𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis

Weekly chart par, USD/JPY ne local support level ko 153.601 par top se bottom tak test kiya, meri analysis ke mutabiq, aur phir rebound karte hue ek uncertainty candle banayi jisme slight bearish edge tha. Main predict karta hoon ke agle hafte, northward movement continue hogi, aur price nearest resistance level 156.786 ki taraf badhegi.

Possible Scenarios at Resistance Level 156.786

First Scenario

Agar price is level ke upar reh sakti hai aur northward movement continue karti hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke ye agle resistance level 160.209 ki taraf badhegi. Agar ye resistance level bhi hold kar jaye, to price mazeed north ki taraf ja sakti hai, mumkin hai ke 164.500 tak pohanch jaye. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading pattern dekhunga taake agle trading direction ka pata chal sake. Aur bhi north ke targets hain, lekin filhal mujhe lagta nahi ke ye jaldi pohanchenge.

Second Scenario

Dusra possibility ye hai ke jab price 156.786 resistance level ke qareeb pohanchegi, to ek reversal candle form hogi, aur price dobara downward move karegi. Is surat mein, main intezar karunga ke price wapas support level 153.601 par aaye. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals dekhoonga agle upward movement ke anticipation mein. Agar price further south targets 151.856 aur 150.809 tak bhi chali jaye, tab bhi main support level ke qareeb bullish signals dekhoonga taake upward movement continue rahe.





Weekly Movement and Strategy Adjustment

Mukhtasir mein, mujhe lagta hai ke locally, price north ki taraf move karegi aur agle hafte nearest resistance level tak pohanchegi. Uske baad, main market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategy adjust karunga, northward scenarios ko priority dete hue.

Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment

Agar price rise karti hai, to ye ek significant impact push trigger karegi, jo candlestick ko 100-period simple moving average zone se upar le jaye gi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator ne 80 zone ko touch karte hue rise kiya, jo buyer control ko signal karta hai. Chhote timeframe, jaise ke 1-hour chart se, yeh saaf hai ke price 100-period simple moving average line ke upar ruk gayi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar karte hue apni weekly journey uptrend side par continue karne ke liye.

Conclusion

Analysis aur explanation ke mutabiq, hum yeh conclude kar sakte hain ke month ke end tak trading ke liye, market ke paas bullish journey ki taraf wapas jane ka mauka hai, targeting around 156.26 zone. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, mujhe lagta hai ke increase ka chance downtrend side se zyada hai.

USD/JPY

156.56 ke qeemat ki imtehaan MACD indicator ne zero mark se kafi upar uth jaane ke baad hui, jo ke jodi ko mazeed ooper ki taraf jane ki mukammal rokawat di. Isi wajah se maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh amreeki session ke ikhtitam ke qareeb hua, is liye naye entry points hasil nahi kiye gaye. Kal Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke Japan ke ma'ashi fa'alat ke indicators ne yen ko mazbooti di. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashi danishmandon ke tajwezat ko paar kar diya, jo USD/JPY jodi mein thora sa nichla tajaweez ko le kar aya. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen buyers kitni dair tak qaim rahenge, khas tor par ek bullish dollar market aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke douran. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 156.80 ke aas paas (graf mein hare rang ki lakeer par) khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon taake yeh 157.15 (wazeh hare rang ki lakeer par) tak pahunch sake. 157.15 ke aas paas, main khareedna chahunga aur phir is taraf se doosri taraf (level se 30-35 jagah ki chal ko agaah kartay hue) bechne ka irada hai. Aaj ki tarah, jodi ka taraqqi karna mumkin hai jab tak ke muskil barhti hai. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD pointer zero mark ke upar hai aur sirf ab is se ooper uthna shuru ho raha hai. Main aaj USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke qeemat par do bar ke dohraye jaane ke haalat mein bhi khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab MACD pointer oversold ilaqa mein ho. Yeh jodi ke nichle potential ko mehdood karega aur ek seedha bazaar inqilab tak le aayega. Muqabil ke darajon 156.80 aur 157.15 par, achaar ka intezar hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko sirf is baad bechna chahata hoon jab 156.56 ke darja ko torr diya jaye (taraqqi par laal line par), jo jodi mein tezi se izafah kar dega. Farokht karnewalon ke liye ahem maqsood 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhorunga aur foran is taraf se khareedna shuru karunga (level se 20-25 jagah ki chal ko agaah kartay hue). Agar jodi rozana ke unchaaiyon ke aas paas jamay rehne mein nakam rahe, toh farokht ki dabav wapas aa sakta hai. Ahem! Farokht karne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD pointer zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf ab is se girna shuru ho raha hai. Agar MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein hai aur do consecutive tests 156.80 ke qeemat par hue hain, toh main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechna chahunga. Yeh jodi ke seedhe potential ko mehdood karega aur ek bazaar inqilab ke sath nichle le jayega. Ek giravat 156.56 aur 156.30 ke muqabil darajon par pesh ki ja sakti hai.

