𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY ki fundamental outlook

Thursday ke Asian session ke doran, Japanese yen (JPY) American dollar ke muqable mein taqwiyat hasil kar rahi thi, shayad mahinon ke dar se chand faasilay barh rahi thi. Watan ki currency Japanese authorities ke interventional amkanat ke barhte hue kuch madad milti ja rahi hai. American dollar/yen exchange rate bhi ek din ke zor se girawat ke natije mein 152.00 integer mark ke qareeb aaya, jo ke American dollar ko ek haftay ke ek kam se kam low tak bhejne wali thi. Thursday ke European trading session ke doran, USD/JPY exchange rate ek simit andaz mein chal raha tha, 151.70 ke aas paas. Is ke ilawa, jodi shayad Wednesday ki high 151.95 ke qareeb foran mukhalifat ka samna karegi, jo ke psychological level 152.00 aur March ki high 151.97 ke sath hai. Agar USD/JPY is noqtey ko paar kar sakta hai, to yeh ek mawafiq utarti harkat hone chahiye, jo USD/JPY jodi ko 152.50 ke qareeb ahem level dhoondne mein madad karegi. Neeche, 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 151.39 dikhata hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke USD/JPY ko 151.50 ke mukammal level par fori madad mil sakti hai. USD/JPY jodi ko negative dabav mehsoos ho sakta hai agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, shayad mainly psychological barrier 151.00 ko test karne ke liye pehle aur phir 23.6% Fibonacci retracement phase 150.67 ki taraf aage badhe.

USD/JPY ki takhleeqi manzar nama

USD/JPY jodi ke hawale se halat do hafton ya is se zyada ke doran tabdeel ho gaye hain. March ke swing lows se mazboot bahali ke roshan doran, yeh consolidation phase ab bhi bullish ke tor par pehchana ja sakta hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi dikhate hain ke spot prices ka least resistance ka rasta upward hai, agar bhi yeh abhi tak overbought shuruaat se door hain. Lekin, kisi bhi mazeed faida ke liye positioning ko tab tak rokna behtar hoga jab tak 152.00 round-figure threshold ka consistent tor na ho. Magar, koi bhi maayne wali girawat shayad maayene haal mein ya is ke nazdeek shaktishali support ko payega, jo ke 151.00 ke aas paas hai. Pehle dikhaye gaye handle ka mazboot breach, khaaskar 150.80 aur 150.75 ke darmiyan ki horizontal resistance breakpoint ke baad, is waqt support ka kaam karta hai aur is kaam ka USD/JPY ko mustaqbil mein relevant support ki taraf dhamaka dene ka imkan hota hai 150.25 ilaqa mein. Ek sath, yeh psychological 150 level hai, agar yeh mukammal tor diya jata hai, to is se bearish traders ka manzar tabdeel ho sakta hai aur ek mawafiq islahi slide ko khol sakta hai jo ke aakhir mein 149.00 aur 149.35–149.30 ilaqa ki taraf chale jayega.

USD/JPY ki fundamental outlook

Thursday ke Asian session ke doran, Japanese yen (JPY) American dollar ke muqable mein taqwiyat hasil kar rahi thi, shayad mahinon ke dar se chand faasilay barh rahi thi. Watan ki currency Japanese authorities ke interventional amkanat ke barhte hue kuch madad milti ja rahi hai. American dollar/yen exchange rate bhi ek din ke zor se girawat ke natije mein 152.00 integer mark ke qareeb aaya, jo ke American dollar ko ek haftay ke ek kam se kam low tak bhejne wali thi. Thursday ke European trading session ke doran, USD/JPY exchange rate ek simit andaz mein chal raha tha, 151.70 ke aas paas. Is ke ilawa, jodi shayad Wednesday ki high 151.95 ke qareeb foran mukhalifat ka samna karegi, jo ke psychological level 152.00 aur March ki high 151.97 ke sath hai. Agar USD/JPY is noqtey ko paar kar sakta hai, to yeh ek mawafiq utarti harkat hone chahiye, jo USD/JPY jodi ko 152.50 ke qareeb ahem level dhoondne mein madad karegi. Neeche, 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 151.39 dikhata hai, jo ke ishara deta hai ke USD/JPY ko 151.50 ke mukammal level par fori madad mil sakti hai. USD/JPY jodi ko negative dabav mehsoos ho sakta hai agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, shayad mainly psychological barrier 151.00 ko test karne ke liye pehle aur phir 23.6% Fibonacci retracement phase 150.67 ki taraf aage badhe.

