𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Aud/usd

Dollar ka iqtedar kuch dair baad ke ek din Federal Reserve System ke kai numaindun ne ghosna ki ke is saal refinancing dar mein teen kamiyan shamil karne ka tayyar hain. Aur aaj ke Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic ke bayan ke mutabiq, jo ke refinancing dar mein kisi bhi kami ko is saal ke ikhtitam tak talti ki zarurat hai, main American dollar mein wapas nahi ja sakta. Lagta hai ke is marhale par Federal Reserve System ke andar qareebi mustaqbil mein kis qisam ki maali siasi ko amal mein laaya jaaye ga, is par koi ittefaq nahi hai. Char ghante ke chart par, daāmon ne zard harkat wāpisi ki aur 0.6529 ke resistance level tak nahi pahunch paye. Aam tor par, hālāt kuch uncertain hain.

Nazar daur Australian dollar-US dollar jodi par char ghante ke chart par hai. Pehle yeh jodi ek safed rectangle mein trade kar rahi thi, ya'ni ke tajawuz ke data jaari hone se pehle, maine samjha ke jodi is mein trade kar rahi hogi. Magar jaise hi pata chala, jodi ne is range ko chhod diya aur unchaayion ki taraf chali gayi, yeh level 0.66530 hai. Phir se, tajawuz ke data jaari hue, wohi level nikla, maine samjha ke jodi is safed range mein lautegi. Hum dekhte hain ke jodi ne is safed range mein laut gayi hai. Phir se, Federal Reserve System ke taqreer par, jodi oopar chali gayi, maine yeh maana ke yeh izaafi izaafat nahi hai. Wajah yeh hai ke tajawuz, phir se, jodi ko barhne ki ijaazat nahi deti. Yeh ab bhi meri umeed ke mutabiq range mein wapas aayi hai, phir se yahan farokht karne wala volume barh raha hai, main yeh samjhta hoon ke jodi range ke neeche had tak jaayegi, yeh hai support 0.64673.

Aud/usd

Dollar ka iqtedar kuch dair baad ke ek din Federal Reserve System ke kai numaindun ne ghosna ki ke is saal refinancing dar mein teen kamiyan shamil karne ka tayyar hain. Aur aaj ke Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic ke bayan ke mutabiq, jo ke refinancing dar mein kisi bhi kami ko is saal ke ikhtitam tak talti ki zarurat hai, main American dollar mein wapas nahi ja sakta. Lagta hai ke is marhale par Federal Reserve System ke andar qareebi mustaqbil mein kis qisam ki maali siasi ko amal mein laaya jaaye ga, is par koi ittefaq nahi hai. Char ghante ke chart par, daāmon ne zard harkat wāpisi ki aur 0.6529 ke resistance level tak nahi pahunch paye. Aam tor par, hālāt kuch uncertain hain.

Nazar daur Australian dollar-US dollar jodi par char ghante ke chart par hai. Pehle yeh jodi ek safed rectangle mein trade kar rahi thi, ya'ni ke tajawuz ke data jaari hone se pehle, maine samjha ke jodi is mein trade kar rahi hogi. Magar jaise hi pata chala, jodi ne is range ko chhod diya aur unchaayion ki taraf chali gayi, yeh level 0.66530 hai. Phir se, tajawuz ke data jaari hue, wohi level nikla, maine samjha ke jodi is safed range mein lautegi. Hum dekhte hain ke jodi ne is safed range mein laut gayi hai. Phir se, Federal Reserve System ke taqreer par, jodi oopar chali gayi, maine yeh maana ke yeh izaafi izaafat nahi hai. Wajah yeh hai ke tajawuz, phir se, jodi ko barhne ki ijaazat nahi deti. Yeh ab bhi meri umeed ke mutabiq range mein wapas aayi hai, phir se yahan farokht karne wala volume barh raha hai, main yeh samjhta hoon ke jodi range ke neeche had tak jaayegi, yeh hai support 0.64673.

AUD/USD H-4 Timeframe:

Ek halkay tabdili ke saath guzara gaya aur hum daryaft kar sakte hain ke ye mazeed barh sakta hai. 0.66395 ke local high ko tor kar is ke ooper ek behtareen khareedari ka moqa ho sakta hai. Market mein kaafi sare khareedaron ke mojood hain. Jab mubadala 0.65155 ilaqe tak pohanchta hai, jaise is surat mein hai, to ek maqbool signal saamne aata hai; 0.6665 ke doran thori correction ho sakti hai phir mazeed barhne ka silsila jari ho sakta hai. Agar tabdeeliyan ki jaati hain, to barhawazari jaari ho sakti hai. Market ne kafi had tak durusti ki hai, is liye humein apni khareedari barhani chahiye. Humein dekhna chahiye ke kya local top ilaqa 0.6725 ko tor kar us ke ooper isteqraar hai taake aur khareedari ki ja sake. 0.6800 ke local high ke ooper tor kar us ke ooper isteqraar ka ek badiya signal mazeed khareedari ke liye hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein dilchaspi barhegi, jo khareedne ka ek masla ho ga. Agar ek halki correction south ki taraf milti hai, to behtareen hai ke keemat ko mazeed buland kiya jaaye. 0.6610 ilaqa mein aik breakout aur isteqraar mumkin hai, jo ek behtareen khareedari ka moqa hoga. Nazaar hai ke thori correction ke baad south ki taraf umeed hai. Jaise hi hum 0.65630 ke ooper tor gaye, humein jari raftar dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Mozu'ati Surat-e-Haal of AUD/USD:

Ye mustaqil urooj dikhata hai, jo buland raftar ko torr kar is ne pehla rukawat tor diya. Pair hal moqa par 0.6800 par trading kar raha hai, jaise ke taaza maloomat ke mutabiq. Mumkinah barhne ke tajziyat ke liye classic Pivot levels ke rukawaton par tawajjo di jaati hai. Umeed hai ke is ke mojooda darjaat se mustaqil barhati rafter jari rahegi, jo shayad doosre resistance level 0.6837 se aage badhne ka rasta khol sakti hai. AUD/USD ke musbat trend mein dikhaye gaye suboot bazaar mein saandhon ka mazboot iqtidar dikhata hai, jo saandhon ke zor se ek ahem dhakka hai. Is currency pair ke andar mumkinah moqaon ke talash mein traders aur investors ke liye pehla resistance level ke ooper isteqraar mazeed buland rafter ke liye ek bunyadi kehl deta hai. Is buland raftaar ke ek barey context mein kuch factors is barhne ke liye zimmedar hain.

AUDUSD

Muntazir Bartari Mai Bharat Ki Naukri Ki Sharah Mein Izafa: Yeh tawaqqu' kiya jata hai ke March mein neeche ki taraf se Australia mein be-rozgar ki sharah mein izafa ho. Ma'ashiyat danon ko thora sa izafa-e-naukri ki umeed hai, jo haal hi mein musbat nishanat ke bawajood jaari mazid mazdoori ke masail ki nishaan dahi hai. Ek numaya February ke baad, jahan mazdoori mein aik ahem izafa dekha gaya, momentum ka tawaqqu' hai ke March mein kam ho ga. Naukri ki tabdeeli ke figures peechle maheenay se mukablay mein kamzor nazar aayenge. Iss doran, AUD/USD jodi mein ek durusti dikhayi gayi hai, jo ke Aussie dollar ko uske US ke mukhaleef taqaat ke muqable mein waqtan-fa-waqt mazboot kar rahi hai. Magar, analysts ki tanbeeh hai ke yeh rukh bechne ke uchay darjat par urs-e-uz-zaman ke liye bear traders ke liye aik moqa faraham kar sakta hai. Australia, doosray mumalik ki tarah, COVID-19 ke paidawar asraat ke mazmi muzakirat se guzar raha hai. Jab ke February se mazboot mazdoori data ke chand aasaar hain, musibatain ahal hain jabke mulk aalam-e-aara ka mukhtalif asraat mein apna rasta tay karta hai. Australia ke hakoomat aur policy makers karobar ko barhawa dene, nokriyon ki paidawari ko farogh denay aur ma'ashi behtar-faroghat ko asaan banane ke maqasid ke tajwezat jaari karti hain. Magar, aglay rukh ke saath saath ghum hai, jabke bimari ka rasta aur iske asraat aam maashi dynamics par numayan challenges ke tor par darust hain. Jab March ka data samne aaye ga, to ma'ashi danon aur analysts ne be-rozgar ki sharah aur mazdoori mein tabdeeli ke metrics ko qareebi tor par jayein ge takay ma'ashi manzar ko tajziya kiya jaye. Takhliqat se koi farq expectations se ho sakta hai jo ke ma'ashi policy ke faislon aur investor khasosan ke ma'ashi faislon par asar daal sakta hai.

Technikal Tahlil & Tijarat Ka Plan: Australia ke dollar ko khaas farokht dabao ka samna hai, haal ki tabdeelion mein ek rozana support daraje ka 0.6448 ke neeche tor nazar aaraha hai. Magar, aik aham tajwez yeh hai ke agla support daraja qareeb 0.6402 par hai, jo ke is currency pair ke rukh ke palatne ki mumkinah shanakht hai. Support daraja torne ke baad, aik bullish mom saamne aaya hai daily chart par, jo ke qeemat mein aik upri harkat ka izhar karta hai. Halankay, qeemat upri rukh par hai, magar ehmiyat rakhta hai ke pehle tora hua darja 0.6448 ab resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Investors aur traders is resistance darje ko qareebi tor par nigaah mein rakhte hain, jahan se qeemat issay guzar jaye gi woh kharidari ke orders dakhil karenge. Magar, agar AUD/USD jodi resistance par inkar ka samna kare aur 0.6400 daraja ke neeche gir jaye, to traders aur investors apna tawajju madan kharidari positions ko shuru karne ki taraf tabdeel kar sakte hain.

