Usd/jpy

Humara abhi ka focus USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ko evaluate karna hai. Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein apni taqat ko mazbooti se barqarar rakhe hue hai, jiss se USD/JPY ke weekly chart par ek wazeh downtrend nazar aa raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, sales signals ziyata hai, aur mai inka faida uthane ka plan kar raha hoon. MACD histogram positive zone se nikal chuka hai, jab ke RSI lines bhi mazboot bearish trend mein hain. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karte hain ke price mein significant downside potential hai, aur price 140.24 level ko test karegi. Sab indicators yeh zahir karte hain ke price ke 141.694 par ek naya low hit karne ke imkanaat kaafi zyada hain. Yen ki taqat mein izafa uss soorat mein ho sakta hai agar US dollar kamzor hota hai, jo ke mojooda market conditions ke hisaab se mazid mumkin nazar aata hai. Jab ke bullish movement bhi mumkin hai, mera focus descending trend line ke resistance level ke neeche girne ke potential par hai, jo ke 161.620 ke high se hai. Daily chart par, dollar-yen pair ne pehle ek upward movement ka signal diya tha. August ke shuru mein ek doji ya qareeb qareeb doji candle bani, jis ke baad ek mohtat bharpoor bullish body ke sath candle aayi, jo continued growth ka impression deti thi. Lekin, 150.09 USD/JPY ke anticipated level ki taraf barhne ke bajaye, kai traders ab yeh sawaal kar rahe hain ke aane wale hafte mein hum August ke lows ko phir se dekh sakte hain ya nahi. Yeh soorat-e-haal kaafi uncertain nazar aati hai, jahan price dono simton mein fluctuate karne ke imkanaat hain. Mai yeh manta hoon ke trading ke start mein USD/JPY pair mein ek modest price increase as a corrective pullback ho sakta hai, lekin mujhe significant growth ki tawakku nahi hai. Agar yeh pair 145.50 ke resistance level tak badh jata hai, to mujhe yeh ideal price point lagta hai selling wapis shuru karne ka. Yeh baat bhi zaroori hai ke US dollar ko dusri major currencies ke sath pairs mein pressure ka saamna karna padega, kiun ke Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki umeed hai

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia karenge. Pair ke chart se ek upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga.
Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai. Iske ilawa, Japan bhi Friday ko aham industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte bearish movement hogi. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko target karein, jab ke potential buys 146.39 resistance level par aim kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte ek predominant bearish trend hoga, jo mere rough trading plan ka buniyadi point hoga

USD/JPY: Price Movement Insights

Hamari discussion mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price changes ka jaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne is week mein sharp decline dekha, primarily Bank of Japan ki interest rates ko 0.16% tak increase karne ki wajah se, jo positive territory mein notable shift hai. Is action ne pair ko approximately 901 points tak giraya, critical level 149.99 se neeche aa gaya.

Weak U.S. labour market data ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki expectations ko increase kiya, jis se pair par downward pressure badh gaya. Result mein, yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ko break kar gaya aur local support 146.51 par pause ho gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak hold nahi karega, aur price likely descend karke round number aur support 145.01 par pahunch jayega, jahan substantial rebound upside ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehta hai. Friday ko pair ne decline jari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pahunch paya. Is liye downward movement Monday tak jari rahega, potentially lower boundary 144.27 par pahunch sakta hai. Is target ko hit karne par reversal ho sakta hai, price upward move karke channel ke upper boundary par pahunch sakta hai, possibly 147.40 tak.




Decline linearly hua, significant pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina. Target 146.81 achieve ho gaya, senior trend line par deviation dikha raha hai. Pullback mirror level par possible hai, around 151.84. Lekin clear feedback signals ke bina, buying trades se parhez karna advisable hai. Jaise observe kiya gaya, USD/JPY pair approximately 1551 points decline hua, notable pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia karenge. Pair ke chart se ek upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga.
Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai.

