USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche

USD/CHF currency pair aik ahem mor par hai jahan resistance aur support levels mustaqbil ki keemat ke harkaton ko tay karenge. Halankeh, mojooda waqt mein resistance level kareeb 0.9215 hai, jo mazeed izafay ko rok raha hai. Support level 0.9110 par hai. Agar keemat resistance barrier ko paar kar jati hai, to agle ahem resistance 0.9225 par uth sakti hai. Mukhalif tor par, agar support level nakam hota hai, to keemat target supports 0.8989 aur 0.8801 par gir sakti hai.
USD/CHF ki keemat ke dynamics ko mukhtalif technical indicators ke istemal se tajziya kiya jata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought ya oversold shiraa'at nahi dikhata, jo ke index 50 ke ooper rehta hai toh upri raftar ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Charts par notice kiye gaye zigzag patterns minor fluctuations ko filter karte hain, jo trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) apni upri raftar ki wajah se bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Keemat ka upper band Bollinger Bands ke nazdeek hone ka matlab hai ke kuch pullback ka imkan hai ya bullish trend ka jaari rehna. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko mazeed analyze karte hain. Kharidar aur bechne walon ke darmiyan kuch fark hai kyun ke kharidari aur farokht ke dabao mein balance hai. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko mukarar price range ke khilaaf napta hai, overbought ya oversold intehaai nahi dikhata, jo keemat ko kisi bhi raaste mein move kar sakta hai aur ek bullish trend ko tasdeeq karta hai. Mazeed, Average True Range (ATR) bhi ahem hai jo market ki volatility napta hai. Traders ATR ke zahir hone wali darmiyan volatility ko mad e nazar rakhte hue munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain, jisse USD/CHF ke liye risk management strategies ko darust kiya ja sakta hai.

Yeh indicators mil kar USD/CHF market mein bullish sentiment ko dikhate hain. Hoshyarana nigraani zaroori hai takay mozu ki mukhtalif uroojat aur mustaqbil mein barqarar bullish momentum ko pehchana ja sake.

USD/JPY


USD/JPY pair ne pichle Jumme ko 157.38 par close kiya. Aaj Itwaar hai aur market weekend break par hai. Jumme ke din, USD/JPY pair ne H4 chart par significant movement dikhayi. 156.41 ke important support level ko sell side par todhne ke baad, price ne bullish pressure ka samna kiya. Is se rebound hua aur price ne wapas isi level ko buy side par todh kar bullish momentum ke sath close kiya. D1 chart par dekhne par, USD/JPY pair ka previous high 160.20 par hai, jo ek key resistance level serve karta hai. Bahut strong chances hain ke price agle hafte is target ko test kare. Agar price reverse ho aur market khulne par Monday ko phir se 156.41 level ko sell side par todh de, to hum chart par bearish movements expect kar sakte hain.



Pichle Jumme, USD/JPY pair ne dynamic price action dikhaya. Pehle, 156.41 level par H4 chart par ek significant bearish breakout hua, jo potential sell-off ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin yeh level pivotal sabit hua jab market ne ek strong bullish reversal experience kiya. Price sirf recover hi nahi hui, balki 156.41 level ko dobara cross kar gaya aur trading session ko bullish outlook ke sath end kiya. D1 chart par dekhne wala critical resistance level 160.20 hai. Yeh previous high tha aur price ke liye ek significant barrier banne ke chances hain. Agar pichle hafte ka bullish momentum jari rehta hai, to strong possibility hai ke price is level ko agle hafte test kare.

Doosri taraf, agar market Monday ko khulne par bullish pressure ko sustain nahi kar pata, to reversal ho sakta hai. 156.41 level ko sell side par break karna bearish traders ke liye ek crucial signal hoga, jo potential downtrend ko indicate karega. Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ne last week strong bullish movement ke sath close kiya, 156.41 level se rebound karte hue aur 157.38 par close hua. Price action suggest karta hai ke pair agle hafte 160.20 resistance level ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi reversal signal par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar 156.41 level ke neeche break ko, jo bearish sentiment ki taraf shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. In key levels ko monitor karna upcoming sessions mein informed trading decisions lene ke liye essential hoga

