𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐉𝐏𝐘

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EUR/JPY H4 Analysis


Market Overview: EUR/JPY pair filhaal H4 timeframe par ek strong bearish trend dikhate hue nazar aa raha hai. Price action lagataar lower lows aur lower highs bana rahi hai, jo sustained downward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

• Immediate Support: 167.17 level ne pehle strong support provide kiya hai, lekin current bearish momentum ke chalte yeh level zyada der tak hold nahi kar sakta. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to downtrend tez ho sakta hai.
• Immediate Resistance: 170.60 level resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo significant upward movement ko rok raha hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to trend reversal ka indication mil sakta hai.

Indicators:

• RSI (14): Abhi RSI 47.75 par hai, jo ke neutral market sentiment ko suggest karta hai. RSI 50 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo traders ke beech indecision ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, RSI ka downward slope aur bhi downside ke potential ko suggest karta hai.
• MACD (12,26,9): MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur dono lines negative territory mein hain. Yeh bearish trend ko confirm karta hai aur strong downward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Order Blocks:

• Potential Order Block: 167.17 support level ke aas-paas ek potential order block ban raha hai. Lekin, strong bearish pressure ke madde nazar, yeh order block break hone ka risk hai.

Best Areas for Buying aur Selling:

• Buy: Strong bearish trend ke chalte, buying opportunities limited hain. Lekin agar price 167.17 support level tak retrace karti hai aur strong bullish reversal signals dikhati hai, jaise ke bullish engulfing pattern with increased volume, to buy entry consider kiya ja sakta hai.
• Sell: Agar price 167.17 support level ko break karti hai, to downtrend ke continuation ke confirmation ke liye sell entry consider kiya ja sakta hai. Risk manage karne ke liye recent swing high ke upar ek stop-loss order place karna chahiye.

Additional Considerations:

EUR/JPY pair abhi strong downtrend mein hai, aur reversal ke immediate signs nahi dikh rahe. Traders ko long positions consider karte waqt caution baratni chahiye aur potential short-selling opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Additional technical indicators aur risk management strategies ko use karke trade accuracy improve aur capital protect karna crucial hai.

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EUR/JPY Analysis


Hello dear traders,

EUR/JPY currency pair ke liye, main filhaal selling opportunities par focus kar raha hoon, aur mera target 165.10 hai. Lekin, is bearish move ko confirm karne ke liye, 165.50-165.73 range ke andar breakdown ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Yeh range ek critical support zone ke tor par kaam kar rahi hai, aur agar iske neeche decisively break hota hai, to humara bearish outlook validate ho jayega aur target ki taraf potential move pave way banayega.

Market Overview: EUR/JPY pair ne recent trading sessions mein significant fluctuations dikhayi hain, aur in levels ko samajhna informed trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hai. 165.50-165.73 range ek key threshold ke tor par kaam karti hai, aur agar price is range ke upar nahi rehti, to yeh increased selling pressure ko indicate karegi, jo further declines ki taraf lead karega. Isliye, clear breakdown ka intezaar karna essential hai.

Bearish Scenario: Agar pair 165.63 level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to bearish scenario invalid ho jayega. Is level ke upar consolidation yeh suggest karega ke market ne sufficient buying interest dikhaya hai jo selling pressure ko counteract kar raha hai, aur yeh trend reversal ka indication ho sakta hai. Aise mein, main buying strategy consider karunga, initial target 165.27 ke sath.

Crucial Levels:

• 165.63 Level: Yeh level humare analysis mein crucial pivot point ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Agar pair is level ke upar sustain karti hai, to market sentiment shift ho sakta hai, aur buyers regain control kar sakte hain. Yeh short-term bullish trend ko signal karega, making 165.27 initial upside move ke liye realistic target.

Additional Considerations: Price action ko in critical levels ke aas-paas closely monitor karna zaroori hai. EUR/JPY pair ki volatility ko dekhte hue, sentiment mein sudden shifts price direction ko tezi se badal sakti hain. Isliye, clear strategy rakhna aur market conditions ke hisaab se adapt karna successful trading ke liye vital hai.

