Aslam u alaikum dear
Introduction
Leading indicators definition
Ahem isharay adaad o shumaar ka
aik qabil pemaiesh set hai jo mustaqbil ki iqtisadi sar garmion ki passion goi karne mein madad karsaktha hai. maeeshat ke kisi khaas simt mein muntaqil honay se pehlay maeeshat mein honay wali tabdeelion ka andaza laganay ke liye Maroof iqtisadi isharay istemaal kiye ja satke hain. un mein kaarobar, sarmaya karon aur policy sazoon ke liye mufeed honay ki salahiyat hai .
Maroof isharay isharay ki teen ahem aqsam mein se aik hain. baqi do peechay reh jane walay isharay aur ittifaqi isharay hain .
ahem take ways
aik ahem isharay muashi adaad o shumaar hai jo mustaqbil ki tehreek ya maeeshat mein tabdeeli se mutabqat rakhta hai .
Maroof muashi isharay kaarobar, baazaaron aur maeeshat mein waqeat aur rujhanaat ke waqt ki paish goi ya pishin goi karne mein madad kar satke hain .
mukhtalif sarkardah isharay apni durustagi aur sarkardah taluqaat mein mukhtalif hotay hain, is liye mustaqbil ke liye mansoobah bandi karte waqt sarkardah isharay ki aik had se mahswara karna danishmandi hai .
ahem isharay ki misalon mein consumer knfidns index, prchizng minijrz index, ibtidayi be rozgari ke daaway, aur kaam ke ost ghantay shaamil hain .
peechay reh jane walay isharay aisay matrix hain jo tabdeeli ki pishin goi karne ke bajaye tasdeeq kar satke hain .
Example of leading indicators
misaal ke tor par, capital gdz ke naye orders ke adaad o shumaar ke zariye faraham kardah muashi badhaali ki paishgi intibah karwai ke liye aik taweel lead time paish kar sakti hai. taham, capital gdz mein turning points aur aik makhsoos hadaf isharay jaisay ke stock ki qeematon mein tabdeeli ya jee d pi ke darmiyan tareekhi lead time 12 se 24 mah tak ho sakta hai. aap ko adaad o shumaar ke sath khatam hota hai jo karwai ke liye taweel lead time ki nishandahi karta hai lekin usay kab lena hai is ke baray mein kam durustagi .
mazeed yeh ke, capital gdz ke naye orders mein tabdeelion ki shiddat ka jee d pi mein tabdeelion ke size ke sath koi mustaqil talluq nahi ho sakta hai, yeh waqt ke isharay ke ilawa ghalat hai. lehaza, yeh isharay aik taweel almudati intibahi alamat ke tor par kaar amad saabit hon ge, lekin yeh mustaqbil ke rujhanaat ke waqt ya size ke qatee takhmeenah ki himayat nahi kere ga .
doosri taraf, aik ahem isharay market ya maeeshat mein kisi ahem mourr ya rujhan ke baray mein intehai durust aur durust maloomat day sakta hai, lekin sirf chand mah ya sah mahi mein. aisa isharay un rujhanaat ka andaza laganay ke liye tafseeli un pitt faraham kar sakta hai jo aap ke kaarobar ya sarmaya kaari ko mutasir karte hain. lekin yeh haasil kardah baseerat ka poora faida uthany ke liye kaafi waqt mein woh maloomat faraham nahi kar sakta hai .
khud se, dono qisam ke Maroof isharay madadgaar saabit ho satke hain. is ke bawajood nah to karkardagi ko ziyada se ziyada karne ke liye darkaar mukammal tasweer faraham karta hai. amli tor par, is ka matlab yeh hai ke mukhtalif sarkardah asharion ki aik range ka istemaal karna jo kam o besh durust, durust, aur mustaqbil ke hawalay se mustaqbil ke rujhanaat se faida uthany ka behtareen mauqa faraham kar sakta hai .
The lagging indicators
qabil pemaiesh data jo honay ke baad muashi sargarmi ke asraat ko zahir karta hai .
woh sarfeen ke liye makhsoos iqtisadi aur karobari rujhanaat, karkardagi ke miyaar aur karobari faislon ke asraat ki tasdeeq kar satke hain .
mustaqbil ki hikmat amlyon ka taayun karne ke liye hukoomat, kaarobar aur sarmaya car istemaal karte hain kyunkay un ka talluq saabit shuda ( ya ghair saabit shuda ) mfrozon aur tawaquaat se hai .
data ko qabil aetmaad samjha jata hai .
woh haqayiq aur maliyati nataij par mabni hain jin ka talluq pehlay se honay wali muashi sar garmion se hai .
