Gold forum

GOLD




Ae mere azeez zairin, umeed hai ke aap sab theek honge. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke baare mein guftagu karenge kyun ke sonay ke market se achi munafa hoti hai aur hum sab us se munafa hasil karte hain aur apne accounts ko bhar dete hain. To sonay ke market mein, main fundaments par trade karta hoon aur is se kafi acha munafa hasil karta hoon, is liye sab se pehle hum market ko dekhte hain, us par kya asar hai, duniyawi asrat kya hain aur us par fundaments kya hain. To sab se pehle hum dekhte hain ke fundaments par kya asar hai, ab market upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Aur agar ab market ka trend upar ki taraf ja raha hai. To hum munafa hasil kar sakte hain aur agar hum munafa hasil karte hain to yeh acha hai ke hum us se munafa hasil karte hain. To 1822 mein, market upar gaya aur agar ab hum baat karein, to market ne 1940 ko choo liya aur 1960 tak upar gaya. 1960 upar ja sakta hai aur market ka trend upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur humein kharid ke trades karni chahiye. Kyunki agar hum is se entry point dekhte hain, to market upar ja raha hai aur munafa upar jaega, is liye ise kharidna chahiye. Kyunki kharid kar munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai, jaldi se sonay ke market par kharidna chahiye aur moving average ko dekhte hue munafa hasil karne ki koshish karni chahiye. Rozana sonay ka chart dekhte hue, hum note karte hain ke pehle saal ke shuruaat se le kar is saal ke darmiyan tak mazboot neeche ki taraf ka trend raha, jis ne ek record low tak 1575-80 tak pohancha phir dobara ek double bottom banaya aur upar ki taraf ka trend bana, jo ke apni unchi tak pohanch gaya 1911.00. Mojooda keemat ka movement resistance aur support ke darmiyan ke fluctuation ko dikhata hai, jahan key reference level 1915-50 hai. Sonay ki umeed hai ke 1920 level tak wapas retrace ho ga pehle se jo ke resistance ka kaam karta tha, phir shaayad resistance level ko todne ka mauqa mile ga, sonay ke market mein trading ke opportunities khultay hain. Aanay wale haftay ke liye, do mumkinah scenarios mojood hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level tak wapas retreat karta hai, jo pehle resistance ke tor par kaam karta tha, ishaara dete hue inkaar ya consolidation is level par, to long position ko muntazir rakhein jiske munafa ka target 1910.00, September 2023 ka uncha, aur stop loss 1925.00 ke neeche set karein, jo ke is trade ke liye support level ke tor par set kiya gaya hai. Sonay ke daam ne intehai izafa kiya hai, daam 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb band hone ka nazar aata hai. Mojooda daam ko mazeed izafa nahi hua hai aur 200-day SMA ke qareeb tahaffuz ki taraf dekha ja raha hai. Ek mumkinat hai ke daam izafa karte hue apna bullish momentum jaari rakhe ga. Magar agar daam ko uncha swing high qayam karne mein nakami ka samna kare aur tanzim neeche tezi se girne ka samna kare, to manfi trend barqarar rahe ga.

Gold ka tareekh darja bhi ab tak ki natiq hai, jab tak ek taraf mombatti ka daman na toota, aur doosri taraf harkat shumal ki taraf na gayi. GOLD, jese kay aksar hota hai, ne apni ajeeb aur mohlik safar shuru kiya. 2387 ke darje tak pahunch kar, woh logon ko ummeed dilane laga ke upar ki raah ka safar jari rahega. Lekin, jese trading ka din guzra, darshakon ne upar ki raah ka intezar kiya, magar woh na hua. Bear ne initiative le liya aur ek numaya girawat ka izhar kiya. Is doran, signs aise nazar a rahe hain ke ek neeche ki harkat shuru ho sakti hai. Ye ho sakta hai sirf ek pullback ho ya correction, jo baad mein bull ko control mein la sakta hai aur Gold ko phir se shumal ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar agar bear ab bhi apna dabdaba jari rakhta hai, to keemat takreeban 2333 ke support level tak gir sakti hai. Roz marra ke chart par, harkat shumal ki taraf jaari hai, haalaanki choti pullbacks ke saath. Gold abhi bhi beech mein madhye mashriq ke tanazaat se bahar nahi nikal pa raha hai. Is beech mein, traders aur



investors ko taawun aur soch samajh kar kaam lena hoga. Ek taraf, bull ka saath dena jahaan unki ummeed hai aur doosri taraf, bearish signals par ghor karna, taake agar girawat aayi to nuksan kam ho. Gold ka bazar hamesha se samajhna mushkil raha hai. Uska daman mombatti ki raah par pakra gaya hai, lekin harkat shumal ki taraf ki jaa rahi hai. Ab is safar mein, rukawat aur mashaqat dono ka intezaar hai. Investors ko thabar se kaam lena hoga aur din raat ka nazar rakhna hoga, kyunki market hamesha badalne wala hai.
Is daur mein, sab se zaroori hai ke thanda dimaag aur tajurbati faisla kari ho. Gold ke safar mein, har kadam soch samajh kar uthana hoga, taake nakami se bacha ja sake aur fursat mein nafa hasil kiya ja sake.

Asia mein sonay ki keemat Jumeraat ko $2,410 per ounce tak barh gayi kyun ke darmiyanay mashriq mein barhti hui tensions ki wajah se. Khabron ke mutabiq Israeli missiles ke Iran par hamlay se financial markets mein risk se bachne ki taraf investors ko raghib kardiya aur sona jese safe-haven assets ki taraf khench diya. Iran mein halat ghubaraye hue hain, jahan Isfahan mein dhamakon ki khabrain hain lekin asal wajah saaf nahi hai. Ye be-peshaani hawa ko safety ki taraf laa rahi hai aur sonay ki keemat ko buland kar rahi hai. Magar, Federal Reserve se hawkish signals ke zor se barhti hui US dollar ne sonay ke liye upside ko had tak mehdood kiya hai. Mazeed mazboot dollar dusri currencies ke holders ke liye sona mehanga banata hai. Haal hi mein keemat mein izafa noteworthy hai kyun ke ye ek naye urooj ke baad aaya hai aur $2,400 ke qareeb stop-loss orders ka ek silsila saath mein tha. Ye un investors ke liye nafa bakhsh ho sakta hai jo apni positions par qaim rahe. Magar, keemat mein izafa ka waqt, jis mein Iran mein seemit waka'at ke sath milta hai, shak ko barhata hai.

Technical indicators bhi sonay ki keemat ke liye ek mumkinah sudhar ki taraf ishara karte hain. Daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73 tak pohanch gaya hai, "overbought" territory ke qareeb. Pichle saal isne do martaba 85 ko chhooa hai, aur har martaba ek price pullback ya phir ek bear market ke saath tha 1-4 hafton ke andar. Haftawarana RSI bhi zyada pareshan kun hai, jo 79 ke ooper hover kar raha hai, jo ke ek "super buy" zone hai jo kam dekha jata hai. Tareekh mein, ye zone sirf 1980 se panch martaba tak pohancha hai, aur har pehle waaqiya ek correction ya bear market ke saath tha ek maheenay ke andar. Sirf ek istisna 1979-1980 tha, jis ne ek price surge ke baad chand dinon ka muwafiq hojaye, lekin aakhir mein ek correction mein khatam hua. In technical signals aur be-peshaani kun geopolotical situation ke dastoor ke mutabiq, haal hi mein sonay ki keemat ke izafay ko chand lamhon tak hi mehdood samjha ja sakta hai. Investors ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur market ko ek mukaalama ke possible signs ke liye qareebi nazar rakhna chahiye.

Sona kharidne walay aakhirkaar 2400 ke darje tak pahunch gaye, lekin unhe wahan qadam jamane mein nakami ka samna tha. Lekin bikri karne walay bhi haqeeqat mein giravat ka aghaz nahi kar sakte, aisa lagta hai ke woh doosri oopar ki lehar ke liye tayyar ho rahe hain. Is option ko amal mein lane ke liye kharidne walon ko pehle 2391.93 ke darje par apne aap ko mazboot karna hoga. Agar woh phir bhi mojooda maximum ke darje ko takkar denge, jo kuch 2131.44 ke aas paas hai, toh shayad woh agle zehni tor par ahem darja jo kuch 2500 ke qareeb hai, tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge. Bikri karne walon ko, zyada dekhe jane wale sudhar ko shuru karne ke liye, 2323.97 ke darje par mustawfiq hona hoga.
Tashreeh har waqt bohot mushkil hai. Aap sirf haqeeqat par mabni hokar apna raasta dekh sakte hain, aur agar koi tezabiyat ho aur sab ko samajh aaye ke unhe jald se jald apni kharidari se chhutkara lena chahiye, toh yeh acha hoga. By the way, 12 April abhi tak inteha nahi hai; XAUUSD aur puri growth ke mutalik samajh mein toh yeh sirf ek chhoti moti baat hai - ek ilmi tor par rollback. Toh chalo, jin logon ka suddenly yeh palatwaar samajh aaye ga, woh zyada tar ghalat honge. Beshak, jald ya dair, sab kuch khatam hota hai aur koi bhi hamesha ke trends nahi hote, ek sudhar aata hai. Lekin bunyadiyat abhi yeh karobar ko pullbacks par asset kharidne ke liye majboor kar rahi hai. Haan, yahi meri raay hai aur dekhte hain ke amal mein kaise pesh aata hai. Lekin be shak, situation ko thoda hilaane ki koshish toh hai aur volumes bhi aa rahe hain. Ho sakta hai ke aap ka plan pesh aaye, jahan hum maximum ko update karenge - hum kuch tezabiyat ka intezam karenge aur sudhar ke liye tezi se short jaayenge.