words with tittles: ChatGPT
JPY Trading Analysis aur Tips
Assalam-o-Alaikum doston! Aaj main aap sab ke sath Japanese yen ke trades ka analysis aur kuch trading tips share karna chahta hoon. USD/JPY pair ke recent price movements par ek nazar daaltein hain aur dekhte hain kaise hum in se faida utha sakte hain.

Recent Trades Analysis
156.56 ke price level ka test tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar move kar chuka tha, jo ke pair ke aage ke upward potential ko limit karta hai. Is wajah se maine is waqt buy nahi kiya. Yeh movement American session ke end mein hui, isliye koi naye entry points nahi mil sake.

Japan ke Economic Indicators
Kal ke positive machinery orders aur trade balance figures ko market ne ignore kar diya tha, magar aaj ke economic activity indicators ko dekh kar yen mazboot hui hai. Manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ke figures economists ki forecasts se behtar aaye, jo USD/JPY pair mein thodi downward correction ka sabab bane.

Dollar ki Bullish Market aur Federal Reserve
Yen buyers kab tak tikenge yeh dekhna abhi baaqi hai, especially jab dollar market bullish hai aur Federal Reserve apni interest rates par firm stance rakhta hai.

Trading Plan for Today
Buy Levels:

156.80: Green line par, aim kar raha hoon ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 par buy karoon aur 157.15 (thicker green line) tak le jaoon.
Exit Strategy: 157.15 par purchases ko khatam kar ke sell positions open karoon, aur 30-35 points ka downward move expect karoon.
Important Considerations:

Buy karne se pehle MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur sirf abhi rise karna shuru ho.
156.56 ke do back-to-back tests par, jab MACD oversold area mein ho, buy karne ka plan hai.
Sell Levels:

Below 156.56: Red line ke neeche break hone par sell positions open karne ka plan hai, jo quick decrease ka sabab banega.
Target for Sellers: 156.30 par sell positions exit karoon aur 20-25 points ka upward move expect karoon.
Important Considerations:

Sell karne se pehle MACD zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline karna shuru kar chuka ho.
156.80 ke do back-to-back tests par, jab MACD overbought area mein ho, sell karne ka plan hai.
Summary aur Trading Tips
Buy Levels: 156.80 par MACD ke upar move karne par buy, aur 157.15 par exit aur sell.
Sell Levels: 156.56 ke neeche break hone par sell, aur 156.30 par exit aur buy.
MACD Indicator: Buy ya sell karne se pehle MACD ke position ko zaroor check karein.
Economic Indicators: Japan aur US ke economic data ko closely monitor karein, kyun ke yeh price movements ko affect kar sakte hain.
Yeh trading plan flexibility aur risk management principles par based hai. Market movements ko dekhte hue apni strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Trading mein kamiyabi ke liye adaptability aur prudence zaroori hain.

Umeed hai yeh tips aap sab ke liye useful sabit hongi. Sab ko trading mein kamiyabi ki dua ke sath!

**USDJPY Ka Tajziya 23 May 2024**

**Mojooda Trend Ki Soorat-e-Haal**

Agar hum USDJPY market ki mojooda trend conditions ki baat karein, to yeh saaf lagta hai ke daily chart reference mein bullish trend ka rujhan zabardast hai. Yeh izafa asal mein supply area 156.50 par ruk gaya hai aur Tuesday ke trading session mein ek bearish candle close hui thi. Magar, aisa lagta hai ke ab bhi buyers push kar rahe hain taake resistance area 156.77 par ek nayi higher form ho. Agar yeh price level breakout ho jaye, to buying ko madde nazar rakha ja sakta hai, aur agle bullish attempt ka target 158.00 ke qareeb resistance level ho sakta hai. Agar sellers phir se enter hone ki koshish karte hain aur bearish correction phase ko encourage karte hain, to yeh tabhi mumkin hai jab decline kal ke lowest price area 155.80 ko paar kar le.