USD/JPY ki takhleeqi manzar nama

USD/JPY jodi ke hawale se halat do hafton ya is se zyada ke doran tabdeel ho gaye hain. March ke swing lows se mazboot bahali ke roshan doran, yeh consolidation phase ab bhi bullish ke tor par pehchana ja sakta hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi dikhate hain ke spot prices ka least resistance ka rasta upward hai, agar bhi yeh abhi tak overbought shuruaat se door hain. Lekin, kisi bhi mazeed faida ke liye positioning ko tab tak rokna behtar hoga jab tak 152.00 round-figure threshold ka consistent tor na ho. Magar, koi bhi maayne wali girawat shayad maayene haal mein ya is ke nazdeek shaktishali support ko payega, jo ke 151.00 ke aas paas hai. Pehle dikhaye gaye handle ka mazboot breach, khaaskar 150.80 aur 150.75 ke darmiyan ki horizontal resistance breakpoint ke baad, is waqt support ka kaam karta hai aur is kaam ka USD/JPY ko mustaqbil mein relevant support ki taraf dhamaka dene ka imkan hota hai 150.25 ilaqa mein. Ek sath, yeh psychological 150 level hai, agar yeh mukammal tor diya jata hai, to is se bearish traders ka manzar tabdeel ho sakta hai aur ek mawafiq islahi slide ko khol sakta hai jo ke aakhir mein 149.00 aur 149.35–149.30 ilaqa ki taraf chale jayega.

M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:

M15 chart pe linear regression channel nichay ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo ke market mein seller dominance ko darust karti hai. Movement 153.616 level ki taraf directed hai. Jab yeh level pohancha jaye, toh ek upward correction mumkin hai due to channel volatility. Behtar hai ke lower border of the channel ke qareeb bechna avoid kiya jaye aur istead mein rollback ka intezaar kia jaye around 154.322 tak. Yeh approach nuqsan ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Channel ki tezi sellers ke quwwat ko darust karti hai, jahan tezi ka darja zyada tez harkat ko darust karta hai. Abhi thora sa nichay ki taraf bias hai, jo early-stage sales ko afzal banata hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook

Hourly chart pe bhi linear regression channel nichay ki taraf point karta hai, jo sellers ki quwwat ko mazeed mazboot karta hai. Hourly chart ka channel precedence leta hai, jabke M15 chart ek supplementary reference ka kaam karta hai. Dono channels ek southward trend ko darust karte hain. Short positions pe tawajju dena munasib hai, kyunke kharidari matlab prevailing movement ke khilaf jaana hoga, jo ke nuqsan ka baais ban sakta hai. Agar 154.322 level buyers ko rokne mein na kaamyaab hota hai, toh mazeed upward movement 156.749 ki taraf mumkin hai. Magar, yeh level ek attractive selling opportunity pesh karta hai, kyunke baad mein ek retracement lazmi hai. Bears phir qeemat ko channel ka nichla hissa 154.380 ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Sales ko bullish retracement ke saath timing karni chahiye.

USDJPY Fundamental Analysis

Wednesday, 15 May ko U.S. trading session mein USD/JPY exchange rate 1.1% gir kar 154.736 par aagayi, aur phir kuch losses ko narrow kiya. Recent weeks mein yen bohot ziada fluctuate hua hai, pehli martaba 1990 ke baad April ke akhir mein 160 se neeche gir gaya tha, aur phir do martaba authorities ke suspected intervention ke baad sharply rebound hua.

Japan ke ultra-low borrowing rates aur U.S. ke higher borrowing rates ke darmiyan wide moat ne yen par pressure daala hua hai. Wednesday ko yen upar gaya jab dollar weak hua aur U.S. Treasury yields plummet hui U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for April ke baad.

