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Eurgbp analysis

11-11-2023, 10:22 AM

ateq

ateq

جونیئر ممبر

EUR/GBP Fundamentals aur Technical Forecast:

Market Ka Jaiza:
EUR/GBP ne is haftay mein aik numaya izafay ka samna kiya, jo maheenay ke chart ke isharaat ke khilaaf hai jo ek side par chalne ko keh raha hai. Lagbhag saat din pehle, koshish ki gayi thi ke uptrend line aur 200-day EMA white line dono ko tora jaye, lekin yeh koshish nakam rahi aur keemat mein uthao-koot ka silsila shuru ho gaya. Mojooda daily candle yeh darust kar raha hai ke daily resistance zone 0.8736 ke qareeb bechare keemat mein farokht dabao mojood hai. Upar ki taraf tawajjuh aur rukawat ke darmiyan yeh tazad, currency pair ke harkaton mein paiyda hone wale mushkilat ko aur bhi wazeh kar raha hai.





Fundamental Data Evaluation:

Haali mein UK se aaye maali maalumat ye batati hain ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures September tak maheene ke liye 1.5% par qaim rahe, jo analysts ki tawajjuh ko hasil hone wale 1.1% girawat se hairat mein daal diya. Isi tarah, UK Manufacturing Production 3% par qaim rahi, jabke taraqqi ke 3.1% ke intezar thay.

Aanay wale haftay mein, do ahem events ki tawajjuh hai. Mangalwar ko, UK mein muntazir hai UK labor aur wage figures, aur EU third quarter ke liye GDP figures jari karega. Budhwar ki taraf jhukte hue, focus UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data aur EU Industrial production par hoga.

Aanay wale haftay, Jumma ko tawajjuh UK Retail Sales aur EU Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) par hogi. Ye indicators maali trends aur market par asar daalne ke liye muntazir kiye jayenge.

Technical Outlook:

Technical analysis ki roshni mein, daily chart ek ascending channel dikhata hai jisme instrument aram se trade kar raha hai. Haalaat yeh hain ke keemat ne buland highs banane ki koshish ki, lekin isne mojooda 0.8736 ke aspaas rukawat ka samna kiya. Relative Strength Index (RSI) upward movement ka ishara deta hai. EUR/GBP chaar hafton se side mein hai, aur do hafton pehle mojooda keemat ke aas paas aik Doji candle ne beghair faislay ke ishara diya.




Mere tajziya ke mutabiq, agar mojooda haftay ki candle pehli wali ke sath ek majboot jism ke sath torr jati hai aur 200 periods ke Exponential Moving Average ko paar karti hai, to yeh aik khareedne ka mauqa pesh kar sakti hai. Lekin, daily chart mein khareedne wale ka mojood hona wazeh hai, kyun ke pichle chaar candles bullish hain. Aanay wale haftay mein aik tanseekhi harkat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke mukhtalif mauqaat par short-selling ke liye aik mauqa pesh kar sakti hai.
  • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/en/?x=investsocial">InstaForex</a>

    24-04-2024, 07:38 PM

    Realone98

    Realone98

    جونیئر ممبر

    Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!
    EURUSD Currency Pair



    EUR/GBP pair, jo ke Euro-British Pound pair ke tor par aksar dekhaya jata hai, forex trading ke duniya mein aik ahem entity hai. Ye pairing Euro (EUR), Eurozone ka offical currency, aur British Pound (GBP), United Kingdom ka currency, ke darmiyan exchange rate ko darust karti hai. Ye dono duniya ke sab se asar angaiz iqtisadiyat mein se hain, is liye EUR/GBP exchange rate mein hone wale taghirat dono ilaqon ke iqtisadi sehat aur siyasi namawar dairay ke bare mein qeemti malumat farahem kar sakti hain.
    EUR/GBP pair international finance ke crossroads par khara hai, jisme euro aur British pound ke darmiyan forex trading ke daire ko encapsulate karta hai. Ye currency pairing maamoolan ek minor forex pairs mein shamil hoti hai, jo dono United Kingdom aur European Union ke global market mein ada karte hain. Is pairing mein euro base currency ka role ada karta hai, jabke British pound quote currency ka role ada karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar EUR/GBP price 0.860 par hai, to iska mtlb hai ke 1 euro 86 pounds ki qeemat par hai.
    Iski mazeed value ko barhane ke liye, EUR/GBP pair ki liquidity bohot achi hoti hai. Ye buland liquidity United Kingdom aur European Union ke darmiyan hone wale substantial trading volume ki wajah se hai. Ek misal is terhan ki interconnectedness ki hai 2020 mein, jab United Kingdom ki trade volume ka 80% se zyada European nations ke saath taalluq tha, jisme Germany aur France jese countries ne prominent positions li thin.

    EUR/GBP Ki Khasoosiyat



    EUR/GBP pair forex market mein wide taur par trade hota hai aur iski kuch khasoosiyat hain jo traders aur investors ko madde nazar rakhein chahiye. Yahan kuch EUR/GBP currency pair ki khasoosiyat hain:
    • Brexit Ka Asar
      EUR/GBP exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale sab se ahem factors mein se aik hai Brexit ka chalta hua process. United Kingdom ke faislay ne European Union se alag hone ka asar dono iqtisadiyaton aur in ke currencies ke darmiyan ko gehra asar dala. Is negotiation process, trade agreements, aur dono ilaqon ki iqtisadiyat mein hone wale tabdilein exchange rate mein wazeh farq peda kar sakti hain.
    • [/COLOR] [COLOR="#8B4513"]Iqtisadi Dabaoat
      Traders aur investors aksar Eurozone aur United Kingdom ke iqtisadi indicators ko monitor karte hain takay unhain apni iqtisadiyat ke sehat ka andaza ho. Key indicators mein GDP ki growth, bay rozgari dar, mahangai ki dar, aur sanat ki malumat shamil hain. In indicators mein hone wale tabdilein har currency ki quwat ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur is tarhan EUR/GBP exchange rate ko asar andaz bana sakti hain.
    • Sood Aur Mudarabah Polisi
      European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke sood dar faislay aur mudarabah polisi ki statements bhi EUR/GBP exchange rate par bohot gehra asar daal sakti hain. Agar aik ilaqa dosre ke nisbat zyada sood dar pesh karta hai, to is se behtar munafa hasil karne ki talab mein investors ko khich sakta hai, jisse currency ki qeemat mein izafah ho sakta hai.
    • Siyasi Tajaweezat
      Eurozone aur UK mein hone wale siyasi waqeiat aur tajaweezat bhi EUR/GBP exchange rate par asar andaz hote hain. Elections, policies mein tabdilein, aur siyasi tanaavat tasasur peda kar sakti hain aur market sentiment ko mutasir karke exchange rate mein izafah ya kamii paida kar sakti hain.
    • Cross-Rate Dynamics
      Kyunki dono Euro aur British Pound major currencies hain, is wajah se EUR/GBP exchange rate ko EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs ko mutasir karne wale factors bhi asar andaz hote hain. Traders aksar in cross-rate dynamics ko analyze karte hain takay unhe EUR/GBP ke potential movements ka andaza ho sake.
    • Risk Sentiment Ke Sath Taalluq
      EUR/GBP exchange rate kabhi kabhi global risk sentiment ke sath taalluq rakhta hai. Agar kisi period mein ziada risk se bachne ke liye traders safe-haven assets jese ke US Dollar (USD) ki taraf ruju karte hain, to ye dono Euro aur British Pound ke liye bhi asar andaz ho sakta hai, aur is tarhan EUR/GBP pair ko bhi mutasir kar sakta hai.
    • Trade Aur Invest Ka Taalluq
      Eurozone aur UK ke darmiyan iqtisadi talluqat EUR/GBP exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Trade agreements, investment flows, aur iqtisadi ham ahangi aisi linkages peda kar sakti hain jo EUR/GBP rate ko mutasir kar sakti hain.
    • Technical Analysis
      Traders aksar technical analysis ka istemal karte hain takay wo market mein trends aur entry/exit points ko identify kar sakein. Aam technical indicators aur chart patterns EUR/GBP pair ke liye potential price movements ka andaza dene mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.



    Yaad rahe ke foreign exchange market tezi se tabdeel ho sakta hai aur isay aik wide range ke factors asar andaz kar sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko Eurozone aur UK ke development ke mutalik maqami malumat ke mutabiq rahein, sath hi sath global iqtisadi aur siyasi waqeaton ko bhi malumat hasil karne ki zaroorat hai taaki EUR/GBP currency pair ke trading ke waqt informe faislay kar sakein.

    Impacts on EUR/GBP Movement



    EUR/GBP currency pair, jese ke koi aur forex pair, iski harkat ko chalane wale mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai. Ye factors bade taur par fundamental aur technical factors mein taqseem kiye ja sakte hain. Yahan wo asal factors hain jo EUR/GBP exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale hain:[LIST][*] Economic Indicators and Data Releases:
    • GDP Increased: Zayada iqtisadi growwth aam taur par aik mazeed quwatwar currency ko le kar aati hai. Ek currency ke ilaqe mein doosre ke nisbat behtar GDP data currency ki qeemat mein izafah ka sabab ban sakta hai.
    • Inflation Rate: Central banks aksar mahangai ke daro ke mutabiq sood daro ko adjust karte hain. Zyada mahangai ka sabab sood daro mein izafah hone ka imkan hai, jo ke currency ko mazeed quwat dete hain.
    • Interest Rate: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke darmiyan sood daro mein farq, modalities ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain.
    • Employment Data: Be rozgari dar aur naukriyan banane wale figures iqtisadiyat ki sehat ke baray mein malumat farahem karte hain aur currency ki qeemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
    [*] Monetary Policy:
    • Central Bank Faislay: ECB aur BoE ke faislay, sood daro mein izafah, quantity easing programs aur forward guidance ke mutalliq, exchange rate par bari asar daal sakte hain.
    • Policies Ki Statements: Central bank ke afraad ke diye gaye statements, press conferences ya taqreeron mein, future policy ka andaza dene mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hain aur currency ki qeemat par asar daal sakti hain.
    [*] Political and Geopolitical Developments:
    • Brexit: UK ka ongoing process jo European Union se alag hone ka hai, is ka EUR/GBP pair mein izafah ya kamii paida kar sakta hai.
    • Siyasi Istiqamat: Siyasi gadood ya istiqamat investor confidence par asar daal sakte hain aur exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
    • Trade Agreements: UK aur EU ke darmiyan trade agreements mein tabdiliyan, economic prospects aur currency pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
    [*] Market Sentiment:
      • Risk Appetite: Zyada risk se bachne ke doran, investors aksar safe-haven currencies jese ke US Dollar (USD) ya Japanese Yen (JPY) ki taraf ruju karte hain, jo ke EUR/GBP exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakti hai.
      • Market Speculation: Traders ke expectations future iqtisadi aur siyasi tajaweezat ke mutalliq short-term movements ko mutasir kar sakti hain.
    • Technical Factors:
      • Technical Analysis: Traders trading decisions ke liye various technical indicators, chart patterns aur trend analysis ka istemal karte hain, jo short-term price movements ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
    • Economic and Financial Events:
      • Important Data Releases: Central bank meetings, GDP announcements, aur employment reports jese events currency markets mein short-term volatility ko peda kar sakte hain.
      • Market Surprises: Iqtisadi data releases mein munazzam taur par consensus forecasts se hat kar ya unke mutabiq hone wale unexpected changes, exchange rate mein foran ki harkat ko peda kar sakte hain.


    EUR/GBP Trading Strategies



    EUR/GBP currency pair ke liye trading strategies, jese ke koi aur forex pair, trader ke maqasid, risk tolerance, aur market conditions ke mutabiq mukhtalif ho sakti hain. Yahan kuch aise trading strategies hain jo traders aam taur par EUR/GBP pair ke sath kaam karte waqt istemal karte hain:
    • Trend Following Strategy
      • Trend following strategy mein maqsad mojooday trend ki taraf paise kamaana hai.
      • Traders technical indicators jese ke moving averages, trendlines, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka istemal karte hain takay wo trend ko pehchaan sakein aur potential entry/exit points ka andaza laga sakein.
      • Misaal ke tor par, agar EUR/GBP pair ek uptrend mein hai aur mazeed quwat ki alamat dikhata hai, to trader long position (khareedna) mein dakhil ho sakta hai.
    • Range Trading Strategy
      • Range trading strategy mein traders price ranges ya support aur resistance levels ko dhoondhte hain jahan currency pair aik muqarrar range ke andar rehne wala lagta hai.
      • Traders support ke qareeb khareedte hain aur resistance ke qareeb bechte hain, taaki range ke andar price ke oscillations se munafa hasil ho sake.
      • Ye strategy is waqt munasib hai jab EUR/GBP pair aik clear trend ke baghair sideways trade ho.
    • Breakout Strategy
      • Breakout traders barah-e-raast price movements se faida uthane ka maqsad rakhte hain jo hoti hain jab price aik behtareen define kiye gaye range ya consolidation phase se bahar nikalti hai.
      • Traders aham support aur resistance levels ko pehchaan kar breakout ki taraf trades lagate hain.
      • Risk ko manage karne ke liye aksar stop-loss orders ka istemal hota hai agar breakout nakam ho.
    • News-Based Strategy
      • Iqtisadi data releases, central bank announcements, aur siyasi tajaweezat short-term market movements ko peda kar sakte hain.
      • Is strategy ko follow karne wale traders news aur events ko closely monitor karte hain aur unexpected outcomes ya market sentiment mein tabdiliyon se paida hone wale volatility ka faida uthate hain.
    • Carry Trade Strategy
      • Carry trade strategy sood daro ke darmiyan hone wale farqat se faida uthane ka maqsad rakhti hai.
      • Traders higher interest rate wali currency ko long (khareedna) karte hain aur lower interest rate wali currency ko short (bechna) karte hain takay unhe sood daro mein farqat ka faida ho.
      • Ye strategy central bank policies aur potential risks ka dhyan se tafteesh karta hai.
    • Correlation Strategy
      • Traders EUR/GBP pair aur doosre is se mutalliq currency pairs, jese ke EUR/USD aur GBP/USD, ke darmiyan ta'alluqat ka tajziya kar sakte hain.
      • In pairs ke aapas mein kaise move hote hain ko samajh kar traders mutasir trading decisions le sakte hain.
    • Event-Driven Strategy
      • Brexit negotiations, policy decisions, aur iqtisadi releases jese events short-term trading opportunities peda kar sakte hain.
      • Traders in events ko closely follow karte hain aur market reaction ke mutabiq setups dhoondhte hain.
    • Hedging Strategy
      • Traders aur businesses apne against adverse currency movements bachne ke liye hedging strategies ka istemal karte hain.
      • Misaal ke tor par, aik company jo EUR/GBP exchange rate ke exposure mein hai, apne currency risk ko hedge karne ke liye derivatives ka istemal kar sakti hai.
    • Algorithmic Trading
      • Kuch traders algorithms aur automated trading systems ka istemal predefined criteria par trades execute karne ke liye karte hain, jo ke short-term price movements ka faida uthane ke liye banaye gaye hote hain.


    Conclusion



    EUR/GBP pair forex trading mein aham kirdar ada karta hai, jo ke Euro aur British Pound ke darmiyan exchange rate ko darust karta hai. Ye dynamic pairing dono major economies, Eurozone aur United Kingdom ke darmiyan hone wale global financial interplay ko tasweer karti hai.
    Jabke Euro base currency hoti hai aur British Pound quote currency hota hai, to EUR/GBP pair ye do major economies ke darmiyan global financial interplay ko tasweer karta hai. Khaas tor par, Brexit ka asar, iqtisadi indicators aur central bank policies iske khaas characteristics mein shamil hain.
    EUR/GBP pair ke liye trading strategies trend following, breakout approaches, aur algorithmic methods ko shaamil karte hain, jo ke mukhtalif trader preferences ke liye bane hue hain. Lekin, forex market ki hamesha taqatwar tabdeeli maangti hai aur iqtisadi shifts ke mutaliq mushtarka malumat ka barqarar rehna zaroori hai.
    Aakhir mein, EUR/GBP pair ko samajhna traders ke liye zaroori hai jo iqtisadi dynamics ko samajhna, siyasi tabdiliyon ka jawab dena, aur dynamic forex manzar mein trading opportunities ka faida uthana chahte hain.
  • 19-08-2024, 08:24 AM

    SialFx

    SialFx

    جونیئر ممبر

    EUR / GBP Technical Analysis:

    Eur/gbp currency pair ne Jumma ko ek relatively quiet trading session dikhaya, 0.8530 tak neeche jaate hue jab market participants ne UK se latest economic data ko digest kiya. Jabki retail sales ne July mein recovery ke signs dikhaye, lekin bade economic picture mein abhi bhi andhera hai. Retail spending mein halki izafa, pichle mahine ke decline ke muqable mein ek positive development tha lekin June ki strong second quarter ke baad economic slowdown ne isko overshadow kar diya. Ye conflicting data ne Bank of England ke monetary policy stance ke baare mein sawalon ko uthaya hai, jisme further interest rate cuts ka khatra hai. Haal hi mein trading days mein, EUR/GBP pair ne crucial 200-day aur 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke beech ek range mein bandh gaya hai, jahan support aur resistance levels 0.8550 aur 0.8510 par hain. Trading volume mein kami ka ishara hai ke selling pressure kam ho rahi hai. Lekin haal hi mein bulls ka 200-day SMA ko defend na kar paana pair ke near-term outlook par ek bearish shadow daal raha hai.
    EUR / GBP H4 Chart:


    Click image for larger version Name: Screenshot_2024-08-18-17-59-05-70_0bea77daeacc231008e293164131bafa.jpg Views: 18 Size: 246.2 کلوبائٹ ID: 13093108

    Technical indicators ka tasweer mixed aur kuch had tak mushkil hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 level ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan balance ko zahir karta hai. Halankay yeh indecision ka ishaara ho sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi yeh darust karta hai ke market kisi bhi direction mein decisive move ke liye tayyar hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ab apni green bars mein kami dikhata hai, jo aane wale trading sessions mein ek potential downward bias ki taraf ishara karta hai. Momentum indicators mukhtalif signals faraham kar rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ahem 25 threshold ke oopar rehta hai aur dheere-dheere barh raha hai, jo ek mazboot trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Magar, RSI aur Stochastic Oscillator dono bearish divergence dikha rahe hain, jo mojooda downtrend ka mukhalif hone ki nishani ho sakti hai. Ikhtisar mein, EUR/GBP pair hal mein indecision mein phansa hua hai, jahan bullish aur bearish forces control ke liye muqabla kar rahe hain. Pair ki price action zahir hai ke range-bound rahegi jab tak 0.8401 level ya 100-day SMA ke neeche ya oopar ek wazi tootak nahi hoti. 0.8401 resistance level ka kamyabi se paar hona mumkin hai ke 0.8484 par 50-day SMA ki taraf ek rally ko jala sakti hai, lekin 0.8504-0.8521 region mein ahem resistance ka samna karna parega. Mukhalif, 100-day SMA ke neeche ek mustaqil harkat bechani ko barha sakti hai aur mazeed giravat ke liye raasta khol sakti hai.
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