Ab asal mein: Humne 2324 ke support level se behtareen bounce kiya hai. February 14 se taqreeban tamam izafa ke doraan koi jhooti giravat nahi hui hai, yani yeh points sirf yeh keh rahe hain ke liquidity kaafi hai aur ye samajhna mumkin hai ke choti traders hain jo kisi wajah se bech rahe hain

Geo-political tensions ne sonay ki qeemat ko sath diya. Geopolitical tensions ke samne, antarashtriya sonay ki keemat itihasik uchayiyon tak pahunchti ja rahi hai, ek hi jhatke mein 2,400 dollar ke mark ko paar kar gayi hai. Duniya bhar ke central banks ne apne sonay ke zapurzat ko badha diya hai, jo sonay ki keemat ko mazbooti se sahara de raha hai. Majboot Americaee maqroozi daleel ke bawajood, ye sonay ke attraction ko rokne mein nakam rahe hain. Sonay ne phir se chhata mara. Geopolitical conflicts ke asar mein, sonay ki keemat ne 1.2% tak izafa karke 2,400.67 dollar per unnsi tak pahunch gayi. Usi waqt, chandi ki keemat bhi February 2021 se apni buland tareen satah tak pahunch gayi. Geopolitical tensions ke barhne se khaas tor par Middle East mein uncertainty, sona investors ke liye pasandeeda safe haven asset ban gaya hai. Mutasir sources ne kaha ke Israel Iran ke hamle ka jawab dene ki tayari mein hai, jo ke geopolitical risks ke lehaz se fikron ko barha diya hai.

Americaee tameer ke mutaalliq fikron ke darmiyan, zyada investors sonay ko sarkari bonds ke mukable mein behtar hedging ka zariya samajh rahe hain. Unho ne isharah kiya ke mojooda geopolitical tensions ke escalated hone se sonay ki keemat phir se barh gayi hai, aur investor ki sonay ki darkhwast mazeed barh gayi hai. Sonay ki keemat agle do mahinon mein buland rahaygi. Takneeki lehaz se, sonay ki keemat ke is izafe ka natija hai ke sonay ki keemat ne itihasi 42-mahiney ki jamah shuda dor ko tor diya hai, jaise ke ek spring ko chhoda gaya ho. Itihasi qeemat ki rallies ke mutabiq, chandi ki keemat sonay se behtar phir se istiqbal ki umeed hai. Pichle kuch mahinon mein, kuch customers ne is trend ko pehchana hai aur apni chandi ki kharidari barhane ka aghaz kiya hai

Gold
Bilkul, yeh toh zaroor ho sakta hai. Sonay ki qeemat $1900 per ounce hai aur agle session mein $2450 tak barhne ki tawaqqu' hai. Aise tajwez mein mukhtalif factors ka tajziya zaroori hai jo sonay ke market ko mutasir kar rahe hain.

Pehle toh, aam taur par aalmi ma'ashiyati halaat gold ke investors ke dilon par asar daalte hain. Sonay ko aksar ek safe-haven asset ke tor par dekha jata hai jo ma'ashiyati laachar mawaqay aur aalmi siyasi jhagron ke doran talab hota hai. Tijarati tafarqaat, aalmi siyasi tanazaat aur COVID-19 wabai ke asraat ke bare mein pareshaniyaat, sab sonay ki keemat ko buland karte hain. Aise aalam mein, investors sonay ko market ke balwejha hone ki soorat mein talab kar sakte hain, jisse keemat barh jaye.

Ma'ashiyati policy ke faislay bhi gold ke prices par bada asar dalte hain, khaaskar ke woh faujdar banko ke hain jaise Federal Reserve. Jab faujdar banken phela'ee ma'ashiyati policies ko amal karti hain, jaise ke discount dar ko kam karna ya tadaadati ease ko apnaana, toh non-interest bearing assets jaise sonay ko maloom karne ka moqaat kam ho jata hai. Is nateeje mein, investors sonay ki taraf zyada paisa dene lagte hain, jisse keemat barh jati hai. Bohat se faujdar banken ma'ashiyati recovery ko sahara dene ke liye aakarshak policies apnate hain, is liye sonay ke liye musbat tawaqqu' hai.

Currency ke asool bhi gold ke prices par asar daalte hain. Sonay ko aksar currency ki depreciation ke khilaaf ek surat-e-haal samjha jata hai, kyun ke woh apni asli qeemat ko waqt ke sath qayem rakhta hai. Jab fiat currencies kamzor hoti hain, toh investors sonay ko purchasing power ko bachane ka zariya samajhte hain. Inflation ke bare mein pareshaniyan aur unprecedented ma'ashiyati tadbeerat ke darmiyan fiat currencies ki kharabi ke aarazoo sonay ke talab ko mazeed barha deti hain. Badi currencies ki, jaise ke US dollar, ghair assets ke liye kamzor hone ki soorat mein sonay ke talab mein izafa ho sakta hai, jisse keemat barh jati hai.

Supply aur demand ke asool bhi sonay ke prices ko tay karte hain. Sonay ki tadaad mehdood hai, naye daryaftiyan din ba din kam hoti ja rahi hain aur nikaalna mushkil aur mehnga hota ja raha hai. Talab ke safha par, sonay ko sirf invest karne ke maqsad ke liye hi nahi balki zewar, technology aur faujdar bankon ke reserve mein istemal kiya jata hai. Asia jaise naye mumalik mein barhte hue middle-class ke populations se zyada talab bhi sonay ke prices ko support karte hain.

