ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Exchange Rate: Technical Analysis and Factors

AUD/USD exchange rate kai mutaadid factors se mutasir hota hai, jin mein monetary policy decisions, economic indicators, aur global market dynamics shamil hain. Iska ek primary driver Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki interest rate policy hai. Recent press conference mein, RBA Governor Michele Bullock ne bank ki monetary policy ke hawale se kuch insight diya. Unho ne zikar kiya ke RBA filhal inflation ko manage karne par zyada tawajjo de rahi hai, rate cuts ke bajaye. Yeh position persistent inflation rates se support hoti hai, jo RBA ke target levels se upar hain.

Inflation control RBA ke liye critical hai kyunki yeh economic stability ko maintain karna chahti hai. Persistent inflation ke madde nazar, central bank aage bhi cautious approach adopt kar sakta hai. Market participants ne speculate kiya tha ke end of 2025 tak 50 basis points ki easing ho sakti hai, magar Bullock ke remarks ne indicate kiya ke short-term mein, khas taur par August aur September mein, rate hikes ke options abhi bhi table par hain. Yeh RBA ke balancing act ko zahir karta hai jo inflation ko curb karne ki koshish mein hai bina economic growth ko roke.

Interest rate movements ke expectations AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial hain. Australia mein higher interest rates, agar US ke muqable mein hon, toh yeh AUD ko support karte hain kyunki investors higher returns ki talash mein hote hain. Conversely, agar Federal Reserve USA mein zyada aggressive stance adopt karti hai interest rate hikes ke liye, toh yeh USD ko AUD ke muqable mein mazboot kar sakta hai. Filhal, RBA ke cautious lekin potential hawkish stance aur Federal Reserve ke policies ke beech ki dynamics AUD/USD pair ke liye complex environment create karti hain.

Economic indicators jaise ke employment data, GDP growth rates, aur trade balances bhi expectations ko shape karne aur AUD/USD exchange rate ko influence karne mein significant role play karte hain. Australia ki economy jo commodities par heavily reliant hai, global commodity prices aur demand ke base par significant currency movements experience kar sakti hai, khaaskar major trading partners jaise China se. Stronger economic data Australia se AUD ko boost kar sakti hai, jabke weaker data iska opposite effect create kar sakti hai.




Global market sentiment aur geopolitical events bhi AUD/USD exchange rate ko impact karte hain. Global markets mein risk appetite often AUD ko influence karti hai, jo ek risk-sensitive currency hai. Global economic stability aur growth ke dauran, AUD typically better perform karta hai kyunki investors higher-yielding assets ko talash karte hain. Conversely, uncertainty ya economic downturns ke dauran, USD safe-haven currency ke taur par strengthen hota hai.

Summary mein, AUD/USD exchange rate ke fundamentals monetary policy decisions (RBA aur Federal Reserve), key economic indicators, global commodity prices, aur overall market sentiment ka combination hai. Yeh factors ka interplay ek dynamic aur often volatile environment create karta hai is currency pair ke liye.

AUD/USD ke chand dinon se izafay ki taraf rujhan tha. Monday ke baad AUD/USD market ne Tuesday ko bhi thodi si izafay ke sath band hui, jo ke continued upward movement ko zahir karta hai. Tuesday ke candle pattern ne ek upward direction show ki. AUD/USD market mein position open karne se pehle indicator data ko dekhna zaroori hai. RSI indicator ki red line upwards point kar rahi hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Magar, MACD histogram bar abhi bhi zero line ke niche hai, lekin lagta hai yeh chhoti ho rahi hai. MACD signal line bhi downwards point kar rahi hai. Kuch EMA lines abhi bhi 100 EMA line ke niche hain, lekin 50 EMA line (green) upwards bend hona shuru ho gayi hai.




