𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Yeh pair bechne ke dabao ka samna kar raha hai, jis mein early Asian session ke doran Thursday ko 0.6710 ke aas paas ghum raha hai. Is girawat ka sabab primarily US Dollar (USD) ke taza demand mein hai, jab ke US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data mazboot aane ke baad. Is haftay, market ka tawajjo US Consumer Price Index (CPI) June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hogi, jin mein mazeed bari harkatoun ki umeed hai.

AUD/USD ke bunyadi asool:

Australian Dollar apni jaga qaim hai, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke raay ke bharose par hai. Digar central banks ke mukhalif jo ke rate cuts ki umeed ki ja rahi hain, RBA ne is saal koi rate cuts karne ka irada na karne ka ishara diya hai. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ki hal hilai guidance interest rate outlook par ne bata diya ke agar mahangai 1%-3% ki target range mein na wapas aayi to central bank tadaad mein izafa karne ke liye tayyar hai. Is ne RBA ke rate cuts ke expectations ko kam kar diya aur Australian Dollar ko support diya.

Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi agle saal apne tight interest-rate stance ko dobara ghor karne par amada hai. Dono RBA aur RBNZ ke monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye ahem hain, kyun ke kisi bhi tabdeeli se market sentiment aur currency movements ko gehra asar pad sakta hai.

Chaaron ghante ke time frame technical outlook:

Tezi se girne ke baad, pair ne apni range ke neeche se guzar karne ka jokhim uthaya hai, jis se woh mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6578 ke June 7 ke low ko todi gayi to yeh bearish outlook ko tasdeeq kar dega, jis se pehla target 0.6533 ho sakta hai. Yeh target Fibonacci 0.618 ratio ke height of the range ko extrapolate karne ke technical analysis method se nikala gaya hai.

rate ko numaya karti hai. Aaj ke din AUD/USD ka trend kai ahem factors se mutasir ho sakta hai, jaise ke maeeshati data ki rihaishat, siyasi hawaale, aur market ki jazbaatiyat. Aaj ke moqaable mein, AUD/USD ka trend maeeshat ke kai imwaazib factors ki misaal hai. Sab se pehle, haal hi mein Australia aur United States se aane wale maeeshati data ne ahem asraat dikhaye hain. Australia mein rozeedar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales ke haalat aik misaal hai. Jaise ke rozeedar adad mazboot rahe hain, to consumer confidence mein interest rates ke barhne aur mahangai ke shubhat ke baisat se kamzor nishanaat nazar aaye hain. Is se Australian dollar ke liye aik mutasir ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar maeeshat mein mazboot raha hai, jis par solid maeeshati indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales ke numbers ne imdaad ki hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke taqaze bhi ahem hote hain. Fed ke faislay ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka faisla US dollar ke qeemat par asar andaz hota hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne inflation ke muqablay mein tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara diya hai, jo US dollar ki mazbooti ko support karta hai. Siyasi aur aitmadiyat ke masail bhi AUD/USD ke trend par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanazaat Australia ke maeeshat par ghair-e-direct asar andaz hote hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke saath trade ka bohat ahem taluq hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi bhi manfi tabdeeliyan aayen, to market mein risk-off jazbaat uthte hain, jis se investors US jaise safe assets ki taraf ruju karte hain.

Jodi early Asian session mein 0.6710 ke aas paas bechne ke dabaav ka samna kar rahi hai. Yeh giravat mukhtalif wajahon ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jaise ke United States (USD) ke mazboot Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad dobara USD ki tijarat ke liye taza darkhwast. Is hafte, market ka tawajjo United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hogi, jin mein barah-e-karam taweel rahat ke imkanat honge.

AUD/USD ke bunyadi asool:

Australian Dollar apne qad mein qaim hai, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki stance ki wajah se behtar hui hai. Dosray central banks ke mukhalif, jo rate kam karne ki umeedain hain, RBA ne is saal koi rate cut karne ki darkhwast nahi ki hai. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ki haal hi mein interest rate ke hawale se taaqati rehnumai ne ishara kiya ke agar mahangi maqsad ke target range 1%-3% mein wapas nahi aati to central bank mazeed rates barha sakti hai. Is ne RBA ke rate cuts ke expectations ko kam kiya aur Australian Dollar ko support diya.

Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi agle saal apni sakht interest-rate stance ko dobara dekhne ka imkan hai. RBA aur RBNZ ki monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye bohat ahmiyat rakhti hain, kyun ke kisi bhi tabdeeli se market sentiment aur currency movements par bohat asar parta hai.

Char ghantay ka time frame technical outlook:

Tezi se girne ke baad, pair ne apne range ke neeche se guzar gaya hai, jisse woh mazeed kamzori ka shikaar ho sakta hai. June 7 ki kam 0.6578 ke neeche girne se bearish outlook confirm ho jayegi, jis se pehla target 0.6533 ho sakta hai. Yeh target Fibonacci 0.618 ratio se range ki unchai ko tay karte hue nikala gaya hai.

Umdah, 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 0.6641 par hai, agar toot jaye to yeh ishara karega ke aik mumkin bullish palat ho sakta hai. Agar Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator surkhi signal line ke ooper se guzar jaye, to yeh mazeed tasdeeq karega ke naye ooper ki taraf trend ka aaghaz ho sakta hai.

rate ko numaya karti hai. Aaj ke din AUD/USD ka trend kai ahem factors se mutasir ho sakta hai, jaise ke maeeshati data ki rihaishat, siyasi hawaale, aur market ki jazbaatiyat. Aaj ke moqaable mein, AUD/USD ka trend maeeshat ke kai imwaazib factors ki misaal hai. Sab se pehle, haal hi mein Australia aur United States se aane wale maeeshati data ne ahem asraat dikhaye hain. Australia mein rozeedar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales ke haalat aik misaal hai. Jaise ke rozeedar adad mazboot rahe hain, to consumer confidence mein interest rates ke barhne aur mahangai ke shubhat ke baisat se kamzor nishanaat nazar aaye hain. Is se Australian dollar ke liye aik mutasir ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar maeeshat mein mazboot raha hai, jis par solid maeeshati indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales ke numbers ne imdaad ki hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke taqaze bhi ahem hote hain. Fed ke faislay ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka faisla US dollar ke qeemat par asar andaz hota hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne inflation ke muqablay mein tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara diya hai, jo US dollar ki mazbooti ko support karta hai. Siyasi aur aitmadiyat ke masail bhi AUD/USD ke trend par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanazaat Australia ke maeeshat par ghair-e-direct asar andaz hote hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke saath trade ka bohat ahem taluq hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi bhi manfi tabdeeliyan aayen, to market mein risk-off jazbaat uthte hain, jis se investors US jaise safe assets ki taraf ruju karte hain.

rate ko numaya karti hai. Aaj ke din AUD/USD ka trend kai ahem factors se mutasir ho sakta hai, jaise ke maeeshati data ki rihaishat, siyasi hawaale, aur market ki jazbaatiyat. Aaj ke moqaable mein, AUD/USD ka trend maeeshat ke kai imwaazib factors ki misaal hai. Sab se pehle, haal hi mein Australia aur United States se aane wale maeeshati data ne ahem asraat dikhaye hain. Australia mein rozeedar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales ke haalat aik misaal hai. Jaise ke rozeedar adad mazboot rahe hain, to consumer confidence mein interest rates ke barhne aur mahangai ke shubhat ke baisat se kamzor nishanaat nazar aaye hain. Is se Australian dollar ke liye aik mutasir ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar maeeshat mein mazboot raha hai, jis par solid maeeshati indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales ke numbers ne imdaad ki hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke taqaze bhi ahem hote hain. Fed ke faislay ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka faisla US dollar ke qeemat par asar andaz hota hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne inflation ke muqablay mein tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara diya hai, jo US dollar ki mazbooti ko support karta hai. Siyasi aur aitmadiyat ke masail bhi AUD/USD ke trend par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanazaat Australia ke maeeshat par ghair-e-direct asar andaz hote hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke saath trade ka bohat ahem taluq hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi bhi manfi tabdeeliyan aayen, to market mein risk-off jazbaat uthte hain, jis se investors US jaise safe assets ki taraf ruju karte hain.