**Technical Reference:**

- **Sell jab tak 156,650 ke niche hai**
- **Resistance 1:** 156,650
- **Resistance 2:** 156,950
- **Support 1:** 155,900
- **Support 2:** 155,650

USDJPY technical analysis mein jo levels consider karne hain, unmein koi tabdeeli nahi hui. Kal ke tajziya mein decline ka target 155,900 ko successfully achieve kar liya gaya, lekin iske baad USDJPY rebound hua. Iska matlab yeh hai ke yeh level trading mein Wednesday (22/5/2024) ko bhi dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai.

**1 Hour Chart Analysis**

1 hour chart par USDJPY ke paas Double Top pattern banne ka imkaan hai jo aksar bearish signal ke tor par istemal hota hai. Pehla peak 156,770 ke range mein dikhayi diya jo 15 May ko pohcha gaya, jabke doosra peak 156,540 ke range mein hai jo is subah pohcha.

Yeh pattern ek long-term decline ka moka de sakta hai jabke neckline 153.60 ke range mein hai. Stochastic indicator hourly chart par overbought territory mein dakhil ho raha hai, jo short-term decline ke chances ko barhata hai.

15-minute chart par stochastic bhi yahi cheez dikhata hai, jo short-term decline ke chances ko barha raha hai. Strong resistance 156,650 ke range mein hai, jab tak yeh iske niche rahega, USDJPY ka wapas 155,900 ko test karne ka imkaan hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne kisi taqatwar aur bullish movement ko sabit kiya. Is movement ne pair ki keemat ko 158.43 tak pohancha diya, jo ek aham juncture hai. Yeh tezi se badh raha hai aur traders ke liye naye opportunities ka darwaza kholta hai. Is bullish movement ke piche kai factors ho sakte hain. Sabse pehla factor ho sakta hai economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures. Agar ye sabhi indicators strong hain, toh market confidence badhta hai aur currency pair bhi tezi se badhta hai. Doosra factor ho sakta hai geopolitical tensions ya kisi specific event ka impact. Agar koi bada event ho jaise ke trade deals ya political developments, toh market react kar sakta hai aur currency pair ko influence kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ki 158.43 tak pohanchne ke baad, traders ko market ke further movement ka jawab dhoondhna hoga. Yeh ek crucial resistance level hai, jahan se pair pehle bhi bounce back kar chuka hai. Agar pair is level ko paar kar leta hai, toh yeh ek bullish trend ka indication ho sakta hai aur traders ko aur bhi zyada confidence mil sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bullish movement ke beech mein bhi kuch challenges hote hain. Market volatility hamesha rehti hai aur unexpected events kabhi bhi ho sakte hain. Isi liye, risk management hamesha ek important aspect hai trading ka. Stop-loss orders lagana aur proper risk-reward ratio maintain karna hamesha zaroori hai. Is bullish trend mein, traders ko bhi cautious rehna chahiye. Ek sudden reversal bhi ho sakta hai, aur agar pair 158.43 ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh ek bearish signal ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, traders ko market sentiment aur technical analysis ka sahara lena chahiye, taki wo sahi decisions le sakein. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke recent bullish movement ne traders ko naye opportunities provide kiye hain, lekin prudent trading strategy aur risk management ke saath. Market ka further movement closely monitor karna hoga, aur traders ko flexibility aur adaptability maintain karna hoga, taaki wo market ke changes ka sahi taur par jawab de sakein.