Meri current approach ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY pair ke liye selling opportunities dekh raha hoon with a target of 165.10, agar 165.50-165.73 range ke neeche breakdown hota hai. Lekin agar pair 165.63 ke upar consolidate karti hai, to bearish scenario invalid ho jayega aur buying strategy switch karne ka sochunga, with an initial target of 165.27. Market developments se updated rehna aur trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai takay dynamic forex market ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

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EUR/JPY Analysis


EUR/JPY currency pair filhaal neeche move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Hafte ke shuruat se market ne Simple Moving Average (SMA) 60 aur 150 ke neeche drop kiya hai, jo market ke abhi bhi strong bearish condition mein hone ki indication hai. Yeh decline situation market trend ke mutabiq hai jo mahine ke beech se chal rahi hai, jahan candlestick abhi bhi decline phase mein hai. Weekly timeframe par bearish candlestick formation dikhati hai ke bearish trend lagbhag teen consecutive hafton se chal raha hai, jo sellers ko market par zyada pressure dalne mein madadgar hai.

Market Conditions: Aaj ke din market abhi bhi upward correction movement mein hai, aur price level 165.82 ke aas-paas fluctuate kar rahi hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar consistently zero level ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Aage ke dino mein, market mein aur bhi bearish potential dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Sellers ki troops ki ummeed hai ke price ko phir se neeche push karein.

Trend Analysis: Pichle do hafton ka trend dekhte hue, EUR/JPY currency pair abhi bhi seller's control mein hai. Isliye, yeh behtar hai ke bearish movement par focus rakha jaye. Asian session ke bawajood, agle price movements ke liye estimation yeh hai ke price 165.00 level tak gir sakti hai. Is situation ko dekhte hue, meri trading recommendation yeh hai ke aaj raat se le kar kal raat tak SELL trading ko choose kiya jaye.

Conclusion: EUR/JPY pair abhi bhi strong bearish trend dikhati hai aur sellers market ko neeche push karte hue dikhai dete hain. Isliye, SELL trading option ko focus mein rakhna chahiye, aur price level 165.00 tak ke movements ko monitor karna chahiye.

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EUR/JPY Pair Review

Friday ke market ne do directions ka signal diya – upar aur neeche. Kal maine buy aur sell ke liye ek khas area ko analyze kiya, lekin ab mujhe Friday ke mukable mein zyada clear nazar aa raha hai kyunki market ne kal ke buy signal se upar ki taraf react kiya. Yeh estimate kiya ja raha hai ke market phir se barhega, choti si supply area H1 timeframe pe 167.07 price pe penetrate karne ke baad. Main is barhawa pattern ko follow karunga jo maine niche diye gaye image mein dikhaya hai:

[Click image for larger version]

Image mein, maine upar ke direction ko follow kiya hai, isliye picture ek direction – BUY – mein hai. Buy area mein kuch points hain kyunki EUR/JPY ki movement ek baar upar nahi jaati, balki kuch waves banati hai jo finally buy aur sell ke liye use ki ja sakti hain. Iss waqt main sell nahi le raha kyunki mujhe dar hai ke upward trend aur bhi dominate karega, aur chhoti si correction ho sakti hai jismein hum orders nahi de sakte kyunki hum busy hain. Isliye, main sirf ek order ek sath le raha hoon, jo teen parts mein divide kiya hai.

Buy Entry Orders:

1. Pehla Buy Order: Price ne 167.07 pe supply area ko breakout kiya hai, jo ke greater increase ka signal hai. Isliye main pehla buy entry yahan se kar raha hoon.
2. Doosra Buy Order: Agar price breakout ke baad pehle niche girti hai, toh main doosra buy order uss lowest demand area pe daalunga jo support ke upar hai, jo ek buy order banega.
3. Teesra Buy Order: Jab price doosre supply area 167.96 se reject hoti hai aur wapas 167.96 pe aati hai, tab main teesra buy order dunga. Yeh area ek reliable base ban gaya hai, jo opportunity ko upar ki taraf barhane ki taraf indicate karta hai.

Market ka behavior aur supply/demand levels pe close nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Ye strategy mujhe lagti hai ke market ke current trends aur patterns ke sath align karti hai.

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EUR/JPY Analysis


EUR/JPY ke H1 chart ko Ichimoku indicator ke saath analyze karne se kuch aham bearish signals samne aaye hain. Pehle, price Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar thi, jo bullish momentum ko indicate karti thi. Lekin, recent shift ke baad price ab Tenkan-sen line ke neeche aa gayi hai, jo trend ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, price ne Kumo cloud ko break kar diya hai, jo bearish pressure ke zyada hone ko darshata hai. Yeh breakdown EUR/JPY pair ke continue fall hone ka strong indication hai.

