جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj GBP/JPY market mein bechnay ka moqa hai. Kyunki khareednay walay apni qeemat kho chukay hain MBP Official Bank Volte aur Streak data ke aane ke baad. Mazeed, GBP/JPY market ka mojooda manzar ek bechne wale market ko darust karti hai. Mukhtalif metrics aur indicators bechne walon ki taraf zyada pasand ka izhar karte hain. Ye tasawwur mukhtalif ilmi nuktae nazar mein mojood hai, chahe koi tajziyati tehqiq mein gharri ya asaani ke aham kardaar par ghoortay hain. Haqeeqatan, aane wala hafta bhi bara aham events se bharpoor lag raha hai, utsalar wo jo US dollar ke qeemat par asar daal sakte hain jab hafta ikhtitam ko pohnchega. Aise events aksar jazbati tor par asraat dalte hain, tawazun ko hila kar market ke daramad ko dobara shakal dete hain. GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, humehtawaranaqi aur 192.68 par apna munafa lena chahiye. Abhi, market ka mahaul narmi aur maqilta ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai, halat mein izafa hone ke bawajood. Karobari afkaar ko narmi aur maxilta ke sath rakha jana chahiye jab tak market tabdeel nahi hoti. Halankeh muttafiq nazar abhi bechnay walon ki taraf hai, lekin market ke sharaet hamesha tabdeel ho rahi hain aur kisi bhi waqt tabdeel ho sakti hain. Is natije mein, risk management ka proactive approach rakhna aur market mein tabdilio par mutasir rehna lambe arzi trading mein kamiyabi ke liye ahem hai. Umeed hai ke aaj bechnay walay GBP/JPY market mein qabu hasil karenge. Mazeed, market ke bunyadi asoolon ka perfect samajhana ajziyat ka aghaz hai haalat ke complexities ko samajhne ke liye. Aakhir mein, mojooda business market ka mahol bechne walon ki taraf wazeh tor par zahir hai, jise mukhtalif ilmi darustiyan aur badi ahmiyat ke ahem elements ne highlight kiya hai. Ye manzar aik strategic strategy ko zaroori banata hai jo karobari tehqiq mein bechne wale faislon par zor deti hai aur naye moqay aur khatron par nazar rakhne ke liye tayyar rehti hai. Humain dekhna chahiye ke kuch ghanton mein GBP/JPY market mein kya hoga

GBP/JPY ka resistance level, jo ke 188.226 par hai, uski qeemat ka ulta rukh lena forex traders ke liye kafi ahem hota hai. Yeh woh point hota hai jahan traders ko market ka behavior analyze karke trading decisions lena hota hai. Jab market resistance level ko top se neeche tak test karta hai, toh yeh ek indication hai ke buyers ki taqat kamzor ho rahi hai aur sellers market control mein hain. Resistance level ko toorna ya neeche se guzarna ek significant event hai kyunki yeh indicate karta hai ke market ke dynamics mein tabdeeli aanay wali hai. Is situation mein, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ke further movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar GBP/JPY ka resistance level 188.226 par se neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek bearish signal hai aur traders ko downward movement ka expectation hota hai.

Technical analysis ka istemal karte hue traders ko yeh samajhna hota hai ke market ka trend kis direction mein ja raha hai aur unhein apni trading strategies ko adjust karna hota hai. Resistance level ko break hona market sentiment ko reflect karta hai aur traders ko future price movement ke baare mein idea deta hai. Forex traders ko resistance level ko closely observe karna chahiye kyunki yeh ek important price point hai jahan market ka direction change ho sakta hai. Agar resistance level successfully break hota hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal hota hai aur traders ko upward movement ka expectation hota hai. Lekin agar resistance level ko neeche se guzara jata hai, toh yeh ek bearish signal hai aur traders ko downward movement ka expectation hota hai.

Isliye, forex traders ko resistance level ko top se neeche tak test karne ke baad market ka behavior closely observe karna chahiye aur apni trading decisions ko uske mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Technical analysis ke through traders ko market ke patterns aur trends ko samajhne mein madad milti hai, jo ke unhein sahi trading decisions lene mein help karta hai.

