliq anay ki umeed hai, jin mein retail sales volume, industrial production, aur manufacturing output shamil hain. FOMC ki member Lorie K. Logan ka speech ziada interest nahi hasil karegi kyun ke woh future rate prospects par baat nahi karain gi. Agar strong US data aata hai aur bearish reaction hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke buyers dobara 1.1117 ke support level par samnay aayenge, jo pehle bhi din ke pehlay hisay mein acha perform kar chuka hai. Wahan par ek false breakout long positions ke liye achi conditions paida karega, aur bullish trend ko recovery ke liye 1.1150 resistance level tak le jayega, jo pichlay hafte ke high ke qareeb hai. Agar is range ke upar breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, toh pair mazeed barh kar 1.1176 ka test karega. Sabse door target 1.1199 ka high hoga, jahan mein profits book karoon ga. Agar EUR/USD neeche girta hai aur din ke doosray hisay mein 1.1117 ke aas paas koi activity nahi hoti, toh pressure barh jayega aur badi sell-off ka imkaan hoga. Is surat mein, mein sirf tab entry loon ga jab 1.1097 ke agle support ke qareeb ek false breakout banta hai, jahan moving averages thodi upar hain. Mein 1.1074 ke rebound par foran long positions open karoon ga, jahan mera target 30-35 points ka intraday upward correction hoga.






EUR/USD par Short Positions kholne ke liye:

Sach poocha jaye toh sellers ke paas ziada mauqay nahi hain, is liye mein sirf tab action loonga jab pair barhay aur naya weekly high banaye. Mere liye 1.1150 level theek hoga, jahan ek false breakout aur strong US statistics ke saath mil kar short positions ke liye achi conditions paida karega, jiska target 1.1117 ka support hoga, jise aaj hum break nahi kar paye. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur retest neeche se upar hota hai, toh ek aur selling point milega, jahan se pair 1.1097 ki taraf move karega. Sabse door target 1.1074 ka level hoga, jo bulls ke mazeed euro growth ke plans ko poori tarah se invalidate kar dega. Mein wahan par profits loonga. Agar EUR/USD barhta hai aur 1.1150 ke aas paas bears nazar nahi aate, toh buyers bullish trend ko barhawa dete rahenge aur 1.1176 ka resistance test karne ka chance milega. Mein wahan bhi sell karoon ga, lekin sirf tab jab consolidation na ho paye. Mein 1.1199 ke rebound par foran short positions open karoon ga, jahan mera target 30-35 points ka downward correction hoga.

Currency pair EUR/USD mein choti fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo ke 1.1115 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai jab ke Tuesday ke din European session ke aghaz mein pair apni teen din ki losing streak se recover karna shuru hui. Iss waqt pair ka position 1.1125 ke qareeb hai. Yeh recent shift asal mein US Federal Reserve ke dovish stance ki wajah se hai, jo ne Greenback ko kamzor kar diya hai aur Euro ko thoda support diya hai.

European Central Bank (ECB) ke Governing Council ke member François Villeroy de Galhau ne haal hi mein yeh suggest kiya hai ke ECB ke liye September mein rate cut par ghoor karne ke mazid wajahain hain. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Villeroy de Galhau ka maanna hai ke aane wali September 12 ki meeting mein naye rate cut ka faisla karna munasib hoga. Unhoon ne kaha ke yeh step current economic halaat ke liye theek aur waqt ka taqaza hoga.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein Federal Reserve ke 50-basis points ke interest rate cut ka imkaan ab 30.5% hai, jab ke pichlay haftay yeh 36% tha. Yeh adjustment market ke sentiments mein tabdeeli ka izhar karti hai, jo EUR/USD ke movements ko bhi asar andaz kar raha hai.

Eurozone se anay wale recent inflation data ne mixed signals diye hain. Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke pehlay report ke mutabiq headline inflation July ke 2.6% se ghatt kar 2.2% par aa gaya hai, jo ke energy prices mein kami ki wajah se hai. Lekin core HICP, jo food, energy, alcohol aur tobacco jaise volatile categories ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% se halki si kami ke sath 2.8% par barh gaya hai. Yeh inflation figures European Central Bank (ECB) ke policy decisions par asar dalti hain.






Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical tor par, EUR/USD pair August 26 ko 1.1202 ka peak touch karne ke baad downward trajectory par chal rahi hai. Yeh girti hui peaks aur troughs yeh zahir karte hain ke short-term downtrend maujood hai. "The trend is your friend" ke principle ke mutabiq, neeche ki taraf prices ka silsila qaim rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar pair 1.1150 ke upar close karta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko challenge kar sakta hai aur reversal ke imkaan ko zahir kar sakta hai.

Hourly chart ke mutabiq, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator apni signal line ke neeche cross kar chuki hai. Yeh naya downward movement ka indication de raha hai. Traders aur analysts ko is indicator ko closely dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh future price actions ke bare mein valuable insights faraham karta hai.

EUR-USD Pair Review

EUR-USD pair ab bhi bullish movement ki taraf rujhan rakhti hai, is liye aaj ke trading ke liye buy transaction option ko ahem choice samjha ja sakta hai. Lekin, transaction ko execute karne se pehle behtar yeh hoga ke theek momentum ka intezar kiya jaye, jaise ke chhoti time frame par bullish candlestick pattern ka zahoor hona. Iska maqsad yeh hai ke jo transactions kiye jayenge, woh high quality open positions dein, jisme ideal risk-reward calculations aur acha winning rate probability ho.

Transaction Decisions ke liye Consideration:

Transaction decisions banane ke liye qareebi support aur resistance levels ko dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh support resistance aap Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line, ya Psychological Prices ke zariye hasil kar sakte hain. Kuch ahem levels yeh hain:

Resistance 2 = 1.1170

Resistance 1 = 1.1150

Support 1 = 1.1110

Support 2 = 1.1090


Agar price support area mein rejection dekhta hai, toh foran buy transaction ki option le sakte hain. Lekin agar support ka breakout ho jata hai, toh buy option ko dobara sochna chahiye. Forex market ke price movements bohot dynamic hote hain, aur kabhi kabhi market bearish direction mein reverse ho sakta hai.

Buy option us waqt bhi liya ja sakta hai jab EUR/USD price pehli resistance ka breakout kar le, lekin transaction open position rakhne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke intezar karein jab price wapas resistance area tak correction kare jo break ho chuka ho. Isko "Resistance Become Support (RBS)" kehte hain.

Risk Calculation aur Trading Plan:

Is liye, apne aap ko risk calculations ke liye pehle se tayar karna chahiye, taake trading plan ke mutabiq zaroori actions liye ja sakein. Taki agar market unexpected direction mein move kare, toh jo losses hongi, woh pehle se measureable aur prepared risk limits ke mutabiq hon.

Currency pair EUR/USD mein choti fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo ke 1.1115 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai jab ke Tuesday ke din European session ke aghaz mein pair apni teen din ki losing streak se recover karna shuru hui. Iss waqt pair ka position 1.1125 ke qareeb hai. Yeh recent shift asal mein US Federal Reserve ke dovish stance ki wajah se hai, jo ne Greenback ko kamzor kar diya hai aur Euro ko thoda support diya hai.

European Central Bank (ECB) ke Governing Council ke member François Villeroy de Galhau ne haal hi mein yeh suggest kiya hai ke ECB ke liye September mein rate cut par ghoor karne ke mazid wajahain hain. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, Villeroy de Galhau ka maanna hai ke aane wali September 12 ki meeting mein naye rate cut ka faisla karna munasib hoga. Unhoon ne kaha ke yeh step current economic halaat ke liye theek aur waqt ka taqaza hoga.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein Federal Reserve ke 50-basis points ke interest rate cut ka imkaan ab 30.5% hai, jab ke pichlay haftay yeh 36% tha. Yeh adjustment market ke sentiments mein tabdeeli ka izhar karti hai, jo EUR/USD ke movements ko bhi asar andaz kar raha hai.

