جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBPJPY currency pair ka jaiza lete hain, jab ke trading week ke zyada tar hisson mein bikri hukoomat karti rahi. Sirf haftay ke aaghaz mein thoda bohat izafa dekhne ko mila, lekin uske baad girawat ka silsila jari raha jo haftay ke aakhir tak barqarar tha. Kuch din aise bhi thay jahan din ke andar rollback hua, lekin har dafa bikri ne qeemat ko aur neechay gira diya. Wave structure ne apna order neeche ki taraf bana liya hai, aur MACD indicator bhi girawat ka signal de raha hai, jo ke neechay sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Mera khayal hai ke ye girawat general downward trend ke saath jari rahegi. Girawat ka target guzishta August ka minimum hai. Shorter time periods par kaam karte hue sirf downward trades karni chahiye jab girawat ke mutabiq formations banain.
Yeh mumkin hai ke seedha neeche na jaya jaye, iska ishara CCI indicator de raha hai jo ke lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle ek corrective growth ho sakti hai jo ke qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak jaye. Agar ye rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb sale formation ka intezar karna chahiye, misaal ke taur par M15 par, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Phir aapko chhoti timeframe mein entry milegi jo ke bade level par mabni hogi. Lekin main khareedari ka mashwara nahi doon ga kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakti hai aur phir general trend ke mutabiq neeche chali jaye gi, khaaskar jab ke overall market mein pound kamzor ho raha hai.
Aakhri girawat se pehle, ek correction ke baad qareebi mazboot resistance level 189.16 tak izafa ho sakta hai. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb aap sale ka formation dekh sakte hain choti timeframes par, jaise ke M15, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho. Is tarah aap ek chote level par entry karenge jo ke ek bade level se support hoti hai. Asal mein, isi qisam ke transactions ki jani chahiye, jisme choti level par entry ho jo ke bare level se supported ho. Magar main buy nahi karunga, kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakte hain aur phir neeche chale jayenge asal trend ke sath, khas tor par jab pound market mein mazid kamzor ho raha hai.
Yahan hum yeh andaza laga sakte hain ke agar August ke neeche ka level renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek growth ka signal milega — ek bullish divergence banegi. Magar abhi is bare mein baat karna jaldi hoga. Halaat ke mutabiq, pichlay kuch dino mein price neeche pressure mein rahi, jaise ke expected tha.

GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain

GBPJPY currency pair ka jaiza lete hain, jab ke trading week ke zyada tar hisson mein bikri hukoomat karti rahi. Sirf haftay ke aaghaz mein thoda bohat izafa dekhne ko mila, lekin uske baad girawat ka silsila jari raha jo haftay ke aakhir tak barqarar tha. Kuch din aise bhi thay jahan din ke andar rollback hua, lekin har dafa bikri ne qeemat ko aur neechay gira diya. Wave structure ne apna order neeche ki taraf bana liya hai, aur MACD indicator bhi girawat ka signal de raha hai, jo ke neechay sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Mera khayal hai ke ye girawat general downward trend ke saath jari rahegi. Girawat ka target guzishta August ka minimum hai. Shorter time periods par kaam karte hue sirf downward trades karni chahiye jab girawat ke mutabiq formations banain. Yeh mumkin hai ke seedha neeche na jaya jaye, iska ishara CCI indicator de raha hai jo ke lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle ek corrective growth ho sakti hai jo ke qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak jaye. Agar ye rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb sale formation ka intezar karna chahiye, misaal ke taur par M15 par, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Phir aapko chhoti timeframe mein entry milegi jo ke bade level par mabni hogi. Lekin main khareedari ka mashwara nahi doon ga kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakti hai aur phir general trend ke mutabiq neeche chali jaye gi, khaaskar jab ke overall market mein pound kamzor ho raha hai.
Aakhri girawat se pehle, ek correction ke baad qareebi mazboot resistance level 189.16 tak izafa ho sakta hai. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb aap sale ka formation dekh sakte hain choti timeframes par, jaise ke M15, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho. Is tarah aap ek chote level par entry karenge jo ke ek bade level se support hoti hai. Asal mein, isi qisam ke transactions ki jani chahiye, jisme choti level par entry ho jo ke bare level se supported ho. Magar main buy nahi karunga, kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakte hain aur phir neeche chale jayenge asal trend ke sath, khas tor par jab pound market mein mazid kamzor ho raha hai.
Yahan hum yeh andaza laga sakte hain ke agar August ke neeche ka level renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek growth ka signal milega — ek bullish divergence banegi. Magar abhi is bare mein baat karna jaldi hoga. Halaat ke mutabiq, pichlay kuch dino mein price neeche pressure mein rahi, jaise ke expected tha.

GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain
Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai
Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Wasee tor par geopolitical events aur market sentiment GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain
Aakhir mein Friday ki price movement se doji candle bani. Agar is waqt buyers resistance 0.8436 ko break karne mein successful hote hain, to price ke higher positive movement ka chance hai jiska target daily resistance 0.8477 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ye fail hota hai, to price 0.8410 ke area tak wapas aa sakti hai aur agar ye area bhi break hota hai, to bearish gap khul sakta hai aur weakening dobara dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily abhi bhi down point kar rahe hain jo price movement ke negative hone ki indication hai. EMA 200 daily jo price movement ke upar hai, daily trend ko bearish dikhata hai. Stochastic daily market conditions ko oversold ki taraf indicate kar raha hai. Is situation se lagta hai ke price correction phase mein enter kar sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne dosray din bhi apne nuqsanat ko barqarar rakha, aur Wednesday ke European trading session ke dauran yeh 185.00 level ke aas-paas trade ho raha tha. Japanese yen (JPY) ki taqat mein izafa dekhne ko mila BoJ (Bank of Japan) Governing Council ke rukun Junko Nagakawa ke comments ke baad. Unho ne ishara diya ke agar economy aur prices unki umeedon ke mutabiq rahe, toh central bank apni monetary easing policies mein tabdeeli kar sakta hai. July mein interest rates barhane ke bawajood, asal interest rates abhi bhi negative hain, aur monetary conditions supportive hain. Agar long-term interest rates mein izafa hota hai, toh BoJ apni gradual easing plans ko apne aanay walay policy meeting mein dobara dekh sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, UK se anay walay economic data ne aur ziada dabao dala hai. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya ke UK ka gross domestic product (GDP) July mein growth dikhane mein nakam raha, aur June mein bhi stagnation dekhne ko mili. Market expectations ke bar'aks, jo ke 0.2% growth umeed ki gayi thi, yeh figure niche raha. Iske ilawa, services index bhi 0.6% tak bara July mein, jo ke peechlay 0.8% se kam tha. Is economic slow-down ne yeh expectations barha di hain ke Bank of England (BoE) November mein 25 basis points ka interest rate cut kar sakta hai. Kuch traders to December mein bhi mazeed rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain. UK ka trade deficit bhi barh gaya hai aur July mein £7.514 billion par pohanch gaya hai, jabke June mein yeh sirf £5.324 billion tha. Import aur export dono mein kami hui hai, jo trade ke kamzor honay ka ishara hai.

Iske bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ne kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ke session ke baad yeh 186.00 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Hafta ke aghaz mein, yeh 183.70 tak gir gaya tha lekin ek "hammer" candle banayi, jo ke bullish reversal ka ishara tha. Magar agar aaj ka close 185.00-185.65 se neeche hota hai, toh yeh candlestick pattern apna maqsad pura nahi kar payega, khas tor par jab RSI aur Stochastics oversold territory mein hain. Agar bearish momentum barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY dobara August ka low 183.00 retest kar sakta hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price 182.00 par support trend line ko bhi touch kar sakta hai. Agar yeh bottom toot gaya, toh sell-off aur ziada tezi se psychological level 180 ya phir 179.00 uptrend line tak ja sakta hai jo ke pehli dafa Q1 2023 mein dekha gaya tha.

Bullish side par, GBP/JPY ne teen din tak gain dikhaye hain, aur August 5 ke low se kareeban 4% recover kiya hai. Market volatility mein kuch kami dekhne ko mili hai lekin low liquidity ab bhi price movements ko barha rahi hai. Ab investors ka focus UK ke aanay wale CPI report par hai, jo agle haftay release hogi aur GBP sentiment par asar dal sakti hai.