Kal USD/JPY pair mein keemat umeed se ziada behar nikli, jis ki wajah se ek mazboot bullish impulse bana, jo ek mukammal shumali candle ki shakal mein tha aur jis ne lokal resistance level ke qareeb band hua, jo mere tajziya ke mutabiq 156.786 par hai. Main puri tareef ke saath tasleem karta hoon ke aaj bhi shumali harkat jaari rahegi, lekin zaroori hai ke zikar kiya gaya resistance level se ooper mazboot keemat ki tasdeeq dekhi jaye taake naye shumali maqasid ki taraf rukh kia ja sake. Amooman agar sab kuch jaise pehle hua, to main 160.209 par wajood resistance level par nazar rakhunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manzar ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar keemat is level ke upar jaari rahe aur mazeed bulandi ki taraf chalna. Agar yeh tajwez amal mein aya, to main 164.500 ke qareeb ke resistance level ki taraf rawana honge. Is resistance level ke qareeb, trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga taake agle trading direction ko tay kiya ja sake. Zaroori hai ke main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat mazeed shumali maqasid ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai, lekin is waqt main jald mukammal hone ki imkaanat nahi dekh raha. Dusra manzar keemat 160.209 resistance level ke qareeb pohnchne par ek mukhalif tajwez ka tasawwur hai jo aik mukhalif candle ki shakal mein bana aur southern harkat ka dobara aghaz. Agar yeh tajwez amal mein aya, to main 156.786 ya 153.601 ke qareeb support level par qeemat ki wapas se intezar karunga. In support levels ke qareeb, main mazeed buland signals talash karunga taake keemat ka ijlaas ki taraf dobare ja sakay. Yeh bhi imkaan hai ke mazeed door southern maqasid ka nishana banaya ja sake, jo mere tajziya ke mutabiq 151.856 aur 150.809 par waqe hain. Magar agar zikar ki gayi tajwez amal mein aye, to main in support levels ke qareeb bhi buland signals talash karta rahunga, ummeed rakhte hue ke keemat ka shumali harkat dobara jaari ho. Mukhtasaran, aaj ke tawajjo ke mutabiq, main mukammal hone par tasleem karta hoon ke keemat nazdeek ke resistance level ke upar ijlaas karegi, aur phir hi main apna nishana mazeed door ki shumali maqasid par rakhunga.

USD/JPY Ke Qeemat Ka Tafseeli Jaiza
Hamari mojooda tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki harakat par mabni hai. Main Bollinger Band indicator ka istemal karta hoon taake qeemat ke rawayya ko moving average ke darajat ke mutabiq analyse kar sakoon aur mazeed shaoor hasil karne ke liye vertical tick volumes ko bhi madda samajhta hoon. Abhi, jora 156.72 par trading kar raha hai, jo ke average Bollinger value 156.76 ke ooper hai, jis ka matlab hai ke aik mumkin uptrend qeemat jari rehne ka silsila hai. Ahem Bollinger levels upper-156.853 aur lower-156.65 hain. Bulls is market mein apni quwwat kho rahe hain. Munasib take profit level 156.85 par mukarar kiya gaya hai, jab ke 156.68 farokht ke liye mumkin hai. Farokht ke liye sochna abhi bohot jaldi hai, kyun ke short position kholne ke shorat shorat ke sirf shartein yeh hain ke agar qeemat 156.73 ke neeche mazboot ho. Lambi muddat ke asasat mojooda qeemat ke Bollinger levels ke mutabiq takseer utha sakti hain. Is liye, meri strategy uptrend ke jari rahne par mabni hai jab ke bazar ke tabdeel hone par muntaqil rehne par tawajjo di gayi hai.

Hum baqaida bullish rukh par mojood hain, umeed hai ke mazeed aagay barhne ki taraf jaayenge, 157 ke darjay aur is se ooper pohanchne ke liye, shaayad 160 tak pohanchne ke liye. Pair ke safar ke liye mansoobe banaye ja rahe hain, jis ka agla darja 158.17 ke aghaaz ke tor par nishana banaya gaya hai, jo taqreeban pehle se zyada jaldi pohanchne ke imkaanat se hai. Kharidari karnewalon ki pur asrar yaqeeni dene ke bawajood, is se hoti hai ke mazeed upar ki taraf qeemat ki chalne ki koshish karein. Magar agar bullish trend toot jaye, toh 157.15 tak girawat ka khatra hai, us ke baad upar ki taraf chalne ka silsila mukhtalif bhaagoo ki taraf jari rahega. Qeemat ke mumkin bullish aur bearish harakat ka andaza lagana mumkin hai, lekin USD/JPY ke rukh ko sahi taur par paish karna ek mushkil challenge hai. Mushkil ke bawajood, koshishen USD/JPY ko barha sakti hain.

