Gold Market Trend

Hello everyone! Main dekhta hoon ke ek achi mauka hai munafa kamaane ka H1 timeframe par instrument ka forecast karke. Iske liye, chalo sahi tor par market movement ka direction determine karte hain aur market mein ek optimal entry banate hain taake achi profit hasil ho. Sab se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ke hum preferred direction (long ya short positions) mein galti na karein, is liye chalo apne instrument ka chart 4-hour timeframe par kholte hain aur current trend check karte hain. Hum ensure karte hain ke aaj market humein long positions ke liye ek excellent opportunity de raha hai. Uske baad, hum apne analysis mein HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators apply karenge Pichle tijarat ke session mein, sona apni giravat jari rakhta raha, pivot level ke neeche jaama ho raha hai. Bears ab 2347.88 par tijarat kar rahe hain, jahan intraday nishaan kam hota ja raha hai aur classic Pivot levels ke support ke neeche. Main aaj ke tasalsul se mazeed giravat aur umeed karta hoon, aur 2289.20 ke pehle support level ka toot sona giravat ki naye lehar ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke support line ke neeche 2244.81 ke aas paas ki harkat ko phela sakta hai. Agar bullish traders laut aaye, to unka reference point mojooda chart section mein 2413.85 ke resistance level par hoga. Magar, Jumeraat ko sona ke keemat mein izafa Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index ke izhaar ke sath rok sakta hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ka pasandida mahsulat ke aaghaz ka naapa hai. Agar mahsulat ka data mansubah se zyada taqatwar aata hai, to ye US dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur sona ke upside potential ko mehdood kar sakta hai

Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke mutabiq H1 timeframe par bhi humein bullish sentiment nazar aa raha hai - dono indicators neela aur hara rang dikhate hain, jo buyers ki predominance ko indicate karte hain. Is liye, hum confidently ek buy trade open karte hain. Hum apni position ko magnetic levels indicator ke signals par exit karenge. Aaj ke liye ideal levels kaam karne ke liye yeh hain - 2381. Phir hum price behavior ko chart par magnetic level ke approach par observe karenge aur determine karenge ke market mein position ko further profit growth ke liye hold karna zyada appropriate hai ya confidently ab tak hasil hui profit ko le lena. Aap MT4 trading terminal mein available Trailing stop tool ka use kar sakte hain

Aaj, main 4-hour chart pe soney ki movement ka tajzia karna chahta hoon, jo ke mere khayal mein zyada objective perspective faraham karta hai. Filhaal, futures short-term downtrend mein hain, Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade ho rahe hain, jo ke bearish momentum dikha raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ghoom gaya hai. Pichle trading session mein, soney ka girawat jari raha, aur pivot level ke neeche consolidate kiya. Bears ab 2347.88 pe trade kar rahe hain, aur intraday targets reduction ke liye classic Pivot levels ka support hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj ke current levels se aur girawat hogi, aur agar pehla support level 2289.20 break hota hai toh ek nayi wave of gold falling shuru ho sakti hai, jo support line ke neeche 2244.81 tak ja sakti hai. Agar bullish traders wapas aate hain, toh unka reference point current chart section mein resistance level 2413.85 hoga. Lekin, Friday ko baad mein, soney ki price gains ko Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index ke release se cap kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke Fed ka preferred inflation gauge hai. Agar inflation data anticipated se zyada strong aata hai, toh ye US dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur soney ki upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai. Technically, daily chart for gold (XAU/USD) ek uptrend continuation suggest karta hai. Haal hi mein price dip ne technical factors ke confluence mein support dhoondha

Agar 2365 range ke upar break aur consolidation hoti hai, toh buy opportunity ka signal milega. Isi tarah, 2348 pe false breakout further growth ka lead de sakta hai. Conversely, agar consolidation 2340 ke neeche hoti hai, toh ye sell opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai. Ek aur scenario mein, 2365 range ke upar break aur consolidation potential rise in price ko indicate karta hai. Dusri taraf, 2328 range mein ek false breakout ho sakta hai, jo ke baad mein potential growth ka signal ho sakta hai. Possible corrections ke bawajood, overall growth anticipate ki ja rahi hai. Agar 2350 range test hoti hai, toh ye further upward movement ka lead de sakti hai, halan ke corrective falls bhi ho sakti hain, khaaskar jab chote speculators buy karte hain aur bare traders aise positions ko counteract karte hain