dekha ja sakta hai bullish efforts se jo resistance area ke upar push kar rahe hain, jo ke 157.72 ke aas paas hai. Lekin, lagta hai ke bullish slowdown ho raha hai jo price ke neeche turn hone ka potential open karta hai agar yeh 157.72 level ke upar ek naya higher form karne mein nakam hota hai. Entry considerations ke liye, abhi bhi purchase transactions par focus karna interesting hai kyunke koi visible signs nahi hain sellers ke enter hone ke jo trend ke direction ko change karne ki koshish kar rahe hon. Buying plan ko tab tak focus kiya ja sakta hai jab tak price neeche support area 156.80 ke aas paas nahi girti. Agar price 156.80 level se neeche girti hai to yeh potential kholta hai ke RBS area ko test kiya jaye jo ke 156.45 ke aas paas hai.
Current entry considerations ke mutabiq, buying opportunities dekhna chahiye Zero area range aur demand level ke neeche 157.00 se 157.15 ke darmiyan. Is price level range mein increase ka target TP 1 ko level 157.45 tak reach karna ho sakta hai aur TP 2 ko crucial resistance area 157.72 ke aas paas test karna. Buy plan downside risk limit 156.80 level ke neeche place kar sakta hai. Naye sales ki possibility ko downward movement ka intezar karke below the level of 156.80 consider kiya ja sakta hai. Line conditions below this price level se sales transactions ko tp1 test karne ke liye rbs area 156.45 aur tp2 ko movement limit Ma 200 (blue) 156.10 par test karne ke liye target kar sakti hain. Agar price Zero area 156.00 ke neeche girti hai, yeh trend ke bearish phase mein enter hone ka confirmation degi. 156.00 ke neeche girawat ke liye, selling transactions ko long term mein 154.45 level tak reach karne ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Technical Reference: sell jab tak 156.780 ke neeche ho Resistance 1: 156.780 Resistance 2: 157.045 Support 1: 155.855 Support 2: 155.585

USDJPY US session mein aaj raat (12/6/24) neeche move hone ka mauka rakhta hai kyunke price June 5 se ab tak hone wale bullish channel ko break karne mein kamyab ho gayi. Moving Average indicator ke dwara diya gaya bearish signal running price ke upar hai, jo yeh matlab hai ke moving average price abhi bhi girne ke rujhan mein hai. Iske ilawa, OsMA jo negative area mein hai, USDJPY ko sell karne ka mauka barhata hai.
Ek hour chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart upar bhi neeche jane ka mauka deta hai kyunke MACD histogram negative area mein shuru ho raha hai, jo selling process ke continue hone ko indicate karta hai. Agar scenario ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke paas support level 155.585 ko test ka

ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke


wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche

USD/JPY (US dollar/Japanese yen) ki jodi 157.46 ki muzahmati satah (resistance level) ko paar karne mein nakam rahi aur iske baad ulat gayi, jo ke technical analysis aur market dynamics ke hawale se ek aham wakiya hai. Yeh baat trading aur investment strategies pe kai tarikon se asar dalti hai. Sabse pehle, 157.46 ka level ek significant resistance ke taur par samjha jata hai. Resistance wo satah hoti hai jahan se asset ka price upar jane se ruk jata hai, kyunki us point par selling pressure barh jata hai. USD/JPY ke liye, 157.46 par bohot zyada selling orders majood the, jo ke is rate ko aur upar jane se rok rahe the. Is baat ki wajah se, jab yeh joda 157.46 ko paar nahi kar saka, traders aur investors ne isse ek bearish signal ke taur par samjha. Is point par price ulat gaya aur neeche gir gaya, jo ke trend reversal ka indication hai. Trend reversal ka matlab hai ke market ka pehla trend (is case mein bullish trend) ab khatam words nahi hain.
Haan, downward decline sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, aur isliye hum intezar karte rahenge. Sabko good morning! Trading week aise hi shuru hua hai aur Asian session already underway hai, magar USDJPY currency pair ke price quotes ke mutabiq, pehle signs downward decline ke nazar aaye hain southern direction mein support level 156.00 ya thoda neeche support level 155.34 tak, magar filhal correctional hain , ie ke pehli branches. Sabse important baat Central Bank of Japan ke head, Ueda, ka speech hona chahiye tha, aur yeh interesting tha ya nahi.