Introduction
Leading indicators definition
Ahem isharay adaad o shumaar ka
aik qabil pemaiesh set hai jo mustaqbil ki iqtisadi sar garmion ki passion goi karne mein madad karsaktha hai. maeeshat ke kisi khaas simt mein muntaqil honay se pehlay maeeshat mein honay wali tabdeelion ka andaza laganay ke liye Maroof iqtisadi isharay istemaal kiye ja satke hain. un mein kaarobar, sarmaya karon aur policy sazoon ke liye mufeed honay ki salahiyat hai .
Maroof isharay isharay ki teen ahem aqsam mein se aik hain. baqi do peechay reh jane walay isharay aur ittifaqi isharay hain .
ahem take ways
aik ahem isharay muashi adaad o shumaar hai jo mustaqbil ki tehreek ya maeeshat mein tabdeeli se mutabqat rakhta hai .
Maroof muashi isharay kaarobar, baazaaron aur maeeshat mein waqeat aur rujhanaat ke waqt ki paish goi ya pishin goi karne mein madad kar satke hain .
mukhtalif sarkardah isharay apni durustagi aur sarkardah taluqaat mein mukhtalif hotay hain, is liye mustaqbil ke liye mansoobah bandi karte waqt sarkardah isharay ki aik had se mahswara karna danishmandi hai .
ahem isharay ki misalon mein consumer knfidns index, prchizng minijrz index, ibtidayi be rozgari ke daaway, aur kaam ke ost ghantay shaamil hain .
peechay reh jane walay isharay aisay matrix hain jo tabdeeli ki pishin goi karne ke bajaye tasdeeq kar satke hain .
Example of leading indicators
misaal ke tor par, capital gdz ke naye orders ke adaad o shumaar ke zariye faraham kardah muashi badhaali ki paishgi intibah karwai ke liye aik taweel lead time paish kar sakti hai. taham, capital gdz mein turning points aur aik makhsoos hadaf isharay jaisay ke stock ki qeematon mein tabdeeli ya jee d pi ke darmiyan tareekhi lead time 12 se 24 mah tak ho sakta hai. aap ko adaad o shumaar ke sath khatam hota hai jo karwai ke liye taweel lead time ki nishandahi karta hai lekin usay kab lena hai is ke baray mein kam durustagi .
mazeed yeh ke, capital gdz ke naye orders mein tabdeelion ki shiddat ka jee d pi mein tabdeelion ke size ke sath koi mustaqil talluq nahi ho sakta hai, yeh waqt ke isharay ke ilawa ghalat hai. lehaza, yeh isharay aik taweel almudati intibahi alamat ke tor par kaar amad saabit hon ge, lekin yeh mustaqbil ke rujhanaat ke waqt ya size ke qatee takhmeenah ki himayat nahi kere ga .
doosri taraf, aik ahem isharay market ya maeeshat mein kisi ahem mourr ya rujhan ke baray mein intehai durust aur durust maloomat day sakta hai, lekin sirf chand mah ya sah mahi mein. aisa isharay un rujhanaat ka andaza laganay ke liye tafseeli un pitt faraham kar sakta hai jo aap ke kaarobar ya sarmaya kaari ko mutasir karte hain. lekin yeh haasil kardah baseerat ka poora faida uthany ke liye kaafi waqt mein woh maloomat faraham nahi kar sakta hai .
khud se, dono qisam ke Maroof isharay madadgaar saabit ho satke hain. is ke bawajood nah to karkardagi ko ziyada se ziyada karne ke liye darkaar mukammal tasweer faraham karta hai. amli tor par, is ka matlab yeh hai ke mukhtalif sarkardah asharion ki aik range ka istemaal karna jo kam o besh durust, durust, aur mustaqbil ke hawalay se mustaqbil ke rujhanaat se faida uthany ka behtareen mauqa faraham kar sakta hai .
The lagging indicators
qabil pemaiesh data jo honay ke baad muashi sargarmi ke asraat ko zahir karta hai .
woh sarfeen ke liye makhsoos iqtisadi aur karobari rujhanaat, karkardagi ke miyaar aur karobari faislon ke asraat ki tasdeeq kar satke hain .
mustaqbil ki hikmat amlyon ka taayun karne ke liye hukoomat, kaarobar aur sarmaya car istemaal karte hain kyunkay un ka talluq saabit shuda ( ya ghair saabit shuda ) mfrozon aur tawaquaat se hai .
data ko qabil aetmaad samjha jata hai .
woh haqayiq aur maliyati nataij par mabni hain jin ka talluq pehlay se honay wali muashi sar garmion se hai .