𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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Technical Analysis: AUD/USD

Hi all traders and speculators. Today, I’m sharing my technical analysis of the AUD/USD currency pair. Currently, the AUD/USD pair is trading at 0.6528. The dollar is exhibiting a bearish trend, largely due to the downward movement of the dollar index, which has caused the AUD/USD pair to move lower. The recent price action indicates that sellers are putting pressure on the market, pushing prices down.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently below 50, reflecting a bearish sentiment. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is trading below its midline, indicating bearish strength. Both the 20-period and 50-period exponential moving averages (EMAs) are pointing downward, which supports the view that AUD/USD might decline further in the coming days.

Chart Analysis:

On the weekly chart, the teal lines highlight major support levels where buyers are active, while the olive lines represent significant resistance levels where sellers are dominant. The key resistance level is at 0.6890. If the price manages to break above this level and sustain above it, there could be potential for new targets, such as 0.7411 and even 0.8004, which is a third-level resistance. Conversely, a critical support level is at 0.6185. If the price breaks below this level and holds, it might open the way to new targets like 0.5520 and 0.4832, which are third-level support zones. It's crucial to use a stop loss around these levels to protect your position.

Indicators Used:

• MACD Indicator: Helps identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index) Period 14: Measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating whether a currency pair is overbought or oversold.
• 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color Orange): Provides a smoothed average of the price over 50 days, highlighting medium-term trends.
• 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color Magenta): Offers a shorter-term perspective, showing more immediate trends.

Market Context:

The recent decline in the AUD/USD pair follows the release of trade balance data on Thursday, which showed a trade surplus in June that exceeded expectations but was still lower than the previous month’s figure. This, combined with the anticipated pause in interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), has put downward pressure on the AUD. Market sentiment has shifted towards the possibility of an RBA rate cut in November, which is a significant departure from the previous expectation of rate cuts in the following year. This shift reflects concerns about the potential negative impact of further rate hikes on Australia’s economic recovery.

Additionally, a weaker-than-expected Caixin Manufacturing PMI in China, Australia’s major trading partner, has further pressured the AUD. As China's economy significantly influences Australia's economic health, any slowdown in China’s economy can negatively impact Australia. Despite these challenges, the decline in the AUD against the USD may be limited, as the US dollar is also facing its own set of challenges following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates.

Technical Outlook:

From a technical standpoint, the AUD/USD pair is consolidating within a declining channel, suggesting a potential bearish bias. The immediate support is at the lower boundary of the channel, around 0.6500. If this level is breached, the price might further decline to 0.6470. On the upside, resistance is found at the upper boundary of the channel at 0.6555, with additional resistance levels at 0.6575 and the nine-day EMA at 0.6581. A decisive break above these levels could propel the AUD/USD towards its six-month high of 0.6798.

The 14-day RSI indicates a potential upward correction despite the overall downward trend. This suggests that while the current trend is bearish, there could be short-term opportunities for upward movement. Traders should be cautious and look for confirmation of trend reversals or continuation before making trading decisions.

Summary:

In conclusion, the Australian dollar is navigating a complex environment due to both domestic and external factors. The bearish trend in the AUD/USD pair is influenced by the RBA’s anticipated pause on interest rate hikes, weaker economic data from China, and overall market sentiment. Technically, the pair is in a declining channel, with immediate support at 0.6500 and resistance at 0.6555, 0.6575, and the nine-day EMA at 0.6581. Traders should closely monitor these levels and be prepared for potential short-term corrections. The broader trend remains bearish, but careful observation of market indicators and news events will be crucial for optimizing trading strategies.

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AUD/USD Technical Aur Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis:

June ke liye Australia ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) mein 3.8% ka izafa hone ki umeed hai, jo ke muddati inflation ko darshata hai. Doosri rubaai mein, CPI inflation ke 1% saalana dar se barhne ka andaza hai, jo ke pehle ke mukable mein dheema hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) 6 August ko apni monetary policy ka jaiza lene ke liye ikattha hoga. Is waqt, Australian Dollar (AUD) do mahine ke baad US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apne kamzor tareen darj par hai, jo ke continue hone wali kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

AUD/USD exchange rate global economic conditions aur commodity prices mein tabdeelion se kafi mutasir hota hai, khaaskar Australian exports jaise iron ore aur energy se related. RBA ki monetary policy aur interest rates ke faisle AUD ki value ko kaafi had tak tay karte hain. RBA policy mein hone wale koi bhi tabdeeliyan ya guidance, Australian Dollar par aham asar daal sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, US economic data, jese ke GDP figures aur Federal Reserve ke actions, aur global market sentiment bhi AUD/USD rate ko affect karte hain. China jese key partners ke sath trade dynamics, aur technical analysis of crucial support aur resistance levels bhi traders ke decisions mein madadgar hoti hain.