Technical indicators se bhi bullish bias ko support mil raha hai. Average Directional Index (ADX) sideways move kar raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor honay ka ishara hai. RSI apni midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai, aur Stochastic oscillator bhi apni moving average se upar ja raha hai aur oversold zone se bahar nikal raha hai, jo ke bullish move ko aur ziada reinforce kar raha hai. Agar yeh bullish momentum barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ka low 189.61 ko target kar sakta hai, uske baad resistance zone 192.57 aur 193.60 ke darmiyan aayega, jo ke July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke darmiyan mark hota hai.

Akhir kar, GBP/JPY ka rukh kai factors par depend karega, jaise ke BoJ ki monetary policy decisions, UK ka economic data, aur global geopolitical developments. Traders ko in tamam events par nazar rakhni chahiye jo aage chal kar market ko asar mein le aayengi.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya , jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka kabaro 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai . Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye

GBP/JPY pair ne kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ke session ke baad yeh 186.00 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Hafta ke aghaz mein, yeh 183.70 tak gir gaya tha lekin ek "hammer" candle banayi, jo ke bullish reversal ka ishara tha. Magar agar aaj ka close 185.00-185.65 se neeche hota hai, toh yeh candlestick pattern apna maqsad pura nahi kar payega, khas tor par jab RSI aur Stochastics oversold territory mein hain. Agar bearish momentum barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY dobara August ka low 183.00 retest kar sakta hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh price 182.00 par support trend line ko bhi touch kar sakta hai. Agar yeh bottom toot gaya, toh sell-off aur ziada tezi se psychological level 180 ya phir 179.00 uptrend line tak ja sakta hai jo ke pehli dafa Q1 2023 mein dekha gaya tha.
Bullish side par, GBP/JPY ne teen din tak gain dikhaye hain, aur August 5 ke low se kareeban 4% recover kiya hai. Market volatility mein kuch kami dekhne ko mili hai lekin low liquidity ab bhi price movements ko barha rahi hai. Ab investors ka focus UK ke aanay wale CPI report par hai, jo agle haftay release hogi aur GBP sentiment par asar dal sakti hai.
Technical indicators se bhi bullish bias ko support mil raha hai. Average Directional Index (ADX) sideways move kar raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor honay ka ishara hai. RSI apni midpoint ki taraf barh raha hai, aur Stochastic oscillator bhi apni moving average se upar ja raha hai aur oversold zone se bahar nikal raha hai, jo ke bullish move ko aur ziada reinforce kar raha hai. Agar yeh bullish momentum barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ka low 189.61 ko target kar sakta hai, uske baad resistance zone 192.57 aur 193.60 ke darmiyan aayega, jo ke July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke darmiyan mark hota hai.
GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain
Aakhir mein Friday ki price movement se doji candle bani. Agar is waqt buyers resistance 0.8436 ko break karne mein successful hote hain, to price ke higher positive movement ka chance hai jiska target daily resistance 0.8477 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ye fail hota hai, to price 0.8410 ke area tak wapas aa sakti hai aur agar ye area bhi break hota hai, to bearish gap khul sakta hai aur weakening dobara dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily abhi bhi down point kar rahe hain jo price movement ke negative hone ki indication hai. EMA 200 daily jo price movement ke upar hai, daily trend ko bearish dikhata hai. Stochastic daily market conditions ko oversold ki taraf indicate kar raha hai. Is situation se lagta hai ke price correction phase mein enter kar sakti hai.

**Mukhtasir Tajziya:**

Is data ke mad-e-nazar, market ko ab yeh nahi lagta ke 50-basis-point cut mumkin hai. Yeh baat pehli dafa August ke shuru mein discuss hui thi jab unemployment aur labor market reports ne kamzor nateeje diye the. Magar, ab ummeedain stabilise ho chuki hain, aur sirf 30% chance hai ke 50-point cut hoga. Lekin market ne already aise move ko price in kar liya tha, toh ab sirf aik corrective wave set nahi chahiye, balki expectations ki dobara jaiza leni ki zaroorat hai. News kuch bhi ho, yeh pair ko indefinitely upar nahi le ja sakti. Ab ek paanch-wave structure ban chuka hai, toh mein expect karta hoon ke aik corrective wave set with targets zaroori hai.

**Bari Scale Par Analysis:**

Pound/yen pair ke bade scale par, ek uptrend continue kar raha hai. August 5 ke baad se corrective decline ke baad, ek upward wave jo reversal potential rakhti hai, strong resistance ke lower boundary se develop ho rahi hai. Is wave ka middle section (B) apne completion ke qareeb hai. Chart par kisi imminent reversal ke koi signals abhi tak nazar nahi aa rahe.

Market lagta hai ke Federal Reserve ke monetary easing ke scale ko overestimate kar raha hai, jo 2024 mein 112bps ke reduction ki demand kar raha hai. Ideal situation mein, is saal 75bps ki cut honi chahiye. Agar aisa hota hai, toh US dollar phir se play mein aa jayega jaise ke pehle quarter mein hua tha. Is ke muqabil, Bank of England ke monetary policy easing ka expected pace bohot slow lag raha hai. Saal ke end tak 40bps? Ek step of 25bps aur shayad ek doosra bhi? Kya yeh itna kam hai ek aise country ke liye jahan inflation already 2% target ko hit kar chuki hai?

**Weekly Forecast:**

Haftay ke shuru mein, support zone ke aas-paas sideways movement continue hone ke imkaan hain. Weekend ke qareeb, volatility barh sakti hai, aur direction mein tabdeeli bhi ho sakti hai. Lower boundary of support ka brief breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Reversal ka timing important economic data release se mil sakta hai.

**Potential Reversal Zones

reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab taClick image

aders ko bohat se mokay faraham kar raha hai ke wo is bullish momentum ka faida utha sakein. Support level jo 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan hai, is uptrend ke continuation ke liye bohat ahem hai. Yeh range aik mazboot buniyad ki tarah kaam karti hai jo price ko aur neeche girne se rokta hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajhna zaroori hai taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 ke critical support zone ke ooper hai, traders bullish strength ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ko analyze karte waqt yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke support levels kitne ahem hain. 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan ka range aik aisi barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai jo current uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar price is range se neeche jata hai, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke bullish trend kamzor ho raha hai ya reversal ho sakta hai. Magar jab tak price is support zone ke ooper hai, bullish sentiment dominate karta rahega. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apni positions ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
GBP/JPY ka agla target yeh hai ke 206.380 ka level touch aur cross kiya jaye. Is level tak pohanchna current uptrend ki strength ko confirm karega aur traders ke liye short-term ka aik wazeh goal banega. Agar price ne yeh resistance level decisively break kar diya, toh yeh bullish momentum ko maintain aur accelerate karne mein bohat ahem hoga. Traders ko dips ke dauran long positions enter karne ke mauqay dekhne chahiye, aur initial target 206.380 hona chahiye.

reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab taClick image

feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Wasee tor par geopolitical events aur market sentiment GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur exchange rate

reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab taClick image

reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab taClick image

GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai
Geopolitical aur Market Sentiment: Wasee tor par geopolitical events aur market sentiment GBP/JPY pair par asar dal sakte hain. Aise events jaise ke political developments, trade negotiations, ya global risk sentiment mein changes, investor behavior ko mutasir kar sakte hain
Aakhir mein Friday ki price movement se doji candle bani. Agar is waqt buyers resistance 0.8436 ko break karne mein successful hote hain, to price ke higher positive movement ka chance hai jiska target daily resistance 0.8477 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar ye fail hota hai, to price 0.8410 ke area tak wapas aa sakti hai aur agar ye area bhi break hota hai, to bearish gap khul sakta hai aur weakening dobara dekhne ko mil sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily abhi bhi down point kar rahe hain jo price movement ke negative hone ki indication hai. EMA 200 daily jo price movement ke upar hai, daily trend ko bearish dikhata hai. Stochastic daily market conditions ko oversold ki taraf indicate kar raha hai. Is situation se lagta hai ke price correction phase mein enter kar sakti hai.