Yeh guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki zinda qeemat ko samajhne ke liye hai. USD/JPY pair ek girti hui channel mein trade kar raha hai, jiski wajah se yeh neeche ki taraf trend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Yeh pair EMA 50 se wapas upar aaya hai aur ab 145.35 ke critical support level ko target kar raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi successfully test ho chuka hai, jo ke 143.99 aur 142.14 ke targets ki taraf mazeed girawat ka ishara deta hai. Tajweez yeh hai ke yeh pair bechne par tawajjoh di jaye, aur stop-loss ko 146.59 ki resistance ke upar set kiya jaye.
USD/JPY ne kal ke low ko chhunne ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Market ab aaj Fed ki ahm khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas tor par minutes ki release aur labor market data ki revision. Yeh akhri naya data zyada asar andaaz ho sakta hai, khas tor par agar data mein koi bara tabdeel aaye. Yeh imkaan hai ke is se September mein Fed ke 50-point rate cut ke hawale se spekulasion barh sake, jiski wajah se dollar kamzor ho sakta hai.

Yen ki qeemat 149.20 ke level ko chhu kar wapas niche gir gayi hai is level ko retest karne ke baad. Is bullish movement ne 139.90 ke support level ko cross karne ka signal diya tha. Japanese yen ne guzishta trading week mein apna upward correction jari rakha aur naye local highs tak pahunchne mein kaamyab raha. Qeemat 149.19 par ruk gayi thi, jahan isne resistance ka saamna kiya, aur phir wapas gir gayi aur signal zone ke neeche height khona shuru kar di. Is tarah, expected downside scenario abhi tak poori tarah se materialize nahi hua hai aur jari hai. Issi dauran, price chart supertrend red zone ki taraf wapas aaya hai, jo ke seller activity mein izafa ki nishandahi karta hai. USD/JPY pair ne Wall Street par trading ke aaghaz se girawat shuru ki, jo ke US Treasury yields ke sath seedha ta'aluq rakhti hai, jo ke kamzor dollar ki wajah se gir gayi thi. Yeh pair pehle ke din ke 147.53 par close hone ke baad 146.58 tak gir gaya. Din ka high 148.05 tha aur low 145.18. US Treasury yields ne Monday ko girawat dikhai, jo ke dollar ke khilaf nuqsan ko reflect karti hai

Japanese Yen ke Trade Analysis aur Tips
144.74 ke price test ke dauran, jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar move karne laga, yeh dollar kharidne ka sahi entry point confirm ho gaya. Iske natije mein, pair 145.55 ke target level ke aas paas pohanch gaya, bas thodi si kami rahi. Lekin, is movement ne traders ko lagbhag 60 pips ka munafa dilaya. Aaj, Japan se kaafi saari data release hui hai, jo ke positive nahi keh sakte, lekin isne yen ki bechayi ko ya dollar ko mazboot nahi kiya. Tokyo Consumer Price Index figures economists ki predictions se zyada the, jab ke unemployment, industrial production, aur retail sales ke data disappoint karne wale the aur predicted values se kam aaye. Yeh zahir hai ke pair horizontal channel ke andar hi trade karta rahega, jahan US data main market driver hoga, jo ke aaj ke dusre half ke forecast mein detail se discuss kiya jayega. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

Buy Signal

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.96 ke entry point par kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo chart pe green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur mera goal 145.43 tak upar jana hai, jo ke chart pe thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 145.43 ke area mein, main long positions ko exit karne aur short positions open karne ka plan kar raha hoon, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Hum expect kar sakte hain ke pair aaj upward correction ke framework ke andar upar jayega. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur rise kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.73 ke do consecutive tests hon aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse direction mein le aayega. Hum expect kar sakte hain ke growth 144.96 aur 145.43 ke levels tak ho.

Sell Signal

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj tabhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.73 ke level ko test kiya jaye, jo chart pe red line se plot kiya gaya hai, isse pair mein tez decline aayega. Sellers ke liye key target 144.28 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur turant long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi moment wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ka bearish market chhoda nahi hai, jo ke aaj ke data ke complete disregard se confirm hota hai. Important: Bechne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.96 ke do consecutive tests hon aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse direction mein le aayega. Hum expect kar sakte hain ke decline 144.73 aur 144.28 ke levels tak ho.

US Dollar Friday ko kuch hawkish ECB comments ke baad dheela hota hai jo DXY par wazan dala. Traders ki nazar Friday ko US PCE Price Index data par hai.
US Dollar Index 101.00 se upar chala gaya hai aur uske upar barqarar hai.