Stochastic indicator bhi is bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Filhal, stochastic lines neeche ki taraf pointed hain, jo downward momentum ko signal karti hain. Yeh lines oversold territory (20 level ke aas-paas) ke qareeb hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke jab tak substantial downward pressure hai, pair oversold condition ke qareeb hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke extreme lows par price hit hone se reversal ho sakta hai, lekin abhi ke liye bearish trend dominant hai.

Ek aham point jo dekhne ki zaroorat hai woh yeh hai ke price apne recent lows ke qareeb ho rahi hai, aur agar yeh nearest support level 171.58 ko breach kar deti hai, toh further declines expect kiye ja sakte hain. Lekin, stochastic indicator caution ki taraf ishaara karta hai kyunki market oversold conditions ke qareeb hai, jo temporary upward correction ko trigger kar sakta hai.

H1 timeframe par ek triple top pattern bhi ban raha hai. Yeh pattern ek classic reversal signal hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market jaldi direction change kar sakta hai jab same resistance level ko teen baar test karne ke baad bhi break nahi kiya. Yeh pattern bearish sentiment ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai, kyunki yeh aam tor par decline se pehle hota hai.

Recommendation for Traders: Technical indicators ko dekhte hue, traders ko sell positions par focus karna chahiye. In sell positions ke liye target 171.58 ke nearest support level par set kiya jana chahiye. Yeh level current bearish momentum aur technical indicators ke base par logical target hai. Risk management ke liye, stop loss nearest resistance level par lagana chahiye, jo ke around 174.79 hai. Yeh level unexpected upward movements se protection provide karta hai aur market ke reversal hone ki situation se potential losses se bachata hai.

H1 chart par bearish signals ke bawajood, recent market movements ka context dekhna bhi zaroori hai. EUR/JPY teen din ki winning streak par tha, Tuesday ko European trading ke doran 174.30 ke aas-paas settle hua. Yeh recent upward movement yeh suggest karti hai ke short-term indicators bearish hain, lekin overall market sentiment mein underlying bullish elements bhi ho sakte hain.

Conclusion: EUR/JPY currency pair filhal strong bearish pressure ke neeche hai jaise ke Ichimoku aur stochastic indicators se indicate hota hai. Price Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hai aur Kumo cloud ko break kar chuki hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. H1 chart par triple top pattern bhi decline ke potential ko support karta hai. Traders ko sell positions par focus karna chahiye with targets at 171.58 aur stop losses at 174.79. Lekin, recent bullish momentum aur stochastic indicator ke oversold conditions ke qareeb hone ki wajah se potential reversals par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye.

EUR/JPY ka currency pair abhi lagbhag 170.88 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur yeh bearish trend mein hai. Market ka movement dheere chal raha hai, lekin kuch aise wazeh wajahein hain jo qareeb mustaqbil mein ek bara shift ka imkaan dene wali hain. Yeh imkaan macroeconomic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical events aur technical analysis se hai.

Shuruaat mein, euro pe Eurozone ke andar economic challenges ki wajah se considerable pressure hai. Ismein slow economic growth, inflation concerns, aur Italy aur Spain jaise member states mein siyasi uncertainties shaamil hain. European Central Bank (ECB) ne dovish stance bana rakha hai, interest rates low rakhte hue aur economy ko stimulate karne ke liye quantitative easing implement karte hue. Agar inflationary pressures barhte hain, toh ECB ko hawkish policy apnani pad sakti hai, jo euro ko mazbooti de sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, Japanese yen ek safe-haven currency ke taur pe strength gain kar rahi hai. Global economic uncertainty ke dauraan investors aksar yen ki taraf rukh karte hain. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne bhi prolonged deflation aur growth ko promote karne ke liye ultra-loose monetary policy bana rakhi hai. In monetary policies mein kisi bhi tarah ki tabdili se EUR/JPY pair mein significant movements aa sakti hain. Maslan, agar ECB tight monetary policies ka signal deti hai ya BoJ further easing ki taraf ishara karti hai, toh yeh actions respectively euro ko strong ya yen ko weak bana sakte hain, jo currency pair ke direction ko asar karenge.

Geopolitical events bhi EUR/JPY mein bare movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Trade negotiations, siyasi developments, ya economic sanctions jese events forex market mein heightened volatility la sakte hain. Jaise hi trade disputes ya Eurozone mein siyasi stability aati hai, toh investor confidence euro mein barh sakta hai. Iske baraks, geopolitical tensions ya economic sanctions badh jane se investors yen ki taraf ja sakte hain, jo EUR/JPY pair mein further declines ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi aham role ada karte hain. Traders aur investors economic indicators jaise GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur manufacturing output ko closely monitor karte hain taake economies ki sehat ko assess kar sakein. Eurozone se strong economic data aane pe euro mein confidence barh sakta hai, jabke weak data se bearish trend barh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, speculative activities in movements ko amplify kar sakti hain, kyunke traders news aur data releases pe jaldi react karte hain.

Technical analysis se EUR/JPY pair ke possible future movements ke insights milte hain. Filhal, yeh pair ek critical support level ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level break hoti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo further declines la sakti hai. Lekin agar pair is support se upar rahti hai aur rebound hoti hai, toh yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement ka indication ho sakta hai. Moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jese technical indicators traders ko potential trend reversals ya continuations ke bare mein valuable signals de sakte hain.

Natije ke tor pe, jabke EUR/JPY abhi bearish trend aur slow market movements face kar raha hai, kuch factors significant changes ke imkaan ko darshate hain. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis ke darmiyan ka interaction agle dino mein potential volatility ko dikhata hai. Yeh pair apni bearish trajectory ko continue karega ya bullish reversal ka samna karega yeh in factors ke unfold hone pe mabni hoga. Traders aur investors ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur naye developments jo EUR/JPY currency pair ko asar kar sakti hain, uske liye tayar rehna chahiye. Hamesha ki tarah, ek well-informed aur strategic approach is currency pair mein possible shifts ko navigate karne ke liye bohot zaroori hogi.

The image above is a EURJPY price chart on TF H1.

It is quite clear that the EURJPY price movement is still in a bearish trend, and of course it has provided a profit opportunity for traders who have taken sell orders since the price was still above. Last Friday, there seemed to be an upward correction, and after the price touched the 167,967 level, it finally bounced back down, and it could be a valid seller confirmation. So for today's trading plan, I recommend focusing more on taking sell opportunities, then for targeting take profit, it will likely go to a lower support level. A bullish breakout will occur when the level of 167.55 is overcome by growth. TF H1 is bullish but tends to break through. A fall below the zone (pivot H1 1/8 (166.41) - 166.00) will lead to a bearish breakout. It is clear that a break above the low will continue the decline of the pair. And before the decision, it is clear that there will be a fixation, and the fixation is suggested to the north because the EURJPY pair has been falling rapidly for the past two weeks. And for me, this fits perfectly into the idea of trading the range between the Fibonacci levels of 23.6 and 38.2 this week, and these are the levels of 166.84 and 170.05. I must say that it is generally a gold mine in the Fibonacci grid to find these ranges and, when the price is between them, trade them on a rebound until the price breaks through their boundaries. Of course, I may not have the courage to buy the EURJPY pair at the current price of 166.88. although we are only 4 points above the rebound level of 38.2, and this is 166.84. But if it rises to 170.05 and approaches.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis and Forecast


Hello everyone!

EUR/JPY currency pair aaj upar ki taraf barh rahi hai, lekin US dollar ke sath pair ke muqablay mein, is waqt kisi clear reversal ka signal nahi mil raha. Price apne southern channel ke niche trade kar rahi hai aur 167.50 level par resistance tak pahunchn chuki hai, jo ke pichle mahine ka minimum hai. Toh, technical analysis ke hisaab se, selling ka signal hona chahiye, lekin jaisa ke maine pehle bhi kaha, mujhe aise signals pasand nahi aate.

Reversal ki Expectation:

• Current Situation: Reversal ka signal kaafi time se brewing hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke buying opportunities dekhna behtar rahega. Halanki, abhi jaldi nahi karni chahiye, lekin EUR/JPY ka situation resistance level 167.50 ko break karne ki taraf ja raha hai.

Trading Strategy:

• Buying Signal: Agar EUR/JPY resistance level 167.50 ko breach karta hai aur uspe consolidate karta hai, to long positions open karna sahi rahega. Yeh consolidation above resistance level bullish signal dikhayegi.
• Potential for New Highs: EUR/JPY ke chart par apne maximum ko update karne ki potential bhi hai, lekin yeh ek long-term perspective hai.

Conclusion:

Current market conditions suggest that a more prudent strategy would be to wait for confirmation of a breach and consolidation above 167.50 before considering buying positions. Yeh approach aapko better risk management aur potential profit opportunities provide karegi.

EUR/JPY

Sham bakhair, traders. Local minimums update karne ke baad, joray ne rollback ka samna kiya bina kisi consolidation ke. Kamzor dollar ke bawajood, euro ko kafi support mila hai, aur yen ne mukhtalif factors ki wajah se momentum hasil kiya hai. Yeh overall bullish outlook ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jab price 156.17 ke area ke qareeb pohnchti hai, to main potential sales opportunities ke liye nazar rakhoonga. Daily chart ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY ka general trend bullish hai. Is trend ko tabhi todha ja sakta hai jab support level 154.56 tut jaye. Agar joray resistance 156.80 se upar chala jaye, to technical indicators overbought levels ki taraf move kar sakte hain, jo behtar hoga ke selling us resistance se upar ki jaye. Euro central European economic data ka intezar nahi kar raha, isliye investor risk appetite is pair ki movement par bade asar daal sakti hai.



Chaar ghante ke scale par, EUR/JPY buy zone mein enter karne mein nayaam rahe, 158.70 par fail ho gaya, jo chaar ghante ke envelope ka lower line hai. Buy zone ka transition level ab 157.54 hai, jabke joray 157.45 par trade kar raha hai. Bullish zone ki taraf recent approach last impulse thi stops ikattha karne ki. Sabar zaroori hai. Agar aaj trading din 158.42 se upar close hota hai, to yeh euro aur pound ke yen ke khilaf potential upward movement ko indicate karega, jo Monday se shuru ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, main in dono pairs ko simultaneously kharidne ka sochunga. EUR/JPY market mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye in levels ko dhyan se monitor karna aur clear signals ka intezar karna zaroori hai. EUR/JPY market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye in key levels par nazar rakhna aur sabar se kaam lena chahiye.

EUR / JPY Technical Analysis:
EUR/JPY currency pair ab ek stagnation phase mein hai aur lagatar apni position ko 168.15 ke mark ke aaspaas maintain kar raha hai. Ye pattern zyadatar ek sideways movement ki avdhi ko darshata hai jise thoda sa inclination downward raaste ki taraf hota hai. Is pair ka ab ke behavior ek market ko darshata hai jo decisive momentum se khali hai, jahan traders substantial upward ya downward shifts shuru karne mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar rahe hain. Kuch mool bhautik factors is lateral trading phenomenon mein yogdan dete hain. Shuruaat mein, European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) dono ne relatively stable monetary policies apnai hain, jo is pair ko kisi tay direction mein propel karne par seemit prabhav dalte hain. ECB, khaaskar, ek cautious stance adopt kar chuki hai jo inflationary pressures ko rokne aur economic growth momentum ko sambhalne ke beech ek nazuk balance strike karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

EUR / JPY H4 Chart:



Magar, aisay girawat ko roknay ke liye ahem koshish aur wasail ki zarurat hogi, jahan ke value 163.70 ho. Ye keemat ek ahem resistance level ho sakti hai jahan girawat ko challenge ka samna karna pare. M15 time frame aur uchay time frames par sell ka maahol jari hai jo bearish momentum ka jari rakhne ki taraf ishara dete hain jahan price agar support levels ko test kare aur toot jaye to chhote positions mein dakhil hone ke liye mauqe paida ho sakte hain. Ulta, 164.15 par resistance ko paar karna kafi mehnat ki zarurat hogi aur yeh trend reversal ya significant bullish movement ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo traders ko market conditions mein potential tabdiliyon ke liye alert kar sakta hai.

ab analysis likhne ke waqt 162.60 ke aas-paas stabilize ho raha hai, jab ke euro zone inflation figures ka announcement aane wala hai. Currency market ne session ke dauran tez fluctuations dekhe, kyunki Bank of Japan ne interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhane ka faisla kiya, jo market ke speculation ke mutabiq hai, aur monetary conditions ko normalize karne ke efforts ko confirm karta hai.

Bank of Japan ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke wo apni monthly bond purchases ko 2026 ke pehle quarter tak 3 trillion yen per month tak kam kar dega. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ne yeh bhi add kiya ke agar economic activity aur prices ki expectations puri hoti hain, to wo interest rate ko barhata rahega aur monetary easing ka degree adjust karega. Japanese central bank ko rate barhane ka constant pressure face karna pad raha hai kyunki kamzor yen ke inflation ko barhane ka risk hai.

