𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY Keemat Ka Takhmina
Hum mojooda USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka tajziya karain gay. Aaj, USDJPY pair ko 155.56 par rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai, jo kharidar ka kamiyabi ke liye aik ahem darja hai. Agar bullish trend jari rahe, to ye darja kharidoron ke liye aik pasandeeda munafa hasil karne ka point hai. Moqey ki ab tadad 154.94 hai, aur samajhdaar taur par is se thori si kam ke saath lamba position kholna munasib hai, jabke zyada se zyada mustaqbil ki hidayat shuda khareedne ka darja 154.80 hai. 154.80 se nichle long positions se bachna uchit hai, kyunki sarkaron ki taraf se barhtay huwe khatra barh gaya hai. Main 155.56 rukawat ka darja kamiyab taur par imtehan karne ka tawakkal rakhta hoon aur bullish momentum ka support hai.

Kal, pair ne H4 support par 154.15 ki taraf girne ka koshish kiya, lekin yeh yahan tak pahuncha na aur beech mein hi rok gaya, phir se rozana balance 155.10 ki taraf barhta raha, jo ke beghair toray reh gaya. Ye ishara karta hai ke aik sambhav downward movement H1 support par 154.10 ki taraf hai jab tak rozana balance 155.15 ko paar na kiya jaye. Jab tak USDJPY kal ke mukablay mein mustaqil rehta hai, aur rozana balance 155.10 par hai, H1 support ki taraf aur 154.15 ki taraf aur nichawar karne ka imkan hai agar balance mumkin hai. Agar support mumkin na ho, to yeh madda ho sakta hai ke mukammal chadhao medium-term target 156.28 ki taraf, pehle se haasil shuda pehla target 153.13 se 143.73 se. Magar 156.28 tak pahunchne ke liye zyada mehnat ki zaroorat hogi. Rozana balance 155.10 ke toot jaane ke baad, 154.80 tak aik mukhalif mein pichli taraf ka retraction ho sakta hai, naye rozana balance ki taraf aur baad mein 156.25 ki taraf chadhao.

USD/JPY M15
Market mein musalsal chadhao ne aik manzar paida kiya hai jahan mukhtalif takneeki alaamaat saturation ke darjat ki isharaat de rahi hain. Ye ishara hai ke market ne mukhtalif doraan mein significant faiday haasil kiye hain, jin se kharidari ki sargarmi mein izafa hone ka silsila mutawaqqi hota hai. Magar, Japani intervention ke currency markets mein ek mazeed tabqa shamil ho jata hai.Japani hukumat ne baar baar currency markets mein intervention ki mumkinat par tanbehaat jaari ki hain. Agar aise interventions hoti hain, khaaskar dollar ko Japani yen ke khilaf, to yeh ek manzar paida kar sakti hai jahan investors apne faiday ko strong bechne ki karwai karte hain.

Ye mumkin faraham ehsaas-e-fariyaad presser ka aghaz karsakti hai jise Japani yen ke nisbat dollar ki keemat mein kami ka nataij paida ho. Investors moqey se pehle apne dollar holdings ko bechna pasand kar sakte hain kisi bhi Japani authorities ke intervention ke baad market ki durusti ka muntazir honay par.Japani hukumat ke kisi bhi intervention ki kamyabi mukhtalif factors par munhasir hogi, jaise ke unke actions ka size aur timing, sath hi market ke jazbat aur maujooda economic conditions. Jabke interventions kabhi kabhi short-term market movements par asar daal sakte hain, lekin unka lamba arzi asar aksar mehdood hota hai.




Market ke shirakhtgar mumkin hai Japani intervention ke kisi bhi maamlaat se qareebi tawaju dein, kyunke iska currency markets aur mazeed maali markets par ahmiyat ka izhaar ho sakta hai. Traders apni positions aur strategies ko mutabiq kar sakte hain, halat ke tabdeel hone aur zyadah volatility ke imkanat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue.Ikhtisaar mein, musalsal record faiday aur takneeki alaamaat ke saturation darjat se makhsoos market conditions, sargarmi ke buland darja aur Japani intervention jaise external factors ke liye potential vulnerability ka ishara hai. Investors hoshyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko tabdeel karke market ke achanak tabdeeliyon aur market volatility ke sath wabasta khatraat ko kam karna chahiye.

USD/JPY USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ke rawaiye ka tajziya yeh zahir karta hai ke abhi tak koi numaya taraqqi nahi hui, lekin 152 par breakthrough ka imkan hai. Haal hi mein hui giravat ko ek theek karne wala imtezaaj samjha jata hai, jo ke mumkinah tor par ek bullish trend ka rasta bana sakta hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, ek bullish move hone ka imkan hai. Jabke 150.09 tak ek pullback ka intezar hai, 151.94 par rukawat ko tor kar upri rawani ka jari rakhna aur short covering ke zariye mumkinah tor par 152.92 tak pohanchne ke liye zaroori hai.

Maujooda mein, USD/JPY ke liye din bhar ka trend neytral hai jab tak ke yeh 151.93 ke neeche ek range mein trade kar raha hai. Magar agar 150.27 ke support level ko tor diya gaya, to yeh ek short-term peak ko zahir karega aur 149.27 tak trend ke ulte honay ka rukh le sakta hai. Dosri taraf, 151.98 ke resistance level ka daimi tor dena long-term uptrend ka jari rakhne ki tasdeeq karega. Chhoti-muddat ka maqsad 140.25 aur 150.87 ke darmiyan ka hai, sath hi 146.47 aur 153.03 ke darmiyan bhi.

Bare paimane par, 151.87 se ki gayi tajziya 140.25 par khatam ho sakti hai, jo 127.26 se faida uthane ka ishara deta hai. 151.93 ke resistance level ka mazboot tor dena yeh bullish tajziya tasdeeq karega. Agla darmiyan-term maqsad 127.26 aur 151.86 ke darmiyan ke darmiyan ho sakta hai, sath hi 140.25 aur 155.20 ke darmiyan bhi, agar koi palat ya giravat aye to 146.47 ke support zone ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar minor istiqamat hui to, 151.27/151.19 ke support zone ke neeche giravat ka izhar ho sakta hai.

