ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui. Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.
Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki.
Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.
Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta ha

USD ka jo jorha hai, wo is waqt 0.6763x ke range mein trade kar raha hai, aur ismein upward momentum ke nishaan dikh rahe hain, halankeh ye ab tak apne highest resistance level tak nahi pohanch paya. Lekin, aaj ke din price increase zyada dominant ho sakti hai. Is waqt sabse behtar approach ye hai ke dekha jaye ke kya price resistance ko tod sakti hai aur 0.6863x ke agle resistance level tak pahunch sakti hai, ya phir ye reject ho kar support level ki taraf 0.6712x par waapas gir jaegi. Is waqt tak, bullish tendency maujood hai, lekin downward movement ka bhi barabar ka chance hai. Mere khayal se, aaj ke liye AUD/USD pair ke liye strategy ye honi chahiye ke agar resistance level toot jata hai to buy karein, aur agar support level toot jata hai to sell karein. Ye analysis recent formation of doji candlestick par mabni hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek balance ko dikhata hai. Filhal, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai, jo balanced market ka nishaan hai. Aane wale price movements ko behtar samajhne ke liye, hum M30 time frame ko dekh sakte hain, jahan do minor support aur resistance areas identify kiye gaye hain. Upper boundary 0.6787x ke price level ke nazdeek hai, aur lower boundary 0.6778x ke aas-paas hai. Ye do areas agle waqt mein achi entry opportunities de sakte hain.

AUD/USD currency pair abhi bhi bullish movement ke potential dikhata hai, aur ye mumkin hai ke price barhna jaari rakhe. Filhal, main ek BUY setup ka mauka talash raha hoon jiska target 0.6855 ke range mein hai. Agar ye pair is target tak pahunch jata hai, to ye confident tareeqe se aage barh sakta hai. Lekin agar ye isme fail hota hai, to price dobara girne ki sambhavna hai.

Recent bullish conditions ke madde nazar, ye ummed ki ja rahi hai ke buyers ke paas price ko upar push karne ka aur mauka ho sakta hai. Lekin, is waqt market downward correction ke nishaan dikhata hai, jo trend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar raha hai, kyunki aaj subah market khuli hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator abhi bhi 50 level se upar hai, jo bullish trend ko signal deta hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 price level ke upar hai,

ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movem
tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai j

AUD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein kaafi aham price action dikhaya hai, jisme kuch critical resistance aur support levels shamil hain jo traders ko closely dekhna chahiye. Is waqt pehli important resistance level 0.6914 par hai. Agar price is level ko break karta hai to yeh bullish momentum ka signal hoga, jo price ko agle resistance level 0.6943 tak le ja sakta hai. Is tarah ki upward movement AUD/USD pair ke liye nayi growth ki leher bana sakti hai, jo ke positive trend ko aur zyada reinforce karegi. Traders ko aksar bullish momentum ka confirmation lene ke liye indicators jese ke volume surges, technical patterns, ya phir economic data releases dekhna hota hai. Agar price 0.6914 ke level ko successfully break karta hai aur upar sustain karta hai, to traders apni positions barha sakte hain, aur mazeed upward movement ki umeed rakhte hain. Is se zyada market participants attract ho sakte hain, jo ke bullish trend ko aur strong karega aur price ko aur upar push karega.

Doosri taraf, agar AUD/USD ka price momentum barqarar nahi rakh pata aur reverse hota hai, to traders ko pehli support level 0.6896 ka retest dekhna chahiye. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to yeh bullish sentiment ki kamzori ki nishani hogi, aur price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Agar price 0.6896 ke neeche break karta hai, to focus doosri support level 0.6857 par shift ho jayega. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo ke ek zyada pronounced bearish trend ko janam dega.

Maujooda market environment mein Australia aur United States ke economic indicators kaafi aham role play karte hain. Australia ke mazboot economic data, jese employment figures ya GDP growth, Australian dollar ko support de sakte hain, jabke U.S. se kamzor data AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada favorable outlook bana sakta hai.

Geopolitical events aur central bank policies bhi currency movements par significant asar dalte hain. Reserve Bank of Australia ka stance interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth par Australian dollar ki value ko asar andaz karta hai. Usi tarah, U.S. Federal Reserve ki policies aur uska outlook inflation aur interest rates par USD ke liye pivotal hai. In factors mein

Trading Wisdom: AUD/USD

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price performance ka analysis kar rahe hain. US dollar ki taqat aur barhne ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve ke taraf se achanak rate cut hone ki umeed nahi hai; wo gradual approach ko chunne ki sambhavna hai, jo ECB aur doosri central banks ki tarah hai. Halankeh kal ke shuruati reports ne kuch concerns uthaye, lekin market ne zyada tar is data ko nazarandaz kar diya.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, yeh dekhiye ke pair channels ke andar kis tarah behave karta hai. Upar ke channel ko break karne ke baad aur breakdown ko test karne ke baad, ab yeh descending channel ko upar ki taraf break kar chuka hai. Main apne targets ko phir se assess karunga jaise jaise situation develop hoti hai.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe ek qareeb upar ki taraf movement nazar aa rahi hai, jo 0.686 ke aas-paas peak karegi. Lekin agar market us point tak nahi pahunche, to bulls ka target shayad 0.6820 par settle ho. Main is scenario ko sirf tab hi nazarandaz karunga jab trend significantly kamzor ho jaye aur apne projected goal ko meet karne mein nakam rahe. Filhal, meri priority yeh dekhna hai ke AUD/USD 0.6820 ki taraf move kare.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

Is hafte, buyers aur sellers ka long-term perspective mein balance dekha ja raha hai, jo is level ki taraf upar ki taraf barhne ko mumkin banata hai, isse pehle ke bearish trend mein shift hone se. Agar yeh upward momentum materialize nahi hota, to 0.6688 support level ki taraf downward movement ek buying opportunity faraham kar sakti hai, jo corrective move ka hissa ho sakti hai.

Market is plan par chalne ki sambhavna hai aur is trajectory ke along waves build karega. Kal ki halki upward movement shayad US se aane wale kamzor economic data, jaise Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures ki wajah se hui, ya phir bears ke apne positions close karne ki wajah se weekend se pehle.

Har surat mein, prevailing downtrend ab tak intact hai, aur is waqt ki price action correction lag rahi hai. Agar correction jaari rahti hai, to buyers price ko 0.6773 resistance level tak push kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD Price: Key Patterns

Hamari guftagu ka markazi nazar AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka jaiza lena hai. AUD/USD currency pair ke liye, filhal ke halat order book mein sellers ki wazeh dominance dikhati hai. Kul mila kar, is pair mein mazeed kami ke liye significant potential hai, jo 0.6769 level ke aas-paas sellers ke clustering se zahir hota hai.

Ek trading idea ke tor par, is price level se bechne ka sochna chahiye, jahan pehle profit target 0.6679 hai aur stop-loss 0.6809 ke thoda upar rakha jana chahiye. Agar price 0.6809 ke upar settle hota hai, toh humein dobara sochna par sakta hai aur alternative trading scenarios par ghoor karna hoga.

Aaj, main daily chart par focus karna chahta hoon, jahan bulls market control wapas hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin mujhe shak hai ke kya woh zyada taraqqi kar payenge. Price un supports se bounce hui hai jo maine pehle chart par highlight kiye the aur yeh ab tak 50% resistance level 0.6916 aur 1/8 angle ke neeche hai.

**AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bullish Efforts and Market Outlook**

Yeh bullish traders ki taraf se ek bold koshish ko darshata hai ke woh market ko apne haq mein le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jabke main short-term upward movement ki umeed rakhta hoon, mera asal shauq yeh dekhna hai ke kya yeh sirf broader bearish trend se ek corrective move hai ya phir kuch zyada sustainable.

Thursday ko, Australian dollar ne poore din ke liye upar ki taraf taraqqi ki, aur 0.67215 resistance level ko tod diya. Price is level ke upar close hui, jisne teen descending shadows ka pattern banaya, jo kam se kam mazeed price izafa ka potential darshata hai.

Main Friday ko 0.67622 resistance ki taraf growth ki umeed rakhta tha, jo ke waqai mein hota hua nazar aaya. Price is level ke qareeb close hui, aur Monday ki taraf dekhte hue, main 0.67916 resistance ki taraf mazeed upward movement ki umeed rakhta hoon.

Agar price 0.67622 level ko test kare, phir pull back ho aur iske neeche close ho, toh decline ki sambhavna sirf tabhi banegi. Agar koi zyada significant drop hota hai, toh cost 0.67215 support level se neeche gir sakta hai.

**Australian Dollar ka Amal:**

Pichle haftay, Australian dollar gir gaya, jo ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut se asar andaz hota hai, jis ne New Zealand dollar ko bhi neeche dhakela. Jab ke Australian aur New Zealand currencies aksar saath saath chalti hain, yeh dekhna ahem hai ke yeh rishte kis tarah se badalte hain. Magar, kul girawat ke bawajood, bazar ne kuch resilience dikhayi, kyunki Australian dollar ne thoda rebound kiya. Jab ke weekly candlestick ab bhi negative hai, yeh katastrophic nahi lagta. Traders aisa lagta hai ke wo bazar mein daakhil hone aur isay ek boost dene ki koshish kar rahe hain, kam se kam filhal ke liye.

Agar Australian dollar 0.6850 ke level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh 0.6950 ki taraf ek potential move ki raah khol sakta hai, jo peechle hafton mein resistance point raha hai. Agar currency is line ko todti hai, to humein mazeed upar ki taraf ka pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh 0.6650 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh mazeed kami ko janam de sakta hai jo Australian dollar ko 0.6450 ke level tak le ja sakta hai.

Jaise hamesha, commodity prices Australian dollar par bohot asar dalti hain. Copper, gold, aur iron jaise commodities taqat hasil kar rahe hain aur yeh Aussie growth par mazeed pressure daal sakte hain, domestic factors jaise interest rates se alag. Agar yeh commodity markets upar ki taraf chalte rahe, to Australian dollar bhi in external factors ke jawab mein upar ja sakta hai, local economic conditions ke bajaye.

Nateejah yeh hai ke Aussie ka rukh in broader commodity markets ke performance par depend karega, saath hi closely related currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ke potential moves par bhi. Traders ko key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye takay ye assess kar sakein ke currency mazeed recovery ke liye tayar hai ya potential decline ki taraf ja rahi hai.

### AUD/USD Price: Key Patterns

Hamari guftagu ka mauzoo AUD/USD currency pair ke qeemat ki harakat ka jaiza lena hai. AUD/USD ke liye, maujooda surat-e-haal order book mein bechne walon ki wazeh qabliyat dikhata hai. Is pair mein mazeed girawat ka khaas imkaan hai, jo ke 0.6769 level ke ird-gird bechne walon ki clustering se wazeh hota hai.

Ek trading idea ke tor par, is qeemat level se bechne ka khayal rakhein, jahan pehle profit ka target 0.6679 hai aur stop-loss 0.6809 ke just upar rakhein. Agar qeemat 0.6809 se upar band hoti hai, toh humein dobara jaiza lena padega aur alternative trading scenarios explore karne honge.

Aaj main rozana chart par focus karna chahta hoon, jahan bulls bazar par control hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin mujhe shakk hai ke kya yeh zyada aage barh payenge. Qeemat un supports se bounce hui hai jo main pehle chart par darshata raha hoon, aur yeh 0.6916 par 50% resistance level aur 1/8 angle ke neeche bana raha.

### AUD/USD Price Analysis (Continued)

Yeh bullish traders ki taraf se ek bold koshish darshata hai ke woh bazar ko apne haq mein karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jabke main short-term upar ki taraf harakat ki umeed karta hoon, mera asal dilchaspi yeh dekhna hai ke kya yeh sirf ek corrective move hai broader bearish trend se ya phir kuch zyada mustahkam hai.

Thursday ko, Australian dollar poore din barhta raha, 0.67215 resistance level ko torte hue. Qeemat is level se upar band hui, teen descending shadows ka pattern banate hue, jo ke mazeed qeemat barhne ki potential ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main Friday ko 0.67622 resistance ki taraf growth ki umeed rakhta tha, jo ke as anticipated hua. Qeemat is level ke nazdeek band hui, aur Monday ki taraf move karte hue, main 0.67916 resistance ki taraf mazeed upar ki taraf harakat ki umeed karta hoon.

Agar qeemat 0.67622 level ko test kare, peeche khich jaye, aur isse neeche band ho, toh girawat ke chances sirf tabhi barh sakte hain. Agar koi zyada badi girawat hoti hai, toh qeemat 0.67215 support level se neeche gir sakti hai.

Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain.l Click image for larger version

AUD/USD pair ka trend direction shayad bearish mein tabdeel ho chuka hai, kyunki EMA 50 ko SMA 200 ko cross karte hue dekha gaya hai. Death cross signal ka ubharna price movement ke direction ko downward rally ko continue karne ki taraf darshata hai. Filhal, price dono Moving Average lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai aur support (S1) 0.6741 par consolidate kar rahi hai. Agar price girne ki taraf jati hai, toh yeh support (S2) 0.6686 ki taraf badegi, jo pehle sirf 0.6704 ke low price par ruki thi. Iske muqablay, agar price support (S1) 0.6741 ke upar stable rahti hai, toh yeh dono Moving Average lines ko cross kar sakti hai.
Price ki barhavat rally, jo resistance (R1) 0.6898 ke upar thi, 0.6945 ke high price par ruki. Yeh asal mein higher high pattern bana rahi hai, isliye jo price pattern structure ab tak chal raha hai woh higher high - higher low condition mein hai. Jabki price jo neeche 0.6704 tak girti hai, yeh sirf higher low pattern banane ki sambhavana rakh rahi hai. Agar aapko pattern structure ko lower low - lower high mein tabdeel karna hai, toh price ko 0.6625 ke low prices se neeche girna hoga, jo invalidation level hai. Yeh tab hoga jab price consistently support (S2) 0.6686 ke neeche move kar sake.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator par downtrend momentum ki kamzori dekhi ja rahi hai, jo price ko upar move karne ki taraf support karti hai. Lekin, filhal ka histogram jo level 0 ke kareeb hai, usay positive area mein cross karna hoga. Agar price support (S1) 0.6741 ke aas-paas reject hoti hai aur neeche girti hai, toh iska matlab yeh hai ke histogram volume negative area ya level 0 ke neeche phir se widen ho jayega. Stochastic indicator ke nazariye se kuch alag hai, jiska parameters overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ko cross kar chuke hain. AUD/USD pair ki price mein barhavat shayad yeh darshata hai ke buying saturation point tak pahunch chuki hai, jiski wajah se yeh neeche move kar sakti hai.

**Entry Position Setup:**

Agar hum major structure ko dekhein jo abhi bhi higher high - higher low condition mein hai, toh BUY entry position tab ki jati hai jab price support (S1) 0.6741 ke upar close hoti hai, chahe nazdik cross signal abhi nazar aaya ho. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator ka parameter level 50 aur level 20 ke beech cross karega. Volume histogram jo level 0 ke negative area ke kareeb hai, usay positive area mein cross karna hoga taake uptrend momentum ka ishaara mile. Target ko pivot point (PP) 0.6843 par take profit rakhna chahiye, jabke stop loss ko support (S2) 0.6686 par place karna chahiye

Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain.l Click image for larger version

Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain.l Click image for larger version

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price performance ka tajziya karenge. US dollar mazeed mazbooti dikhane ki umeed hai, kyunke Federal Reserve foran se rate cut nahi karegi, balki yeh kaam dheere dheere hoga, jaise ke ECB aur doosre central banks bhi karte hain. Kal ke initial reports mein kuch concerns uthaaye gaye thay, lekin market ne zyada diqqat nahi di aur in data ko nazarandaaz kar diya. Technical point of view se dekhein to yeh pair channels ke andar kaam karta hai. Upward channel break hone ke baad aur breakdown ka test karne ke baad ab yeh descending channel ko upside mein break kar chuka hai. Mein apne targets ko haalat ke mutabiq dobara assess karunga.

Mere analysis ke mutabiq, main ek qareebi bullish movement dekh raha hoon, jo ke 0.686 par peak kar sakta hai. Lekin agar market is level tak nahi pohanchti, to bulls ka target mumkin hai ke 0.6820 par settle kare. Main is scenario ko tabhi nazarandaaz karunga agar trend mein achanak kamzori aati hai aur apne projected goal ko poora nahi kar pata. Iss waqt meri priority yeh hai ke AUD/USD ko 0.6820 tak pohanchte hue dekhna.

Is hafta ke dauran, buyers utne hi strong lag rahe hain jitne ke sellers, lambe arsay mein yeh level tak izafa ka imkaan hai, lekin iske baad shayad bearish trend dobara shuru ho jaye. Agar yeh upward momentum nahi hoti, to 0.6688 ke support level ki taraf downward movement likely hai, jo ke ek buying opportunity provide karegi corrective move ke taur par. Market aksar iss tarah ka pattern follow karta hai aur waves banata hai iss trajectory par. Kal ki slight upward movement shayad US ke weak economic data ki wajah se hui ho, jaise ke Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures, ya phir yeh bears ne apni positions weekend se pehle close kiye hon. Har surat mein, prevailing downtrend abhi tak barqarar hai, aur current price action ek correction ke taur par samnay aa raha hai. Agar yeh correction jaari rehta hai, to buyers shayad price ko 0.6773 ke resistance level tak push karen.

M15 chart par buyers ki zyada activity dekhne ko mil rahi hai, kyun ke linear regression channel uttar ki taraf (north) hai. Lekin bears is baat se mutafiq nahi hain. Jab market ko channel ke lower part, yani 0.67296 ke neeche kheenchte hain, toh meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh bearish interest ka izhaar hai. Isliye main bearish trend ko continue karte hue sales ke baray mein soch raha hoon. Seller ka interest is level ko 0.66917 tak achieve karne par hoga. Jab market is level tak pohnchay ga, toh buyers ki activity tez ho sakti hai, jisse reversal ka imkaan hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke target level par profit ko fix karna munasib hoga, aur agar chahein toh position ko hold kar ke medium-term movement ke liye H4 chart ke mutabiq dekh sakte hain.

Hourly chart par dekhne par linear regression channel south ki taraf hai, jo ke seller ki activity ko dikhata hai. Buying volumes upper border of channel 0.67427 ke qareeb hain. Is maqam par bears market ko 0.66917 tak neeche lane ke liye zabardast activity dikhayenge. M15 chart par bhi iska saboot milta hai, jahan 0.67296 ke neeche breakout dekhne ko milta hai, jo ke bearish interest ke barhne ka izhaar hai. Baghair kisi bara volume ke sales karne ka imkaan hai. Agar 0.67427 ka level break ho jata hai toh sales cancel ho jayeingi, jo mujhe sales mein jaldi karne ki zaroorat nahi rehne dega, aur market ko phir se dekhne ka moka milega. Agar channel north ki taraf reverse hota hai toh yeh trend mein tabdeeli ka izhaar hoga.

In sab baaton ka andaza lagate hue, main yeh samajhta hoon ke bearish trend ka continuation ka imkaan zyada hai, magar buyer’s activity ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Har level par hamesha re-assess karna aur trend changes par nazar rakhna zaroori hota hai.

Market abhi bhi sellers ke qabze mein hai kyun ke jaise ke aap chart ke left side par dekh sakte hain, price ne bohat gehri girawat dekhi hai aur aaj subah ka correction shayad sirf profit-taking ka natija tha. Jab sellers jo pehle hi kaafi faida le chuke hote hain, apni open positions ek hi waqt par band karte hain, to mother candles ki tadaad mein kaafi izafa hota hai. 0.6710 par thoda price barh kar 0.6750 tak pohcha, magar us ke baad kafi gehri girawat hui aur lowest value 0.6690 tak chali gayi, jo ke American session ke band hone se chand ghante pehle 0.6810 par gir gayi jab price ne apni lowest value touch ki. Is lihaaz se, currency pair ne kal aik din mein 160 pips se zyada ka move kiya, jo pehle din ke range se kafi zyada hai. AUD/USD currency pair abhi upward trend mein hai, halankeh interest rates change nahi hue. Ye bullish move mazeed barh sakta hai, lekin agar bearish traders 0.6738 ka level tor detay hain, to price 0.6614 tak gir sakti hai. Chhoti time frames par ek halki divergence form ho rahi hai, jo aaj ke growth ko limit kar sakti hai. Is liye abhi khareedna munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke price pehle hi kafi barh chuki hai. Behtar hoga ke market ke progression ko dekh kar koi move kiya jaye. Filhaal Australian dollar spotlight mein nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka agla direction zyada tar is baat par depend karega ke yeh aaj resistance levels par kaisay react karti hai. Agar price 0.6901 ke level ko cross kar jati hai, to 0.6896 ka resistance support ban sakta hai, jis se mazeed girawat ka imkaan kam ho jata hai. Daily chart par, pair 0.6838 ke ooper move kar chuka hai aur 0.6872 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo secondary scenario ke mutabiq hai. Market ab aglay buying target 0.6893 ke qareeb hai, aur resistance zone jo ke 0.6893 aur 0.6901 ke darmiyan hai, test hone wala hai, jo ke downside ki taraf ek rebound trigger kar sakta hai.