gold

Pichle haftay, jab Powell ne ishara diya ke woh 2024 mein teen martaba interest rates ko kam kar dega, to US dollar aik martaba 103.0 ke qareeb ek low tak pohanch gaya, aur sonay ne aik naya record high kiya, aik martaba 2220 mark tak pohanch gaya. Baad mein, Swiss National Bank ki ghair mutawaqa interest rate cut ne US dollar ko barhawa diya. Mil kar ke US economy ke mazboot nafiz hone ke sath, US dollar index fluctuate hua aur barha. Ab tak, US dollar 104.0 ke ooper wapas aa gaya hai. Sonay par roller coaster chal rahi hai. 2222 tak aik uncha pahunchne ke baad, woh aik martaba 2157 tak gir gaya. Ab tak, is ne 2222 ke unche se guzar gaya hai. Main shuruat mein soch raha tha ke main haftay ke akhir mein mawad likhoon aur aik mahenaaray jayeza karoon. Magar market kal, Jumma, band hai, isliye main aaj raat likhoonga. Sab se pehle, sonay ke baray mein baat karte hain. Meri mojooda raay ye hai ke sonay naye unchaaiyon tak pohanchta rahega. Jab US trading period ke doran, main asli traders ko market mein dakhil hone ke liye 2205 ke qareeb aur long jaane ki raay di thi. Mojooda bulandai ne 2225 tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke lagbhag 20 US dollars ka munfarid munafa hai. Sab se pehle, ghanta chart dekhte hain: 2157 ke baad jab interest rate ka faisla hua, jab tak 2217 tak aane wala aaj, ye ek abc trend market hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke tasveer mein 100% position bilkul 2217 hai. Aik giravat US market mein 2205 ke aas paas, chouthi wave ka retracement hai. Yeh abhi filhaal paanchvi wave mein uth raha hai. Ye mojooda teen waves se abc ko paanch waves tak barhne ka hai, jaari hai, aur mazeed barh raha hai, aur 2222 ke unchayi ko tor raha hai.

Maheenay ka chart tajziya karte hue, hamay pichlay dino mein kuch ahem waqiyat aur unke asarat par ghoor karna zaroori hai. Main ne ek horizontal line khainchi hai jo pehlay unchi tor par sheernakhti ka daur dikhata tha, lekin phir is line ka uttar ki taraf jari rehna shuru ho gaya. Isi ke sath, maine Fibonacci grid ka istemal kiya hai, jo hamare nazdeeki qeemti dhaat ke liye naye unchayiyon par le gaya hai. Yeh pehli taqatwar impulsive mumkeen hai jo hamare qeemti dhaat ke liye naye unchaaiyon par le gaya. Main agla target 161.8 ko samajhta hoon, jo ke 2360 ki dardnaak barabari mein hai. Yani, mojooda se bahut lambi fasla hamare liye muntazir hai, 1265 points se zyada. Instaforex spread ka size ko nazar andaz karte hue, yeh ek ahem maqam hai. Lekin, ek sawal ab bhi baqi hai: kya yeh sirf ek correction hai ya seedha jaari rahay ga? Is maslay ka hal abhi tak wazeh nahi hai. Humain mazeed tafseelat aur mawafiq data ki zaroorat hai taake hum sahi faisla kar sakein.



Market ki halat ka izafa hota rehta hai aur ismein taqatwar aur kamzor movements dono shamil hote hain. Halaanki, hamain asal mein mojooda trend ka dhoran samajhna zaroori hai taake hum apne faislay ko mustaqbil ke liye behter bana sakein. Is waqt, humain tawajjo aur dhiyan se market ke har pehlu par ghoor karna chahiye, taake hum apne maqsad ko barqarar rakh sakein aur munafa haasil kar sakein. In ummedon ke saath, humain musbat aur mazboot rehna chahiye aur hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye ke hamari tajweezat aur faislay qabool kiye ja sakein. Rozana ki tarah, mushkilat aur tajurbaat ka hisaab lena hamare liye zaroori hai, taake hum mazeed behtar bann sakein aur apne maqsad tak pohonch sakein.
Shukriya! Option trading mein BUY positions rakhne ke liye mojooda bullish trend mein kai mukhtalif mauqe hote hain jo traders ko munafa dila sakte hain. Agar aapko ek acha entry point chahiye, to rally base rally ke 81.96 se 81.67 ke minor demand area mein position lena munasib ho sakta hai. Yeh area price action analysis ke zariye tay kiya gaya hai aur yeh ek potential support zone hai jahan se price phir se upar ja sakta hai.