Data release hone ke baad, traders ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke liye apne bets badha diye, jahan current swap pricing yeh indicate karti hai ke September Fed meeting mein 25 basis point rate cut ka 80% se zyada chance hai.

Valentin Marinov, head of G10 FX research aur strategy aur yen par Credit Agricole Bank mein, ne kaha ke USD/JPY U.S. fixed income market mein moves ke liye bohot sensitive hai. Agar U.S. interest rate investors Fed ke interest rate cut ko advance karte hain, toh USD/JPY exchange rate mein sabse zyada fluctuations ho sakti hain.

Data se yeh pata chala ke core inflation measure - jo volatile food aur energy costs ko exclude karta hai - March se 0.3% badha, jab ke year-on-year growth core prices mein 3.6% par slow hui.

Yen pichle saal mein lagbhag 12% gira hai, jo isay worst-performing G10 currency banata hai. Halanki Bank of Japan ne March mein 2007 ke baad pehli martaba short-term policy rates ko badhaya, market sentiment ab bhi subdued hai aur bearish bets market mein dominate karti hain.

Reports ke mutabiq, losses ko curb karne ke liye, Japan ne April ke akhir aur early May mein yen ko do martaba kharida, lagbhag 9 trillion yen ($57.5 billion) kharch kiya. Country ke top currency official, Masato Kanda, ne comment karne se inkar kiya ke authorities intervene karengi ya nahi.





Monex foreign exchange trader Helen Give ne kaha: "CPI ne Bank of Japan ko undoubtedly sigh of relief diya hai. Lekin, jab tak Fed interest rates cut nahi karta, USD/JPY ki strength 150 level par capped rahegi - spread ab bhi kaafi wide hai."

Market observers ka maanna hai ke yen long-term pressure mein rahega. Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers ne kaha ke currency intervention exchange rates ko badalne mein ineffective hai, halanki Japan ne large-scale intervention measures adopt karne ka believe kiya hai.

USD/JPY H4 Analysis

USD/JPY H4 US Dollar - Japanese Yen ke chart ka jaiza lete hain. Is chart par, selected property ek clear rapid feeling ko dikhata hai, jo hexane ash candlestick indicators se samjha ja sakta hai. Yeh indicators traditional Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, aur zyada smooth aur average value quotes ko reflect karte hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh process kafi aham hai, aur sahi business decisions lene ke liye linear channel indicator ke sath TMA (triangular moving average) ka istemal kiya jata hai. Current support aur resistance ko moving averages ke sath show kiya jata hai. Yeh currency pair ke movement ki boundaries ko acche se dikhata hai.

Signals ko complete karne aur transactions ka faisla karne ke liye, RSI structures ka istemal hota hai, jo asset ki overbought aur oversold zones ko reflect karte hain. Chart par ek aisi position dekhi ja sakti hai jahan hexane ash candles blue hain, jo value movement ke northern direction ko dikhati hain. Market quotes ne linear channels ke lower range (red dotted line) se bahar move kiya, lekin minimum point ko reach karne ke baad, wapas channel ki middle line (yellow dotted line) par aa gaya.

Signal-filing basement indicator RSI (14) bhi signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunki yeh long position ka choice ko refute nahi karta - iska curve upwards direction mein hai aur overbought levels se door hai. Upar diye gaye tafseel ke mutabiq, sirf purchase hi relevant ho sakta hai, isliye hum long business kholte hain aur umeed karte hain ke equipment channel ke upper range par price level 157.640 tak move karega.

Is chart analysis ko dekhte hue, humein kuch important points samajh mein aate hain:

1. **Hexane Ash Candlestick Indicators:** Yeh indicators traditional candlesticks se mukhtalif hain aur zyada smooth aur average value quotes ko dikhate hain. Yeh market ke trends ko zyada accurately predict karne mein madadgar hote hain.

2. **Linear Channel Indicator:** Yeh indicator TMA (triangular moving average) ke sath use hota hai aur current support aur resistance lines ko show karta hai. Yeh business decisions lene mein madad karta hai aur currency pair ke movement ki boundaries ko define karta hai.