USD/JPY: Qeemat Ki Harkat Ka Zor
Main ab USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Tehqeeq ke mutabiq, trend muddaton se barhne ka silsila jari hai, khaaskar European session mein aur dopahar ki khabron ke baad. Jora shayad 156.94 par resistance ko azmaaye aur European session khatam hone se pehle 157.83 tak pohanch jaye. Magar khabron ka background bullish potential ko slow kar raha hai, jo ke upar ki taraf rukawat ka kaam kar sakta hai. Is ke bawajood, hum 157.87 tak pohanchne ki umeed rakhte hain agle session mein warna giravat 155.99 tak, jise ek aur kharidari ka mauqa saamne aayega. Ahem hai ke USD/JPY ko 155.13 tak girne se bacha jaye, kyun ke yeh bazaar ke dynamics ko kaafi tabdeel kar dega.

USD/JPY jald hi 160 ke nishaan ke taraf barhne ka silsila jari rahega. JPY pair taraqqi pazeer hukoomati policies ki wajah se shayad takhfeef taqatwar mulkoon ke currencies mein se aik hai. Kabhi kabhi rukawaton ke bawajood, USD/JPY ko kharidna aik mehfooz qadam hai, lekin is ke mutasirati fitrat ke khatron ko kam karne ke liye stop-loss orders lagana bhool na jaye. Aalaat 156.77 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, H1 ke support level 156.47 se peechay se uttar rahi hai. Dakhil hone se pehle behtar price action ka outlook intezaar karna behtar hai. Agar yeh resistance ko paar kar jaye, to agla nishana 156.93 hai, phir 157.32. Tezi se stochastic (5.3.3) ko overbought halat ki taraf ishara hai. Agar koi ahem khabar bazar ko kharab nahi karti, to jora shayad apni upar ki raah par jari rahega. Agar daily chart ke resistance level ko paar nahi kiya jata, to support levels ki taraf giravat hosakti hai, jise tod kar 155.763 tak pohanch sakti hai agar neeche gira aur mazboot ho gaya.

USD/JPY: Price Analysis and Forecasts
USD/JPY is showing bullish signs today, trading above the day's opening level of 155.40 and surpassing the daily Pivot level of 154.82. Key indicators suggest a northward movement, with the price positioned above the trend line MA72, a typical area for volume unloading. If the price breaches the 155.97 level, I anticipate further upward movement towards resistance levels at 156.10 and potentially 156.25.

However, a drop below the 155.62 level could signal a descent towards 155.40 and possibly 154.82. Notably, USD/JPY is currently trading below the monthly Pivot level of 156.25 (149.90), but above the weekly Pivot level of 154.85 and the daily Pivot level of 154.82, indicating a corrective sentiment for the pair.

The pair's direction seems to hinge on pivotal levels. Above the weekly Pivot level of 154.82, we witness corrective movements, while a breach below this level could steer the pair southward. Such movements may be influenced by Japan's efforts to contain yen inflation.

Looking ahead, the prognosis for USD/JPY appears favorable, particularly for bullish growth. Consequently, buyers should prioritize purchasing pairs. The pair's recent upward trajectory underscores the strength of the prevailing trend, yielding profits for buyers engaged in trend-following trades. Additionally, the current fundamental backdrop supports further growth in the pair's value.

Technical indicators, including the Ichimoku indicator, reinforce the bullish sentiment. A bullish "Parade of Lines" signal has formed, suggesting continued upward momentum. The initial target for buyers is set at 157.00, corresponding to the upper Bollinger Bands line on the four-hour chart. Moreover, the pair's position above the Ichimoku cloud indicates a sustained uptrend. Furthermore, the bullish crossover of the Tenkan-Sen Ichimoku line above the Kijun-Sen line presents a robust signal for initiating buying trades.

In conclusion, there's a strong basis for confident trading in the northward direction for USD/JPY. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring key levels and technical indicators to capitalize on potential opportunities presented by the pair's price movements.