Asal mein, Australian dollar tezi se farokht dabao mein safar kar raha hai, halke taluqat ko dekhte huey jahan market participants trading ke mumkinah moqaat ke liye ahem support aur resistance darajat ko qareeb se dekh rahe hain. Iss currency pair ke dynamics jari rahenge, mukhtalif ma'ashi factors aur market sentiment ke asraat se mutasir. Traders aur investors mustaid rahen ge, naye trends ko AUD/USD exchange rate mein paish aane par mustaqbil mein faida uthane ke liye tayar.

AUD/USD

Wednesday ko forokht karne wale logon ke dabao ka shikar rahne ke baad, AUDUSD ne sikhna shuru kiya hai keh chalna, haala'nkeh yeh ab bhi mushkil hai. Iska matlab hai ke kharidne wale ab market par dominate karne lage hain. Magar, sirf thora sa waqt baqi hai jab tak mombati SBR ilaqa tak pohanch jaye jo phir se neeche ja sakta hai. Ab AUDUSD apne aap ko 0.6440 par trade kar raha hai. Nazdik tareen support se hisaab lagaya jaye to yeh yeh matlab hai ke AUDUSD kuch 45 pips ke qareeb uth chuka hai. Izafa tab shuru hua jab mombati 0.6395 ilaqa tak pohanch gayi.

Agar H1 time frame se tajziya kiya jaye, to asal mombati ka maqam demand ilaqa par jo ke 0.6363 ke qeemat par hai abhi tak poori tarah se nahi chua. Jab tak hum wahan pohanchte hain, tab tak AUDUSD pehle se upar chala gaya hai. Mujhe shak hai ke aaj bhi AUDUSD kaam ke jari rakhne ka koi moqa hai. Magar lagta hai ke yeh lamba nahi chale ga kyun ke demand ilaqa ko sirf 70 pips ke bachte hain. Main gues karta hoon ke jab AUDUSD 0.6463 ke qeemat par pohanchega, to phir harkat phir se gir jaye gi aur H1 par sab se ahem support ko phir se faash kare ga jo ke 0.6394 ke qeemat par hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se tajziya kiya jaye, to mombati ka maqam pehle se tenkan sen aur kijun lines ke upar hai. Yeh indicator waqtan-fa-waqt signal deta hai ke AUDUSD abhi bhi barhne wala hai. AUDUSD currency pair SBR ilaqa tak jo ke 0.6460 ke qeemat par hai abhi bhi barhe ga. Shayad is ke baad, tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines phir se milti julti ho jayengi.

Dusri taraf se, stochastic indicator se, line sirf thora sa hi door hai ke level 80 ko chue, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke haalat jald hi overbought ho jaye gi. Haala'nkeh hum jante hain ke AUDUSD ka izafa abhi tak chhota hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke mera gues sahi ho sakta hai, ke jab yeh 0.6460 ke qeemat par pohanchega, to harkat neeche ho jayegi.

To aaj ka inhasar yeh hai keh haala'nkeh AUDUSD uth chuka hai, main guzishta hai ke jald hi, AUDUSD apni girawat jari rakhe ga kyun ke SBR ilaqa chhu lena baqi hai. Is ke ilawa, demand ilaqa 0.6340 ke qeemat par ab tak bilkul nahi chhua gaya hai is liye main dosto ko mashwara deta hoon ke woh sirf ek bech position kholne ki koshish karen kyun ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Nishana mamooli tor par qareebi support par rakh sakte hain jo ke 0.6353 ke qeemat par hai aur stop loss ko qareebi resistance par 0.6503 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain.

AUD/USD ka trading manzar ab bech wale rukh par mabni hai, jahan bechne wale market ki jazbat par qaboo rakhte hain. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke is trend ko anjaani khabron ke achanak hone wale waqiyat se jald az jald khatam kiya ja sakta hai, jo market ka rukh foran badal saktay hain. Is liye, AUD/USD jodi ka mukammal jaiza karne ke liye technical indicators aur bunyadi idaray ka tajziya zaroori hai.

Technical analysis mein mukhtalif technical indicators ka istemal kiya jata hai, jaise ke moving averages, oscillators, aur trend lines, market mein patterns aur trends ka pehchan karne ke liye. AUD/USD trading ke case mein, technical indicators mojooda bech wale rukh ki taqat ya kamzori ko dikhate hain. For example, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bech wale mukammal rukh ki momentum ka tajziya karne ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Ek barhta hua manfi MACD histogram zyada bechne ki dabao ko zahir kar sakta hai, jabke ek tang honay wala histogram trend ki kamzori ka ishara de sakta hai.

Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) market ki overbought ya oversold shiraa'at par idara faraham kar sakta hai. Agar RSI 30 se neeche gir jaye, to yeh oversold shiraa'at ko zahir kar sakta hai, mojooda bech wale rukh mein palat ya waqtan-fa-waqt thamne ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, price charts par khinchay gaye trend lines asooli levels of support aur resistance ka pehchan karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain, jo ke qeemat ke harkat ka potential rukh samajhne ke liye ahem hote hain. Agar AUD/USD jodi ek khaas resistance level ke upar bar-bar kamyab nahin hoti, to yeh mojooda bech wale rukh ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Magar, sirf technical analysis kaafi nahi hoti. Fundamental analysis, jo ke ma'ashi indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur doosre macroeconomic factors ka tajziya shamil karta hai, barabar ahem hoti hai. AUD/USD jodi ke case mein, fundamental factors jaise ke Australia aur United States ke darmiyan interest rate farq, ma'ashi data releases (jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation rates), aur geopolitical tensions market ki jazbat aur rukh par asar andaaz ho sakte hain.

Misal ke tor par, agar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aik dovish monetary policy stance ki alaamat deti hai, jo ke Australia dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur bechne walon ko madad faraham kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD

Wednesday ko forokht karne wale logon ke dabao ka shikar rahne ke baad, AUDUSD ne sikhna shuru kiya hai keh chalna, haala'nkeh yeh ab bhi mushkil hai. Iska matlab hai ke kharidne wale ab market par dominate karne lage hain. Magar, sirf thora sa waqt baqi hai jab tak mombati SBR ilaqa tak pohanch jaye jo phir se neeche ja sakta hai. Ab AUDUSD apne aap ko 0.6440 par trade kar raha hai. Nazdik tareen support se hisaab lagaya jaye to yeh yeh matlab hai ke AUDUSD kuch 45 pips ke qareeb uth chuka hai. Izafa tab shuru hua jab mombati 0.6395 ilaqa tak pohanch gayi.

Agar H1 time frame se tajziya kiya jaye, to asal mombati ka maqam demand ilaqa par jo ke 0.6363 ke qeemat par hai abhi tak poori tarah se nahi chua. Jab tak hum wahan pohanchte hain, tab tak AUDUSD pehle se upar chala gaya hai. Mujhe shak hai ke aaj bhi AUDUSD kaam ke jari rakhne ka koi moqa hai. Magar lagta hai ke yeh lamba nahi chale ga kyun ke demand ilaqa ko sirf 70 pips ke bachte hain. Main gues karta hoon ke jab AUDUSD 0.6463 ke qeemat par pohanchega, to phir harkat phir se gir jaye gi aur H1 par sab se ahem support ko phir se faash kare ga jo ke 0.6394 ke qeemat par hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se tajziya kiya jaye, to mombati ka maqam pehle se tenkan sen aur kijun lines ke upar hai. Yeh indicator waqtan-fa-waqt signal deta hai ke AUDUSD abhi bhi barhne wala hai. AUDUSD currency pair SBR ilaqa tak jo ke 0.6460 ke qeemat par hai abhi bhi barhe ga. Shayad is ke baad, tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines phir se milti julti ho jayengi.

Dusri taraf se, stochastic indicator se, line sirf thora sa hi door hai ke level 80 ko chue, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke haalat jald hi overbought ho jaye gi. Haala'nkeh hum jante hain ke AUDUSD ka izafa abhi tak chhota hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke mera gues sahi ho sakta hai, ke jab yeh 0.6460 ke qeemat par pohanchega, to harkat neeche ho jayegi.

To aaj ka inhasar yeh hai keh haala'nkeh AUDUSD uth chuka hai, main guzishta hai ke jald hi, AUDUSD apni girawat jari rakhe ga kyun ke SBR ilaqa chhu lena baqi hai. Is ke ilawa, demand ilaqa 0.6340 ke qeemat par ab tak bilkul nahi chhua gaya hai is liye main dosto ko mashwara deta hoon ke woh sirf ek bech position kholne ki koshish karen kyun ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Nishana mamooli tor par qareebi support par rakh sakte hain jo ke 0.6353 ke qeemat par hai aur stop loss ko qareebi resistance par 0.6503 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain.