AUD/USD



AUD/USD joRe pair par selling ka pressure hai, jo ke Thursday subah Asian session mein 0.6710 ke aas-paas mandra raha hai. Ye girawat ziada US Dollar (USD) ki demand ki waja se hai, jo ke stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad dekhne ko mili. Is haftay, market ka focus US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hoga, jo ke significant volatility introduce kar sakta hai.

Fundamentals of the AUD/USD:

Australian Dollar apni position sambhal raha hai, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke stance se buoyed ho kar. Baqi central banks ke mukablay, jo ke rate cuts ki ummed kar rahe hain, RBA ne signal dia hai ke wo is saal kisi bhi rate cuts ka plan nahi kar rahe. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke hawkish guidance on the interest rate outlook ne indicate kiya ke central bank tayar hai ke wo rates ko barhaye agar inflation apni target range 1%-3% par wapas nahi aati. Is waja se RBA rate cuts ke expectations tempered ho gayi hain aur Australian Dollar ko support mili hai.

Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi aglay saal apni tight interest-rate stance ko reconsider karne ka plan bana raha hai. Dono RBA aur RBNZ ki monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial hain, kyun ke kisi bhi changes se market sentiment aur currency movements par significant impact ho sakta hai.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Steep decline ke baad, pair ne apni range ke bottom ko pierce kiya hai, jo ke further weakness ke liye vulnerable hai. Agar June 7 low 0.6578 ke neeche break hota hai, to bearish outlook confirm hoga, aur initial target 0.6533 ho sakta hai. Ye target technical analysis method se extrapolating the height of the range by a Fibonacci 0.618 ratio use karke derive kiya gaya hai.



Conversely, agar 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6641 ke upar break hota hai, to potential bullish reversal suggest hoga. Ye move further confirm hoga agar Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator red signal line ke upar cross karta hai, signaling a new upward trend.

AUD/USD

Thursday ko pair ne halki tawajjo ka izhaar kiya, aur trading lagbhag 0.6730 ke aas paas thi. Is se pehle session mein ek kami aayi thi jis ki wajah se US Dollar (USD) mein izaafa hua, jo majboot US employment data ke natijay mein aaya tha jo Jumma ko jaari kiya gaya. Is data ne traders ko majboor kiya Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ko peeche karne ke liye, jis se AUD/USD pair par dabaav aaya.

AUD/USD ke fundamentals:

Mazboot US employment data ne sambhav economic growth ki tasdeeq ki hai, jo qareebi Fed ke rate cuts ke imkaanat ko kam karta hai. Yeh scenario USD ke liye faida mand hai, jo pair ke liye aik potential rookh hai. Lekin Reserve Bank of Australia ki hawkish stance pair ke neeche ko cushion kar sakti hai. Pichle hafte, RBA Governor Michele Bullock ne is saal kisi bhi rate cuts ke koi tawaqqo nahi ki hai, balki ager inflation 1%–3% ke target range ke ooper rahe to mazeed rate hikes ki taraf ishara kiya.

Market sentiment cautious hai, jahan traders strong US employment data aur hawkish stance ke darmiyan balance karte hain. Agar aanay wale economic data mein koi bhi wazeh farq ho to expectations mein tabdeeli a sakti hai aur pair par asar daal sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Haal hi mein, pair ne ek short-term range ke neeche break kiya hai phir se rebound kiya. Lag raha hai ke pair apne neeche significant targets ki taraf phailne ko tayar hai. Lekin, pair sideways trend mein ho sakta hai, jo range ke andar se ek recovery aur range ceiling ke qareeb upar ki movement ko suggest karta hai jo ke 0.6780 ke aas paas hai.

21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 0.6660 par hai, aik ahem rukawat hai, jo ke ascending channel ke neeche ki lower boundary 0.6635 ke qareeb hai. Ascending channel pattern mein lautna bullish bias ko reinforce kar sakta hai, jo ke AUD/USD pair ko psychological level 0.6700 ki taraf aur phir May ke high 0.6715 ki taraf lay sakta hai.

AUD/USD

jo mujhay ye lagta hai ke price ne resistance level 0.66986 ko cross kar liya hai aur apni northern shadow se neeche se upar test kiya hai, jo ke 0.67141 par mark kiya gaya tha. Aaj, mai apni observations ko designated resistance level ke pass se continue karoon ga, jahan do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke agar price is level ke upar consolidate kar jati hai aur peechle daily range ke maximum ke upar bhi, to phir northern movement barh sakti hai. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, to mai wait karoon ga ke price resistance level 0.68711 tak move kare.

Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate kar legi, to mai further northern movement ka intezar karoon ga jo ke resistance level 0.70301 tak hoga. Is resistance level ke paas mai ek trading setup ka intezar karoon ga jo ke further trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Yaqeenan, jab price designated northern target ki taraf move karegi, to southern rollbacks bhi ho sakte hain jo ke mai nearest support levels se bullish signals ko dhoondhne ke liye use karoon ga, global bullish trend ke formation ke hesaab se renewed growth ki umeed rakhtay hue.

Alternative option yeh hai ke agar price resistance level 0.67141 ko test karte waqt reversal candle form kare aur downward correction movement start ho jaye. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to mai price ke support level 0.66342 par wapas aane ka intezar karoon ga. Is support level ke pass mai bullish signals ko dhoondhna continue karoon ga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed rakhtay hue. Ek aur option bhi hai ke zyada door southern targets jo ke 0.65761 aur 0.65580 par hain, wahan bhi price move kare. Lekin agar yeh plan implement bhi hota hai, to in support levels ke pass mai bullish signals ko dhoondhna continue karoon ga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed rakhtay hue.

Agar briefly kaha jaye, to aaj locally mujhe kuch interesting nahi lag raha. Globally, mai northern trend ke continuation par focus kar raha hoon, lekin purchase options consider karne ke liye, mai chahta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ke upar fix ho.

Pair selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai, aur Thursday ke early Asian session mein 0.6710 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Yeh decline primarily renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) ki wajah se hai following stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Is hafte, market ka focus US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hoga, jo significant volatility introduce karne ki umeed hai.

Fundamentals of the AUD/USD:

Australian Dollar apni position banaye rakha hai, buoyed by the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) stance. Dusre central banks ke mukable jo rate cuts expect kar rahe hain, RBA ne signal diya hai ke wo is saal koi rate cuts plan nahi kar rahe. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke recent hawkish guidance on the interest rate outlook ne indicate kiya ke central bank further rates increase karne ke liye prepared hai agar inflation target range 1%-3% mein wapas nahi aati. Yeh expectations ko temper kiya hai for RBA rate cuts aur Australian Dollar ko support provide kiya hai.

Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi agle saal apni tight interest-rate stance reconsider karne wali hai. Dono, RBA aur RBNZ ki monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial hain, kyunki koi bhi changes significantly market sentiment aur currency movements ko impact kar sakte hain.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Ek steep decline ke baad, pair apni range ke bottom ko pierce kar chuka hai, jo further weakness ke liye vulnerable banata hai. June 7 low of 0.6578 ke neeche break karna bearish outlook ko confirm karega, potentially leading to an initial target of 0.6533. Yeh target technical analysis method se derive kiya gaya hai by extrapolating the height of the range by a Fibonacci 0.618 ratio.

Conversely, agar 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6641 ke upar break hota hai to yeh potential bullish reversal suggest karega. Yeh move further confirm hoga agar Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator red signal line ke upar cross karta hai, signaling a new upward trend.

