Aud usd

AUD/USD MARKET ANALYSIS
Budhwar (8 May) ko, Australian dollar kamzor raha. 0.6650 ke resistance level se dobarah palat kar, yeh bohot se musalsal dino ke liye thora sa manfi raha, aur Budhwar ko 0.6578 ke ek nihayat kam level par band hua. Mangal ko interest rate meeting mein, Reserve Bank of Australia ne yeh maana ke hali ka interest rate level munasib hai, jo ki faislay ke ilaan se pehle future market ke 40% se 13% tak interest rate barhane ki tawajjuh ko kam kar diya, is tarah bazaar mein haal hi mein interest rate barhane ke baare mein charcha ko khatam kar diya. Isne AUD/USD ko unchiyon se wapas girne se roka.

Magar, Europe aur America ke bazaar ke mutabiq, Reserve Bank of Australia ki monetary adjustment par mukhtalif raaye hai. Bazaar yeh ishaara deta hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia ke qareeb April ke agle saal tak interest rate kaatne ka imkaan bohot kam hai, aur maante hain ke agle saal October tak sirf ek 25 basis point interest rate kaat hoga.

Mustaqbil ki tawajjuhat zyada se zyada dosre bade central banks ki nisbat bohot zyada hawkish hai. Agar aane waale tawajjuhat is tawaqo ke mutabiq taraqqi karti hain, to Australian dollar ko munsalik support milne ki umeed hai.

4 ghanton ka chart dikhata hai ke chhote douran mein AUD/USD ab bhi niche ki taraf mael hai. Ab yeh dekha jayega ke kya 0.6550 ko ek zyada mazboot support level bana sake. Agar yeh is level se mazeed neeche gir gaya, to AUD/USD apne giraavat ko gehra karega. Ulta, agar yeh 0.6550 ke upar qaim reh sakta hai, to bazaar ka manzar abhi bhi ooncha ho sakta hai.

Time frame H4:- Toh haan, AUD/USD ke mutaliq abhi bhi kuch uncertainty hai; sirf chaar ghantay ka chart dekhen jahan keematain saaf tor par trading range ke darmiyan border area mein hain, jahan se uttar aur dakshin ki taraf breakouts mumkin hain. Subah bakhair Vadim aur main aapko aik shandar trading din aur achi munafa dene ki umeed karta hoon!

Lekin main uttar ki manzar nama ka pasandida hota hoon, jahan jora ke liye abhi bhi aik up-trend hai, aur is ke ilawa, indicators bhi up-trend jari rehne ki mumkin daleel dete hain, is liye mera zehan mein pehla scenario ye hai ke keemat 0.6602 resistance level tak pohanchne ka hosakta hai, breakout ka imkan hai aur move mukhtalif hota hai. Trading range ke ooper ke hadood tak, level 0.6620 tak ka. Agar bear hamla kartay hain aur keemat ko wapas 0.6551 level ke neeche laate hain, to aap apne jooton ko tabdeel karen, kyunke aise breakdown ke zyada tar asar se wapas trend ke low end tak pullback kiya jayega. Trading range ka shuru se 0.6530 level area ya nichlay hisse tak kaam karna 0.6515 support level par kaam karna. Ye support aik behtareen kharidari ke entry point hai. Aaj, Australia mein kuch mahiyati shumaaray shaya hain jo tameer se mutaliq hain, lekin ye shumaaray foreign exchange market par koi asar nahi dikhate aur shumaaray shaya hone ke waqt kisi bhi nihayat wazi se shadeed tawazun nahi dekha gaya, data market participants ke tawaqoat ko pura karta hai. InstaForex company ke indicator jo is forum par mojood hai, pehle hisse mein kharidaron ka faida dikhata hai jo 61.23% tak hai. Dusra hissa neutral position dikhata hai. Aaj ye jora hamein kis tarah se khush karega? Ahem aur dilchasp khabar Australia se nahi, balke America se hai: awalati berozgari ke darkhaast ki tadad.

Mid-October guzishta saal, ek adhora bearish wave structure Australia dollar chart par shuru hui. March ke darmiyan se lekar guzishta maheene ke darmiyan, keemat ne ek mukhtalif raasta ikhtiyaar kiya, ek complex correction banate hue. Quotes taqatwar counter zones ke darmiyan ek tang corridor mein dabay hue hain higher timeframe mein.

Tajwez:

Pehle kuch dinon mein aahista barhne wala movement vector pehli tajwez hai aane waale haftay mein. Ek saath chalne ki sambhavna ooper ke qeemat channel par zyada hai. Haftay ke ikhtitam tak barhate hue fa'al, rukh palatna, aur neeche ka rasta jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Ek aur hafta khatam ho gaya, aur dollar ke liye yeh kuch alag khatam hua meri umeedon se. Amreeki reports market ki umeedon ko nakam kar di. Mayoosanahat ke sath, ahem reports kamzor thin, jo dollar par dabaav dalta hai. Main yaad dilata hoon ke mojooda wave analysis ab bhi ek niche ki taraf jane ki takhleeq ko point karta hai. Shayad kuch alarm ke layak nahi hua wave analysis ke liye lekin Amreeki dollar kai hafton se gir raha hai. Humne kamzor Amreeki GDP dekha, kamzor Nonfarm Payrolls, bharh gaya berozgari, aur kam hue ISM business activity indices. Agar Amreeki maeeshat behtar perform nahi karti, to dollar ki darkhwast mazeed gir sakti hai jo humein nahi chahiye... Jumma ko, Australia dollar resistance level 0.6627 ke ooper chadha, jaise ke pehle March 8, March 21, aur April 9 ko kiya tha. Aur jab tak keemat is resistance ke ooper jamah nahi hoti, yeh 0.6690 tak nahi barhegi. 0.6548 - MACD line (0.6548) ke taraf aik sath girne ke liye 65% ke imkanat hain, aur is mark ke neeche istaqraar ye maqsad support 0.6480 ko khol sakta hai.
4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, keemat 0.6627 ke darje ke neeche jamah ho rahi hai. Marlin oscillator ke naqalati keemat ki harkat ko dohrata hai, lekin yeh neeche ki harkat ko le ja sakti hai. Pehla aur ahem support 0.6548 ke darja hai - daily chart par MACD line, jis ke qareeb 4 ghante ka chart MACD line pahunch raha hai. Ek sath keemat ke neeche girna Australian dollar ko daba sakta hai.

AUD/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Haal hi mein, kamzor Australian Maali Policy aur doosri na-fa'waidah khabron ke mahol mein, Australian Dollar ko khaas dabao ka samna hua, jis se AUD/USD market mein girawat aayi. Keemat nayayat se gir gayi, 0.6611 zone ke aas paas ghoomti rahi, jahan karobarion ke liye aik mufeed waqt tha, jis mein 44 pips ke faiday hasil karne ka mauka tha. Magar, is bullish trend ke darmiyan, U.S. Maali Policy Board (MPC) aur Bank of Britain (BOE) ke zehreelay hoshruba ke ahsaas se umeed ki kiranain samne ati hain. Yeh nishan kharidaron ke liye aik dubara khushaamad qayam karne ka markaz hai. Aise mozi manzar mein, karobarion ke liye lazmi hai ke wo bazaar ke mizaj ko hoshiyarana tor par dekhte rahen, aane wali updates ko lagatar dekhte rahen aur naye manazir ka intezar karte rahen. Iske ilawa, apni position ke hawale se, mein bullish nazriyat ko pasand karta hoon, AUD/USD jori par aik kharid ke order ko tayyar karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jismein short-term maqsad 0.6565 par rakha gaya hai. Is strategy ke piche ki wajah yeh hai ke pehle zikar kiye gaye maali indicators ka tasur, jo Australian Dollar ko aik behtar halat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar, aise faisla ko apne rishton ke saath khatron ka bhi samna karna padta hai, kyun ke bazaar ka mizaj foran tabdeel ho sakta hai, mukhtalif factors ke asar se jaise ke bay-ruzgari, ya ghair mutawaqa maali karobaar. Is tarah, jab ke meri pasandidgi wazeh hai, bazaar ke mizaj ko samajhna lazmi hai, ta'ayun ko badalte huwe maali surat-e-hal ke mutabiq tezi se adjust karte huwe. Maali bazaar ki tezi aur mandi mein, kamiyabi uss qabliyat mein hai ke insan hoshiyar rahe, zehreelay paniyon mein chal kar, foran ke trends aur mazeed maali asoolon par nazar rakhte huwe. Aaj, mein AUD/USD par aik kharid ke order ko pasand karta hoon, jismein short-term maqsad 0.6505 par rakha gaya hai. Is liye, bazaar ke mizaj ko samajhne ki koshish karen.

AUD/USD

Time frame H4

Toh haan, AUD/USD ke baray mein abhi bhi kuch uncertainty hai; sirf char ghante ka chart dekhen jahan ke prices clearly trading range ke darmiyan ke beech border area mein hain, jahan ke dono taraf se breakouts mumkin hain. Subah bakhair Vadim aur mujhe umeed hai ke aap ko aik behtareen trading din mile with achay munafaat!



Magar mein shumali manzar ko pasand karta hoon, jahan ke jori ke liye abhi bhi aik uptrend hai, aur is ke ilawa, indicators bhi uptrend ke jari rakhne ki mumkinahat ko dikhate hain, toh meri zehan mein mukhya manzar yeh hai ke keemat jari rakhne ki mumkinahat hai. 0.6602 tak resistance level tak, breakout aur mukhtalif harkatien jaari rakhne ki mumkinahat ke saath. Trading range ke upper limit ke upside ko 0.6620 level tak pehchanein. Agar bears initiative lete hain aur keemat ko 0.6551 level ke neeche le aate hain, toh apne jooton ko badal lein, kyun ke aise breakdown ki zyada tar surat mein ek pullback ko low end of the trend tak le jaega. Trading ranges from 0.6530 level area or lower to work on the 0.6515 support level. Yeh support aik behtareen entry point hai shopping ke liye. Aaj, kuch economic statistics Australia mein shaya hui hain jo construction sector se taluq rakhti hain, magar yeh statistics foreign exchange market par kuch asar nahi daalti aur publication ke waqt koi significant fluctuations nahi dekha gaya, data market participants ke expectations ko meet karta hai. InstaForex company ke indicator ne, jo is forum par milta hai, pehle hisse mein buyers ka faida 61.23% dikhata hai. Dusre hisse mein, indicator aik neutral position dikhata hai. Aaj yeh jodi humein kya khush khabri degi? Australia se nahi, balke USA se important aur dilchasp khabrein hain: unemployment benefits ke liye initial applications ke number.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis.

AUD/USD jori ne mustaqil kami ka samna kiya hai, jis ne haftay ke doran dekhi gayi paanch hafton ki barhti hui tezi se rukh ko chhoda. Is neeche ki taraf lehrav ko critical support level jo 0.6470 par tha todte hue darust kiya gaya. Khaas tor par, haftawar candlestick ne is ahem had tak neeche trading shuru kiya, jo bazaar mein aik muddat ki ittifaq ki nishani hai. Aise ek development ki taraf ishara hota hai ke aik mumkin bechne ki signal, jahan maujooda bechnay wale dabao jodi ko mazeed neeche le jaane ki koshish karenge, jo agle support level 0.6352 par mojood hai. Walaum ke aik temporary rebound wajood mein aa sakta hai, magar maujooda bazaar ke halat ko mazid bechne wale nazriyat ko mazid barhwa dete hain. Isi tarah, bechne ke mauqay ko pehchanne aur is par faida uthane ki taraf hoshiyarana stance lazmi hai. Halankeh wahaan temporary fluctuations aur minor pullbacks hosakte hain, lekin maujooda bazaar ke halat ko zyada tar bechne ki taraf le jaate hain. Aise mein, tajziyaat ko ghor se dekhna aur nazdeeki mein mojood hone wale bechne ke mauqay par dheyan dena zaroori hai. Momentum bhi aik bechnay ki taraf ki ishaarat deta hai, jahan bechnay wale dabao ka barhna jari rehne ki ummeed hai. Raasta nigahein aik ahem support level jo 0.6468 par mojood hai ki taraf muntaqil nazar aata hai. Halankeh raaste mein minor pullbacks ke waqeye ho sakte hain, lekin maujooda bazaar ke halat zyada tar bechne ki taraf le jaate hain.



Is manzar mein trading ke mauqon par hoshiyarana stance apnana munasib hai. Bechnay ke positions ko zyada ahmiyat dena aur bazaar mein safar ke doraan ehtiyaat se kaam lena faida mand sabit ho sakta hai. AUD/USD jodi ke muntaqil dynamics ko durust taur par tajziya karna aham hai, kyun ke yeh traders ko potential downturns par faida uthane aur apne strategies ko mutabiq karna allow karta hai. Rozgar data, inflation rates, aur Australia aur United States ke GDP growth figures jaise maali indicators unke mukhtalif economies ki mooli sehat ke baare mein qeemti insights faraham kar sakte hain. In metrics mein kisi ghair mutawaqa shifts ke asar currency markets mein tawazun ko mutasir kar sakti hain, aur is tarah AUD/USD jodi par asar daal sakti hain.

AUD/USD haal hi mein kuch dhachka kha rahi hai. Ye aik haalat ka natija hai jo Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ki stance mein hilaf e raaye hua hai. March mein, inflation data sab ko hairan kar diya jab ke wo umeed se zyada aaya. Is ne RBA ke plans mein daal diya. Jabke wo maante hain ke inflation ko rokne mein kuch taraqqi hui, unhon ne mangal ko 4.35% ki satah par interest rates ko qaim rakha. Ye hoshiyarana approach thora risky hai. Governor Michelle Bullock ne zahir kiya ke inflation ke khilaf jang khatam nahi hui. RBA ab bhi maqsad hai ke 2025 ke doosre hisse tak inflation ko wapas 2-3% ke range mein le aaye. Magar AUD ke girne se kuch investors pareshan nazar aate hain. Yahan cheezen dilchasp hoti hain. Mojooda downtrend ke bawajood, kuch nishaan hain ke AUD ko wapas aana tayyar hai. AUD/USD jodi ab charts par aik triangle pattern mein atki hui hai. Ye aik technical indicator hai jo direction mein tabdeeli ka ishaara kar sakta hai. Ek aur acha nishaan hai ke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se ooper mojood hai. Aam insanon ke lafz mein, ye yeh dikhata hai ke AUD ke peechay ab bhi kuch kharidari ki quwwat hai. Agar bull (investors jo kehte hain ke AUD buland hoga) qabu mein hain, to unhain kuch rukawaton ka muqabla karna hoga. Pehla challenge yeh hai ke 0.6605 US dollars par 1 Australian dollar ki saikron nafsiyati dewar hai. Uske baad, unhe 0.6655 ke qareeb resistance line ko todna hoga. Agar wo dono ko kamyab taur par karte hain, to is se March ke oonchi satah 0.6677 ki taraf ek tezi ka aghaz ho sakta hai aur shayad hi 0.6720 tak pahunch sakte hain. Beshak, sab kuch hamesha achcha nahi hota. Agar bear (investors jo kehte hain ke AUD girayga) qabu mein aa gaye, to AUD ko mazeed bechnay ka dabao mehsoos hoga. Pehli hifazati laine 9-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6570 ke qareeb hai. Is satah ke neeche girne se AUD ko triangle ke neeche ke trend line tak le ja sakta hai, kareeb 0.6475 tak. Bunyadi tor par, AUD ek charaagah mein hai. RBA ka hoshiyarana qadam currency par asar daal raha hai, lekin technical indicators wapas aane ki mumkinahat ki ishaarat dete hain. Agli kuch dino mein bohot ahem honge. Agar bulls apne qadam jama kar sakte hain aur ahem resistance levels ke ooper jaa sakte hain, to hum shayad AUD ke liye taqdeer ka palat jaye. Agar nahi, to bears qabu mein aa sakte hain aur currency ko mazeed niche kheench sakte hain.

AUD/USD TRADING DISCUION

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Currency pair AUDUSD - daily chart. Is puranay arsay ke doran wave structure abhi bhi apni tarteeb mein rehti hai, haan ke slope bara nahi hai, lekin yeh haqeeqat hai ke yeh mojood hai. Magar MACD indicator ab pehle se he upper buy zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke ooper hai. Yahan mukhtalif indicators aur uncertainty hai. Chart par khud dekh sakte hain ke keemat ab pressurize ho rahi hai. Sirf haal he mein keemat ne 0.6632 ke horizontal resistance level se decline kiya hai aur pehle se he 0.6567 ke horizontal support level tak pohanch chuki hai. Daily chart ke liye aik kaafi tang range milta hai in do levels ke darmiyan. Main ek taraf ka intezaar karna pasand karta hoon. Agar 0.6632 ke resistance level ko oopar se tor diya jata hai, toh us par se neeche wapas aane par support ke tor par dekh sakte hain, aik chhote arse ke liye M5-M15 jaise time frame par kisi mirror level ko dekhen taake resistance ko support mein tabdeel kare. Neeche ke support level 0.6567 ka agar breakdown hota hai toh us par se upar wapas aane par resistance ke tor par, aik chhote arse ke liye M5-M15 par downward entry ka tasavvur kiya ja sakta hai. Upar ki taraf dakhil hone par, yeh saaf nahi hai ke movement kya hoga, ya kya woh ho ga bhi, magar agar ho toh, 0.6850 ko zyada target kiya ja sakta hai. Agar hum girne ka target dekhte hain, to ideal taur par pehli wave par laga Fibonacci grid ke hisab se 161.8 ke level tak, magar yeh bohot door hai. 0.6398 ka target zyada realistic lagta hai, ya agar aap 0.6400 ko round kar lein, toh aap 0.6400 par possible munafa ko fix karne ke liye level set kar sakte hain. Abhi tak, meri raay mein, squeeze position mein dakhil honay ki koi zarurat nahi hai. Aaj ke ahem khabrein 15-30 Moscow time par: America mein unemployment benefits ke initial applications ka number aur America mein unemployment benefits prapt karne wale afrad ka total number.

AUD/USD Forecast for Today

Adaab aur Subah bakhair sabhi aane wale dawaton ko!
Kal, kamzor hoti hui Australian Monetary Policy aur doosri na-fa'waidah khabron ke mahol mein, Australian Dollar khud ko khaas dabao mein paaya, jo AUD/USD market mein ek rukhavat ka sabab bana. Keemat khaas tor par gir gayi, 0.6570 zone ke aas paas ghoom rahi thi, bechne wale ke liye aik moqa pesh karte hue, jis mein is giravat ke doran 30 pips tak ka faida ho saka. Magar, is bearish trend ke darmiyan, umeed nazar aati hai US Unemployment Claim aur 30-year Bond Auction rate ke form mein. Yeh indicators kharidaron ke liye ek dobara ubhar ke liye ahem hain. Aise aik mozi manzar mein, karobarion ke liye lazmi hai ke bazaar ke mizaj ko hoshiyarana tor par dekhte rahen, aate waqt updates ko lagatar tajziya karte rahen aur naye manazir ka intezar karte rahen. Iske ilawa, meri stance ke hawale se, mein bullish nazriyat ko pasand karta hoon, AUD/USD jodi par aik kharid ke order ko pasand karte hue, jismein short-term target 0.6600 par rakha gaya hai. Is strategy ke piche ki wajah yeh hai ke pehle zikar kiye gaye maali indicators ka tasur, jo Australian Dollar ko aik behtar halat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar, aise faisla ko apne rishton ke saath khatron ka bhi samna karna padta hai, kyun ke bazaar ka mizaj foran tabdeel ho sakta hai, mukhtalif factors ke asar se jaise ke bay-ruzgari, ya ghair mutawaqa maali karobaar. Isi liye, jab ke meri pasandidgi wazeh hai, toh lazmi hai ke hamen aik narm approach apnana chahiye, maazi ke halat ke mutabiq adjust karte hue. Maali bazaar ki tezi aur mandi mein kamiyabi uss qabliyat mein hai ke insan hoshiyar rahe, zehreelay paniyon mein chal kar, foran ke trends aur mazeed maali asoolon par nazar rakhte huwe. Aaj, mein AUD/USD par aik kharid ke order ko pasand karta hoon, jismein short target 0.6632 par rakha gaya hai. Isliye, bazaar ke mizaj ko samajhne ki koshish karen.

AUD/USD D1 Chart Analysis:

D1 timeframe mein, tasweer ishaaraat deti hai ke agle haftay mein AUD/USD jodi ke liye qareeb aane wala dor upward rukh ka ho sakta hai, minimum levels par band hone ki wajah se shayed bullish consolidation ke imkaanat hain. 0.6510 par aik support level ka qaim hona, jo ke double touch ke zariye tasdeeq kiya gaya hai, jodi ke liye ek mustahkam mor hai. Iske ilawa, puri haftay ke doran bechnay wale ka saturation ek qareeb aane wale sahih bullish wave ki isharaat hai. Shuruaat mein, hamara target pehle se tora support ke taraf gravitate karne ke liye set tha, jo ab resistance ban gaya hai, 0.6540 par. Ye level kharidari ke interest ko jaga sakta hai, jisse karobarion ko apni positions ko mazboot karne mein madad milti hai. Agar jodi ne 0.6570 par nafsiyati rukawat ko paar kiya, to tawajju 0.6590 par murajaat ki taraf shift hogi, jahan investors nuqsaan ko khatam karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Mazeed uparward momentum 0.6610 ki taraf shayad barhega, jo ke peechle haftay ka aakhri point tha, jise ke mumkinahat se baray farokht ke activity ko jhela ja sakta hai.



Agar jodi ne nafsiyati rukawat ko paar kar liya, to tawajju zahiran 0.6570 par nafsiyati rukawat ki taraf murajaat hogi, jahan nuqsaan ko khatam karne ki koshish tez ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, mazeed barhne ke imkaanat 0.6610 ko dubara test karne ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jo ke peechle haftay ka aakhri point tha. Magar, ye level bhi shayad baray farokht ke activity ko attract karega jab ke karobarion ko potential munafa le jane ki opportunities par faida uthane ki koshish hogi. Aam tor par, tasawwurat isharaat deti hain ke agle haftay ke liye AUD/USD jodi ke liye bullish bias hai, jahan mukhya resistance aur support levels ko pehchanne ke liye trading faislon aur risk management strategies ko guide karne ke liye nishchit kiya gaya hai. Haaliya levels par minimal band hone ki wajah se ek upward movement ka imkaanat hai, jahan isharaat bullish consolidation ki taraf point kar rahi hain.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Hello.

Umeed hai sab theek hain.

H1 time frame mein, hum agle haftay ke liye AUD/USD jodi ke liye ek uparward movement ka intezar karte hain, jahan ek bullish consolidation mumkin hai, minimum levels par band hone ki wajah se. Haal hi mein 0.6510 par aik support level ka qaim hona, jo ke double touch se tasdeeq ki gayi hai, jodi ke liye aik mustahkam mor ki ishaaraat hai. Iske ilawa, puri haftay ke doran bechnay wale ka saturation aik sahih bullish wave ki isharaat deti hai. Shuruaat mein, hamara target pehle se tora support ke taraf gravitate karne ke liye set tha, jo ab resistance ban gaya hai, 0.6540 par. Ye level kharidari ke interest ko jaga sakta hai, jisse karobarion ko apni positions ko mazboot karne ki ijazat milti hai. Agar jodi ne nafsiyati rukawat ko paar kar liya, to tawajju 0.6590 par murajaat ki taraf shift hogi, jahan investors nuqsaan ko khatam karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Mazeed barhne ke imkaanat 0.6610 ko target kar sakti hain, peechle haftay ka maximum, jo ke shayad baray farokht ke activity ko attract karega.



AUD/USD jodi ne haftay ke doran char mustaqil hafton ka girawat ka samna kiya hai, jismein se paanch hafton ki barhti hui trend thi. 0.6500 par support level ka tor, haftay ki candlestick is level ke neeche kholne ka ishaaraat deti hai, jo ke aik consolidation phase ko darust karti hai. Ye ek bechne ki signal hai, jahan bechne wale ka dabao aik support level 0.6470 tak jari rehne ka ishaaraat hai. Halankeh aik minor pullback hosakta hai, magar maujooda manzar mein bearish outlook ki taraf ishaaraat deti hai, jo ke bechnay ke mauqay ke liye hoshiyarana approach ko zyada pasand karti hai.

Istifada mein, H1 tajziya short-term bullish trend ki taraf ishaarat deti hai jahan potential buying opportunities hain, jabke haftawar chart bearish sentiment ki isharaat deti hai, jo ke significant support levels ki taraf bechnay ke imkaanat ko zyada pasand karti hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake trading strategies ko waqtan-fa-waqtan ke mutabiq adjust kiya ja sake. Sab ko kamiyabi ki duaen.

Australian Dollar (AUD) haal hi mein neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jab Australian Reserve Bank (RBA) ka rukh badal gaya hai. Yeh March mein inflation ke data ke baad aya hai jo ke umeedon se zyada nikla. Inflation ko control karne mein kuch taraqqi ko tasleem karte hue, RBA ne Mangalwar ko darust 4.35% ke dar ko sthir rakhne ka faisla kiya, jo ke aik zyada ehtiyatnaak approach ko darust karta hai. Governor Michelle Bullock ne inflation ke khilaaf jari larai aur bank ka iraada zikar kiya ke 2025 ke doosre hafte tak ise 2-3% ke nishandah mein lekar aana hai. Haan ke AUD ki kami par, anay wale waqt mein kuch bullish signals hain. AUD/USD currency pair aik triangle pattern ke andar trading kar raha hai, jahan 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper reh raha hai, jo ke uparward movement ke liye potential dikhata hai. Nigrani mein rakhne wale mukhya resistance levels mein shamil hain nafsiyati rukawat ka hurdle 0.6600 par aur triangle ka upper trendline kareeb 0.6650 par. In levels ko paar karne se March ke unchaai ka dubara imtehaan diya ja sakta hai jo 0.6667 tha, jo ke 0.6700 mark tak pahunchne ka rasta bana sakta hai.



Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD jodi ke liye ibtedai support 0.6568 ke qareeb 9-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke aas paas mumkin hai. Is level ko torne se aage bechne ka dabao barh sakta hai, jodi ko lower triangle boundary kareeb 0.6465 tak le ja sakta hai. Asal mein, AUD apne raste par aik mor par hai. Jabke RBA ka ehtiyaatnaak rukh currency par asar daal raha hai, technical indicators aik mumkin rebound ka ishaara dete hain. Anay dino mein AUD ka rukh tay karna crucial hoga, jahan mukhya resistance aur support levels potential turning points ka kaam kar sakte hain. Agar bull apne dam par qaim rehte hain, to wo 0.6516–0.6530 zone ke upar utarne ki koshish kar sakte hain aur 0.6576 ke resistance ko test kar sakte hain jo 100-day SMA ne set kiya hai. April 5, 2022 se October 13, 2022 ki kami ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, 0.6739 par bhi maujood hai. Agar wo kamiyaab hote hain, to shayad wo phir July 14, 2022 ke bottom par 0.6681 par move karne ki koshish karenge.

Pichle saal ke darmiyan October ke darmiyan, Australian dollar chart par aik be-mukammal bearish wave structure shuru hua. Pichle maheenay ke darmiyan se, qeemat ne ek mukhtalif rasta ikhtiyar kiya hai, jisne aik mushkil correction ko banaya hai. Quotes taqatwar counter zones ke darmiyan aik tang corridor mein dab gaye hain, zyada timeframes mein.

Tajziya:

Aane waale haftay ke pehle kuch dinon mein, ek kamzor barhta hua movement vector zyada imkanon wala hai. Aik side ways movement qeemat channel ke ooperi had mein mumkin hai. Haftay ke ikhtitami doran, barhti hui sargarmi, palat aur neeche ki taraf rawani ka intezar hai. Ek aur hafta khatam ho gaya, aur dollar ke liye, ye kafi mukhtalif taur par khatam hua jaisa ke maine umeed kiya tha. Amreeki report market ki umeedon ko nakam kar gayi. Naummeedan, aham reports kameezi thein, jo dollar par dabao dala. Main aap ko yaad dilaonga ke mojooda wave analysis ab bhi ek neeche ki taraf rawani ke set ke banao ka ishaara karta hai. Shayad mojooda wave analysis ke liye kuch alarming nahi hua. Magar Amreeki dollar kai hafton se gir raha hai. Hum ne kamzor Amreeki GDP dekha, kamzor Nonfarm Payrolls, barhne wala berozgari, aur ghata hua ISM business activity indices. Agar Amreeki maeeshat behtar kaam nahi karti, to dollar ki darkhwast aur gir sakti hai jo hamain chahiye nahi...Jumeraat ko, Australian dollar 0.6627 ke resistance level ke ooper chadha, jaise ke pehle March 8, March 21, aur April 9 ko hua. Aur jab tak qeemat is resistance ke ooper mazboot nahi hoti, ye 0.6690 tak nahi badhegi. 65% ke imkaanat hain ke AUD/USD jodi MACD line (0.6548) ki taraf palat jaye, aur is mark ke neeche mazbooti ke liye aik consolidation 0.6480 tak ka darwaza khol dega.



4-hour chart par, qeemat 0.6627 ke level ke neeche mazbooti bana rahi hai. Marlin oscillator qeemat ke harkat ko dohrata hai, magar ye neeche ki taraf rawani ko le ja sakta hai. Pehla aur aham support 0.6548 ke level ka hai - daily chart par MACD line, jis ke paas 4-hour chart par MACD line pahunch rahi hai. In lines ke neeche ek sath qeemat ka girawat Australian dollar ko push kar sakta hai.

AUDUSD jodi ki rozana time frame ki tajziya.

AUDUSD jodi jo peechle budh ko trade hui thi, woh ab bhi bechne wale ke dabao ke zor mein thi, khaaskar buyers jo ke abhi tak bechne wale ka resistance area torne mein kaamyaab nahi hue the jo ke 0.6600-0.6595 ke qeemat par tha, jis se keemat ko phir se bechne wale ne utha liya. jo phir mazboot bechna dabaav deta hai, taake keemat phir se neeche ki taraf chali jaye.

Daily time frame par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ko phir se Upper Bollinger Bands area ke neeche rehne ke liye bechna wala phir se barqarar kar raha hai jo ke 0.6640-0.6630 ke qeemat par hai, jo ke bechne wale ko AUDUSD jodi par qabu karne mein madadgar bana raha hai. Iske alawa, bechne wale ne kal ke trading ko mazboot bearish candlestick banakar mukammal kiya, jisse yeh ishaara mila ke AUDUSD jodi ko phir se neeche ki taraf jaane ka mauqa hai Middle Bollinger Bands area ki taraf jo 0.6515-0.6510 ke qeemat par hai, jo ke bechne wale ka agla bearish target area hai.

European market session mein Thursday ko trading mein, buyers ko kaamyaabi mili ke wo bechne wale ke support area ke neeche pravesh karne mein ab bhi mushkil mein hai jo ke 0.6565-0.6560 ke qeemat par hai is tarah ke qeemat bullish hogayi. Buyers qeemat ko ooper le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain takay wo bechna wale ka resistance area test kar sakein jo ke 0.6600-0.6605 ke qeemat par hai aur agar kaamyaab rahein to AUDUSD jodi ki keemat aur bhi zyada bulandi tak chadh jaegi jo ke 0.6625-0.6630 ke qeemat par hai.



RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke pehle 60 ke area mein thi hui qeemat ab level 55 ke area ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke jo bechna wale ke dabao hai wo ab bhi market ki taraf se support mil raha hai jo ke aaj ki trading mein level 50 RSI area tak jaane ki mumkinat rakhta hai.

Nateeja:

Sell entries kar sakte hain agar bechne wale kaamyaab ho jayein support area ko pravesh karne mein jo ke 0.6565-0.6560 ke qeemat par hai with TP area 0.6535-0.6530 ke qeemat par.

Buy entry kar sakte hain agar kharidne wale kaamyaab ho jayein resistance area ko torne mein aur pending buy stop order lagayein ek qeemat par jo 0.6600-0.6605 ke qeemat par hai with TP target 0.6630-0.6635 ke qeemat par.

AUDUSD Market Analysis

AudUsd market mein bullish trend ka jari rehna dobara se kharidaron ki taraf se talash kiya ja raha hai. Ye is liye ho sakta hai ke correction phase ke neeche ki shiraitain hai jo ke ma50 (lal) ke qareeb 0.6560 ke range mein bearish rejection ka samna kar rahi hai. Iske baad, qeemat ab phir se bullish hone ki koshish kar rahi hai do supply areas tak pohanchne ki jo 0.6600 aur 0.6625 ke range mein hain. Aik naye header ka ban jana bhi kaafi khuli hai ke agle resistance area ke neeche 0.6645 ke qareeb. Is qeemat ke level ke upar movement ke zyada hone ka imkan hai ke is se mazeed base up rally movement ko taraqqi milay takay pichle saal ke highest price limit tak pohanch sake 0.6898 ke qareeb. Ye mumkin hai ke phir se bearish movement ho sakay, jaise ke agar izafa 2 Supply levels, 0.6600 aur 0.6625 ke range mein bearish rejection shiraiton ka samna karta hai. Agar neeche ki taraf se girawat able hai to trend ko pehle se bearish tasdeeq kiya ja sakta hai neeche 200 Ma (neela) movement ke support area se at around 0.6516 ke qareeb.



Agla entry plan ka tajziya jo liya ja sakta hai lagta hai ke ab bhi sambhav hai kharidari ke muamlaat ko anjam dene ke liye 0.6560-0.6570 ke range mein pravesh karne. Is qeemat ke level range se kharidari plan ko TP1 tak pohanchne ke liye plan kar sakte hain jo ke 0.6600 level tak pohanchne ka hai aur TP2 ko 0.6625 tak pohanchne ke liye. Ye kharidari ka plan nuqsaan ke khatra ko 0.6510 ke neeche rakh sakta hai. Waise hi, farokht ke muamlaat ke liye, aap 0.6600-0.6625 ke range mein qeemat ka rad-e-amal ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar is qeemat ke level range se kaafi durust bearish qeemat ki karwai hoti hai, to aap farokht ka nishana rak sakte hain takay TP 1 ko 0.6560 ke range mein pohanch jaye aur TP2 ko 0.6516 ke level tak pohanchne ka. Farokht ka intezar oopar 0.6645 ke level ke neeche nuqsaan ke khatra ko rakh sakta hai. Doosra farokht ka option hai ke neeche 0.6516 ke neeche girawat ka intezar karein ek bearish nishana ke saath jo aglay support area tak pohanchne ka koshish kare 0.6464 ke qareeb.