Yeh dekhne ke layak hai ke yen ke saath pair stable raha hai, kyunke kuch arsa se significant changes nahi hui hain aur upward movement jaari hai. Hum local highs ko constantly update kar rahe hain, bilkul kal ki tarah. Filhaal, hum 157 level ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain bina kisi significant deviations ke. Yeh baat zaroori hai ke yen abhi bhi pressure mein hai. Magar yeh dekhna bhi zaroori hai ke hum aage kis tarah trade karenge, khaaskar hafta ke akhri din ko, jab position closures ho sakti hain.
Mere liye bhi kuch nahi badla hai, kyunke main ab bhi in price levels se buying consider nahi kar raha hoon, bawajood ke upward movement jaari hai. Magar main anticipate kar raha hoon ke 157.40 ke upar push hoga, aur phir main selling consider karunga with a clear stop.

Yen ka pressure mein rehna iska matlab hai ke forex market mein kuch factors hain jo yen ki weakness ko highlight kar rahe hain. Yeh factors economic indicators, monetary policy changes ya global market sentiments ho sakte hain. Is waqt, market participants kaafi cautiously approach kar rahe hain, khaaskar hafta ke aakhri din, jab position closures zyada hoti hain. Yeh baat bhi dekhne layak hai ke agar 157.40 ke level ko break kiya gaya, toh significant upward movement aa sakti hai, lekin main yeh movement ko selling opportunity samajhta hoon with a clear stop loss in place.

Trading strategy mein yeh baat zaroori hai ke aap current market conditions ko closely monitor karein aur apni risk management strategies ko implement karein. Yeh include karta hai stop loss placements, jo aapke capital ko protect karte hain unexpected market movements ke against. Is waqt, agar aap trading plan bana rahe hain, toh yeh baat zaroori hai ke aap market trends aur indicators ko samjhein aur unke mutabiq apni trading decisions ko adjust karein.

Khush rahain aur safe trading karen!

USD/JPY KA TAA'WAN: Karobar ke tajziya aur Japanese yen ka karobar karne ke liye mashwaray. Jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kafi uchhala aur 156.56 ke price level ka imtehan liya, to pair ke mazeed urooj ke imkanat ko roka gaya. Isi wajah se maine isay khareedna nahi chaha. Yeh amreeki session ke ikhtitam ke qareeb hua, is wajah se bazari mei naye dakhli nuqtaat nahi mili. Kal ke musbat machinery orders aur trade balance ke figures Japan mein nazr andaz kiye gaye, lekin aaj Japan ki ma'ashi sakhti ke ishaarat ko yen ki mazbooti ne mila. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI economists ke tajziyati tawaqoat ko paar kar gaye, jo ke USD/JPY pair ki halki nichi dor mein rukawat paida ki. Lekin sawal ye hai ke yen khariddar kitna lamba arsa qaim rahenge, khaaskar bullish dollar market aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke doraan. Aaj, main 156.80 ke aas paas (graph par sabz line) mein USD/JPY kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon, taake wo 157.15 (outline par moti sabz line) tak pohanche. 157.15 ke aas paas, main kharidi ko chor kar seedhe bechne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 30-35 jagah ke iradat se). Aaj, main ye umeed rakhta hoon ke pair ka taraqqi karne ka silsila jaari rahega. Ahem! Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur sirf isse uthne laga hai. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal dakhlay 156.56 ke daam par aayen jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein ho. Ye pair ke nichle imkanat ko rokega aur bazari mei ulta palat ka silsila shuru hoga. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izafa mutawaqqi hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechne ka irada rakhta hoon jab 156.56 ke level ke neeche gir jaye ga (outline par laal line), jo ke pair mein foran kami ka sabab banega. Farokht karne wale ke liye ahem maqsood 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht ko chhor kar foran kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 20-25 jagah ke iradat se). Pair ke upar bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banaye ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf isse gira hai. Agar MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein ho aur do musalsal 156.80 ke daam ka imtehan ho, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye pair ke vertical imkanat ko rokega aur bazari mei ulta palat ka silsila shuru hoga. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke mukhalif darajat par ek kami ka tajziya kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY Mudra Jod ki Harkatein Samajhna

USD/JPY mudra jod ka maloom hota hai ke iska ikhtitam honay wala hai, jahan kuch tajziya karne walay apni anay wali rah ki hawa ko mutawajjah dekh rahe hain. Ye tajziya "Ascending Triangle" chart pattern ka istemal karta hai taake mumkinah qeemat ki harkatein qiyas lagaya ja sake. Tasawwur karein ek raasta jahan farsh dhire dhire buland hota hai - yehi hai "ascending triangle". Qeemat ne foran neeche ki trend line (farsh) aur ooper ki trend line se takraar ki hai. Yeh silsila aksar ikhtitam ko pesh karta hai, jis ka matlab hai ke qeemat ko kisi bhi taraf tezi se uthaya ja sakta hai.

