gbp/usd

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown

GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.

MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, chalu rahegi.

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.

Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai

MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence bhi nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa chuka hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai. Jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, market ne in signals ko nazar andaz nahi kiya, is liye price ne neeche ki taraf movement ki. Kal ki candlestick ne pichhli growing candle ko mukammal tor par cover kar liya, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki ek confirmation hai. Agar hum overall situation ki baat karein to mujhe lagta hai ke qareeb waqt mein price neeche ki taraf press hoti rahegi, aur ascending line tak pohanchne ki koshish karegi jo senior daily waves ke bottoms ke saath bani hui hai, level 1.3257 tak. Agar yeh line aur level hold nahi kar paate, to decline ka continuation expected hai, ho sakta hai ke price support level 1.3008 tak pohanch jaye jo recent touch ke baad upar ki taraf move hua tha. Yeh wohi level hai jo is September ka minimum tha.

Iss waqt buy karne ka koi iraada nahi hai, aur sirf chhote time frames par downward trading formations par focus karenge. Bahut si dollar ki news release hui hai, jisme US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka speech bhi shamil hai. Aisa lagta hai ke yeh sab price ko upar se neeche ki taraf pressure dal rahe hain.

Toh, main abhi ke current situation ke hisaab se hi kaam karunga. GBP/USD ne 34th figure, yani 1.3425 ki lazy range ko work out kiya, jis ke baad price ne thoda sa neeche move kiya hai, aur ab humein ek correction three trade karne ka mauka mil raha hai. Target price level 1.3287 ho sakta hai, aur sales level takriban 1.3375-1.3362 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, lekin sirf kal se.

Aaj pound traders ke liye kaafi data release hua hai jis ne unhein excite kar diya hai, isliye behter hoga ke pehle emotions settle ho jayein, aur phir technical signals par focus kiya jaye. Kal se European session ke shuru hone par analysis karenge. Agar zarurat hui to hum aaj ke minimum level 1.3312 ko bhi target ke tor par dekh sakte hain, kyun ke abhi tak priority buyers ke saath hai. Is hafte ke aakhri trading din aur mahine ke khatam hone ke din aisa lagta hai ke general trend ko todne ki koshish nahi ki jaayegi. Do sessions ke andar bears ke saath chalne ka bhi mauka mil sakta hai

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.
Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai. Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

### GBP/USD Pair ki Price Movement

GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko Asian trading session mein nayi positive momentum dikhai, jo 1.3430 level ke nazdeek sharp overnight corrections se rebound kar raha hai. Yeh level March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha hai. Halankeh kayi Fed officials ne market ki umeedon ko counter karne ki koshish ki hai ke unhe mazeed monetary easing mil sakti hai, lekin investors ab bhi November mein significant rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain. Yeh, saath hi global financial markets mein overall bullish sentiment, safe-haven US dollar ko uski recent rebound se poori tarah faida uthane se rok raha hai, jo year-to-date lows ke nazdeek tha. Is halat ne GBP/USD pair ko support diya hai.

Iske ilawa, yeh umeed ke Bank of England (BoE) ka rate-cutting cycle United States (US) ke muqablay mein dheere hoga, British pound (GBP) ko mazeed support diya hai, jisse GBP/USD exchange rate upar gaya hai. Magar, bullish traders shayad Fed ke rate-cutting path ke bare mein mazeed concrete evidence ka intezar karein ge, pehle se mazeed upward moves ke liye commit karne se pehle. Focus ab bhi FOMC ke influential members, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, ke speeches par hai, jo dollar ko upar push kar sakte hain aur fresh momentum faraham kar sakte hain. Traders Thursday ko US economic data, jisme final Q2 GDP figures, weekly jobless claims, aur durable goods orders shamil hain, ko bhi nazar rakhenge, taake North American session ki shuruaat par short-term trading opportunities ka pata chal sake.

Positive outlook ke bawajood, market cautious hai, jo technical oscillators se zahir hota hai. Stochastic overbought territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke RSI 70 level se bounce hone ke baad downward point kar raha hai. Iske alawa, 20-day SMA apni positive momentum ko khota nazar aa raha hai, jo potential downward pressure ka ishara hai. Agar market pullback karta hai, toh pair direct move ke liye 1.3265 support level ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur phir 20-day moving average 1.3170 tak. Agar girawat mazeed aage barhti hai, toh yeh 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ka test kar sakta hai jo uptrend se 1.2300 se 1.3365 tak hai, jo 1.3113 par hai, aur shayad 1.3000 tak gir sakta hai, jo 50-day moving average ke saath coincide karta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar upward pressure phir se shuru hota hai, toh price 1.3400 area ki taraf move kar sakti hai, pehle 1.3640 par, jo February 2022 mein establish kiya gaya tha

Hello doston, GBP/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.3400 ke aas-paas battle kar raha hai, jo ke 30-mahinon ki high 1.3430 se reverse kar gaya. Traders ne profit-booking ki, jabke US dollar weak hone ke bawajood aur market ke risk-holding ke bawajood pound sterling longs ko unwind karna shuru kar diya. GBP/USD pair ne apni recent gains ko maintain kiya jo ke pichle do hafton mein register hui thi, aur Wednesday ke Asian session mein March 2022 ke baad se apne highest level 1.3430 ke kareeb pohch gaya.Fundamental backdrop ke mutabiq, spot prices ke liye sab se kam resistance ka raasta upar hai, lekin daily chart par slightly overbought conditions dekh kar bullish traders ko kuch ehtiyaat karna chahiye. England mein rate cuts ki speed United States se slow hone ka imkaan hai. Darhaqeekat, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates ka raasta downward hoga, lekin progress dheema hoga aur ultra-low levels par wapas aane ke imkaan kum hain jab tak koi major shocks na ho.Iske baraks, markets Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive policy easing price kar rahe hain, jo ke US Dollar ko is saal YTD lower rakha hua hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam kar raha hai. Markets abhi 75% se zyada chance price kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve November mein interest rates ko aur 50 basis points tak cut karega, CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq.Tuesday ka weak US macro data aur prevailing risk-on environment ne safe havens ko undermine kiya hai aur GBP/USD pair ke positive near-term outlook ko validate kiya hai. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 mark se upar chala gaya hai, jo ek minor pullback ya near-term consolidation ka signal de raha hai.Wednesday ko UK se koi relevant market-moving economic data release hone ka intezar hai, jisme BoE MPC member Megan Green ka scheduled speech GBP ko effect kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko thoda impetus de sakta hai. North American session ke shuru mein, US se new home sales data short-term trading opportunities ko create karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Lekin traders thoda ehtiyaat karenge aur koi aggressive bets place karne se pehle influential FOMC members, jisme Fed Chair Jerome Powell Thursday ko aur US PCE price index Friday ko speech karenge, ka intezar karenge