Gold prices ne Friday ko barh gayi hain due to a weaker US dollar aur lower US yields. Ye shift traders ke darmiyan barhti hui umeed ko reflect karta hai ke Federal Reserve iss saal ke baad mein interest rates cut karega, disappointing US GDP data ke release ke baad. Middle East mein geopolitical tensions bhi gold ki appeal ko boost karti hain, kyun ke investors uncertain times mein safe-haven assets ki taraf jate hain. Lekin, Friday ko baad mein gold ke price gains Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index ke release ke baad cap ho sakti hain, jo ke Fed ka preferred inflation gauge hai. Agar inflation data anticipated se zyada strong aata hai, to ye US dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur gold ke upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai. Technically, gold (XAU/USD) ke daily chart mein uptrend ke continuation ka suggestion milta hai. Recent price dip ne support paayi hai technical factors ke confluence mein, jisme demand zone, trend line aur 76% Fibonacci retracement level shamil hain. Weaker-than-expected US GDP growth lower inflation aur potential interest rate cuts by the Fed ka possibility raise karta hai, jo gold ke holding costs ko reduce karke uske favor mein hota hai

Lekin, Fed officials ke hawkish comments aur Europe mein higher-than-expected inflation data, especially Germany aur Spain mein, aggressive rate cuts ke likelihood pe kuch doubt dalte hain. Ye unexpected European inflation data ye possibility kam kar deti hai ke European Central Bank bhi Fed ke footsteps follow kare significant rate cuts ke saath apni June meeting ke baad. Gold prices ke liye immediate resistance level around $2,425 hai, jo upper Bollinger Band se mark kiya gaya hai. Is level ke upar break ek move ko trigger kar sakta hai towards all-time high $2,450 aur shayad even psychological level $2,500 tak. Downside pe, $2,290-$2,300 zone, jo lower Bollinger Band aur ek round number ke saath coincide karta hai, most significant support present karta hai. Agar is area ke neeche decisive break hoti hai, to gold prices 100-day moving average $2,230 tak gir sakti hain

Gold market ne Thursday ko rebound kiya jab Wednesday ko thoda dip aya tha, ye rebound Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeedon ki wajah se tha jo ke slowing US economic growth ki wajah se asar mein aya. Gold ka price (XAU/USD) 0.41% barh ke $2,347 ho gaya jab data ne GDP slowdown reveal kiya jo ke pichle quarter ke muqable mein tha. Ye economic weakness, rising unemployment claims aur weakening housing market ke sath, suggest karta hai ke Fed ki aggressive rate hikes ne apna asar dikhana shuru kar diya hai. Investors ne isay future rate cuts ki sign ke tor par dekha, jo ke aam tor par gold prices ke liye faida mand hoti hai. Magar, positive outlook ke bawajood, aik bara hurdle abhi bhi hai. Gold $2,350 ke psychological resistance level ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Agar buyers is barrier ko overcome kar lein, to aur zyada gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jo ke $2,400, $2,450, aur hatta ke $2,500 tak pahunch sakte hain

Dosri taraf, agar price $2,321 ke 50-day moving average se neeche girti hai, to ye aik sell-off trigger kar sakti hai. Ye scenario May lows jo ke $2,277 ke aas paas hain ko retest kar sakta hai. Ye notable double top pattern ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jahan second top thoda zyada hai pehle se. Upper border of the channel se reversal dekha gaya jab ke RSI par bearish divergence bhi dekhne ko mili do peaks ke darmiyan. Ye maan lena theek hai ke market deeper correction ko form karne ke liye vulnerable hai within the ascending blue channel, aur ye correction blue channel ke median line tak develop ho sakti hai, given speed jis se gold price ne apne peak se May 20th ko decline kiya aur bears ki confidence ne trend line (jo ke red mein hai) ko break kiya. Overall, short-term technical picture kuch mixed hai. Jahan economic indicators gold ke haq mein hain, wahan price action current level par kuch seller pressure show kar raha hai. Aik decisive break $2,350 zone ke upar ya neeche likely hai ke agla major move gold prices ke liye determine karega