Technical Analysis for AUD/USD:

Abhi AUD/USD pair 0.6400 level par aham support test kar raha hai. Agar yeh support toot gaya, to yeh 0.6300 ki taraf aur girawat ka signal ho sakta hai. Resistance 0.6500 ke aas-paas hai, aur agar yeh level break ho jata hai to yeh 0.6600 ki taraf rally ka ishara kar sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold zone mein hai, jo ke short-term rebound ke mauqe darshata hai. Moving averages bearish trend dikhate hain, jo ke current downtrend ko reinforce karta hai. Traders ko in key levels ke aas-paas kisi bhi momentum shift ya breakout patterns ko dekhna chahiye trading signals ke liye.

In detailed points ka zikar karte hue, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke agar AUD/USD pair 0.6400 se neeche jata hai to 0.6300 ka area dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Iske ulta agar price 0.6500 ko break karke upar chali jaati hai to 0.6600 ki taraf movement ka potential hai. RSI ke oversold hone ki wajah se short-term rebounds ke chances hain, magar overall trend moving averages ke bearish indication se downtrend ko reinforce karta hai. Isliye, traders ko in levels ke aas-paas price movements aur technical indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake sahi trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Yeh market conditions aur technical indicators ke saath, fundamental analysis bhi kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. RBA ke policy decisions aur global economic events ko dekhna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh sab factors AUD/USD ke future movement ko directly affect kar sakte hain. Traders ko in sab cheezon ko samajhkar apni trading strategies ko update karna chahiye taake behtareen profits hasil kiye ja sakein aur risks ko effectively manage kiya ja sake.

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AUD/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart

AUD/USD H4: Australian Dollar - US Dollar

Heiken Ashi candlesticks, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ke readings ko study karne ke baad, hum keh sakte hain ke market ki current preference downtrend aur significant sell-off ki taraf hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator market ki current strength balance ko indicate karta hai, jo chart ke noise ko smooth karta hai aur trading decisions mein accuracy mein madad karta hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow lines) support aur resistance lines ko form karta hai, jo do-time smooth moving averages par based hota hai aur instrument ke movement ke current limits ko indicate karta hai.

RSI basement indicator ko Heiken Ashi ke sath combine karna effective results provide karta hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke pair ke chart par candles red ho chuki hain, jo bears ki preference ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ke upper limit (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur maximum point se bounce karte hue, middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai, kyunki iski curve down hai aur oversold levels ke nazdeek nahi hai. Is base par, hum conclude kar sakte hain ke price mark 0.64690 par profitable short sale transaction execute ki jaye, taake lower limit of the channel (red dotted line) tak pahuncha ja sake.

Hum sab jaante hain ke ye pair stagnant hai, aur trading ke liye thirty points bhi kaafi unpleasant ho sakte hain. Isliye, main is pair ke liye market se door reh raha hoon.

Technical Indicators Analysis:

1. Heiken Ashi Candlestick Indicator: Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator market ke current strength ko smooth karta hai aur noise ko kam karta hai, jo technical analysis aur trading decisions ko zyada accurate banata hai. Is indicator se market ki overall trend aur momentum ko samajhne mein madad milti hai.
2. TMA (Triangular Moving Average): TMA indicator price ke movement ko smooth karta hai aur support aur resistance levels ko define karta hai. Red, blue, aur yellow lines ke sath, TMA channel market ke movement ke limits ko indicate karta hai aur potential reversal points ko identify karta hai.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI indicator price ki overbought ya oversold conditions ko measure karta hai. Jab RSI curve down hota hai aur oversold levels se door hota hai, to ye sell signals ko confirm karta hai. Is waqt, RSI down trend ko confirm kar raha hai, jo short sell ke liye favorable conditions banata hai.

Chart Analysis:

AUD/USD ke chart par candles red ho gayi hain, jo bears ki dominance ko dikhata hai. Price ne TMA channel ke upper limit ko break kiya aur maximum point se bounce karte hue, middle line par wapas aayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi is downtrend ko confirm karta hai, jo sell signal ko support karta hai. Price mark 0.64690 par short sale transaction execute karke lower limit tak pahuncha ja sakta hai.

Ye bhi dekhne ki baat hai ke market stagnant hai aur trading ke liye thirty points bhi uncomfortable ho sakte hain. Isliye, current market conditions aur technical indicators ke base par, main is pair ke liye market se door rehna zyada behtar samajhta hoon.

Summary:

AUD/USD H4 time frame chart ke analysis se ye clear hai ke market abhi downtrend aur sell-off ki taraf move kar raha hai. Heiken Ashi aur TMA indicators support aur resistance levels ko clearly define karte hain, aur RSI indicator sell signals ko confirm karta hai. Price ke 0.64690 mark par short sale transaction execute karke, lower limit tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Lekin, stagnant market conditions ke bawajood, trading ke liye thirty points bhi problematic ho sakte hain. Isliye, main suggest karta hoon ke is pair ke liye market se door rehna better option hai.

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AUD/USD Market Analysis

Bazaar ka Jaiza:

Monday, 29 July ko Australian dollar (AUD) ne thodi si izafa dekha aur 0.02% barh kar $0.6548 tak pohnch gaya. Yeh izafa pichle Friday ko dekhe gaye $0.6510 ke nishan ke baad aaya. Ab bazaar ki nazar Australia ke dusre rubaahi inflaashan report par hai, jo Wednesday ko release hogi. Yeh report intehai ahem hai kyunki yeh yeh madad karegi samajhne mein ke kya inflaashan ke dabao se Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko August mein interest rates barhane ka faisla karna par sakta hai ya nahi.

Halaat ka Jaiza:

Inflaashan aur Interest Rates

Halaat ka jaiza le kar dekha jaye to bazaar mein ek ehtiyaat se bharosa hai ke RBA interest rate mein izafa kar sakti hai. Rate barhane ki sambhavanayein lagbhag 20% tak andaza lagayi ja rahi hain. Analysts aur economists khaaskar headline inflation aur core inflation metrics par dhyan de rahe hain. Core inflation, khaaskar trimmed mean year-on-year growth, 4.0% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh stability RBA par ziada dabao daal sakti hai ke woh monetary policy ko tighten kare.

Blair Chapman, jo ANZ Bank ke senior economist hain, keh rahe hain ke agar Consumer Price Index (CPI) RBA ke forecasts se thoda zyada bhi badhta hai to central bank kuch inflationary components ko nazar andaz kar sakti hai jo unki control se bahar hain. Isliye, RBA ki umeed hai ke woh apni August meeting mein overnight call rate ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhegi.

Rate Change ki Sambhavanayein

In haalaat ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke RBA August mein interest rates ko same rakhegi. Rate hike ki sambhavanayein kam nazar aati hain. Yeh sentiment yeh dikhata hai ke agar inflation thoda barhta hai to yeh sirf short-term mein AUD ko faida de sakta hai. Australian dollar ka broader trajectory Fed ke September mein rate cut ke stance par kaafi depend karega.

Technical Analysis:

Haali Performance

AUD/USD pair ki recent performance ne last week ke low se recovery ka signal diya hai. $0.6548 tak ka halka izafa traders ke beech ehtiyaat se bharosa ko darshata hai. Lekin, $0.6550 ke aas-paas ka resistance level abhi bhi ek crucial barrier hai jise pair ko breach karna hoga taake sustained upward movement ka signal mile.

Key Support aur Resistance Levels

• Support Levels: Immediate support AUD/USD pair ke liye $0.6510 ke aas-paas hai, jo pichle Friday ka low hai. Agar is level se niche girti hai to yeh further declines ke darwaze khol sakti hai, shayad psychological support $0.6500 tak.
• Resistance Levels: Upar ki taraf, pair $0.6550 par resistance face kar raha hai. Agar is level ko decisively break kiya jata hai to pair agle resistance level $0.6600 ko test kar sakta hai.

Future Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ka future outlook Australia se aane wale inflation data aur RBA ke agle steps par kaafi depend karega. Agar inflation report zyada barhti hai to yeh temporarily AUD ko upar uthaa sakta hai. Lekin, agar RBA zyada hawkish stance nahi leti to gains limited ho sakte hain.

Saath hi, US dollar ki strength bhi crucial role play karegi. Market participants Fed ke September mein policy direction ke signals ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar Fed rate cut ki taraf jata hai to USD kamzor ho sakta hai, jo AUD ko thoda support de sakta hai.

Nateejah:

AUD/USD currency pair abhi ek ehtiyaat se recovery phase mein hai, aur key economic data iski trajectory ko significantly influence karegi. Jabke Australian dollar resilience dikhata hai, iska sustained upward movement domestic inflation figures aur international monetary policy developments, khaaskar Fed se, par depend karega. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taake aane wale hafte mein informed decisions le sakein.

AUD/USD currency pair?





**AUD/USD Aur Uska Asar**
**Muqaddima:**

AUD/USD (Australian Dollar aur United States Dollar) ek bohot mashhoor currency pair hai jo forex market mein trading ke liye istemal hota hai. Yeh pair Australian aur American economies ke darmiyan direct relation ko zahir karta hai aur trading ke liye bohot se opportunities provide karta hai.

**Economic Indicators:**

AUD/USD ki value bohot se economic indicators se asar andaz hoti hai. In mein GDP growth, inflation rate, interest rates aur employment data shamil hain. Australia ke central bank, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), aur United States ke central bank, Federal Reserve, apni monetary policies ke zariye is pair ki value ko influence karte hain.

**Commodity Prices:**

Australia ek bara commodity exporter hai, is liye AUD/USD ki value commodity prices se closely linked hoti hai. Iron ore, coal aur gold jaise commodities ki prices barhati ya girti hain to Australian Dollar ki value bhi accordingly change hoti hai. Commodity prices global market sentiment aur demand ke basis par fluctuate karti hain.

**Interest Rate Differentials:**

AUD/USD ki trading mein interest rate differentials ka bhi bara role hai. Agar Australia ke interest rates zyada hote hain to AUD ki demand barh jati hai, aur agar US ke interest rates zyada hote hain to USD ki demand barh jati hai. Dono countries ke central banks ki monetary policies ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake is pair ke movements ko samjha ja sake.

**Technical Analysis:**

Technical analysis AUD/USD ki trading mein bohot important role play karta hai. Traders charts, indicators aur patterns ka istemal karte hain taake market trends aur price movements ko predict kar saken. Common tools jese ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur Fibonacci retracements ka istemal karte huye, traders short-term aur long-term trends ko identify karte hain.

**Market Sentiment:**

Market sentiment yani traders aur investors ke jazbat aur expectations bhi AUD/USD ki trading mein bohot important role play karte hain. Agar market ko lagta hai ke Australian economy strong hai to AUD ki demand barh jati hai. Wohi, agar US economy stable lagti hai to USD ki demand zyada hoti hai.

**Political Events:**

Political events aur policies bhi AUD/USD par asar dalte hain. Trade agreements, geopolitical tensions aur domestic policies ke changes AUD/USD ki value ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Australia aur United States ke political environment ko closely monitor karna traders ke liye faidemand ho sakta hai.

**Conclusion:**

AUD/USD trading forex market ka ek fundamental part hai. Is pair ki value ko samajhne ke liye economic indicators, commodity prices, interest rate differentials, technical analysis aur market sentiment ko analyze karna zaroori hai. Jo traders in tamam factors ko samajh kar trading karte hain, unke liye yeh pair bohot lucrative ho sakta hai.

**Hawalay:**

Economic news websites aur forex trading platforms bohot se updates aur analysis provide karte hain jo AUD/USD ki value ko samajhne mein madadgar hoti hain. Tradingview, Bloomberg aur Reuters kuch mashhoor sources hain jahan se up-to-date information mil sakti hai.

Australian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hota ja raha hai. Is girawat ka ek primary factor dono deshon ke economic performance mein divergence hai. Jabke US economy ne resilience dikhayi hai, Australia ek kamzor economy aur high inflation se joojh raha hai. Market expectations dramatic shift ka shikaar hui hain. Shuru mein, investors ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se interest rate hikes ki umeed rakhi thi taake inflation ko combat kiya ja sake. Lekin, economic conditions ke deteriorate hone ki wajah se, yeh expectations reverse ho gayi hain. Ab market RBA se potential interest rate cuts ki taraf lean karti hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Monetary policy outlook mein yeh shift AUD par negative impact daal raha hai. Technical indicators bearish outlook ko support karte hain. AUD/USD pair key moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Saath hi, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ko indicate karta hai, jo potential rebound ka hint deta hai. Magar, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab bhi bearish hai, jo continued downward pressure ko suggest karta hai.

Support aur resistance levels identify kiye gaye hain. AUD/USD pair ne 0.6480 ke level ke aas-paas support pa liya hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 0.6560-0.6570 range ke aas-paas expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar 0.6480 support ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to further declines ho sakti hain, jo shayad February ke low 0.6441 ya 2024 ke low 0.6363 tak test kar sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar 0.6560-0.6570 resistance ko sustained break milta hai, to higher levels ke liye recovery ka rasta khul sakta hai. Overall, Australian dollar ek challenging environment ka samna kar raha hai. Kamzor domestic economy aur interest rate cuts ki expectations currency par downward pressure daal rahi hain. Jabke short-term technical indicators oversold conditions suggest karte hain, broader trend ab bhi bearish hai. Traders ko caution baratni chahiye aur economic developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

AUD/USD Market Outlook
Subah bakhair sab ko!
AUD/USD par hum Thursday se selling scenario observe kar sakte hain. Market lagbhag 0.6548 zone tak pahunch gayi hai. Isliye, humein apna trading plan accordingly change karna hoga. AUD/USD market ko samajhna aur khud ko behtar banana successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. Forex market dynamic aur constantly evolving hai, aur aage rehne ke liye learning aur adapting ka commitment zaroori hai. Kitabein padhna, webinars attend karna, aur reputable sources of market analysis follow karna latest trends aur strategies se updated rehne mein madad kar sakta hai. Trading journal rakhna bhi faidemand ho sakta hai, jismein hum apne trades record karein, performance analyze karein, aur improvement ke areas identify karein. Traders ke liye apni emotions ko effectively manage karna bhi important hai. Fear aur greed do common emotions hain jo hamari judgment ko cloud kar sakti hain aur poor trading decisions ki taraf le ja sakti hain. Fear humein trades ko prematurely exit karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jisse potential profits miss ho sakte hain, jabki greed positions ko zyada der tak hold karne ka risk badha sakti hai, jo losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Ek disciplined approach maintain karna aur trading plan par stick karna humein in emotions ko manage karne aur rational, informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai.
Waise, AUD/USD currency pair ko trade karna significant profit potential offer karta hai due to its popularity aur strong market dynamics. Filhaal, AUD/USD ke buyers stable dikh rahe hain, jo favorable technical aur fundamental analyses se supported hain. Australian aur United States ke news data se lagta hai ke Australian dollar ke value significant loss ka samna nahi karegi near term mein, jo bullish outlook ko further support karta hai. Overall, ek well-defined trading plan develop karna zaroori hai jo short-term aur long-term market trends ko consider kare. Daily aur weekly charts market ke direction ke valuable insights provide karte hain, aur technical analysis ko fundamental analysis ke sath combine karke trading decisions ko enhance kiya ja sakta hai. Risk management strategies, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur predetermined levels par profits lena, capital ko protect karne aur losses minimize karne ke liye crucial hain.
Khush rahiye aur mehfooz rahiye!rahiy

AUD/USD taknik taqseem

Sideways trading ke bawajood, keemat ne dono umeed afza price channels aur haftawar pivot level ko tor diya. Is haftay, trading ne umeed afza price channels ke andar khulayi, jo peechlay do hafton mein keemat ke movement ki disha darust karte hain, lekin is haftay keemat ka rukh neeche ki taraf badal sakta hai. Keemat haftawar support level 0.6510 ki taraf hai, jo aglay rukh ka faisla karega. Agar keemat is level se support milta hai aur phir neeche laut aati hai, to sasti retest pattern ka kamyabiya hoga. Agar keemat haftawar pivot level par laut aati hai aur phir neeche girti hai, to isay neeche ka trend samjha jaa sakta hai.





Pichlay do dinon mein, keemat ek price nucleus ke andar chali gayi hai jo ek umeed afza trend ke saath hai, aaj keemaat ke movement ko darust karte hue. Keemat ne din ke shuru mein support hasil kiya lekin price channels ke darmiyan ki line se resistance mili, aur ab keemat price channels ki darmiyan ki line dwaar trading kar rahi hai. Isi liye, keemat keemat neeche ke channel lines tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai pehle hi keemat upar laut aaye. Jodi mein pair ko trade karne ke do tareeqe hain. Pehle haal mein, keemat price channels ke neeche girati hai aur phir upar lautkar wapas upar aa jaati hai, bullish price action banati hai. Is haal mein aap middle line of the channels tak khareed sakte hain. Jab keemat barhti hai aur aakhri price peak ke upar trading karti hai, isay ye samajh mein aata hai ke uptrend laut aaya hai. Maaliyat ke hawale se, 0.6615 ka jazbati rukawat aik qabil-e-muqarrar nishana banega bullish keemat TAA/USD mein agar investors yen chhod dein jab tak japani mojooda mojooda tijarat mein had daltay hue japani currency barbaad hone se rok dein.

AUD/USD H4 TIME FRAME CHART.

AUD/USD

Assalam-o-Alaikum! AUD/USD Currency Pair Chart. American dollar ke izafa ke imkanat tezi se ghaib ho rahe hain. Sirf agar Middle East mein tensions mazeed serious conflict mein badal jate hain, jo ke mamoolan naummeed hai, to shayad ham kuch zyada huteelgi dekh sakte hain? Magar, mai samajhta hoon ke aane wale trading haftay ke liye pair ko 0.64797-0.65104 ke support zone se khareedne par tawajjo dena laayak hai aur intezar karna hai ke keemat 0.65927 ki resistance ki taraf chali jaye. Mai samajhta hoon ke Australian dollar ne pichle hafton mein mazbooti se bikri ki hai. Ab uske liye aik azeem mauqah hai ke taraqqi dikhaye, chahe wo sirf pichle giravat se aik dheema utaar hai. Shakhsan, mai hawaala dekhna ka irada karta hoon aur tayyari hai market mein shamil ho jane ke liye agar mai ye idea dekhu. Mai samajhta hoon ke AUD/USD behtareen nataij dikha sakta hai, khaaskar agar dollar girne ke silsile jaari rahe. Jald, mai umeed karta hoon ke Australian currency ke liye rujhan barhega. Ye isliye ke bohot se traders apne portfolios ko diversify karne ke liye moqa talash kar rahe hain aur Australian dollar aik dilchasp option ban sakta hai. Khaaskar tasleem karte hue ke Australia apni ma'ashi position ko barqarar rakh sakti hai aur US aur dosre mumalik mein darakhton ke brabar girao dikhakar taraqqi dikhane ki sakti hai.




AUD/USD D1 TIME FRAME CHART.

AUD/USD

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Mujhe lagta hai ke ham ab tak Fibonacci grid ke rozana chart par 161.8 ka ultimate maqsad nahi pohanch paaye hain. Beshak, sab kuch ke ilawa, hamain dobara dakhil hone ka moqa diya gaya, correction bohot ahem thi, pehli baar 0.6570 tak, jis ke baad ham ne 90 points giraya, ye fans ko dilchasp lagna chahiye. To agle haftay me ham ummeed karte hain ke keemat 0.6435 tak giraygi, matlab wo kam se kam 70 points hui jaye gi mojooda se bina InstaForex spread ke size ko ginte hue. Intezarivart pivots sirf hamen yeh dikhayenge ke hum kis had tak kaam karein ge. Kal subah mai is par zyada tawajoh denay ki koshish karunga. Bunyadiyat ke mutabiq, ma'ashi calendar mein sirf USA se teen star category wale waqiyat darj hain, 16:45 aur 17:00 - "Purchasing Managers' Index for Non-Manufucturing Sector and Business Activity Index Services Sector". Australia se koi dilchasp peshkash nahi hai.

Australian dollar US dollar ke khilaaf kamzor hota ja raha hai. Is giravat ka aham sabab dono mumalik ke ma'ashi performance mein farq hai. Jab ke US ki ma'ashiyat ne samat dikhayi, wahan Australia ek kamzor ma'ashi aur buland inflation ka samna kar raha hai. Market ki tawajjo mein shiddat se tabdeeli aayi hai. Shuruaat mein, investors Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke zariye inflation ka muqabla karne ke liye interest rate hikes ka intezar kar rahe the. Magar, ma'ashi shara'it mein tabahi hone ke bais, ye umeedein palat gayi hain. Market ab RBA ke zariye ma'ashi taraqqi ke liye potential interest rate cuts ki taraf lean karta hai. Monetary policy outlook mein yeh tabdeeli AUD par mufsid asar dalti hai. Technical indicators aik bearish outlook ko support karte hain. AUD/USD pair ahem moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke aik neeche ki taraf ki trend ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ko zahir karta hai, jo ke aik potential rebound ki ishara hai. Magar, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab bhi bearish hai, jo ke continued downward pressure ko darust karta hai.





Support aur resistance levels pehchaney gaye hain. AUD/USD pair ne 0.6480 level ke qareeb support dhoondha hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 0.6560-0.6570 range ke qareeb expect ki jati hai. 0.6480 support ke nichay giravat aage ja sakti hai, shayad February low 0.6441 ya 2024 low 0.6363 ko bhi test kare. Mutasir tor par, 0.6560-0.6570 resistance ke neeche barqarar giravat ke liye raasta khol sakta hai. Overall, Australian dollar ek mushkil mahol ka samna kar raha hai. Kamzor ghareli ma'ashi, sath hi interest rate cuts ki umeed, currency par neeche dabaav dal rahe hain. Jab ke short-term technical indicators oversold conditions ki isharaat dete hain, bara trend ab bhi bearish hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur ma'ashi tabadlay ko qareeb se nazarandaz karna chahiye.

Australian dollar US dollar ke khilaf kamzori ka samna kar raha hai. Is giravat ka aik bunyadi sabab dono mumalik ke ma'ashi performance mein farq hai. Jabke US ki ma'ashi ne samar jatayi hai, wahan Australia ek kamzor ma'ashi aur buland inflation se joojh raha hai. Market ke matwazan intezamiat ne tabdeeli ka samna kya hai. Shuru mein, investors ne Austrlia ke Reserve Bank (RBA) ke zariye inflation ko khatam karne ke liye interest rate hikes ka intezar kiya tha. Magar, ma'ashi shara'iton mein tabahi hone ke bais, in umeedon ka ulta ho gaya hai. Market ab ma'ashi taraqqi ke liye RBA ke zariye potential interest rate cuts ki taraf mael ho raha hai. Yeh monetary policy outlook mein tabdeeli AUD par manfi asar dalti hai. Technical indicators aik bearish outlook ko support karte hain. AUD/USD pair ahem moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke aik neeche ki taraf ki trend ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ko zahir karta hai, jis se ke aik potential recovery ka ishaara milta hai. Magar, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab bhi bearish hai, jis se ke continued downward pressure ka ishara hota hai.






Support aur resistance levels paikar kiye gaye hain. AUD/USD pair ne 0.6480 level ke qareeb support dhoondha hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 0.6560-0.6570 range ke qareeb expect ki jati hai. 0.6480 support ke nichay giravat aage ja sakti hai, shayad February low 0.6441 ya phir 2024 low 0.6363 ko bhi test kare. Umgeern, 0.6560-0.6570 resistance ke barabar se break aik recovery ke raaste ko khol sakta hai. Yani, Australian dollar ek challenging mahol ka samna kar raha hai. Kamzor ghareli ma'ashi, saath hi interest rate cuts ki umeed, currency par neeche dabaav dal rahe hain. Jabke chand short-term technical indicators oversold conditions ki isharaat dete hain, bara trend ab bhi bearish hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratna chahiye aur ma'ashi tabadlay ko qareeb se nazarandaz karna chahiye.

AudUsd Market Analysis
4 August, 2024

Chaliye market trend ko peechle teen hafton ke liye nazaraandaz karen, yeh behtar taur par kamzor lag raha hai. Lagta hai ke bechne wale se taqatwar dabao hai, jo ke keemat ko kamzor kar raha hai. Yahan main market ke liye aik raye shamil karna chahta hoon, agar main is haftay ke price movement pattern ko dekhoon, to lagta hai ke market ab bhi neeche ja raha hai, halaanki thori upar ki correction hai. To meri raye hai ke agle haftay ke price ko ab bhi wapas bearish side ki taraf le jane ki koshish ki jayegi jaise peechle haftay mein dekha gaya tha, jisme kal dikha gaya ke bechne wale hain jo candlestick ko 0.6786 ke uchit zone se neeche le ja sakte hain.
Ab price position 0.6512 area tak gir gaya hai, candlestick position ab bhi ke simple moving average zone ke neeche daure hue hai jisme 100 ka dor hai, jo ke bara time frame mein bearish trend ka jari rakhne ki nishaani hai. Agli haftay ke market scenario ke liye, mujhe lagta hai hum ab sirf price ko phir se neeche jane ke liye intezar kar rahe hain tak ke Sell trading signal mil jaye. Ho sakta hai ke bechne wale price ko ek neeche area tak le jane aur simple moving average zone of period 100 se aur door le jane ki koshish karen. Agar main mojooda price movement ko dekhta hoon to woh bearish ki taraf ja raha hai, mujhe lagta hai ke market phir se bechne wale ke asar mein hoga aur dobara girne ke moqa hain taake ke price zone 0.6471 ko test kiya jaye kyunke hisaab se aur technical tahlil ke mutabiq price movement apne safar ko Downtrend side ki taraf jari rakh sakti hai.

Trading Recommendation: SELL (4-Hour Chart)





Position opening strategy:

Agar AudUsd pair ki price movement ek 4 ghante ka time frame istemal kar ke dekha jaye to yeh sach mein ek market trend ki taraf nazar aata hai jo Downtrend side ki taraf ja raha hai. Agar peechle mahine ke candlestick movement ki mukhtas sighting is mahine tak girne ki taraf lagati hai, to ho sakta hai ke price phir se aur neeche gir sakta hai taake baad mein opportunities ko jari rakha jaye ki aage bearish side ki taraf ja sake. Aik ideal area trading position khola jaye woh karib 0.6476 ke aas paas hai, shayad bechne wale ka maqsiad 0.6427 zone ke aas paas hai, is liye trading period ke agle haftay mein hum opportunities dhoond sakte hain ke trend direction ke mutabiq position khola jaye.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
A U D / U S D
Subah bakhair. Humara maqsad aaj ke future AUD/USD ke price movement ka andaza lagana hai. Agar hum is time frame par dekhein, to buyers ne price ko 0.6800 level tak barhaaya, uske baad bears ne initiative li. Pichle kuch hafton se, AUD/USD ne mazboot bearish momentum dikhaya hai aur USA Dollars ke khilaaf kamzor dikh raha hai jo saaf tor par dikhata hai ke AUD/USD USA Dollar ke khilaaf larai kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ne ek downtrend ki mojoodgi dikhayi hai; isliye, ane wale haftay mein hamare pair ke quotes ki girawat jaari rahegi behad mumkin hai. Wahi pe, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ek movement support level ki taraf dikhata hai, yeh US currency ki kamzori ke favo me signal deti hai. Moving averages negative nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke sellers ke liye aik musbat nishaani hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bari faida mandi rakhte hain aur prices ko kafi had tak kam karne ki potention ko rakh sakte hain.






AUD/USD ke minor resistance level hai 0.6586. Agar market price 0.6586 resistance ko trend line par tor de, to market price ko doosre level of resistance tak barhna mumkin hai. Resistance ko torne ke baad, price barhne ki sambhavna hai major resistance ki taraf chali jaye. Is liye, main is resistance level ko target karta hoon, umeed karta hoon ke market price kuch dinon mein main resistance level tak barh jaye. Dosri taraf, main bearish target ko dekhta hoon jise 0.6481 ke support level ke retest ke roop mein liya ja sakta hai. Agla support level hai 0.6371 jo ke 2nd level of support hai. Uske baad, agar market is support level ko tor de, to market lagatar neeche ki taraf chala jayega. Abhi, AUD/USD Price 0.6275 par band hui hai isliye yeh acchi sambhavna hai ke AUD/USD ko bechne ka acha mauka ho.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

AUD/USD currency pair signs diha rahi hai ke support level 0.652445 ki taraf girne ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke overall bearish trend ke zahir hone ke bawajood mumkin hai. Yeh neeche ki manzil ka rasta traders ke liye focus pe lane ki ishara deti hai. Hum H1 (ek ghante ka) chart ko AUD/USD trading instrument ke liye dekhte rahenge taake potential entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakein.