Yeh entry point ko aur bhi mazboot banane ke liye, aap Stochastic indicator ka istemal kar sakte hain. Stochastic indicator ka parameter 50 ke level par cross karne ka intezaar kar raha hai, jo ke ek confirmation signal provide kar sakta hai ke bullish momentum badhne wala hai. Jab yeh indicator 50 ke level se upar cross karega, to yeh ek indication dega ke buying pressure barh rahi hai aur price kaafi strong uptrend mein ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka istemal bhi madadgar ho sakta hai. AO ke histogram ka consistent taur par 0 ke level ke upar rehna zaroori hai taaki confirm ho sake ke bullish momentum qaim hai aur uptrend jari hai. Agar histogram 0 ke level ke upar rehta hai, to yeh darust hai ke buying pressure jari hai aur uptrend mein mazid izafa hone ke imkanat hain. Take profit level ko 83.86 ya us se ooper set kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh level bhi price action analysis ke teht tay kiya gaya hai aur ek potential resistance zone hai jahan se price mukhtalif wajahon se ruk sakta hai. Agar price is level tak pohanch jata hai, to yeh ek munsif take profit level ho sakta hai jahan se traders munafa hasil kar sakte hain.

Gold ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Gold ki keemat aakhri trading haftay mein barhti rahi. Haftay ko 2288 ke darja par khatam karne ke baad, aik level ne thori rokawat di, lekin price ne is level ko tor diya aur agay barh kar doosra record bulandaiyon par pohanch gayi, jahan yeh ruka aur taqwiyat shuru ki. Natije mein, price ne maqsood shetrafat tak pohanch gayi, pichli tajziye ki tawaqo ko mukammal tor par pura kiya. Iske ilawa, price chart super trending green zone mein hai, jo kharidaron ke ziada dominance ka aik zahir hai.

Gold ki keemat Monday ko ounce par $2,338 tak barh gayi, pehle din ki bulandai $2,329 per ounce se. Qeemati dhaat nay haftay ki nai shuruaat mein $2,303 tak gir kar record bulandaiyon se $2,354 par gir gayi. Sonay ki keemat Monday ke open se barhne lagi jab ke American dollar girte rehta tha. Price abhi haftay ke aur record bulandaiyon se bohat upar hai. Ahem support areas ka abhi tak imtehan nahi liya gaya hai aur unka aitmaad bana hua hai, jo humein upar ki taraf ki pehron ko pehle priority dene ki ijaazat deta hai.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Isi doran, is mojooda price zone mein mustaqil hone ke liye aur agay barhne ke liye, price ko aik local pullback ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo keh 2288 ke darja par khatam hone wala hai, jo ab barri support ki zameen ka border hai. Is area ka dobara test agle uptrend mein mazeed izafa ki ahmiyat ka saboot hoga, jiska maqsood 2417 aur 2456 ke darmiyan ke ilaqay hai.

Support ke ooper aur pivot level 2221 ke neeche girne ka signal hoga ke mojooda mansooba ko cancel kar diya gaya hai. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Sona naye record bulandiyon par $2,320 ke upar barh raha hai

Sona ne bullish tezi ikhatta ki aur Jumeraat ko $2,320 ke upar ek naye record bulandiyon tak pahuncha. Halankeh, America se umeedwar March jobs report ne Dollar (USD) ko demand milne mein madad ki, XAU/USD ko badhte hue geojitik tensions se faida ho raha hai.

Ek technical nazar se, $2,265 ilaqa ke neeche ki kamzori haftawaar swing low ko samne la sakta hai, lagbhag $2,229-2,228 ilaqa, jahan $2,250 ke darja ko darmiyanai support ke tor par kaam aane wala hai. Kuch follow-through selling ka potential sonay ke daam ko $2,200 nafsiyati nishaan ke taraf kheench sakta hai, jo ek mazboot bunyad ke tor par kaam karega. Magar, iske bawajood, kehne wale ek maang rukhna ise kuch maainful tehqiqi girawat ke raste khareedega.

Dosri taraf, $2,280 ilaqa ke upar ek manzil ko pahunchna Asia ki session ki peak ke qareeb kuch rukawat ka samna karsakta hai, bas $2,300 gol shumar ke aage. Iske baad wajood maangne wale traders ke liye ek taza trigger ke tor par dekha jayega aur is stage ko mazboot kiya jayega jo pichle do hafto mein ya dekhi gayi tezi ki extension ke liye stage banayega.

Sonay ka daam (XAU/USD) Jumeraat ko doosre din bhi neeche ki taraf ja raha hai aur sone ke aagahi tone ko Europe ki session ke shurwat ke doran barqarar rakhta hai. American Dollar (USD) ek qareeb do hafton ke low se tezi se sabq ko lay kar barqarar rehta hai aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke afraad ki thandi raay se achhi tarah se sath deta hai, jo sone ko nuksan pahunchata hai. Iske alawa, is giraft mein repositioning trade ka hona mojood hai pehli marhale ke baad America ke maheena warzi zubaan ke aghaaz ke pehle.

Mashhoor (NFP) report naye signals ke liye dekha jayega Fed ke rate cut raste ke bare mein, jo phir sone ke nahi sakte muayyin karega aur non-yielding Gold price ko taza rukh dene ke liye. Is doran, Russia-Ukraine jang se aane wale geojitik tensions aur Middle East mein tanazaat mein mazeed izafa ke khatre se persistent geojitik tensions safe-haven XAU/USD ke liye pichle saareekiyat se girawat se koi maainful girawat ko mehdood karega.

Ae mere azeez aur aane wale mizaaq, ummid hai ke aap sab theek honge. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke baare mein guftagu karenge kyunki sonay ka market acha munafa deta hai aur hum sab is se faida uthate hain aur apne khataon ko bhar dete hain. To sonay ke market mein, main fundamentals ke saath trade karta hoon aur is se kaafi acha munafa kamata hoon, isliye sabse pehle hum market ki guftagu karte hain, is par kya asar pad raha hai aur duniyawi asar kya hain aur is par kya fundamentals hain. Sabse pehle hum is par fundamental asar dekhte hain, ab market oopar ki taraf ja raha hai. Aur agar ab market trend ko upar dekha jata hai. To hume munafa mil sakta hai aur agar hume munafa milta hai to munafa hasil karne ke liye yeh acha hai. To 1822 mein, market oopar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karein, to market ne 1940 tak chhua aur 1960 tak oopar gaya. 1960 oopar ja sakta hai aur market trend oopar ja raha hai aur humein kharidari trades karni chahiye. Kyunki agar hum isse daakhil ke nazar se dekhte hain, to market oopar ja raha hai aur munafa oopar hoga, isliye ise kharidna chahiye. Kyunki kharidne se munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai, sonay ke market par jaldi se jaldi kharidna chahiye aur indicator ko dekhte hue moving average par dekhte hue munafa kamane ki koshish karni chahiye.

Rozana sonay ka chart dekhte hue, hum note karte hain ke pichle saal ke shuru se is saal ke darmiyan, mazboot neeche ki taraf tezi dekhi gayi, jo 1575-80 par record kam se kam par pohanchi phir dobara upar ki taraf rukh milti gayi, apni charam par 1911.00 tak pohanch gayi. Mojooda keemat ke harkat mein resistance aur support ke darmiyan idrari harkat nazar aati hai, jahan key reference level 1915-50 par hai. Sonay ki umeed hai ke woh 1920 level tak wapas jaye, phir mukhtalif resistance level ko toorna shuru ho, sonay ke market mein trading ke moqe khulte hain. Anay wale haftay ke liye, do mumkinah manazir mojud hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level tak wapas jata hai, jo pehle resistance ke tor par kaam aya tha, is dafa inkar ya is level par ikhtisaar ki nishandahi hoti hai, toh long position ko ghor se dekhein 1910.00, September 2023 ki unchi par munafa maqsood aur stop loss ko 1925.00 ke neeche rakha jaaye, jo is trade ke liye support level ke tor par set kiya gaya hai. Sonay ke daam mein khaas izafa hua hai, daam 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb band hone ka imkan hai. Halankeh, mojooda keemat ko mazeed izafa nahi hua hai aur ye 200-day SMA ke qareeb mukhtalif hoti hai. Ek imkan hai ke keemat aagey badhkar apni bullish tezi ko jari rakhe. Magar agar daam ko unchi swing ki nishandahi nahi milti aur tezi mein tezi ka taza hadsa hota hai, to negative trend ghair tabdeel rahega.

Aap gold market mein trading ke baray mein kuch insights aur strategies share kar rahe hain. Market ke trends ko monitor karna aur fundamentals ko samajhna trading mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Aapki tafseeli tahlil se lagta hai ke aap khaas tor par khareedne ke mauqe par tawajjo de rahe hain, khaaskar gold market mein upar ki taraf ke trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Support aur resistance ke ahem darajat ko dekhte hue, saath hi moving averages jaise indicators ka istemal kar traders sahi faislay kar sakte hain aur munafa hasil kar sakte hain.

Aapki rozana ki gold chart ki tafseeli tahlil aur aanay wale haftay ke liye mumkinah scenarios ka jayeza lena trading mein mukammal nazriyat ko dikhata hai. Ahem darajat ko pehchan kar aur mukhtalif mumkinah nataij ko ghor kar, traders market mein behtar tareeqay se safar kar sakte hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banaye rakhte hain.

Yaad rakhein ke hamesha market ke naye updates par mabni rahein aur zaroorat ke mutabiq apna approach adjust karte rahein. Aapki trading ki koshishon mein kamiyabi ke liye mubarak ho!

Aap gold market mein trading ke baray mein kuch insights aur strategies share kar rahe hain. Market ke trends ko monitor karna aur fundamentals ko samajhna trading mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Aapki tafseeli tahlil se lagta hai ke aap khaas tor par khareedne ke mauqe par tawajjo de rahe hain, khaaskar gold market mein upar ki taraf ke trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Support aur resistance ke ahem darajat ko dekhte hue, saath hi moving averages jaise indicators ka istemal kar traders sahi faislay kar sakte hain aur munafa hasil kar sakte hain.

Aapki rozana ki gold chart ki tafseeli tahlil aur aanay wale haftay ke liye mumkinah scenarios ka jayeza lena trading mein mukammal nazriyat ko dikhata hai. Ahem darajat ko pehchan kar aur mukhtalif mumkinah nataij ko ghor kar, traders market mein behtar tareeqay se safar kar sakte hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banaye rakhte hain.


Aapki rozana ki sonay ki chart ki tafseeli tahlil aur aanay wale haftay ke liye mumkinah scenarios ka jayeza lena trading mein mukammal nazriyat ko dikhata hai. Ahem darajat ko pehchan kar aur mukhtalif mumkinah nataij ko ghor kar, traders market mein behtar tareeqay se safar kar sakte hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banaye rakhte hain.

Yaad rakhein ke hamesha market ke naye updates par mabni rahein aur zaroorat ke mutabiq apna approach adjust karte rahein. Aapki trading ki koshishon mein kamiyabi ke liye mubarak ho!Yaad rakhein ke hamesha market ke naye updates par mabni rahein aur zaroorat ke mutabiq apna approach adjust karte rahein. Aapki trading ki koshishon mein kamiyabi ke liye mubarak ho!

Kal, jaise ki ummeed thi, sona phir se lamba hua 2330 ke sath aur $ 2395 tak pahuncha. Pehli line phir se jeeti, ek order mein 6500 points ke sweep! Chaandi ne kal 28.20 ke aas paas short selling ke baad bhi laabh banaate rahe aur $27.75 tak gira. Europe aur United States mein short selling kal 1.07900 par as expected bina kisi len-den ke gira. Crude oil ke liye uchcha udan, neeche aur lambi vichar sahi hai, aur har koi isse dekh sakta hai! Kal, sona ne ek market trend ka pehla parichalan kiya aur phir uchhalte hue kiya. Yeh trend poori tarah se niyantrit hai, aur har koi isse dekh sakta hai! Kal, sona $2,332.3 par khula. Subah khulne ke baad, sona ne fayde ki ek lehar dekhi. Uchcha utar $2,346.7 tak pahuncha, aur phir vapis gir gaya. Giraavat hamare liye lamba jaari rakhne ka ek accha avsar hai! Europe ke market mein sabse kam giravat $2325.6 rekha ko mili. Hum ne apne program ke mutabik bhaari maatra mein 2330 ke upar ambush order daale.





Sona Europe aur America ke market mein aane ke mutabik lamba hua. US market badha aur subah ke uchchai ko par karke $2347.2 rekha ko navikrt kiya. Phir chaukane ke baad phir se badhna shuru kiya. Vartaman mein, sabse uchcha utar $2395.5 rekha ko chhua hai, aur lamba order phir se bade laabh bana rahe hain, jaise har koi dekh sakta hai! Har koi ne dekha 65 ameriki dollar ka bada vriddhi! Dainik sona rekha ek bada sakaratmak rekha ke saath band hoti hai, jismein nichle chhaya rekha thodi lambi hoti hai, jo upar ki chhaya rekha se. Aise bade sakaratmak rekha ke band hone ke baad, sona aaj bhi bullish aur lamba rahega. Aage ki badhotri aur maang ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai. Aaj, sona neeche ke samarthan par dhyaan denge. $2,375 par, agar aap peeche jhuk jaate hain aur yahan ke samarthan par adharit ho kar lamba jaari rakhte hain, toh $2,400 aur lagbhag $2,420 ke aspaas dekhen!

Gold



Aap sab meray pyare aane walon, umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke bare mein baat karenge kyunki sonay ke market se acha munafa hota hai aur hum sab us se munafa kama ke apne accounts ko bharte hain. To sonay ke market mein, main fundamentals ke sath trade karta hoon aur is se kaafi acha munafa kama leta hoon, to sab se pehle hum market ko dekhte hain, us par kya asar hai aur duniyawi asar kya hain aur us par kya fundamentals hain. So sab se pehle hum check karte hain ke fundamental asar kya hai, abhi market upar ja rahi hai. Aur agar market trend upar ki taraf dekha jaye to. To hum munafa le sakte hain aur agar munafa milta hai to yeh acha hai ke is se munafa kama lein. To 1822 mein market upar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karte hain to, market ne 1940 tak touch kiya aur 1960 tak upar gaya. 1960 upar ja sakta hai aur market trend upar ja raha hai aur humein kharidne wale trades karne chahiye. Kyunki agar hum is se entry point dekhte hain, to market upar ja raha hai aur munafa upar hoga, to isey kharida jana chahiye. Kyunki kharid kar munafa kamaaya ja sakta hai, sonay ke market par jitni jaldi ho sake kharida jana chahiye aur moving average ko dekhte hue munafa kamane ki koshish ki jani chahiye.

Din ke sonay ka chart dekh kar, hum note karte hain ke peechle saal ke shuru se is saal ke darmiyan mein mazboot neeche ki taraf ki trend hai, jo ke 1575-80 par aik record kam par pohanch gaya tha pehle ek double bottom banakar aur upar ki taraf ka trend bana, jo ke apni peak par 1911.00 par pohanch gaya. Maazi mein darust 1915-50 tak resistance aur support ke darmiyan ki tarkib hai. Sonay ki tafreeq 1920 ke darja tak lotne ki umeed hai, pehle se resistance ka kirdar ada karke, sonay ke market mein trading opportunities ko kholne ki umeed hai. Aane wale haftay ke liye, do mumkin manzar hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support ke darje tak lauta, jo pehle se resistance ka kaam karta hai, is darje ko inkar ya iss darje par tajdeed ya yeh hai ke agar is darje par tajdeed ya istehsal hota hai, to long position ka imkan hai jis ka profit target 1910.00, September 2023 ki unchaai, aur stop loss 1925.00 ke neeche set kiya gaya hai, jo ke is trade ke liye support level hai. Sonay ke daam mein izafa kafi zyada ho gaya hai, daam 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb band hote hain. Halankeh, ab tak daam ko mazeed faida nahi hua aur dekha gaya hai ke yeh 200-day SMA ke qareeb istehsal kar raha hai. Ek mumkinat hai ke daam ka daam apni bullish momentum jari rakhega. Magar agar daam ko bala ki taraf uncha swing high qaim nahi hoti aur tez giravat ka samna karta hai, to manfi trend barqarar rahega.

Sonay ka bhav naye record bulandiyon ko paar kar ke $2,320 ke upar barh gaya. America ki taaza jobs report ne dollar ko demand mein madad ki, lekin XAU/USD ko barhate hue geopolitical tensions se faida mil raha hai.

Technically dekha jaye to, $2,265 ke neeche ki kamzori $2,229-2,228 ilaqa ko expose kar sakti hai, jahan $2,250 ke darjaat beech ka support ka kaam karega. Kuch follow-through selling ne gold ke daam ko $2,200 mansoobi manzil ki taraf kheench sakti hai, jo ek mazboot base ke tor par kaam aayegi. Magar, yeh kehna keh ek wazeh tor par is darwazay se guzar jana kuch maayni bulandiyon ka rasta banayega.

Dusri taraf, $2,280 ke upar ka aghaz Asian session ki peak ke qareeb kuch rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai, bas ek qadam peechay $2,300 mansoobi manzil ke. Is se aagay chal kar bullish traders ke liye ek naya trigger samjha jayega aur haal hi mein dekhi gayi breakout momentum ke liye stage tayyar hogi jo mukhtalif do hafton se dekha gaya hai.

Sonay ke daam (XAU/USD) dosre din bhi girte hue guzar raha hai aur Europe session ke early hisson mein apna offered tone banaye rakhta hai. American Dollar (USD) ne raat ko nearly do hafton ke kamzor low se taaza taaza ijlaasaon ki madad se behtar ki aur maal ko kuch taqat di, jo ke asli commodity ko kammzor kar deta hai. Iske ilawa, yeh kami muqablay ke muqam ke pehle hi munaqidat ke liye kuch tayyariyon ki wajah se bhi ho sakti hai.

Mashhoor (NFP) report Fed ke rate-cut path ke baray mein naye signals ke liye dekhi jayegi, jo ke dollar ki demand ko chalay gi aur ghair yielding gold price ko naye rukh ke liye impetus faraham karegi. Is dauran, Russia-Ukraine jung aur Middle East mein conflicts mein mazeed izafa ka khatra hone ki wajah se mojooda geopolitical tensions safe-haven XAU/USD ke liye ek sahara banayenge. Yeh all-time peak se kisi maayni corrective slide ko mehdood karega.

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Is haftay, gold nay taza unchi par pohanch kar 2428 tak ka naya record qayam kiya, jo aik ahem nishaan tha. Magar, is unchi raftar ko barqarar rakhna mushkil tha aur yeh April ki unchi se neeche utar gaya. Jurrat afzaish ko sabit karnay wale indicators taqwiyat hasil kar rahe hain. Gold ne 200-day simple moving average ko paar karne ke baad taqatwar upward rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai.

Gold ne ek all-time uncha 2428.24 tak pohancha, phir sari din ki izafi fayde se wapas aya aur pehle April ki unchi se neeche utar gaya. Jabke momentum indicators overbought ilaqa se wapas hote hain, gold ke daam 2223 ke darjat par laut sakte hain, jo 2193 tak phel gaye wave ka 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Agar yeh level tor diya jaye, to 2115 par 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ko challenge kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh antim ko guzar jaye, to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level nuqsanat ko 2060 tak mehdood kar sakta hai.



Daily Timeframe Analysis

Ek bullish manzar mein, agar buyers kehte hain ke daam ko ooncha uthayein, to unhe 2479 ki unchi par rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Is shanakht 2500 ke rohani darja ko is ilaqe ke zariye qaim kiya ja sakta hai. Agar daam wahan rok na sake, to wapas 2444 points tak all-time unchi ki taraf laut sakta hai, jo 123.6% Fibonacci extension line ke qareeb hai. Aik lamha daam ne aaj ke session mein all-time uncha choo liya, lekin saari din ki izafi faidaas ko wapas de diya.

Is waqt, gold ke liye qareebi rukawat darje $2385, $2420 aur $2475 hain. Aaj sona ke daam par kayi Federal Reserve ke afkaar ke jawab ko chahiye, balkay US dollar ke darjaat aur investors ki risk lalach ke darjaat par bhi sonay ke daam aaj depend karein ge. Yahan neeche chart hai:

Gold ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Gold ki keemat pichle haftay mein barh gayi, 2,430 points tak pahunch kar, ek aur all-time high set ki gayi. 2358 ke neeche girne ke baad, jo ke kuch resistance tha, price jaldi se inversion high tak pahunch gayi, iss resistance level ko todne ke baad, jisse price target area tak pahunch gayi aur pichle post mein kiye gaye tajwez ke mutabiq perform kar sakti hai. Iske baad halaat ki tabdeeliyon ke natije mein, ek local pullback shuru hua, jo overall gain ko mita diya, phir ek recovery shuru hui. Isi dauran, price chart super-trend red zone mein dakhil hone laga hai, jo dikhata hai ki sellers se current resistance hai.

Gold futures mein izafa central banks se ziada demand aur Middle East ke tanazaat ki wajah se hua. Spot gold ka daam $2,361 per ounce tak pahunch gaya, jo pehle din ke close $2,360 se upar tha, aur intraday low $2,361 aur high $2,392 tha.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Maujooda haalaat mein, price all-time highs tak pahunch kar mixed trading kar rahi hai, har haftay neutral reh rahi hai. Key support areas ko abhi tak test nahi kiya gaya hai aur unki integrity bani hai, jo upward vector ko tyag karne ki taraf islaah karta hai. Isi dauran, stabilise hone aur maujooda price zone mein aur upar badhne ke liye, price ko ek local pullback ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jo ki 2358 level area tak seemit ho sakta hai, jo main support area ka border hai. Is area ka retest agle uptrend ka ahem saboot hoga, jiska target agle uptrend ke liye 2478 aur 2521 ke darmiyan ka area hai.

Support ko todne aur reversal level 2288 ke neeche jaane ka signal, maujooda haalaat ko badalne ki taraf ishaara karega. Neeche diye gaye chart mein dekhein:

Adaab aur Subah Bakhair dosto!

Kal ke financial markets mein kuch khaas activity nahi thi, aur din bhar kam harkat dekhi gayi. Halaanki, US ki kuch news data ki release ka koi khaas asar ya direction nahi tha. Magar is relative sukoon mein, kuch waqiyat ne XAU (sona) market mein qaim rahne mein kirdaar ada kiya. Khaas tor par, US Retail Sales report aur Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke ek member ki taqreer ne XAU ke mustaqil performance mein hissa dala, aur yeh asaan banaya ke woh zaroori 2380 zone ke oopar muskurate rahay. Is static market environment mein specific economic indicators aur central bank communications ka asar sonay ke daamon ke prices par zahir hota hai. Aaj, US ki Be-rozgaari dar bhi mukhtalif markets ko laa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, XAU ki stability US Retail Sales data ke jawab mein market ki jazbat aur mool economic factors ko darust karti hai. Kal ke bazaar mein kisi numaya harkat ya khabron ke asar ke bawajood, XAU ke stability ka ahmiyat rakhni chahiye 2380 level ke oopar. Mere liye, hum 2386 ke qareeb ek kharidari order ke saath aage badh sakte hain. Aakhir mein, jabki kal ko kisi numaya bazaar ki harkat ya khabron ka koi asar nahi tha, XAU ke stability ko 2380 level ke oopar rakhna aane waale economic data releases ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai, khaaskar woh jo US ki be-rozgaari dar ke hawale se hain. Aaj XAU/USD trading mein shamil hote waqt, barah-e-karam ehtiyaat aur ma'loomati tor par mutaasir approach zaroori hai, kyun ke buland asar news events ke saath market mein tabdeeliyaan honay ki sambhavna hai.

Kamyab trading day guzarain!

Federal Reserve ke kisi bhi interest rate cut ke agle maheene bullion market mein kisi bhi mukhtalif effects ko absorb karne ki kshamata hai. Is mein sab se ahem factor geo-political tension hai jo Middle East aur Ukraine ke darmiyan tawanai le raha hai. Sone ki keemat mein izafa is tension ke asarat se direct taur par juda hai. Middle East mein siyasi masail aur Russia-Ukraine ke taaluqat mein izafa gold ko ek safe haven banata hai, jis se investors sone mein panah talash kar rahe hain. Recent events ne is tawanai ko aur bhi zor diya hai. Mangalwar ko ek Ukrainian drone ne Russia ke ek bade oil refinery par hamla kiya, jis se sone ki keemat mein izafa hua aur oil ke prices mein izafa aaya. Ye incidents investors ko traditional assets jaise gold mein invest karne par majboor kar rahe hain, kyun ke gold aksar economic uncertainty aur tawanai ke doran ek stable investment ki tarah samjha jata hai.



Aur phir afwah hai ki Israel ne Damascus, Syria mein Iranian embassy par hamla kiya hai. Ye tawanaai ke aur bhi uchhalne wale moment hain. Investors is tarah ke events se gold ki taraf rujoo kar rahe hain, kyun ke ye ek traditional safe haven hai jab bhi siyasi ya geo-political tension barh jati hai. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi ne is hamle ko "insaniyat ke khilaf hamla" qarar diya hai, jo ke antarrashtriya kanoon ke khamosh toor par tasleem kiya gaya hai. Is tarah ke siyasi aur geo-political tawanai aur conflicts ka seedha asar bullion market par hota hai. Investors sone mein apna paisa lagakar economic uncertainty aur inflation ke khilaf ek hedge talash rahe hain. Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki charcha bhi isi context mein hoti hai, kyun ke ye ek tareeqa ho sakta hai jisse American economy ko support kiya ja sake jab doosri taraf se global tensions aur economic challenges ka samna ho. Overall, bullion market mein June mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut se koi ghabrana nahi hai, kyun ke sone ki keemat mein izafa aur investors ke safe haven ki talash ke chakkar mein ye ek potential response hai economic uncertainty aur geo-political tension ko address karne ka.

Hum abhi sone ke daamon ki tehqeeq kar rahe hain. Sone ka daam abhi apni rukh ki taraf ghair mustaqil hai, jis se wo idhar udhar hota hai. Nishaandeh surkhi ke nishaan wale laal imarat ke ilaake mein ek munasib munafa margin ka mauka hai, jo lagbhag teena dollar ke qareeb hai. Yeh rozana trading ke liye ahem hai. Main bechnay ke dakhil nuktaat ke liye talash kar raha hoon, ek neeche ki taraf jaane ki tawaqo kar ke. Lekin mojooda levalon se shuru karne ke bajaye behtar keemat ka intezaar pasand hai. Sone aisi ek moqa faraham kar sakta hai, kyun ke ye itna ziada upar ki taraf phir nahi jaane wala. Subah ke pehle uthne ki rah par bhi, keemat ne apne mutawaqqa leval 2418 tak nahi pohancha, pehle se palat kar neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai.
Ghaante ke chart par, ek ooncha channel 2378 ki taraf halki girawat ke ihtemal ko zahir karta hai, phir palat kar upar ki taraf 2418 ki taraf rukh lena. Char ghanton ke chart ki takhleeqi tajziya sone ke market mein bullish jazbaat ko darust karti hai: upar ki taraf ka trend aur Ichimoku badal mein keemat upar hone ka ishaara bullish josh ko darust karta hai. Upar ki taraf ishaara karne wala stochastic indicator sone ki khareedari ko mazeed support karta hai. Pichli session mein, futures ne apna bullish rukh jari rakha, 2386.24 ke ulatne wale darja ke oopar ijtamaat karte hue.
Darmiyaney mehwar ki mazeed girawat ka target rukh aur resistance ke darjey hain, pehle resistance ke darje 2415.82 ke oopar guzar jaane ki tawaqo hai jo mazeed upar ki taraf ki harkat ko barhawa de ga, 2487.76 ki taraf. Ek downslide mein, 2287.26 ka support darja ek reference point ki tarah kaam kare ga. Rozana wakt ke doraan, keemat pehle se todne wale oonche channel ko test kar rahi hai, apne dhaanchay mein waapas jane se inkar karte hue, ek mumkin rebound ka ishaara karte hue. Magar, euro ka pound ke khilaaf dobaara urooj ke mausam mein sone ko asar kare ga, khaaskar agar dollar market mein mazboot ho jata hai. Jabke ek bullish rukh filhal mumkin hai, to taizi se 2500+/- ke nishan ki taraf tazz suraj ka imkan hai jo hal hil mein hue Friday ke downslide ki tarah tez palat ka munsab bahana ban sakta hai.