Char ghantay ke price chart ka tajziya karte hue, hum dekhtay hain ke linear regression channel ka slope positive hai, jo ke market mein buyers ka dominant asar dikhata hai. Yeh buying opportunities paida kar sakta hai, magar kharidari ka faisla karne se pehle intizar karein ke linear regression channel bhi H4 interval pe upper side mein move karna shuru kare. Main 2348.66 ke level pe buying ka soch raha hoon, lekin sellers ke dynamics ko monitor karunga jo ke prices ko is level se neeche le ja sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai aur prices 2348.66 se neeche settle ho jati hain, to yeh selling trend ke continuation ko indicate kar sakta hai higher H4 timeframe pe. Is surat mein, main apni kharidari ka faisla postpone kar dunga jab tak ke market sentiment buyers ki taraf shift hone ka confirmation nahi milta aur price 2362.27 ke level se upar nahi rehti.
Main hourly chart pe market data ka tajziya karta hoon. Filhal, main dekh raha hoon ke market mein strong downtrend hai. Mera plan yeh hai ke observe karoon jab price channel ki upper border 2362.27 ko reach karay. Jab main yeh situation dekhoon, to main asset ko sell karne ka mauqa dhoondhunga taake usay 2285.52 ke level tak le aoon. Agar price is profit level ko break kar deti hai, to yeh continued downward trend ko signal karega. Magar mujhe yeh bhi ehsaas hai ke agay upward correction bhi ho sakti hai, isliye zaroori hai ke market ko monitor karoon aur bulls ki possible reaction ke liye tayaar rahoon

Main hamesha apna plan tabdeel karne ke liye tayaar hoon agar market ki situation badalti hai, kyun ke yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke agar bulls 2362.27 ke level ko cross karte hain, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka nishan ho sakta hai, jo ke revaluation ko lead kar sakta hai. Main hamesha market conditions ke changes ko follow karta hoon aur zaroorat parne pe apna plan adjust karne ke liye tayaar hoon. Mera maqsad maximum profit hasil karna hai, isliye main market ki kisi bhi changes ke saath adapt karunga

Humari guftagu ka markaz ab tak gold ki keemat ke utar chadhav par raha hai. Gold ki keemat kuch arsay ke liye ruki hui hai aur $2,328 ke aas paas chal rahi hai. Maine hal filhal mein US dollar mein ziyada sarmaya kari ka irada nahi rakha. Mera jhukaav gold ki taraf zyada raha hai, aur maine is mein ek nishayni girawat ki umeed rakhi thi, shayad $2,223 tak, jahaan main thoda bohat khareedne ka sochta taake hedge kar saku. Lekin mujhe gold ki keemat ke zyada girne ka andesha nahi tha, aur maine apne mercantile agenda mein kam se kam $2,102 ka target rakha hai. Filhal, gold sideways consolidate kar raha hai thodi si bearish tilt ke saath. Maine midweek tak keemat ke kam se kam $2,277 tak girne ki umeed rakhi hai, aur yehi mera asool hai. Mazeed girawat mumkin hai, lekin hum specified minimum level tak ka irada rakhein

Global geopolitical tensions ke bawajood precious metals ki demand barqarar hai, Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke intezar ne US dollar ko mazboot banaya hai, jo ke sarmayakaron ko gold ke safe-haven allure se door le gaya hai. Ye trend dheere dheere barhta gaya hai, khaaskar agar May ka US data barhati hui inflation ko confirm kare. Jumme ko close hone par gold daily chart ke moving average se neechay chala gaya hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ka ishara de raha hai taake $2,297 par support ko test kar sake. Agar ye breakdown hota hai to girawat mazeed barh kar trading range ke lower bound ko challenge kar sakti hai, shayad support $2,206 tak target kar sake. Maine ek alternative scenario ka bhi socha hai sirf agar gold moving average ko reclaim kar le, aur significant market-impacting news aane se pehle consolidation ko monitor kar raha hoon