3. **RSI Structures:** RSI (Relative Strength Index) asset ki overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Iska curve upwards direction mein hona ek bullish signal hai, jo long positions kholne ke liye favorable hota hai.

4. **Market Quotes Movement:** Market quotes ka linear channel ke lower range se bahar move karna aur phir wapas middle line par ana ek significant indicator hai. Yeh movement market ke volatility aur potential reversal points ko highlight karta hai.

5. **Business Decision:** Chart analysis aur indicators ke mutabiq, current scenario mein sirf purchase hi relevant hai. Isliye, hum long positions kholte hain aur umeed karte hain ke price upper range par 157.640 tak move karega.

Is analysis ke zariye, traders ko market ke trends aur potential movement ke bare mein achi insight milti hai, jo informed trading decisions lene mein madadgar hoti hai. Chart par dikhayi gayi information aur indicators ke signals ko dekhte hue, humein current market conditions ka achi tarah andaza hota hai aur hum apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust kar sakte hain.

M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:
M15 chart par linear regression channel neeche ki taraf muda hua hai, jo ke market mein sellers ki hukoomat ko zyada ahmiyat deta hai. Market ka movement 153.616 ke darje tak junubi raaste mein hai. Jab yeh pura ho jaye, toh ek upar ki correction mumkin hai, kyun ke is chart par channel ki tabaahi chuni jayegi. Behtar hai ke channel ke neeche ke qareeb farokht na karen, balke channel ke ooper hisse 154.322 ka rukh karen. Yeh nakamiyat ko kam karne mein madad karega. Channel ka daira bech kaar ki taqat ko tay karta hai; jo zyada tez ho, woh tez raftar se harkat karti hai. Thori rukawat, bech par shuruati darjah mein farokht.

Ghanton ke chart par, linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jo ke bech kaar ki taqat ko darust karta hai. Ghanton ka channel asal hai, aur M15 ka sahaara hai. Dono graphs par, channel ka rukh junubi hai. Behtar hai ke shorts ko talash kia jaye, kyun ke agar aap khareedte hain, toh aap harkat ke khilaaf jayenge, jo ke zyada tar nuqsaan la kar aaye ga. Agar 154.322 ka darja kharidne wale ko rok na sake, toh zyada tar yeh jaari rahe ga. Bulls channel ke ooper 156.749 ke darje tak uthenge, jahan se farokht par nazar daalni chahiye. Is jagah se farokht bohot dilchasp nazar aayegi, kyun ke ghanton ke baad ek wapas aega. Baad mein bhalu apni sargarmi dikhayenge aur channel ke neeche ke hisse 154.380 ki taraf harkat karenge. Is par channel ki tabaahi chuni jayegi; farokht ko thora intezaar karna hoga jab tak bhalu harkat ka hissa jeet na lein.

USD/JPY H-1
Sab forum participants ko adaab! Chart se hum dekhte hain ke kisi currency pair ki farokht karne mein khareedne se zyada dalil hai. Moving average keemat se ooper gaya aur farokht karne walon ki taqat ko tasdeeq kiya. Farokht ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, hum MACD oscillator se ek mazeed signal ka istemal karenge. Hum dekhte hain ke indicator histogram sifar ke ooper hai, jo ke hamari farokht ko tasdeeq nahi karta. Aapko mutabiq MACD signal ka intezar karna hoga. Hum farokht karte hain 154.69 ke daramad ke darje se. Is darje se dakhil hone par munafa kamane ke imkaan zyada hain jab ke stop loss se muamla band hone ke imkaan se zyada hain. Hum nuqsanat ko 154.89 ke darje par stop loss set karke marammat karte hain, jo ke keemat is darje par pohnchne par jama kiya jaye ga. Hamare trading ke musbat nateeje ko 154.09 ke darje par darj karenge. Kyun ke hamein market par asar dalne ka koi tareeqa nahi hai, hum bas dekhte hain jab tak ke keemat stop ya munafa tak pohnch jaye.




