𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Technical Analysis: USD/JPY

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair doston. Aaj hum USD/JPY market ka analysis karte hain. Umeed hai yeh humare liye mufeed hoga, aur paisay ki behtareen tadbeer (money management) ka zaroor khayal rakhein. USD/JPY is waqt 156.93 par trade ho rahi hai. Trend ke lehaz se, price action bohot bullish lag raha hai. Price ne pehle ke trend ko tor diya hai, to price mazid mazboot ho sakti hai aur naye demand area mein daakhil ho sakti hai. Is timeframe mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator positive readings de raha hai aur 50 level ke thoda upar trade ho raha hai, jo buyers ke liye acha signal hai ke price ko 160.13 level ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi positive range mein hai lekin abhi tak head up rakha hua hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price humare pehle target ki taraf barhti rahe gi.

Abhi price 20 EMA aur 50 EMA ke upar trade ho rahi hai, aur jab tak price in levels ke upar hai, rise ka mauqa barqarar rahe ga.



Low resistance level 160.13 hai aur high resistance level 175.76 hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price mazid mazboot ho ke naye supply area 165.98 tak pohanch jaye jo ke 2nd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, low support level 113.53 hai aur high support level 146.81 hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price mazid kamzor ho ke naye demand area 129.91 tak pohanch jaye jo ke 2nd level of support hai. Yeh 113.53 level ka possible retest suggest karta hai, jahan main resistance area hai. Main buy order tab hi lagaunga jab koi valid rejection confirmation milay ga. Shukriya.

USD-JPY Market Analysis

USD-JPY market mein, lagta hai ke sellers zyada bartar hain aur USD-JPY price ko neeche le jaane mein kamiyab ho rahe hain. Main ne dekha ke chand trading dinon mein sellers ka zor zyada tha, halan ke buyers ne bhi bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, magar ab tak jo mapping main ne banayi hai uske mutabiq, sellers zyada powerful hain aur USDJPY market par dominate karne ka zyada mauqa rakhte hain. Yeh is baat se zahir hai ke sellers ne MA100 indicator aur trend line ko tor kar trend ko bullish se bearish mein tabdeel kar diya hai.

Mera andaaza hai ke sellers USDJPY price ko mazeed neeche le jaate rahenge, MA100 indicator aur trend line ke neeche, taake trend situation ko zyada der tak barqarar rakh sakein. USDJPY market mein trading recommendations yeh hain ke prices stochastic indicator ko use karte hue barh sakti hain. Stochastic indicator ko dekh kar lagta hai ke yeh dobara barh kar 156.00 ko cross kar sakti hain aur MA 50 ke kareeb, jo ke 156.50 ke aas paas hai, pahunch sakti hain. Mera khayal hai ke jab tak price pivot point ke upar hai, buy option behtar lagti hai.



Main recommend karta hoon ke USDJPY market mein sell entry signals ko dekhein. Mujhe lagta hai ke sellers ke paas bearish trend banane ka zyada mauqa hai. Agar strong seller pressure ke signs hain, to yeh ek sell entry signal ho sakta hai. Mera andaaza hai ke sellers USDJPY price ko neeche le jaane ki koshish karenge taake support areas tak pohanch sakein aur mazeed der tak trend situation ko barqarar rakh sakein.

USD/JPY Forecast

Subah Bakhair Doston!

Pichla hafta USD/JPY sellers ke liye itna acha nahi tha. Unhon ne 50 pips tak ka loss uthaya aur price 156.78 zone tak race hui. Magar, is hafte JPY Monetary Policy aur BOJ ke Rate Statement se mutaliq kuch news events hain. Yeh news events se sellers ko faida mil sakta hai. By the way, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke sellers ki abtak ki dominance ke peeche kya asbaab hain. Ek aham factor overall market sentiment hai, jo ke aksar macroeconomic indicators se mutasir hota hai.