AUD/USD Ke Price Tendency

Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Humare paas aik developing trend hai jo bearish outcome ko favor karta hai. Sellers ko aik clear advantage mil raha hai, jo ke har resistance level par activity ko intercept kar rahe hain aur buyer trends ko end kar rahe hain. Yeh successive downward movements ka nateeja hai, jo ke ek strong bearish trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar yeh activity barqarar rahi, to hum significant bearish decline dekh sakte hain jo 0.6529 tak ja sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye ek essential support hai. Dusri taraf, upward movement lower highs produce karegi aur 0.6722 resistance se niche rahegi. Aaj Jerome Powell ka speech hai aur JOLTS report bhi due hai, jo significant moves ka potential suggest karte hain, jisme downward trend ko preference di gayi hai.

Main AUD/USD ko small lots use karke trade kar raha hoon. Mujhe current flat se upward breakout ka anticipation hai, is liye main long positions open kar raha hoon. Filhal, hum 0.6651/0.6640 ke correction support zone ke qareeb trading kar rahe hain. Agar price control level 0.6624 tak drop hoti hai to main wahan se buy karunga. Agar price is target level ke niche girti hai aur consolidate karti hai, to main apni growth continuation ki plan ko reconsider karunga. Medium-term buyers ke liye, 0.6636 level par focus karna samajhdari hai. Primary trend follow karna ache results yield karta hai. Pullback ke dauran opportunity ko miss karna mehnga sabit ho sakta hai. AUD/USD ke local dynamics ko dekhte hue, buying promising lag rahi hai. Planned transaction ka size 0.6567 level par ho sakta hai, jo stop loss serve karta hai. Hamesha increased seller activity ka potential consider karna zaroori hai. Main goal yeh hai ke losses realize karne ke baad bhi funds ka bulk preserve ho. Ek additional buy order 0.6613 probability zone separator ke around hai. Is zone ka far edge overall variability manage karne mein madad karega. Agar counter-trend traders persistent rahe, to higher wave structures se buyers likely intervene karenge jab price second benchmark ke qareeb approach karegi. Initially, main trading asset ke quotes ko nearest unloading border of the T2 gradation area, around 0.6712 ke qareeb dekhna chahta hoon.

Jodi early Asian session mein 0.6710 ke aas paas bechne ke dabaav ka samna kar rahi hai. Yeh giravat mukhtalif wajahon ki wajah se ho rahi hai, jaise ke United States (USD) ke mazboot Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad dobara USD ki tijarat ke liye taza darkhwast. Is hafte, market ka tawajjo United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hogi, jin mein barah-e-karam taweel rahat ke imkanat honge.

AUD/USD ke bunyadi asool:

Australian Dollar apne qad mein qaim hai, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki stance ki wajah se behtar hui hai. Dosray central banks ke mukhalif, jo rate kam karne ki umeedain hain, RBA ne is saal koi rate cut karne ki darkhwast nahi ki hai. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ki haal hi mein interest rate ke hawale se taaqati rehnumai ne ishara kiya ke agar mahangi maqsad ke target range 1%-3% mein wapas nahi aati to central bank mazeed rates barha sakti hai. Is ne RBA ke rate cuts ke expectations ko kam kiya aur Australian Dollar ko support diya.

Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi agle saal apni sakht interest-rate stance ko dobara dekhne ka imkan hai. RBA aur RBNZ ki monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye bohat ahmiyat rakhti hain, kyun ke kisi bhi tabdeeli se market sentiment aur currency movements par bohat asar parta hai.

Char ghantay ka time frame technical outlook:

Tezi se girne ke baad, pair ne apne range ke neeche se guzar gaya hai, jisse woh mazeed kamzori ka shikaar ho sakta hai. June 7 ki kam 0.6578 ke neeche girne se bearish outlook confirm ho jayegi, jis se pehla target 0.6533 ho sakta hai. Yeh target Fibonacci 0.618 ratio se range ki unchai ko tay karte hue nikala gaya hai









Umdah, 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 0.6641 par hai, agar toot jaye to yeh ishara karega ke aik mumkin bullish palat ho sakta hai. Agar Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator surkhi signal line ke ooper se guzar jaye, to yeh mazeed tasdeeq karega ke naye ooper ki taraf trend ka aaghaz ho sakta hai.

