جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

"Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke zariye monitor karne par, price ya candle ab bhi MA MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.2785-1.2787 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Is se lagta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai aur bullish candlestick ki formation bhi iska support hai. Filhal buyers ke paas jo faida hai, aaj trading ke doran zyada tar bullish action ki umeed hai jo ke buyers ke liye hai, target unka bullish area hoga jo ke Supply resistance seller area 1.2958-1.2960 ke daira-e-amal mein hai.

Aaj Friday subah trading ke doran, buyers ne apni dominance ko barqarar rakha hai, market mein zyada taqat aur quantity ke saath wapas aaye hain, jo ke buyers ko bullish rising prices ko control karne ki ijazat de raha hai. Buyers ka bullish target lagta hai ke seller's resistance area 1.2887-1.2890 ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar ye strong penetration ke saath clear hota hai, to GBPUSD pair price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka moka mil sakta hai, agla target strong seller's supply resistance area 1.2957-1.2960 hoga. GBPUSD price movement resistance area 1.28690 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai, jo ke pehle bhi kai baar test kiya gaya hai lekin break nahi ho saka. Ye level strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jahan sellers prices ko upar jane se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Dusri taraf, support area 1.28073 ke aas paas hai, jo ke kai baar test kiya gaya hai aur price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha hai. Ye level buyers ke buying interest ko darshata hai, jahan buyers price ko niche girne se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Stochastic Oscillator indicator dikhata hai ke ab market overbought condition mein hai, jahan indicator line 80 level ke upar hai. Ye condition aam taur par yeh darshati hai ke prices ab bohot high level par hain aur future mein correction ya downward reversal ho sakta hai. Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending buy stop order ko 1.2887-1.2890 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2957-1.2960 par ho.

Sell trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyers' support area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending sell stop order ko 1.2843-1.2840 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2815-1.2813 par ho."

British pound ne Thursday ko US dollar ke muqable mein mazid taqat hasil ki, jo ke mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hui. US retail sales mein stronger-than-expected rebound ne recession ke daro khof ko kam kar diya aur overall market sentiment ko behtar banaya. Dosri taraf, UK economy ne mazbooti dikhayi, jahan GDP growth ne expectations ko pura kiya aur manufacturing output ne forecasts se behtar performance dikhayi. UK ke positive economic indicators ne pound ko mazid bullish momentum diya. Anay wali UK retail sales data se umeed hai ke yeh halia girawat se rebound karegi, jo currency ko aur support karegi. Iske baraks, US consumer confidence data release karega, jisse behtar hone ki umeed hai.
Technically, GBP/USD pair ne 50-day exponential moving average ko cross kar liya hai, jo ek potential bullish trend ka indication hai. Jab ke pair ko 1.2800 ke level par resistance ka samna hua, lekin yeh ab 1.2850 mark se upar trade kar raha hai. Halya upward trajectory ne pair ko resistance levels 1.2826, 1.2859, aur aakhir mein March high 1.2892 ko challenge karne ke maqam par laya hai.

Lekin, pair ko neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna bhi ho sakta hai. 1.2710 level, jo pehle resistance point tha, ab support ka kirdar ada kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh August low 1.2663 ka retest kar sakta hai, jo 200-day moving average ke sath coincide karta hai. Mazid girawat 1.2620-1.2598 range ko target kar sakti hai. Conclusion mein, GBP/USD pair ne bullish momentum dikhaya hai UK ke positive economic indicators aur behtar market sentiment ki wajah se. Jab ke pair ko resistance levels ka samna hai, ek mustahkam upward trend mazeed gains ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye kyun ke agar support levels breach hue to pair downward pressure ka shikar ho sakta hai. 200-day SMA par aake basne ke baad, GBPUSD ne aakhri chand dinon mein amuman upar ki taraf rukh kiya hai. Lekin pair wapas neeche ja sakta hai agar 50-day SMA, jo ke filhal imtihan mein hai, cross nahi hota.

Pound is waqt chhoti range mein fluctuate kar raha hai.
Pehle ke ideas ki series mein, pound ne H4 aur H1 timeframes par upside targets ko achieve kiya. Saath hi, daily timeframe par sell signal ko dekhte hue, pound ne "1 to 2" ratio ko hasil kiya, jo sellers ke liye aik munasib mauqa tha. Magar iska matlab yeh nahi ke D1 par sell signal zaroor puri hogi. Filhal, main dekh raha hoon ke yeh signal is haftay buy signal mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, to behtar hoga ke hum signals par diqqat dein aur uptrend ko follow karein.

H4 timeframe ke pehle chart par, hum dekh rahe hain ke prices ek local decline ke baad taizi se upar ki taraf ja rahi hain. Yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi decline ke liye tayar nahi hai. Iske ilawa, main bullish strength ki wapsi par zor dena chahta hoon kyunki hum ab bara ascending channel ki middle line ke upar aur growth ki trendline ke upar trade kar rahe hain.

Fibonacci grid par nazar dalte hue, hum dekhte hain ke 38.2% aur 50% correction levels par reactions ho rahi hain. Ho sakta hai ke 61.8% level par bhi reaction ho. Yeh sab daily timeframe par sellers ki actions hain. Yeh logical hai ke wo apne stops clear senior maximum 1.30406 ke beyond laga rahe hain. Mere khayal mein, daily buy signal 61.8% level ke qareeb, yani ke price level 1.28963 par ubharni chahiye. Iske ilawa, structurally, mujhe koi aise factors nazar nahi aa rahe jo bearish scenario ko justify kar sakein. Ab tak, humare sab fractals barkarar hain, aur is liye, mein bearish scenario ko filhal consider nahi kar raha.

GBP/USD currency pair ne strong performance dikhayi hai, jo ke improved risk sentiment aur UK aur US economic data ke expectations ke combination se driven hai. Kal, Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein apni gains barhayi, jo ke positive market sentiment ke bawajood US Retail Sales data ke release ke baad thi, jo ke expectations se behtar thi. Yeh data US recession ke dar ko kam kar raha tha, jis se global economic stability ke liye zyada optimistic outlook mila. Is wajah se risk-sensitive currencies jaise ke Pound ne faida uthaya jabke investors ka risk appetite barh gaya, jabke US Dollar ne downward pressure ka samna kiya.
Pound ki strength ko barhawa dene ka ek aur sabab UK ke upcoming retail sales report ka intezar hai July ke liye. Analysts ko umeed hai ke data growth ko reflect karegi, jo currency ko aur support karegi. Yeh optimism UK economy ke resilience par based hai, jo ke broader global challenges ke bawajood stability dikhati hai. Isliye, investors zyada inclined hain ke Pound ko hold karein, umeed hai ke stronger retail figures currency ko boost karengi.




Doosri taraf, US Dollar struggle kar raha hai kyunki market ne Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein 25 basis point rate cut ko almost fully price in kar diya hai. Fed ka dovish stance, recent weaker-than-expected inflation aur labor market data ke saath, yeh consensus bana diya hai ke central bank apni monetary policy ko pehle se zyada jaldi ease kar sakti hai. Yeh expectation Dollar par additional pressure daal rahi hai, jo ke Pound ke muqablay mein uski recent decline ka sabab hai. GBP/USD pair ki recent movements kaafi factors ke complex interplay ko reflect kar rahi hain, jaise ke behtar US economic data, UK retail sales growth ke expectations, aur shifting Federal Reserve policies. Ye dynamics aane wale waqt mein pair ke trajectory ko influence karte rahenge, jahan dono sides se economic indicators par nazar rakhi jayegi.

GBP/USD Pair
M5 Chart Analysis:

1 - Pound 4-hour chart par abhi upper band ke sath movement banane ki koshish kar raha hai. Ek touch ho chuka hai aur dono bands outward expand ho rahe hain, jo ke price ke upar jane ki continuation ka signal de raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein momentum barh raha hai aur agar yeh trend continue hota hai, to price upar ja sakti hai. Ab humein dekhna hoga ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi, kyunki yeh market ke short-term direction ko determine karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Is waqt, market ka trend aur indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

2 - Awesome Oscillator abhi positive zone mein weakening dikha raha hai. Agar yeh indicator soon zero ke neeche cross kare aur negative zone mein active growth show kare, to yeh price decrease ke liye ek strong signal ban sakta hai. Lekin agar positive zone mein naya increase hota hai, to yeh quotes ke badhne ka signal ho sakta hai. Oscillator ki movement aur signals ko dekhna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh price trends aur reversals ko identify karne mein madad karte hain.

3 - Is situation mein buying ka entry point 1.28676 level par rakha ja sakta hai. Agar price is level par active breakthrough aur consolidation show karti hai, to humein price ke 1.28722 level tak badhne ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Yeh level price ke upar jane ki confirmation dega aur long positions ke liye favourable condition banayega.

4 - Selling ka entry point 1.28588 level par rakha ja sakta hai. Agar price is level par girti hai, to 1.28517 level tak decrease ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Yeh level price ke niche girne ka signal dega aur short positions ke liye potential entry point banayega.

Yeh analysis M5 time frame ke liye hai, jahan trend aur indicators ke base par buying aur selling points ko identify kiya gaya hai. Accurate decisions lene ke liye market movement aur indicators ko closely dekhna zaroori hai.

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GBP/USD currency pair par profound impact dalte hain. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur forward guidance se market sentiment drive hoti hai aur currency pair ka direction influence hota hai.
Recently, Bank of England ne monetary policy ko cautious approach di hai, inflation ke impact ko dekhte hue. Is ke muqablay mein, Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes aur balance sheet reduction par aggressive stance rakha hai. Ye divergence monetary policy ko bearish trend ko aur exacerbate kar sakta hai.
Lekin, agar BoE inflationary pressures ke response mein zyada hawkish stance leti hai, to current trend reverse ho sakta hai. Waise, agar Fed economic growth ke concerns ki wajah se dovish ho jata hai, to US dollar weaken ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum de sakta ha
GBP/USD pair bhi is se immune nahi hai. Brexit developments, trade negotiations, aur political instability UK ya US mein volatility create kar sakte hain aur sharp price swings ka sabab ban sakte hain.
Maslan, agar UK-EU trade relationship ke positive news aate hain post-Brexit, to pound ko boost mil sakta hai, jab ke negative developments pound par heavy weight daal sakti hain. US mein political uncertainty, jese ke fiscal policy debates ya upcoming elections, US dollar ko impact kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hai.
Traders ko geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market reactions ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain.
GBP/USD currency pair ke movements ko predict karne mein important tool hai. Price charts ko analyze karke, key support aur resistance levels ko identify karke, aur technical indicators jese ke moving averages aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko use karke traders potential market movements ka insight gain kar sakte hain.
Filhal, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai, aur price action key moving averages ke neeche hai. Lekin, technical analysis suggest karta hai ke pair ek critical support level ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar ye level hold hota hai, to reversal ya significant bounce ho sakta hai. Agar support level breach hota hai, to bearish trend accelerate ho sakta hai aur further downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Market sentiment bhi GBP/USD pair ko drive karta hai. Sentiment economic data, central bank actions, aur geopolitical events se influence hota hai. Sentiment ka shift bullish se bearish, ya vice versa, sharp movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.
GBP/USD pair ke movements ko influence karte hain. Low liquidity periods, jese ke holidays ya Asian trading session, market ko sharp movements ke liye zyada susceptible banate hain. Dusri taraf, high liquidity periods, jese ke London ya New York sessions, market ko zyada stable banaate hain.
GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai. Jab ke market dheere dheere move kar rahi hai, kuch factors hain jo aane wale dino mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Economic indicators, central bank actions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, market sentiment, aur liquidity sab GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karte hain.
Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur potential market-moving events ke liye prepared rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. Informative aur analytical approach se traders behtar decisions le sakte hain aur aane wali market volatility ka faida utha sakte hain.
Volatility bhi major economic release ya unexpected geopolitical events ke doran significant increase dekh sakti hai. Traders ko aane wale dino mein increased volatility ke liye aware rehna chahiye, jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movements ka sabab ban sakti hai

GBP/USD ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Filhal, pound/dollar ka joda dobara se kharid ka ishara dikha raha hai. Kal ki khabron se chalne wali kami ke bawajud, jodi ne 1.2791 ki support satah ka test kiya aur fir palat kar nayi bulandi par pahunch gayi. Ab, jodi 1.28742 ki muzahmati satah ka test kar rahi hai. Agar yah is satah se ooper rahta hai to kharidari ka rujhan jari rah sakta hai. Halankeh, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat farokht ke mauqe ki taraf badhegi, jisme pahla hadaf 1.28232 ki support satah par hogi. Mumkena pullback ke bad, niche ki taraf rujhan jari rah sakta hai, is tarah jodi 1.27090 ki support satah par pahunch sakti hai.
GBP/USD

Budhwaar ko subah trading mein, pound $1.28 tak gir gaya, jo ke is mahine ke shuruat mein hit kiye gaye teen haftay ke high se door hai. UK inflation data ke baad Bank of England ke rate cut ke ummeed mein izafa hua. Saalana inflation 2.2% thi, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq thi magar expectations se kam thi. Services inflation bhi 5.2% tak gir gayi, jo ke central bank ke forecast 5.6% se kam hai. Core inflation bhi zyada dheere hui. September mein ek aur 25 basis point rate cut ki probability 36% se barh kar 47% ho gayi hai.
Traders ab saal ke end tak do aur quarter-point rate cuts par ghoor kar rahe hain. Is dauran, is hafte ki shuruat mein aayi economic data ne British labor market ki mazbooti ko dikhaya. June tak teen mahine mein unemployment rate 4.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke umeed se kam tha, aur wage growth 5.8% se 5.4% tak dheere hui, magar Bank of England ke forecast se thodi zyada thi.

US session mein, bulls ne GBP/USD ko 1.2868 ke resistance level tak push karne ka mauka paaya, jabke Thursday ko aane wale important US aur dollar packages ki intezar hai. British economic data ne jald hi 1.2820 ke level ke aas paas stabilize kar diya. Dusri taraf, Bank of England ke representatives ne UK ke market interests ki abnormal paralysis ko zaroori samjha

-hour timeframe per kuch important phases hain jo main observe kar raha hoon. Pehle, ek significant uptrend tha jahan price 1.2630 se gradually barh kar 1.3045 ke peak tak pohnchi. Yeh pound sterling ki strength ko US dollar ke muqablay mein dikhata hai is dauran.
Peak par pohnchne ke baad, chart par ek trend reversal dikhayi di jahan price decline karne lagi aur 1.2810 ke aas-paas stabilize hui. Phir price 1.2810 aur 1.2770 ke beech ek narrow trading range mein chalti rahi, jo market mein uncertainty ya buyers aur sellers ke beech balance ko indicate karta hai.

Agla phase ek pronounced downtrend ka hai, jahan price 1.2650 ke low tak gir gayi. Is level ko touch karne ke baad, price fir se increase hui aur ab 1.2770 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke short-term mein resistance aur long-term view mein support ka kaam kar raha hai.

Is analysis se, main conclude karta hoon ke GBP/USD ab recovery phase mein hai recent bottom ko touch karne ke baad, lekin abhi bhi bearish pressure ke neeche hai kyunki medium-term trend abhi bhi lower hai. Nearest key resistance point 1.2810 hai, agar yeh break hota hai, to yeh further recovery signal de sakta hai towards 1.2895 levels ya usse bhi upar.

GBP/USD pair ne yellow daily pivot zone 1.2763 - 1.2774 se 161% resistance 1.2821 - 1.2833 ki taraf nikalna shuru kar diya hai. Yahan se market wapas neeche aakar correction kar sakti hai, lekin pehle buyer ko kal ke highest price 1.2792 ko penetrate karna hoga. Agar yeh fail hota hai, to green resistance 1.2821 tak pohnchne ke chances kam hain kyunki market decline kar sakti hai jo bullish trend ke continuation ko lead kar sakta hai. Pichle kuch dinon se GBP/USD market strong sellers ke control mein hai kyunki Bank of England FED ke muqablay mein dovish hai.

H4 conditions ke mutabiq, price consistently Blue EMA50 ke upar hai, isliye 1.2810 tak potential abhi bhi wide open hai, lekin sustainable increase technically mushkil lagti hai kyunki resistance area 1.2800 ke upar pehle se hi achieve karna mushkil tha. Isliye strong fundamental support ki zarurat hai jaise CPI data ya US monthly inflation kal raat. Agar results expected se alag hote hain, to GBP/USD ke aur upar jane ke chances hain, isliye traders ko abhi sirf short profit targets ko hi dekhna chahiye, bade news

Pound Sterling (GBP) US Dollar ke muqablay mein bohot zyada taqat dikhata hai, aur iski wajah kai positive factors hain. UK Retail Sales ka healthy growth Bank of England (BoE) ke doosre consecutive interest-rate cut ki umeed ko kam kar sakta hai.

US Dollar Thursday ki recovery ko banaye rakhne mein struggle kar raha hai, jo upbeat economic data ke wajah se thi. Pound Sterling (GBP) apne major peers ke muqablay mein behtareen performance dikhata hai, sirf Asia-Pacific currencies ko chhod kar, Friday ke London session mein. British currency ne significant gain kiya hai kyunki United Kingdom (UK) Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya ke Retail Sales July mein rebound hui hain, jaise ke ummed thi, June mein sharp contraction ke baad.

Report ke mutabiq, monthly aur annual Retail Sales 0.5% aur 1.4% se barh gayi hain. Sales receipts department stores aur sports equipment stores mein mazbooti se barh gayi hain, aur retailers ka kehna hai ke summer discounting aur sporting events jaise European Football Championship ne sales ko boost diya. Iske bawajood, automotive fuel ki demand sharply contract hui hai.

Retail Sales consumer spending ka ek key measure hai. Consumers ki strong demand economy mein inflationary pressures ko fuel karti hai, isliye yeh data Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein ek aur interest-rate cut ki umeed ko kam kar sakti hai. BoE ne August ke pehle hafte mein apne key borrowing rates ko kam karna shuru kiya, lekin yeh rate-cut move tough call tha, 5-4 vote split ke saath.

BoE ki agla monetary policy meeting September mein bhi ek tough call ho sakti hai. UK service sector mein inflation July mein sharply decline hui hai due to slowing wage growth momentum. Lekin, latest labor market data ne yeh bhi dikhaya ke Unemployment Rate surprisingly gir gaya hai aur economy clearly expansion path par hai.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2885 ke qareeb jump kiya. GBP/USD pair ek upside trend ko extend kar raha hai jo 1.2665 ke six-week low se start hua tha, ek positive divergence formation ke baad daily time frame par, jahan pair higher lows build kar raha hai aur momentum oscillator lower lows bana raha hai. Yeh aam taur par uptrend ke resumption ko darshata hai, lekin isay zyada indicators ke saath confirm karna zaroori hai.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein ek fresh two-week high 1.2885 post kiya. GBP/USD pair strong ho raha hai kyunki US Dollar Friday ke European trading hours mein thoda gir gaya hai, Thursday ki sharp recovery ke baad. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke value ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 103.00 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, 102.27 ke 10-day low se bounce karne ke baad.

US Dollar ki recovery move ko robust growth in United States (US) monthly Retail Sales for July aur lower-than-expected weekly Jobless Claims ne prompt kiya. Upbeat US data ne recession ke fears ko kam kiya, aur September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se aggressive policy/easing response ki umeed ko khatam kar diya. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke 50 basis points (bps) interest-rate reduction ki likelihood 29.5% tak gir gayi hai, jo ek hafte pehle 51% thi. Market speculation for large rate cuts significantly ease ho gayi hai, lekin September mein dovish decision ke expectations ab bhi mazboot hain.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke qareeb cushion milne ke baad recover ho raha hai, buying interest ke signs dikhate hue.

Upside par, psychological figure 1.3000 aur annual high 1.3044 Pound Sterling ke liye major resistances honge. Alternatively, recovery move falter kar sakti hai agar asset August 8 ke low 1.2665 ke neeche gir jati hai. Yeh asset ko June 27 ke low 1.2613 aur phir April 29 ke high 1.2570 tak expose kar dega.

Aakhri trading session mein, currency pair ne thoda decline dekha aur Friday ke Asian hours ke dauran 1.2884 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya. Yeh retreat Thursday ke din 1.2870 ke peak ke baad aaya, jo July 2023 ke baad se iska highest level tha. Abhi ke sabse recent update ke mutabiq, pair 1.2881 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh dip ek notable breakout ke baad aaya jo daily chart par ascending channel ko break kar diya tha, jo pehle currency pair ke movements mein bullish trend indicate kar raha tha.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Pound Sterling ki outlook recent mein kaafi behtar hui hai. Stable UK government ne zyada predictable fiscal policies ko janam diya hai, jiski wajah se foreign inflows bhi increase huye hain. Rachel Reeves ki naye Chancellor ke taur par appointment se economic growth aur investment ko stimulate karne ki umeed hai, khas taur par supply-side improvements par focus ke saath, kyunki government spending capacity limited hai.

Recent economic data bhi Pound ke liye favorable rahi hai. UK ka monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for May ne 0.4% ka robust increase dikhaya, jo anticipated 0.2% se zyada hai aur pichle mahine ke position ko maintain kiya. Yeh positive economic performance ne Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates ko August mein kam karne ki expectations ko kam kar diya hai, jo Pound Sterling ki appeal ko aur enhance karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko upar break karta hai, to yeh ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar sakta hai, jo 1.2877 par hai. Additional support 1.2796 ke throwback support level ke aas-paas mil sakti hai. Agar pair continue karta hai to yeh psychological level 1.3000 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Agar is threshold ko successfully breach kiya, to yeh further gains ke liye raasta khol sakta hai, jo key level 1.3140 tak pahuncha sakta hai.

Filhaal, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) thoda sa 70 mark ke upar hai, jo strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai lekin yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke currency pair overbought territory mein ho sakta hai. Yeh condition ek potential pullback ka signal de sakti hai, jo bullish momentum ke kam hone aur aane wale correction ko imply karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi short-term bullish sentiment ko support karta hai. MACD line centerline ke upar hai aur signal line se positively diverge kar rahi hai, jo market mein ongoing bullish momentum ko reflect karta hai.

British Pound ne Thursday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed taqat hasil ki, jismein kai factors shaamil hain. US retail sales mein expected se ziada rebound ne recession ke khatkon ko kam kar diya aur market sentiment ko behtar banaya. Dosri taraf, UK economy ne mazahmat dikhai, jahan GDP growth expectations ke mutabiq rahi aur manufacturing output ne forecast se behtar perform kiya. Ye positive economic indicators UK se pound ke liye additional bullish momentum faraham kar rahe hain. Aanewale UK retail sales data mein umeed hai ke recent downturn se rebound hoga, jo ke currency ko mazeed support de sakta hai. Is ke baraks, US consumer confidence data bhi release hone wala hai, jismein behtari ki umeed hai.

**Technical Analysis**

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne 50-day exponential moving average cross kiya hai, jo ke ek potential bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Halankeh pair ko 1.2800 level par resistance ka samna tha, lekin yeh ab 1.2850 mark ke upar trade kar raha hai. Recent upward trajectory ne pair ko resistance levels 1.2826, 1.2859, aur aakhir mein March high 1.2892 ko challenge karne ki position mein rakha hai.

**Potential Downward Pressure**

Magar, pair ko downward pressure ka samna bhi ho sakta hai. 1.2710 level, jo pehle resistance point tha, ab support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to August low 1.2663 ka retest ho sakta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath coincides karta hai. Ager mazeed decline hota hai, to 1.2620-1.2598 range target ban sakti hai.

**Conclusion**

Mukhtasir mein, GBP/USD pair ne bullish momentum dikhaya hai jo ke UK se positive economic indicators aur improved market sentiment ke wajah se hai. Halankeh pair ko resistance levels ka samna hai, lekin ek strong upward trend mazeed gains ko lead kar sakta hai. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyun ke agar support levels breach hote hain, to pair downward pressure ka shikar ho sakta hai. 200-day SMA ke qareeb settle hone ke baad, GBP/USD ne recent days mein aam tor par ek upward trend dikhaya hai. Iske bawajood, pair dobara decline kar sakta hai agar 50-day SMA, jo ke abhi test ho raha hai, maintain na ho.

اگست 16 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

برطانوی پاؤنڈ مستقبل قریب کے لیے ترقی کے آپشن کا انتخاب کر رہا ہے، جسے ہم نے کل کو 60% امکان دیا ہے۔ 1.2859 کی سطح پر قابو پانا مشکل ہے، جس کی مدد مارکیٹ کے خطرے کی طرف عمومی کشش ہے۔ آج، جولائی کے لیے برطانیہ میں خوردہ فروخت کا ڈیٹا جاری کیا جائے گا، جس کی پیشن گوئی 0.6% ہے۔



امریکہ میں، جون سے شروع ہونے والے نئے مکانات کے حجم میں 0.9% کی کمی متوقع ہے۔ یہ فرق آج پاؤنڈ میں اضافے میں بھی مددگار ثابت ہوگا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر کی لکیر سے اوپر کی طرف مڑ گیا ہے، جو تیزی کی طرف تبدیلی کی طرف اشارہ کرتا ہے۔ پاؤنڈ کے اضافے کا ہدف 1.2989 کی سطح ہے – جو 27 جولائی 2023 کی چوٹی ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت نے کل اپنی آری ٹوتھ کمی کو جاری رکھا، جبکہ مارلن مثبت علاقے میں رہا۔ قیمت 1.2859 کی سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہونے کے بعد، مارکیٹ 1.2989 تک پہنچنے کے اپنے ارادے کو تیز کرے گی۔ اگر قیمت 1.2859 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہوتی ہے تو، غیر یقینی صورتحال جاری رہے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko

Tuesday ko GBPUSD pair mein bohot bara bullish movement dekha gaya. Wednesday ko pair ne phir se downward movement banane ki koshish ki. Kal GBPUSD asani se mid Bollinger Band (BB) ko H1 time frame pe penetrate kar gaya, aur ab EMA50 ko H1 pe penetrate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Abhi tak, GBPUSD ko is important area ko penetrate karne mein thodi mushkil ho rahi hai. Agar EMA50 penetrate kar gaya, to selling ka mauka aur bhi strong ho sakta hai.
Agar GBPUSD 1.280 area ko penetrate kar leta hai aur H1 candle iske niche close hoti hai, to selling ke chances aur bhi dominant ho sakte hain. Ideal target ho sakta hai 1.2750 jo ki Tuesday ke big bullish movement ke pehle ka support area hai.

Filhal GBPUSD pair 1.2850 resistance ko test kar raha hai. Yeh area Thursday ke daily open ke sab se nazdeek hai, jo 1.2824 pe open hua tha. Kal ki price correction ne EMA12 aur EMA36 ko narrow kar diya. Abhi bhi price EMA200 H1 ke upar move kar rahi hai, isliye trend bullish hai. Asian session mein buyer support dubara se nazar aa raha hai aur price daily open se upar ki taraf ja rahi hai.

EMA12 aur EMA36 H1 ka upward cross bana raha hai. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, to buy options prepare kiye ja sakte hain, jahan bullish move 1.2890 tak ja sakta hai. Agar price resistance ko penetrate nahi karti aur 1.2799 support ko break karti hai, to sell prepare kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price EMA633 H1 aur EMA200 H1 ke niche move karti hai aur EMA12 aur EMA36 H1 ka downside crossover banta hai, to weakening ka target 1.2762 tak calculate kiya