Gold ki keemat Monday ko Asian trading session mein thodi si gir gayi, aur qeemat takriban $2,325 per ounce par thi. Yeh girawat mukhtalif economic data aur geopolitical events ki wajah se hai. Haal hi mein US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ne gold ki qeemat ko asarandaz kiya hai. PCE price index, jo ke Federal Reserve ki taraf se dekhi jaane wali ek ahem inflation measure hai, ne moderate izafa dikhaya. Magar yeh izafa itna nahi tha ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates kam karne par majboor kare. Central bank ka mohtaat rawaiya gold par dabao banaye rakhta hai kyun ke zyada interest rates non-yielding assets jaise gold ko kam attractive banate hain. Investors yeh ummed lagaye baithe the ke lower PCE price index Federal Reserve ko rate cut karne par majboor karega, jo aam tor par gold ki qeemat mein izafa karta hai kyun ke metal ko rakhne ka moqa kam hota hai. Magar, Fed ne apni current policy stance ko barqarar rakha, is liye gold momentum hasil karne mein naakam raha. Market ka focus central bank ke future actions par hai, aur koi bhi policy changes ke hint gold prices ko bohot asarandaz kar sakte hain. Geopolitical news mein, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ne majboori mein US President Joe Biden ki taraf se propose ki gayi ceasefire plan ko qabool kiya hai. Ceasefire ka maqsad Gaza mein chalne wali tashadud ko rokna hai, jo ke haal hi mein badh gaya hai. Yeh development bhi gold ki qeemat ko asarandaz karti hai, kyun ke geopolitical tensions aam tor par safe-haven assets jaise gold ki demand ko barhati hain

US-mediated ceasefire plan ka mutalba hai ke Israeli aur Palestinian forces dono ki taraf se military actions ko foran roka jaye. Israel ka plan ko qabool karna tensions ko kam karne ki taraf ek qadam hai, magar surat-e-haal nazuk hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke agar ceasefire breakdown hoti hai to conflict dobara bhadak sakta hai aur gold prices mein surge ho sakta hai kyun ke investors safety ki talash mein hote hain. Agay dekhte hue, gold market closely economic indicators aur geopolitical events ko dekhegi. Federal Reserve ke agle qadam bohot ahem honge. Rate cut ke koi signals gold prices ko support kar sakte hain. Saath hi, Gaza mein ceasefire ka stability bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke renewed conflict gold ki demand ko safe-haven asset ke tor par barha sakta hai. Exponential Moving Average ke 34 period ke lower band ko dekhte hue price ko protect karne ki koshish ho rahi hai. Magar, band ko todne par gold apni correction ko extend karega jab hum selling opportunities dekhenge. Dosri taraf, FOMC is hafta release hoga jo ke yellow metal ko retest 2450.00 karwane mein madad kar sakta hai jab hum buying chance dekhenge

Gold prices (XAUUSD) itni tezi se giray ke yeh na-mumkin sa lagta tha. Mujhe samajh nahi aaya ke yeh itni achanak kyun hua. Humne 4-hour chart aur longer-term trend par prices ko significant girte hue dekha, jo resistance level $2,400 per ounce ko tor gaya. Iske bawajood, ek umeed ki kiran hai. Gold ka overall historical uptrend weekly aur daily charts par ab bhi mazboot hai. $100 girawat ek temporary adjustment ho sakti hai. Yeh decline $2,327 per ounce ke support par ruka, jo pehle bhi strong tha. Sellers shayad momentum kho rahe hain. Iska natija yeh hai ke main cautiously optimistic hoon ke prices agle hafte phir se $2,400 tak barh sakti hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh ek deep correction hai. Ho sakta hai mere pehle ke prediction mein kuch sachai ho ke short positions Fort Knox par khatam hongi kyunki gold Fed ke vaults se nikal kar developing nations ko ja raha hai. Market ke mutabiq, yeh outflow jari hai lekin shayad jaldi khatam ho. Gold ka long-term floor shayad $2,029 ke upar hi rahega, us level tak bhi nahi pohchega. Resistance bulls ka samna kar rahi hai, jabke strong bearish sentiment bhi maujood hai. Agar yeh trend jari raha to aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Magar, bulls ne poori tarah se haar nahi mani; unka ab bhi market par kuch asar hai

Gold prices agle hafte se news events ke asar mein aane ki umeed hai. Main umeed kar raha tha ke price $2,326 se Friday ko pull back karegi, magar yeh sirf $2,348 tak pohnchi aur phir reverse hui. Is weak growth ke base par, yeh correction ka end ho sakta hai. Agle hafte, downward trend $2,320 se niche jaane ke saath resume ho sakta hai. Friday ko support breach karne ki koshish nakam rahi, is liye $2,285 aur $2,265 targets ab bhi is hafte ke liye play mein hain. Agar yeh dono support levels kareeb hain to ek significant correction cycle $2,356 tak bhi pohch sakti hai. Agar support hold kar gayi, to price $2,356 ko phir se break karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, aur agar $2,320 mumkin hai to phir se downward push hoga. $2,380 (resistance) ko torna ek upward move ke liye indication hoga jo $2,417 aur $2,454 tak ja sakti hai. Agle hafte ke end tak, yeh scenario mujhe $2,268 par sell karne ka ek acha mauka dega. Gold ke mustaqbil ke baare mein abhi bhi uncertainty hai. Short-term bearish bias ab bhi hai, bhale hi correction apne end ke qareeb ho. Main closely monitor kar raha hoon critical support aur resistance levels ko further confirmation ke liye

Aaj sone ka bazaar kisi surprise ke baghair khula. Asian session ke doran, sellers ne price ko niche dhakela aur Friday ke daily range ka minimum update kar chuke hain. Main aaj is instrument mein actively trade karne ka plan nahi rakhta aur support level 2325.465 ko observe karta rahunga. Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, is support level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke is support level se reversal candle ya candlestick pattern banay aur price movement phir se upwards ho jaye. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke resistance level 2431.590 par wapas anay ka intezar karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close hogi, to main aur northward movement expect karunga, agle resistance level 2500 tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup banne ka intezar karunga taake aage ka trading direction tay kar saku. Bilkul, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke northern target 2600 tak pohch jaaye, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq hai, lekin yeh situation aur news flow par depend karega.
Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke aaj support level 2325.465 ko test karte waqt price is level ke niche close ho aur further southward movement ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 2277.345 support level ki taraf move hone ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke price movement upwards recover ho. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke lower southern target 2222.915 tak pohch jaaye, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq hai. Magar, agar yeh plan realize hota hai, to main is support level ke qareeb reversal signal ka intezar karunga aur price movement upwards recover hone ka intezar karunga, overall bullish trend ke formation mein

Mukhtasir yeh ke, aaj ke din mujhe is instrument mein locally kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Overall, main northern trend ke resumption ki taraf oriented hoon, isliye nearest support levels se bullish signals talash kar raha hoon

Good day, everyone! Hum chaar ghantay ke price chart ko analyze karke dekhtay hain ke linear regression channel ka positive slope hai, jo market mein buyers ka asar zahir karta hai. Ye buying opportunities create kar sakta hai, magar buy decision tab lena jab linear regression channel bhi higher H4 interval par upar move karna shuru kare. Main 2348.66 ke level par buy karne ka soch raha hoon, magar main sellers ke dynamics ko monitor karunga jo prices ko is level se neeche push kar sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai aur prices 2348.66 se neeche settle ho jaati hain, to yeh higher H4 time frame par selling trend ke continuation ko indicate karega. Is surat mein, main apna purchase decision postpone kar dunga jab tak market sentiment buyers ki taraf shift nahi hota, jo ke 2362.27 ke level par price ko maintain karne se confirm hoga Main hourly chart par market data analyze karta hoon aur filhal strong downtrend dekh raha hoon. Mera plan hai ke jab price channel ke upper border 2362.27 ko reach kare, to main asset ko 2285.52 ke level par sell karne ka mauka dhoondhunga. Agar price is profit level ko break kar deti hai, to yeh downward trend ke continuation ka signal hoga. Magar, mujhe maloom hai ke ek upward correction follow kar sakti hai, is liye market ko monitor karna aur bulls ke reaction ke liye tayaar rehna zaroori hai. Main hamesha tayaar hoon apna plan adjust karne ke liye agar market situation change hoti hai, kyunki yeh crucial hai ke agar bulls 2362.27 level ko cross karte hain, to yeh bullish interest indicate kar sakta hai, jo ke potential reevaluation ka lead ban sakta hai. Main hamesha market conditions ko track karta hoon aur zaroorat par apna plan alter karne ke liye tayaar hoon, taake market changes ke saath adapt karte hue profit maximize kar sakoon

Sona ki qeemat barh gayi kyun ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ne dikhaya ke yeh dhaatu support level ke qareeb oversold thi. Yeh oversold condition aksar yeh ishara deti hai ke asset ko kam qeemat par becha ja raha hai aur uski qeemat adjust hone ya badalne ka waqt aa sakta hai. Is case mein, RSI ne yeh dikhaya ke sona oversold tha, jo buyers ko sona khareedne par majboor kar raha tha aur is tarah qeemat barh gayi.
RSI ek momentum oscillator hai jo keemat ki harkaton ki raftaar aur tabdeeli ko maapta hai. Yeh 0 se 100 ke darmiyan hota hai, jahan 30 se neeche ki levels aksar yeh batati hain ke asset oversold hai aur 70 se upar ki levels yeh dikhati hain ke asset overbought hai. Jab sona ka RSI 30 se neeche gira, to isne traders ko ishara diya ke selling pressure zyada ho gaya hai aur qeemat ka rebound qareeb hai.

Support level ke qareeb, RSI ke zariye highlight hui oversold condition ne un buyers ko attract kiya jo sona kam qeemat par khareedne ka mauka dekh rahe the. Is buying pressure ke in influx ne qeemat barha di. Jaise sona ki qeemat barh gayi, yeh 100 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) line tak pahunch gayi. 100 EMA ek widely used technical indicator hai jo asset ka overall trend pehchanne mein madad karta hai aur qeemat ke data ko smooth out karke recent prices ko zyada weightage deta hai, isse naye information ke liye responsive banata hai.

Is context mein, sona ka 100 EMA line tak pahunchna yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat recover ho rahi hai aur shaayad ek zyada stable ya bullish phase mein daakhil ho rahi hai. Traders aksar EMA ka istemal support aur resistance levels pehchanne ke liye karte hain. Jab qeemat EMA ke upar hoti hai, to isse generally bullish signal mana jata hai, jabke qeemat EMA ke neeche hoti hai, to bearish sentiment suggest karti hai. Sona ka 100 EMA line tak pahunchna ek positive sign tha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke upward momentum jaari reh sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, sona ki qeemat ne current candle mein indicated trend line ko bhi touch kiya. Trend lines technical analysis ke essential tools hain jo trend ki direction ko pehchanne aur confirm karne ke liye istemal hote hain. Yeh significant price points, jaise ke highs aur lows ko connect karke draw ki jati hain aur traders ko trend ki trajectory visualize karne mein madad karti hain. Is case mein, trend line ne ek aur support level ka kaam kiya, RSI aur 100 EMA ke zariye diye gaye bullish signal ko reinforce kiya

In technical indicators ka convergence—RSI ka oversold condition signal karna, qeemat ka 100 EMA line tak pahunchna, aur trend line ko touch karna—ne bullish reversal ka strong case bana diya. Har indicator ne analysis ka ek alag pehlu provide kiya, magar mil kar unhone market conditions ka comprehensive picture paint kiya jo sona ki qeemat mein upward adjustment ko favor kar rahi thi

Support 2330 par aik ehm range ban gayi thi market mein. Is range ke andar sellers ne volume ikattha karna shuru kar diya tha, jo zyada selling pressure ka ishara tha. Is accumulation ko dekhte hue, maine yeh farz kiya ke currency pair neeche jaye ga, aur trend channel ke lower boundary 2350 ko target karega. Expectation yeh thi ke market pehle is trend channel ke saare stops ko clear karega, jo ke ek zyada pronounced downward movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Jab ek support level, jaise ke 2330, establish ho jata hai, yeh aksar market participants ke liye ek focal point ban jata hai. Sellers ka is range mein volume ikattha karna yeh suggest karta hai ke woh ek potential breakdown ki tayari kar rahe hain. Yeh accumulation phase aam tor par short positions build karne mein involve hoti hai, yeh anticipate karte hue ke price support level ke neeche toot jaye gi aur apni descent continue karegi.

Is context mein, mera farz yeh tha ke pair neeche move karega, 2350, jo ke trend channel ki lower boundary hai, ki taraf. Is expectation ka rationale yeh tha ke trend channel ke andar stops ko clear karne ki zarurat thi. Stop orders, jo traders apne losses ko limit karne ke liye lagate hain, aam tor par key support aur resistance levels ke gird clustered hote hain. In stops ko clear karna aksar ek brief aur sharp movement ka talab hota hai jo support level se guzarti hai, in orders ko trigger karti hai aur trading activity mein temporary spike ka sabab banti hai.

Jab stops clear ho jate hain, market aksar apni natural direction resume kar leti hai. Is case mein, expectation yeh thi ke stops clear hone ke baad, price trend channel ki lower boundary 2350 par support find karegi. Yeh lower boundary ek significant level of support ka kaam karti hai, jo ke price ko stabilize karne aur possibly apni direction reverse karne ka base provide kar

Greetings,
Is subha, Asian session ke doran, hourly growth index ne 50 percent mark ko paar kar liya, jo yeh matlab hai ke aaj hum XAUUSD ko 2320 ke area tak barhtay hue dekh saktay hain. Agar yeh breakout higher hota hai, to agla target buyers ka 2327 hoga. General tor par, 4-hour chart par, volumes subha se barh rahi hain, is liye expected growth weekly resistance 2346 tak ho sakti hai. Magar, bullish volumes ke increase hone ke sath, 4-hour growth index thoda barh gaya hai, jo short-term growth aur sideways movement ya American session mein possible decline indicate kar raha hai. Abhi XAUUSD 2314 par pahunch gaya hai, aur agar yeh is se upar nikalta hai, to hum barhati hui growth ka andaza laga saktay hain; is surat mein, agar intraday support 2307 toot jata hai to decline 2291 ke area tak aa sakta hai.

Natije ke tor par, daily chart par, Friday ki candle with equivalent shadows ek reversal ho sakti hai, is ka matlab yeh hai ke gold ne Friday ko strong support 2280 se rebound kiya aur aaj north ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Asal mein, daily aur 4-hour charts par, Friday ki sham ko bearish situation bulls ke haq mein badal gayi, magar kab tak? Asal mein, 4 hourly volumes ke increase hone ke sath, purchases is waqt priority mein hain.

Mujhe umeed hai ke bohot se log samajh gaye hain ke gold XAU/USD ka exit artificially aur Middle East aur beyond ke situation ki wajah se bana tha. Main problem sab chupaa rahe hain. Aise maqamat hain jahan yeh gir sakta hai, magar mere khayal mein, ek dafa phir north ki taraf mud sakta hai. Boht zyada sell stops hain, aur zyada buy stops nahi hain. Iske ilawa, choti cheez ab in sab mein hissa nahi le rahi. Lagbhag sab bara kaam wahi hain. Agar aap kuch daring karte hain, to maximum ko update karen 2.431.13 tak, aur phir south ki taraf chale jayein

Agar options ko dekhen, to bohot zyada hain, ek main yeh hai ke teen ABC-A-S-C mein decline, magar overshoot se pehle turning point banana zaroori hai aur phir sab kuch kaam karega, magar agar woh 2327.00 ko break kar sakte hain, to yeh pata chalta hai ke hamare paas downside nahi tha, balke ek approaching zigzag tha reversal aur senior wave (C) ke continuation ka senior zigzag ka, magar ek stupid rollback tha aur aage barhne ka 2354.00 ke maximum tak, magar isse cross kiye baghair hamara rollback wave (b-a-c-c) mein continue rahega, magar agar 2354.00 ke maximum ko break kar sakte hain, to yeh trick hai, aur phir hum dusre triple mein roll karenge jahan wave (B) blue hai, aur agar hum isay hit karte hain, to blue wave (B) maximum ko slap kar sakta hai, aur yeh large zigzag correction (B) ka continuation banega, jo matlab wave (B) complete nahi hui, aur phir 2420.00 tak growth wave (B) ke end ke liye dekhi ja sakti hai with a reversal in (C). Magar aur bhi options honge blue wave (B) ke breakdown ke baad, jinki baat main maximum update karne ke baad karunga

Gold ke qeemat mein 0.80% se zyada ka izafa hua jab yeh thodi dair ke liye $2,314 par gir gayi thi, jo ke US economy ke mixed signals aur steady PCE inflation ko reflect karta hai, aur Fed rate adjustments ki umeedon ko barhata hai. Yeh qeemti dhaat, jo ke uncertain times mein ek popular asset hai, apni pehlay wali low se wapas uth gayi, jo ke global economic ambiguity ke darmiyan sentiments mein tabdeeli ko signal karta hai. Gold ke values mein yeh upturn US mein economic indicators ke medley se aata hai. Jabke kuch data points economic improvement ko suggest karte hain, doosray caution inject karte hain, Federal Reserve intervention ke baray mein speculation ko janam dete hain. Ittafaqan, stable PCE inflation index Fed policy changes ke prospects ko barhata hai. Yeh index, jo ke inflation ka ek crucial gauge hai, steady raha, aur economic resilience ko bolster karne ke liye monetary maneuvers ke liye jagah chhor raha hai.
Isi dauran, US Treasury yields mein downturn dekha gaya, jo ke Greenback ke depreciation ko teesray din tak barqarar rakhta hai. Yields mein yeh downward trend US dollar ko aur kamzor karta hai, aur investors ke liye gold ki allure ko barhata hai jo ke market flux ke darmiyan stability ki talash mein hain. Gold prices mein fluctuation global markets mein pervasive uncertainty ko underscore karta hai, jo ke economic factors aur geopolitical dynamics ke myriad se mutasir hota hai. Investors vigilant rehte hain, US economic indicators aur Federal Reserve deliberations ko monitor karte hain market direction ke cues ke liye

Gold ke qeemat 0.80% se zyada barhi temporary dip ke baad $2,314 tak, jo ke US economy ke mixed signals aur stable PCE inflation se propelled hui, aur Federal Reserve policies mein potential adjustments ki umeedon ko foster karti hai. US Treasury yields mein decline ne bhi role play kiya, Greenback ke depreciation ko teesray din tak prolong kiya. Iske ilawa, price action aur Fibonacci tool ek bohat positive scenario buyers ke liye show karta hai. Yellow metal 61.8% Fibonacci level se neechay gaya magar jaldi se wapas uth gaya aur Fibonacci level ke ooper ek long bullish candle banayi. Jald hi yeh 50.00% Fibonacci level ko charge karega taake upside mein achi tarah se established ho sake

Gold bullish run par hai, aur 100 dinon ke ahm level se upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh positive momentum mid-April ke downtrend se breakout ke baad hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss waqt 67.50 par hai jo ke bullish territory ko dikhata hai aur strong buying pressure ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar bulls price ko $2,400 ke upar push kar saktay hain, toh gold apne all-time high $2,432 ya $2,500 tak ja sakta hai. Magar kuch roadblocks bhi hain. Pehla major support level $2,340 par hai. Agar gold is level ke neeche girta hai, toh price $2,300 aur shayad May 2nd ke low $2,281 tak bhi gir sakta hai. In downside risks ke bawajood, analysts overall trend ko positive maante hain. RSI ka bullish territory mein rehna growth ke liye room dikhata hai, aur "buying the dip" ka mauka deta hai.
Bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye, XAU/USD buyers ko April 26th ke high $2,352 ko surpass karna hoga. Agar yeh level breach ho gaya toh all-time high ke raaste khul jayenge. Wagarna, agar price $2,300 ke neeche girti hai toh ek bara sell-off trigger ho sakta hai, jiska agla support level 50-day moving average $2,249 par hai. Resistance side par pehla hurdle $2,360 par hai, phir major resistance $2,372 par. $2,372 ko overcome karne se gold prices $2,385 tak ja sakti hain aur $2,400 mark ko test kar sakhain

Sarfaraaz taur par, gold ek positive trend experience kar raha hai aur mazeed upside ka potential hai, magar kuch hurdles bhi hain. Bulls ko momentum maintain karna hoga taake naye highs tak pahunch sakein, jabke bears ko key support levels ke neeche break karne ka intizaar hoga taake reversal trigger ho. Resistance $2,315 par hai, jisse ek significant declining channel ko break kiya gaya. 50-hour simple moving average aur $2,345 mark ko bhi bulls ne breach kar diya. Aakhir mein, $2,358 ka high dekha gaya. Ab RSI 70 se upar hai, XAU/USD apne gains ko $2,355 zone ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai