gold

Gold price technical analysis:


Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to last friday market closed honay say current price current week say 1993.00 Pivot point areas k buy mein aik big bullish candle k sath breakout k baad upward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay agar ham Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to MACD Indicator up levels k sath confirm up ka signal show kar raha hai. Agar current position Hourly chart pay buy movements ko continues rakhty hai to chart pay price ka target neeche 1978 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1971 support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Agar current position H1 Time Frame pay bounced hoty hai, aur sath central point line k buy main Breakout karty hai to chart pay price ka target ooper 2000.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2007.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay Analysis k hisab say price ka major aur current trend ab sideways main change honay ko hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price ooper running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price sell ki movements start karnay k baad support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

H4 chart outlook:


Gold price ko agar ham h4 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to last friday market closed honay say current price current week say 1993.00 Pivot point areas k buy mein aik big bullish candle k sath breakout k baad upward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay agar ham Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to MACD Indicator up levels k sath confirm up ka signal show kar raha hai. Agar current position Hourly chart pay buy movements ko continues rakhty hai to chart pay price ka target neeche 1978 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1971 support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Agar current position H4 Time Frame pay bounced hoty hai, aur sath central point line k buy main Breakout karty hai to chart pay price ka target ooper 2000.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2007.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay Analysis k hisab say price ka major aur current trend ab sideways main change honay ko hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price ooper running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price sell ki movements start karnay k baad support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

GOLD / XAUUSD
Assalam Alaikum!
Pichle kuch dino se sona sideways me karobar kar raha hai. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, 1970 ki support satah se wapsi ke bad quotes ne ghair yaqini ki do candlestick tashkil di hain. US Federal Reserve ne refinancing rate ko beghair kisi tabdili ke rakhne ka faisla kamzor dollar ki market ki tawaqqoaat ko taqwiyat deta hai. Iske natije me qimti dhat ki mang me izafa hota hai, jo darmiyani muddat me iski mazid harkiyat ko zahir karta hai.
Aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me Americi labour market ke aham aidad o shumar ka ek batch shamil hai. Traders manufacturing payrolls aur berozgari ki sherah se mutalliq data par tawajjoh markuz kar sakte hain. Halankeh, mai unke kam takhmiyon se thoda sa uljha hua hun. Peshangoiyan jan bujh kar kam ki ja sakti hain. Is tarah, agar reading pichle se badtar hai lekin tawaqqo se behtar hai, to dollar me badhat shuru ho jayega. Takniki nuqtah nazar se, char-ghante ke chart par market ki suratehal ghair yaqini hai. Quotes zard moving average ke sath sakht range me karobar karna jari rakhti hai. Lehaza soba 2,009 ki maujudah muqami bulandi tak badh sakta hai ya nuqsanat dobara shuru kar sakta hai, 1,970 ke nishan ko tod kar 1,962 ki satah ki taraf badh sakta hai.

Gold price technical analysis:

H1 TIME FRAME:

Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analysed kartay hain to current price last friday market closed honay say pehlay 1825.00 Pivot point areas k buy mein aik big bullish candle k sath breakout k sath breakout k baad upward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay if Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to Macd Indicator up levels k sath confirm up ka signal show kar raha hai. If the current position Hourly chart pay buy movements continue, the chart pay price ka target ooper 1836.00 and phir usk bad price mazeed 1840.00 resistance levels will be tested. If the current H1 Time Frame pay reversed hoty hai, and the central point line k sell main Breakout karty hai, then the chart pay price ka target neechay 1819.00, and the phir usk bad price mazeed 1816.00 support zones ko test kar sakty hai. Price ka major aur current trend ab sideways main change honay ko hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price ooper running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price monday market opening k baad resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Gold price ko agar ham h4 time frame pay analysed kartay hain to current price last friday market closed honay say pehlay 1825.00 Pivot point areas k buy mein aik big bullish candle k sath breakout k sath breakout k baad upward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay if Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to Macd Indicator up levels k sath confirm up ka signal show kar raha hai. If the current position H4 chart pay buy movements continue, the chart pay price ka target ooper 1836.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1840.00 resistance levels will be tested. If the current position H4 Time Frame pay reversed, and the central point line k sell main Breakout karty hai, then the chart pay price ka target neechay 1819.00, and the phir usk bad price mazeed 1816.00 support zones ko test kar sakty hai. Price ka major aur current trend ab sideways main change honay ko hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price ooper running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price monday market opening k baad resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.



H4 TIME FRAME:

Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analysed kartay hain to current price last friday market closed honay say pehlay 1825.00 Pivot point areas k buy mein aik big bullish candle k sath breakout k sath breakout k baad upward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay if Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to Macd Indicator up levels k sath confirm up ka signal show kar raha hai. If the current position Hourly chart pay buy movements continue, the chart pay price ka target ooper 1836.00 and phir usk bad price mazeed 1840.00 resistance levels will be tested. If the current H1 Time Frame pay reversed hoty hai, and the central point line k sell main Breakout karty hai, then the chart pay price ka target neechay 1819.00, and the phir usk bad price mazeed 1816.00 support zones ko test kar sakty hai. Price ka major aur current trend ab sideways main change honay ko hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price ooper running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price monday market opening k baad resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.
Gold price ko agar ham h4 time frame pay analysed kartay hain to current price last friday market closed honay say pehlay 1825.00 Pivot point areas k buy mein aik big bullish candle k sath breakout k sath breakout k baad upward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay if Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to Macd Indicator up levels k sath confirm up ka signal show kar raha hai. If the current position H4 chart pay buy movements continue, the chart pay price ka target ooper 1836.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1840.00 resistance levels will be tested. If the current position H4 Time Frame pay reversed, and the central point line k sell main Breakout karty hai, then the chart pay price ka target neechay 1819.00, and the phir usk bad price mazeed 1816.00 support zones ko test kar sakty hai. Price ka major aur current trend ab sideways main change honay ko hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price ooper running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price monday market opening k baad resistance levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Gold price technical analysis

Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analyzed kartay hain to current price 1829.00 Pivot point areas k sell mein breakout k sath downward movements kar rahi hai. Chart pay agar ham Custom Indicators ki reading kartay hain to Stochastic Indicator 80 levels k neechay crossed over k sath confirm sell ka signal show kar raha hai. OSMA Indicator ab bhi chart pay normally signal show kar raha hai. Agar current position Hourly chart pay buy movements ko continues rakhty hai to chart pay price ka target neeche 1814.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1807.00 spport levels ko test kar sakty hai. Agar current position H1 Time Frame pay bounced hoty hai, aur sath central point line k buy main Breakout karty hai to chart pay price ka target ooper 1838.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 1847.00 resistance zones ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay Analysis k hisab say price ka major aur current trend down ka hai aur sath price Moving averages aur central point levels k price neeche running kar rahi hai, jiskay chances hain k price support levels ko test kar sakty hai.

Assalam Alaikum!
Maujudah tejarati hafte ka aaghaz kuch adam tawajun ke sath hua hai kiyunkeh Americi dollar index me kami jari hai aur sona ahistah-ahistah greenback ke muqable me niche aa gaya hai. Aaj ke economic calendar par koi badi khabrein nahin hain, jis se intraday sargarmi mahdud hone ka imkan hai. Char-ghante ke chart par, sone ki quotes peeli moving average se niche aa gayin, jabkeh indicators bears ke wazeh ghalbe ki tajwiz karte hain. Yah 1,970 ki satah ke qarib trading range ki nichli hadd ya 1,962 par support ka test karne ke liye niche ki taraf movement jari rakhne ke imkanat ki nishandahi karta hai.
Iske alawa, agar sona aaj ke session me 1,970 ki buniyadi satah se niche band hota hai to, hamein consolidated chart se tasdiq milegi, jo mazid aur zyada numaya kami ke imkan ki tajwiz karegi.

As-salamu Alaikum! XAU/USD ke daam Jumma ko kam ho gaye hain aur $1,930 ki taraf ja rahe hain, jismani ghati hui ki base par, jab Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ne kal hawkish comments diye, jinmein unho ne ishara kiya ke Fed maqsadanafrangi ko nishana banane ka irada kar raha hai. Kya yeh itna mazboot maliyat polisi hasil nahi kar sakta ke isay mawafiq banaya ja sake? Fed Chair Powell ke saath, is haftay kai aur Fed policymakers ne bhi newswire par aakarshit kiya aur ishara kiya ke darajat say zyada ki bulandiyon ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye darajat mojood nahi hain. Aakhir kar, Dousche stance ne puri tarah se market ki mamooli soch ko palat diya ke Fed na sirf rate hikes khatam kar chuka hai, balkay jald hi rate-cutting cycle ki taraf ja raha hai. Pichle haftay investors ne US non-farm payrolls print ki expectations se kam result aane ke baad Fed ki rate hike cycle ka ikhtitam qaraar diya tha, lekin Fed officials ne is haftay guzarne mein aik haftay ke baad ye dhamki di ke Labor ke aik bura data reading se kaam nahi chalega. Dot plot. Aane wale haftay ko investors ka khaas tawajju Tuesday ko hone wale US Consumer Price Index inflation reading par hogi, kyun ke dekha jayega ke kya tawajju kam karne ke liye izafah itna hoga ke intehai mawajahat kam ho sakti hain. US CPI inflation data ka maqam hai ke iske headline October print ko 0.4% se 0.1% mein girah liya jaye ga, jabke saalana core CPI ka izafah October mein 4.1% rehne ka mawajah hoga.

Saalana core CPI ke liye meet-or-beat print yeh batayega ke US mein inflation ab bhi Fed ke 2% maqsad se zyada garam hai. Spot gold ka girna Jumma ko bearish territory mein price action ko barha, jab ke yeh $1,965 par 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) ko rad kar diya. Monday ke doran early hours mein 200-hour SMA se rad hone ke baad aur haftay ke lagbhag 3% ke girne ke baad, XAU/USD ne haftay ke liye poori tarah bearish side par bandh gaya hai. Daily candlesticks par, XAU/USD ne 200-day SMA par wapas laut aaya hai jab gold ne apne long-term moving average ko phir se haasil kiya, aur lamba moving average ka bearish 50-day SMA barrier izafah hone ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum! Kaise hain sab Invest Social members, ummid hai ke sabhi members ki posts ko accept kiya gaya hai aur har haftay achhi bonus milti hai forex trading ke liye, taake future mein aur zyada munafa hasil ho sake.

Aaj Sunday hai, 12 November 2023, aur main aaj XAU/USD pair ke liye scalping analysis karunga. Jaise aapko malum hai ke gold ka movement middle east mein garmi hone ke natije mein tezi se hota hai, is liye hum sabhi short time frames, 30 minutes se lekar 5 minutes tak dekheinge.

XAU/USD ke liye 30 minutes chart ki technical analysis aaj, 12 November 2023:
Pair down trend ke saath ja raha hai aur naye bottoms ban raha hai aur tops kam hain. 1940 ke price par legacy trade indicator ke upar koi 30 minutes ka candle close nahi ho raha hai, toh yeh ishara karta hai ke gold down trend mein continue karega aur 1930 ke price par naya bottom register karega. Lekin agar 1940 ke upar koi bhi up candle close hota hai, toh hum keh sakte hain ke trend short time mein retracement wave mein change hoga.

XAU/USD ke liye 15 minutes frame ki technical analysis 12 November 2023 ko:
Gold is frame par bahut important demand zone face karega jab wo 1941 tak pahunchega, is liye hum sell limit position 1941 par rakh sakte hain aur kam se kam 30 pips ka target set kar sakte hain kyunki main wave number 3 1946 se 1932 tak shuru hota hai aur wave number 4 demand zone 1941 par retrace karega, toh main is point par ek bada mauka dekhta hoon.

Hum 5 minutes frame ko bhi support kar sakte hain sell position ke liye, taake kuch pips scalping ho sake, kyunki pair price 1938 par flat wave complete kar raha hai.

Sona ki trend ke liye Tijarat ki Strategies

Gold ke hamilay mein hawale se tijarat karne ki taqatwar raahain jari hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke sab se purane charts ko tehqiq karna chahiye. Mahiney ke chart ke zariye, wave analysis ke zariye aik khaas phela howa triangle nazar aata hai. Tijarat ne chhah mahinay tak iske hudood mein rehna hai. Ek bearish candle ab ban raha hai, jismein November mein dakshin ki taraf $70 ki kamzori mehsoos ho rahi hai. Pehla hisaab shuda support 1855 par hai. Mojooda indicators ishara karte hain ke 100-day moving average ko halki bullish upari hawale ke saath qaim rakha gaya hai, jo ke baelon ke liye subookh pehlaane mein madad faraham karta hai. Ye bhi note karna zaroori hai ke tamam candles abhi tak moving averages, guides, aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke oopar hain, jo mojooda bullish jazbat ko tasdeeq karte hain.





Din ki techincal pehluon ka mutaala karne par ye maloom hota hai ke aik muqami unchaai ka jhoota break out hua tha, jo uttar ki taraf tajaweez ki aik wazeh algorithm thi jo uttar ki taraf tijarat karne walon ke asoolon ka faida utha raha tha. Sona ab forex market mein aik leading indicator hai, jo ke aik ahem taraqqi hai. Be-peshiyan haqiqatan mein jaari hain. Sona ko ab bechne ka ye waqt hai, jis mein $1900 per troy ounce tak pahunchne ke buhat zyada imkaanat hain. Ho sakta hai ke haftay ke doran kuch wapis jaya jaye, jiske baad qeemat mein kami karne ki koshish ki jaye. In shirayt ko pura karne ki imkaanat buhat zyada hain, jo ke maamla mein kami peda kar sakti hai. Sona mein dakhil hone ka ye waqt hai jab $1,945 per ounce ke saath support ko test kiya gaya tha, aur market ne pehle zikar kiye gaye support ko dobara tafteesh ki. Chairman Powell ke haali haal ki taqreeren Sona ke liye mumkin hai ke musbat nahi thin. 4-hour chart par, indicators bhi mazeed kami ko ishara karte hain, lekin isi doran, PVI indicators par bullish divergences mumkin hain. Lekin ye sirf isharaat hain bina technic ke baqi se tasdeeq ke, lekin Bollinger Channel abhi option ko tasdeeq karta hai ke aik correction dekha ja sakta hai is rollback ke andar.

Trading time window Jumeraat ko dikhata hai ke Sonay ki maloomat mein bearish dabao abhi bhi bohot taqatwar hai, jahan bechne walay ne daakhil ho kar keemat ko neecha le jane mein qaboo hasil kiya hai aur keemat ko 1935 ke qeemati khareedari support ilaake tak le jane mein dabaao qaim kar raha hai.

Technical tor par Daily time window mein Moving Average indicator ke sath dekha ja sakta hai ke bechne walay dar-asal khareedne walon se behtar hain jo ke abhi bhi kamzor nazar aate hain aur bullish dabaao dalne mein qamar nahi kar paaye hain kyun ke bechne walon ne ek bohot hi mazboot bearish candlestick banane mein kamyabi hasil ki hai aur keemat ko neeche le jaane mein safalta hasil ki hai Yellow 200 MA ilaake ke qeemat 1933-1935 mein jo ke khareedari ke liye ek mazboot support ilaqa ban gaya hai. Bechne walon ko beshak khareedari ke support ilaake ya 200 Yellow MA ke neeche dakhil hona chahiye taake ek bara bearish harakat ko tasdeeq milay aur Sonay ki keemat ko mazeed kamzor karne ka agla maqam khareedari ki tawakul ilaake ki taraf barhne wala hai jo ke 1920-1915 ke qeemat par hai.




Haftay ke trading ke liye, bechne walon ko keemat ko neeche le jaane mein kamiyabi milti hai lekin yeh zyada taqatwar nahi hoti, is liye keemat ko dobara khareedne walon ne MA 200 ilaqa ko bhi barqarar rakh saka hai sath hi sath qeemat 1933 ki support ilaake ko bhi. Yeh bearish dabaao ko bardasht kiya aur keemat ko oopar le aaya, pehle bullish islah ke tor par jo keemat ko 1950 ki qeemat tak pohnchane ka maqsad hai. Agar baad mein khareedne walay is ilaake mein dakhil na ho payein to, bechne walay dakhil ho jayenge aur keemat ko aur neeche le jaane ka dabao dalenge.

Ikhtitam:

Upar di gayi tahlil se, Ope dekhta hai ke keemat ab bhi bearish tor par neeche jaane ka potensial rakhti hai kyun ke keemat abhi bhi MA 200 ilaqa mein hai aur ek bohot taqatwar bearish candlestick ka husool kiya gaya hai. Apni sell limit order ilaake ko 1947-1950 ki qeemat par rakh sakte hain jiska maqsad TP ilaaka hai jiska maqsad 1920-1919 ki qeemat par hai.

Peerzaday ko madhya ne dikhaya ke apni mojooda raftar mein izafah hai, lekin iska overall raasta oopar ki taraf hai. Jari rahne wale RSI aur stochastic indicators ke saath mojooda momentum aur mazeed potential ko ishara karte hain. Filhaal, keemat haftay ke upper MA ke neeche hai jo 23.29 hai, jo ek mumkin nuksan ke liye ihtiyaat bhari nazar se dekhne ke liye intezar kar raha hai. Mumkin supports hain 23.11, 23.04, aur 22.92 ke qareeb ke upper MA, lower MA, aur middle Bollinger band. In imdadat ko pasandidgi ke saath nazr rakhi jani chahiye ke keemat neeche ja kar tori ya palat sakti hai. Ek neeche ki manzil lower Bollinger band 22.43 ko nishana bana sakti hai, jabke ek oopar ka rukh upper Bollinger band 23.42 aur Bollinger average 23.58 ko ghor se dekhne ko majbur karta hai.



Daily chart ko janchne se pata chalta hai ke ek ulta Wedge hai, aur pair ke oopar ka shift ek jari rukh ko ishara karta hai. Hourly chart ek chadhne wale channel ko darust karta hai, jo 22.42 ke upper limit ki taraf ka rukh hai. Is se oopar jane ka ishara mazeed upar ka rukh hone ko darust kar sakta hai, jabke palat jane par 22.05 ke neeche giravat ka ishara kar sakta hai.

Pichle haftay mein ek nakami ka koshish ka samna karne ke baad, keemat ne 22.12/07 ke aas-paas ke upper MA aur Bollinger average par laut gaya. Mojooda rebound 22.27 ke upper Bollinger band ke neeche ko dekhne ko ihtiyat se dekhta hai, jahan keemat oopar ya neeche ja sakti hai. Ek giravat mein middle range ko dobara dekh sakti hai, yahan pe keemat neeche ja kar tori gayi hai. Agar keemat dobara neeche jati hai to 22.97 ke lower Bollinger band ko bounce point ke taur par istemal kiya ja sakta hai.





22.27 ke aas-paas ka ilaaka keemat ki bunyad par izaafah ka aghaz hai. Mojooda trading scenario ko madhya se Elliott wave 3 ka vikas hone ki taraf raghbat hai. Computer analysis kharidne ke mauqay ko ishara karti hai, jab OSMA oscillator manfi zone chhod raha hai aur SSI oscillator 100 ki taraf ja raha hai. 22.33 aur 23.58 ke darje ki taraf barhne ka intezar hai, jo ek tajaweez hai ke pehle darje par long position ko band karna chahiye aur dosre darje par baki hissa band karna chahiye. Keemat ke is isaraf barhne ke sath stop loss ko breakeven par adjust karna rational hai.

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Gold (XAU/USD) Monday ke early European session mein bechani ke maamle mein samna kar raha hai aur ek consolidation phase ke dauran traction hasil karne mein mushkil ho raha hai. Investors Tuesday ko US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, ummid hai ke yeh ek fresh momentum ko shuru karne ka jazba paida karega. Core CPI ke liye October mein 0.3% ke liye sthiti ka intezaar hai, jabki headline CPI ko 0.1% tak badhne ki tajaweez hai. In tawakulat ke bawajood, gold ka upper momentum daba hua hai, jis waqt yeh mojood hai lagbhag $1,940 par, din ke 0.18% ke upar trade ho raha hai. Technical indicators yeh ishara karte hain ke gold ke liye short-term path of least resistance niche ki taraf hai. Gold price 50- aur 100-hour bands ke Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke neeche raha hai, jo bearish bias ko darust karta hai. Iske alawa, RSI mein haal hi mein hue neeche ki taraf palat jane se chinta ka sabab banta hai, jo downtrend ka sambhavana darust karta hai.

Lekin kuch ummedon ke bhi rang hain. RSI oversold area mein niche girne ke baad se badh raha hai, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke yahan kuch moolya bhari momentum ho sakta hai. Aur iske alawa, MACD apne laal signal line se thoda sa positive divergence banaye rakhta hai, jo ek sambhavna ka ishara hai ke ek maamoolan recovery ho sakti hai. Agar $1,962 par support qaim rahe, toh gold $1,933 ki 38.2% Fibonacci level ki taraf retress kar sakta hai. Aur zyada bechani ko $1,923 ki 200-period SMA aur $1,909 ki 50% Fibonacci level ke zariye roka ja sakta hai. $1,900 ke manasik bariyer ke neeche phisalne ka darwaza khul sakta hai, jo $1,886 ki 61.8% Fibonacci level tak tez girne ke liye khol sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, gold ka pehla resistance level $1,960 par sthit hai, jo 100-hour EMA ke saath milta hai. Upper Bollinger Band $1,969 par ek aur upside barrier ka kaam kar sakta hai. Iske aage, gold ko $2,000 ke manasik round number par aur bhi resistance ka samna karna hoga.

Umgeher, agar bechani ka jazba kam hota hai, toh gold ka pehla support level $1,930 par hai. Agla support area $1,908 ke as-pass paya jayega, jise October 16 ke neeche darust kiya gaya hai, uske baad manasik round number $1,900 aayega.

XAG/USD Price Action Forecast:

Aam tasveer mein, haftay ke time frame ko tajaweez karte waqt, ek numaya kami nazar aati hai. Keemat ek martaba phir gir gayi hai, teen moving averages ke ittifaq ke asar mein. Isi waqt, RSI aur stochastic indicators dono neeche ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jo ke ek mustaqil girawat ke imkaan ko mazbooti deta hai. Aane wale haftay mein daikhne ke liye, mujhe girawat ka imkaan hai, jo pehle lower Bollinger band ko maqamiyat mein lai karte hue 21.950 par mojood hai. Is darje ke is level tak pohanchne par, ihtiyaati nigaah zaroori hai. Agar keemat apni girawat mein bani rahe, toh yeh maloom ho jayega ke naya low qaim hoga, jo ke maamla ki dobara tashreef layega. Iske baad, hamain ek tabdeeli angaiz pattern ka imkaan hai, shayad ek dobara taeyeel shuda butterfly. Agar keemat asal mein lower Bollinger band se apni girawat ko barqarar rakhti hai, toh yeh maloom ho jata hai ke pehle wala low dobara tajwez kiya jayega.




Is maqam par, tafseelati jaiza zaroori hai, kyun ke agay ka amal is market dynamics par mabni hai. Agar lower Bollinger band se palatne ka maamla ho, toh rasta mutawajjah hone ka imkaan hai. Is taraqqi ke ibtedai marhalay mein, is oonchi aur neeche ke Bollinger band ke darmiyan jo 22.300 mein mojood hai, is tarazu mein aik ahem ilaqa tajwez kiya ja sakta hai. Aakhir mein, takneekai indicators aur ahem keemat seher haftay mein market ke amal ko muqarrar karenge. Chokas rahna zaroori hai jab ham in mumkin scenarios mein safar karte hain, lower Bollinger band aur is ke reversals aur dobara tajwez aur naye upar ki raftar ke asarat par tez nigaah rakhne ke sath.

Gold ka qeemat nayi asal tak pohanch chuki hai, jise ke iski haali performance lamba meyari bearish trend ki taraf ishara karti hai. Dosri taraf, jab hum H4 trend ko mazeed gehrai se mutala karte hain, to ek mubham manzar saamne aata hai. Is mein bullish aur pessimistic sentiments dono mojood hain, jis se hamain yeh lagta hai ke mojooda girawat asal mein ek qeemat correction ko darust karne ka zariya ho sakti hai. Ye pehle resistance levels ke saath hamwar karnay ke liye ek qeemat ki tadilat ho sakti hai. Is liye, aglay gold ka harakat zyada tar bullish end par mabni ho sakti hai. Lekin ye ahem hai ke qeemat mein abhi bhi tadilat ka khatra hai. Mumkin hai ke yeh correction 1983 ke critical level demand area tak wapas ho.
Is mumkinat ke bawajood, hamain ek ahem masla par tawajju deni chahiye. Pehle, hamne ek Rejection candle ka ubhar dekha, jise ek wazeh taur par zyada lambi shadow se pehchana gaya tha. Ye critical candlestick pattern ishara karta hai ke qeemat ko 1932 ke level par dobara visit karne ke liye kam chances hain.

Pehle di gayi perfect study ko madde nazar rakhte hue lagta hai ke gold ki mustaqbil ki taraf se zyada behtareen nazar aati hai. Is liye, aqalmandi aur daanayi karnay ka sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke intezar karein aur kisi bhi positions ko kholne mein guraiz karein jab tak qeemat apne mojood trend line se bahar nahi nikalti. Is tajaweez ke mutabiq, traders aur investors khud ko gold market mein muttaqi hokar aane wale positive move se munafa uthane mein rakh sakte hain. Rejection candle ka ubhar, H4 trend ki complexities, aur haali negative streak, yeh sab ek mumkin trend change ki taraf ishara karte hain jo ke zyada bullish hone ki taraf ja sakta hai.

XAU / USD M15 Chart:



Salam dusto! Meri analysis ke mutabik, M15 timeframe par linear resistance level se down slope chal raha hai. jisse buyers ka prevailing influence indicate hota hai. Ye purchases ke liye opportunities present kar sakta hai, lekin decisions caution ke saath leni chahiye. Main recommend karta hoon ki aap buy karne se pehle hourly chart par linear regression channel bhi upward movement shuru hone ka wait karein. Main 1942.08 level se buying ka possibility consider kar raha hoon, lekin sellers ke dynamics ko closely monitor karunga jo prices ko is level se neeche push kar sakte hain. Agar prices 1942.08 level se neeche settle ho jaate hain, toh ye higher timeframe H1 par selling trend ka continuation indicate kar sakta hai.

XAU / USD H1 Chart:



H1 main market chart par strong bearish trend observe kar raha ha. Mujhe ummeed hai ki price upper mazeed boundary tak, yani 1950.91 level tak wait karunga, jahan se asset ko sell karunga 1924.51 level tak pahunchne se pehle. Agar target neeche breach ho jaaye, toh ye bearish activity ka continuation signal hoga. Samajhna chahiye ki 1924.51 tak ek upward correction bhi ho sakta hai, isliye main market ko monitor karne ke liye tayyar hoon aur changing conditions ke response mein apna plan quickly change karne ke liye. Mera main goal ek accha entry point find karna hai, preferably linear regression channels ke edges ke paas, jahan specific player ke liye potential volatility constraints indicate hote hain. Market situation change hone par main hamesha apna plan adjust karne ke liye ready hoon, kyunki bulls ke dwara 1950.91 ke upar break bullish interest ka sign ho sakta hai, jisse situation ka reassessment hoga aur sell order cancel ho sakta hai.

Zahiri tor par, sonay ki qeemat is haftay se barh rahi hai, jisey technical tour par ahem darjay ki satahain aur theek sey tajaweez se khatam hone ka imkan hai. Fibonacci pattern ishara karta hai ke sona $2130 tak izafah kar sakta hai, jo is mahine ki upside harkat ka 161.8% extension hai. Lekin, taqat pazeer hoti hui Amreeki dollar aur barh rahay Amreeki Treasury bond yield ne sonay ki qeemat par dabao banaye rakha hai, jiski wajah se woh $1,960 ke qareeb hai. Agar sonay ki qeemat mein $2010 ke peechay ke local uroojat ka bharosa ho to Fibonacci pattern poori ho sakti hai aur sonay ki qeemat ko buland kar sakti hai. Lekin, tareekh ishara karti hai ke aise uroojat baaz oqaat jaldi girne ke sath ati hain. Karobar karne walon ko U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release par tawajju deni chahiye. Agar PPI data muta'arifat se zyada ho to XAUUSD ke daam $1,955 ke neeche ja saktay hain, jahan foran resistance $1,945 hoga.


Uper ki taraf, $1,955 ke upar uthna daamon ko $1,965 tak aur mumkin hai ke $1,972 resistance level ke qareeb le jaye. Pehli ahem support $1,938 ke qareeb hai, jisey primary support $1,920 aur 200 Simple Moving Average (green, 4-hour chart) ke paas hai. Agar nuksan jaari rahe to $1,900 ke rukh jane ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Daam $2,009 uncha aur upside run ke 50% Fib retracement level ke neeche chala gaya. $1,945 par daam mojood hai aur abhi consolidate ho raha hai. Wahi chart par $1,945 ke qareeb resistance ke sath aik ahem descending channel bhi dikh raha hai. Amum taur par, sonay ki qeemat ka manzarnama mixed hai, jisme upar aur neeche dono ke imkanat hain. Karobar karne walon ko muhim technical level aur maali dastavezat ko taawun ke liye qareeb se nazar rakhna chahiye.