AUDUSD daily time frame
Sab forum dosto ko subah bakhair, umeed hai aap sab theek honge aur ye tajziya pasand karenge. AUDUSD daily time frame par ek ahem waqiya pesh aya jab currency pair ne dono 26 aur 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines ko ek bearish tareeqay se cross kiya. Yeh waqiya aam tor par market sentiment mein ek potenshial tabdili ka ishara deta hai, jo ek bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Magar umeedon ke khilaaf, AUDUSD ne moving average lines ke crossover ke baad turant aur tezi se bearish jawab nahi diya. Balki, isne ek consolidation dour shuru kiya, jise range-bound movements se khasa kiya gaya, jab market participants naye price dynamics ke mutabiq adjust kar rahe thay. Moving average crossover ke bearish asar ke bawajood, AUDUSD turant nichle taur par girne nahi gaya. Balki, yeh ek phase of consolidation mein dakhil hua, jise ek defined range ke andar sideways price movements se kha gaya. Is rawayat ko market sentiment aur participant behavior par kai factors ka asar hone ka zikar kiya ja sakta hai. Pehle to traders moving average crossover ka reaction karte waqt ehtiyaat bhari approach apna sakte hain, naye positions ko shuru karne se pehle ek mazboot bearish trend ka mustaqil tasdeeq ka intezar kartay hain. Ye ehtiyaat bhari approach ghair mustaqil markets mein aam hai, jahan ghalat signals aur whipsaw movements se bari nuqsan ho sakti hai. Dusri baat, moolbhoot factors jaise ke maqroozay se mukhtalif vikas, geopolitical events, aur central bank policy decisions traders ki sentiment aur market dynamics par asar daal sakte hain. Australian economy, US economy, ya global macroeconomic conditions ke mutaliq musbat ya manfi tajziyati suroof traders ke moving average crossover par turant bearish response ko kam kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, market participants initial bearish crossover ke baad profit-taking ya position adjustment strategies mein shamil ho sakte hain. Traders jo pehle se bearish trend ki tawaqo rakhte hue short positions mein shamil hue thay, wo apni positions ko profit ko lock karne ya potential nuqsaan ko kam karne ke liye band kar sakte hain, jiski wajah se AUDUSD par nichli dabao ka waqfa ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, takneeki traders aur algorithmic trading systems ne consolidation phase ko apni strategies ko recalibrate karne ka moqa samjha. Ye market participants range-based trading strategies istemal kar sakte hain ya changing price dynamics of the AUDUSD ke mutabiq naye indicators aur parameters ko implement kar sakte hain.

Jabke 26 aur 50 EMA ke crossover ne AUDUSD daily chart par bearish shift ki taraf ishara kiya, to mukhtalif tawajjo ke baad qeemat ka amal traditional expectations ke mutabiq nahi tha. Ek tezi se aur mustaqil girawat ki bajaye, currency pair ne range-bound movements se kha gaya. Takneeki signals aur qeemat ka rawayat ke darmiyan is farq ko samajhne ki ahmiyat ko buland karta hai, aur market analysis aur trading strategy development ke liye ek mukammal approach ka istemal karna zaroori hai.

AUDUSD

Austrailian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ki market situation ka analytical analysis 4 ghanton ki time frame par:

Aayenda ke darmiyan-term movement ke liye, currency pair/instrument ko ek aham channel indicator, linear aur nonlinear regression ka Extended Regression StopAndReverse, ke zariye tajziyah ke liye munasib hai, jiska intikhab kiye gaye dakhil-e-markazi point ko RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke signals ke zariye tasdeeq karta hai. Transaction se sab se behtar nikalne ke liye, hum kal ya aaj ke trading day ke intehai nishanon ke mutabiq Fibonacci grid ko phailayenge aur take profit set karne ke liye sab se munasib option ko chunenge.

Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke pehli darja ki regression line (golden dotted line), jo currency pair ki raah dikhata hai aur tajziyah ke time frame (H4) par mojooda asal trend ka halat dikhata hai, neechay ki taraf mud rahi hai, jo tajziya shuda instrument ki prevailing downward trend movement ko darust karta hai. Nonlinear regression channel, jo chart par nazar aa raha hai, ek jhukaw mukammal kiya, upar se neechay aaya aur ab ek downward direction mein hai.

Keemat neela support line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ko paar kiya magar quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 0.63598 tak pohancha, uske baad isne apni girawat ko roka aur dhire dhire barhne laga. Is waqt, instrument 0.64172 ke keemat par trade ho raha hai. In sab ki roshni mein, mujhe tawaqo hai ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelSupLine (0.65498) channel line of the 50% FIBO level ke upar wapas aur mazid upar barhengi LR of the linear channel 0.65722 golden average line ke taraf, jo 61.8% Fibo level ke sath milta hai. Buy transaction mein dakhil ho jaane ki tajaweez aur durusti RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke dawra puri tarah se manzoor hai kyun ke woh filhal oversold zone mein hain.

Market mein tabdeeli ke daur mein, jaise ke news releases ke waqt, traders aksar anjaane price movements ki buland risks ka samna karte hain. Is liye, ehtiyaat ke sath kaam karna aur in waqiyat ke doraan trading activity rukwana wazeh faida mand hai. Aik maqool approach yeh hai ke trading kuchh hi dair pehle news release se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle band kar di jaye aur phir dobara aadha ghanta guzarne ke baad dobara shuru ki jaye. Yeh mufarid rukawat traders ko nuksan se bachne mein madadgar hoti hai jo sudden aur intehai price fluctuations se mutaliq ho sakti hain jab naye maloomat market mein jaari ki jati hai. Aaj ka tawajjo Australian dollar (AUD) par hai, jahan uske ahem support aur resistance levels par dhyan kiya ja raha hai. In levels mein se ek bohot zyada ahem level 0.66038 par hai. Ye level AUD ke liye ek crucial support marker ka kaam karta hai. Agar currency is level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh traders ke liye aik buying opportunity ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein, investors long positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain, AUD ke qeemat mein aik potential upward movement ka intezar karte hue.

Magar ye support level ke ird gird market ka rawayati hai, jo ke mukhtalif factors par mabni hai, jin mein wasee arzi manzar-e-aam, siyasi aur iqtisadi israar aur market ki jazbat shamil hain. Agar yeh factors musbat tor par milte hain, AUD ke position ko 0.6630 ke upar mazboot karne mein kamyabi haasil hoti hai, to yeh traders ke darmiyan bullish sentiment ke liye tasalli pazeer hoti hai. Mukhalif, agar AUD 0.66130 par support ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh currency ki position mein kamzori ka aaharkarta hai. Aise halat mein, traders ko apne strategies ko dobara ghoorna hoga, kyunke is crucial support level ke toot jaane se AUD mein mazeed downside movement ko barhawa dena hosakta hai. Ye downside momentum traders ke liye short-selling opportunities ko kholti hai, jo currency ke haqeedat se faida uthane ke liye mutakhab hotay hain.

0.65940 ke support level ke mutazzi hote hue, traders ko AUD ke qeemat ko mutassir karne wale key resistance levels par bhi chaukanna rehna chahiye. Resistance levels upper price movement ke liye band hai aur potential price reversals ya price consolidation ke areas mein ahem insights faraham kar sakte hain. Bil'amoom, ahem support aur resistance levels, jaise ke AUD ke liye wala level, par nazar rakhna traders ke liye zaroori hai jo volatile market conditions ko behtar tareeqe se samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is tarah se, traders risk ko behtar tareeqe se naap sakte hain.

AUDUSD


AUD/USD ka trading manzar abhi ek bechne wale trend ke zariye khaas hai, jahan bechne wale bazaar ke jazbat ko dominent kiya ja raha hai. Lekin, ehmiyat hai ke tasavvur kiya jaaye ke yeh trend achanak se kisi anjaane khabar ke waqiyat se mukhalif ho sakta hai, jo ke bazaar ke raasta ko bila wazeh tabdeel kar sakta hai. Isliye, AUD/USD pair ki mukammal tajziya karne ke liye zaroori hai ke technical indicators aur bunyadi shaoor ka tawazun rakha jaaye.

Technical analysis mein mukhtalif technical indicators ka istemal hota hai, jese ke moving averages, oscillators, aur trend lines, bazaar ke patterns aur trends ko pehchane ke liye. AUD/USD trading ke case mein, technical indicators mukhtalif bechne wale trend ke qudrat ya kamzori ko zahir kar sakte hain. For example, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ko bechne wale trend ke momentum ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Ek phelte hue negative MACD histogram zyada bechnay ki dabao ko darust kar sakta hai, jabke ek tangahore wala histogram trend ki kamzori ki nishandahi kar sakta hai.

Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bazaar ki overbought ya oversold halat mein wazehaari farahm kar sakta hai. Agar RSI 30 ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh oversold halat ko darust kar sakta hai, jo ke bechne wale trend mein rukawat ya mukhtalif waqt ke liye rokawat ka nishaan ho sakta hai.

Bunyadi tajziya, jo ke iqtisadi indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical waqiyat, aur digar makro iqtisadi factors ka jaiza leta hai, barabar ke ehmiyat ka hamil hai. AUD/USD pair ke case mein, fundamental factors jese ke Australia aur United States ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq, iqtisadi data releases (jese ke GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation rates), aur geopolitical tensions market jazbat aur raasta par intehai asar daal sakte hain.

For example, agar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ek dovish monetary policy stance ka ishaara de, jo ke potential interest rate cuts ya quantitative easing measures ko darust karta hai, toh yeh Australia dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur bechne wale trend ko mad e nazar ban sakta hai.

AUD/USD

Budhwar ko, AUDUSD ne bechare bechare se sellers ki barabar wali dabaav mein khud ko paaya, lekin yeh ishtehaar karne laga hai ke woh tawazo kash hain, jhoolay se jhoolne wale market currents ko halka karne mein kamyab ho rahe hain. Ye tabdili kharidaroon ke mustaqbil par taasirat ka izhar karti hai, jo apni taraf taraf meedaan mein paani bharte ja rahe hain. Magar, safar mushkil hai, jahan candle EMA zone ke qareeb pahunch raha hai, ek aham juncture hai jo ummeedwar palat ke isharaat laa sakti hai. Filhaal, AUDUSD 0.6440 par mustahkam hai, jo ke qareebi support level se takreeban 45 pips ki izafa hai. Ye upar ka rukh 0.6395 ke darwazay ko haasil hone par shuru hua. Forex ke duniya mein, Budhwar ko AUDUSD ne bechare bechare se sellers ki barabar wali dabaav mein apne aap ko paaya, lekin daldal mein, mazbooti ke ishaaron ne numaya hue. Mojudah rukh dhaare mein, lahwal ko muthaqqil karte hue, kharidaroon ne dhire-dhire bazaar ki dynamics par apni hukoomat qaim kar di. Magar, is tarqi ke kahani ko EMA ke aham ilaake ke qareeb hone wale candle ke nazdeeki se mada milti hai, jo ek mukhtalif rukh ki nishandahi karta hai. Mojudah halat mein, AUDUSD 0.6440 par mustahkam hai, jo ke qareebi support level se takreeban 45 pips ki izafa hai. Ye upar ka rukh 0.6395 ke darwazay ko haasil hone par shuru hua.




AUD/USD currency pair ki hal hi ki qeemat ka rawaiya tajziya ka hosla afza hai. Kal, jodi ne rozi ki mishal mein tarakki dekhi bina roozana ke candles par ghira hua pattern banate hue, is ka matlab hai ke ek wazeh trend mukhalif abhi tak paida nahi hua hai. Balki, mojooda urooj rawaiya zyada tar lambay ghate ke baad ek correction ke taur par nazar aata hai. Magar, Budh ke bullish daily candle ne kharidaroon ke liye umeed di, jo aage ke urooj rawaiya ka jari rakhne ki tasdeeq karti hai. Haalanki haal ki kamaiyon ke bawajood, mojooda local rawaiya neechay ki taraf rehta hai, jis ka mojooda urooj bataur temporary rebound zyada tadaad mein nazar nahi aata, lekin nihayat hi mamooli miqdaar mein. Aaj, jodi ne thori si izafa kiya, rozana ke 30 points ke darmiyan ek daily range hasil ki, jo aam dailiy volatile ke qareeb so pips ke muqablay mein nihayat chhota hai. 1 ghante ke doran, hum dekhte hain ke currency pair qeemat ke resistance level 0.6455 ke qareeb hai. Aaj mujhe is resistance level ka tootne ka tawaqo karta hoon aur currency pair ka mazeed izafa 0.6513 ke agle resistance level tak.

AUD/USD

Haal hi mein Australian dollar (AUD) ka US dollar (USD) ke khilaf safar ek jhoolay par tha. Pehle April mein tezi se giravat ke baad, jis ne AUD ko naye nichle darajon tak le gaya tha takreeban 0.6389 ke aas paas, usne ek hissa bhariya ikhtiyar dekha hai, Thursday tak 0.6440 ke qareeb 10% izafa hua hai. Is uzafay ko maamooli market jazbaat mein durusti ka hissa tasleem kiya ja sakta hai. US dollar, jo ke mazeed chand umda US maali data ki wajah se mazboot ho raha tha, thori si kamzori dikhata hai. Mazboot karobar ke figures aur mustaqil inflation ke baawajood US mein Federal Reserve kayi mohtalif tareeqon se interest rates ko kum karne ki taasir nahi daal sakta. Halaanki, AUD doosri dollar-based currency se itna kamzor nahi hua hai. Iska ye sabab hai ke Australia bhi buland inflation ka samna kar raha hai, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko interest rates ko bhi mustaqbil mein taakhir se nuqsan pohchane ki tawajjo de raha hai. Jab ke US Federal Reserve ne pehle hee kum karne ki alaamat di thi, RBA ne is mamlay par khamoshi ka tajzia nahi diya hai.



Westpac jaise mali idaray ab November 2024 mein RBA ki taraf se rate cut ka kum imkaan ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Jabke chhote cut (0.6%) ka ikhtiyar hai, yeh pichli tajziyat ke muqablay mein kam mumkin hai. Ab market poora saal ke interest rates mein 0.25% ki kami ka intizaar karti hai, pehle ke tajziyat 0.5% ke liye thi. Haal ke izafay ke bawajood, AUD ka manzar guman hai. Qareebi muddat ke liye AUD ka oopri had 0.6633 ke aas paas qarar diya gaya hai. Ye kehna ke wo apna uzafa qaaim rakh sakta hai ya dobara giravat ki dabawat ka shikaar ho ga, yeh global maali halaat aur central bank policies ke istiqbal par munhasir hai jo aane wale maheenon mein kaise badalte hain. Keemat shayad SMAs ke neeche gir sakti hai aur 0.6440 support level tak pohanch sakti hai aur range ka neeche ka hadood, jo 0.6475 par hai. Mazeed baray izafaat muddat war manzar 0.6340 ke aas paas saabit kar sakti hain. Pichle teen maheenon se, AUDUSD 0.6475-0.6633 ki ikhtiyari range ke andar hai, lekin isne koi zahir short-term raah nahi dikhaya hai.

Australian dollar (AUD) haal he mein US dollar (USD) ke khilaf aik rollercoaster ride par tha. April ke shuruaati mahine mein aik tezi se farokht se jo AUD ko 0.6389 ke naye adno par dhakela, is ne aik hissi behtari dekhi, Thursday tak 0.6440 ke qareeb 10% tak barh gaya. Is uptick ko amooman bazaar ki nazar mein aik correction ka natija kaha ja sakta hai. US dollar, jo ke ek siri se muzaid Amriki maaloomat ki wajah se mustakil ho raha tha, thori si gir gaya hai. Mazboot kaarkhana figures aur mustaqil inflation ke saath US mein, yeh dikhata hai ke Federal Reserve mohtayat se cut rate nahi kar sakta jaise ke shuru mein mansoobah kiya gaya tha. Magar AUD ne doosri dollar-denominated currencies ke mutabiq itna kamzor nahi hua. Yeh is wajah se ke Australia bhi buland inflation ka saamna kar raha hai, jo ke umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut rate ko taakhir kar dega. Uske baraks US Federal Reserve jo pehle potential cuts ki taraf ishaara karta tha, RBA ne is moamle par khamosh rehta hai.

Westpac jese mali idaray ab November 2024 mein RBA ki rate cut ki kam chance ke peishgoi kar rahe hain. Jabke chhote cut (0.6%) ki mumkinahat mojud hai, yeh pehle ki tulaqati taqreebat ke mukable kam hai. Bazaar ab is saal cut rate mein 0.25% ki puri kami ki umeed rakhta hai, pehle ki tasleem 0.5% ki kam hai. Haalanki haal he mein hasool ki gayi faida, AUD ka manzar ghair yaqeeni hai. Karib qareebi waqt ke liye AUD ka ooper ki hudood ki taqreeban 0.6633 ke aas paas qarar diya gaya hai. Yeh kehna ke yeh apni behtari ko barqarar rakh sakta hai ya phir dobara neezat se nichay dar pressures mein gira jata hai, yeh global maasharti halaat aur markazi bank policies ke kasrat se mustaqbil ke mahino mein kaise badalne par mabni hai. Keemat SMAs ke neeche gir sakti hai aur 0.6440 support level tak aur range ke neeche ki hudood, jo 0.6475 par hai, tak pohanch sakti hai. Zyada barqarar girawat lambay arse ke negative tajziya ke 0.6340 ke ird gird madad faraham kar sakti hai. Pichle teen maah se AUDUSD 0.6475-0.6633 ke aik muwazna range ke andar tehreer kar raha hai, magar isne kisi wazeh short-term rukh ka koi ishara nahi diya.

AUD/USD

Bicharne waale sellers ki dabaav mein rehne ke baad, AUDUSD ne Budh ko chalna seekhna shuru kiya hai, haalaanki yeh abhi bhi mushkil hai. Iska matlab hai ke kharidar ab market par dominane karne lage hain. Magar, kuch hi waqt bacha hai ke mumkin hai mombatti SBR ilaake tak pahunche jo dobara neeche chala ja sakta hai. Ab AUDUSD ka apna position 0.6440 par trade ho raha hai. Nazdeeki support se hisaab se, yeh yani ke AUDUSD karib 45 pips se ooncha ho gaya hai. Izafa tab shuru hua jab mombatti ne 0.6395 ilaqa tak pahuncha.

Agar H1 time frame se tajziya kiya jaaye, to haqeeqi mombatti ka position demand ilaake par poora nahi pahuncha hai jo ke 0.6363 ke daam par hai. Wahan pahunchne se pehle, AUDUSD pehle oopar chala gaya tha. Mujhe shak hai ke aaj bhi AUDUSD ka izafa jaari rahega. Magar, yeh lagta hai ke yeh zyada waqt tak nahi chalega kyun ke sirf 70 pips bache hain demand ilaake ko chhuane ke liye. Main gumaan karta hoon ke AUDUSD 0.6463 ke daam par uthne ke baad, phir girawat ki taraf jaayega aur H1 par sab se ahem support ko chhedega jo 0.6394 ke daam par hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaaye, to mombatti ka position pehle se hi tenkan sen aur kijun lines ke upar hai. Yeh indicator waqtanah yeh ishaara deta hai ke AUDUSD abhi bhi oopar jaayega. AUDUSD currency pair abhi tak SBR ilaake ki taraf barhega jo 0.6460 ke daam par hai. Shayad us point ke baad, tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines phir se aapas mein milenge.

Dusri taraf se, stochastic indicator se, line sirf thodi door hai ke level 80 ko chho jaaye, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke conditions jald hi overbought ho jayenge. Halaanki hum jaante hain ke AUDUSD ka izafa abhi tak chhota hai. Iska matlab hai ke mera gumaan sahi ho sakta hai, jab yeh 0.6460 ke daam par uth jaaye, to movement phir neeche jaayega.

To aaj ka nateeja yeh hai ke haalaanki AUDUSD oopar chala gaya hai, main yeh bhavishyawaani karta hoon ke jald hi, AUDUSD apne girawat ko jaari rakhega kyun ke SBR ilaake ko chhuane ke liye sirf thoda sa baki hai. Iske alawa, 0.6340 ke daam par demand ilaaka abhi tak kisi bhi tarah se chhua nahi gaya hai isliye main dosto ko yeh sujhaav deta hoon ke woh sirf ek bech position kholne ki koshish karen kyun ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Maqsad ko maamooli tor par 0.6353 ke nazdeeki support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 0.6503 ke nazdeeki resistance par rakh sakte hain.