Australian dollar ko kuch significant news events ka samna hai jo ke market direction ko chand ghanton mein dramatically influence kar sakti hain. Is mein employment aur unemployment data mein changes shamil hain, jo traders ke liye high expectations rakhte hain. Agar report positive hoti hai, to AUD/USD ka price aaj 0.6350 area se exceed kar sakta hai. Conversely, US dollar mein koi significant news nahi hai jo sellers' actions ko impact kare, jo ke market ko sharply drop kar sakta hai high range of 0.6658 se during European session's close ya US session ke start mein. Jab price significantly drop hoti hai, meri strategy yeh hai ke MA area mein wapas aane tak intezar karoon, jaise ke chart mein indicate kiya gaya hai. Mein isko nearest resistance area ke sath combine karoon ga taake sell positions enter karne ke liye favorable entry point mil sake. Yeh approach expected market movements se profit maximize karne ka aim rakhti hai.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Technical Analysis Aur Forecast

Is hafte, Australian Dollar (AUD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein khaas kami dekhi hai, jo ke recent trend mein ek aham tabdeeli hai. Daily chart ka jaiza lene se yeh zahir hota hai ke AUD/USD pair ne uss ascending channel ko tod diya hai jo ke pehle se tha. Yeh technical development yeh darshati hai ke currency pair shayad qareeb ke dino mein niche ki taraf jaari rahe.

Fibonacci retracement levels ko dekhte hue, hum yeh expect kar sakte hain ke AUD/USD pair shayad 161.8% Fibonacci extension level tak aur gir sakti hai. Yeh aham level 0.6450 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke February mein establish hue significant support level ke saath match karta hai. Recent price movements ke baad, jo ke baqi support levels ko clear kar chuki hain, yeh 0.6450 level pair ki future direction ke liye ek crucial point hai. Friday ke trading session mein, AUD/USD pair ne apne major peers ke muqablay mein kami dekhi, jo ke pehle do dino ke gains ko reverse kar diya. Pair ne hafte ke shuru mein 0.6570 ke aas-paas surge kiya, lekin iski upward momentum ko US Treasury yields ke barhne ke sabab rok diya gaya, jisne USD ko majboot kiya. Trading day ke end tak, AUD/USD 0.6550 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. US Treasury yields ka barhna Australian dollar par niche ki taraf pressure daal raha hai, kyunki investors ka focus USD ke majboot hone ki taraf shift ho gaya hai. Yeh development currency pair movements par US economic indicators ke ongoing influence ko highlight karta hai, jo ke forex trading strategies ke liye zaroori hai. AUD/USD ka apne recent highs se girna currency markets ki volatility aur global economic factors ke exchange rates ko shape karne mein critical role ko darshata hai.

Short term mein, price kuch consolidation ya stabilization ka samna kar sakti hai jab yeh recent changes ke saath adjust hoti hai. Lekin, agar current momentum barqarar raha, toh yeh stabilization overall bearish outlook ko nahi badal sakti. Traders ko 0.6450 support level par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki is point ke niche girna deeper bearish trend ka indication ho sakta hai.

Jo log AUD/USD pair mein trading kar rahe hain, unke liye yeh zaroori hai ke ongoing technical signals aur market developments se waqif rahein. Yeh accurate predictions aur timely trading decisions banane mein madad karega. Hamesha technical indicators aur broader market factors dono ko dekhna zaroori hai successful trading strategies ke liye.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne Friday ke New York trading session mein 0.6520 ke immediate support level ke upar stability dekhaayi. Yeh tab hua jab June ke mixed US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data release hui. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne bataya ke annual headline PCE inflation May ke 2.6% se expected 2.5% tak cool hui. Magar, core PCE inflation, jo Federal Reserve ka preferred gauge hai, anticipated 2.5% se barh kar 2.6% hui. Month-over-month basis par, headline inflation expectations ke mutabiq 0.1% barhi, jab ke core inflation 0.2% tak accelerate hui. Core inflation ki resilience market expectations ko complicate kar sakti hai, jo September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Ab investors Federal Reserve ka monetary policy statement Wednesday ko closely monitor karenge, jahan ek rate hold widely anticipated hai. Is dauran, AUD ko over a week se pressure face karna pada hai due to growing global growth concerns, jo ke iron ore prices ko depress kar rahe hain. Australia ek major iron ore exporter hai, aur prices ki decline ne capital inflows ke baare mein concerns raise kiye hain.