Eurozone se anay wale recent inflation data ne mixed signals diye hain. Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ke pehlay report ke mutabiq headline inflation July ke 2.6% se ghatt kar 2.2% par aa gaya hai, jo ke energy prices mein kami ki wajah se hai. Lekin core HICP, jo food, energy, alcohol aur tobacco jaise volatile categories ko exclude karta hai, 2.9% se halki si kami ke sath 2.8% par barh gaya hai. Yeh inflation figures European Central Bank (ECB) ke policy decisions par asar
Technical tor par, EUR/USD pair August 26 ko 1.1202 ka peak touch karne ke baad downward trajectory par chal rahi hai. Yeh girti hui peaks aur troughs yeh zahir karte hain ke short-term downtrend maujood hai. "The trend is your friend" ke principle ke mutabiq, neeche ki taraf prices ka silsila qaim rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar pair 1.1150 ke upar close karta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko challenge kar sakta hai aur reversal ke imkaan ko zahir kar sakta hai.


Hourly chart ke mutabiq, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator apni signal line ke neeche cross kar chuki hai. Yeh naya downward movement ka indication de raha hai. Traders aur analysts ko is indicator ko closely dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh future price actions ke bare mein valuable insights faraham karta hai.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD H-4

Chaar ghante ke time frame par market ki situation aur forecast ka jaiza lete hain. Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke movement forecast ko extended regression stop aur reverse indicator signals ka istemal karke analyze karenge. Entry point RSI (14) ke standard settings se select kiya jayega aur MACD indicator reading ke confirmation ko bhi madde nazar rakha jayega. Sabse behtareen exit point choose karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko kal ya current trading din (ya hafte) ke extreme numbers ke sath draw karenge aur market se exit ke liye behtareen option choose karenge taake maximum profit hasil ho sake.

Sabse pehle, chaar ghante ke time frame (H4) se related chart par pehla degree regression line (golden dotted line) nazar aati hai, jo instrument aur trend ko upward direction mein dikhati hai. Yeh acute angle par hai, jo bohot strong trend movement aur northward dynamics ko indicate karta hai.

Non-linear channel (convex lines), jo near-future direction ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ismein significant upward slope hai. Non-linear regression channel linear channel ke golden line ko niche se upar tak cross karta hai aur quotation ke growth ko dikhata hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators, jo oversold zone mein hain, buy transaction enter karne ki feasibility aur accuracy ko confirm karte hain.

Price ne blue support line of linear regression Channel 2-and LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin minimum price (LOW) par pahunche ke baad decline ko roknay aur phir se upar uthne lagi. In sab cheezon ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market price recover hogi aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line aur linear channel 1.11800 ke golden middle line LR ke upar stabilize hogi, jo Fibonacci level 61.8% ke sath match karta hai. Yahan se price ke aur upar jane ke ummeed hai.

EUR-USD Pair Review

EUR-USD pair ab bhi bullish movement ki taraf rujhan rakhti hai, is liye aaj ke trading ke liye buy transaction option ko ahem choice samjha ja sakta hai. Lekin, transaction ko execute karne se pehle behtar yeh hoga ke theek momentum ka intezar kiya jaye, jaise ke chhoti time frame par bullish candlestick pattern ka zahoor hona. Iska maqsad yeh hai ke jo transactions kiye jayenge, woh high quality open positions dein, jisme ideal risk-reward calculations aur acha winning rate probability ho.

Transaction Decisions ke liye Consideration:

Transaction decisions banane ke liye qareebi support aur resistance levels ko dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh support resistance aap Bollinger Bands indicator, Moving Average, Horizontal Line, ya Psychological Prices ke zariye hasil kar sakte hain. Kuch ahem levels yeh hain:

Resistance 2 = 1.1170

Resistance 1 = 1.1150

Support 1 = 1.1110

Support 2 = 1.1090


Agar price support area mein rejection dekhta hai, toh foran buy transaction ki option le sakte hain. Lekin agar support ka breakout ho jata hai, toh buy option ko dobara sochna chahiye. Forex market ke price movements bohot dynamic hote hain, aur kabhi kabhi market bearish direction mein reverse ho sakta hai.

Buy option us waqt bhi liya ja sakta hai jab EUR/USD price pehli resistance ka breakout kar le, lekin transaction open position rakhne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke intezar karein jab price wapas resistance area tak correction kare jo break ho chuka ho. Isko "Resistance Become Support (RBS)" kehte hain.

