Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!
Nonfarm Payroll
Forex trading mein aam tawar par short term ki news impacts ka bara asar-wagrasokh hai, jiss trading bohut hi ziada asar andaz hota hai. NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) report US Department of Labor ki taraf se jari kiya jata hai aur ye report non-agricultural businesses ke andar pichle mahine mein naye jobs ki tadad ko indicate karta hai. Ye report mahine ke pehle trading Friday ko 8:30 am eastern standard time, 1:30 pm GMT par jari ki jati hai. Payrolls figure mahine ki mahine badal sakti hai, kyunki ye US Central Bank ke economic policy decisions ke saath gehra talluq rakhti hai. Jari ki gayi tadad traders k leye ideally tor par dekhi jati hai aur unke opinion mein tabdeeli market mein tezi paida karti hai. Amm taur par, high reading US economy ke liye positive aur low reading ke liye negative samjhi jati hai.
Chahe aap fundamental trader ho ya technicals par zyada rely karte ho, NFP report market mein bade price-movements paida kar sakti hai, jo aapke trading performance par asar daal sakti hai. Kabhi kabhi, agar asal number market ki ummeed se badi had tak alag hota hai, to ye report market mein hulchul macha sakti hai. NFP report aur uski tafseelat ko samajhna aapke trading ke nateeje par bade asar daal sakta hai.
NFP kab Jari hota Hai?
NFP number mahine ki monthly US employment report ka hissa hota hai, jo US Bureau of Labor Statistics k zarye se har pehle Friday ko 8:30 am Eastern Time (1:30 pm London time) par jari kiya jata hai. Ek hi exception hai jab pehla Friday kisi major US holiday, jaise ki New Year par hota hai, to report agle Friday ko postpone kar di jati hai.
NFP ki Ahmeyat
Non-farm payroll (NFP) report FX market ke liye ek ahmiyat mukamal economic report hai. Is headline number mein ek mahine mein shamil hone wale jobs ki tadad dikhayi jati hai, jismein farm jobs, government jobs, NGOs ke employees aur private household employees shaamil nahi hote. Is tarah, NFP report ek diye gaye mahine mein US labor market ki takat zahir karti hai aur aksar currency market mein bade price movements paida karti hai. Federal Reserve report ko bareek-beni se dekhti hai takay apni monetary policy ke future adjustments tay kar sake. Ek umda aur expectation se badi NFP report ye bata sakti hai ki economy strong ho rahi hai aur Fed ko monetary policy tighten karni padegi, yaani interest rates ko badhana hoga, takay economy ko slow down kar sake.
Bar-aks, expectation se kam NFP tadad ye zahir karti hai ki US labor market koshish kar raha hai aur Fed economy ko support karne ke liye interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Headline number ke alawa, jaise ki US economy mein naye jobs shamil hone wali tadad, report mein average hourly earnings aur unemployment rate jaise aur do ahmiyat purna numbers bhi shamil hai.
Duniya bhar ke kai market participants, traders, investors aur financial institutions report ko follow karte hai aur iske natije par trading ke faisley lete hai. NFP report ko samajhna Forex traders ko madad kar sakti hai bade price swings ka faida uthane mein, jo report ke wajah se paida hote hai. Report ko short-term timeframes jaise ki 5-minute ya 15-minute timeframe par simple technical tools se, jaise ki trade kiya ja sakta hai.
NFP Data: Headline Number aur Explaination
Unemployment rate pichle mahine mein total workforce ki percentage ke roop mein birrozgar logo ki tadad ko dikhata hai. Dusre reports ki tarah, kam hone wali unemployment rate (expectation se behtar) US dollar ko support kar sakti hai, aur badhne wali unemployment rate (expectation se kam) US dollar ko niche bhej sakti hai jabki Fed ke easing bets badhte hai. Jabki NFP number teeno reports mein sabse ahmiyat mukamal tasawar kia jata hai, kai Forex traders US labor market report par trade karte waqt average hourly earnings aur unemployment rate ko puri tarah se neglect kar dete hai.
Agar NFP number market ki expectation se upar hai lekin report ki tafseelat low hai (hourly earnings aur unemployment), to US dollar headline number ka faida uthane ke liye initial spike kar sakta hai, lekin kuch hi minutes mein apne pehle ke trading levels par wapis aa jata hai. Isliye aapko hamesha report ki poora dhyaan dena chahiye aur NFP par trade karne se pehle uski tafseelat padhni chahiye.
Trading
NFP report regular market volatility aur FX traders ke liye profit opportunities paida karti hai. Halaanki, report achanak keemat low or high gayi slippage ke saath paida kar sakti hai, isliye NFP report par trade karte waqt sakht risk management rules aur ek acche tayyar trading plan hone chahiye. Paise jo pairs US dollar ko base currency ya counter currency ke roop mein shaamil karte hai, wo pairs NFP report se sabse jyada prabhavit hote hai. Ismein EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, aur USD/JPY shaamil hai, kuch naam lete hain.
Trade lagane se pehle, aapko jis pair par trade kar rahe hai uski average volatility ko measure karna chahiye, pehle ke NFP releases ke liye, aur apne stop-loss aur profit-targets ko uske anusaar adjust karna chahiye. USD/CAD aur GBP/USD ke liye ek hi stop-loss size ka istemaal karna samajhdaari nahi hai, kyunki GBP/USD ki volatility kaafi zyada hoti hai. Kyunki NFP report duniya bhar mein widely-followed report hai, ye sirf US dollar par hi asar nahi daalti. Aksar, dusre currencies bhi NFP report ke foowri baad increased volatility dikhate hai.
NFP News Impacts
NFP (Non Farm Payroll Reports) USA ki monthly labor market ki condition k bare me aik reports hoti hai jis me USA ki labor chahy wo private organization se ho, house hold employees waghera k bare me aik tafseeli jaiza pesh akrti hai. NFP (Non Farm Payroll Reports me) USA ki reports asal me wokers ki measurements hoti hai. Ye monthly base pe hi shaya hoti hai. Ye zemadari Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), ki hai jo k throughout USA ki employees aur private secters me employees k payroll k abre me aik jaiza deti hai.
NFP "Non Farm Payroll Reports ka market aur economy par bara impacts hote hen agar is ka data achha aur behatr release hota hai to dollar har semat me strong hota hai jese k dollar ka gold k muqabele me bhi bohut position mazbot hoti hai. Forex trading market is se bohut hi ziada mutasir hoti ahia ur achhay data se forex trading market movement me teezi a jati hai. Jais commodities aur dosre currency pair US dollars k muqabele me down hona shoro karti hai. Lekin agar ye data thek na ho aur us me bohut negative impact hot ot is ka impact bhi forex trading market pe hota hai. Aur dollars ki value har semat me down ho jati hai. Hamen jab bhi trading k dowran ye data a jaye to trading me waqfa lena chaheye.