Tawaqo ye hai ke bull keemat ko kisi muqami zyada se zyada pohancha sakein ge mark 160.114 ke darje ke aas paas (bullish strike), aur “Double Top” reversal graphic pattern ka sahi kandha banane ke baad apna wajood sabit na karain. Ek limit sell order jo market mein "daakhil" ho gaya woh kuch acha nahi nikla. Magar technical lehaaz se, doosre "1-2-3" reversal pattern ka husool bohot khubsurat lag raha hai. Agar yeh waqai maamla hai, toh kal market ne Spirandeo pattern ka muqami ooper (3) banaya. Model ki bunyad hai wazarat ke ilaqa mein support ke darje. 151,830 ke darje ke aas paas. Market ko bas yeh zone test nahi karna chahiye, balke is par achhi raftar aur gherai se dakhil hona chahiye, aur phir breakout zone mein qadam jamana chahiye. Model ko intra-channel correction ka ek driver ke tor par istemal karna channel support tak pahunchne ka pehla mansooba hai trading week ke ikhtitaam tak.

USD/JPY. Kal raat maine pair ke liye ek neeche ki taraf ka channel banaya aur umeed thi ke shayad is channel ke neeche ki simt giravat hogi. Yeh giravat hui, 154.39 ke darje tak, lekin sirf keemat is se neeche tooti aur pair ne neeche ki taraf harkat jaari rakhi. Magar aakhirkaar, pair ki giravat ruk gayi aur keemat ooper ki taraf chalne lagi. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke pair ooper ki taraf chalta rahega, keemat neeche ke channel mein dakhil hogi aur shayad phir izzafah neeche ke channel ke ooper ki taraf jaari rahega, yani 155.84 ke darje tak. Is darje par pohanchne ke baad, ab yeh mumkin hai ke ek ulat pher ho aur keemat dobara neeche jaane ki koshish kare.



Adaab. Aur asal mein, mujhe shak nahi kehta ke yen ke sath pair ki giravat jaari rahegi, khaaskar ab jab ek acha short initiative hai, haalaanki abhi hum izzafah kar rahe hain ya peeche hat rahe hain. Magar Asia mein bhi woh kam hue, haalaanki Japan ko manfi GDP mila. Magar bilkul, ehmiyat hai ke dollar ke saath America mein kaise trade hoga, jo ab thoda sa barh raha hai, haalaanki aaj hum Turkish market ke data bhi receive karenge. Is doran, main ooper ki harkat ke tootne ki baat nahi karunga. Magar main aise keemat par khareedne ka bhi ghoor karunga aur short initiative par jari rahun ga, aur is liye, agar hum 155.75 ke ooper pohonch jayein, toh main wahan farokht karne ki izazat deta hoon.

Salam sab forum walon ko! Chart se yeh nazar ata hai ke currency pair ko bechna kharidne se zyada justified hai. Moving average ne price se oopar chala gaya hai aur sellers ki taqat ko tasdeeq kiya hai. Bechne ke liye mazeed signal ke tor par hum MACD oscillator se ek aur signal istemal karenge. Hum dekhte hain ke indicator histogram zero ke oopar hai, jo ke hamare bechne ko tasdeeq nahi karta. Humen munasib MACD signal ka intezar karna hai. Hum resistance level se 154.69 se bechenge. Is level se dakhil hone par munafa kamane ke chances stop loss ke zariey band hone ke mukable zyada hain. Hum nuqsaan ko 154.89 ke level par stop loss set karke secur kar rahe hain, jo ke price is level par pohanchne par hamara deposit mehfooz karega. Ham apni trading ka musbat nateeja 154.09 ke daam par record karenge. Humen market par koi asar dalne ka koi tareeqa nahi hai, hum bas dekhte hain jab tak ke price stop ya munafa tak pohanch jaye.
Umeed hai ke bullish yani kharidar price ko ek local maximum ke nazdeek 160.114 (bullish strike) tak le ja sakein ge, aur phir ek "Double Top" reversal graphic pattern ke right shoulder banane ke baad apne aap ko sabit na kar sake. Ek limit sell order "charged" market mein achha nahi nikla. Magar technical hawale se, doosra "1-2-3" reversal pattern ka shakal bana hona bohot acha lag raha hai. Agar yeh sach hai to, to kal market ne Spirandeo pattern ka local top (3) banaya. Model ka bunyad level of support hai 151,830 ke area mein. Market is zone ko bas nahi test karega, balke is mein achi gati aur gehraai se dakhil hoga, aur phir breakout zone mein apni jagah banayega. Model ko intra-channel correction ka driver ke tor par istemal karke channel support tak pahunchne ka mukhya taraqqi ka manzar hai trading week ke ikhtitam tak.

M15 Minute Timeframe Outlook:
M15 chart par linear regression channel neechay ki taraf muraad dena, jo ke market mein bechne walon ki hukoomat ko wazeh karta hai. Market ka movement 153.616 ke darja tak ek sair raha hai. Jab yeh kamyaab ho jaye, aik oopri tezabiyat ke sath oper ki taraf correction mumkin hai, kyun ke is chart par channel ki tezabiyat ko chuna jayega. Behtar hai ke channel ke nichle sarhad ke qareeb farokht na kiya jaye, balke channel ke oopri hisse ka rukhna intezar karein 154.322. Yeh munafa kam karne mein madad karega. Channel ka konay ke nisbat se samne walon ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jata hai; jo zyada tez, woh zyada mazboot hai. Halki shiraa'at, shuroo ke marhale mein farokht.

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Ghantay ke chart par, linear regression channel neechay ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jo ke bechne walon ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Ghantay ka channel asal hai, aur M15 iska sahayak hai. Dono graphs par, channel ka rukh janoob ki taraf hai. Shorts talash karna behtar hai, kyun ke agar aap kharidte hain, to aap rukh ke khilaf ja rahe hain, jo ke zyada tar nuksan la kar aega. Agar 154.322 ka darja kharidne wale ko rok na sake, to zyada tar jaari rahega. Bull oopar ki taraf channel ke oopar 156.749 ke darja tak barhenge, jahan se farokht ko qareeb se dekha jaye ga. Iss jaga se farokht bohot dilchasp nazar aayega, kyun ke ghantay ke mutabiq ek rukh hoga. Uske baad bail zor se apni fa'alat dikhayenge aur channel ke nichle hisse 154.380 ki taraf harkat karenge. Channel ki tezabiyat us par chuni jayegi; farokht.

USD/JPY H-1:

Sab forum shiraa'kion ko salaam! Chart se dekha jata hai ke ek currency pair farokht karne ki wajah kharidne se zyada hai. Moving average qeemat se oopar gaya aur bechne walon ki taqat ko tasdeeq di. Farokht ki tasdeeq ke liye, hum MACD oscillator se ek mazeed signal ka istemal karenge. Hum dekhte hain ke indicator histogram sifar ke upar hai, jo ke hamari farokht ko tasdeeq nahi deta. Aapko sahi MACD signal ka intezar karna hoga. Hum 154.69 ke rukh se farokht karte hain. Jab is darje se dakhil hotay hain, to faida hasil karne ke imkaanat stop loss ke band honay se zyada hote hain. Hum nuqsaan ko 154.89 ke darje par stop loss set karke theek karte hain, jo ke qeemat is darje tak pohanchne par jama karde ga. Hum apni trading ka musbat natija 154.09 ke darje par darj karte hain. Humain market par koi asar dalne ka koi tareeqa nahi hai, hum bas dekhte hain jab tak qeemat stop ya munafa tak nahi pohanchti.

USD/JPY D-1:

Tawaqo yeh hai ke bull qeemat ko mark 160.114 ke aaspass aik maqami ziada darje tak le ja sakein ge (bullish strike), aur "Double Top" ulta graphic pattern ka sahi kandha banane ke baad apni inteha ka silsila nahi banata. Market mein dakhil farokht se behtar sabit nahi hui. Lekin technical hawale se dekha jaye to doosra "1-2-3" ulta pattern banane ka tazurba bohot acha lag raha hai. Agar yeh sach hai to kal market ne Spirandeo pattern ka aik maqami oopri had (3) banaya. Model ka buniyad darje ke ilaqe mein support ke darje hai. 151,830 ke aaspass. Market ko bas yeh zone nahi test karna chahiye, balke isay aik acha rukh aur gehraai ke saath kholna chahiye, aur phir breakout zone mein qaim hona chahiye. Model ko channel correction ka driver ke tor par istemal karna, channel support tak pohanchne ka main tajziya hai trading week ke ikhtitam tak.

.USD/JPY jodi ke baare mein analysts ke darmiyaan mukhtalif raayein hain, jahan ek analyst bearish fikr rakhta hai aur kehta hai ke is jodi ke keemat mein izafa hone ke koi bunyadi saboot nahi hain. Unka nazariya bunyadi data par hai, jo dikhata hai ke bechnay ke liye zyada faida ho sakta hai. Filhal, USD/JPY jodi 151.47 ke qareeb ja rahi hai, aur agar ye 152.42 ke neeche chala gaya to mazeed kamiyon ki sambhavna hai. Analyst qareebi muddat mein trend ke ulte hone ki thodi sambhavna ko tasleem karta hai lekin maanta hai ke haal mein bearish trend mein 150.52 ke qareeb jaane ka zyada imkaan hai. Magar agar 152.42 ke upar se guzar gaya to jodi behtareen surat mein 154.33 ke level tak pahunch sakti hai.



USD/JPY pair ne 160.20 par 34 saalon ki bulandiyon ko chhoo liya hai aur agar yeh level paar kar sakta hai, toh yeh 163.55 par 200.0% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar bechnay ka dabao paida hota hai, toh pair 156.35 ke 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level par support pa sakta hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, toh ek girawat ka silsila 154.64 ke 123.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak shuru ho sakta hai, jo iss haftay pehle is girawat ko roka tha. Ek bearish scenario mein, November 2023 ki bulandiyon ka 151.90 level doosra rukawat hosakta hai. Japani authorities ki mumkin tajweez par intervention ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair bullish rehta hai. 160.00 level ka ik moqabla hone waala hai, jo pair ke future rukh ka faisla karne ke liye ek mayne rakhay ga.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis for August 14, 2018

On August 14, 2018, the USD/JPY pair is in focus as traders await the release of important economic data from Japan. This data is expected to have an impact on the Japanese yen, which is considered one of the least politicized currencies in the world. While market fundamentals play a key role in determining the value of currencies, it is important to note that non-market factors can also influence trade activity.

Amidst a backdrop of corruption scandals and political upheaval in some parts of the world, traders are looking for stability and predictability. The Japanese yen, known for its resilience and stability, is often sought after during times of uncertainty. This makes it a safe haven currency for investors looking to hedge against geopolitical risks.

In recent weeks, the USD/JPY pair has been trading within a narrow range, with a slight upward bias. However, market dynamics can quickly change, and unexpected events can lead to sharp movements in the currency pair. Traders should be prepared for volatility and have a solid risk management strategy in place.

With today's release of economic data from Japan, traders will be watching closely to see how the USD/JPY pair reacts. If the data comes in better than expected, we could see the Japanese yen strengthen against the US dollar. On the other hand, if the data disappoints, the USD/JPY pair may move higher.

At the time of writing, my analysis indicates that the USD/JPY pair is likely to continue its downward trajectory towards the 109 level. This level has been a key support area in the past and could act as a barrier to further downside moves. However, if the pair breaks below this level, we could see a more pronounced move lower.

As always, trading forex involves significant risk and it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. It is also crucial to have a solid risk management strategy in place to protect against potential losses. Good luck to all traders participating in the USD/JPY pair on August 14, 2018.

USD/JPY H1 time from


Forex market ke maamlaat hamesha be-inteha tabdeeliyon aur ghair-mutawaazin rehte hain, is liye traders ko apne investements ko moasar tareeqay se manage karne ke liye proactive tareeqay ikhtiyaar karna chahiye. Ye sirf maqool kharidari orders lagana nahi hai balkay naye maloomaat aur market ke harkaat par buniyadi taur par apni strategies ko barqarar rakhna bhi shamil hai. Masalan, USD/JPY exchange rate ko mukhtalif factors par asar hota hai, jinmein ma'ashiyati data releases, siyasi aur muasharti waqiyat, aur market ke jazbat mein tabdeeliyan shamil hain. Is liye, in factors ke baray mein maahir rehna trading decisions ko waqt par aur munafa bakhsh banane ke liye ahem hai.


USDJPY ke cash pair ka taqreeban 154.033 par mojood hona, jisme ek sudharatmak harkat ka safar chal raha hai, asal mein aik muddat kharidar faidemandi ka 53.72% ka tawajjuh dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, InstaForex se aik indicator ka istemal jo is forum par dastiyab hai, tafseelat ek majazi kharidar faidemandi ki nashan dahi karta hai. Mazeed, yeh indicator ek maqbool southern trend ka ishtarak bhi darust karta hai, jo pair ke outlook ko mazeed mukhtalif bana deta hai. USDJPY cash pair ki mojooda raftar ko dekhte hue, iske sudharatmak harkat aur uske fluctuations ko janibdar tor par ghoor se jaanch karne ki zarurat hai.USD/JPY pair Asian trading session mein dhire dhire barh raha tha, jo key global currencies ke against yen ki istiqamat se kamzor hoti ja rahi thi.USD/JPY pair mein darustiyaanon ke darmiyaan afwahon ki wajah se darar aati hai, lekin badi tasalli ke saath, mukhtalif pechidgiyon ke baavjud, nazdeekiyon ke liye aage ki taraf taqreeban ek taraf ka rukh nazar aata hai.

USD/JPY pair ne ek upward trend dikhaya hai, jahan rate ab upar hai aur mazeed utar chadav ke liye potentiak dikh rahi hai. Agar qeemat MA21 tak gir na jaye, toh mumkin hai ke yeh aage badhne ka jari rahe, pechle haftay ki momentum par aage badh kar. Pair ka agla target MN1 Res C: 197.096 ke resistance level par ho sakta hai. Agar qeemat is level ko paar kar leti hai, toh agla target Fibonacci levels ke mutabiq 261.8: 200.688 par ho sakta hai.
Technical indicators ke lihaz se, Stochastic (5.3.3) ab values 85.2 aur 63.2 par hai, jo overbought zone ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh Monday ko is zone tak pahunchne ka intezar kar raha hai, agar market mein kafi volatility ho. Doosri taraf, Stochastic (50.10.25) values 64.9 aur 70.6 par hai, jo oversold zone ki taraf move kar raha hai. Yeh indicators future mein pair ki south ki taraf move karne ki samarthan kar sakte hain, shayad levels 158 .751 ya 197.096 par pahunchne ke baad.MACD (12.26.9) indicator ek mahatvapurn sthiti mein hai, jahan uska direction anischit hai. MACD (50.100.25) ab overbought zone mein hai, yeh ek sambhav giraavat ki taraf ishara hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh pair ki qeemat mein giravat ka zyada chances badh jata hai.Moving averages ke madhyam se, giravat se bachne ke liye kharidne ka mashwara diya gaya hai. Iske alawa, doosra MACD indicator ek kharidne ka stance support karta hai, jahan histogram zero ke upar hone ke sath munafa ki sambhavna darshata hai. 154.48 se kiye gaye bullish trend trajectory traders ke liye ek avasar pradan karta hai market mein pravesh karne ka. 154.29 par stop-loss set karne ko salah di gayi hai, jo 155.08 ke take profit level se tin guna kam hai, takne nuksan ko limit kiya ja sake.Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek consistent upward trend dikhaya hai, khas tor par ghanton ke dauraan. Yeh trajectory sakaratmak rahi hai, jahan pair ne naye uchaiyon ko chuya hai. Yeh trend nazdeeki bhavishya mein aur tezi se upar ki aur ka potential darshata hai. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur mahatvapurn resistance levels 157.751 aur 197.096 ko monitor mein rakhna chahiye.Aam taur par, tajziya USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bullish outlook dikha raha hai, aane wale dino mein mazeed fayde ke liye potential. Traders ko kharidne ke avasar ka vichar karna chahiye aur suraksha hetu thik stop-loss levels set karna chahiye. Taknik indicators aur mahatvapurn levels par nazar banaye rakhna buniyadi hai sahi trading nirnay lene mein.