Misal ke taur par, high inflation rates, rising interest rates, aur economic uncertainty bearish market outlook ko janam de sakte hain, jo sellers ke haq mein hoti hai. Yeh halat consumer aur investor confidence ko kamzor kar sakti hain, jis se buying activity mein kami aati hai aur sellers ko upper hand milta hai. Institutional investors ka kirdar bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh entities apni large-scale trading activities ke wajah se market par bohot asar rakhti hain. Jab institutional investors apni positions ko selling ke favor mein shift karte hain, to yeh market par downward pressure ko amplify kar sakta hai, jo buyers ke liye challenges barha deta hai. Retail traders, yeh movements dekh kar, unka peechha kar sakte hain, jo seller-dominated environment ko mazeed mazboot banata hai.

Is hafte USD/JPY market sellers ke favor mein reh sakti hai, kyunki US dollar ke high-impact news data bhi hain jo unko madad de sakti hain. Badi time frames ko use karna zaroori hai kyunki technical analysis is scenario mein bohot ahmiyat rakhti hai, jo traders ko market trends aur potential reversal points ke bare mein insights deti hai. Key technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracements, traders ko entry aur exit points identify karne mein madad de sakte hain.



Misal ke taur par, moving averages ka crossover current trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai, jabke RSI reading agar overbought ya oversold territory mein hai to yeh potential reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. In tools ko use karke, traders apni decision making ko improve kar sakte hain jo prevailing market conditions ke mutabiq hoti hai.

Expect hai ke USD/JPY market is hafte 157.00 zone ko cross kar le gi.

Aap sab ka trading week kamiyab ho!

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Pair ka target mazeed wazeh hota ja raha hai jab price 153.40 ki taraf barh rahi hai, jo 2022 mein acha peak tha. Jab price iss saal ascending price channels mein trade karna shuru kiya, to pehle to wo neeche gir gayi taake price channels ke lower limit ko torhne ki koshish ki. Is mein kamiyab bhi hui, lekin saal ka aakhri hissa nazdeek aane tak, price ab price channels ki lines ke sath move kar rahi hai, jo pair ke liye ek upward year ko le kar aaya hai, kyunki wo pichle kuch hafton mein in channels mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo ke ek mustaqil upward trend ka sabab bana hai. Pichle saal is waqt, aik price peak tha jo 155.20 par bana tha, jo yeh zahir karta tha ke price mazeed barhegi, magar ph

ir bhi, price gir gayi, peak ko torhne mein nakam rahi, peak ke upar stabilize hui, aur ab wo pichle saal bane 153.20 ke price peak ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke is saal June mein peak tha.



Jaise hi price ne daily chart par monthly resistance 156.40 ko tor diya, wahi pe ek upward wave shuru hui. Daily chart par aik price triangle zahir hua, jo ke is baat ka natija tha ke price mahine ke shuru mein resistance ko torhne mein nakam rahi thi aur mahine ke end par bhi resistance ko torh nahi sakti thi. Aane wale haftay mein, uptrend mahine ke resistance level 156.50 ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai, jo pichle haftay mein damage hua tha aur agle haftay market par dominate karta rahega.

Currency Pair Behavior: USD/JPY

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ke harkaat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. 157.71 par aik false breakout ek continued decline ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agar price 157.71 range se girta hai, to focus 155.31 range tak pohanch jata hai. 157.11 par aik false breakdown bhi ek selling opportunity ka signal dega. Main ek minor correction ka intezar kar raha hoon, phir mazeed girawat ka intezar hai. Yen ke H1 chart ko analyze karte hue, hum top three tak pohanch gaye, lekin girawat iske formation ke baad bhi jaari hai. Yeh current rate se neeche ki taraf ek downward turn ke liye mufeed shara't paida karta hai. Hum 154.51 range tak pohanch sakte hain jahan support mojood hai. Ek upward momentum ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Resistance 157.76 ke aas paas bani hui hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke girawat uss se jaari rahegi. Agar price 154.51 ke neeche gir jata hai, to yeh exchange rate mein ek significant girawat ka aghaz signal karega, jisse sales ka aghaz karna safe hoga.