Kal, AUD/USD ne pehle din ke minimum range ko update karne ke baad, ek strong bullish impulse ke zariye ulta diya, jiski wajah se ek reversal candle form hui jo pehle din ke range ke andar close hui. Yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers mein itni taqat nahi hai ke price ko southward push kar sakein. Isliye, main puri tarah se umeed rakhta hoon ke buyers aaj nearest resistance levels ko work through karne ki koshish karenge.

Is surat mein, main resistance level jo 0.66986 par waqe hai ya resistance level jo 0.67141 par waqe hai, ko hold karne par focus karunga. In resistance levels ke kareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain:

1. **Pehla Scenario:** Reversal candle ka formation aur downward price movement ka resumption. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main price ke support level 0.65761 ya support level 0.65580 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. In support levels ke kareeb, main bullish signals search karte rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed mein.

2. **Dosra Scenario:** Jab price resistance level 0.66986 ya resistance level 0.67141 ke kareeb aati hai, toh price ke in levels ke upar consolidate hone aur further northward move karne ka plan hoga. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main price ke resistance level 0.68711 tak advance karne ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main trading setup ka formation expect karunga taake further trading direction ka pata chal sake.

Main yeh bhi anticipate karta hoon ke designated distant northern target ki taraf move karte waqt southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinhe main nearest support level se bullish signals search karne ke liye use karunga, growth mein recovery ki umeed ke saath jo ek global bullish trend ka hissa hai.

In short, aaj ke liye, main anticipate karta hoon ke price northwards nearest resistance level ki taraf move karegi, aur phir main market situation ke mutabiq act karunga.

Is hafta Australian dollar ne kuch mazbooti dikhai hai, aur 0.6650 ka level qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Lekin, weekly pattern yeh dikhata hai ke currency ab bhi critical square pattern mein hai. Agar Australian dollar 0.6725 ka mark cross kar leta hai, toh yeh 0.6825 level tak barh sakta hai, jahan 200-week EMA waqe hai. Khaas tor par, weekly candle consumption pichle paanch se chhe hafton mein dekhi gayi trends ko reflect karta hai.

Market direction set karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin filhal yeh oscillate kar raha hai. Mera stance is pair par tab tak neutral rahega jab tak square par major split nahi hota. Aisi split market ko kam az kam 100 points upar bhej sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, agar price 0.6550 level ke neeche girti hai, toh 0.6450 tak decline hone ka imkan hai, jo triangle ki lower boundary se mutabiq hai. Yeh scenario continuous volatility dikhata hai, aur jab tak market is square structure se sharply diverge nahi karta, long-term traders likely side by side baithay rahenge.

Short-term trading strategies zyada munasib ho sakti hain is surat-e-haal mein, kyunke current price movements aur clear direction ka faqat hai. Square ke continuous shifts cautious approach ko indicate karte hain, kyunke market various economic indicators aur external factors par apni reaction form karta hai.

Jab tak hum current square system ko unravel karne ka intezar karte hain, marketers ke liye zaroori hai ke woh informed aur possible changes ke liye prepared rahain. Key support aur resistance levels jese ke 0.6725 aur 0.6550 ko monitor karna important hoga, potential trading opportunities identify karne aur effectively risk manage karne ke liye. Conclusion yeh hai ke Australian dollar ka near-term future current consolidation phase se move karne par depend karta hai, jo market mein more decisive developments ka rasta khol sakta hai.



Is pair ki dusri taraf, US dollar ne kaafi mazbooti dikhai hai, solid economic indicators jese ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures ki wajah se. Additionally, Federal Reserve ka monetary policy par stance bhi crucial role ada karta hai. Fed ka interest rates ko maintain ya increase karne ka faisla US dollar ki value par asar daalta hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne tight monetary policy continue karne ka willingness indicate kiya hai inflation se combat karne ke liye, jo US dollar ki strength ko support karta hai.



Geopolitical factors bhi AUD/USD trend mein crucial role play karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tensions Australian economy ko indirectly affect kar sakti hain kyunke Australia ka China ke saath significant trade relationship hai. US-China relations mein koi negative developments risk-off sentiment ko market mein lead kar sakti hain, jo investors ko safer assets jese ke US dollar ki taraf le jata hai.

AUD/USD

Pehlay mahine ke muqablay mein, pehlay ke naram CPI aur PPI data ke sath mila kar, yeh dikhata hai ke inflation ka rujhan dheema hai. Tight supply ne Australian house prices ko lagataar barhaya hai, jo inflation concerns ko trigger karta hai, aur market yeh expect kar rahi hai ke August mein interest rate hike ka imkaan 53% tak barh gaya hai. Iske muqablay mein, Australian dollar ko significant boost mila hai.



Do scenarios in resistance levels ke qareeb ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price stabilise ho kar level ke upar rahe aur phir north ki taraf barh jaye. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, toh key yeh hai ke price ko resistance level 0.68711 ki taraf move hone ka intezar karein. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trade setup ka intezar karunga jo trade direction determine karne mein madad karega. Mera yeh bhi maan-na hai ke ek dafa price fixed northern target ki taraf move kar jati hai, toh southern pullbacks ho sakti hain, jinhe main key nearby support levels se bullish signals dekhne ke liye istemal karna chahunga, aur price movement ko resume kar sakta hai.

Doosra option yeh hai ke jab price action resistance level ke qareeb 0.67141 ya 0.66986 par pahunche, toh ek candlestick reversal point aur price action point ko dobara establish karein. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, toh main price ko support level 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ki taraf move hone ka intezar karunga. Key bullish signals ko support level ke qareeb place karna chahiye taake price increases ka resume hona expect kiya ja sake. Mukhtar ke mutabiq, aaj wo yeh maan-te hain ke price resistance level ke qareeb northward move karne ke qabil hogi, aur phir central market ke sath move karegi.

Hum iss waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Humein ek developing trend nazar aa raha hai jo bearish outcome ko support karta hai. Sellers ko har resistance level par activity intercept karne ka clear advantage mil raha hai aur buyers ke trends ko end kar rahe hain. Yeh successive downward movements ko zahir karta hai, jo ke ek strong bearish trend ko dikhata hai. Agar yeh activity barqarar rehti hai, toh hum AUD/USD ke liye ek significant bearish decline 0.6529 tak dekh sakte hain, jo ek essential support hai.

Iss dauraan, upward movement se lower highs produce honge aur yeh 0.6722 resistance se neechay rehne ka imkaan hai. Aaj Jerome Powell ka speech hai aur JOLTS report bhi aani hai, jo significant moves ka potential rakhte hain, jisme downward trend ko preference di ja rahi hai. Main AUD/USD ko small lots mein trade kar raha hoon. Current flat se upward breakout anticipate karte hue, main long positions open kar raha hoon. Filhal, hum correction support zone 0.6651/0.6640 ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain.



Agar price control level 0.6624 tak girti hai, toh main wahan se buy karunga. Agar price is target level se neechay girti hai aur consolidate karti hai, toh main apne plan ko reconsider karunga for continued growth. Medium-term buyers ke liye, 0.6636 level par focus karna meaningful hai. Primary trend ko follow karna achay results deta hai. Pullback ke dauran mauka miss karna mehnga sabit ho sakta hai. Local dynamics of AUD/USD ko dekhte hue, buying promising nazar aati hai. Planned transaction ka size 0.6567 level par rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke stop loss serve karta hai. Hamesha increased seller activity ke potential ko consider karna zaroori hai. Main goal yeh hai ke majority funds ko preserve karna, even after realizing losses. Ek additional buy order 0.6613 probability zone separator ke around hai. Is zone ka far edge overall variability ko manage karne mein madad karega. Agar counter-trend traders persist karte hain, toh higher wave structures ke buyers likely intervene karenge jab price second benchmark ke qareeb aayegi. Initially, mera aim trading asset ke quotes ko nearest unloading border of T2 gradation area, around 0.6712 ke qareeb dekhna hai.