In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main khareed se bechne ka faisla kiya hai aur ek maqami had 151.46 par nishana rakha hai, jo ke March 27 se flat raastay ke ooperi hudood ke sath bhi milta hai. Iske baad, giravat flat raastay ke neeche 151.23/151.18 ke support zone ke qareeb tareekhi hai. Kisi bhi market mahol mein risk management ko ahmiyat di jani chahiye. Wazeh risk parameters set karna, stop-loss orders laagu karna aur portfolio ko mukhtalif karna potential nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madad karsakta hai. Discipline ko barqarar rakhna aur achi tarah tay ki gayi ek tijarati strategy par amal karne se lambay arsay tak kamyabi aur dolat ki hifazat mumkin hai.

USD/JPY

Bohot dilchasp halat hain, Rum, aam tor par USDJPY jodi ke liye, Japan Bank ki meeting se pehle. Unho ne keemat ko taqatwar mazboot resistance zone 155.60-156.00 tak le gaye, naturally tezi ko roka, lekin keemat itihaasi uchhaiyon par khariyat kar rahi hai, aur agar dollar/yen jodi ko girane bheja jata hai, to 157 figure ki taraf aur ek koshish nahi ki jayegi. Is aalaat ke liye, jaise kehne wale kehte hain, "saat mile ka shikar nahi hota." Aam tor par, sab kuch is par dhyan dena baki hai ke khatmal kheenchte hain, aur agar pehli nishan 156 figure mein, jo pichle saal se maqbool tha, to ab ek aur baki hai 160. Maqsad ke tor par, kuch bhi asal mein aapko is se rok nahi sakta, aur yahan, dilchaspi ye hai ke shirkat daaron ka kal Japan Bank ke karwaiyon aur faislon ke jawab mein kaise react karte hain. Aur agar pichli daromadar takhtify ke waqt, barhane ka faisla tanqid kiya gaya tha, zyadatar, kyunke tafseeli taur par woh itne halkay the ke unhone daromadar ke faqat faida ko neutral kiya. Waise, bazar as a whole dekh raha hai ke bank ka rukh kya hoga. To dekhte hain kal woh kya karte hain. Alexey, hello. Bank of Japan ne aaj kuch bhi pura nahi kiya. Ye hairat ki baat hai ke unka mahangaai gir gaya hai. Japani is mamle mein ab tak shandar hain. Unki keematien aksar bilkul nahi barhti, humari tarah nahi. Sab kuch theek hai aur kai saalon se sab stable hai. Yen sirf murawwat ko mazboot kar rahi hai, lekin shayad unhe is baat ka koi parwa nahi hai. Jaise hamesha, hamare paas is waqt ke bilkul samajh mein nahi aane wala rad-e-amal tha. 5 minute mein, usdjpy jodi 170 points gir gayi aur ek ghante ke andar tamam nuqsan wapas ho gaya. Ye kya tha? Bank of Japan ki mini dakhilayi ka imtehan? Ye dekhna ke traders is girawat ko kharidenge ya nahi?

Aapke pas ye nazariya hai ke keemat tab badhti hai jab traders bechte hain. Mujhe lagta hai, ulta, woh aise nuqsan utarte hain taake zyada buyers ko ikhata kar sakein, taake baad mein kisi ko nikalne ke liye koi ho. Kharidne wale ke stops ko hata dena usdjpy jodi mein aur bhi zyada girawat la sakti hai, jo Bank of Japan ke liye thoda asaan kar dega. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke jitne zyada buyers woh ab paa lein aur keemat ko uncha karenge, utna hi zyada girawat baad mein mazeed mazboot aur tezi se hogi. Saaf tor par, ab mujhe lagta hai ke 157.00 ke darja ek had hai. Shuruati neechayi maqsad 152.00 tha. Wahan abhi bhi kuch kharidne wale ho sakte hain aur phir neechay chale jaen.USD/JPY

Bohot dilchasp halat hain, Rum, aam tor par USDJPY jodi ke liye, Japan Bank ki meeting se pehle. Unho ne keemat ko taqatwar mazboot resistance zone 155.60-156.00 tak le gaye, naturally tezi ko roka, lekin keemat itihaasi uchhaiyon par khariyat kar rahi hai, aur agar dollar/yen jodi ko girane bheja jata hai, to 157 figure ki taraf aur ek koshish nahi ki jayegi. Is aalaat ke liye, jaise kehne wale kehte hain, "saat mile ka shikar nahi hota." Aam tor par, sab kuch is par dhyan dena baki hai ke khatmal kheenchte hain, aur agar pehli nishan 156 figure mein, jo pichle saal se maqbool tha, to ab ek aur baki hai 160. Maqsad ke tor par, kuch bhi asal mein aapko is se rok nahi sakta, aur yahan, dilchaspi ye hai ke shirkat daaron ka kal Japan Bank ke karwaiyon aur faislon ke jawab mein kaise react karte hain. Aur agar pichli daromadar takhtify ke waqt, barhane ka faisla tanqid kiya gaya tha, zyadatar, kyunke tafseeli taur par woh itne halkay the ke unhone daromadar ke faqat faida ko neutral kiya. Waise, bazar as a whole dekh raha hai ke bank ka rukh kya hoga. To dekhte hain kal woh kya karte hain. Alexey, hello. Bank of Japan ne aaj kuch bhi pura nahi kiya. Ye hairat ki baat hai ke unka mahangaai gir gaya hai. Japani is mamle mein ab tak shandar hain. Unki keematien aksar bilkul nahi barhti, humari tarah nahi. Sab kuch theek hai aur kai saalon se sab stable hai. Yen sirf murawwat ko mazboot kar rahi hai, lekin shayad unhe is baat ka koi parwa nahi hai. Jaise hamesha, hamare paas is waqt ke bilkul samajh mein nahi aane wala rad-e-amal tha. 5 minute mein, usdjpy jodi 170 points gir gayi aur ek ghante ke andar tamam nuqsan wapas ho gaya. Ye kya tha? Bank of Japan ki mini dakhilayi ka imtehan? Ye dekhna ke traders is girawat ko kharidenge ya nahi?