Do ghante mein Japan se macroeconomic data release hona chahiye aur hum dekhenge ke Japanese yen ka reaction kya hoga. Maine thodi der baith kar, socha aur USDJPY currency pair ke price quotes ke bare mein fantasize kiya, aur mujhe personally downward correctional decline laga. Mere M30-H1 charts par price quotes ascending channel se nikal kar uske lower edge ko break kar chuke hain aur yeh possibility hai ke yeh older period ke ascending channel ke lower range tak pohanchein, ya shayad reinforced concrete ascending trend line tak jo ke support level 154.00 ka area hai. Magar ek cheez unpredictable hai, aur woh hai Japanese yen ki unpredictability, jo apni marzi se move karti hai aur isliye yeh poori situation bhi fail ho sakti hai.USD/JPY ka initial resistance level 157.19 hai. Agar USD/JPY agle kuch dino mein 157.19 resistance ko break karta hai, toh hum ek long-term buying trend dekhenge. Uske baad, 165.87 ek crucial trade level hai jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai aur market ko bullish bias banaye rakhne ke liye iske upar rehna zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ka initial support level 156.23 hai. Agar USD/JPY agle kuch dino mein 156.23 support ko break karta hai, toh hum ek long-term selling trend dekhenge. Uske baad, 153.68 ek crucial trade level hai jo ke 3rd level of

Japanese yen (JPY) do din ki winning streak ka lutf utha raha hai, shayad isliye ke US Federal Reserve 2024 mein interest rates kam karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh US dollar ko yen ke muqable mein kamzor kar sakta hai. Lekin, US aur Japan ke darmiyan mojooda interest rate ka farq abhi bhi dollar ke haq mein hai, jo yen ki qeemat mein izafa hone se rok raha hai (jo ke USD/JPY exchange rate mein nazar aa raha hai). Mazeed, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne ishara diya ke agar lambi muddat ke Japanese interest rates zyada tezi se barhte hain to bank mudakhlat karne ke liye tayar hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke wo rates ko neecha rakhne ke liye zyada bonds kharid sakte hain, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Ueda ne yeh bhi kaha ke agar Japan mein inflation barh gaya to wo mazid sakht monetary policy apna sakte hain. Dusri taraf, Tuesday ko US Dollar Index (DXY) mazboot ho gaya, jo ke US Treasury yields mein izafa ko darsha raha hai. Yeh is liye ho sakta hai ke investors ne ehtiyaat barat te hue, Wednesday ko anay wale key US economic data ka intezar kiya. Yeh data Fed ke future interest rate hikes ke expectations ko asar kar sakti hai, jo ke dollar ko asar andaz karte hain. Halanki, mazid Fed rate hikes aam tor par dollar ko kamzor karti hain, magar yeh US Treasury yields ko barha sakti hain, jo dollar ke value par mukhtalif asar dal sakti hai

Tuesday ko, USD/JPY takreeban 156.40 ke ird gird tha. Daily chart yeh suggest karta hai ke symmetrical triangle pattern ke andar consolidation ka waqt chal raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se thoda upar hai, aur agar yeh girta hai to yeh bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Mumkin price movements ko dekha jaye to, agar USD/JPY 157.00 ke psychological level aur triangle ke upper border ko cross karta hai, to yeh multi-decade high 160.32 ko retest kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar yeh triangle ke lower border se neeche girta hai to yeh 156.00 tak decline kar sakta hai, jo ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 154.69 ko test kar sakta hai. Khulasa yeh ke, aanewale dinon mein USD/JPY pair US rate cuts ke expectations, interest rate differential, Bank of Japan ki mudakhlat aur aanewale US economic data ke darmiyan kashmakash mein phasa ho sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ka rukh shayad is baat par depend karega ke konsi force akhir kar fatah paati hai

saath hua, jo jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko rok raha tha. Is wajah se, maine khareedna nahi kiya. Ye is liye hua kyunkay ye amrici session ke akhri hisse mein hua, jis se market mein koi naya daakhilay ka mauqa nahi mila. Kal ke musbat machinery orders aur Japan ki trade balance ke figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke Japan ki ma'ashi fa'alat ke indicators ne yen ko mazboot kiya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI maeeshat danon ke tajaweezon se aage nikle, jis se USD/JPY jodi ka thora sa niche ka islaah hua. Lekin, abhi tak ghaur nahi hai ke yen khareedne walay kitna arsa qaim rahenge, khas tor par jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates par mazboot stand rakha hai Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line ke moqa par) ke aas paas milnay wale mulaqat nukta par khareedna ka irada rakhta hoon, jis ka maqsad 157.15 (graph par moti hari line ke moqa par) tak chadhav hai. 157.15 ke aas paas, main khareedna band karne aur bechna shuru karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se 30-35 points ke nichayi chalne ka tawaqo kiya jata hai. Aaj ke pair ke taraqqi par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke trend jaari hai Ahem: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se ooper hai aur sirf wahan se urdu hai. Main aik saal USD/JPY ko bhi khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal darjaat 156.56 ke darjaat ka imtehan lete hain jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein hai. Ye jodi ke nichayi potential ko mehdood karega aur aik ooper ki market ka ulta parivartan layega. Izafa 156.80 aur 157.15 ke darajat par mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechunga jab ye 156.56 ke darjaat se neeche toot jata hai (graph par surkhi line), jis se jaldi mein pair ka tezi se giraav hota hai. Bechne walon ka markazi maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan par main bechnay aur khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis se 20-25 points ke ooper ki chalne ki umeed hai. Agar pair rozana ke uchit ird gird jam nahin hota, to pair par bechnay ka dabav wapas aa sakta hai. Ahem: Bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf wahan se gir raha hai. Do musalsal darjaat 156.80 ke darjaat ka imtehan jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein hai, to aaj main USD/JPY ko bhi bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye jodi ke ooper potential ko mehdood karega aur aik neeche ki market ka ulta parivartan layega. Izafa 156.56 aur 156.30 ke darajat par mutawaqqa hai. Jab diary ko update kiya gaya, to kimat 156.99 par waqtan-fa-waqt ruk gayi. Kharidne wale ka control mazboot lag raha hai, jis se kimat ko upar aur haftay ke kam zone se dur kar diya gaya hai
Aglay hafte ke liye, USD/JPY jodi ke bullish trend ka iksaaz kiya gaya hai, buland tareen zone ki taraf mumaalik ho sakta hai. Yeh tawaqo ki jati hai ke kharidne walay market par qaboo rakhenge kyun ke peechlay haftay ke trend ko dekhtay hue, qeemat ko neeche ki taraf durust kiya gaya lagta hai. Is hafte ke bullish candlestick market ke liye josh barha sakti hai, jis se agle hafte tak chadhav jaari rah

Dekha gaya hai ke H1 time frame mein abhi ek uptrend hai. Yeh pair kafi aggressive aur tezi se volatility dikha raha hai. Jumeraat ko, yeh 158.30 tak pahunch gaya, jo ek tareekhi oonchai hai aur pehli martaba dekhi gayi hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke kya yeh junubi qeemat ka ulat pher hoga ya hum aage ki taraf tezi se barhte rahenge. USD/JPY currency pair ke is haftay ke harkaat ka jaiza lene ke baad, hum keh sakte hain ke Japan Bank ne rasi chhodi aur ab American dollar bara asaani se oopar chadh raha hai, jo Jumeraat ko Japan Bank ki mulaqat ke baad hua jab unhone interest rates nahi barhaye mulk mein mehngai kam hone ki wajah se. Halat ko dekh kar, main samajhta hoon ke agle haftay yeh junubi harkaat jaari rahegi aur qeemat resistance level 160.40 ko sikkar karegi.

Yeh wazeh hai ke US Federal Reserve aur Japan Bank ke darmiyan interest rates ka bara farq US dollar ko barhne aur Japanese yen ko dabane ka mouka deta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke aapko is currency pair ki qeemat mein kisi bhi sakht kami ka intezar nahi karna chahiye jab tak Japan Bank koi currency interventions nahi karta.

Agar aap kisi pechidgi ko samajhna chahte hain, to zaroor sawal karen! Aapne trading analysis mein moving averages ko istemal karke, behtareen entry aur exit points ka pata lagane ki ahmiyat ko bataya hai. Chahe simple ya exponential moving averages hoon, yeh indicators market trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain aur traders ko USD/CAD market mein faida uthane mein madad karte hain.

Macro-economic factors aur geopolitical events ko shamil karke trading strategies tay karna ek perfect approach ko barhawa deta hai. Bahari variables ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders market ke tabdeel hone wale shirayat ko samajh sakte hain aur munafa karnay ke mauqay dhoond sakte hain. Aapka approach technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko shamil karta hai, jo USD/CAD market mein strategy tay karte waqt madadgar hota hai.

