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Forex market mein NZDUSD pair ki technical analysis karte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ab bhi ek aisa price position hai jahan entry karna faida mand ho sakta hai. Aayiye pehle NZDUSD ka 1 Hour Time Frame chart dekhtay hain aur phir iski tafseelat par baat karte hain.

Market Trend aur Price Action Analysis:

Chart ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke NZDUSD abhi bhi bullish yaani uptrend mein hai. Lekin humein yeh bhi daikhna hoga ke agar price support area ko todti hai to reversal ka khatr bhi ho sakta hai. Candle history par nazar dalne par, humein buy entry ke mauqe dikhai dete hain, lekin hum buy aur sell dono entries ka analysis karenge.

Jab hum chart ko dekhte hain, to buyer pressure (green candle ki lambai) dheere dheere price ko upar le ja raha hai lekin seller pressure (red candle ki lambai) isay counter nahi kar paa raha hai, jo ke higher low formation ko darshata hai. Yeh is baat ka izhar karta hai ke buyers ab bhi kuch price levels par dominate kar rahe hain. Lekin is NZDUSD pair mein sell opportunities bhi maujood hain.

Resistance aur Support Areas:

Chart mein, maine resistance area ko price ke upar (0.5715 – 0.5707) aur support area ko niche (0.5686 – 0.5679) line ke zariye mark kiya hai. Yeh areas aapko trading ke liye zaroori points provide karte hain.

Entry Setup Options:
Breakout Opportunity:
Agar 1-hour candle ka close price upper limit of resistance area (0.5715) ko todta hai, to aap buy position lene ke liye tayar ho jayein.
Agar 1-hour candle ka close price lower limit of support area (0.5679) ko todta hai, to aap sell position lene ke liye tayar ho jayein.

Stop Loss ka istemal karein agar 1-hour candle ka close price resistance area ke lower limit (<0.5707) se neeche ya support area ke upper limit (>0.5686) se upar ho. Risk-to-reward ratio ko 1:1 rakhein.
Pullback Setup for SELL Position:
Pullback area resistance area hai. Agar 1-hour candle ka close price pullback area mein hai, to aap sell position le sakte hain. Stop Loss rakhein agar 1-hour candle ka close price pullback area ke upper limit (> 0.5715) se upar ho. Minimum risk ratio 1:1 rakhein.
Pullback Setup for BUY Position:
Pullback area support area hai. Agar 1-hour candle ka close price pullback area mein hai, to aap buy position le sakte hain. Stop Loss rakhein agar 1-hour candle ka close price pullback area ke lower limit (<0.5679) se neeche ho. Minimum risk ratio 1:1 rakhein.

Money Management:

Har entry ke liye achi money management ka istemal karna zaroori hai, taake trading ka silsila sehatmand rahe. Fake breakout candles se hamesha alert rahen.

Conclusion:

Umeed hai ke yeh analysis aapke liye market ka analysis karne mein madadgar sabit hoga. Trading karte waqt hamesha apne analysis aur trading strategy par bharosa rakhein, aur market ke halat ko dekhte hue apne decisions lein. NZDUSD ki current position ko samajhna aur us par apne trading plans banana

NZD/USD ka aaj ka short-term forecast kaafi nazuk lagta hai. Aaj ke din, NZD/USD ka rate lagbhag 0.569 ke aas-paas nazar aa raha hai. Market analysts kehte hain ke pair pichle chand dino se defensive zone mein hai, jahan support levels kaafi important ho gaye hain. Agar NZD/USD 0.568 ke neeche gir gaya to UOB Group ke analysts ke mutabiq, is se aur niche 0.5645 tak decline ka scope ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level par hold kare to short-term mein ek chhota sa corrective bounce bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

• Support aur Resistance Levels:
  Current support zone 0.568 ke qareeb hai, aur agar pair isko breach kar deta hai to agla support level 0.5645 ke aas-paas nazar aata hai. Dusri taraf, resistance levels 0.5715 aur 0.5735 par maujood hain. Agar NZD/USD in resistance levels ko test karta hai, to buyers ke liye ek chance hai ke pair temporarily rebound kare, magar market sentiment abhi zyada bearish hai.
• Moving Averages aur RSI:
  Dekha gaya hai ke 50-day SMA lagbhag 0.5658 par hai jabke 200-day SMA 0.5911 ke qareeb hai. Is se yeh signal milta hai ke long-term mein pair neeche ki taraf trending hai, lekin short-term oscillations ho rahi hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14-day ke around 49–50 ke qareeb hai, jo neutral zone ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar RSI further girta hai to yeh aur bearish signal ho sakta hai.
• Chart Patterns:
  Kuch forecasts, jaise forex24.pro ki analysis ke mutabiq, yeh suggest karti hai ke NZD/USD may be trying to test the resistance near 0.5735, lekin agar yeh test fail ho gaya to a downward correction ke signals milte hain aur pair 0.5585 ke neeche tak bhi ja sakta hai. Is scenario mein, sellers ka pressure dominate karta nazar aata hai.

Fundamental Analysis

• Monetary Policy aur Interest Rates:
  Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke future policy moves ka bhi is pair par asar hoga. Agar market yeh expect karta hai ke RBNZ rate cuts shuru kareinge, to NZD weak ho sakta hai kyun ke lower interest rates investors ko alternative currencies mein shift karne ka signal dete hain. Lekin agar RBNZ hawkish rehta hai to NZD ko support mil sakta hai. Aaj ke global environment mein, US economic data ke hawale se bhi uncertainty hai—jaise ke US GDP release aur Fed ke statements—jo indirectly NZD/USD ko influence karte hain.
• US Trade Policies aur Global Risk Sentiment:
  US President Donald Trump ke tariff threats, jinhon ne Europe, Canada aur Mexico par imposition ka izhar kiya hai, ne safe haven demand barha di hai aur US Dollar ko kuch support diya hai. Lekin agar US ke economic indicators mein softness aayi, to US Dollar ko pressure milega. Is dynamic ka asar NZD/USD par bhi padega, kyun ke agar USD weak hua to NZD/USD may improve. Magar filhaal, global trade tensions aur risk-off sentiment ki wajah se, US Dollar strong rehne ki wajah se NZD/USD pe bearish pressure bana hua hai.
• China aur Commodity Exports:
  New Zealand ke liye China sab se bara trading partner hai. Agar China ki economic halat unstable rahi to New Zealand ke export revenues par asar padega, jis se NZD weak ho sakta hai. Saath hi, dairy aur other commodities ki prices ka bhi asar hota hai, kyun ke Kiwi economy ka ek bara hissa in exports se related hai. Agar commodity prices mazboot rahein, to woh NZD ko support kar sakte hain, lekin current global uncertainties ne in pe bhi pressure dala hai.

Market Sentiment
Market sentiment aaj ke liye thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke pichle chand dino se NZD/USD ki selling pressure dominate kar rahi hai, jis se pair 0.569 ke aas-paas defensive zone mein aa gaya hai. Agar sellers pressure zyada barhta hai aur pair 0.568 ke neeche close karta hai, to short-term mein aur decline ka imkaan hai. Lekin, agar buyers is support ko defend karte hain, to pair mein correction ka signal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Trading Strategy aur Recommendations

• Entry Point:
  Agar aap NZD/USD mein long position lene ka soch rahe hain, to consider karein ke entry 0.569 ke aas-paas ya thoda neeche, jaise 0.568 – 0.569 ke zone mein ho. Lekin, agar aap bearish ho to shorting ka option bhi consider kar sakte hain, khas taur se agar pair 0.568 se neeche break karta hai.
• Take Profit:
  Agar aap long position lete hain, to aapka target 0.5715 – 0.5735 tak ho sakta hai, jahan resistance levels locate hote hain. Dusri taraf, short positions ke liye, agar pair 0.568 se neeche jata hai, to target 0.5645 tak ja sakta hai.
• Stop Loss:
  Risk management ke liye, long positions ke liye stop loss 0.566 ya 0.565 ke neeche set karna theek rahega. Short positions ke liye, agar aap short karte hain, to stop loss 0.570 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye taake risk limited rahe.