15 July se, AUD/USD freefall mein raha hai, aur bears ne key resistance level 0.6690 ko break kar diya. Pair uske baad se sideways range mein retrace kar gaya hai jo May 3 aur July 3 ke darmiyan prevail karti thi. Technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), suggest karte hain ke downtrend ka potential continuation ho sakta hai, aur lower range boundary ke around 0.6575 ka test ho sakta hai. Magar, agar ek decisive rebound upper range ke near 0.6690 tak hota hai, to yeh pair ko July 18 ke high 0.6743 tak propel kar sakta hai, aur July 11 ke peak 0.6800 tak gains extend karne ka potential ho sakta hai. Summary mein, AUD/USD 15 July se weaken hua hai aur ab 0.6575 aur 0.6690 ke beech ek range mein consolidate kar raha hai. Given the prevailing market conditions, ek downward bias likely hai aur lower range boundary ke niche break ka potential hai.

Jumay ko Australian Dollar (AUD) ne neeche ka pressure face kiya, jo ke mukhtalif economic factors se influence hua jo global currency markets ko shape kar rahe hain. Lekin, is ke bawajood, currency ka downside restrained nazar aata hai, zyada tar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke optimistic stance ke wajah se jo unki June meeting ke baad saamne aaya. Iske ilawa, US Federal Reserve ke taraf se potential rate cuts ke speculations jo ke is saal ke aakhir mein ho sakte hain, ne bhi discussions ko janam diya hai, jo ke Greenback ki strength ko impact kar sakti hain aur is tarah se AUD/USD ko possible boost provide kar sakti hain.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals

Bullock ne RBA ke position ko ek press conference mein elaborate kiya, aur potential rate hikes par discussions ko reaffirm kiya, jabke rate cuts ke current contemplation ko dismiss kiya. Unho ne RBA ke concerns over inflation ko emphasize kiya, aur unka stance highlight kiya ke inflation ab bhi target levels se persistently above hai. Isne RBA ke cautious approach towards easing monetary policies ko reaffirm kiya, jahan market expectations yeh hint karti hain ke December 2025 tak probable easing of around 50 basis points ho sakta hai. Magar, August aur September mein rate hikes ko entirely rule out nahi kiya gaya.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ke liye ek significant support level agle trading sessions mein around 0.6516 anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Mazeed downside support levels mein 0.6534 aur 0.6511 shamil hain, jismein se latter ek significant low hai jo pehle observe hua tha. Iske contrast mein, agar currency pair descending trend channel ke upper boundary 0.6677 ko break kar le, to yeh buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo psychological barrier 0.6700 ko eye kar rahe hain, aur potentially gains ko 0.6761 tak extend kar sakta hai.



Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne wapas 50 ke upar move kiya hai, jo buying momentum ki taraf shift indicate karta hai. Isi tarah, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) selling pressure mein decline show karta hai, halan ke bullish trend ka confirmation tab milega jab pair 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko surpass kar le.

Is currency pair ke bare mein baat karte hain. Yahan ek bearish cross bana hai - Tenkan-sen line jo ke 0.67539 par hai, Kijun-sen line jo ke 0.67659 par hai, ke neeche chali gayi hai - jo ek selling signal ko darshata hai. Cloud mein Senkou Span B line jo ke 0.67733 par hai aur Senkou Span A line jo ke 0.67757 par hai, majboot resistances ke tor par kaam kar rahi hain, jo ke bechne ka achha mauka banaati hain. Dono shiraaati haalat, cross aur cloud ke neeche hona, ek mazboot selling signal hain. Is maloomat ke base par, mera khayal hai ke bechna faida mand hai. Aam taur par, jab signal strong ho, main Stochastic oscillator ka istemal nahi karta, lekin zyada precise entry ke liye, ek achha waqt hai jab yeh oscillator upper part mein 80 level ke neeche ho. Agar market cloud ke upar chale jaati hai aur consolidate karti hai, to sellers fail ho sakte hain. Isliye, market price ko 0.67478 ke aas paas monitor karna zaroori hai, aur agar ulta cross hota hai to upward movement ka bhi ijaazah ho sakta hai.

Pehla scenario reversal candlestick ka hai aur price movement ke dobara shuru hone ka hai. Agar yeh plan chal gaya, to main price ka resistance level 0.67986 par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke upar closing hone ke baad, main aage northward movement ki ummeed rakhunga, jo ke resistance level 0.68711 tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main trading setup ka intezar karunga taake agle trading direction ka pata chal sake. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke hum zyada door ke northern objectives ko target karein, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 0.70301 par hai, lekin yeh situation aur price ke reaction ke mutabiq hoga aur news flow bhi matter karega.

Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke jab price support level 0.67141 ko test kare aur is level ke neeche close ho, to price southern direction mein move karegi. Agar yeh plan chal gaya, to main price ka support level 0.66342 ki taraf move karne ka intezar karunga. Is support level ke paas, main bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhunga, aur price ke upward movement ke dobara shuru hone ki ummeed rakhunga. Haan, door ke southern objectives ko target karna bhi mumkin hai, lekin filhal main is par nahi soch raha kyunki iska jaldi realization mujhe nazar nahi aa raha. General taur par, aaj ke liye, main is instrument ke liye locally kuch interesting nahi dekh raha. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke price nearest support levels ko dobara test kar sakti hai, aur phir global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, traders northern signals ki talash mein rahenge, aur upward movement ke dobara shuru hone ki ummeed rakhengi.

Aakhri hafton mein, market mein bohot zyada qeemat girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ek nishan hai ke market niche ja rahi hai. Ye tez girawat us waqt shiddat ikhtiyar ki jab price ne pichli wave ke low ko tod diya, jo ke market ke upar se niche jani ki tabdeeli ko darshata hai. Key technical indicators is bearish rukh ko support karte hain. MACD indicator lower sales zone mein chala gaya hai aur apni signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo ke negative momentum ko barhawa de raha hai.

Iske ilawa, Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ne shuruati chetawani di jab price apne peak par thi. Ye divergence ek imminent trend reversal ka ishara tha, jo ke sahi sabit hua kyunki MACD ne bhi ek significant bearish divergence show kiya, jo ke current downtrend ko predict karta hai. Ek ascending wedge ke form mein reversal pattern is price decline ko aur bhi validate karta hai.

Price pehle 0.6577 ke target level tak pohnchi, jahan ek upward correction hone ki umeed thi. Magar market bina kisi reversal ke niche move karta raha. Ye sustained downward momentum ye darshata hai ke price aage jaake ek major support level tak pohnch sakti hai. Iske bawajood, 0.6577 ke current level par bechna sabse behtar strategy nahi hai, kyunki aas paas ke resistance levels ek short-term upward correction ke liye mauka de sakte hain.

CCI indicator se umeed hai ke lower overheating zone se upar aaye, jo ek rebound ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar price short-term mein 0.6577 level ko todti hai aur usay upar se test karti hai, to ye buying opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai, jo corrective bounce ko anticipate karta hai. Agar ye scenario ban gaya, to price 0.6695 ke untested level tak pohnchne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Jab tak price 0.6577 ke upar securely nahi hoti, tab tak buying se parhez karna behtar hai.

Main 0.66276 channel ke neeche ke border ke qareeb khareedne ka soch raha hoon, kyunke yeh ek mumkinah support level hai jahan buyers aa sakte hain. Yeh level market dynamics ke bare mein kaafi kuch bata sakta hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hum is level ke ird-gird market behavior ko dhyan se dekhen. Agar sellers price ko 0.66276 ke neeche le jaate hain aur wahan consolidation establish karte hain, to yeh signal hoga ke selling pressure ab bhi dominant hai. Aise mein, main apne buying plans ko rok dunga kyunke continued selling ki chances zyada hain jo market ko apni downtrend extend karne ki taraf le ja sakti hai. In situations mein prevailing trend ke khilaf jana samajhdari nahi hai.

Market dynamics ko dhyan se dekhna is strategy ka ek aham hissa hai. Agar 0.66276 level ke aas-paas strong buying support milti hai, to yeh ek acha buying opportunity ban sakti hai. Wahi agar is level ke neeche consolidation hota hai, to yeh indicate karega ke sellers market par zyada control rakhte hain aur prices ko neeche le ja sakte hain. Aise situations mein market ke khilaf trading karna risks ko badha sakta hai aur potential losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye market signals ko dekhte hue apni strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai.