Technical analysis aur market ka manfi asar bhi sonay ke prices par short-term fluctuations ko mutasir karte hain. Technical indicators aur chart patterns ko traders aksar future price movements ke tajwez ke liye istemal karte hain, jabke market ka mansoobah asar ehtimaam, khatre ki ada aur speculative trading activity jaise factors par ho sakta hai. Musbat technical signals aur bullish mansooba, ek doosre ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jisse sonay ke market mein prices ko barhne ka rukh mil sakta hai.

Akhri mein, sonay ke prices mein $2450 tak ke barhne ka tajwez ek ta'amul ke mawad hai, jisme ma'ashiyati laachar halaat, ma'ashiyati policy faislay, currency dynamics, supply aur demand ke asool, technical analysis aur market ka manfi asar shaamil hain. Halankeh short-term fluctuations mumkin hain, lekin sonay ka maqbool hone ka ba'is banne wala hai ke is kaabile aitbaar hai jaise ke safe-haven asset aur value store, isliye yeh muhlat ki hai ke duniya bhar ke investors ke portfolios mein apna aham kirdar ada kare.

Gold
Bilkul, yeh toh zaroor ho sakta hai. Sonay ki qeemat $1900 per ounce hai aur agle session mein $2450 tak barhne ki tawaqqu' hai. Aise tajwez mein mukhtalif factors ka tajziya zaroori hai jo sonay ke market ko mutasir kar rahe hain.

Pehle toh, aam taur par aalmi ma'ashiyati halaat gold ke investors ke dilon par asar daalte hain. Sonay ko aksar ek safe-haven asset ke tor par dekha jata hai jo ma'ashiyati laachar mawaqay aur aalmi siyasi jhagron ke doran talab hota hai. Tijarati tafarqaat, aalmi siyasi tanazaat aur COVID-19 wabai ke asraat ke bare mein pareshaniyaat, sab sonay ki keemat ko buland karte hain. Aise aalam mein, investors sonay ko market ke balwejha hone ki soorat mein talab kar sakte hain, jisse keemat barh jaye.

Ma'ashiyati policy ke faislay bhi gold ke prices par bada asar dalte hain, khaaskar ke woh faujdar banko ke hain jaise Federal Reserve. Jab faujdar banken phela'ee ma'ashiyati policies ko amal karti hain, jaise ke discount dar ko kam karna ya tadaadati ease ko apnaana, toh non-interest bearing assets jaise sonay ko maloom karne ka moqaat kam ho jata hai. Is nateeje mein, investors sonay ki taraf zyada paisa dene lagte hain, jisse keemat barh jati hai. Bohat se faujdar banken ma'ashiyati recovery ko sahara dene ke liye aakarshak policies apnate hain, is liye sonay ke liye musbat tawaqqu' hai.

Currency ke asool bhi gold ke prices par asar daalte hain. Sonay ko aksar currency ki depreciation ke khilaaf ek surat-e-haal samjha jata hai, kyun ke woh apni asli qeemat ko waqt ke sath qayem rakhta hai. Jab fiat currencies kamzor hoti hain, toh investors sonay ko purchasing power ko bachane ka zariya samajhte hain. Inflation ke bare mein pareshaniyan aur unprecedented ma'ashiyati tadbeerat ke darmiyan fiat currencies ki kharabi ke aarazoo sonay ke talab ko mazeed barha deti hain. Badi currencies ki, jaise ke US dollar, ghair assets ke liye kamzor hone ki soorat mein sonay ke talab mein izafa ho sakta hai, jisse keemat barh jati hai.

Supply aur demand ke asool bhi sonay ke prices ko tay karte hain. Sonay ki tadaad mehdood hai, naye daryaftiyan din ba din kam hoti ja rahi hain aur nikaalna mushkil aur mehnga hota ja raha hai. Talab ke safha par, sonay ko sirf invest karne ke maqsad ke liye hi nahi balki zewar, technology aur faujdar bankon ke reserve mein istemal kiya jata hai. Asia jaise naye mumalik mein barhte hue middle-class ke populations se zyada talab bhi sonay ke prices ko support karte hain.

Technical analysis aur market ka manfi asar bhi sonay ke prices par short-term fluctuations ko mutasir karte hain. Technical indicators aur chart patterns ko traders aksar future price movements ke tajwez ke liye istemal karte hain, jabke market ka mansoobah asar ehtimaam, khatre ki ada aur speculative trading activity jaise factors par ho sakta hai. Musbat technical signals aur bullish mansooba, ek doosre ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jisse sonay ke market mein prices ko barhne ka rukh mil sakta hai.

Akhri mein, sonay ke prices mein $2450 tak ke barhne ka tajwez ek ta'amul ke mawad hai, jisme ma'ashiyati laachar halaat, ma'ashiyati policy faislay, currency dynamics, supply aur demand ke asool, technical analysis aur market ka manfi asar shaamil hain. Halankeh short-term fluctuations mumkin hain, lekin sonay ka maqbool hone ka ba'is banne wala hai ke is kaabile aitbaar hai jaise ke safe-haven asset aur value store, isliye yeh muhlat ki hai ke duniya bhar ke investors ke portfolios mein apna aham kirdar ada kare.

Sonay ke market ke bare mein baat karte waqt, market ke tareekhi data ko samajhna zaroori hai taake sahi faislay kiya ja sake. Sonay ke market mein trade karna asaan nahi hota, lekin agar fundamentals ko samjha jaye aur tareekhi trends ko dhyan mein rakha jaye to munafa hasil karne ka imkan zaroor hota hai.
Sabse pehle, humein market ke bunyadi asar par ghor karna chahiye. Market mein mukhtalif factors hote hain jo market ke urooj ya giraawat par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, siyasat, arthik halat, aur global ghatnayen market par asar daal sakti hain. In asaron ko samajhna aur unka impact estimate karna zaroori hai. Market ka trend bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Agar market ka trend oopar ki taraf ja raha hai to yeh ek munafa de sakta hai. Tareekhi data ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne pehle bhi aise waqton mein oopar jaane ka trend dikhaya hai aur isse munafa hasil kiya gaya hai. Jab market oopar ja raha ho, toh kharidari ki trades karna munasib hota hai. Lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke sambhal kar aur sahi samajhdaari se trade kiya jaye. Risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, taake nuqsan se bacha ja sake.



Tareekhi data ka istemal karke hum future ke trends ka andaza laga sakte hain. Lekin yaad rahe ke past performance future results ko guarantee nahi karta. Isliye hamesha caution aur research se trading karna zaroori hai. Aakhir mein, sonay ke market mein trade karte waqt, sabr aur istiqamat ka hona bhi zaroori hai. Market mein fluctuations hote rehte hain, lekin agar hum sahi tarah se taiyyar aur samajhdar hain to munafa hasil karne ka imkan zaroor hai. Toh is tarah, sonay ke market mein trade karne ke liye, market ke bunyadi asar, trend analysis, aur risk management ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Agar in sab cheezon ko sahi tareeqe se samjha jaye aur amal kiya jaye to munafa hasil karne ka imkan zaroor hota hai.

Sona kharidne wale aakhirkaar 2400 ke level tak pahunch gaye, lekin wahan qaim rehne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Magar farokhtkar bhi tasalli se kam shuru nahi kar sakte, lagta hai ke woh doosre umeed afza leher ki tayyari kar rahe hain. Is option ko amal mein lane ke liye, khareedne walon ko pehle 2391.93 ke level par apne aap ko durust karna hoga. Agar woh halan ke buland tareen level ko yakayak paar kar lein qareebi 2131.44 ke aas pass, to shayad agle nafsiyati ahem level tak pohnchnay ki koshish karein ge jo 2500 ke qareeb hai. Farokhtkar, ek zyada notice able durusti shuru karne ke liye, 2323.97 ke level par mustaqil ho jana zaroori hai.
Durusti hamesha mushkil hoti hai. Aap sirf haqeeqat par mabni hokar apne raaste tay karsakte hain, aur behtar hoga agar ek kulmination ho aur sab samajh jayein ke unhe jald se jald apni kharidari se nijaat hasil karni chahiye. By the way, 12 April abhi tak kulmination nahi hai; XAUUSD aur poora bhartaav ke lehaaz se, yeh sirf ek chhoti si cheez hai - ek tehqiqi tor par palatna. Toh, chaliye, jo bhi achanak ye soch raha hai ke yeh palatna hai, woh zyada tar ghalat hoga. Beshak, jald ya der tak sab khatam hota hai aur koi bhi hamesha ke liye trends nahi hote, ek durusti ati hai. Lekin ab foundation ko majboor karega ke investors asset ko pullbacks par khareeden. Well, yehi mera khayal hai aur dekhte hain ke yeh amal mein kaise umdah hota hai. Magar zaroor ek koshish hai situation ko hilane ki aur volumes aamne saamne aarahe hain. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke aapka mansooba amal mein aaye, jahan hum buland tareen ko taza karte hain - hum kisi climax ko aayain ge aur achanak durusti ke liye short chale jayein ge.

Ab haqeeqat mein: Humne 2324 ke support level se behtareen bounce kiya hai. February 14 se puri bhartaav ke doran koi jhooti dhaarein nahi aayi hain, yani yeh points sirf kehte hain ke liquidity kafi hai aur ye samajh liya ja sakta hai ke chhoti traders hain jo kisi wajah se farokht kar rahe hain

Sonay ke daamon ke qeemat haal hee mein izafa hua, jis se paanch dinon ke unchaai par pohanch gayi, Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan barhti hui tensions ki wajah se. Israel ka hilaaq Iran par haal hee mein hamla karne ke mumkin asraat par shak ka izhar hone ke bais, sona jumma ko ek ounce par $2,417 tak unchaai par pohanch gaya, jabke sarmaya daron ne is riwayati panah ke asaas par suraksha talash ki. Magar yeh uthalte hue momentum chand lamha tha, jab Iran ne jawabi karwai na karne ka ishaara diya. Ab tak, sona $2,394 par karobaar ho raha hai, jis mein 0.70% ya $44 ki halki izafa mojood hai. Is izafa ka zimmedarai kayi factors mein talash kiya ja sakta hai. Pehle to, America ke Treasury bond aur dollar ke girne se sonay ke daamon ko sahara mil raha hai. Dusra, pehle ke toor par sakht tajziyeat ke baad, Federal Reserve afraad ke haal hee ki baatein neutral taur par dikhate hain, jo ke sonay ko faida pohanchane waale deflationary amal mein khalal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agla rukh dekhte hue, sonay ke daamon ka mustaqbil ghair yaqeeni nazar aata hai. Jab ke haal hee mein khatra se bachne ka tawaqo ho sonay ke daamon ko jumma ko $2,417 tak pohanchaya gaya, lekin is kharidari dabaav ka thanda padne ka ishaara mil raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), ek technical indicator jo momentum ko napne ke liye istemal hota hai, ab overbought darajay par hai, jis se ikhtiyar hone wale ikhtiyar ka ishaara milta hai. Magar RSI ne apni pehli unchaai ko nahi guzari hai, ishara dete hue ke mazeed izafa ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai. Kul mila ke, sab se zyada mutawaqqa surat-e-haal yeh nazar aati hai ke uptrend jari rahega, XAU/USD jodi ke liye pehla rukawat darjah $2,400 par hai. Is darjah ke upar ka faisla agar hua, toh yeh mumkin hai ke $2,431 ka mukammal imtehaan hoga. Ulta agar koi wapas chalne ki soorat hai, toh pehla sahara darjah $2,350 par hai, jismein Jumma ki kam se kam qeemat $2,324 par rakhi gayi thi, jo 15 April ko set hui thi. Aur mazeed girawat bhi $2,300 darjah ko khel sakti hai. XAU/USD jodi ke 4 ghantay ka chart ka technical tajziya wide consolidation range ke hawaale se darust hota hai jo $2379.70 ke aas paas ban raha hai. Is range se bullish bahar nikalne se qeemat $2437.00 ki taraf rawana ho sakti hai, jo ke ek taqreeban theek ho kar $2323.23 aur shayad hi $2183.42 tak girne ke liye maujood hai. Yeh manzar MACD indicator ke zariye bhi taayun hota hai, jiska signal line hal hee mein zero ke upar hai, lekin nazdeeki mustaqbil mein ek neeche ki taraf ki harkat ka ishaara deta hai

GOLD

Subah bakhair sabko! Sunehra ek aur din gold mein kuch dilchasp nahi ho raha; GOLD ROS line ke neeche trade ho raha hai, jo humein rozana ki mombati ke daamon par uthaye gaye bearish volumes deta hai. Yani, ROS line is jagah par candle ke sab se bade bearish volume hai, aur ab tak is haftay hum isay oopar se na toorna sakte hain. Takneeki lehaz se, hum is kaafi wide resistance zone ke andar trade kar rahe hain jo haftay ki bearish Pin bar ke tail ke saath banaya gaya hai. By the way, is haftay ke pattern ka idea ab bhi zinda hai. Sirf cheez jo aaj kal bearish hai, woh basement hai, jo humein upar se sell karne ki dastaan suna raha hai. Aur GOLD ke mukhya chart par humein uncertainty hai, lekin yeh sirf meri raaye hai aur picture mein neeche di gayi hai rukh ke.

Mausam ke mutabiq, abhi bilkul theek hai, sab kuch jo sale par hai woh khareedne ke liye. Aapko sahi darmiyani mein dakhil hona hai, 2381.78 aur 2397.79 ke darmiyan. Bohat saari ihtiyaat aur reinsurances nahi hain. Main faisla karta hoon ke stop mark 2397.84 par rakhta hoon. Lalach karne se bachne ke liye, main ehd karta hoon ke faida won ko 2362.37 par fix kiya jaye. Phir bhi, chahe kuch bhi ho, yeh size mera stop se panch guna bada hai. Agar aisa ho ke aaj mera plan apne aap ko justify nahi karta, toh main karobaar band kar doon ga. Kal sab kuch alag hoga, mausam bhi aur bazaar ke charts ke harkaat bhi. Dukhad khabren ki eve par, behtar hai ke bilkul kaam na kiya jaye aur apne rukh mein harkaaton se mayoos na ho.

Asia mai chandni ko chadhne se, jo 2,421 dollar pr ounce tak pohnch gayi, iska aham karan Middle East mai barhne wali tensions thi. Israeli missile strikes ki reports Iran pr neechay dhaar ek dar ka maahol paida kiya, jis ne maliyaati markets mai risk se bachne ke liye sone jesi safe-haven assets ki talaash ko barha diya. Iran ke halat, khaaskar Isfahan mai dhamaakon ki reports, behtar ke dar ko aur bhi mazeed badha diya, jisse flight to safety ko taqwiyat mili aur sone ke daamon ko buland kiya. Magar sone ke liye mazeed upside ko roka gaya tha US dollar ke barhne se, jo Federal Reserve ki hawkish signals se majboot hua tha. Ek majboot dollar doosri currencies ke holders ke liye sone ko mehnga banata hai, jisse sone ke faide ko kam kiya jata hai.
Khaaskar, haal hi mai sone ke daamon mai aayi price ki barhti hui raftaar 2,400 mark ke kareeb hone wale stop-loss orders ke saath mil gayi. Ye milavat mumkin hai ke un investors ke liye bari munafa ban sakte hain jo apni positions ko barkarar rakhte rahe. Phir bhi, price ki barhti hui raftaar ka waqt, jo ke shayad Iran mai ek nisbatan choti ghareeb ghatna se prarit ho raha hai, bazaar ke hissedaron mai shak peda kar raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators qareebi muddat mai sone ke daamon ke liye ek mumkin correction ko ishara dete hain. Daily chart pr Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73 par chala gaya hai, "overbought" territory ke qareeb pohanchta hua. Pichle saal mai, jab daily RSI ne 85 ko chhua, to agle 1-4 hafton mai baad mai qeemat kaam ho gayi ya phir bear market aagayi. Mutabiq, haftawaar RSI bhi zyada khatarnak hai, jo 80 ke upar, ek level jo ke "super buy" zone kehlata hai, hover kar raha hai jo ke bohot kam dekha gaya hai. 1990 se, ye zone sirf paanch martaba pohancha hai, aur har pichli dafa ek correction ya bear market ke baad aaya. Ek maqool istisna 1979-1980 mai tha, jab ek qeemati afzooni ke baad ek chand mominat ka dor dekha gaya lekin aakhir mai correction mein mukhtalif ho gaya.

In technical signals ke saath saath gair yaqeeni siyasi manzar ko dekhte hue, dar hai ke haal hi ke sone ke daamon ke faide mukhtalif ho sakte hain. Investors ko ihtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur bazaar ko reversal ke mumkin nishaanat ke liye qareebi nazar rakhni chahiye. Geopolitical tensions aur technical indicators ke is milap ke saath, investors ko mustaqbil ke bazaar ki shara'it ko tawajjo se dekhne aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye hoshyaar rehna chahiye.

Mangal ke sonay ke roznamcha chart mein qeematien barhti rahin, qeemat 2283.76 ke qareeb band hui baad az 2258.85 ke rukawat ko kamyabi se tor kar. Halankeh mujhe sonay ki keemat girne ka intezar tha, lekin mangal ko qeemat barh gayi. Meri peshguftagi such nahi bani aur kyunki 2283.76 ka rukawat nahi azmaaya gaya, aaj ka pehloo rukawat 2307.64 ki taraf barhne ki taraf hai. Kam az kam mujhe lagta hai ke rukawat ka imtehan liya jayega, shayad qeemat is se oopar bhi band ho. Qeemat taqreeban rukawat 2307.64 tak pohanch gayi. Qeemat afzal taur par us manzil ki taraf pahunchegi, aur agar aaj qeemat us manzil ko azma nahiati, to qeemat aksar kal us manzil ko azmaigi. Main samajhta hoon ke qeemat us manzil ko azmaegi, kyunke yeh zyada tar imkan hai ke wo manzil se oopar band ho, jo rasta ko 2330.83 ki rukawat ki taraf kholti hai.

2023 mein, Chinese banks ne 225 tan sona kharida, jo 1977 se sab se zyada barh kar uthaya. Unhon ne mudraati maqsad ke liye 367 tan sona dakhil kiya, jo 2022 ke mukabley 51% zyada hai. China, Russia, aur kuch aur mulk dollar ke upar apni aitekadi tawakul kam karne aur apne asbab mein sonay ka hissa barhane ke liye policy istemal kar rahe hain. Yeh be shak qeemat barhao ko support karta hai. Market ke andaza ke mutabiq is saal Federal Reserve teen dafa discount dar ko kam karega. European Central Bank chaar dafa discount dar ko kam karega, jabke Bank of England teen dafa discount dar ko kam karega. Doosre regulators bhi maqwi siyasat ko asaan banane ka irada rakhte hain. Swiss National Bank ne pehle se he yeh amal shuru kar diya hai. Ant mein, jab ke tareekhi uncha sonay ke daam aakarshit ho sakte hain, to daanishmand investor ko faisle banane ke dauran sabr aur istiqamat se guzarish hoti hai. Maaloomat hasil karke, hushyar rehne ke sath, aur market ki tabdeeliyon ko apnate hue, investors sonay ke market ke complexities se khud ko aitmaad aur bardasht ke sath samajh sakte hain

GOLD


Aaiye mere pyare doston, umeed hai aap sab theek honge. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke baare mein baat karenge kyun ke sonay ke market se acha munafa hota hai aur hum sab is se munafa kamate hain aur apne accounts ko bhar lete hain. To sonay ke market mein, main fundamentals par trade karta hoon aur is se kaafi acha munafa kamata hoon, is liye sab se pehle hum market ko dekhte hain, us par kya asar hai, duniyavi asar kya hain aur us par kya fundamentals ka asar hai. To sab se pehle hum dekhte hain fundamental asar, ab market upar ja raha hai. Aur ab agar market trend upar ja raha hai. To hume munafa mil sakta hai aur agar hume munafa milta hai to munafa hasil karna acha hai. To 1822 mein, market upar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karen, to market ne 1940 ko chhua aur 1960 tak upar gaya. 1960 upar ja sakta hai aur market trend upar ja raha hai aur humein buy trades karni chahiye. Kyunki agar hum is se entry point dekhte hain, to market upar ja raha hai aur munafa upar hoga, is liye isko kharida jana chahiye. Kyunki kharid kar munafa hasil kiya ja sakta hai, jaldi se sonay ke market par kharidna chahiye aur moving average ko dekhte hue indicator ki taraf dekhte hue munafa hasil karne ki koshish karni chahiye.
Rozana sonay ka chart dekhkar, hum note karte hain ke pehle se hi shuru huaa ek mazboot neeche ki taraf ka trend, pehle saal se is saal ke darmiyan, jis ne 1575-80 par record low tak pohancha, phir double bottom banaya aur phir upar ki taraf ka trend shuru kiya, jo apne peak par 1911.00 tak pohancha. Abhi ke price movement mein resistance aur support ke darmiyan idhar udhar ki harkat dekhi ja rahi hai, jahan key reference level 1915-50 hai. Sonay ki ummed hai ke ye 1920 level tak phir se ja sakta hai pehle resistance ke tor par, jo sonay ke market mein trading opportunities ko khulta kar sakta hai. Aane wale haftay ke liye, do mukhtalif mansoobe hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level tak wapas jata hai, jo pehle resistance ka kaam karta tha, is level par inkar ya is level par consolidation ka ishaara deta hai, to long position ko ghor se sochna chahiye jiska munafa maqsood 1910.00 hai, jo September 2023 ka uncha tha, aur ek stop loss 1925.00 ke neeche set karna chahiye, jo is trade ke liye support level ke tor par set kiya gaya hai. Sonay ke price mein izafa kaafi hua hai, jahan price 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb close hua hai. Hal hi mein, price ne koi mazeed faida nahi hasil kiya aur 200-day SMA ke qareeb consolidate ho raha hai. Ek imkaan hai ke price ko mazeed upar jaane ka silsila jaari rahe. Magar agar price ko ek zyada uncha swing high sthaapit karne mein nakami hoti hai aur tezi se girne ka samna karta hai, to negative trend barkarar rahega.

XAU/USD ke market price ne 2390 ke resistance zone ke qareeb band kiya, apni aap ko agle ahem range 2400 ke qareeb rakhte hue, makhsoos khatre ko kam karte hue. Aur XAU/USD ke hal ka market rawayya aham resistance level 2390 ke qareeb numayan hai, jo 2400 ke mark ki taraf aamad ki saniyat deta hai. Yeh manzar kharidarun ke liye amalati moqa faraham karta hai, agle ahem darwaze ke qareeb hone ki wajah se. Magar agle maahine anay wale US dollar se mutalliq khabron ka market par asar ahem hai, kyunke hararatzaeda asrat qeemat ki dynamics par badi tor par asar daal sakte hain. In dynamics ko zehan mein rakhte hue, trading haftay ki ibtida mein aik khareedar order ke saath stratigic entry, jo 2405 tak pohanchne ka maqsood rakhta hai, tajwez hai. Lekin, overbought zone mein trading se wabasta makhsoos khatron ko tasleem karna ahem hai. Is liye, har trading mein stop-loss tadabeerain ikhtiyar karna zaroori hai, ghair mutawaqqa market harkat aur mumkinah nisf hawale se khatron se bachne ke liye. Hushyar aur tayyar approach apnane se, traders mojooda market shorat ko mufeed tor par samajh sakte hain, trading setups ko behter banate hue risk management protocols ko tahfiz karte hue. Market aksar agli haftay kharidarun ke maufiq reh sakti hai. Aam tor par, XAU/USD market ke barhte hue jazbat, khas tor par 2390 ke resistance zone ke atraaf aur qareeb anay wale 2400 range ke maamlaat, kharidarun ke liye aik mozu jazeera darust karte hain. Magar anay wale US dollar se mutalliq khabron ka asar nazar andaaz nahin kiya ja sakta, jo market analysis aur trade execution ke liye chaukasi approach ko zaroori banata hai. Haftay ki shuruaat mein 2405 tak ka aik maqsood rakhte hue aik khareedar order ka ibtida karne se aik stratigic entry point faraham hota hai. Magar, overbought market se wabasta makhsoos khatron ko tawajjo dena zaroori hai, jismein consistent stop-loss strategies ka istemal shamil hai. Yeh approach aik mustawar aur maqool trading strategy ko barqarar rakhta hai, market ke moaasir moqaat ka faida uthate hue sath hi potential nisf hawale se bachav karte hue. Hushyar aur data-driven approach ko ikhtiyar karke, traders mojooda market mahol ke pesh nazar aur uncertainties ko asan tareeqay se samajh sakte hain, trading outcomes ko behtar banate hue