Risk Calculation aur Trading Plan:

Is liye, apne aap ko risk calculations ke liye pehle se tayar karna chahiye, taake trading plan ke mutabiq zaroori actions liye ja sakein. Taki agar market unexpected direction mein move kare, toh jo losses hongi, woh pehle se measureable aur prepared risk limits ke mutabiq hon

EUR/USD currency pair ki assessment mein dekha gaya hai ke price 1.1140 ke resistance level ko test kar rahi hai. Resistance wo level hota hai jo price ko aur zyada barhne se rokta hai. Jab price is level tak pohanchti hai, to usay isay todhne aur aagay barhne mein mushkil hoti hai. Is waqt price 1.1114 aur 1.1140 ke darmiyan ghoom rahi hai, jo ke range-bound movement ko zahir karta hai. Ye behavior is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke traders ko aglay move ka pata nahi chal raha. Yeh uncertainty zyadatar is wajah se hai ke New York trading session ke dauran US ka economic data release hone wala hai. Yeh reports US dollar ki performance ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Agar data strong aata hai, to US dollar mazid barh sakta hai, jis se euro kamzor ho jaye ga. Is ke baraks agar data expectations se kamzor nikla, to euro mazid taqat pakar sakta hai. Is liye traders in reports ka intezar kar rahe hain taake market ka reaction samajh sakein. Is dauran, is range ke andar trade karna aur bade trades se abhi door rehna behtari ho sakti hai jab tak zyada clarity na mil jaye.

Charts ka ghor se mutala kiya jaye, khaaskar 4-hour (H4) aur hourly (H1) timeframes, to EUR/USD ke future moves ke bare mein andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. 4-hour chart mein ek strong upward trend nazar aata hai, jahan pe pehli degree ki regression line positive chal rahi hai. Is line ka matlab hai ke price consistently barh rahi hai. Lekin ab wo aik aham resistance level, 1.1140, par pohanch gayi hai. Agar price is level ko tor leti hai, to aagay barhne ke chances barh jate hain.






Hourly chart par dekha jaye to price sideways move kar rahi hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke filhal koi clear upward ya downward trend nahi hai. Yeh sideways action is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke traders aglay move ke bare mein mutasir nahi hain. Ek clearer signal ke liye traders 1.1154 ke upar breakout ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar price is level ke upar chalti hai, to upward trend ke barqarar rehne ki tasdeeq ho sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar price is level ke neeche rehti hai, to sideways pattern barqarar reh sakta hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ka istemal profit targets aur stop-loss set karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Filhal, established range ke andar trading karna behtar lagta hai jab tak market ki direction zyada wazeh nahi hoti.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ko izafa dekha, jo ke dollar par selling pressure ki wajah se tha. Is upward movement ne pair ko phir se 1.1100 ke upar push kiya, jahan pichle hafte ke dauran chaotic intraday movements nazar aye thay. Nai hafte ke aghaz par risk sentiment mazboot hai, jab ke investors ka Fed rate cut ke mutaliq trust ab bhi strong hai. European economic calendar mein ziada kuch focus mein nahi, siwaye ECB President Christine Lagarde ke appearance ke, lekin fiber market ka rujhan iss hafte US central bank ke data par zyada hoga. Tuesday ko US retail sales ka data release hoga, lekin ziada volatility tabhi aasakti hai agar data expectations se mukhtalif nikla. US ke quarterly retail sales growth ka forecast August mein 0.2% hai, jo ke July ke 1.0% se slow hone ki umeed hai, jab ke core retail sales (jo autos ko exclude karti hai) ka forecast 0.4% se gir ke 0.3% hone ka hai. Investors ko yaqeen hai ke Fed Wednesday ko naye rate cut cycle ka aghaz karega, aur abhi debate cut ke time ke bajaye uss ke extent par ho rahi hai. Interest rate traders ke mutabiq takreeban 60% chance hai ke Fed pehli dafa chaar saalon mein rates ko 50 basis points tak kam kare, jab ke 40% log 25 basis points cut ki umeed rakhtay hain, CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Interest rate market ye bhi expect kar rahi hai ke saal ke akhri tak 125-150 basis points ka cut hoga, aur 80% chance hai ke December 18 tak federal funds rate 400-425 basis points tak pohanch jaye.