Economic data ke hawale se, Japan mein retail sales growth ne June mein chaar mahine ka high record kiya, jab ke industrial output expected se kam gira. Bahar se, Fed aur Bank of England bhi is hafte monetary policy par faisla karenge.

Eurozone ke GDP ne doosre quarter mein 0.3% ka growth record kiya, jo market ki expectations 0.2% se behtar hai, kyunki France aur Spain se milne wale strong data ne Germany ke unexpected contraction ko offset kar diya, jab ke Italy ke data expectations ke mutabiq thi.

Euro ke liye ek aur area of concern yeh hai ke Germany mein annual inflation rate July 2024 mein 2.3% tak unexpectedly barh gaya hai, jo June mein 2.2% thi, jab ke expectations thi ke yeh 2.2% par hi rahegi. Food price growth accelerated (1.3% vs. 1.1%) aur services mein 3.9% par stabilize ho gaya, jab ke energy costs slow pace par girti gayi (-1.7% vs. -2.1%). Pichle mahine ke muqablay mein, Consumer Price Index 0.3% se barh gaya, jo teen mahine ka highest level hai, pichle do mahino mein 0.1% barhane ke baad aur 0.2% ki expectations se upar.

European Union Harmonized Consumer Price Index ne 2.6% YoY aur 0.5% MoM ka rise record kiya, jo ki expectations 2.5% aur 0.4% se upar hai.

Daily chart ke performance ko dekhte hue, EUR/JPY price ek strong downward trend witness kar raha hai aur agar 160.00 level break hota hai, to yeh bears ke liye ek legitimate target ban sakta hai agar aaj Eurozone inflation figures expectations se kam aati hain. Main ab bhi kisi bhi rising level se Euro Yen ko bechna prefer karta hoon.

ab analysis likhne ke waqt 162.60 ke aas-paas stabilize ho raha hai, jab ke euro zone inflation figures ka announcement aane wala hai. Currency market ne session ke dauran tez fluctuations dekhe, kyunki Bank of Japan ne interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhane ka faisla kiya, jo market ke speculation ke mutabiq hai, aur monetary conditions ko normalize karne ke efforts ko confirm karta hai.

Bank of Japan ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke wo apni monthly bond purchases ko 2026 ke pehle quarter tak 3 trillion yen per month tak kam kar dega. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ne yeh bhi add kiya ke agar economic activity aur prices ki expectations puri hoti hain, to wo interest rate ko barhata rahega aur monetary easing ka degree adjust karega. Japanese central bank ko rate barhane ka constant pressure face karna pad raha hai kyunki kamzor yen ke inflation ko barhane ka risk hai.

Economic data ke hawale se, Japan mein retail sales growth ne June mein chaar mahine ka high record kiya, jab ke industrial output expected se kam gira. Bahar se, Fed aur Bank of England bhi is hafte monetary policy par faisla karenge.

Eurozone ke GDP ne doosre quarter mein 0.3% ka growth record kiya, jo market ki expectations 0.2% se behtar hai, kyunki France aur Spain se milne wale strong data ne Germany ke unexpected contraction ko offset kar diya, jab ke Italy ke data expectations ke mutabiq thi.

Euro ke liye ek aur area of concern yeh hai ke Germany mein annual inflation rate July 2024 mein 2.3% tak unexpectedly barh gaya hai, jo June mein 2.2% thi, jab ke expectations thi ke yeh 2.2% par hi rahegi. Food price growth accelerated (1.3% vs. 1.1%) aur services mein 3.9% par stabilize ho gaya, jab ke energy costs slow pace par girti gayi (-1.7% vs. -2.1%). Pichle mahine ke muqablay mein, Consumer Price Index 0.3% se barh gaya, jo teen mahine ka highest level hai, pichle do mahino mein 0.1% barhane ke baad aur 0.2% ki expectations se upar.

European Union Harmonized Consumer Price Index ne 2.6% YoY aur 0.5% MoM ka rise record kiya, jo ki expectations 2.5% aur 0.4% se upar hai.

Daily chart ke performance ko dekhte hue, EUR/JPY price ek strong downward trend witness kar raha hai aur agar 160.00 level break hota hai, to yeh bears ke liye ek legitimate target ban sakta hai agar aaj Eurozone inflation figures expectations se kam aati hain. Main ab bhi kisi bhi rising level se Euro Yen ko bechna prefer karta hoon.

Currency Stabilization Ahead of Eurozone Inflation Figures
Karansi bazar is waqt 162.60 ke ird gird stabil ho raha hai jabke tajir eurozone ke inflation figures ka intizar kar rahe hain. Is session mein significant fluctuations dekhi gayi hain, jo zyada tar Bank of Japan ke 0.25% interest rate barhane ke faislay se driven hain. Yeh move market speculation ke sath align karti hai aur central bank ke monetary conditions ko normalize karne ke commitment ko highlight karti hai.

Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy Adjustments

Apni recent communication mein, Bank of Japan ne announce kiya ke woh apni mahana bond khareed ko 2026 ke pehle quarter mein 3 trillion yen tak reduce karega. Iske ilawa, central bank ne yeh bhi indicate kiya ke agar economic activity aur price expectations favorably align karti hain, toh woh further interest rate increases consider karega aur monetary easing ke stance ko adjust karega. Bank of Japan par rates barhane ka pressure barkarar hai, khas tor par ek kamzor yen ki waja se inflation risk ke sabab.

Economic Data Insights

Economic front par, Japan ne retail sales growth report ki jo June mein 4-mahina high tak pohonch gayi, halan ke industrial output market expectations ko meet nahi kar saki. Internationally, aanewale hafte mein bhi key monetary policy decisions Federal Reserve aur Bank of England se honge.

Eurozone mein, second quarter ke GDP growth 0.3% record hui, jo analyst expectations 0.2% se zyada hai. Yeh stronger performance France aur Spain ke robust data se driven thi, jo Germany ke unexpected contraction ko offset kar gayi, jabke Italy ke figures expected the.

Inflation Concerns in Germany

Eurozone ke liye ek point of concern Germany se aya, jahan annual inflation rate unexpectedly 2.3% tak barh gayi July 2024 mein, jo June ke 2.2% se upar hai. Yeh rise predictions ke bawajood hui ke inflation stable rahegi 2.2% par. Notably, food prices accelerate hui (1.3% versus 1.1%), services stabilized rahe 3.9% par, aur energy costs decrease hue slow rate se (-1.7% compared to -2.1%). Month on month, Consumer Price Index 0.3% se barha, jo highest increase hai three months ke baad, do mahine ke 0.1% growth ke baad, aur anticipate 0.2% se bhi zyada.

European Union Harmonized Consumer Price Index ne year-on-year increase 2.6% aur month-on-month rise 0.5% reveal ki, dono expectations 2.5% aur 0.4% se zyada hai.

Market Outlook for EUR/JPY

Daily charts analyze karte hue, EUR/JPY is waqt strong downward trend show kar raha hai. Agar price 160.00 level ke neeche break karti hai, toh yeh bearish traders ke liye significant target ban sakta hai, khas tor par agar aaj ke eurozone inflation figures expectations ko meet nahi karte. Is liye, Euro Yen ko kisi bhi rising levels par sell karne ki strategy favorable nazar aati hai current market environment mein.

EUR/JPY ek sell analysis mein hai kyunki price abhi bhi downtrend area mein hai jo indicate karta hai ke previous week ka low price jo ke 164.94 tha, successfully break ho gaya hai. Yeh is baat ko suggest karta hai ke Wednesday aur Thursday ko yeh full sell entry area ban sakta hai, kyunki market ka movement jo ab ho raha hai wo agle din ka trend banega. Hum current conditions ko neeche diye gaye image mein dekhte hain:
Technically, EUR/JPY pair ne year ke start se ek notable uptrend experience kiya hai, jo ke 32 saal ke high 175.41 par culminate hua. Lekin, Japanese currency ke intervention ke baad, pair ne 50-day simple moving average aur December 2023 ke rising trend line ki taraf retrace kiya. Immediate support level 167.50 par hai, jiska breach 165.34 ya 164.28 tak ka pullback trigger kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance April ke high 171.56 par expected hai, phir 173.50 aur previous all-time high 175.41 par. Agar yeh level successfully breach hota hai, to yeh 180.00 ke psychological mark tak rally ki potential open kar sakta hai. Overall, EUR/JPY pair ka direction BOJ aur ECB ke contrasting monetary policies aur geopolitical developments se heavily influenced hai. Investors in factors ko closely monitor kar rahe hain for potential market-moving shifts.

Main expect karta hoon ke euro/Japanese yen pair ka correction 164.84 resistance level ke qareeb hoga, yeh wo area hai jahan short transaction enter karna profitable hoga, kyunki 100 points ka stop set karna possible hoga aur 500 ka profit mil sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bears abhi bhi ek acchi move south ki taraf capable hain, sabse important cheez yeh hai ke pehle ek correction mile taake market mein jump karke ek 100 points ka stop set kiya ja sake, jo ke zyada bara na ho. Jitna bara stop hoga, utna kam profit milega, to agar bulls ek move 164.84 resistance level ke qareeb banate hain, to yeh profitable ho sakta hai.

Good afternoon fellow traders, last do dinon ke movements mein clearly dekha ja sakta hai ke EUR/JPY pair ne phir se ek bara movement kiya hai, jahan kal ye actually purely bearish movement nahi tha. Asian session ke start mein, EUR/JPY ne ek aur bullish movement karne ki koshish ki jo kaafi strong thi, jahan wo almost 168.0 ke resistance area ko penetrate karne wala tha, lekin aakhir mein wo fail ho gaya aur jaldi se EUR/JPY phir se decline kar gaya jo ke extraordinarily bara bhi tha. Aur yeh decline aaj subah bhi continue hua, jo ke last week ke support area ke neeche tha. Lekin aakhir mein yeh thoda unfortunate tha ke EUR/JPY ko obstacles mile aur wo bearish trend mein rehne mein fail ho gaya, aur wapas upward movement aagaya.
Current market conditions mein, EUR/JPY currency pair abhi bhi neeche move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Week ke start se hi price 60 aur 150 Simple Moving Average indicators ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke ek strong bearish market trend ko indicate karta hai.
EUR/JPY pair ka decline overall market trend ke line mein hai jo middle of the month se observe kiya gaya hai, jahan candlestick pattern consistent downward phase mein raha hai. Weekly time frame par bearish candlestick ki formation is assumption ko aur strengthen karti hai ke bearish trend lagbhag teen consecutive weeks se chal raha hai.

Yeh prolonged bearish sentiment selling army ka confidence badha diya hai, jo ke likely hai ke market par near future mein pressure continue karega. Agar closely observe kiya jaye, to current market conditions mein upward correction movement ho raha hai 165.82 ke price range mein.

EUR:JPY1: 164.84.
EUR JPY abhi bhi ek sell analysis ke sath hai kyunki price abhi tak down trend area mein hai jo yeh darshata hai ke previous week ka low price jo ke 164.94 pe tha, neeche break ho gaya hai. Is wajah se Wednesday aur Thursday ko yeh full sell entry area ban sakta hai, kyunki market ke most movement se agle din ka trend banta hai. Hum current conditions ko neeche image mein check karte hain:

Technically, EUR/JPY pair ne saal ke shuru se kaafi uptrend dekhi hai, jo 32 saal ke high 175.41 tak gayi. Magar, Japanese currency ke intervention ke baad, pair ne 50-day simple moving average aur December 2023 rising trend line ki taraf retrace kiya hai. Immediate support level 167.50 pe positioned hai, jo break hone par 165.34 ya 164.28 tak pullback ho sakta hai. Upside par, resistance April ke high 171.56, phir 173.50 aur previous all-time high 175.41 pe expect kiya ja raha hai. Is level ko successfully breach karne par 180.00 psychological mark tak rally ho sakti hai. Overall, EUR/JPY pair ki direction BOJ aur ECB ki contrasting monetary policies aur geopolitical developments se heavily influenced hai. Investors in factors ko closely monitor kar rahe hain potential market-moving shifts ke liye.

EUR:JPY1: 164.84.

Main expect karta hoon ke euro/Japanese yen pair ka correction resistance level 164.84 ke paas ho, yeh wo area hai jahan short transaction enter karna profitable hoga, kyunki yahan 100 points ka stop set kar sakte hain aur 500 ka profit mil sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bears abhi bhi south ki taraf ek acchi move kar sakte hain, sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke correction milne tak wait karein taake market mein jump kar sakein ek 100 points ke stop ke sath, aur zyadah bada nahi. Jitna bada stop hoga, utna kam profit milega, isliye agar bulls resistance level 164.84 ke paas move karte hain to yahan entry lene ka mauka milega.