Agar price 0.66276 ke neeche girti hai aur wahan consolidation establish hota hai, to yeh selling pressure ke continue hone ka strong signal hoga. Aise mein, khareedne se gurez karna aur apni strategy ko dobara evaluate karna zaroori hai. Market trend ko follow karna successful trading ke liye critical hai. Agar market downtrend mein hai aur selling pressure strong hai, to is trend ke khilaf trading se bachna behtar hai. Yeh approach unnecessary risks se bachane aur capital ko conserve karne mein madad kar sakti hai.

Akhir mein, 0.66276 channel ke neeche ke border ke qareeb khareedna ek potential strategy ho sakti hai, lekin market dynamics ko dhyan se monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar sellers price ko is level ke neeche le jaate hain aur wahan consolidation establish karte hain, to yeh selling pressure ke continue hone ka signal hoga. Aise scenario mein, buying plans ko rokna aur market trend ke saath align karna ek samajhdar approach hoga.

AUD/USD ke Price Movement Ka Science

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya hai. Main hourly chart par AUD/USD pair ka jaiza le raha hoon. Jab pair 0.67905 aur 0.67623 ke darmiyan trade kar raha tha, tab maine ek niche trend ka tajweez diya. Yeh high trade kar raha tha, triple touch ke sath, aur phir girna shuru hua. Main ne pair ko overbought samjha aur girawat ki umeed thi, jo phir aayi. Girawat zor se thi, support 0.65158 tak pohnch gayi, rebound hua, aur sellers ne 0.65557 resistance ke qareeb volume gain kiya. Main ne prediction kiya ke yeh 0.64602 support tak pohnchega aur mera nazariya ab bhi wahi hai. Chaar ghante ke chart par price rollback ka khatma hua aur downtrend dobara shuru ho gaya. Sales signals saaf hain, alligator aur moving average lines niche ki taraf point kar rahi hain. Price drop ka taqreeban 0.64609 level test karne ka andaza hai.

Main Australian dollar ki US dollar ke muqablay mein girawat dekhta hoon, khaaskar chaar ghante ke chart par price rollback ke baad, jo ek aur sell position ka signal hai. Alligator aur envelope lines bearish hain. Agle hafte ke hisaab se 0.64709 level tutne ki ummeed hai. Price mid-month se gir rahi hai bina kisi significant pullback ke. Ascending wave structure toota jab current wave ne pehle ke low ko update kiya. MACD indicator lower selling zone mein aa gaya aur signal line ke neeche gir gaya. Niche ki taraf correction trend mein tabdeel ho gaya jaisa ke ummeed thi, CCI indicator peak par bearish divergence dikhata hai. MACD ne bhi bearish divergence dikhaya jo sahi sabit hua. Ascending wedge reversal pattern ne price decline ko confirm kiya. Girawat ke doran, price ne 0.6576 target level ko hit kiya jo decline ko rok sakta tha aur upward correction ko start kar sakta tha, lekin price tez girti rahi. Price lagta hai ke main support line ke neeche ja rahi hai.

AUDUSD pair ki price movement ne FR 50 - 0.6565 par retracement complete kar liya hai jo EMA 50 ke sath milta hai. Agli price phir se neeche move karni chahiye kyunki jo trend direction hai wo bearish hai. Agar koi upar ki taraf correction hoti hai to price FR 78.6 - 0.6592 tak ja sakti hai jo retracement limit hai. Agar price isse zyada upar chali jati hai to iska matlab hai ke structure break hone ka potential hai kyunki high prices 0.6613 current minor price pattern structure ke liye invalidation level hain. Jab tak high prices nahi paar hoti, price decline rally ek naya lower low pattern bana sakti hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki nazar se, jiska histogram volume level 0 ke qareeb hai, downtrend momentum mein badlav ka imkaan hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein hain, upward correction ki support ka indication dete hain. Agar parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam rahe, jo overbought zone ki taraf ja raha hai, to downward rally continue rahegi. Aaj US economic data release nahi ho raha, lekin FOMC meeting ke nazdeek hote hue decisions mein zyada ehtiyaat barqarar rakhein.

Setup entry position:

Trading options ko FR 50 - 0.6565 aur FR 61.8 - 0.6576 ke beech re-entry SELL position place karni chahiye bearish trend direction ko follow karte hue. Sabse safe confirmation tab milegi jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone (level 90 - 80) ko cross kare. AO indicator histogram ne downtrend momentum ko negative area ya level 0 ke neeche dikhaya hai. Take profit ka target low prices 0.6517 ke aas paas ya 0.6500 level tak le sakte hain aur stop loss high prices 0.6613 ke aas paas ya 10 - 15 pips upar rakh sakte hain.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Jaisay ke mahine ke pehle do haftay guzhar chuke hain, price ab sideway chal rahi hai, jo ke pichlay do mahino ke price movement ka direction hai. Shuru mein, price ek strong buy zone mein thi jab yeh channels ke middle line aur monthly pivot level se supported thi, magar phir yeh gir gayi aur pivot level break ho gaya. Price niche channel lines tak pahunch kar upar rebound hui, aur ek pin candle banayi, jisne bulls ko umeed di, lekin price phir bhi dar ke sath aur neeche gayi. Jab price channels ke middle lines ko touch kiya, to ek bar phir se pin candle banayi. Friday ke trading ke doran, price ne niche channel line tak pahunch kar upar rebound diya, jo ke ek aur uthane ka moka deta hai. Is ke nateeje mein, price channels ke middle lines aur lower lines ke beech ka area sideways trading ke liye candidate ban gaya hai jab tak inme se koi ek direction break nahi hota.

Agar price support level 0.6555 tak girti hai aur phir se upar aati hai downward trend ko confirm karne ke liye, hum ek successful retest pattern ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar price support level 0.6580 tak pahunchti hai, to hum pair ko bechna shuru kar sakte hain. Buying opportunities 4-hour chart par us waqt mil sakti hain jab price monthly pivot level 0.6510 ke upar do candles ke liye trade karke, agle do candles ke liye uspe stabilize ho. Apna stop loss previous week ke trading ke low point par set karein aur target monthly resistance level 0.6610 par rakhein.

Humari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke ravayya ke bare mein hai. Main AUD/USD pair ko hourly chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Jab pair 0.67905 aur 0.67623 ke darmiyan trade ho raha tha, toh mujhe neeche ke trend ka andaza tha. Yeh pehle high trade kar raha tha triple touch ke sath, phir girna shuru ho gaya. Main ne pair ko overbought samjha, aur girawat ki umeed thi, jo phir hui. Girawat zor daar thi, support level 0.65158 tak pohanch gayi, wapas uth gayi, aur sellers ko volume mila 0.65557 resistance ke qareeb. Maine andaza lagaya tha ke yeh 0.64602 support ko hit karega, aur mera nazariya abhi bhi wahi hai. Four-hour chart par price rollback khatam ho gaya, aur downtrend wapas aagaya. Sales signals clear hain, alligator aur moving average lines downward point kar rahi hain. Price drop ka forecast hai ke yeh 0.64609 level ko test karegi.

Mujhe lagta hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein girta rahega, khaaskar jab price rollback up hoti hai four-hour chart par, jo ek aur sell position ka signal hai. Dono alligator aur envelope lines bearish direction mein hain. Agle hafte ke calculations ke mutabiq 0.64709 level break hone ki umeed hai. Price mid-month se gir rahi hai bina kisi significant pullback ke. Ascending wave structure toot gaya jab current wave of decline ne previous low ko update kiya. MACD indicator ne lower selling zone mein enter kiya, apni signal line se neeche gir gaya. Downward correction ek trend mein tabdeel ho gayi jaisa ke anticipate kiya tha, aur CCI indicator ne peak par bearish divergence dikhayi. MACD ne bhi bearish divergence dikhayi, jo sahi sabit hui. Ascending wedge reversal pattern ne price decline ko confirm kiya. Girawat ke dauran, price ne 0.6576 target level ko hit kiya, jo girawat ko rok sakta tha aur ek upward correction ko prompt kar sakta tha lekin price ne tez girawat ko continue rakha. Lagta hai price main support line se neeche ja rahi hai.