Market dynamics ka tafseeli jaiza lekar, traders fitri azlah aur mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain. Currency fluctuations par asar daalne wale kayi bahari variables hain jaise ke interest rate decisions aur geopolitical tensions, jo exchange rates par asar daal sakte hain. In tajziyat ko trading strategy mein shamil karke, traders market conditions ko samajh sakte hain aur munafa dar mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain.

USD/JPY: Agle din ke trading session mein USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bearish correction ka imkaan hai. Yeh paishgoi guzishta weekend ke market close par mabni hai, jahan buyers ko key resistance zone mein sellers ki mazahimat ka samna tha. Yeh zone 156.00 aur 156.30 ke price levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh resistance area ek aham rukawat sabit hua, jo buyers ko price ko zyada barhane se roknay mein kamiyab raha. Iss manzar ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, mumkin hai ke bearish sellers market ka qabza hasil karain aur price ko niche le jane ki koshish karain. In sellers ka buniyaadi nishana buyers ka support area hoga, jo ke 156.46 aur 156.73 ke price levels ke darmiyan hai. Yeh support zone nihayat aham hai kyun ke yahan buyers ne pehle bhi price ko girne se roknay aur control hasil karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki thi.

Agar sellers is support area ko torne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to market ka reaction is maqam par nihayat ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar sellers is support level ko torne mein naakam rehtay hain, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi hogi ke bearish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo buyers ko dobara control hasil karne ka mauka dega. Aise halat mein, agar buyers ka support area mazboot rehta hai, to price ke ulta hone aur dobara upar jane ke imkaanaat barh jate hain. Agla aham nishana bullish price movement ke liye sellers ka strong resistance area hoga, jo ke 156.00 aur 156.30 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh area bhi ek key level hai jahan sellers ko buyers ke samne mazahimat karne ki umehai. hai
Is. tarah, Monday ke trading session ke aghaz mein initial bearish correction ka daromadar sellers ki is salahiyat par hai ke woh buyers ke support area 156.46-156.73 ko tor saken. Agar yeh support mazboot rehta hai, to buyers ke dobara control hasil karne ke imkaanaat hain, jo ke price ko dobara significant resistance zone ki taraf barha sakte hain. In key levels par price action ko barqi nazar se dekhna traders ke liye nihayat zaroori hoga taake market dynamics aur potential price movements ko samajh sakein. Kul mila kar, traders ko in critical support aur resistance zones ke ird gird price reaction par ghehri nazar rakhni chahiye. In levels par price ka reaction samajhna market ki direction ke baray mein qeemati maloomat faraham karega aur behtar trading faislay karne mein madadgar sabit hoga.

hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche

USD/JPY pair ki haftawar (weekly) chart ka tajziya karte waqt, hum kuch ahem technical aspects aur trends ko madde nazar rakhenge. Ye analysis humare liye iss baat ka ta'yyun karega ke aane wale hafton mein pair ka rujhan kya ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, humein yeh dekhna hai ke 149.691 ka level kitna ahem hai. Yeh level historically ek strong resistance raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jab bhi price is level ke qareeb aata hai, sellers ka pressure increase hota hai aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Aksar ye bhi hota hai ke kuch investors aur traders is level pe apne profits book karte hain, jiski wajah se selling pressure aur bhi barh jata hai. Recently hafton mein, humne dekha ke USD/JPY pair ne 149.691 ke resistance ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance ab bhi intact hai aur bears (sellers) abhi bhi control mein hain. Agar hum price action ko dekhein toh, bounce ke baad price ne ek downward movement dikhayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke short-term mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Is bounce ke baad agar hum technical indicators ka sahara lein, toh Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka analysis helpful hoga. Agar price ne 50-period MA ke neeche close kiya hai, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai. RSI agar oversold levels (30 ke qareeb) ko approach kar raha hai, toh yeh possible reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, magar agar RSI neutral ya mid-levels pe hai, toh bearish trend ke continuation ka zyada chance hai. MACD ko dekh kar humein trend ki strength aur momentum ka pata chal sakta hai. Agar MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur divergence barh rahi hai, toh bearish momentum strong hai. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai. Support levels bhi dekhne chahiyein. Agar price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, toh nearest support level ko watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels wo points hain jahan buyers dubara enter ho sakte hain. Agle kuch supports 145.00 aur 142.50 ke aas paas hain. Fundamentally, USD/JPY pair pe American aur Japanese economic indicators ka asar hota hai. Jaise ke Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies, US ka GDP growth, inflation data aur Japanese economy ki health indicators. Yen traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, toh global uncertainties bhi USD/JPY ko affect kar sakti hain. Conclusively, agar 149.691 ka resistance barqarar rehta hai aur price lower highs aur lower lows banati rehti hai, toh short-term bearish trend ka possibility barh jati hai. Traders ko yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya koi fundamental changes aa rahe hain jo trend ko reverse kar sakte hain. Technical analysis aur fundamental factors ka mil kar analysis karna zaroori hai taake ek solid trading strategy banayi ja sake.