Achi khabar yeh hai ke isharaat umeed hai ke USD/JPY mein (dollar Japanese yen ke khilaaf mazboot ho raha hai) ek potential izafa ho sakta hai. Aaj ke America ke ma'ashi data is upward harkat ko influence karna sakta hai. Lekin kuch rukawatain bhi hain. Agar bullish manzar (upward harkat) ko anjam dena hai, to qeemat ko aik ahem muzdalfa 157.94 par saaf tor par toorna hoga. Maazrat ke saath, yahan kuch kamzor ma'ashi khabrein rukawat paida kar sakti hain. Halan ke breakout mumkin hai, lekin durust waqt saaf nahi hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bull (investors jo qeemat ko barhne ka intezar kar rahe hain) shuru mein 157.94 ke paas jaane mein kuch mushkilat ka samna karain.



Is surat mein, unhe kam az kam 157.40 se ooper jaana hoga taake kuch upward harkat ka jazba qaim rahe. Agar dono koshishen nakam ho jayein, to qeemat wapas 155.99 ke support level par gir sakti hai. Yahan cheezen dilchasp hoti hain. Halan ke haal ki trend USD/JPY ke liye neeche ka tha, lekin asal banawat mein ek potential buland harkat ka izhar hai. Asaan alfaaz mein, girawat apna raasta mukammal kar chuki hai, aur mudra jod ab ek mumkinah tezi ki taraf muntazir hai. Ye "bullish potential" pura karna zaroori hai, jo ke dono taraf ke investors ke liye ek mouqa peda karta hai. Ek taraf, agar bull resistance levels ko paar kar lein, to qeemat ko ek numaya buland surge ka samna ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar bear (investors jo qeemat ko girne ka intezar kar rahe hain) 155.99 se 157.40 ke darmiyan taqat hasil karte hain, to wo qeemat ko mazeed neeche le ja sakte hain aur down trend ko lamba kar sakte hain. Yahan ka aham paigham yeh hai ke haal ki trend neeche ka raha, lekin chart pattern aur asal banawat ek potential rukh ko zahir karte hain. Investors jo thori si khatra pasandi ke saath khush hain, wo ma'ashi data aur qeemat ki harkaton ki apni tajziyaat ke bunyad par mohtat hoon ke positions le sakte hain.

USD-JPY PAIR KA TAJZIYA

Jis cheez ko main dekh raha hoon, jis par mai USDJPY mudra jod ke shumaraat ki khasoosiyat ko istemal karte hue rozaana ke time frame par chart se dekhta hoon, raat ke price ki harkatein ab bhi upar ki taraf barh rahi hain, yeh halat wahi hai jo kuch pichle dino mein hua tha. Agar is hafte ke trending market ki disha ko dekha jaye jo bullish disha mein ja rahi hai, to dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat abhi ek bullish rally ke daur mein hai, is tarah kul milake is hafte ka trend ab bhi upar ki taraf barh raha hai jiska range zyada khaas nahi hai.

Peer se yeh shuru hua ek bullish movement level 155.62 se aur guzishta raat ke market session tak yeh ab bhi apni bullish rah par chal raha hai, level 157.21 ko pohanch kar, ab qeemat abhi thori neeche ka sahee correction level 157.13 ke aas paas kar rahi hai. Dekha ja sakta hai ke pichle Thursday ke trading mein band hone wala daam abhi tak Monday ke market opening price level se upar tha. Isi beech, is hafte ke candlestick ka moqaam lagta hai ke 2024 ke liye sab se buland price level banane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur zyadatar yeh ho sakta hai ke USDJPY mudra jod phir se bullish trend ki taraf lautne ka moqa hai.



Agle, main market ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal hone wale indicators ko nigrani karoonga, MACD indicator (12,26,29) mein dekha ja sakta hai ke dotted yellow line upar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, histogram bar ka moqaam bhi zero level ke upar ek lambi si keemat ke saath hai. RSI (14) indicator par, Lime Line ka moqaam ab level 70 ke kareeb pohanch gaya hai. Yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator, jiska moqaam ab bhi aaram se red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar upar ja raha hai, jo rozana ke time frame mein market trend ko dikhata hai, abhi tak bullish hai.

USD-JPY PAIR KA JAIZA

H4 time frame par, aap dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY ki qeemat ki harkatein trading mein pichle April se ab tak bullish candlesticks ke zair e asar hain ya ab bhi ek upar ki taraf ki manzil ko nazar andaaz kar rahi hain. Agar April ke ikhtitam par candlestick ab bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche tha, lekin is mahine ne isay us se ooper utha diya. Ye halat yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat ke moqaam roz ba roz buland aur buland hotay ja rahe hain, jo ke market ki haalat ko bullish disha mein le ja rahi hai.
Is technical tajziya data ke ilawa, maine RSI indicator (14) ki Lime Line se level 70 ke qareeb jo ke ek strong bullish halat ka signal hai, isay dekha. Tooti hui yellow line MACD indicator (12,26,29) par bhi upar ki taraf murnay lagi hai aur histogram bars ka shakal din ba din mazeed lambi hota ja raha hai, jo ke market ko ab bhi kharidne wale dominate kar rahe hain ka ishara hai. Halan ke candlestick ab bhi comfortably Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 ke upar khel rahe hain, jo ke market ko upar ki taraf ja rahi hai ka tasawwur dete hain.

Magar, pairs jaise USDJPY ke liye, lagta hai ke market mein koi bhi bara tabdeeli nahi aayi. Pichle haftay se bullish trend jaari hai aur volatilit stable lag rahi hai kyunke har roz kafi bari hoti hai. USDJPY pair se main kya dekhta hoon? Dekh kar ke bullish momentum ab bhi ache taur par qaim hai, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj bhi qeemat phir se bullish rahi gi.



Nateeja:

Kai indicators se liye ja sakti hui market ki halat ki tasweer, sab dikhate hain ke daily aur H4 time frames par market ka trend abhi bhi bullish hai aur is ka upward movement jaari rahega. Sach mein, meri raay mein, ek BUY trading position kholna faida mand mowqay faraham karta hai, lekin yaad rahe ke transactions ke liye ideal candlestick moqaam ka intezar karna chahiye jab qeemat level 157.20 tak pohanch jaye. Bullish targets ke liye, agla maqsood level 157.60 par rakh sakte hain.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY. Ghantay ke chart par, qeemat ek ascending channel ke andar hai. Aaj subah qeemat is channel ke neeche ke border par thi aur umeed thi ke is channel ke upper border tak barhne ka imkan hai. Magar aaj zyada izafa karne mein kamyabi nahi mili aur qeemat ab bhi ascending channel ke neeche ke border par hai. Is liye, barhav ka option abhi bhi keemati hai. Agar jora barhne lagta hai, to oopar ki taraf jaate hue, jora upper border tak barh sakta hai, yani level 157.26 tak. Is level ko pohanchne ke baad, aik ulta waqi'a ho sakta hai aur qeemat neeche jaane lagti hai, is channel ke neeche ke border tak, yani level 156.51 tak.



Chart mein, aap dekh sakte hain ke 156.775 ke level ka qeemat badal gaya hai. Buland lines Senkou Span B 156.023 aur dosra Senkou Span A 156.214 ka aik badal gaya hai. Senkou Span B 156.556 line indicator mein sab se taqatwar hai, kyun ke is mein settings mein zyada arsa hai. Settings ke mutalliq, main standard ones ka istemal karta hoon. Default settings, jo Ichimoku indicator mein MT4 mein darj hain. Yeh samjhana zaroori hai, kyun ke alag alag douron ke liye online mukhtalif settings dastiyab hain. Main ummeed karta hoon ke USDJPY mazboot hota hai. Oopar jaate hue, agar cloud mein rukawat hoti hai, to kharidariyon ko barha sakte hain. Farokht ka option hai, to aapko sochna chahiye ke cloud ka tootna kab hota hai, lekin farokht ke liye leading signal Tenkan-sen 156.767 aur Kijun-sen 156.556 lines ke darmiyan dead cross ban jaata hai.