Din ek halki izafay ke saath shuru hota hai, phir girawat ke saath, 156.06 trading level ko torh kar. Kisi wazeh signal ke baghair, price 154.76 support ki taraf jaati hai. Phir yeh level se bounce hoti hai, 156.06 resistance ko jhooti tor par torh kar. Yeh false breakout ek sell signal banata hai, jisme pure haftay sirf price fluctuations ke wajah se false sell signals dekhe gaye hain is level ke aas paas. Jumeraat ko, 156.06 resistance torh gaya, jo ke Monday ke liye relevant hai, aur 158.30 resistance tak buy signal paida hua. Kal ke US dollar ke izafe ke darmiyan, is currency pair ke buyers bhi faida uthaye. Jumeraat ko, USD/JPY ki keemat barhi, jo ke chart par dekhi gayi mojooda uptrend ko mazbooti deta hai. Yeh trend mazeed active buying ko suggest karta hai jis ke faiday munaafa bakhsh hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke instrument April highs ke level ki taraf barhe ga, jo ke ek digital benchmark hai, 160 yen per US dollar ki taraf.

USD-JPY Pair Forecast

Yeh wazeh hai, aur bullish trend ko nakam banane ke liye, beshak, USD ki khabron ke natayej bhi kai kafi supports ko torne mein kafi asar daar honge. Mazboot, aur ab tak koi resistance ka koi nishan nahi hai, aur yeh baar baar taqwiyat hasil karta hai jab ke price trading se peechle resistance level ki taraf barhne ka try karta hai, jo ke ek kaafi mustawar rising condition ke saath hua hai jab level resistance ki taraf qareeb pohanchta hai.

Agli trading strategy ke liye, hum mazeed intezar karenge ke price kaafi mazboot support level ke qareeb 155.931 ke aas paas pohanchay. Aur agar main H1 time frame candle ke movement ko dekhoon, to yeh ab bhi peechle 720 muddat ki moving average ke oopar move karne ka raasta dikhata hai, jo ke main is haftay ke trading mein pehle priority dunga. Lagta hai ke price ne bhi peechle resistance level ke qareeb ek candle form kiya hai.



Is hafte ke trading mein, aur kuch price limits ko resistance ke tor par banaya gaya hai, jinhe main samajhta hoon ke price phir se test karega sath hi price support ke lower limit ke sath, jo 155,931 ke range mein hai, aur sath hi asal trend ke raaste ka dhyaan rakha gaya hai, jo ke ab bhi prices ko 720 muddat ki moving average ke oopar move karne ke saath mazboot hua hai, jo is waqt current bada trend ka indicator bhi hai.

Aur agle trading plan mein, main umeed karta hoon ke price pehle support range 155,931 tak giray ga pehla buy area ke liye. Aur doosra support limit baad mein rakha ja sakta hai ager pehla support kamyabi se tor diya jata hai, doosre support limit ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, jo ke abhi price range 155,931 mein hai. Is haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam tak, candle kaafi taizi se oopar uth raha tha aur peechle price ko paar kar raha tha. Main ne faisla kiya hai ke buy option ko support karon, taake bullish trend ko agle trade mein bhi jari rakha jaye USDJPY pair mein.

Jodi ne Jumeraat ko numaya girawat ka samna kiya, aur DXY tamam bari currencies ke khilaf kamzor hote hue 157.10 level tak dastbardar hua. USD ki qeemat mein kami ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ko mazeed zyada market pressure se kuch araam diya, jisse ke wo kuch zameen wapas hasil kar saka.

FedWatch Tool Signal Karta Hai Mumkin Rate Cuts: BoJ Rate Hikes Ghair Yaqeeni

CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein Federal Reserve ka ek rate cut hone ke imkanat 73% tak barh gaye hain, peechle haftay 69% se. Yeh tabdeeli investoron ke ittehad mein rate reductions ke imkanat mein barhti hui umeed ko darust karti hai. Magar, Fed officials foran rate cuts ka samarthan dena mukhtalif hain kyunke ek qeemat ke dabav ka ek hi girna inflations ko 2% ke had tak qayamgar karna ke liye kafi nahi hai.

Economic indicators jaise ke economic growth mein kami, March mein haqeeqat pasandi mein kami, aur Tokyo mein thandi hui inflation ishara dete hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) mukhtalif interest rates ko barhane mein der kar sakta hai. Jab ke kuch analysts November mein rate hike ka tajweez dete hain, kuch log yeh samajhte hain ke BoJ mukhtalif rates ko February 2025 tak barhane mein der kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis: USD/JPY ke liye Resistance aur Support Levels

Jodi ke liye asaan raasta oopar ki taraf nazar ata hai. Shuruati resistance level Kijun-Sen 157.05 hai. Agar yeh level paar ho jaye, to agla target 158.00 hoga, phir April 26 ki unchi 158.47, aur aakhir mein saal ke taaza high 160.31 ko challenge karega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bullish outlook ko support karta hai, 50-midline ke oopar khara hai aur overbought territory mein dakhil hone se pehle mazeed izafe ki jagah darust karta hai.



Ulta agar jodi 155.67 ke Senkou Span A ke neeche gir jaye, to jodi mazeed girawat ka samna kar sakti hai, neeche ke support levels ko dobara test karte hue. Bullish ki shuruati line Tenkan-Sen 155.18 hogi, phir 155.00 mark. Agar yeh levels paar ho jayein, to agle targets May 16 ke low 153.61 aur phir Sekou Span B 153.07 honge.

Taza Market Harkaat Ki Tahlil aur Fed Ke Rate Cuts Par Tawajjuh:

Currency pair ne Jumeraat ke European session mein 157.10 tak numaya izafa dekha, jo ke mazeed market harkaat ko numaya karti hai. Magar, asset jald hi apne faiday wapas le gaya jab ke US Dollar teesre musalsal trading session mein apni kamzor harkat ko barqarar rakhta raha. Dollar Index (DXY) 104.90 ke oopar chadha jab ke investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rates kam karne ke imkanat par apni itminan ko barqarar rakhte rahe.

Japanese Government Ka FX Market Mein Shamil Hona:

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne ghair mulki exchange (FX) market ke hawale se Japanese government aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke qareebi taawun ki ghoshaish ki. Unho ne hukoomat ka azam zahir kiya ke stability ko yaqeeni banane ke liye sab zaroori iqdamat uthaye jayenge. Japanese authorities ke is potential intervention se Japanese Yen (JPY) ko support mil sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair ki upside potential ko mehdood kar sakta hai.

Fed Ke Rate Cut Faisle Ke Hawale Se Ghoshaish:

April mein US Producer Price Index (PPI) tawajjuh ko paar kar gaya ho, lekin Fed ke faisle ke hawale se rate cut ke imkanat mein taqatwar ghoshaish hai jo ke September se shuru hone ka faisla kar sakta hai. Investors rate cuts ke bare mein barhte hue itminan rakhte hain, khaaskar Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne mazeed policy tight karne ki imkanat ko rad kar diya. Magar, Powell ne ishara diya ke mojooda interest rates ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakha ja sakta hai.

Technical Analysis aur Market Ka Ikhraj:

Thursday ko USD/JPY mein aik technical recovery dekhi gayi, jo ke pair ko 156.50 ke oopar le gayi. Magar, 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 152.77 par numaya technical resistance hai. Halankeh pair abhi bhi hilat mein hai peechle swing high ke 157.00 ke oopar, lekin yeh 153.80 ke qareeb qareebi low se bahar nikla hai, jisse ek recovery trend ko darust karta hai.

Pair mazbooti se bullish territory mein trade jari rakhta hai, 155.01 par 50-day EMA ke oopar aur 156.35 par 20-day EMA ke kafi oopar. Haalanki BoJ ke hali mein dakhal ki afwahen hain, lekin pair ne 2024 mein 10% se zyada izafa kiya hai, jo ke ek mazboot upward raftar ko darust karta hai.



Ikhtitam

Akhri tor par, currency markets ko technical factors, fundamental data releases, aur central bank policies ke hawale se ghoshaish ka aik imtiza hai. USD/JPY pair ke hal ki harkaat US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan chal rahe dynamics ko darust karti hain, jahan investors Fed ke potential rate cuts aur Japanese government aur Bank of Japan ke intervention jaise imkanat ko nazdeek se nazarandaz karte hain.

Jumeraat ke early Asian session mein pair ne 157.00 ke qareeb hasil kiye faiday ko kuch kam kar diya. Ye harkat naram se muntazir US CPI inflation data ke natijon mein aayi hai, jo ke US Dollar (USD) par farokht dabao dala hai. Magar, ye ahem currency pair ne aik mamooli behtar hone ko dekha, jo ke 2024 ke pehle quarter ke Japan ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ke nisbat kamzor thay.

USD/JPY ke Bunyadiyat:

Naram US inflation data ne 2024 mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cut ke imkanat ko barha diya hai. Maaliyat ke markets ab ye intezar kar rahe hain ke Fed mazeed behtar inflation metrics ke saboot ka intezaar karega. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne haal hi mein kaha ke US inflation umeed se zyada mustaqil reh sakta hai, jo Fed ko apne 2% maqsood tak pohanchane ke liye lambay arse tak unchi interest rates barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai. CME's FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, investors ne ab September 2024 tak rate cut hone ke lagbhag 72% ke imkanat daali hain, jo ke US CPI data ke ijaad se pehle 65% thi.

Ghantawar Time Frame Technical Manzar:

Naram inflation data ke bawajood, pair ke mazeed harkat ki sambhavna hai. Jo buyers ne 156.00 ilaqa mein market mein dakhil hue hain, wo apni positions ko qaim rakhte hain, jahan kam faida dekha gaya hai. Ye halat trade mein thori tanasub paida karta hai, jo buyers ko zyada keemat denay par umeedwar karta hai. Jabke 160.00 ke dar tak aik chhalaang karna mushkil lagta hai, to 156.76 ke dar tak aik behtareen farogh pehle, phir 158.00 ki taraf barhne ka zyada imkan hai. Ye daraje mazeed market mein aik aur dakhli dakhal ke khatre ko dobara khol sakte hain.



Neeche, agar bearish jazbat qaim rahe aur pair Senkou Span A ke neeche 156.26 ke raste chale gaye to ye May 16 ke kam se kam dar 153.62 tak mazeed girawat ka bais ban sakta hai. Is ke neeche mazeed support levels hain, jahan agla ahem level Senkou Span B 153.26 par hai, jo ke mazeed Ichimoku Cloud ke ooper lagbhag 151.96 ke aas paas slide ho sakta hai.

Jodi ne Jumeraat ke European session mein 157.10 tak taraqqi ki, jo ahem market harkaton ka aks deta hai. Magar, asasa Dollar apni teesri musalsal trading session mein nichi raftar jaari rakhne ke doran foran peechay hat gaya. DXY ne investors ka itminan barqarar rakhte hue 104.90 ke ooper chadh gaya jab unka bharosa tha ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein interest rates kam karna shuru karega.

Japan Sarkar ka FX Market par Rujhan

Wazarat e Khazana ke Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha ke Japan sarkar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke saath foreign exchange (FX) market ke mutaliq qareebi taawun karegi. Unho ne is par zor diya ke sarkar qaimatiyat ko yaqeeni banane ke liye tamam zaroori intezamat ko karegi. Japanese authorities ke is mumkin dakhalat se Japanese Yen (JPY) ko madad milti hai aur USD/JPY jodi ke upside potential ko mehdood kar sakti hai.

Fed ke Rate Cuts par Iztarari Guftagu

April mein US Producer Price Index (PPI) tawaqo ko par karne ke bawajood, afwahen mazid taqreeban 72% ke imkanat ke sath strong hain ke Fed September mein qarz ke daro mein kami shuru karega. Investors rate cuts par pur itminan hain, khaaskar baad mein Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne mazeed policy tightening ke mumkinat ko rad kar diya. Magar, Powell ne ishara kiya ke mojooda interest rates ko lambay arse tak barqarar rakha ja sakta hai.

Technical Tahlil aur Behtari

Jumeraat ko USD/JPY ke liye aik technical behtari dekhi gayi, jo pair ko 156.50 ke ooper kheenchti hai. Magar, 152.77 ke 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par ahem technical rukawat note ki gayi hai. Halankeh pair haal hi mein 157.00 ke ooper hui nazdeek low se ubharta hua hai, jo aik behtari trend ki nishandahi karta hai.



Jodi mazeed taqatwar tor par bullish ilaqa mein trade karti hai, jo 155.01 par 50-day EMA aur 156.35 par 20-day EMA ke ooper apni position ko barqarar rakhti hai. Haal hi mein BoJ ki dakhalat ke afwahon ke bawajood, jodi ne 2024 mein 10% se zyada izafa kiya hai, jo aik mazboot upri rukh ki tasdeeq karta hai.

Jodi chouthay mustaqil din trading kar rahi hai aur Jumeraat ke early Asian session mein 156.70 ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Ye izafa bari had tak yeh sabzi hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke liye tawaja se dauray ke doran mukhtalif shariat ke aitraaz hai ke kisi ko sambhal ke rakhne ke liye bala tawajjo qaim rakhna padega. Magar, Japanese authorities ke mulk ke bahar ki currency market mein dakhal ka khatra bhi hai jo jodi ke oopar ki taraf ki potenti ko mehdood kar sakta hai.

Japan Mein Ma'ashi Tangi:

Japan ki ma'ashi taraqqi ne 2024 ke pehle quarter mein tangi mehsoos ki, jo ke Cabinet Office ne Jumeraat ko report kiya. Peeshgi GDP figures ne dikhaya ke Q1 mein 0.5% quarter-on-quarter shrinkage hui, Q4 2023 mein 0.1% izafa ke baad, jo ke 0.4% tangi se zyada thi jo expected thi. Saalana buniyad par, GDP ne 2.0% tangi ka samna kiya, jo ke 1.5% tangi ka tajziya tha aur peechlay 0.4% izafa ko palat diya. Ye muntazam se kamzor GDP izafa ne Japanese Yen (JPY) mein farokht shuru kar di hai.

Mehangai aur Amoomi Farokht US Mein:

US core CPI inflation, jo ke ghiza aur energy ke ghair mustaqil qeemat ko shamil nahi karta, April mein 3.8% se 3.6% saalana buniyad par kam hui, jaisa ke US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne Budh ko bata diya. Mazeed, April mein US Retail Sales barabar rahe, March mein 0.6% izafa ke baad, jo ke market ki umeed se 0.4% izafa mein kami ka shikaar hogaya.

H4 Chart USD/JPY Harkat aur Takniki Tahlil:

Jumeraat ko, USD/JPY jodi mein tezi se izafa hua, jo haftay ke unchayion se 157.09 ke qareeb se 157.00 ke mark tak pohanch gayi. Is qareebi girawat ke bawajood jo ke yen mein afaqaati rally ke bais hui, USD/JPY jodi unchi taraf trading jaari hai, 154.56 ke multi-decade unchayion se neeche girne ke baad.



Jodi mazbooti se bullish territory mein hai, 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 155.98 par hai, ke upar trading ho rahi hai. Qareebi takniki support 50-day EMA par paya jata hai, jo 156.47 par hai, jis se sahi support level ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai jo jodi ke uparward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai.

USD/JPY Keemaati Dynamics

Filhal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki harkat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. 157.55 par aik jari rehne ka mumkin potential hai, jis mein mazeed girawat ka khadsha hai, shayad false breakout ho, phir mazeed neeche ja sakta hai. Agar jodi 156.63 ke level se guzar jati hai aur is ke neeche qaim hojati hai, to yeh farokht ka moqa darust karegi. Rukawat taqreeban 158.06 ke qareeb hai, jahan se girawat jari reh sakti hai. 156.53 ke neeche girawat mazeed girawat ka bais ban sakti hai, jahan 156.65 ke qareeb support note kiya gaya hai. Main 155.90 ki taraf girawat ka tasawar rakhta hoon. 155.88 se guzar jana aur is ke neeche qaim hojana farokht ko 155.28 ki taraf lejaega. 158.10 ke aas paas rukawat bhi mazeed girawat ko janibkari kar sakti hai. 155.26 ke neeche girawat mazeed girawat ka bais ban sakti hai. Market ka izafa ek durust breakout ke saath ek corrective surge hai, jo farokht ko 157.44 ke girne tak mumkin banata hai.