hai aur dekha hai ke M15 time frame mein is waqt ek uptrend hai. Ye pair kafi aggressive aur tezi se volatility dikha raha hai. Jumeraat ko, ye 158.30 ke darja tak pahunch gaya; Ye ek tareekhi zyada hai jo ab tak taareekh mein nazar nahi aya, aur ab hum sirf aasmaan ki taraf ungli utha kar dekh sakte hain ke hamari junubi qeemat ka ulat pher kahan hoga, ya agar hum aage ki taraf tezi se badhte rahenge. USD/JPY currency pair ke is haftay ke harkaat ka jaiza lene ke baad, aur natural tor par Jumeraat ko, hum keh sakte hain ke Japan Bank ne bas rasi chhodi aur ab American ghoda pahad chadh raha hai bina peeche dekhe, jo Jumeraat ke Japan Bank ki mulaqat ke natayej ke asar mein hua, jab wo interest dar barhane ka aghaaz nahi kiya, mulk mein darustfi kam hone ki wajah se. Halat ke hawale se, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke agle haftay shumali harkaat jaari rahegi aur qeemat resistance level ko sikkar karegi, jo meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 160.40 par waqai hai. Is liye wazeh hai ke in interest rates ke darmiyan ka bara farq US Federal Reserve aur Japan Bank ke beech amrici currency ko faal taur par barhne aur japani yen ko uske 0.0-0.1% dar ke sath dabane ki ijaazat deta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, halat ke taraqqi ke do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke asal mein, aapko is currency pair ki qeemat mein kisi bhi sakht kami ka intezar nahi karna chahiye jab tak Japan Bank kam se kam, currency interventions ko bazariya nahi karta. Agar aap kisi pechidgi ko samajhna chahte hain, to sawal karen! Aapne trading analysis mein moving averages istemal karke, behtareen entry aur exit points ka pata lagane ki ahmiyat ko bataya hai. Chahe simple ya exponential moving averages istemal karen, yeh indicators market trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain, jo traders ko USD/CAD market mein faida pohanchane mein madad karte hain.

Macro-economic factors aur geopolitical events ko shamil karke trading strategies tay karna, ek perfect approach ko barhawa deta hai. Bahari variables ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders market ke tabdeel hone wale shirayat ko samajh sakte hain aur munafa dar mauqe par kabza kar sakte hain. Aapka approach technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko shamil karta hai, jo USD

H4) ke market mein haalaat ke baray mein baat karte hue, haalaat dekha gaya ke bearish koshishen hain jo abhi tak buyers ke muqablay mein mazbooti se guzarti hain taake bullish trend ka rukh qaim rahe. Ye is liye hota hai kyunkay aik nichlay haalaat hai jo ma200 (neela) ke movement range mein support area se guzar nahi pa raha 155.85 par. Mazeed izafa filhal SBR area ko test kar raha hai 156.40 se 156.50 tak. Misal ke taur par, agar is price level range mein bullish rejection ka haal ho, to trend ka rukh badalne ki koshish aur jaari rakhne ka imkaan hai. Bullish trend ka jaari rehne ka imkaan haqeeqatan ma50 (surkh) movement area se guzarna hai aik bullish koshish ke saath 157.00 level ke ooper. Is price level ke ooper izafa hone se opportunities khul jati hain mazeed bullish koshishen ke liye ke is ke ooper resistance area se guzar jaye, peechle haftay ke buland tareen price ki had ke qareeb 157.72 par. Is Tuesday ke trading session ke dakhilay ke liye entry plans ki tawajjo par, lagta hai ke aap phir se bechnay ke mouqa dhoondh sakte hain SBR area ke range se 156.40-156.50 tak. Is price level range ke niche target tay karna ho sakta hai TP 1 ko isay pohanchnay ke liye Aarya Zero tak neeche 156.00 ke aas paas aur tp2 ko jari rakhna Ma 200 (neela) ke had tak pohanchne ke liye 155.40 ke aas paas. Bechne ke plan mein nuksan ke risk ka had 157.00 level ke ooper rakh sakta hai. Jabke kharidnay ke mouqa le sakte hain jab 157.00 level ke ooper izafa ho aur tp1 ko target karna hai resistance area ke qareeb 157.70 ke aas paas aur tp2 ko Aarya area ke qareeb pohanchnay ki koshish karna 158.00 ke aas paas. Kharidnay ka plan nuksan ke risk ka had 156.35 level ke neeche rakh sakta hai. Japan ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), jisay Jumma ko jaari kiya gaya, May mein 2.2% barh gaya saal ke mutabiq, April ke 1.8% ke barhne ke baad. Agar Japan mein mukhtalif shahron mein inflation giray, toh yeh shayed Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko interest rates ko barhanay se rokay. Japan aur doosray mulkon ke darmiyan ka qabil-e-zikr interest rate farq ab bhi Japanese Yen par dabao daalta hai, USD/JPY pair ko support karta hai US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US Dollar (USD) ko chhe aur ahem currencies ke muqablay mein naqad ki qeemat ka andaza lagata hai, Federal Reserve ke pasandida US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data ke izafa ke baad, maazi ke april mein keemat ke dabaav mein izafa dikhane par zameen khoo gaya
Pichle haftay, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke afraad ne andaza lagaya ke central bank bina mazeed interest rate hikes ke apna 2% saalana inflation target haasil kar sakti hai. Yeh stand US Treasury yields par neeche dabaav dalta hai, Greenback ko kamzor karta hai

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
U S D / J P Y
Adaab! Subah bakhair mere azeez traders. Mein USD/JPY ke aane waale trading sessions ke liye keemat ka andaza lagana chahta hoon. Waqt ke mutabiq USD/JPY abhi 157.38 par trade ho raha hai. USD/JPY ne aik musbat josh ke saath shuru kiya tha aur abhi bhi 158.25 ke qareeb barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is chart par dono technical indicators musbat nazar aa rahe hain, jo yeh ishara kar raha hai ke keemat qareebi muddat mein barhne ki taraf ja rahi hai.

Khaas tor par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral had se oopar trade kar raha hai. Issi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) zero ke oopar hai aur iska laal signal line bhi musbat zone ke oopar point kar raha hai. Moving averages ke mutabiq, muddat qareebi muddat mein bullish hai. 20 EMA aur 50 EMA bhi yeh ishara kar rahe hain ke kharidar pressure hai.

Isi tarah, aap ke technical indicators ke tajziye ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke liye aane waale trading sessions ke liye andaza hai ke yeh bullish ho sakta hai. Traders ko 158.25 ke qareeb mazeed urooj ki umeed ho sakti hai, jis par abhi ke musbat josh aur technical signals ki madad hai.

Shuruati ahmiyat ka resistance level USD/JPY ke liye 157.66 hai. Agar bullish momentum jari rahe to keemat pehle resistance level se bahar nikal kar 158.25 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Doosre resistance level ke bahar nikalne se naye wave ke saath USD/JPY ki growth hogi aur uttar ki taraf movement jari rahegi. Ya to keemat ulat bhi sakti hai aur 156.95, jo pehla support level hai, ko dobara test kar sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar bearish momentum jari rahe to keemat pehle support level se bahar nikal kar 156.30 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Doosre support level ke bahar nikalne se naye wave ke saath USD/JPY ki growth hogi aur dakshin ki taraf movement jari rahegi. Amuman, USD/JPY ke price ke intraday hisse ki umooman haddain mukarrar ho sakti hain, lekin musbat trend abhi bhi mojood hai.

Chart mein istemaal hone wale indicators:
- MACD indicator:
- RSI indicator period 14:
- 50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
- 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta: