𝐍𝐙𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

NZD/USD Trends ki Tehqiqat

NZD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein kafi volatile journey dekhi hai. Kal ke trading session mein price ne stagnant rahkar thoda niche dip kiya, jisse ek choti si candle bani jo pichle din ke low se thodi niche thi. Yeh indecision market ke hesitation aur uncertainty ko dikhati hai.

Aaj ke trading session mein sentiment mein significant shift dekha gaya. Asian trading session ke dauran, New Zealand se robust economic data release hua. Is news ne NZD/USD pair mein sharp decline ko trigger kiya, jisse clear downward momentum create hua. Is data ka impact immediate aur pronounced tha, jo pair ki economic indicators ke sensitivity ko highlight karta hai.



Is downward shift ke saath, ab attention critical support level 0.6048 par hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyunki yeh potential floor ko represent karta hai jahan buyers further declines ko rok sakte hain. Agar support 0.6048 par hold karta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound ke liye base provide kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh further downside potential ko signal kar sakta hai, possibly additional losses ke liye rasta khol sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair ke recent movements underscore karte hain ke economic developments ke saath attuned rehna kitna important hai. New Zealand ki economic performance, khas kar employment, inflation, aur GDP growth ke areas mein, pair ke trajectory ko shape karte rahenge. Iske ilawa, broader market sentiment, including risk appetite aur global economic trends, bhi NZD/USD pair ko influence karenge.




Traders ko upcoming economic releases ko closely monitor karna chahiye, dono New Zealand aur United States se. Employment reports, inflation figures, aur central bank policy statements jaise data significant impact dal sakte hain. Given current downward momentum, koi negative data decline ko exacerbate kar sakta hai, jabke positive surprises kuch relief offer kar sakti hain aur potentially recovery ko spark kar sakti hain.

Conclusion mein, NZD/USD pair currently notable volatility experience kar raha hai, jo strong economic data from New Zealand se driven hai. Support level 0.6048 ek key area hai jise watch karna chahiye, kyunki iski ability to hold or break pair ki near-term direction ko determine karegi. Traders ko vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye economic indicators ke saath, taake is dynamic market environment ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

NZD/USD M-30

Hello. Yahan mujhe standard market manipulation nazar aa rahi hai. Pichle price increases ne NZD/USD ke top par liquidity eliminate kar di, jise maine chart ke top par ek black rectangle se mark kiya hai. Pichle price declines ne bottom par liquidity eliminate kar di, jise maine chart ke bottom par ek black rectangle se mark kiya hai. Agar pichle price declines bottom par liquidity eliminate karte hain aur zyada market participants ko apni trading positions sell karne par majboor karte hain, to aise mein, is trading instrument ke price ko aur neeche dhakelne ka koi faida nahi hai, kyunki ho sakta hai neeche kuch aisa na ho jo smart money ko attract kare. Agar aisa hai, to NZD/USD ka scenario northern direction mein jaa sakta hai, aur is trend ke mutabiq, currency pair ka price north ja sakta hai. Agar hum ab 0.6120 tak accumulate karte hain, aur is case mein price wahan se girta hai, aur agar 0.6100 ka level price ko break hone nahi deta, to is scenario ke mutabiq, 0.6100 ke level se humein ek crazy upward flight dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jaise maine figure mein dikhaya hai.



NZD/USD H-4

Aakhri dinon mein, NZD pair ne kuch volatility dekhi hai. NZD hedge ke baad pair sharply gir gaya aur 0.6065 se neeche break bhi kiya, halan ke wahan ek false breakout tha. Kal pair ne achha rise dekha US dollar ki weakness ke wajah se, inflation ke baad, aur yahan session mein pura crash buy karna possible tha, jab isne 0.6125 se upar break kiya. Lekin aaj ek achha rollback aaya, kyunki 0.6075 se neeche break karna possible tha, lekin mein ise miss kar gaya. Khair, hum US mein kaise trade karte hain yeh important hai, kyunki sirf weekend hi nahi, balki PPI bhi hai. Isliye agar 0.6070 area tak drop hone ka possibility hai, to main wahan buy karunga.

Pesh-e-Nazar pur sukoon ke darmiyan, NZDUSD currency pair ne ek na-umeed nahin hone wali girawat ka samna kiya hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ka interest rate ka faisla, jo 5.5% par barqarar raha, ne bazaar mein tez girawat ka silsila shuru kar diya hai. Technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke girawat jari hai, aur MACD indicator behtareen sales ka ishaara kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke neeche gir gaya hai. Aane wale waqt mein is baat ka zyada imkaan hai ke price ka girna jari rahe, aur yeh support level 0.6050 tak bhi pohnch sakti hai, jo ke pichle trading week ka minimum hai. Halankeh agar 0.6113 ka resistance level tak upar ki taraf ek correction hoti hai to yeh behtar entry point ke liye ideal ho sakta hai, lekin aise rebound ke chances kam nazar aate hain. Is surat-e-haal mein, khareedari se gurez karna behtar hai aur chhote time frames ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye taake kisi potential downward continuation ka raasta dekha ja sake. Khass taur par, doosri currency pairs jaise ke euro-dollar, pound-dollar, aur Australian dollar bhi bearish bias dikhate hain, jo ke aane wale waqt mein American currency ke mazid majboot hone ka ishaara karte hain. United States Federal Reserve ke leader, Powell, ne haal hi mein ek taqreer ki hai. Yeh wazeh nahi ke woh aabadi se regular baat karte hain ya yeh sirf ek martaba ka event tha. Phir bhi, is taqreer ka bazaar par koi khaas asar nazar nahi aaya. Mere nazdeek, yeh samajhdari yeh hogi ke market ka pichle hafte ke low ko update hone ka intezaar kiya jaye aur phir kisi potential upward move ke baare mein socha jaye. Yeh ek behtareen entry point create kar sakta hai, jahan ek pehle se establish kiya gaya resistance level M15 chart par support level mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Agar aisa pattern samne aata hai, to yeh girawat ke baad ek upward correction ka faida uthane ka ek mauka ho sakta hai.

Technical Analysis of New Zealand dollar/US dollar

NZD pichle hafta 0.6126 ka barier toor ne mein na kamiyab raha aur ab 0.6082 ke lower end tak gir gaya hai. Magar, quotes ne yahan asli support mila aur niche nahi gaye. Iske bawajood, price signal zone ke upar stabilize nahi ho payi aur bas ek qadam door hai breakout se. Saath hi, price chart ab super-trending red zone mein move kar raha hai, jo sellers ke pressure ko dikhata hai.

Technical analysis ke hawale se dekha jaye to aaj price 50-day simple moving average ke niche chal rahi hai, aur ek bearish head and shoulders technical formation bhi dikh rahi hai. Agle kuch ghanton mein bearish trend dekhne ko mil sakta hai jahan pehla target 0.6109 ka hoga, aur downside continue hoti nazar aa sakti hai 0.5940 aur 0.6159 tak, jo bearish pattern ke official targets hain. Dusri taraf, agar price upside breakout hoti hai aur 0.6089 ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh temporary bearish scenario ko turant rok degi aur pair ko upar recover karne par majboor karegi, to hum 0.6109 aur 0.6090 ko appropriate samjhte hain. Neeche diya gaya chart dekhein:



Pair abhi apne ek-week low ke niche moderately trade kar raha hai. Key support area zyada pressure mein hai aur lagbhag toot gaya hai jab price reversal level ke niche break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo preferred vector mein downward shift ki high probability ko dikhata hai. Yeh confirm karne ke liye, price ko jald hi 0.6082 level ko break karna hoga, jo main resistance zone ki boundary ban sakta hai. Is level ka retest aur confident rebound ek mauka dega decline ko continue karne ka, jo area 0.5995 aur 0.5921 ke beech target karega.

Agar price ne finally 0.6126 reversal level ko break kiya, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.

New Zealand dollar mein Wednesday ko tezi dekhi gayi.

North American session mein, NZD/USD 0.6102 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke din ka 0.34% zyada hai. Pehle, NZD/USD 0.90% tak barh gaya tha phir wapas aaya. U.S. inflation unexpected 3.0% par aa gayi. June ki U.S. inflation 3.0% y/y hui, jo ke May ke 3.3% se kam aur market estimates 3.1% se bhi neeche thi.

Yeh June 2023 se sab se kam inflation rate hai. Month-on-month basis par, CPI 0.1% gir gaya, jo ke May se kam aur market estimates 0.1% se bhi neeche tha. Yeh pehli monthly inflation reading hai jo May 2020 se kam hui hai. Core CPI bhi June mein gir gaya.

Year-over-year, core CPI 3.3% y/y par aa gaya, jo ke May ke 3.4% se aur market estimates 3.4% se bhi kam hai. Monthly core CPI 0.1% se 0.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke market estimate 0.2% se neeche tha. Surprise CPI decline ne dollar ko zyadatar major currencies ke against kamzor kar diya, kyun ke rate cuts ki expectations September mein 86% tak barh gayi, jo ke CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq 69% thi. Fed ne rate hikes par cautious stance rakha hai aur Powell rate cut ke timing par clear nahi hain.

Dekhna yeh hai ke weak inflation news ke baad Fed thoda dovish sound karta hai ya nahi. New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank Wednesday ki meeting mein expected se zyada dovish tha aur New Zealand dollar tezi se gir gaya. Markets ne end of the year tak rate cut expect nahi kiya tha magar central bank ke surprise reversal ne rate cut ki expectations jaldi, shayad 14 August ke next meeting se pehle, barha di.

New Zealand food prices 0.3% year-on-year June mein gir gayi, jab ke May mein 0.2% barhi thi. March 2018 ke baad pehli baar food prices giri hain.

Month-on-month basis par, food prices June mein 1% barhi, jab ke May mein 0.2% gir gayi thi. Aaj baad mein, New Zealand June ka Manufacturing PMI release karega. PMI expect kiya ja raha hai ke June mein 46.8 par gir jaaye, jab ke May mein yeh 47.2 tha. Yeh index ka 15th straight slide hoga, kyun ke construction itne arse se stagnant hai aur koi end nazar nahi aa raha. NZD/USD Technology NZD/USD pehle 0.6095 aur 0.6125 ke resistance ko cross karke phir wapas aaya. Agla resistance line 0.6168 par hai 0.6052 aur 0.6022 support provide karengi.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis (12-7-2024):

Aaj ka Tajziya:

Market ka tajziya karne ke baad, aaj aap NZD/USD pair khareed sakte hain. Agar price 0.6071 level se neeche girti hai, to ye short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar dega.

Market aane wale trading sessions mein 0.6129 level ko hit karega. Lekin safe trading ke liye, aap apni aadhi trading position 0.6149 par close kar sakte hain.

Daily Outlook:

Kal market ne 0.6074 level par open hui. Kal ke trading session mein isne 0.6129 ka high aur 0.6072 ka low touch kiya. To, kal ka trading range takriban 59 pips tha aur market sentiment bullish hai. Market daily pivot level par trade kar raha hai aur yahan se bullish move ke saath upar ja sakta hai.

H4 Outlook:

Daily time frame ke mutabiq pair side-way trend mein hai. Lekin filhal ye bullish trend mein hai. Neeche kuch reasons diye gaye hain:
- Kal market weekly support level 0.6061 ko hit kiya.
- RSI4 is level par oversold ho gaya.
- Weekly support level par bullish piercing line pattern nazar aya.
- Bullish piercing line pattern ke baad doosri bullish candlesticks bhi ayi, jo market ki bullish strength ko confirm karti hain.

Hourly Outlook:

Market agle dinon mein upward direction mein move karega. Neeche kuch price actions likhe hain:
- Pair ne ek falling trendline ko upside par break kiya.
- Ye EMA-30 ke upar move kar raha hai.
- Ye daily pivot level ke upar open hua.

Tajurba:

Mujhe forex trading ka das saal ka tajurba hai. Main abhi bhi success hasil karne ke liye mehnat kar raha hoon. Aap apna feedback PM mein de sakte hain. Ye mujhe meri trading career mein madad dega. Aap ke support ka shukriya, aur aap ko aik accha weekend mubarak ho.

NZD/USD currency pair ne filhaal ek clear bearish trend dikhaya hai recent price action analysis mein, jo market mein selling pressure ke prevailing sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Analysts aur traders is downward movement ko closely observe kar rahe hain, jahan projected targets further declines ka indication de rahe hain.

Latest analysis ke mutabiq, is pair ne do significant support levels identify kiye hain jo traders closely monitor kar rahe hain. Support 1 0.6107 par situated hai, jabke Support 2 thoda neeche 0.6090 par hai. Ye levels crucial hain kyunki ye potential areas represent karte hain jahan downward momentum temporarily pause ho sakta hai ya buyers price ko support karne ke liye step in kar sakte hain.

Traders in support levels ke around strategize kar rahe hain aur inhe apni trading setups ke liye pivotal decision points samajh rahe hain. Agar NZD/USD pair in levels ke qareeb aata hai, toh traders support hold karne par potential bounce opportunities anticipate kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar in levels ke neeche break hota hai, toh ye continued bearish pressure signify kar sakta hai, jo downtrend ko aage extend kar sakta hai.

Current market sentiment NZD/USD ke liye caution suggest karta hai, aur focus downside risk par hai. Analysts broader economic indicators aur geopolitical developments ko bhi factor kar rahe hain jo pair ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain. Factors jaise ke US economic data releases, global trade tensions, aur riskier assets ke towards market sentiment shifts, sabhi New Zealand dollar ke US dollar ke against trajectory ko impact kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, NZD/USD currency pair filhaal bearish bias ke under hai recent price action analysis ke base par. Traders key support levels 0.6107 aur 0.6090 ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo ke critical points par market reactions ke potential opportunities anticipate kar rahe hain. Evolving market conditions ke sath vigilance aur adaptation zaroori hogi taake NZD/USD pair mein potential trading opportunities ko navigate kiya ja sake.

Explanation of NZD/USD Currency Pair

NZD is often considered a higher risk currency, so it tends to rise when market sentiment is positive. Additionally, New Zealand released its inflation figures on Monday, which were better than analysts' expectations. As a result of this higher inflation, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may be forced to tighten its policy, which could strengthen the NZD.

New Zealand relies heavily on its agricultural sector, which is traded internationally without any subsidies or tariffs, so the NZD/USD pair could be traded for various financial reasons unrelated to the local economy or production.

The New Zealand markets are among the first to open at the start of a new trading day, and sometimes banks and traders take advantage of this fact to position trades based on expected events for the upcoming day. The value of NZD/USD is influenced by the value of the New Zealand dollar in relation to the U.S. dollar and other currencies.

The interest rate differential between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the U.S. Federal Reserve affects the value of these currencies when compared to each other. For example, when the Federal Reserve intervenes in open market activities to strengthen the U.S. dollar, the value of the NZD/USD cross may decrease, while the U.S. dollar strengthens against the New Zealand dollar.

The New Zealand dollar is considered a carry trade currency because it is a relatively high-yielding currency. Investors often buy the NZD and fund it with lower-yielding currencies such as the Japanese yen or Swiss franc.

Technical analysis provides further insight into potential future movements of the NZD/USD pair. Currently, the pair is near a critical support level. If it breaks below this level, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend, leading to further decline.

Conversely, if the pair holds above this support level and starts to rebound, it could indicate a reversal and significant upward movement. Traders often use technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to identify trend reversals or continuations. For example, if the RSI indicates that the pair is in oversold territory, it could signal an upcoming rebound.

While the NZD/USD is currently facing a bearish trend and slow market movements, several factors suggest significant changes in the coming days. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, and technical analysis all point towards potential volatility. It will depend on whether the pair continues its bearish trajectory or faces a bullish reversal. Therefore, it is important for traders and investors to stay informed and be prepared to act on new developments that could impact the NZD/USD currency pair. A knowledgeable and experienced approach can be helpful in navigating potential shifts in this currency pair and taking advantage of emerging opportunities in the market.

North American session mein, NZD/USD 0.6102 par trade kar raha hai, din mein 0.34 ka izafa. Pehlay, NZD/USD 0.90 tak barh gaya tha magar phir wapas a gaya. U.S. mein mehngai achanak 3.0 tak gir gayi. June ki U.S. mehngai 3.0 y/y tak gir gayi, jo May mein 3.3 thi aur market estimate 3.1 tha. Yeh June 2023 se sabse kam mehngai ka rate hai. Mahana base par, CPI 0.1 gir gaya, jo May mein bhi kam tha aur market estimate 0.1 se bhi neeche tha. Yeh pehli martaba hai jab May 2020 ke baad se mahana mehngai ka rate itna kam dekha gaya. Core CPI itna exciting nahi tha magar June mein bhi yeh gir gaya. Year-over-year core CPI 3.3 y/y tak gir gaya, jo May mein 3.4 tha aur market estimate 3.4 tha. Mahana core CPI 0.1 se 0.2 tak gir gaya, jo market estimate 0.2 tha.

CPI ke surprise girawat ne dollar ko zyadatar major currencies ke against kamzor kar diya kyunke rate cuts ke chances September mein 86 tak barh gaye, jo pehle 69 thay, CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq. Fed ne rate hikes par conservative stance rakha hai aur Powell ne rate cut ke timing par khamoshi ikhtiyar ki hui hai. Dekhte hain ke Fed kamzor mehngai ki khabar ke baad kuch dovish sound karta hai ke nahi. New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank ne Wednesday ke meeting par ziada dovish stance liya aur New Zealand dollar tezi se gir gaya. Market ne year ke end tak rate cut expect nahi kiya tha magar central bank ke surprise reversal ne rate cut ke chances barha diye, shayad agle meeting 14 August se pehle. New Zealand food prices 0.3 year-on-year June mein gir gayi, May mein 0.2 gain ke baad. March 2018 ke baad pehli martaba food prices gir gayi hain.

Mahana base par, food prices June mein 1 barh gayi, May mein 0.2 decline ke muqablay mein. Aj New Zealand Manufacturing PMI release karega June ke liye. PMI expect hai ke June mein 46.8 tak girayega, May mein 47.2 tha. Yeh 15th straight slide hoga indicator ke liye, construction kaafi arsay se stagnant hai bina kisi end ke. NZD/USD Technology NZD/USD pehle resistance 0.6095 aur 0.6125 cross kar gaya tha magar phir wapas aa gaya. Agla resistance line 0.6168 par hai. 0.6052 aur 0.6022 support provide kareinge.

Yo, mere dost! Charts dekhne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj NZD/USD pair kharidna achha rahega. Lekin, agar price 0.6071 level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh short-term bullish trend ko khatam kar sakti hai.

Mere khayal mein, market agle trading sessions mein 0.6129 level ko hit karegi. Lekin safe khelne ke liye, shayad mujhe apni trading position ka aadha hisa 0.6149 par close kar dena chahiye.

Daily Outlook:
Kal market 0.6074 par khuli thi aur high 0.6129 aur low 0.6072 ko touch kiya tha. Yeh 59-pip trading range thi aur overall sentiment kaafi bullish hai. Market daily pivot level par chill kar rahi hai, to shayad yeh yahan se aur bhi upar ja sakti hai.