Maujooda waqt mein, AUD/USD ki qeemat 0.65359 par hai. Fori support level 0.6525 par hai, jo traders ke liye aham nazar aata hai. Agar qeemat is support level ko tode, to yeh bearish momentum ko tasdeeq karega aur mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Momentum indicator bhi sell ki ishara de raha hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko taqwiyat deta hai.

Is scenario mein, agar qeemat 0.653621 level ko tode, to yeh agle ahem support level 0.65631 ki taraf girawat ek trigger ban sakta hai. Yeh harkat mojooda bearish trend ke mutabiq hogi, chhoti positions ke liye acha mahol faraham karne wali. Traders ko is potential move se faida uthane ke liye tayyar hona chahiye aur apne entry points ko 0.653621 level ke thode neeche set karne chahiye.

Qeemat amal aur Momentum indicator ko H1 chart pe barqarar dekhte rahna zaroori hai. Indicator sakti aur trend ke rukh ke bare mein qeemti maloomat faraham karta hai, jo traders ko aqalmand faislon par amal karne mein madad deta hai. Agar qeemat mazeed 0.653621 level ke neeche rukti rahe, to yeh bearish trend ko mazeed tasdeeq degi, jabke koi uljhane ya uthal puthal se upar ki harkat se heedat se nazar leni chahiye.

Risk ko manage karne ke liye, traders ko ghaayab hone ke mukhtalif moqay ke liye 0.653621 level ke thode se oopar stop-loss orders rakhne ki ghoor kar leni chahiye. Is ke ilawa, faida order near 0.65631 expected support level ke pass set kiya ja sakta hai taake faida ho jab qeemat is nishaan tak pohnchti hai.

Ikhtisar mein, AUD/USD pair saaf bearish trend dikha raha hai, maujooda qeemat 0.65359 par hai aur support level 0.652445 ki taraf munaqasam girne ki sambhavna hai. Momentum indicator ek sell signal sujhata hai, jisse traders ko selling opportunities par focus karne ki zarurat hai. 0.653621 level ke neeche girne ka matlab hai ke mazeed girawat ki taraf le ja sakti hai, 0.65631 support level ko target kar rahi hai. H1 chart aur Momentum indicator ko kareeb se dekhte hue traders munasib entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakte hain, risk ko mufeed taur par manage kar sakte hain, aur AUD/USD pair mein mojooda bearish trend se faida utha sakte hain.

Australian dollar ne ikhtalafi performance dikhayi hai, ek temporary relief in nuqsaan ke baad jab ek positve Producer Price Index (PPI) report aaya. Magar, bazaar mein jaaney waley ehmiyat rakhtey US labor market data ke nazdeek hone ke baad baaqi rehne wale sentiment mein ihtiyaat barqarar hai, jo ke highly anticipated non-farm payrolls report ke shamil hain. Australian dollar ki rasta chal mein halankey nidar hai hal mein aye economic indicators ne mazeed maslaat paida kiye hain. Jabke expected se zyada taqatwar PPI ki reading ne thori muddat tak support faraham kiya, pehle jari maazi ki kamzor Q2 inflation data ne RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) dawar interest rate hike ke liye umeedein kam kar di hain. Bazaar mein sentiment ka yeh tabadla Australian dollar par neeche ki pressure barha diya hai, investors ab ek possible rate cut ko November se pehle shamil kar rahe hain. Muttarif US dollar ne mukhtalif factors se support paya hai. Haal hi mein manufacturing aur rozi data ne Amreeki maeeshat ke barhey howe challenges ko izhaar diya hai, jo risk avoidance ko majboot kiya aur dollar ko mazboot kiya. Jabke bazaar ke hissedar ek slow hone waale US maeeshat ki imkaan ka muqabla kar rahe hain, Federal Reserve rate cut ke umeidat ko taqwiyat bakhshi gayi hai.





AUD/USD pair ki rohani mansooba bandi ek descending channel ke andar trading kar raha hai, jisse ek bearish khayal hai. Jabke RSI oversold levels ki taraf barh rahi hai, jo aik rebound ka potential dikhata hai, fori resistance levels 0.6530 aur 0.6555 pe upar ki movement ko rok sakte hain. Ek barqarar toorna "rebound support turned resistance" level 0.6575 pe ek barqarari toorna ki zaroorat hai jo overall sentiment ko badal sake aur ek six-month high ko target kar sake. Aakhri taur par, AUD/USD pair mukhtalif forces ke darmayan phansa hua hai. Jabke Australian dollar ne kuch himmat dikhayi hai, bazaar ke aam peecheydah aur rohani indicators ek ihtiyaat se bhari nazar shigar karte hain. Traders ko agley US economic data aur RBA policy decisions ko mufeed market-moving changes ke liye nazdeek se dekhte rehna chahiye.