Aapke pas ye nazariya hai ke keemat tab badhti hai jab traders bechte hain. Mujhe lagta hai, ulta, woh aise nuqsan utarte hain taake zyada buyers ko ikhata kar sakein, taake baad mein kisi ko nikalne ke liye koi ho. Kharidne wale ke stops ko hata dena usdjpy jodi mein aur bhi zyada girawat la sakti hai, jo Bank of Japan ke liye thoda asaan kar dega. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke jitne zyada buyers woh ab paa lein aur keemat ko uncha karenge, utna hi zyada girawat baad mein mazeed mazboot aur tezi se hogi. Saaf tor par, ab mujhe lagta hai ke 157.00 ke darja ek had hai. Shuruati neechayi maqsad 152.00 tha. Wahan abhi bhi kuch kharidne wale ho sakte hain aur phir neechay chale jaen.

Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) do ahem central banks hain jo global maqami maeeshat ke manazir ko shakal dete hain, khas tor par jab baat aati hai USD/JPY currency pair ki karkardagi ki. Dono central banks ne apne mamooli ilaqe ko support karne ke liye monetary policies qaim ki hain, lekin in policies ka USD/JPY pair par asar alag ho sakta hai mukhtalif factors par munhasir hai.
Federal Reserve ki quantitative easing measures aur fiscal stimulus packages ne 2008 ke aalmi maaliyat ke shidat ko tasalli di hai. Government bonds aur doosri securities ki bari miqdaar khareed karke, Fed ko dhaal lambi muddat ke interest rates ko kam karna hai, izafa karne aur kharch karne ko taraqqi dena hai, aur aakhir mein maqami aghaz ko bharpoor tareeqe se tashheer karna hai. Ye qadam investor confidence ko bhi barhane mein madadgar sabit hoye hain aur US dollar ke liye demand ko barha kar traders duniawide ke liye aik attractive investment option bana diya hai.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ne dher saalon se deflationary pressure aur manda maeeshati nashonuma ka samna kiya hai. Is ka jawab dete hue, BoJ ne aik aggressive monetary policy stance adopty kiya hai jismain massive asset purchases aur negative interest rates shamil hain. Ye qadam izafa karne aur maeeshati faaliyat ko barhane ke liye tasaruf karne aur kharch karne ko barhawa dena hai. Magar yeh bhi lamba arsa tak aik daira-e-janibible yen ki kami ka sabaq raha hai, jab ke investors doosri currencies mein ziada profit talash kar rahe hain.

Monetary policy ke ilawa, economic data releases aur geopolitical developments bhi USD/JPY pair ki performance par asar andaaz ho sakte hain. GDP growth, rozgar figures, mahangai shaddid, aur trade balances jese key indicators market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur currency exchange rate mein fluctuations ko chal sakte hain. Maslan, US se strong economic data dollar mein profit ko barha sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ko ooper le ja sakti hai, jab ke geopolitical tensions ya trade disputes safe-haven assets jese yen ke liye ziada demand create kar sakte hain, pair ko kam kar sakte hain.

Technical analysis bhi traders ke liye aik ahem factor hai jab USD/JPY pair mein trading ki baat aati hai. Chart patterns, trends, aur technical indicators ki mutaala traders ko apni trades ke liye entry aur exit points ka andaza laga sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ki tahlil mein aam technical indicators jese moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels bhi market sentiment aur potential price movements ke barey mein ahem insights faraham kar sakte hain.

Chand supporting factors ke sath short term mein, USD/JPY pair apni ooper ki rukh jari rakhsakta hai agar US se economic data strong rehta hai aur Federal Reserve apni monetary policy par hawkish stance maintain karta hai. Geopolitical relations mein behtar honay ya trade negotiations mein kamyabi bhi dollar ko yen ke khilaf support karne mein madadgar sabit hosakti hai. Technical perspective se, agar pair key resistance levels jese hil. recents highs ya psychological round numbers ko paar kare, to ye further buying interest trigger kar sakta hai aur pair ko ooper le ja sakta hai.

Magar short term mein kuch downside risks bhi hai jo ghor karne hain. US se disappointing economic data ya Fed ki policy mein dovish shift pair par asar dal sakta hai. Geopolitical tensions ya anay wale unexpected events bhi currency markets mein volatility create kar sakte hain jo USD/JPY pair ki performance ko mutasir karain.

Agar hum peechay ki taraf dekhte hain, to USD/JPY pair ke liye lambi muddat ke nazar andaz mein mukhtalif factors par depend karta hai, jese ke US aur Japan mein economic recovery ki tezi, central bank policies, aur global maeeshat ke sharaiyan. Agar US ki maeeshat tawana ummedon ke mutabiq rahi aur Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tight karta hai, to dollar lambi muddat mein yen ke khilaf mazbooti hasil kar sakta hai. Magar, agar US ki maeeshat mein rukawat aa gai ya policy ko zyada mawafiq aur maeeshati policy ko mukhtasir karne ki taraf manfi rukh le gaya, to dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur USD/JPY exchange rate ko kum kar sakta hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, USD/JPY pair ki performance aik purkashish milaap-riwayat factors, jese ke central bank policies, economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur technical analysis mein gari bathegi. Traders aur investors ko ye factors dheyan se tahlil karna chahiye aur market trends ke baray mein maloomat rakhni chahiye taake dynamic aur hamesha mutaharrik forex market mein munfarid trading decisions li ja sakein.

USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya:

USD/JPY ke mustaqil balans ke muqablay mein qabal se tawazun ka ahsaas hai, jo ke market mein tawazun ka ek darja darust hai. Dainik tawazun 155.10 par qaim rahne ke sath, ek ittefaq ka ehsaas hai, jo darasl yeh darata hai ke na to khareedne wale ne na he bechne wale ne market par qabza kiya hai. Magar, H1 support level 154.15 ki taraf mazeed girawat ke imkanat mojood hain agar abhi ke tawazun ko bigara nahi gaya. Yeh darata hai ke qareebi muddat mein neeche ki dabao jari hai, jahan traders mukhtalif dakhil hone ke mawaqay ke liye ahem support levels par nazar rakh rahe hain.









Agar 154.15 ki support level ko muzuf kar diya nahi jata, to currency pair ka urooj ke rukh mein dubara jari rahne ka imkan hai. Yeh hosakta hai ke yeh charhao ke raste mein mazeed charhao ka silsila jari rahe aur madhyam muddat ke target 156.28 ki taraf jari rahe. Yeh ahem nishanat ka paigham hai, pehle target 153.13 ka kam az kam lehaz se barh kar ke 143.73 se agay. Magar 156.28 tak pohanchne ke liye mustaqil mazboot charhao aur khareedne wale ki mehnat ki zaroorat hai.

Halankeh 156.28 tak pohanchne ki ummid abhi bhi mojood hai, lekin ehmiyat hai ke is nishanat tak pohanch na asan hoga. Market ki dynamics aur jazbaat jald tabdeel ho sakte hain, jo USD/JPY ke rukh ko asar andaz banati hai. Traders ko hosla afzai aur mawad ki pasandeedgi ke tajziya ke mutabiq apni strategies ko tabdeel kar ke musibaton ka samna karna chahiye aur mauqay ka faida uthana chahiye jab woh aata hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Recap


Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Hafta lambi lower shadow ke sath khatam hota hai, jo ke bullish nishaniyon ke liye kum mauqa chhodta hai. Bulls 155 mark ko breach karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jo ke baad mein sale ke raaste bana sakte hain. Japani authorities watan ki currency ka exchange rate closely monitor karte hain, jiski wajah se in bulandiyo par bechna kharidar se zyada aqalmandana ho sakta hai. Hafta ke end par, currency pair USD/JPY 154.68 ke qareeb band hua, jo pair ke liye aik acha movement hai kyunki yeh aik bullish channel ke andar ek upward trajectory maintain kiya, Yeh yeh kehta hai ke US dollar ke exchange rate mein Japanese yen ke khilaf istiqraar se behtar hota ja raha hai, aur yeh trend jald hi jari rahega. Aam overall, USD/JPY pair traders ke liye umeed afz nishaniyan dikha raha hai jo is currency pair par bullish hain. Pasandida moving averages ne bullish trend ki nishani di hai, jo ke 153.83 se bounce karke support kar raha hai, jise dekhte hue USD buyer pressure aur potential growth ki jari rakhne ka ishara hai.


Price correction sanbhav hai, 153.80 ke aas paas support test karne ka baad, phir 155.50 ki taraf chale jane ka. Ek kami aur 153.80 ke breach ka ishara deta hai ke pair ki descent towards 152.67 jari rahe sakti hai. Japan se koi khaas khabar hone ke baad pair ko technical analysis limits ke andar rakha jaega. 154.80 ke aas paas resistance sambhav hai, jo zyada decline ki taraf le jaane ka baais ban sakta hai. Aik jhoota breakout ho sakta hai, lekin baad mein descent mumkin hai. 153.80 ke nazdiki support ka ishara hai ongoing decline ki taraf, jo extension ke liye bhi mumkin hai. 154.78 ki taraf barhav ka intezar hai, phir jari descent ka. Aik jhoota breakdown 154.73 par hua, jisne gradual descent ko shuru kiya aur 153.60 ka support breach bhi mumkin hai. 153.88 ke neeche jaana ek sell-off ka ishara dega. 154.79 ke kareeb trade karne se further decline start ho sakti hai, post-153.94 breakdown jari rakhne ke baad bhi. Market growth corrective currency appreciation ki manind dikhti hai, kehte hue ke selling USD/JPY optimal rahega. USD/JPY pair ke liye ek short entry ke liye dilchaspi wala pal aa gaya hai. Main yeh aik jallad samajhta hoon. Isliye behtar hoga ke is position ko hedge karne ke liye ek stop order place kiya jaye chart par laal line ke level par. Level 154.74 hai. Selling point ek recommendation hai. Stop order 154.92 par hai. Trade ka mazeed management follow karega. Mahilaye aur mard, tezi se sochiye aur ek faisla lein. Main kismat par vishwas nahi karta, main avasar dekhta hoon aur trade mein shamil hota hoon, usay bachate hue.

Halaanki, USD/JPY pair ka tareekh yeh bata raha hai jab waqt woh nahi lag raha tha jo woh dikh raha tha. Keemat aage barh sakti hai aur range ko retest kar sakti hai - yeh normal baat hai. Simple shabdon mein, pair ki keemat lambay arse tak aik raaste mein chal sakti hai. Deposit ko nuksan pahuncha sakti ek aise utarna ko bachane ke liye, ek stop order ka istemal karne ki salaah hai.



Aur 15-minute chart par bhi ek hint hai. Price 153.05 ke level tak gir sakti hai. Yeh manzar mumkin hai. Agar hamare tajziye sahi hain, toh hum bharosa se ek short position khol sakte hain. Chart dekhein aur apne nateejo par pahunchen. Is haftay mein market ke ehsaas mein kham maor parivartan hone ka inkaar hai, jo ke behad tanavdar economic data release ki wajah se hoga jo United States dollar (USD) aur Japanese yen (JPY) dono par asar dalta hai. Economic calendar par aham yaanian Tokyo ke baray mein baray elaanaat shamil hain, jese ke Consumer Price Index (CPI), Monetary Policy Statement, aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) Press Conference, jo mozi farokhtaron ko favor kar sakte hain market mein. Isi dauran, United States mein, pivotal economic indicators ki ek silsile se USD ke taraf sentiment ko shape karenge. Ye sabak Advanced Manufacturing Index, Advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, New Home Sales data, Unemployed statistics, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, aur Inflation Rate shamil hain. Saath he USD/JPY market, jo traders ke dwara tezi se dekha ja raha hai, in developments se bepanah asar andaz ho sakta hai. USD ki performance khaaskar zyada nigrani mein rahegi due to the array of economic reports being released. Traders aur investors inn events ke natijon ko keenly analyze karenge taa ke USD ke khilaaf JPY ki taraf se taqat aur raasta ka andaza lagaya jaa sake.

Aam tor par, hamein tez volatility aur market sentiment mein possible shifts ke liye taiyaari karni chahiye. Inn economic indicators ke interaction se trading strategies aur investment decisions pakege is hafte mein, jabke market participants data releases ke USD/JPY exchange rate par asar samajhne ke liye analysis karenge. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY market agle kuch ghanton mein 155.00 ke agle resistance zone ko cross kar lega. Halaanki, USD/JPY se related incoming news par nazar rakhna bhi ahem hai. Ek kamyaab trading week guzarain aur shaant rahain.

Talaash mode ki tareeqay se mukhtalif currency pairs ke liye ahem support line 155.65 se neeche girne aur phir 155.35 aur phir 155.15 ki taraf jaane ki sambhavna hai. Koi surat mein yeh extreme critical 155.00 ke mukhtalif aur sakt level ke par nahi jayega kyunki yeh ek bada downtrend ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Yeh ahem level hain jo asani se market mein high-risk aur positioning changes ka nateeja de sakte hain. Accha hai ke note kiya jaaye ke currency pair ko kisi bhi comments se, ya toh Japanese regulator ya phir geopolitical news se asar pad sakta hai. Isliye zyada flexibility aur tayari har tarah ki mushkilato ka samna karne ke liye kaafi ahem hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne aaj Asia session mein ache dynamics dikhaye hain growth mein, Bank of Japan ke interest rate ko be-yaqeeni karar na dene ke baad. Yeh aksar central bank ki be-yaqeeni muddat thi jo surprise banne ki umeed thi. Bilkul haqeeqat mein, peechle hafto mein yen ne apni dollar ke muqable mein kamzori ka urooj kar liya hai, aur is tarah yeh ek indicator hai ke pasandidgi taqatwar tareqon se greenback ki taraf mael ho gayi hai. Is wajah se ye ek khoobsurat mauqa chorta hai downside correction ke liye kyunki traders apne munafe ko book karenge aur apni portfolios ko market dynamics mein mumkin tabdeeliyon ke liye posicion karenge.
Ab, sab nigrani Japanese regulator par hai ek statement ke liye Asian time 18:30 par. Bank of Japan ke head, Haruhiko Kuroda ki taqreerain Central Bank aur mustaqbil mein policy mein mumkin tabdeeliyon ke bare mein sochein gi. Dosra bohot ahem key foci honge geopolitical events jo risk sentiment mein achanak tabdeeliyan la sakte hain, American market ke khulne, aur mukhtalif currencies mein aane wale flows. Halaanki, ek choti samanthi decline ko indicator ne subah ke pehle din mein dikha sakti hai. Magar, barqarar honay ke lie barhtay huye momentum ki jari rakhne ka mukhtalif scenario ata hai bullish drivers aur technical signals ke asar se. Is waqt, paisa pair ke liye mahol barqarar hai aur markazi mukhalif darja 155.65 par hai. Yeh resistance level ne acha sarkon mein kaafi muddat se pair ki harkat ko rukawat lagayi hai, isliye, acha break up dikhata hai ke momentum ke tabadala bulls ke sath hai. Traders 156.75 aur 157.25 ki taraf nishana lagane ke liye us level ke upar kharide ke imkano ki talash mein rahenge. Yeh levels kafi technical aur strategic hain, isliye woh shayad bullish dynamics ke mazeed taraqi ka saath dein.

Yeh talaash mode ka aik hissa ban sakta hai agar currency pair 155.65 ke support zone ke neeche girta hai 155.35 ke taraf aur phir 155.15. Halaanki, yeh critical strong 155.00 se neeche jaana nahi chahiye, jo shayad ek bearish downtrend ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Yeh important ilaqay hain jo traders ko monitor karna chaheenge, kyunke yeh risk zones aur market positions mein bade tabdeeliyan la sakte hain. Kisi ko yad rakhna chahiye ke Japanese regulator ya kisi bhi geopolitical event ke comments USDJPY pair par asar dal sakta hai. Is tarah ke halaat mein, ek trader ke liye wazni hai ke woh samajhdar ho ke woh flexible rahe aur kisi bhi bullish upside ya bearish downside ki mushkilaton ka muqabla karne ke liye tayar rahe.

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis


USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. Bulls pehle resistance ko todne ki koshish ki further bullish trend-based movement ke liye lekin resistance ka samna kiya, jiski wajah se aik developing pullback hua. Main pivot level tak ka pullback ka intezar karta hoon, jo ke ek upward rebound ki taraf le ja sakta hai, fresh momentum ya underlying -100 EMA ke zariye. Agar bears -100 EMA ke neeche bandhi rahe, to sales opportunities ka mauqa mil sakta hai, jo ke subsequent -200 EMA ke neeche consolidation ka target ban sakta hai, jo ke ek upward bounce ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yen ki hamesha ki kamzorion aur Bank of Japan ki passive stance ke bawajood, hum yen pair mein ek mazboot upward trajectory maintain kar rahe hain, local highs ke qareeb 155 ke aas paas, jise further izaafat ki kafi manzoori hai.


Chaar ghanto ke timeframe par ascending medium-term trend last USDJPY technical analysis ke baad bhi mojood hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo bullish sentiment ko signal karta hai aur long positions ko favor karta hai. Halankeh Stochastic indicator resistance zone mein hover karta hai, haal ki sessions ne sustained bullish movement dekha hai, jisme bulls pehla short-term trend target ke qareeb pahonch rahe hain, jo ke 154.96 ke aas paas hai. Intraday growth benchmarks mein classic Pivot resistances shamil hain, jis mein 155.29 ke upar potential break, naye upward wave ko trigger kar sakta hai 155.96 ki taraf. Abhi ke waqt mein lagta hai ke 153.49 ke aas paas mazboot support hai. Overall market sentiment mainly American market ke trading activity ke zariye prabhavit hai, khaaskar kyonke horizon par major statistical releases ki kami hai. Isliye, traders aur investors closely US market ke developments monitor kar rahe hain takay overall market sentiment ka direction estimate kar saken aur is ke mutabiq informed trading decisions le saken. Main abhi bhi caution maintain karta hoon current levels par khareedari ke liye, main 155 ke upar opportunities ka intezar karta hoon, jahan selling signals ke liye nazar rakhoonga.

Market tezi se uptrend par hai, daily mein barhte hue, jo entry opportunities dhoondhna mushkil bana raha hai. Market bohot hi volatile hai, sudden reversals traders ko surprise kar sakti hain. Magar hum margin techniques ka istemal karke 156.35 ke qareeb target set kar sakte hain, jo ke 155.13-55 ke aage extended uptrend ko reflect karega. Jab pair yeh level tak pohchega, toh margin correction sanbhav hai. Market ab extreme overbought conditions display kar raha hai, sustained bullish momentum 154.79 ke daily pivot level ke upar. Agar bullish trend kamzor hota hai aur 154.62 ke neeche gir jata hai, toh further gains cancel ho sakte hain, haan ke intraday mein. Magar agar pullback margin intraday trading boundaries ko hota hai, toh yeh current analysis ke liye namumkin hai.



Sab se latest khabar yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ne 34 saal ke high tak tezi dikhayi, 155.00 resistance level ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. Is ne Japanese Finance Minister Suzuki ko yen ko barhane ke liye intervention ka khatra dikhaya. Wazeh raat se US manufacturing PMI April mein 51.9 se gir kar 49.9 par aaya, jabke service sector PMI 51.7 se 50.9 par gira. Doosri taraf, aik Japanese Ministry of Finance survey yeh deta hai ke taqreeban 70% Japanese companies plan karte hain ke fiscal year 2024 mein pays barhane ke liye. Is tarah, assets khareedne ke levels se jese ke 154.00 aur 153.33 recommended hai, ek potential growth tak 155.53 ki taraf. Agar resistance 154.98 aurat taza declines ko trigger karta hai, toh woh kuch selling opportunities de sakta hai. False breakdowns 155.05 ke signal hai continued declines ke liye, khas tour par agar 154.95 se rebound karta hai. 154.95 ke neeche jaana bearish signal ko indicate kar sakta hai, false breakout ke saath reinforce. Resistance 154.80 bhi declines ko extend kar sakta hai, sustained decline ki taraf neeche jaane ka signal dete hue.

USD/JPY market ka taqreban saa achae takraina sawar hai, jise H1 time frame dekhte waqt numainda taur par zahir hota hai. Ye neeche ki manzil ke trend ka aksar movement ke zariye saamne ata hai, jo candlesticks ke movement ke through zahiri hota hai, jo ke moving average line ke neeche trading positions ko numaind karti hain. Magar is neeche ki momentum ke beach, bearish activity mein rukawat ke mumalik suboot hain. Ye phenomenon khaas tor par zahir ho jata hai jab pehle wali neeche ki movement oversold territory mein chali jati hai, jo ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings ke mutabiq hota hai. Jab bazar observers USD/JPY market ke dynamics ko tajziya karte hain, tou barhne wale barish sentiment ke mutalliq wazeh hojata hai ke dominant mareez barish sentiment ko yaqeeni tor par mouqif bana chuke hain. Ye jazbat uchit tor par price action mein zahir hote hain, jahan candlesticks neeche moving average ke neeche qayam rakhte hain, jo ke neeche dabaav ka mazboot ishara dete hain. Aise price behavior ne zahir kiya hai ke market sentiment jo hai, USD ke depreciation ke liye jo USD ke barabar hai, ke liye favor kar rahe hain, ek ahem trend ko numaind karte hue.



Technical analysis mein gehraai se ghusna, H1 time frame market participants ke liye lens ki tarah kaam karta hai jahan price movements ke complexities ko scrutinize karte hain. Is framework ke andar, candles ki neeche ki manzil market dynamics ka wazeh tasveer paint karti hai, har neeche ki movement prevailing bearish sentiment ko mazboot karti hai. Ye barqarar neeche ki momentum market ke ander basic trend ko numaind karta hai, bearish forces ke isteemal hai influence ka dabaav dete hue. Magar, bearish sentiment ka zahirana tajammul ke beach, chand halkay magar ahem signs hain jo neeche ke momentum mein rukhsat ke mumkin nishaan hain. Ye khaas tor par RSI readings mein zahir hota hai, jo ke oversold territory mein venture karte hain-eik zone jo amber ke trend mein reversals ya pauses ke sath jura hota hai. Oversold shara't ke ittefaq ke mutabiq, broad downward trend ke sath ek potential inflection point ka shaoor zahir hota hai, jo traders ko ehtiyaat aur nazdiki tor se monitor aur development ko dekhne ke liye mashwara deti hai.

Jumla tor par, jab USD/JPY market H1 time frame par zahir neeche ki taraf trend show kar ra hai, bearish momentum mein rukhawat ke mushahida ka numaind hone wale sign ki pehan gnawahi mustaqil monitor ki zaroorat hai. Market participants ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, kyun ke prevailing trends aur technical indicators ke darmiyan interplay future price movements ki aham information provide kar sakti hain.

: USD/JPY Pair: Monetary Policy and Market Analysis

USD/JPY pair ka arth matlab hai ke United States ke Federal Reserve aur Japan ke Bank of Japan ki maeeshati policies ke darmiyan zirayati sethi ke glitch. Halanke Federal Reserve ki zirayati policy ka asar United States dollar ke qeemat ko shakal dene mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. Hal hal mein, Federal Reserve ne qeemat ki stabilziation aur iqtisadi taraqqi ko madad karne ke liye darajat-e-bandi ko daryaft karne ki policy apnaai hai. Zyada darajat-e-bandi as aam tor par ghair mulki investement ko buland karti hai, jis se United States dollar digar currency, jese ke Japanese yen ke muqable mein qadri izafa hasil karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki quantitative easing measures aur maeeshati izafe ke packages ne United States ki maeeshat ko mazeed taqwiyat di, investoron ke itmenan ko barhaya aur dollar ke liye darmandi ko barhawa diya

Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ne dairh saalon se taqreeban beemari ki dabav aur kamzi iqtisadi taraqqi ke jawab mein aik sakht accommodationist zirayati policy apnaai hai. BOJ ne behtareen quantitative easing measures apnaai hain, jin mein baray paimane par assests ki khareedari aur manfai asrate ghatiwai hain, takay maizor inflation ko faraham kiya jaye aur iqtisadi faaliat ko ziada kiya jaye. Magar, yeh measures dollar ke muqable mein yen ka aik lamba muddati waqt ke liye depreciate honay ka bhi sabab ban gaye hain, jabke investors dosri jagon par ziada munafa talash karte hain

Zirayati policy ke ilawa, iqtisadi data releases aur siyasi mahwaray bhi USD/JPY pair par asar andaz hoti hain. Ahem iqtisadiClick image for larger version


Mazeed risk management ke lie, mein kam se kam aik ta se teen tuk mazeed munafa ka nisab qaim rakhta hoon aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategy ko adjust karta hoon. Munafa ke zone tak pohanchte hi, mein hisson mein positions ko band karta hoon aur baki ko breakeven par le jata hoon. 20 points ke moayyan stop orders ka istemal mukhtalif market scenarios mein risk management ko barqarar rakhta hai. Halankeh pechle haftay ke trading performance ka andaza lagana jaldi hai, lekin wazeh hai ke buyers 154.69 level (Murray 7.8) ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ke price channel ka ban jana yeh dikhata hai ke ek upper boundary ko specified resistance ke sath align kar liya gaya hai aur ek lower boundary 154 ke figure ke qareeb ko chun kar Kijun H4 line ke saath milti hai. Jab tak mojooda uptrend apni rafter kho na deti hai, reversal ki sochna abhi jaldi hai.

Taqreban her market maishat ke mukhtalif ishaaray mujheyaad karate hain, aur mukhtalif time frames ka istemal hamen zyada asli aur haqeeqi trading mauqe dhoondne mein madad karti hai. Abhi hum USDJPY currency pair ki price development ka nigrani kar rahe hain. Hamare kiye gaye tajziye ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke price mazeed girne ka samna kar sakta hai taake ek correction ho sake. Area jisme hamen tawajjo deni chahiye woh 5/10 low-marking moving average hai, jo ke price range 154,929 se 155,117 tak hai. Assumption yeh hai ke price umeedon ke mutabiq upar jaari rahenga, hume trading decisions lena start karne se pehle push ki taqat ko samajhna zaroori hai.
Market conditions ko samjhe bina hamen shoruwat nahi leni chahiye. Is liye, hamara tawajjo ab ek kaafi wazeh resistance level ko ek aham factor ki tarah dekh rahe hain aaj ke trading mein. Market dynamics ko samajhne aur moving averages aur resistance areas jese ahem levels ko pehchaanne se, hum zyada peemature aur kaar gar trading strategies tayyar kar sakte hain. Har ishaare aur indicator ko dhyaan se samajhna aur uski taweel taaqat karna sahi trading decisions lena ka key hai. Taseeri aur strategy se approach karke, hum potential profit ko optimize kar sakte hain aur ramiyon ko behtar tareekay se manage kar sakte hain. Halan ke forex market hamesha dinamic aur pur-yaqeen hoti hai, lekin gehri analitcism aur aam tor par pesh ki jane wale tareekay se, hum phir bhi har mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain jo samne aata hai aur umeed ke mutabiq trading ke natayej haasil kar sakte hain.

Maine USD-JPY ki technical analysis se daily time frame se se yeh zaroorat khatam hoti hai. Waha ek aur resistance level hai jo bullish movements ke liye lakshan ke roop mein dekha jata hai, lekin daily se bhi bada time frame hone ke bawajood, walaugh USD-JPY dekhta hai ke yeh bullish trend condition mein hai, mere khyal se USD-JPY mein mazeed potential hai ke woh bullish jaari rahe, aur jab bullish taaqat hoti hai to yeh kya hota hai, yeh ek dilchaspi ki entry-buy waqt ho sakta hai.

US Dollar / Yen currency pair ki 4-hour timeframe par kia gaya tajziya dekhta hai ke Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator, RSI, aur MACD oscillators teemam isharon ko de rahay hain jo ke munafa bakhsh trading opportunities ke liye mawafiq nazar aatay hain. Pehli degree ki regression line urooj karti hui dikh rahi hai, jis se saaf hota hai ke ek mazboot trend shumal ki taraf hai. Is ke ilava, anay wali manzil ko tajwez ke liye istemal hone wala ghair khati channel bhi urooj par hai, jo ke tafseel se quotes ki izafa ki taraf ishara deta hai.
Keemat ne abhi haal hi mein linear regression channel ke resistance line ko cross kiya aur aik buland keemat tak pohancha, phir girna shuru kiya. Is waqt, upkaran 157.744 ke keemat level par trade kar raha hai. Is tajziya par mabni hokar is umeed hai ke keemat wapas aaye gi aur channel line ke neeche jam jaaye gi, mazeed FIBO levels ki taraf girte hue.

Tajziya darust karta hai ke aik sale transaction mein dakhil hona mojooda ho sakta hai, RSI aur MACD indicators abhi overbought zone mein hain, jo ke keemat mein possible neeche ki taraf movement ko support karte hain. Traders ko tajziya darust karte huye keemat ki action ko qareeb se nazar andaz karna chahiye aur airdrop ke mauqay ko talash karna chahiye takay keemat neeche ki taraf chalne ki ummeed hai.

Istehsal karte hue, US Dollar / Yen currency pair ki 4-hour timeframe par ki tajziya aik neeche ki taraf movement ko darust karta hai, jis se traders ko ek sale position pe fawaid hasil karne ka mauqa diya jata hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke bazaar ke dynamics ke mutabiq chust rehna aur market mein munasib decisions lene ke liye tayyar rehna takay munafa ko ziada se ziada barha sakein.

US Dollar / Yen currency pair ki 4-hour timeframe par ki tajziya ke mutabiq, aik possible neeche ki taraf movement ko dekhte hue traders ko aik sale position ke liye munafa haasil karne ka mauqa nazar aata hai. Market dynamics ke liye samajhdar rehna aur trading decisions ko barhkast karne ke liye barqarar rehna maamooli taur par zaroori hai.

Main USD/JPY pair ko 15-minute chart par tajziya kar raha hoon. Bank of Japan ki statement ke baad, pair ne neeche ki taraf correction kiya. Yeh bewaqoofi ke aik aamla ki tarah thi. Iske baad, yeh peechle high ko upar break kiya, aur jab koshish ki gayi ke neeche correction kiya jaye, to buying limits trigger hue. Yeh aur upar ki taraf potential dikhane laga. Main yeh samajh gaya ke pair 157.699 resistance level tak pohanchega. Abhi to yeh level tak pohanch chuka hai, aur mujhe sellers se koi selling pressure nazar nahi aata. Isliye, main umeed karta hoon ke pair mazeed upar 159.370 level ki taraf jaari rahega. USD/JPY mein Jumma ko, thori jhuki hui southern pullback ke baad aur peechle din ke low ka dobara test karne ke baad, keemat ulta aur strong bullish impulse ke zor se urooj karti gayi, jis se aik full northern candle ban gaya jo aasani se resistance level, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 156.000 par tha, ko toot kar confident taur par ooper band hoti gayi. Mojudah manzar ke mutabiq, main poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke next week urooj wala movement jaari rahega, aur is moqay par, jaisa ke maine pehle keh diya tha, main resistance level 160.400 par nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, do mumkinah sceanrios ho sakti hain. Pehla scenario yeh shamil hai ke keemat is level ke upar consolidate ho aur mazeed growth ho. Agar yeh manzoor ho jata hai, to main price ko resistance level 164.500 ki taraf move karte hue dekhunga. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, mujhe market ka further direction determine karne main madadgar trading setup ka banne ka tawakkul rahega. Bila shuba, main yeh bhi ghor karta hoon ke muqarara urooj wale maqasid ki taraf movement ke doran, southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jise main mazeed northern trend ke aghaz ki ummeed rakhta hoon. Price 160.400 resistance level ke qareeb jaate waqt keemat ke liye anay wale alternative scenario mein aik paln shaamil ho sakta hai jo ke ek reversal candle ka banne aur keemat ki neeche ki taraf movement ka phir se aghaz ho sakta hai. Agar yeh plan amal mein laaya gaya hai, to main keemat ko 156.000 support level ki taraf move karte hue dekhunga. Is support level ke qareeb, main mazeed upward price movement ka aghaz hote hue bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhoonga. Dua hai ke mazeed dour ke special southern maqasid ka bhi nishan ho sakta hai, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq, 153.587 aur 152.589 par mojood hain. Magar agar muqarara plan amal mein laaya gaya hai, to main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhoonga, aur mazeed upward price movement ka aghaz hone ki umeed rakhoonga. Mukhtasaran, agle haftay main main umeed karta hoon ke urooj wala movement locally jaari rahega aur nazdeek tareen resistance level ki taraf jaega, aur phir main apni strategy ko market ke conditions ke mutabiq adjust karunga.

USDJPY ke USD aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan taqat ka manzar do din tak musbat raha. Keemat barhti rahi hai jo ke darshata hai ke US dollar bohot mazboot hai aur yen mein kuch kamzori mehsoos hoti hai jab ke keemat naye urooj tak pohanch rahi hai. Jab yeh tajwez tayar kiya gaya tha, to USDJPY ka exchange rate 155.60 tha. 30 minute waqt frame par moving averages, pair ke liye aik short-term bullish trend dikhate hain. Yani ke US Dollar ke khareedaron ka dabao hai aur keemat mojooda seel se barhne ka imkan hai. USDJPY ke leye 26 April, 2024 ke tajwez ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke keemat ko theek karne ke liye ek koshish ho sakti hai aur keemat 155.25 ke area ke qareeb ek support area ko test kar sake. Uske baad, keemat wapas opar uth sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair mein barhte hue, shayad 157.75 ke level se upper pohanch sake.
USD/JPY currency pair ke barhne ke ishaare mein ek sign yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke agar yeh relative strength index (RSI) par ek support line ko test kare. Doosra signal yeh ho sakti hai agar keemat bullish channel ke lower border se ijtanab karne ke baad wapas aaye. Agar Dollar/Yen currency pair ke liye barhne ka option na ho aur keemat $154.35 ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh keemat support area tute hue ho sakta hai, aur pair mehsoos kar sakta hai ke woh girta rahay. Is surat mein, hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke pair keemat ko girtay hue neeche 150.65 ke level se niche rahne de. Agar resistance level ko tor diya jata hai aur keemat $156.35 ke area ke upper consolidate hoti hai, to keemat barhne ka tasdeeq mil sakta hai.



Jumerat ka intraday trading ke liye tajwez deta hai ke ek koshish ki ja sakti hai ek support area ko 155.25 ke level ke qareeb test karne ki. Uske baad, keemat barhti rahi sakti hai, shayad 157.75 ke level se upar pohanch sake. Relative strength index (RSI) par trend line ko test kar ke pair ke barhne ko support mil sakta hai. Agar pair ke barhne ka option na ho aur keemat 154.35 ke area ko toor deti hai, to yeh iska matlab ho sakta hai ke support level toot gaya hai, aur pair girte rahay, shayad 150.65 ke level se neeche pohanch sakte hain.