US Dollar (USD) Friday ko thoda dheela ya phir bilkul same trading kar raha hai, jab ke European Central Bank ke Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel ke hawkish comments ne European trading ko hawkish rang de diya. Halankeh recent Eurozone figures disinflation ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, ECB ke Schnabel ne kaha ke consecutive rate cuts ka koi plan nahi hai kyunke ECB ko ehtiyaat barqarar rakhni hai. Isne Euro (EUR) ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein thodi madad di. Phir bhi, US Dollar kai dusre currencies ke muqablay mein sirf thoda dheela hai kyunke traders Friday ko aakhri important economic data ke intezar mein hain. Pehle Asian trading mein, Chinese offshore Yuan ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein June 2023 ke baad apna sabse mazboot level achieve kiya, USD/CNH 7.0710 tak pahuncha.

12:30 GMT par, July ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (CPE) numbers release honge:
Headline PCE se umeed hai ke thoda strong aayega, 0.2% month-on-month, jo ke June mein 0.1% se barh jayega. Saalana component bhi 2.5% se 2.6% tak barhne ki umeed hai.

Yeh main economic data point core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hoga, jo US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hai. Zyada tar analysts ek aur soft number ki umeed kar rahe hain, US Gross Domestic Product release ke PCE component ko Thursday ko downwardly revised kiya gaya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke second quarter mein price pressures pehle se zyada dheemi thi.

USD/JPY 4-hour Chart par sideways move mein atka hua hai jo short-term trend ko analyze karne ke liye use hota hai. Yeh upar ya niche break karna zaroori hai taake directionality confirm ho – warna yeh oscillate karta rahega. USD/JPY August ke doran messy range mein trading kar raha hai bina kisi clear direction ke.




Pair shayad "sideways" trend mein hai jo tab tak continue hoga jab tak kisi ek direction mein breakout confirm nahi hota. 146.91 se upar break hone par yeh bullish signal dega aur shayad 147.85 tak le jayega, phir shayad August ke highs tak around 149.39.

Niche ki taraf, 143.45 (August 26 low) se niche break hone par zyada downside confirm hoga, shayad 141.70s tak jahan August lows hain.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni signal line se upar hai aur rising hai, jo ek mildly bullish outlook ko support karta hai, halankeh yeh zero se upar break nahi hui hai, isliye yeh abhi tak confirm nahi hua.

USD/JPY H4 Chart
Main USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ki live analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair daily chart par sideways movement dikhata raha hai. Aaj ki price action is range ke andar hai, jo humein ye sochne par majboor karta hai ke pair is direction ko continue karega ya break out karega. Iska assessment karne ke liye, technical analysis par nazar daalni hogi. Moving averages sell ka signal dete hain, jabke technical indicators strongly buy ki recommendation dete hain, isliye overall outlook neutral hai. Filhal themes sideways pattern mein rahne ke mumkin hain. United States se aik ahem update hai jo negative impact ki taraf lean karta hai, khas taur par 5-year U.S. Treasury notes ki auction hai. Dusri taraf, major news Japan se nahi hai. Iske base par, pair aaj bhi sideways move karta rahega.



USD/JPY Pair Thursday ko Asian trading hours ke doran 144.50 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Short-term pressure US dollar (USD) par Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ke dovish comments ke wajah se hai. Investors US GDP growth estimate ke intezar mein hain jo second quarter ke liye 2.8% barhne ki umeed hai. Wednesday ko, Ryozo Himino, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke deputy governor ne kaha ke bank agar inflation planned ke mutabiq continue hoti rahi to interest rates barhate rahenge aur financial markets ki sehat ko dheere se monitor karenge. Unke remarks BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke pichle hafte ke statements se milte hain, jo keh rahe the ke bank ke long-term rate-hike plans current market turmoil ke sath supported hain. Reuters survey ke mutabiq, zyada tar analysts ki umeed hai ke BOJ is saal ek aur rate hike karega, is baar December mein, October ke bajaye. Is ke muqablay mein, US currency Japanese yen ke muqablay mein gir gayi hai US Central Bank ke dovish remarks ki wajah se. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne kaha, "policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ne September mein 25 basis points (bps) ki rate decrease ko fully price kiya hai, aur zyada significant rate cut 36.5% tak aa sakti hai.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis
Sir bonus update Monday

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke real-time evaluation par mabni hai. Filhal, USD/JPY chart ek bullish pattern bana raha hai jo is currency pair ke price ko kaafi upar le ja sakta hai. Ek recent downward move ne 143.75 par protected zone ki upper boundary ko test kiya, aur price ne strong rebound ke sath north ki taraf jana shuru kiya. Aaj ke U.S. session ke doran, pair ka bullish momentum zahir ho gaya jab price 144.39 ke accumulation area tak gir gayi aur phir upar ki taraf chalti rahi. Agar price abhi wapas nahi girti aur 144.39 ke accumulation level ke neeche consolidate nahi karti, to USD/JPY ke liye bullish scenario ban sakta hai. Yeh pair ko 146.05 ke northen region ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan significant volumes ikattha hua hain. Ek bearish price action setup bhi hai.




Current price 144.732 ke resistance level ke neeche dekhne ko milti hai, jo kai baar test kiya gaya hai. Agar price is resistance level ko strongly penetrate kar leti hai, to aur bullish movement ki sambhavnayein hain jo price ko aur upar le ja sakti hain. Lekin, agar price is level par phir se atak jaati hai, to price 143.615 ke support level ki taraf phir se girne ka risk hai. Pichle movement mein, price ne 148,000 ke highest level se significant decline dekha, phir 143,615 ke support level ke aas paas naya low bana. Yahan se price ne upward retracement dekha, lekin resistance level 144.732 ko strongly penetrate nahi kar paayi. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai is area mein, lekin correction ya consolidation ke potential bhi hain is resistance level ke aas paas. Agar hum candlestick position dekhein jo Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ko penetrate karti hai, to yeh market trend ke liye ek reference hai jo lagta hai ke bearish direction mein chal raha hai. Main khud bhi trading ki potential ko pursue karna zyada pasand karunga kyunki bearish trend ke aur bhi possibilities hain. Is assumption ke sath, humein price level ko dekh kar SELL ki position prepare karni chahiye.

Forex USD/JPY ke liye Technical Analysis
Aik important US economic data ke batch ke peechay… Japanese yen ka trading US dollar ke muqablay mein 144 yen ke aas paas chal raha hai, jo teen hafton ke sabse mazboot levels ke nazdeek hai, kyunke Federal Reserve ke rate cut ka dhoka US dollar par bhari pad raha hai jabke doosri badi currencies faida utha rahi hain. Fed officials ne labor market ke risks ke bare mein alert kiya hai aur yeh bhi confidence dikhaya hai ke US inflation jaldi target par wapas aa jayegi, jo rate cut ke liye tayyar hone ka ishara hai.

Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne pichle hafte parliament ko bataya ke BOJ apni monetary policy ko adjust kar sakta hai agar economic outlook wahi rahe, jo interest rates ko phir se barhane ki readiness ko darshata hai. BOJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himeno ne is hafte bhi yeh sentiment dohraaya, keh kar ke agar economy aur prices apne current path par chalti rahengi to central bank rates ko barhaye ga.

Economic front par… Japan ka coincident economic indicators ka index, jo factory output, employment aur retail sales jaise data ko cover karta hai, June 2024 mein 113.2 pe revise kiya gaya, jo ke pehle 113.7 tha. Yeh figures May ke 117.1 ke baad aaye hain, jo February ke baad se lowest level dikhata hai, lekin “stop falling” assessment ko barqarar rakhta hai, kyunki economy moderate recovery continue kar rahi hai global headwinds ke bawajood, khas taur par China, US aur Europe se.




Is darmiyan, Japanese consumer prices ke barhne ki ummeed hai kyunki energy subsidies May mein khatam kar di gayi thi aur Bank of Japan ab policy normalization par ghoor kar raha hai kamzor currency ke madde nazar.

Aaj ka USD/JPY Forecast:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ka general trend abhi bhi bearish hai aur investors technical indicators jo strong oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain unki itni parwaah nahi kar rahe jitni ke global central bank officials ke statements ko interest rates ke future ke bare mein sunne ki kar rahe hain... Filhal, USD/JPY ke trading ke liye sabse nazdeek important support levels 142.60 aur 141.00 hain. Aaj ka US economic data: GDP growth aur weekly unemployment claims.

USD/JPY Price Action Ka Science
Main USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair daily chart par sideways movement dikhata reh raha hai. Aaj ki price action bhi is range mein hi hai, isliye hum yeh sawal kar rahe hain ke kya yeh pair is direction mein rahega ya phir breakout hoga. Iska assessment karne ke liye, technical analysis ko dekhte hain. Moving averages sell ki suggestion dete hain, jabke technical indicators strongly buy ka recommendation dete hain, jisse overall outlook neutral hai. Filhal, sideways pattern ka trend barqarar rehne ki ummeed hai. United States se ek important update hai jo negative impact ki taraf jhukta hai. Yeh specifically 5-year U.S. Treasury notes ki placement ke liye auction hai. Iske mukablay mein, major news Japan se nahi hai. Is basis par, pair aaj bhi sideways movement continue karega.




Selling opportunities 144.34 ke support level ke nazdeek mil sakti hain, jabke buying 145.26 ke resistance level tak consider ki ja sakti hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke sideways movement continue karega. H4 chart par triangle abhi solve nahi hua hai. Price ek critical point ke nazdeek hai, aur resolution kal ya shayad aaj raat tak ho sakti hai. Agar bulls 145 level ko break kar dete hain, to USD/JPY 148 ki taraf rise kar sakta hai.

Iske baraks, agar support level around 144 break hota hai, to price 141.69 tak gir sakti hai. Filhal, market mein enter karna prudent nahi hai, khas kar Asian session ke nazdeek aate hi, kyunke USD/JPY jaldi se 100 points move kar sakta hai aur triangle se breakout kar sakta hai. Aaj, dollar ne last week ke losses recover kiye hain, aur yeh strengthening trend kal bhi continue ho sakti hai, jo upcoming U.S. news par depend karega. GDP data for the second quarter aur unemployment benefit figures release honge, jo pair ko 200 points tak drive kar sakte hain dono directions mein.

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan trading ek narrow range mein chal rahi hai, jahan dollar 145 yen ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ek key psychological level hai. Yeh area kaafi ahmiyat rakhta hai aur mumkin hai ke currency pair is consolidation zone mein kuch waqt ke liye rahe. Agar dollar 145 yen ke level ko break karta hai, to yeh ¥148.50 tak move karne ke liye raasta khol sakta hai.
Dوسri taraf, agar dollar ¥143 ke level ke neeche girta hai, to market phir se ¥140 ke level ki taraf target kar sakti hai. Is pair ki movement ka zyada tar asar upcoming Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data par hoga, jo market par significant impact daal sakta hai. Jab tak yeh data Friday ko release nahi hota, tab tak humein limited activity dekhne ko mil sakti hai, shayad thoda sa bounce ho, lekin kuch zyada dramatic nahi.

Market pichle kuch waqt se kafi volatility ka shikaar hai aur yeh trend jaari rehne ki ummeed hai. Bank of Japan shayad interest rates ko thoda sa barha de, shayad 10 basis points, lekin Tokyo se monetary tightening ka sabse significant phase lagta hai ke guzra hua hai. Ab focus phir se US central bank aur uski policy decisions par shift ho raha hai.

Is context mein, market choppy aur indecisive trading dekh sakti hai bina kisi clear direction ke, jab tak economic data naye insights provide nahi karti. Traders ko current noise aur volatility ke continuation ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, jab dollar-yen pair is uncertain environment se guzarta hai. Chahe market upar break kare ya neeche, 145, 143, aur 140 yen ke key levels agle significant move ko determine karenge.

Currency pair aaj subah ke early US session ke doran critical support level 143.46 ke upar ek narrow range mein trading kar raha hai. Market participants dono Bank of Japan aur Federal Reserve (Fed) se aanewale interest rate announcements ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo agle Wednesday ko hone wale hain. Yeh cautious approach is baat ko reflect karti hai ke investors in pivotal updates ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Bank of America: Mazboot U.S. Economy Fed ko Rate Cuts Delay Karne ki Ijazat Deti Hai

Bank of America ne is situation par apni raye di hai, keh kar ke U.S. mein mazboot economic growth Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ko rate adjustments delay karne ki flexibility deti hai. Bank ne yeh highlight kiya hai ke U.S. economy abhi bhi mazboot position mein hai aur Fed ke December mein rate cuts shuru karne ke forecast ko barqarar rakha hai.




D1 Chart USD/JPY: Key Support Levels aur Bullish Requirements

Immediate support level jo dekhna hai wo 143.93 ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair August ke low ko target kar sakta hai, jo pehle support ke tor par 141.71 tha. Dusri taraf, agar buyers control wapas hasil karna chahte hain, to unhe price ko 146.00 ke mark ke upar push karna hoga aur Kumo cloud ke upar le jana hoga. Sustained bullish trend ke liye 147.84 ke upar break zaroori hoga takay current outlook challenge ho sake.

Recent bounce ke extension ko 142.00 ke level se niche, jo early May se lowest hai, additional validation ki zaroorat hogi. Technical standpoint se, pichle hafte 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke through breakdown ko bearish signal ke tor par dekha gaya. Lekin, daily chart par thoda oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne kuch short-covering activity ko lead kiya hai.

USD/JPY D1 Chart
Hamari focus USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka jaiza lena hai. Japanese yen US dollar ke muqablay mein mazid majboot ho raha hai, aur USD/JPY weekly chart par ek wazeh downtrend ban raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, sales signals barh rahe hain, aur main inhe faida uthana chahta hoon. MACD histogram positive zone se bahar nikal gaya hai, jabke RSI lines mazid bearish trend mein hain. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke significant downside potential hai, aur price 140.24 level ko test karegi. Sabhi indicators yeh kehte hain ke price ke naye low tak pohanchne ke imkaanat hain jo ke 141.694 hai. Yen ki majbooti shayad US dollar ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke abhi ke market conditions ko dekhte hue zyada mumkin lagta hai. Halankeh bullish movement bhi mumkin hai, lekin mera focus resistance level ke neeche decline par hai jo ke 161.620 high se descending trend line par hai.



Hum apni discussion mein USD/JPY currency pair ke price changes ko analyse karenge. USDJPY pair ke liye daily chart aur H4 time frame par dheere dheere shift ho raha hai, jo ke lagta hai ke decline continue karega. Sab signs is downward trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, lekin exact endpoint market forces ke mutabiq hai. Humne moving averages ke sell signal ko H4 aur hourly time frames par poori tarah leverage nahi kiya hai. Purple bar H4 signal ka potential 143.294 target karne ka hai, jabke blue bar hourly time frame ka aim 143.903 hai. Friday ko, H1 targets sirf 13 points ki farq se the—jo ke itne volatile instrument ke liye kaafi bada gap hai—isse ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. 145.211-145.648 area ke aas-paas ek pullback sell position enter karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Is scenario mein, stop-loss level 146.519 ke upar hona chahiye. Japanese yen US dollar ke muqablay mein majboot ho raha hai, aur USD/JPY weekly chart par ek clear downward trend nazar aa raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, sell signals dominant hain, aur is par faida uthane ka plan hai. MACD histogram positive zone se bahar nikal gaya hai, aur RSI lines strongly downtrend mein hain, jo ke significant price decline ke potential ko darshata hai. Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke price 140.24 level ko test karegi, aur sab indicators suggest karte hain ke price naye low tak pohanch sakti hai jo ke 141.694 hai. Yen ki majbooti shayad US dollar ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke current market conditions ko dekhte hue zyada mumkin lagta hai. Bullish movement bhi mumkin hai, lekin focus resistance level ke neeche decline par hai jo ke 161.620 high se descending trend line par hai.

USD/JPY ke saath Forex Trading
Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price performance ka jaiza le rahe hain. Bearish trend USD/JPY ko khaas taur par asar انداز kar raha hai. Filhal, mein do mumkinah scenarios par ghour kar raha hoon. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke bear apni neeche ki taraf chalti rahe, bina kisi aham correction ke, jo ke price ko 130.39 se 127.69 ke support zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dusra scenario kehta hai ke 144.99 ke aas paas ek bade correction ka asar hoga, jo price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, mein sell position lene ka sochunga; warna mein sirf dekhte rahunga aur koi action nahi loonga. Primary indicators neeche ki taraf movement ka signal de rahe hain, price MA 72 trend line ke neeche hai, jahan aksar volume kam hota hai. Mein ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon aur umeed nahi hai ke movement bilkul smooth hogi; price recently ke low 141.694 ke neeche bhi ja sakti hai ya north ki taraf bhi chal sakti hai.



Agar price 144.04 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak ja sakti hai. USD/JPY monthly Pivot level 153.84 (pehle 158.88), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar jati hai, to ek northern correction ho sakti hai; agar yeh 144.04 ke neeche girti hai, to bearish movement hone ke chances hain. Sell-off ke hone ki ummeed nahi hai. Market ke resistance level ke qareeb chhoti fluctuations ka hona aur descending trend line se additional patterns ka banana mumkin hai.