Monday ke one-sided price action ke bawajood, jahan fiber buying ne 1.1100 ke upar ke upper limit ko touch kiya, long-term bulls ab bhi charts par ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. August ke aakhir mein ek saal ke highs se pullback ke baad, price action ek technical trap mein phansi hui hai, jab ke bullish momentum ziada strong nahi hai, halaan ke pichle hafte 1.1000 handle se bullish bounce dekha gaya. EUR/USD pair ko 1.1015 ke support level par madad mili, uske baad ye uptrend channel mein wapas aayi. Price 1.1000 ke psychological level ko tor nahi paayi, aur koi bhi upward movement market ke liye mufeed ho sakta hai. Magar red Tenkan-sen ab bhi blue Kijun-sen ke muqabil flat hai, jab ke RSI 50 level ke aas paas ghoom raha hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oversold territory mein rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke downward correction khatam ho sakta hai. Yeh pair 20-day SMA ke upar 1.1085 par break karne ke qareeb hai, jo ke mazid strong resistance ko 1.1150 par challenge kar sakta hai. Magar 1.1200 ka area ab bhi aik significant obstacle hai, jo pichle mahine mein upside ko kafi had tak limit kar chuka hai.

EUR/USD ka 30-minute chart ek recent bullish move dikhata hai, jo ke 1.10000 ke aas paas liquidity zone ko retest karne ke baad shuru hua, jahan price ne do bottom liquidity levels ko touch kiya aur phir ek significant reversal aya. Is upward momentum ne pair ko key levels reclaim karne mein madad di, aur ab current price 1.11227 hai. 1.10500 ke upar jo Fair Value Gap (FVG) tha, wo fill ho chuka hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke market ne pehle ki inefficiencies ko correct kiya hai, jis ke baad price ne upper liquidity pools ki taraf rally ki. Agla area of interest 1.11500 aur 1.12000 ke liquidity zones ke qareeb hai, jahan untested supply current bullish momentum ko challenge kar sakti hai. Yeh regions, jo distribution liquidity (DLiq) se mark hain, price ke in levels tak pohanchne par strong resistance de sakte hain. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leta hai, to EUR/USD ke liye mazeed gains ka darwaza khul sakta hai, aur yeh pair 1.12000-1.12500 range tak barh sakta hai, jahan ek significant sell-side liquidity zone ka intezar hai.






Niche ke support levels achi tarah define hain, jahan 1.10500 zone immediate cushioning provide karta hai, us ke baad 1.10000 ka psychological level hai. Yeh levels un areas ke saath coincide karte hain jahan liquidity pehle swept ki gayi thi, jo ke strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Agar price retrace hota hai, to buyers shayad in support levels par wapas aana chahein, kyun ke inhon ne downward trend ko roknay mein asar dikhaya hai. Akhir mein, EUR/USD is waqt bullish momentum experience kar raha hai, Fair Value Gap fill hone ke baad aur 1.11000 ke upar key levels reclaim karne ke baad. Agla test yeh ho ga ke kya pair 1.11500 ke resistance ko break kar sakta hai, jo ke price ko 1.12000 tak mazeed gains dene mein madad de sakta hai. Niche ke support zones 1.10500 aur 1.10000 critical hain, jahan liquidity strong buying interest provide karne ka imkaan hai. Market sentiment filhal short-term mein bullish nazar aa raha hai, lekin key resistance levels future upside movement ke liye primary challenge rahenge.

EUR/USD H-1

Is waqt EUR/USD pair flat trade kar raha hai, aur price 1.11284 par hai jo chart ke upper half mein dikhai de rahi hai. Instaforex indicator ke mutabiq buyers aur sellers ka ratio pehle hisson mein barabar hai, jahan buyers ka hissa 50.59% ke qareeb hai. Doosre hisson mein indicator northward trend show kar raha hai. Aaj ke din ke doran in dono ke darmiyan kis tarah ka interaction ho ga? European Union se kuch aham aur dilchasp khabron mein German economic sentiment index hai. United States ki taraf se Retail Sales Basic Index aur Retail Sales ka data release hona hai. Halankeh information kam hai, lekin fundamental aur technical analysis se kaam kiya ja sakta hai. To aaj ka kya scenario hai? Mera khayal hai ke pehle pair south ki taraf adjust kar ke 1.1070 level tak jaayega, aur phir north ki taraf 1.1190 level tak pohanchne ki koshish karega. Sab ko achi trading ki dua deta hoon.

EUR/USD H-4






Har jagah dollar ki girawat dekhi ja rahi hai, aur iski wajah Federal Reserve ki policies hain. Yeh planned girawat ka silsila do din tak jari reh sakta hai, jab tak rates announce nahi hote. Isi wajah se kuch bhi exact kehna mushkil hai, kyun ke market har waqt badal sakta hai.

Monday ko EUR/USD mein ek dilchasp bullish move dekha gaya, jahan hum ne higher levels ko touch kiya aur pehle ke aham highs ke qareeb aa gaye. Ek taraf se, hum wapas bounce kar sakte hain kyun ke yeh highs historical hain, lekin market sentiment itna strong hai ke additional arguments ke baghair reversal mushkil lagta hai. Achanak kisi unexpected news ke aane ka imkaan kam hai.

Is liye lagta hai ke price aur barh kar iss saal ke sab se unchi level, jo pichlay mahine mein set hui thi, tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh level 1.1180 hai, aur lagta hai ke ab hum issi ko target kar rahe hain. Key indicators ke liye 1.1135 ke upar close hona zaroori hai, jo ke iss waqt kafi qareeb hai.

EUR/USD D-1 Time Frame

Bearish View

EUR/USD pair ko sell karein aur take-profit ko 1.0980 par set karein.

Stop-loss ko 1.1100 par lagayein.

Duration: 1-2 din.

Bullish View

EUR/USD pair ko buy karein aur take-profit ko 1.1100 par set karein.

Stop-loss ko 1.0975 par lagayein.


EUR/USD Pair Overview

EUR/USD currency pair flat raha hai jab ke US consumer inflation data encouraging tha aur ECB ke interest rate decision ka intezar ho raha tha. Yeh pair ne 1.100 ke crucial support level ko retest kiya, lekin ECB meeting se pehle thora pull back karke 1.1020 tak wapas aaya.

ECB Interest Rate Decision

EUR/USD pair ne August ke consumer inflation data ka reaction diya. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke mutabiq, headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) 2.5% par aaya, jo ke 2 saalon ka sab se lowest level hai aur analysts ke expectations ke mutabiq hai. Core CPI, jo food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, unchanged raha aur annual basis par 3.2% par tha, lekin month-on-month 0.3% ka izafa dekha gaya.

Yeh data us waqt aaya jab labor market ka data dikhaya gaya ke August mein unemployment rate 4.2% par aagaya, aur economy ne 112k jobs add kiye. Yeh number kafi cautiously lena chahiye kyun ke downward revisions barhti ja rahi hain. Is latest US inflation data ke mutabiq, Fed September meeting mein rates ko 0.25% tak cut karega. US Thursday ko jobless claims aur producer price index (PPI) ka data publish karega.

Agli aham khabar ECB ka interest rate decision hoga. Zyadatar economists expect kar rahe hain ke ECB rates ko 0.25% tak cut karke 3.50% par laayega taake economy ko support diya ja sake. Hal hi ke data se yeh zahir hota hai ke inflation 2% target ke qareeb hai, jab ke economy slow pace se grow kar rahi hai. Is wajah se ek aur rate cut financing ko European consumers aur businesses ke liye aur accessible bana dega.






EUR/USD Technical Analysis

EUR/USD pair ne pichle kuch dinon mein steady downward trend dekha hai jab ke 26 August ko 1.1200 ka peak lagaya tha. Yeh pair 1.60% se ziada gir kar 1.1020 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke 16 August ke baad sab se lowest swing hai. Yeh pair 25-day moving average ke niche move kar chuka hai, jab ke Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) ke do lines bearish crossover dikhati hain. Yeh 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level ke neeche bhi gir chuka hai.

Is liye, expected hai ke pair 1.0980 ke crucial support ko retest karega, jo March mein iska highest swing tha, aur phir uptrend resume karega. Break and retest pattern ko market mein aik positive sign mana jata hai.