AUD/USD ke qeemat ka jaiza

Hamari tehqiq ka mawdu AUD/USD currency pair ke qeemat ke bartao ka mojudah halaat ka tajziya hai. Jummah ke din, Australian dollar kareeban 0.6549 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis se yeh zahir hota hai ke AUD/USD pair ne descending channel ke neeche drop kiya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke mazboot honay ka ishara de raha hai. 14-day RSI 29 par hai, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke pair oversold hai aur jald correction ka samna kar sakta hai. AUD/USD pair ke liye support qareebi psychological level 0.6499 par hai, aur mazeed support 0.6469 par hai.

Doosri taraf, key resistance descending channel ke lower boundary par 0.6569 par hai, followed by psychological level 0.6599. Agar AUD/USD pair wapas descending channel mein aata hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6622 ka test kar sakta hai.

Agar yeh level break karta hai, to pair descending channel ke upper limit 0.6714 ko test kar sakta hai, jahan se potential target six-month high 0.6797 ko pohanch sakta hai. Overall, bearish correction mukammal ho chuki hai aur upward reversal ke koi signal nahi hain. 0.6546 range ka test karne ke baad, growth jari rehne ki umeed hai. Ek choti si correction ho sakti hai, magar growth uske baad bhi barqarar rehni chahiye. Agar 0.6532 par ek false breakout hota hai aur iske upar foothold milta hai, to yeh ek buy signal hoga.

Mazeed, 0.6569 ka break aur iske upar establish hona bhi ek buy signal hoga. Aam tor par, humne kisi significant correction ka samna nahi kiya, aur mazeed mazbooti ka imkaan hai. Agar growth US session ke doran jari rehti hai, to yeh 0.6569 range ke upar break kar sakta hai, jahan resistance ka imkaan hai.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Jaiza

AUD/USD currency pair filhal 0.6646 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Ye pair, jo Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke beech exchange rate ko represent karta hai, recent mein bearish trend dikhata raha hai. Market participants ne gradually decline dekha hai, jo future movements ke liye concerns aur speculations ko janm de raha hai.

Forex trading mein, bearish trend ka matlab hai ke Australian Dollar ki value US Dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho rahi hai. Is decline ke kaafi factors ho sakte hain. Ek aham factor dono countries ke beech economic disparity hai. US economy zyada robust aur diverse hai, jo aksar AUD/USD pair par downward pressure daalti hai, khaaskar global economic uncertainty ke doran. Current global economic climate, jo inflation concerns, fluctuating commodity prices, aur geopolitical tensions se bhara hua hai, Australian Dollar jese risk-sensitive currencies ke liye favorable nahi hai.

Australia ki economy, jo largely commodity exports, khaaskar China ko, par dependent hai, currency ke value mein aham role play karti hai. Recent data jo China mein slow growth aur reduced commodity demand ko indicate karta hai, ne AUD ko negatively impact kiya hai. Australia ki central bank policies, jo inflation aur economic growth ko manage karne ke liye hoti hain, bhi AUD ki value ko affect kar sakti hain. Agar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) dovish stance le, yani lower interest rates ya monetary easing ka indication de, to ye AUD ko USD ke muqablay mein aur kamzor kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Daily chart par, pair lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai, jo downtrend ka classic indicator hai. Moving averages, jaise 50-day aur 200-day, bearish crossover show kar sakte hain, jo further downside potential ko signal karte hain. Momentum indicators, jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI), bhi lower trend kar rahe hain, jo increased selling pressure ko reflect karta hai.

Halankeh current bearish sentiment ke bawajood, forex markets apni volatility aur sudden, significant movements ke potential ke liye jaane jaate hain. Traders ko possible catalysts par nazar rakhni chahiye jo reversal ko trigger kar sakte hain ya downtrend ko accelerate kar sakte hain. Ek potential catalyst upcoming economic data releases ho sakti hain US aur Australia se. Key indicators, jaise GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur inflation data, economy ke health ko reflect karte hain aur investor sentiment ko influence karte hain.

