EUR/USD
Euro ne kuch waqt ke liye thori madad hasil ki Eurozone ke maufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 aayi, jo ke 45.7 ke mutabiq thori si zyada thi. Magar, yeh ab bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo ke farq ko zahir karta hai. Yeh muqabil mein hai US PMI ka jo haal hi mein do saalon ke darmiyan pehli dafa 50 se ooper chala gaya hai. Easter chhuttiyon ke baad EUR/USD US ke mazboot data aur zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath kamzor hui. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ne dollar ko taqwiyat di thi jis se June mein interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ko kam kar diya gaya tha. Zyada interest rates aksar foreign capital ko attract karte hain, jis se dollar zyada attractive ho jata hai. Dusra taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein slow growth aur kam inflation ki wajah se zyada dovish stance ki taraf mael ho rahi hai. Is hafte release hone wale data ne dikhaya ke German inflation March mein 2.2% tak ghata, jo ke expectations se kam tha aur June mein ECB ke interest rate kaatne ke chances ko aur bhi barha diya. Magar is ke bawajood, EUR/USD ko koi traction hasil nahi hua.
EUR/USD abhi tak chote arse ke downtrend mein mubtala hai jo ke march ke shuruaat se shuru hua hai. Currency pair ab 1.0694 ke kareeb ek ahem support level ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke saal ki shuruaat se sab se kam keemat hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, ek technical indicator jo momentum ke liye hota hai, Euro abhi oversold hai. Yeh ishaara deta hai ke sellers mohtaj ho sakte hain aur apni short positions par wapis aa sakte hain. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone (30 ke ooper) se bahar nikalta hai, to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur shaed long positions khulne ka signal hoga. Yeh temporary downtrend mein ek arse ka pullback leke aaye ga, magar overall trend phir bhi bearish hone ke imkaanat hain. February ki kam aur saal ki shuruaat ki kam keemat 1.0694 mein significant support faraham karne ke imkaanat hain, aur pehli koshish par is level ko torne par ek bounce mutawaqqi hai. Magar, agar is level ke neeche faisla karne wala break hua to yeh doosri selling ki lehar ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisme agla target 1.0650 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Faisla karne wala break aam tor par ek bara red candle ke zariye is level ko poori tarah engulf karte hue aur uske neeche band hone ke sath kia jata hai. Ya phir yeh teen mufeed surkh candles ke zariye bhi zahir ho sakta hai.
Euro ne kuch waqt ke liye thori madad hasil ki Eurozone ke maufacturing data ke baad. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 aayi, jo ke 45.7 ke mutabiq thori si zyada thi. Magar, yeh ab bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo ke farq ko zahir karta hai. Yeh muqabil mein hai US PMI ka jo haal hi mein do saalon ke darmiyan pehli dafa 50 se ooper chala gaya hai. Easter chhuttiyon ke baad EUR/USD US ke mazboot data aur zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ke saath kamzor hui. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ne dollar ko taqwiyat di thi jis se June mein interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ko kam kar diya gaya tha. Zyada interest rates aksar foreign capital ko attract karte hain, jis se dollar zyada attractive ho jata hai. Dusra taraf, European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein slow growth aur kam inflation ki wajah se zyada dovish stance ki taraf mael ho rahi hai. Is hafte release hone wale data ne dikhaya ke German inflation March mein 2.2% tak ghata, jo ke expectations se kam tha aur June mein ECB ke interest rate kaatne ke chances ko aur bhi barha diya. Magar is ke bawajood, EUR/USD ko koi traction hasil nahi hua.
EUR/USD abhi tak chote arse ke downtrend mein mubtala hai jo ke march ke shuruaat se shuru hua hai. Currency pair ab 1.0694 ke kareeb ek ahem support level ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke saal ki shuruaat se sab se kam keemat hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, ek technical indicator jo momentum ke liye hota hai, Euro abhi oversold hai. Yeh ishaara deta hai ke sellers mohtaj ho sakte hain aur apni short positions par wapis aa sakte hain. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone (30 ke ooper) se bahar nikalta hai, to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur shaed long positions khulne ka signal hoga. Yeh temporary downtrend mein ek arse ka pullback leke aaye ga, magar overall trend phir bhi bearish hone ke imkaanat hain. February ki kam aur saal ki shuruaat ki kam keemat 1.0694 mein significant support faraham karne ke imkaanat hain, aur pehli koshish par is level ko torne par ek bounce mutawaqqi hai. Magar, agar is level ke neeche faisla karne wala break hua to yeh doosri selling ki lehar ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisme agla target 1.0650 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Faisla karne wala break aam tor par ek bara red candle ke zariye is level ko poori tarah engulf karte hue aur uske neeche band hone ke sath kia jata hai. Ya phir yeh teen mufeed surkh candles ke zariye bhi zahir ho sakta hai.
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