H4 Outlook:
Daily timeframe par, pair sideways trend mein thi, lekin ab yeh bullish mood mein hai. Yeh sab kuch is liye hai:
Market ne weekly support 0.6061 ko hit kiya, jo ek acha sign hai.
RSI4 oversold territory mein chala gaya tha, aur log kehte hain, "Jo neeche jata hai, wapas upar aata hai!"
Bullish piercing line pattern weekly support par dikhayi di, aur uske baad aur bullish candlesticks aayi, to bulls control mein hain.

Hourly Outlook:
Tayar ho jao, mere dost, kyunke yeh market agle kuch din mein upar jane wali hai. Yeh raha jo main dekh raha hoon:
Pair ne falling trendline ko break kiya, jo ek solid bullish signal hai.
Yeh EMA-30 ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo hamesha achha sign hota hai.
Aur yeh daily pivot level ke upar khuli hai, to bulls apni taqat dikha rahe hain.
To yeh raha sab kuch, dosto. 0.6071 level par nazar rakho, lekin iske ilawa, yeh ek solid buy opportunity lag rahi hai.

NZD/USD pair 0.6100 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur kai factors ki waja se pressure mein hai. Pehla driver kamzor New Zealand Business Manufacturing PMI hai, jo June mein 41.1 par aa gaya, jo 15wain muskasil mahine ki contraction aur pandemic ke baad se teesra sabse kam level hai. Yeh New Zealand ke manufacturing sector ki bigarti surat-e-haal ko zahir karta hai. Traders bhi US economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur Producer Price Index (PPI) shamil hain, jo US economy ke baare mein insights denge. Positive US economic indicators US dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain, jo NZD/USD pair par aur pressure dal sakte hain. Hal hi mein US CPI data ne inflation ke kam hone ka ishara diya, jisme core CPI dheemay pace par increase hua, Federal Reserve Chairman Oscar Gottsby ne 2% inflation target ko hasil karne par optimism zahir kiya. Yeh jaldi interest rate cuts ka potential zahir karta hai, jo US dollar ke liye faidamand ho sakte hain. Iske baraks, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne interest rates ko 5.5% par expect ke mutabiq barhaya lekin ek dovish tone apnaya, jo ke future rate cuts ka ishara deta hai agar inflation kam hoti hai. Yeh RBNZ ka hawkish monetary policy stance New Zealand dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Technically, NZD/USD pair bearish momentum zahir karta hai, jisme Stochastic Oscillator aur RSI indicators dono oversold conditions ko indicate karte hain. Immediate support 0.6050 par hai, iske baad 0.5980. Resistance levels 0.6150 aur 0.6220 par hain. Agar 0.6220 se upar break hota hai to bullish reversal ka signal mil sakta hai. Overall, NZD/USD pair kamzor economic data, dovish central bank, aur mazboot US dollar ke potential ki waja se downward pressure face kar raha hai. Halanki pair ne recent mahino mein resilience dikhayi hai, current bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke mazid downside risks mojood hain.

NZD/USD H4: 0.6148

As the market opens this Monday, the NZD/USD currency pair is showing bullish movements on the H4 chart, currently trading around the 0.6137 level. This analysis incorporates the OSMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator, which provides guidance on price movements and direction. The OSMA indicator is particularly useful for traders as it helps in identifying true price movements and the overall direction of the market. Since last Friday, the H4 chart indicates that the pair declined from the 0.6103 support level and has now confirmed bullish movements. The bounce from this support level suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend.


Attempts to break above the 20-day SMA have been short-lived, raising concerns about a potential pause in the short-term uptrend and a possible bearish reversal. While the negative slope of technical indicators is a cause for concern, there's still some room for maneuver. As long as the support zone of 0.6085-0.6095 holds, sellers can afford to be patient. A break below this area, however, could trigger a sharper decline. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages, both situated near 0.6060, could offer some temporary support in this scenario, preventing an immediate plunge towards the 0.5980-0.6000 zone. If the selling pressure persists and the NZD/USD breaks below this level, a further sharp drop to the 0.5940 area, where a key uptrend line sits, could be on the cards.

NZD/USD H4: 0.6148

In conclusion, considering the current analysis, NZD/USD shows potential for a corrective decline. Given the recent steep rise and resistance at 0.6137, caution is advised with a focus on short positions. Sell positions are recommended with a target around 0.6064 and a stop-loss at the nearest resistance of 0.6148.

NZD/USD Trends ka Gahra Jaiza

NZD/USD currency pair ne hal hi mein bohot utar chadhav dekha hai. Kal ke trading session mein indecision dekhne ko mili, jahan price zyada change nahi hui aur choti si candle bani jo pichle din ke low se thodi niche chali gayi. Ye indecision is baat ki nishani thi ke market apni agle move ko lekar hesitant aur uncertain thi.

Magar aaj ke trading session mein ek aham tabdeeli nazar aayi. Subah ke waqat, Asian trading session ke doran, New Zealand se majboot economic data release hui. Is khabar ne NZD/USD pair ko sharp decline ki taraf le gaya, aur clear downward momentum create hui. Is data ka asar foran aur zabardast tha, jo pair ki economic indicators ke liye sensitivity ko highlight karta hai.

Is downward shift ke saath, tawajjo ab critical support level 0.6048 par hai. Ye level bohot important hai kyun ke yeh aik potential floor represent karta hai jahan buyers aakar further declines ko rokh sakte hain. Agar support level 0.6048 hold karta hai, toh yeh ek base provide kar sakta hai ek potential rebound ke liye. Magar agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh yeh further downside potential ko signal kar sakta hai, aur zyada losses ka rasta khol sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair ke recent movements yeh baat wazeh karte hain ke economic developments ke sath saath rehna kitna zaroori hai. New Zealand ki economic performance, khas tor par employment, inflation, aur GDP growth ke areas mein, pair ke trajectory ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karegi. Iske ilawa, broader market sentiment, jisme risk appetite aur global economic trends shamil hain, bhi NZD/USD pair ko influence karenge.

Traders ko New Zealand aur United States se aanewali economic releases ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Data jaise employment reports, inflation figures, aur central bank policy statements pair par significant asar daal sakte hain. Given ke current downward momentum chal rahi hai, koi bhi negative data decline ko aur barha sakti hai, jabke positive surprises kuch relief de sakti hain aur ek recovery ko spark kar sakti hain.

Anjamatan, NZD/USD pair is waqt notable volatility ka samna kar rahi hai, jo New Zealand ke strong economic data se driven hai. Support level 0.6048 ek key area hai jo dekhne layak hai, kyun ke iski ability to hold ya break hi pair ke near-term direction ko tay karegi. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur economic indicators ko response karna chahiye taake is dynamic market environment ko effectively navigate kar saken.

Pesh-e-Nazar pur sukoon ke darmiyan, NZDUSD currency pair ne ek na-umeed nahin hone wali girawat ka samna kiya hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand ka interest rate ka faisla, jo 5.5% par barqarar raha, ne bazaar mein tez girawat ka silsila shuru kar diya hai. Technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke girawat jari hai, aur MACD indicator behtareen sales ka ishaara kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke neeche gir gaya hai. Aane wale waqt mein is baat ka zyada imkaan hai ke price ka girna jari rahe, aur yeh support level 0.6050 tak bhi pohnch sakti hai, jo ke pichle trading week ka minimum hai. Halankeh agar 0.6113 ka resistance level tak upar ki taraf ek correction hoti hai to yeh behtar entry point ke liye ideal ho sakta hai, lekin aise rebound ke chances kam nazar aate hain. Is surat-e-haal mein, khareedari se gurez karna behtar hai aur chhote time frames ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye taake kisi potential downward continuation ka raasta dekha ja sake. Khass taur par, doosri currency pairs jaise ke euro-dollar, pound-dollar, aur Australia




n dollar bhi bearish bias dikhate hain, jo ke aane wale waqt mein American currency ke mazid majboot hone ka ishaara karte hain. United States Federal Reserve ke leader, Powell, ne haal hi mein ek taqreer ki hai. Yeh wazeh nahi ke woh aabadi se regular baat karte hain ya yeh sirf ek martaba ka event tha. Phir bhi, is taqreer ka bazaar par koi khaas asar nazar nahi aaya. Mere nazdeek, yeh samajhdari yeh hogi ke market ka pichle hafte ke low ko update hone ka intezaar kiya jaye aur phir kisi potential upward move ke baare mein socha jaye. Yeh ek behtareen entry point create kar sakta hai, jahan ek pehle se establish kiya gaya resistance level M15 chart par support level mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Agar aisa pattern samne aata hai, to yeh girawat ke baad ek upward correction ka faida uthane ka ek mauka ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD ka Technical Analysis (12-7-2024):
Haal ka Price Movement
Aaj Wednesday ke din New Zealand dollar mein zor ka izafa dekha gaya. North American session mein, NZD/USD 0.6102 par trade kar raha hai, jo din mein 0.34% upar hai. Pehle, NZD/USD ne 0.90% tak ka izafa dekha tha lekin phir thoda wapas aa gaya. U.S. inflation ki achanak kami 3.0% par aa gayi. June mein U.S. inflation 3.0% y/y tak gir gayi, jo May mein 3.3% thi aur market ke andazay 3.1% se bhi kam thi.

Yeh inflation rate June 2023 ke baad sabse kam hai. Mahwari tor par, CPI 0.1% tak gir gaya, jo May mein bhi itna hi tha aur market ke andazay 0.1% se bhi kam tha. Yeh May 2020 ke baad se pehli dafa hai ke mahwari tor par inflation itna kam dekha gaya. Core CPI bhi utna exciting nahi tha lekin phir bhi June mein kam hua.

Year-over-year, core CPI 3.3% y/y tak gir gaya, jo May mein 3.4% tha aur market ke andazay 3.4% se bhi kam tha. Mahwari tor par, core CPI 0.1% tak gir gaya jo pehle 0.2% tha aur market ke andazay 0.2% se bhi kam tha. CPI mein achanak kami ne dollar ko zyada tar corporations ke against kamzor kar diya hai kyunki rate cuts ke andazay 86% tak barh gaye hain September ke liye, jo pehle 69% the. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, Fed ne rate hikes ke maamle mein cautious stance rakhkha hai aur Powell ne rate cuts ke timing ke baare mein kuch kehne se katra raha hai.

Dekhte hain agar Fed weak inflation news ke baad kuch soft stance le. New Zealand mein, Reserve Bank ne Wednesday ke meeting mein expected se zyada soft stance rakha aur New Zealand dollar zor se gir gaya. Markets ne year ke end tak rate cut expect nahi kiya tha lekin central bank ke surprise reversal ne rate cut ke expectations ko barha diya hai, shayad agle meeting 14 August ko hi rate cut ho sakta hai.

New Zealand ke food prices 0.3% year-on-year tak gir gaye hain June mein, jo May mein 0.2% ka izafa tha. March 2018 ke baad pehli dafa food prices itne kam hue hain.

Mahwari tor par, food prices June mein 1% tak barh gaye hain, jo May mein 0.2% gir gaye the. Aaj raat ko, New Zealand Manufacturing PMI June ke liye release karega. PMI 46.8 tak girne ka andaza hai June mein, jo May mein 47.2 tha. Yeh index ke 15th straight slide hoga, kyunki construction itne arse se stagnant hai aur is mein koi behtari nahi dekhi gayi.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis
NZD/USD ne pehle 0.6095 aur 0.6125 ka resistance cross kiya tha lekin phir wapas a gaya. Agla resistance level 0.6168 par hai. 0.6052 aur 0.6022 support provide karenge