H4 waqt frame mein, maximum ko toorna nayi kam se kam trend line ko naye low par le gaya, jo ke ooper 157.96 tak jaari raha, 158.05 ki taraf barhne ka nishana rakhte hue. H1 waqt frame mein USD/JPY jodi ke liye tajwez sahi tha; breakdown din ke ikhtitami hisse ke qareeb ho gaya, subah ke support ne ise 157.16 tak pohanchaya, baad mein 157.46 tak pohanch gaya. Jab European session shuru hua, achanak kheenchav pehlay tootay hue level ko test kiya, jo ek bounce ka bais bana, aur jodi ab 157.29 ke aas paas trading kar rahi hai. USD/JPY ka rawayya American aur European sessions ke darmiyan qabil-e-paish hai. Dopehar ke statistics ke baad, buyers qeemat ko 157.53 tak le ja sakte hain aur maqasid 157.89 ki taraf le ja sakte hain mawafiqat ke ikhtitam tak. Magar, bullish momentum khabron ke peechay se behtar kiya ja sakta hai, jo jodi ke dynamics ko ruk sakta hai. Behtareen hal yeh hai ke aglay session mein jodi ko 157.86 tak le jaya jaye; agar nahi, to 156.94 tak gir sakti hai, ek aur kharidne ka moqa janibkari kar sakti hai. Maqsad yeh hai ke trend ko palatne se bachaya jaye, jo ke buyers abhi bhi market mein hain.

USD/JPY H-1

Hum filhal USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing ka rawayya jaiz kar rahe hain. Jab hamara hafta khatam hota hai, chalo takniki tahlil istemal karke mutabiq chart ka jaiza lete hain. Humare paas ab bhi ek bullish do-paisa ka tukra hai, jo ke nishanat ke tor par neela rang mein hai, jahan se diagonal lines sab se qareebi supports ke tor par kaam karte hain wazeh wajohat ke liye. Kal, bari currencies ne Jumeraat ko mumkin alami hadsat ka behtareen jawab diya jo ke US dollar ke mutalliq thi. Khas tor par, "average hourly wages and changes in non-agricultural employment" statistics musbat thin, jis ne hamare terminal mein wazeh volatility ko paida kiya.

Halankay mein daily chart ko baad mein jaanchunga, pehle Price Action method par tawajjo dena wajib hai, yad rahay ke 6 June ko "bullish engulfing" candle pattern dekha gaya tha, jo 155.11 tak durusti ke baad 200 points se zyada izafa ka bais bana.

Mukhtalif tor par, USD/JPY jodi ne bhi 155.89 ke level par mazboot support ka paigham diya hai. Ye support level qeemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Agar qeemat is level se neeche jaati hai, to agla downside target doosra support level 155.57 hoga. Is level ko tor dena bearish pressure ko izafa karne ki nishani hogi, aur traders mazeed girawat ka intezar kar sakte hain. Ye doosra support level bearish trend ka jaari rahne ya qeemat ka rebound karne ka aham tajziya karega. In support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan taluqat traders ko potential market movements ke bare mein ahem maloomat faraham karte hain. Maslan, jab qeemat resistance level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, traders breakout ya reversal ki alamat dekhenge. Agar qeemat resistance level se bahar nikal jaati hai, to ye taqatwar bullish jazbat aur mazeed izafa ke mumkinat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar qeemat resistance ko torne mein kamyab nahi hoti, to ye palat aur support levels ki taraf girne ka ishara kar sakta hai.



Mukhtalif tor par, jab qeemat support level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, traders breakdown ya rebound ki alamat dekhte hain. Support level se neeche girna taqatwar bearish jazbat aur mazeed nuqsanat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Magar, agar support level qaim rehta hai, to ye ek potential rebound aur buyers ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka moqa darust kar sakta hai. Kul milake, ye support aur resistance levels trading faislon ko banane ke liye ahem points hote hain. In levels ke aas paas qeemat ka rawayya closely dekhte hue, traders potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ko pehchan sakte hain, risk ko manage kar sakte hain, aur market ke harkat se faida utha sakte hain.

Ikhtisar mein, USD/JPY jodi ke 156.49 resistance aur 155.89 support levels ke ird gird rawayya agle significant trend ka tay karenge, chahe woh bullish ho ya bearish.

Is Jumeraat ko, USDJPY market dobara 157.00 ka psychological resistance level ka samna karega. Yeh tay karega ke market mein agla zyada mutawaqqa rukh kya hoga. Agar yeh level toot jata hai to phir bulls ko oonchaaiyon ki taraf barhane ka ikhtiyar hoga. Agar yeh kamiyab nahi hota, to bears ko larnay aur qeemat ko neeche le jane ke liye achi wajoohat mil jaengi. Yeh level pehle bhi baar baar aur kamiyabi se bulls ko control mein rakha hai. Mujhe hairat hai ke kya aaj phir se dohraaya jaega? Ya phir is level ka toorna hoga? Achha, roz marra ke trading diagram mein technical setting ke mutabiq, yeh bullish harkat ka ta'aeen karne mein madadgar nazar aata hai. Relative Strength Index 50.00 ke reading ke oopar hai, jo ke ooper ki taraf ishara karta hai aur agar qeemat is ke mutabiq chalti hai, to jald he 157.00 ke level ko dekh sakte hain. Agar yeh level ke upar kamiyab ho gaya to qeemat 157.70 ke level ki taraf jaegi, phir psychological level 158.00 par hamla hoga.



Dosri taraf, agar 157.00 ka resistance level qaim rehta hai, to bears 156.00 qeemat ke nishaanay par ja rahe honge. Is level ke neeche, bearish targets 155.300 hain. Is level ke neeche aik psychological significant support level 155.00 hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai to jodi nuqsanat ko barhaegi. 4 ghanton ke trading diagram pe ishara hai ke ... aur qeemat pehle se he ooper ki taraf ja chuki hai. Takniki indicators bullish hain aur mujhe umeed hai ke quotes is ke mutabiq barhain ge 157.00 ke level ki taraf. Magar, agar is level ke neeche kamiyab girawat hoti hai to 156.30 ke level ko samne laega. Is level ke neeche 156.00 aur 155.70 hain. Agar qeemat barhti hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke quotes 157.70 ke level ke upar ja sakenge. Is level ke upar, buyers ke liye dilchaspi ke points 157.00 aur 157.70 hain. Is level ke upar, bulls ko 157.90 mein dilchaspi hogi. Achha, chahe kuch bhi ho, chalo dekhte hain ke aane wale waqt mein kya hota hai. Mazeed acha weekend guzaren, dosto!

JPY KA TAA'WAN: Karobar ke tajziya aur Japanese yen ka karobar karne ke liye mashwaray. Jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kafi uchhala aur 156.56 ke price level ka imtehan liya, to pair ke mazeed urooj ke imkanat ko roka gaya. Isi wajah se maine isay khareedna nahi chaha. Yeh amreeki session ke ikhtitam ke qareeb hua, is wajah se bazari mei naye dakhli nuqtaat nahi mili. Kal ke musbat machinery orders aur trade balance ke figures Japan mein nazr andaz kiye gaye, lekin aaj Japan ki ma'ashi sakhti ke ishaarat ko yen ki mazbooti ne mila. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI economists ke tajziyati tawaqoat ko paar kar gaye, jo ke USD/JPY pair ki halki nichi dor mein rukawat paida ki. Lekin sawal ye hai ke yen khariddar kitna lamba arsa qaim rahenge, khaaskar bullish dollar market aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke doraan. Aaj, main 156.80 ke aas paas (graph par sabz line) mein USD/JPY kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon, taake wo 157.15 (outline par moti sabz line) tak pohanche. 157.15 ke aas paas, main kharidi ko chor kar seedhe bechne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 30-35 jagah ke iradat se). Aaj, main ye umeed rakhta hoon ke pair ka taraqqi karne ka silsila jaari rahega. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur sirf isse uthne laga hai. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal dakhlay 156.56 ke daam par aayen jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein ho. Ye pair ke nichle imkanat ko rokega aur bazari mei ulta palat ka silsila shuru hoga. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izafa mutawaqqi hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechne ka irada rakhta hoon jab 156.56 ke level ke neeche gir jaye ga (outline par laal line), jo ke pair mein foran kami ka sabab banega. Farokht karne wale ke liye ahem maqsood 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht ko chhor kar foran kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 20-25 jagah ke iradat se). Pair ke upar bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf isse gira hai. Agar MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein ho aur do musalsal 156.80 ke daam ka imtehan ho, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye pair ke vertical imkanat ko rokega aur bazari mei ulta palat ka silsila shuru hoga. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke mukhalif darajat