GBJPY DAILY TIME FRAME


Aaj GBP/JPY market mein bechnay ka moqa hai, kyunke khareednay walay apni qeemat kho chukay hain MBP Official Bank Volte aur Streak data ke aane ke baad. Mazeed, GBP/JPY market ka mojooda manzar ek bechne wale market ko darust karti hai. Mukhtalif metrics aur indicators bechne walon ki taraf zyada pasand ka izhar karte hain. Ye tasawwur mukhtalif ilmi nuktae nazar mein mojood hai, chahe koi tajziyati tehqiq mein gharri ya asaani ke aham kardaar par ghoortay hain.GBP/JPY market mein bechnay ka moqa is waqt hai kyunke traders ko lagta hai ke khareednay walay apni qeemat kho chukay hain, khaaskar MBP Official Bank Volte aur Streak data ke aane ke baad. Jab market mein kisi currency pair ki keemat girne lagti hai, toh traders ko bechnay ka moqa nazar aata hai taake woh apni nuksan se bach sakein.





Mojooda manzar ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY market ek bechne wale market ko darust karti hai. Yeh isliye ho sakta hai ke mukhtalif metrics aur indicators bechne walon ki taraf zyada pasand ka izhar karte hain, jaise ke technical analysis indicators, economic indicators, aur market sentiment.Is scenario mein, tajziyati tehqiqat ke doran gharri ya asaani ke aham kardaar par ghoortay jana zaroori hai. Tajziyati tehqiqat, traders ko market ke mukhtalif pahluon ko samajhne aur sahi trading decisions lene mein madad karti hai. Gharri ya asaani ke aham kardaar, jaise ke technical analysis ke indicators aur economic indicators, traders ko market ka manzar samajhne aur future price movements ka andaza lagane mein madad karte hain.Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY market mein bechnay ka moqa traders ke liye ek aham faisla hai, lekin is faislay ko samajhne aur sahi trading strategy banane ke liye tajziyati tehqiqat aur ilmi nuktae nazar ka ghoor zaroori hai. Is tarah ke situations mein, traders ko hoshiyar aur flexible rehna chahiye taake woh market ke mukhtalif challenges ka saamna kar sakein aur apne trades ko kamzorion se bacha sakein.

GBP/JPY currency pair

GBP/JPY currency pair ne ek nau saal ka unchaai pe pohanchne ke baad thoda sa peechay hat gaya hai, lekin analysts ka khayal hai ke yeh overall uptrend mein hai. Jodi ne 193.55 tak unchaai haasil ki phir 190.69 tak wapas aaya, 0.61% ki kami ke saath. Chhote se giravat ke bawajood, kai factors darust karte hain ke GBP/JPY pair ab bhi ek upar ki raftar mein hai. Tenkan aur Kijun-Sen rekhaein, jo trends ka pata lagane ke liye technical analysis mein istemal hoti hain, 190.75 par ekaththe ho rahi hain, jodi ko support farah dete hain aur uski nuksan ko had tak rokte hain. Iske alawa, 191.00 ke upar ek break aur bhi zyada fawaid ka ishara ho sakta hai, agle resistance level 192.23 aur phir 193.00 hai. Dusri taraf, agar bikri karne wale qeemat ko 190.00 ke neeche daba dete hain, jo 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur uptrend line ke saath milta hai, to jodi ko aur giravat ka samna kar sakta hai. Is level ke neeche girna, keemat ko mansoobi level 189.00 tak girne ke khatre ko dekhega.

Technical indicators bhi mukhtalif signals farah kar rahe hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) 70 tak pohanch kar neeche ja raha hai, jo ek potential pullback ka ishara karta hai. Magar, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) apne trigger aur zero lines ke oopar hai, kuch baqi rahay hui bullish momentum ka ishara karte hue. Agar bearish trend jaari rahe, to agla major support level 189.10 par hoga, jo 50-day moving average hai. Is level ke neeche girna, keemat ko seedha 188.00 tak girne ka dekha jaa sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar bull logon ko phir se control mil gaya, to jodi apni pichhli saalon ki unchai 193.55 tak pahunch sakti hai. Ek aur unchaai ise 194.80 tak le jaa sakti hai, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension level hai. Iske baad, June 2015 ki unchai 195.90 tak pahunchna mumkin hai. Overall, GBP/JPY ke liye lambi taur par dekha jaaye to manfi hai. Magar, 184.70, jo 200-day moving average hai, ke neeche ek ahem support level ko toorna, short-term trend mein ek zyada neutral stance ka ishara kar sakta hai.

Mehnat ka nateeja, ab tak indicator ki tameer ka badal sakta hai, jis se keemat ke andarat ki jaanch ko adjust kiya ja sakta hai. Keemat ke harkat ko mantaq ka point, jo ke ab [mean value daalen] par hai, ke hawale se shadid tor par dekhna ahem hai. Inn maamlaat ke roshni mein, behtar faislon ko hushyari se dekhna zaroori hai. Mushwara diya jata hai ke halat ka mukammal jayza lein, aur long position qaim karne ka moqa haasil karein. Sarkari nishaanay par aik munaqqid had tak meel hai jo ke [target price daalen] par hai, bunyadi hai. Lekin, is nishaanay ko tajziya karte waqt iske minor tabdil hone ki sambhavna ko tasleem karna ahem hai. Is tarz e harkat ko apne muqarrar maean ke hawale se qayam rakhte hue keemat ki harkat ko hifazati tor par dekhna wajib hai, jo ke ab [mean value daalen] par hai. In ahem tafseelat ke liye, bazaar ke rukhon ko dekhte hue aur maloomati faislon ko dhoranay ke sath anjam dena behtareen hai.
Mausam ke halat ka tajziya karne ke baad, saaf ho jata hai ke mojooda trading level long position qaim karne ke liye ek faida mand dakhla nikaalta hai. Is waqt, ek mumkin nishana ka pehchan karna aham hai, jo filhal ishara ke chhat par pehchana gaya hai, jo [nishaan daam daalain] par rakha gaya hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke is nishana ko chand tajziyon ke doran tarmeem hone ki soorat mein tabdeel hone ka aghaz kiya ja sakta hai, jisse daam ki tafseelat mein tabdeel karne ki zaroorat hoti hai. Daam ke tehqiqati mayaar ke sath keemat ke harkaat ka chokas rehna, jo filhal [maday ke mean value daalain] par rakha gaya hai, bunyadi hai. In ghoron ko madinay se rakhte hue, mandi ke trends ka dhyan se mutalia karna aur mutabiq faislay ada karna mashoor hai.

GBPJPY D1 waqt frame chart par. Mardi ke trading ke doran qeemat ki hareef candles patli jism aur chhote upper aur lower shadows ke saath zahir hui hain. Raasta ab bhi bullish hai, jahan 200 EMA abhi bhi qeemat ke harkat se bohot door hai. Is ke ilawa, mazeed trend ka pata EMA 12 aur EMA 36 se chala jata hai, jo ke oopar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Pehle, kharidariyon ne qeemat ko dominat karne ke liye kaafi taqatwar thi, jis se ek musbat harkat aayi jab tak rozana 193.16 ki resistance tak pohanch gayi. Magar, is ilaake tak pohanchne ke baad, ek ulta chalan waqiya hua jisme qeemat ab negativetarz par harkat kar rahi hai ek chhote se muddati bearish correction daur ka hissa ban kar. Indicator bar musbat zone mein hai, jahan bar ka size kam hota ja raha hai. Is ke ilawa, stochastic abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jabke line ka ikhtitam thoda sa oopar mordha hua hai. Yeh tajwez hai ke agar qeemat 191.66 ke oopar chal sake to izafa dohraega jis ka maqsad 193.16 ki rozana resistance hai. Is ke ilawa, agar yeh ilaqa ab bhi dakhil na ho sake aur manfi harkat hoti hai, to 190.70 ka ilaqa kharidarun ke liye ek imtehaan ka ilaqa hoga taake D1 waqt frame par lambi muddat ki correction ka hisaab dene ke liye, khaaskar agar yeh neeche ki taraf ishara karne aur qeemat resistance 189.74 tak pohanchne ka imkan hota hai.
GBPJPY H4 waqt frame chart par, is jodi ki qeemat puray din ke doran paas-paas thi. H4 waqt frame par koi zahir harkat nahi hai, lekin qeemat ab bhi ek bohot tang jagah mein upar neeche hoti hai. Ye haalat buyers ke koshishon ko mutasir karne ka lafz lagati hai jo qeemat ko unhone pehle ke maanday ko upar laane ki koshish ki thi. Kharidarun ki himmat ab bhi qeemat ko 191.66 ke upper barrier se bahar le jaane mein qamyab nahi ho saki. Is ke ilawa, yeh muwazna haqeeqat mein pehle ke maanday ke amreeki session se chal raha hai. Mangal ki subah, qeemat abhi tak nazar aa rahi thi jab tak market amreeki session mein band nahi hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36, jo pehle ek upar ki taraf crossover bana rahe the, ab qeemat ke harkat ke baad jo ke abhi bhi badi tabdeeliyan nahi kar rahe hain, flat nazar aate hain. Trend abhi bhi bullish ko darust kar raha hai EMA 200 H4 ki jagah mein hai

#GBP/JPY H4

British Pound - Japanese Yen. Currency pair/instrument ki takhliqi tajziya Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ka istemal karke ek bearish sentiment ko darust sabit karta hai jo market mein mojood hai. Heiken Ashi candle indicator, jo mojooda market forces ko dikhata hai, charts par shor ko halka karke takhliqi tajziya mein madad karta hai aur trading faislon ki darusti aur durusti ko barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (lal, neela aur peela rangon ke lines) support aur resistance lines banata hai jo do dafa smooth kardi gayi moving averages par mabni hoti hain aur mojooda instrument ki movement ki hadood ko effectively dikhata hai. Ek madadgar oscillator jo Heiken Ashi ke saath behtareen tarah se kaam karta hai, RSI indicator lagoo hota hai.

Pesh kiye gaye chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke candles surkhi mein badal gaye hain, jo ke bechne walon ki taraf ehd e qayam ko darust karta hai. Qeemat ne upper channel boundary (neela dotted line) ko guzar diya, maximum point se dhakka khaya, channel mein wapas aaya, aur mazeed apne darmiyaney line (peela dotted line) ki taraf rawana hua. Isi doran, RSI oscillator bhi bechne ka signal poori tarah se tasdeeq karta hai, kyun ke is ka curve abhi neeche ki taraf rawana ho raha hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Hum ek short selling position kholte hain taake market ke quotes kam az kam lower channel boundary (surkhi dotted line) tak pohanchen jo ke price level 189.266 par hai. Phir, hum position ko breakeven par le ja sakte hain aur mazeed munafa barhne ka intezaar karte hain.

(GBP/JPY)

Pichle haftay ke trading mein, British pound ka exchange rate Japanese yen ke khilaf (GBP/JPY) Bank of Japan ke policy decision ke baad barha aur 8 saalon ke uchcham maamalon tak pahunch gaya, 193.50 ke resistance level ke upar, jahan par shuru mein hi ek bahut chhoti trading week ke shuruaat par 190.85 ke aaspaas samapt hua. Bank of Japan ne apni negative interest rate policy ko khatam kiya aur 17 saal baad pehli bar rates ko 0.0-0.1% ke darmiyan badha diya. Yield control policy bhi band kar di gayi hai, haalaanki bank bond ko control mein rakhne ke liye bond khareedne ka kaam jaari rakhegi. BoJ Governor Ueda ne is par comment kiya, kaha: "Humne dekha hai ke 2% ka sustainable inflation target ane wala hai. "Vistrit Mudra Aarambh ne apna maksad poora kiya hai."

Credit Agricole Bank ke mutabiq; "Bank of Japan ne apne nazariye ko banaye rakha ke arthvyavastha mein ummedwar halaat hai, lekin arthvyavastha mein kuch kamzori ko bhi dekha gaya hai. Yeh, hamare arthshastra ke anusar, yeh yeh nahi darshata ke Bank of Japan kai bar interest rates ko badha sakta hai.

Magar MUFG Bank ko yeh manna nahi hai ke Japanese yen ko bechna jaayaz hai; "Hum yeh nahi mante ke pehli market ki pratikriya aane wale ka kuch darshata hai. Haqeeqat yeh hai ke guidance ko aksar manobal se chhoda gaya hai tak ke flexibility mil sake. Haalaanki, Governor Ueda ne bhi saaf kaha ke upside inflation ke khatre aur/ya mazboot economic data aane par bhavishya mein aur interest rates ko badhane ka signal milega.

Unhone yeh bhi kaha; "BOJ ab mukhya roop se arthik data par nirbhar hai jo BOJ ke reaction function mein bada parivartan hai aur ismein aur FX volatility ka rasta khulta hai jo in majboot yen star par carry yen positions ko aage badhne se rokta hai."

ING Bank ke mutabiq; "Haal ki khabren yeh dikhate hain ke aur rate hikes hone ke khatre hai ab jab wages aur prices ke behtar rishte ka tasdeeq ho gaya hai."

MUFG Bank ne paas ke samay mein aur yen bechni ki sambhavna par nazar rakhi hai, khaaskar agar Fed se ek hawkish stance aur US bond yields ki badhotri aaye. Haalaanki, bank ko yeh ummeed hai ke Japanese currency aakhir mein zyada takat haasil karegi. ING ne bhi paas ke samay mein yen ko bechne ke khatron par nazar rakha; Unhone kaha, "Haalaanki, Japanese yen ke saath samasya yeh hai ke volatility ab bhi vyaktigat roop se kam hai aur carry trading bahut lokpriya hai. USD/JPY abhi 150-152 ki range mein ho sakta hai (Tokyo ke lok boJ ke USD/JPY ko 155 ke darje tak bechne par kadam nahi uthayenge)."

Magar, Commerzbank ko yeh manta hai ke Japanese yen ko samarthan dene ke liye aur bhi upaay chahiye. Unhone kaha, "Sirf agar Bank of Japan aur rate hikes ke baare mein ishaare kare, jo ke ek asli rate hike cycle ka sanket de sakta hai, to yen ko zyada faida hoga." Baaki sab kuch kuch hafton ke comments ke baad keemat mein daali gayi hai.

Credit Agricole ne yen ko samarthan dene ki sambhavnaon ka zikr kiya, khaaskar US Federal Reserve ki mudra neeti ki baithak ke sath.

Ek aur star par, arthik calendar data

GBP/JPY ke mamlay mein, humehtawaranaqi aur 192.62 par apna munafa lena chahiye. GBP/JPY currency pair, jo British Pound aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan ki exchange rate ko darust karta hai, forex traders ke liye aik ahem pas-e-parda hota hai. Ye currency pair kai factors par mabni hota hai, jaise ki economic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Humehtawaranaqi (volatility) forex trading mein aham hai, kyun ke zyada volatility wale markets mein zyada opportunities hoti hain munafa kamane ki. GBP/JPY typically zyada volatile hai compared to other currency pairs, jiska matlab hai ke ismein trading karne waale traders ko zyada fluctuations ka samna karna padta hai. Humehtawaranaqi ki wajah se, traders ko apni strategy ko adjust karke is currency pair par trade karna chahiye. Jab bhi trading ki baat aati hai, risk management ka khayal rakhna bohot zaroori hai. Jab aap kisi trade par enter karte hain, aapko apne stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko tay karna chahiye, taki aapko apni trading capital ko protect karne ka mauqa mil sake. Humehtawaranaqi ke hawale se, stop-loss levels ko thayn karne mein flexibility honi chahiye, taake aap market ke fluctuations ke tehat apne positions ko manage kar sakein. 192.62 par apna munafa lena, yaani ke take-profit level tay karna, trading strategy ka ek ahem hissa hai. Ye level aapke trading plan aur risk tolerance par depend karta hai. Agar aapko lagta hai ke 192.62 aapki target rate hai jahan par aap profit book karna chahte hain, toh aapko apne trading plan ke mutabiq us level ko set karna chahiye. Lekin, yehan tak ke aapko kya yeh level reasonable hai ya nahi, ispe market analysis aur apne trading goals ka dhyan dena hoga. Technical analysis aur fundamental analysis ka istemal karke aap market ke trend ko samajh sakte hain aur future price movements ke liye forecasts bana sakte hain. Iske alawa, sentiment analysis bhi aapko market ke mood aur direction ke baare mein information provide kar sakta hai. Ant mein, forex trading mein safalta hasil karne ke liye, aapko patience, discipline, aur constant learning ki zaroorat hoti hai. Har trade se aap kuch na kuch seekh sakte hain, aur apne mistakes se improvement karke aage badh sakte hain. Aur yaad rakhein, har trading decision ko carefully aur logically lena chahiye, taki aap apne financial goals ko achieve kar sakein.

GBP/JPY Tafseelati Jaiza:

GBP/JPY currency pair ne paanch musalsal sessiono mein nafayati farokht ka saamna kiya, jo ke mazeed barh gaya Japanese officials ke ishaaron ke baad ke woh exchange rate ko nazarandaaz karne aur yen ke tootne se bachane ke liye kabhi bhi taqat ka istemaal kar sakte hain. Farokht ka amal GBP/JPY pair mein 190.50 darja tak barh gaya tha jab likhne ka waqt aaya, jahan pair ke haal mein izafe 193.52 tak pohanch gaye the, jo ke saalon se buland darjaat tha, aur is waqt bhi main currency pair ko bechne ki slahiyat di thi.

Maeeshati pehluon aur Bank of England ki policy ke mustaqbil ke hawale se. UK maeeshati fa'aliyat mein ek buland shift, jo ke barqarar maeeshati darjaat ke saath mil kar Bank of England ko interest rates ko mid-year se pehle nahi kam karne ki mumkin shikayat ko nazar andaaz karta hai. Ye BCA ki ek mutala ke natije hain, jo ke UK ka maeeshati surprise index 2024 mein taraqqi kar gaya, jo ke mid-February mein -54 se -1.7 tak pohanch gaya tha.

Interest rates ko kam karne ke ailaan ke aasaar tezi se barh gaye Bank of England ke monetary policy committee ke do ahem afrad ke istifa ke baad, jo ke peechle hafte ke Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting ke baad hue the. Bank ne ye bhi kaha ke woh inflation ko barqarar rakhte hue interest rates ko kam kar sakti hai.

Services PMI ne zara sa giravat dikhayi 53.8 se 53.4 tak, lekin wo past six months se 50 ke neeche girne ke baad buland hai. Isi waqt, Monday ko release hui March ke monthly retail sales report ne ek hairatangez peshgoyi di. Retail sales ne pehli bar 10 mahino mein ek saalana izafe ko record kiya, 2% year-on-year izafa ke saath, jo ke expectations se aage tha, aur girawat ka raftar barhega -7% se -14% tak. Inflation ke hawale se, BCA ne kaha ke jabke price pressures halki hain, lekin wo buland hain. Service sector inflation, jo ke domestic price pressures ka ek nishaan hai, 6.1% se gir gaya 6.5% year-on-year mein aur wo buland hai. Year-over-year forecasts bhi thode zyada hain 6.0% se.

GBP/JPY



Good evening! Sabhi doston ko mera salaam. GBP/JPY ke h4 time frame par trade already 190.65 par hai aur wahan se, izafa jaari rahega. Yeh mumkin hai ke hum 190.35 range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur phir se wahan se izafa jaari rahega. Shayad hume 190.60 par ek false breakout ki tasdeeq milegi, phir izafa wahan se jaari rahega. Ab tak ki tahqiq se, correction abhi bhi jaari reh sakta hai aur iske baad, izafa jaari rahega. Shayad yeh consolidate ho jayega 190.30 ke neeche, phir yeh ek bechna ka signal hoga, lekin izafa jaari rahega aur hume 191.60 ke breakdown ka mil jayega. 190.60 range mein support hai. Yeh kafi mumkin hai ke izafa bina kisi rollback ke abhi ki qeemat se jaari rahe. GBP/JPY ke darjati nami mein haal hi mein ek tezi se girawat ke baad izafa jaari hai. Shayad hume ek chhota impulse neeche ki taraf mile 190.35 range mein, phir is test ke baad, mazbooti jaari rahegi. Ab ki qeemat se, mazbooti jaari hai aur hume 193.50 range tak izafa mil sakta hai, jahan par hume resistance hai. Agar yeh 190.25 ke neeche consolidate hota hai, toh yeh bechna ka signal hoga. Ek tajziya hai ke yeh mumkin hai 193.50 range ko tor kar consolidate ho, jo ke ek izafa ke signal hoga.

GBP/JPY pair kisi tarah se 190.62 (Murray 6.8) level ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. Zahir hai ke bechnay walay abhi tak is support ko gherne ke liye tayyar nahi hain, jo ke h4 cloud ke lower boundary ke sath mila hua hai. Jab tak yeh nihayat bharose ke sath paar kiya jata hai, aur pehle ke koshishen jaise hi false breakout nahi hota jo ke bechnay walon ke peechle dhaunke ke mawafiq ho, tab short positions khulne mein jaldi nahi karna behtar hai. Halat ke hawale se, lambe positions majru hain.





GBP/JPY ke h1 time frame par trade karte hue, main soch raha hoon ke range mein baari baari se chal raha hai; pehle ek correction tha. 193.355 tak chadhne ke baad, yahan ek double touch hua, pair correction mein chala gaya aur 190.717 ke support ko toor diya. Main tab samajh gaya ke pair izafa jaari karega, kyun ke support toota tha. Bechnay walon se koi volume nahi tha, support ke tootne par khareedari walon se volume tha, aur yeh izafa ko darust karta hai girawat ke bajaye. Kyunki main izafa jaari hone ka intezaar kar raha tha, lekin hum dekh rahe hain ke range jaari hai. Ab khareedari walon se koi active volume nahi hai, aur bechnay walon se bhi koi volume girawat ke liye nahi hai. Main apni raay mein rahunga, main izafa ke liye baat karunga takreeban resistance 192.346 tak.

GBP/JPY ka qeemat abhi 189.81 darje par perfect hui hai. Bunyadi tor par, khareedariyan apni qeemat ko behtareen andaz mein barha rahi hain. Pichle haftay mein, humein GBP ki behtareen karkardagi nazar aayi hai. Aur hum jante hain ke US GDP aur PMI aik ahem metric hai jo Ameriki mali quwat ki kulliat mein dakhil haalat ka andaza dete hain. Is ahem mali intihai nishan par kisi invester ki nazar hona zaroori hai taake woh behtar faislay kar sakein. GBP/JPY ka daromdar market movement us waqt se shuru hua jab United Kingdom ki arthik halat mein behtar hone ki umeed zahir hui. Yeh umeed Brexit ke badalte manzar ki ek wazeh nishani thi. United Kingdom aur Japan ke darmiyan tijarati taluqat bhi is currency pair ki qeemat par asar andaz hue. United Kingdom ki mazid taraqqi aur Japan ke sakhti se khidmati tor par farq tha, jo is pair ko mazeed tezi se uthata hai.



Is doraan, Ameriki maliyat ke ahem indicators jaise GDP aur PMI bhi tawajjuh ka markaz bane rahe. United States ki arthik halat duniya bhar ke tijarati amoor par gehra asar dalte hain. Jab GDP mein izafa hota hai aur PMI mein izafa hota hai, to yeh tawajjuh barh jati hai ke dollar ki qeemat mein izaafi izafa ho sakta hai. Lekin, yeh indicators kisi bhi currency pair par seedha asar nahi dalte, balki global market sentiment ko bhi asar andaz karte hain. Is waqt, GBP/JPY ka daur e safaar mukhtalif maqamat par hai. Brexit ke baad United Kingdom ki mazid taraqqi aur Japan ke mazid naram karobar ke mozu mein intehai ahmiyat hai. Ameriki maliyat ke indicators bhi is currency pair par asar andaz hote hain. Agar United States ke mali intihai nishan behtar hote hain, to is se GBP/JPY ki qeemat mein izafa ho sakta hai.



Is mukhtasir muddat mein, maslan pichle haftay, GBP ki behtareen karkardagi ke baad, GBP/JPY ki qeemat mein izafa dekha gaya. Lekin, yeh tawajjuh zaroori hai ke mukhtalif factors ko mila kar dekha jaye aur tamam maqasid aur maqasid ko samne rakha jaye. Taake behtar faislay kiya ja sake jo ke tijarati faide ko maximize kare aur nuqsanat ko minimize kare.

Pichle haftay mein, hamne GBP/JPY market mein kami daari dekhi, jo upar aur neeche ki taraf liye gaye qadam se aayi. Is haftay mein mazeed tabdeeliyaan aane ka imkaan hai GBP/JPY market mein, jo keemat ko 190.78 ke level ko dobara guzarna bhi shamil hai. UK GDP aur Claimant Count Changes rate ke saath-saath, Tokyo GDP rate ka bhi ehem hai jise dekhna zaroori hai. Aam tor par, is haftay GBP/JPY market ko thora sa sellers ke faidah mein dekha jata hai. Magar, unko kamyabi hasil karne ke liye kargar paisay ka nigrani aur risk-reward strategies istemal karna zaroori hai market ko kamyabi se guzarne ke liye. Mojooda dor mein, GBP/JPY market 188.80 ke level ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jahan kharidari ki gatividhiyaan baad mein mutawaqqa hai.
Sellers abhi keemat par qabza kar rahe hain, jo market ka tajurbaati jazba ko naye tabdiliyon ka samna karne ki zaroorat ko darust karta hai. Is liye, karobarion ko hoshmandi aur strategy ka danai ko istemal karke is tabdiliati market mein kamyabi hasil karne ke liye ihtiyaat baratni chahiye. Kargar paisay ka nigrani aur risk-reward strategies karobarion ke liye zaroori hain, na sirf GBP/JPY market mein zinda rehne ke liye balkay kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye bhi. Puri haftay mein, maahir traders in factors ko qareeb se nigaah rakhenge, zaroorat ke mutabiq apne tareeqay ko adjust karte hue numaya moukaat ka faida uthayenge aur khatraat ko kam karenge. Halke saath-saath, taqneeki aur bunyadi tajziye ko joron par rakhna ahem hai haalat mein trading practices mein keemat ko ziada se ziada hasil karne ke liye. Jab ke GBP/JPY market mein mazeed faida hasool karne ke mauqe ke intizaar mein, ahem hai ke khabron aur bunyadi factors ko ahtiyaat se dekha jaye jo market dynamics ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Pound ki keemat gir gai aur UK bond yields barh gaye maazi k imaaratiyat ki wajah se. Agar BCA research durust hai aur bank ko ma'aliyat k darmiyanarzi mei interest daroN ko khatam karne ka lux nahi hai, to sterling mei behtar hone aur bond ke qeemat mei kami ka imkan barh jayega. (Magar BCA ke analiysts large placement positions ki wajah se sterling mei izafa hone par daavish nahi karte hain.) BCA k European investment analysts bhi kehte hain k "mustaqil" Britain mei inflaishn, sath hi stronger-than-expected ma'ashiyati dastavezon k sath, "Bank of England ko pehlay saal ki doosri shani mei interest rate cut k surat mei bazar ko koi hairat angaiz surprise dena rokay ga."
Kai ma'ashiyat daanoN ka khayal hai k August mei interest rate cut zyada mumkin hai. Isi doran, Bank of England ki Catherine Mann ne peer ko kaha k bazar jald az jald bohat sari interest rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain. Mann ne kaha k bazar "shayad kuch had tak khush" ho sakta hai bank ki interest rates ko kitna waqt tak hold rakhegi. UnhoN ne wazeh kya k Britain mei mizaaj mei izafa amreecaa aur eurozone se zyada hai, jo kehtay hain k mushkil hai ke bank European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve se aage ho kar interest rates ko kam karegi.

BCA Research k mutabiq, UK ki ma'ashi surprise index ki barhne ki wajah se kai imaaratiyat mei izafa hua, jo kai had tak barhne wala manufacturing PMI mei 2.4 points ka izafa shamil hai March mei, jo 20 mah ki unchi 49.9 tak pohanch gaya hai

Services PMI thori si gira hai 53.8 se 53.4 tak, lekin pichlay chheh mahinoN se gira hua hai jo k 50 se kam darjay ki ek reading se tha September mei. Is doran, Monday ko March ki maheena afgaai k maheenay ki retail sales report ne ek musbat surprise diya, is se maloom hota hai k retail sales volumes ne pehli martaba das mahinoN mei saalana basis par 2% ka izafa darj kiya hai, jo consensus estimates ko maat de kar -7% se -14% tak barhne ka dawa karta hai. Mehngai ke front par, BCA kehta hai khalaya pressuron mei halki halki kami hai, lekin wo buland rehti hai. Services inflation, qomi keemat pressuron ka indicator, 6.5% saalana basis par se 6.1% saalana basis par gira hai, yaqeenan buland reh gaya hai. Ye thori si ummedoN se garam tha jo k 6.0% saalana basis par hai.

Mangal ke Asian trading hours mein, GBP/JPY jora pehle ke nuqsan se phir utha aur apni jeet ki silsila jari rakha jo 12 March ko shuru hui thi. Abhi, jora 190.30 ke qareeb buland trading kar raha hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne market ko hairat angaiz karte hue interest rates mein 10 basis points (bps) izafa kiya, -0.1% se 0% tak pohanch gaya, jis ne manfi interest rate era ka ikhtitam kiya. Ye faisla market ki tawaqo'at ke mutabiq hai aur BoJ ka aham siyasi tabdeel ko darust karta hai, jo ke bank ko qarz ke markazi daway ki muddat mein sakhawat faraham karne ka irada rakhta hai. BoJ ka yeh faisla ek aham qadam hai jo Japan ke mali aur siyasi manazir ko taqat di hai. BoJ ne manfi interest rate era ko khatam karne ka faisla kiya hai, jo Japan ke mazid naqdi mawad ke liye raahat faraham karega aur mulk ki maliyat ko barqarar rakhne mein madad karega. Is faislay ke natijay mein, JPY ke qeemat mein kami aayi hai, jo ke Japani exports ko barhawa de sakta hai, aur is tarah Japan ki maliyat ko taqwiyat di ja sakti hai.



GBP/JPY joray ke hawale se, iske qeemat mein izafa is dafa BoJ ke faislay ke natijay mein dekha gaya hai. BoJ ke interest rate ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla karne se GBP ke qeemat mein izafa hua hai, jabke JPY ki qeemat mein kami aayi hai. Is nateejay mein, GBP/JPY jora buland trading kar raha hai aur iski qeemat 190.30 ke qareeb hai. Is waqt, market ke aghaz mein Japan ke mali aur siyasi tabdeel ke sath-sath, global market mein tanao ke bais bhi GBP/JPY jora tezi se trading kar raha hai. Ye tanao Ukraine ke tajziyaati halaat, oil prices mein izafi izafa, aur COVID-19 ke tajziyaati surat-e-hal ki wajah se aaya hai. In sab factors ke hamil hone ke bawajood, GBP/JPY jora mazid izafa kar raha hai aur traders ki tawajju is taraf mabni hai ke kya future mein aur izafa mumkin hai ya phir market mein koi tabdeeli anay wali hai.
Akhri guftugu mein, GBP/JPY jora ke qeemat mein izafa aur BoJ ke faislay ka asar market par mazid daryaft hona mumkin hai. Traders ko Japan ke mali aur siyasi tabdeelat, global market ke tanao, aur geo-political hawaon par nazar rakhni chahiye jab wo trading ke faislay lete hain.