Geopolitical events aur central bank decisions bhi market reactions ko abruptly lead kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, Federal Reserve ya RBA ki taraf se koi unexpected policy shift AUD/USD pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai. Trade relations, khaaskar major partners jaise China ke sath, bhi Australian Dollar ko significantly impact kar sakte hain.

In factors ke ilawa, traders technical levels jaise support aur resistance zones par bhi nazar rakhte hain. AUD/USD pair ke liye, 0.6600 level crucial support act kar sakta hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche girti hai, to bearish trend accelerate ho sakta hai. Is ke muqablay, 0.6700 resistance level se upar move hone se potential reversal ya kam se kam temporary halt in the downtrend ka indication mil sakta hai.

Current market dynamics aur bearish trend ko dekhte hue, traders ke liye effective risk management strategies ko employ karna zaroori hai. Isme appropriate stop-loss orders set karna, trading portfolio diversify karna, aur global economic developments ke baare mein informed rehna shamil hai.

In conclusion, AUD/USD pair ka current trading level 0.6646 aur iska bearish trend Australian Dollar ke liye challenging environment ko suggest karta hai. Lekin forex market ki inherent volatility ka matlab hai ke significant movements agle dinon mein ho sakti hain. In uncertain times ko navigate karne aur market opportunities ka faida uthane ke liye, traders ko informed rehna aur sound trading strategies employ karna zaroori hai

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ke Liye Technical Analysis Aur Forecast

Is hafte, Australian Dollar (AUD) ka US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein khaas kami dekhi gayi hai, jo recent trend mein ek bara tabdeeli ko darshata hai. Daily chart ka tajziya karte huye, yeh saaf hai ke AUD/USD pair ne unka uchtay huye channel tod diya hai jo ke pehle tha. Yeh technical development yeh darshata hai ke currency pair aage chal kar niche ki taraf ja sakta hai.

Fibonacci retracement levels ko madde nazar rakhte huye, hum yeh ummeed kar sakte hain ke AUD/USD pair shayad 161.8% Fibonacci extension level tak aur niche aa sakta hai. Yeh aham level lagbhag 0.6450 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke February mein tay kiye gaye aham support level ke sath bhi milta hai. Haal ke price movements ne doosre support levels ko bhi clear kar diya hai, isliye yeh 0.6450 level pair ke future direction ke liye ek critical point hai.

Friday ke trading session mein, AUD/USD pair ne apne major peers ke muqablay mein girawat dekhi, jo ke pichle do din ke faide ko ulat diya. Week ke shuruat mein pair ne 0.6570 tak chadhayi ki thi, lekin iska uchtay huye momentum US Treasury yields ke barhne se ruk gaya, jisne US dollar ko majbooti di. Trading din ke khatam hone ke baad, AUD/USD 0.6550 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. US Treasury yields ke barhne se Australian dollar par niche ki taraf pressure pada, kyunki investors ne apna dhyan majboot hota hua USD par shift kar diya. Yeh development yeh darshata hai ke US economic indicators currency pair movements ko kitna asar daal rahe hain, aur forex trading strategies par inke potential impacts ke baare mein updated rehna kitna zaroori hai. AUD/USD ka recent highs se retreat currency markets ki volatility aur global economic factors ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai jo exchange rates ko shape karte hain.

Short term mein, price kuch consolidation ya stabilization ka samna kar sakti hai jab yeh recent changes ke saath adjust hoti hai. Lekin, agar current momentum barqarar raha, to yeh stabilization overall bearish outlook ko nahi badal sakti. Traders ko 0.6450 support level ko nazar rakna chahiye, kyunki is point se niche break hona deeper bearish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair mein trading karne walon ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke ongoing technical signals aur market developments ke baare mein updated raha jaye. Yeh accurate predictions aur timely trading decisions banane mein madad karega. Hamesha ki tarah, technical indicators aur broader market factors ko dhyan mein rakhna successful trading strategies ke liye crucial hai.