امریکی ڈالر بمقابلہ کینیڈین ڈالر: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Alongside the Canadian dollar, this pair has been trading higher since last week, breaking above the previous day's range. It has breached the upper border at 1.3744. The price surged and halted losses at the level of 1.3613. Perhaps strong support was found here, leading to a rebound to the downside. Currently, the price is consolidating in this area, trying to hold its ground. The recent downturn has pushed the price chart into the super trend red zone, indicating selling pressure. In this timeframe, the price is in a downtrend using a bearish flag pattern. If the price breaks above this channel, we may see a bullish move towards the 1.3613 level. I have also shared this analysis in my journal post. Click here to see my analysis. Currently, the price is increasing weekly, but after reaching some heights, it is declining, where a stable level began to be appropriate. This suggests a need for a correction to ensure consolidation within the current price range. However, the pair continues its downward trend, and expectations of a downturn are moderate. A sign of downside readiness would be a halt below 1.3613. This is an important resistance area for a retest and subsequent bounce. The next rebound is poised for more significant movement, targeting the areas of 1.3587 and 1.3531. A signal to cancel the current scenario would be if the price rises above the reversal level of 1.3713. Although it is falling below the signal line, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near the neutral level of 50, indicating a lack of clear direction. . It is close to the 50-day moving average, while the 200-day moving average provides strong support. If the pair moves above 1.3630 near this support level, it could move upwards towards resistance around 1.3900. Breaking this resistance level could lead to further gains, possibly reaching previous highs. USD/CAD is currently in a correction phase, but falling below the 200-day moving average could neutralize long-term sentiment. However, technical indicators suggest a potential reversal, with chances of bouncing off key support levels, paving the way back to previous highs. The upcoming speech by the Bank of Canada Governor could also influence the pair's direction by providing hints about Canadian monetary policy.

USDCAD price action forecast:

Kal USDCAD bohot volatile raha jab yeh apne peechle din (1st March) ke bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhte hue neeche ki taraf chala aur 1.3668 area par close hua. 4 ghantay ke chart par USD/CAD pair is waqt ek Ascending channel ke andar upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Forecast ki publication ke waqt, yeh 1.3668 par hai. Short-term moving averages ek bearish trend ko signal kar rahe hain, lekin recent upward breaks signal lines ke darmiyan buyers ka pressure aur mazeed growth ka imkaan dekhate hain. Yeh behtar ho sakta hai ke aap price upswings ko anticipate karen aur resistance around 1.3840 ko test karen. Uske baad, ek retracement ki umeed rakhen aur phir Forex pair mein musalsal girawat dekhen. Is downward movement ka potential target 1.3485 se neeche hai.

Ek aur potential signal jo USD ke mazeed weak hone ko support karega, yeh hoga ke agar yeh Relative Strength Index (RSI) par resistance line ko test kare aur double-top reversal pattern ke upper boundary se rebound kare. Lekin, agar USD/CAD pair mazbooti se rally karta hai aur 1.3935 level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh downward scenario ko negate kar sakta hai, aur mazeed upar ki taraf movement ka signal dega jo 1.4275 tak ja sakta hai. Bearish trend ki tasdeeq tab hogi agar pair 1.3575 se neeche break karta hai, jo double-top reversal pattern ko indicate karta hai aur us level ke neeche ke potential targets ko show karta hai.

USDCAD outlook 03/05/24 ke liye yeh hint deta hai ke resistance around 1.3840 ko challenge karne ki koshish hogi, uske baad potential descent towards levels below 1.3485 hoga. Canadian Dollar ke Forex market mein girne ka ek aur signal yeh hoga ke agar yeh trend line on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko test kare. Lekin agar USD/CAD pair mazbooti se surge karta hai aur 1.3935 level ko breach karta hai, toh yeh ongoing bullish momentum ka signal hoga jiska possible target 1.4275 se upar ho sakta hai.

Canadian dollar ab dino se gir raha hai aur Jumeraat ko shant Asian session ke doran 1.3660 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Ye kami aai jab America ka dollar kamzor hogaya Federal Reserve ke faislay ke baad jo ke kal raat ko qarar diya gaya tha ke interest rates ko stable rakhna. Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, ne umeed se zyada narm rukh ikhtiyaar kiya, jis se America ka dollar nuqsaan utha. Ab market ka tawajjo roshni ke US jobs report par muntaqil hogaya hai jo April ke liye hai aur jo ke Jumeraat ko late release kiya jayega. Jab Federal Reserve ne apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakha, to is ne mustaqbil ke rate adjustments ke liye ehtiyaat bhara nazariya zahir kiya. Powell ne ishara diya ke agla kadam mukhtalif taur par rate hike nahi hoga, aur Federal Reserve ko ek potential rate cut ke bare mein faisla karne se pehle mazeed data ki zaroorat hogi. Is ke ilawa, central bank ne apne quantitative tightening program ko slowdown hone ki ghoshna ki. Jumeraat ko, US Department of Labor ki data ne dikhaya ke berozgari ki dawaat 27 April ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye 208,000 par stable rahi. Ye shumar ummeed se behtar tha aur ye maloomat deti hai ke America ke kaam ki bazaar mein mazbooti jaari hai.



USD/CAD jodi pehle ke faide ko mita kar 20-day moving average ke neeche gir gaya hai, jis ke ab 1.3845 ke dakshini hisse mein trading ho rahi hai. Magar, lambi term ka nazariya thoda sa musbat hai. Keematain ab tak 200-day moving average ke aham se upar trading kar rahi hain, jo ke ek potential uparward bias ki alamat hai. Takneeki daleelat ek misri tasveer pesh karti hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) zero line ke neeche hai magar musbat shetraf mein hai, jo ke ek moqabalat ki kamzori ki alamat hai. Halan ke, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke bejaaniyat ki alamat hai. 50-day moving average 1.3585 par hai, jahan ke zyada aham 200-day moving average 1.3550 par support faraham karta hai. Qareebi muddat mein, 1.3630 ke support level se uthal puthal USD/CAD jodi ko 1.3730 resistance ki taraf laa sakta hai. Agar ye uparward movement hota hai, to mazeed faide is jodi ko pehle ke unchaai 1.3845 tak dubara test karne ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jahan ke agla maqsood 1.3900 tak pahonchna hai. Kul mila kar, USD/CAD jodi ab das dinon ke rally ke baad ek tasfiyati kami ka samna kar rahi hai. Aham 200-day moving average ke neeche aik mustaqil giravat lambi term ka nazariya musbat se bejaan kar sakta hai.

Pehle se humein pata tha ke USDCAD currency pair bohot gehre tak gir gaya tha. Us waqt, candle supply area mein ghus nahi paya jo ke 1.3778 ke qeemat par thi. Uscad foran 1.3634 ilaqe ki taraf chal diya. Us waqt bohot taqatwar seller pressure ne USDCAD ko 3 dinon mein lagbhag 160 pips giraya. Magar, jab NFP news release hui, to USDCAD foran ek bar phir barhne ka samna kar raha tha baad mein qareebi support ko tod kar 1.3632 ke qeemat par. Pata chalta hai ke jo barhav phir se movement ko barhne mein madadgar tha woh RBS area 1.3614 ke ilaqe mein tha.
Agar H1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, to support area mein ek kaafi lamba candle tail tha, USDCAD ka movement foran phir se upar chala gaya. Meri raye mein, yeh ek ishaara hai ke kharidar pressure market par hukoomat shuru kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, bullish Harami candle pattern bhi nazar aaya hai jo ke aik tasdeeq hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein market palat jayega. Kal ke liye, mein yeh peshgoyi karta hoon ke USDCAD aur bhi unchi satah tak barhega kyunke candle abhi tak 1.3614 ke RBS area mein ghus nahi sakta hai. Magar, mujhe bhi ihtiyaat baratna chahiye, maslan agar yeh tod jaye. Masla yeh hai ke yeh giravat aur bhi gehri kar sakti hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke tajziya kiya jaye, to candle ka moqam khud ne neela Kijun Sen line ko tor diya hai. Dekha ja sakta hai ke dono lines ek dosre ke saath milte hain. Yeh milti julti intersection USDCAD ki barhav shuru hone ke waqt hui. Candle ka moqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar chal raha hai, yeh darust rah raha hai ke trend usi raaste mein ja raha hai. Abhi ke liye, yeh indicator ne ek bullish signal diya hai.









Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator se, afsos ke saath position level 80 ko penetrate kar chuki hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke haalat over bought hain. Beshak mujhe ihtiyaat baratni chahiye agar giravat ho. Mujhe lagta hai ke candle qareebi support ko 1.3620 par nahi tod payega. Jab tak main wahan nahi pahonch jata, mujhe shak hai ke USDCAD phir se upar jayega. Agar giravat hoti hai, to woh sirf mukhtasar hoti hogi.
Is tajziya ka aakhri nateeja yeh hai ke USDCAD phir se barhne ka mauka hai kyunke candle abhi tak RBS area ko nahi tor saka. Is ke ilawa, Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke tajziya kiya jata hai, to tenkan sen aur kijun sen ne mil jhul kar intersection kar liya hai. Aur bullish Harami pattern ke ubharne se meri itminan mein izafa hua ke USDCAD mazbooti se barqarar rahega. Isliye, mein doston ko yeh mashwara deta hoon ke sirf short positions par tawajjo dain. Aap apna maqsad 1.3785 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain. Stop loss ke liye, aap isko 1.3605 ke qeemat ke range mein rakh sakte hain.

Main ab USD/CAD currency pair ki keemat ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Daily chart ki 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke oopar hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Sab se qareebi resistance Canadian dollar ke liye 1.3700 par hai. Agar yeh resistance level mojood hai, to yeh pair 1.4000 ki taraf ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, MACD lines signal line ke upar hain, jo mazeed izafa ko support karta hai. Kal, Asian trading ke doran, USD/CAD 1.3668 ke qareeb gir gaya tha ek kamzor US dollar ki wajah se. Yeh giravat Federal Reserve ke faislay ke baad hui thi, jab Chairman Jerome Powell ne interest rates ko Wednesday ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya aur umeed se kam aggressive tone strike kiya. Magar, pair thoda sa 1.3687 tak recover hua. Yeh correction news-induced drop ke baad hua, jismein pair trend triangle par wapas aya D1 time frame par, uptrend ko tor kar. Is natije mein, keemat uptrend se door hui, triangle ke trend line ke neeche gir gayi, chart par 1.3609 par bearish momentum ko darust karti hai.








Chhote arse mein, main Monday se mazeed giravat ka intizaar karta hoon, barqi correction ke bawajood. 1.3765 par resistance bechnay ke mauqe ko darust karta hai, jahan kisi bhi false breakout ke chances ke sath giravat jaari reh sakti hai. 1.3788 ko tor kar barqarar hona aur uske upar rehna mazeed mazbooti ko signal karega, haan, yeh doosri darja hai. Resistance bhi 1.3788 par barqarar hai, jo giravat ko aur barqarar kar raha hai. Haal hi mein false breakout ke baad, 1.3629 ko tor kar barqarar hona aur neeche rehna bechnay ke mauqe ko signal kar sakta hai. Giravat mazeed lambi ho sakti hai. 1.3785 ke upar kisi bhi mazeed girne ke mauqe ko signal karta hai, jabke 1.3743 ki taraf giravat mumkin hai. Kisi bhi choti izafi momentum ko taqreeban 1.3546 ke neeche girne ke baad bechnay ke mauqe mutawaqqa hain.

Aaj, USD/CAD ka bazaar ka jazbat mukhtalif key factors ke asar par mushtamil hai jis mein ahamiyyati toor par Canadian employment aur unemployment rates shaamil hain jo market sentiment ko kafi had tak mutasir kar sakta hai. Ye figures, Canada ke kaam ka bazaar ki sehat ko numaya karte hain, jo ke traders aur investors dono ke liye mulk ki ma'ashiyati rukh ki insights ke liye qareebi tor par nazar rakhe jate hain. Ek saath, US 30-years Bond Auction ek aur volatility ka tajwez hai, jo ke fresh market movements ko agay barhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. In variables ke darmiyan, US unemployment rate aik buland-asar event ke tor par saamne ata hai, jo ke trading volumes mein mukhtalif shifts ko janam dene ki salahiyat ke liye mashhoor hai. In tajaweez ke ird gird mojood volatility ke pesh-e-nazar hone par, aik fundamental ya news-based trading strategy apni marzi ke mutabiq lagane wala munasib nazar ata hai. Taza ma'ashi deta aur news events se hasil hui maloomat ka faida uthate hue, hum apne aap ko mukhtalif market conditions ke jawab mein faida hasil karne ke liye behtar tarike se position mein le sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, stop-loss measures ka istemal nuqsanat ko kam karne aur anjaan market fluctuations ke khilaf apne aap ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye lazmi hai. Aaj ke trading manzar mein safar mein, hoshiyari zaroori hai, jo news events ke nateeje ko seedha asar dene wale USD/CAD pair par mukhtalif focus ke liye zaroori hai. Kuch naye trends ka istemal karte hue ya potential risks ke khilaf hedging karte hue, fundamental analysis mein mabni aik strategic approach aur mojooda market sentiment se inform ho kar mashhoor tariqe par nazar rakhi jani chahiye. Is tarah, traders ko hoshiyar rehne ki peshkash ki jati hai, jo ke apne strategies ko waqt par tabdeel karke mukhtalif market dynamics par faida hasil kar sakte hain jabke hoshiyar risk management practices ko amal mein late hain. USD/CAD pair jo ke ma'ashi deta releases aur news events ke zariye potential fluctuations ke liye mustamil hai, aaj ke trading environment mein qawaz aur mutanasib tareeqe se safar karna zaroori hai. Ahem taraqqiyan par nazar rakhne aur fundamental analysis aur news-based strategies ka dhanche ke istemal se traders apne trading endeavours ko optimize kar sakte hain jabke musallat market movements ke khilaf mehfooz rakhte hain. USD/CAD ka bazaar ka jazbat mukhtalif news data releases ke waqt apne faide ko pakarne ke liye behtareen tor par samajhne ki koshish karein. Khush rahein!

Mojooda waqt mein USD/CAD 1.3752 par khareeda farokht ho raha hai. USD/CAD ka bazaar kisi doosre ahem currency pairs se mukhtalif nahi hai. USD/CAD aik shandar pair hai; kyun ke bohot se log is se shandar munafa kama rahe hote hain. Ab hum yahan se aik kharidari ka rally ka intezar kar sakte hain. Agar hum USD/CAD ke rukh ki baat karein to yeh bullish pahlu hai. Khareedaron ka momentum tezi se barh raha hai, isliye qeemat zor se barhegi. Dhire dhire mujhe mehsoos hota hai ke meri USD/CAD ki tafteesh achi hai kyun ke mein USD/CAD mein bohot kaam karta hoon, isliye mein is par trading karta hoon aur behtareen munafa bhi kama leta hoon. Maujooda waqt ke chart par Relative Strength Index RSI(14) indicator ka qeemat 76.2811 hai, isliye aam tor par khareedaron ka zor USD/CAD par hai, aur is wajah se mein samajhta hoon ke USD/CAD resistance ko toornay ke liye agay badhega. Waqt ke saath saath, moving average convergence divergence MACD(12,26,9) line aik bullish lehar mein hai. MACD abhi bohot zyada ooncha ja raha hai. 28 EMA aur 44 EMA bhi 1.3752 ke darje par farokht ho rahe hain, jo ke upar ka izhar hai. USD/CAD ke liye short-term resistance 1.3785 ke aas paas hai. Agar USD/CAD 1.3785 ke upar jaake wapas nahi aata, to khareedaron ko dilchaspi dikhayi de sakti hai aur USD/CAD ko kam se kam 1.3863 tak le aayenge aur USD/CAD ko agle target par pressure daalenge jo ke 1.4072 hai jo ke teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, USD/CAD ke liye short-term support 1.3725 ke aas paas hai. Agar USD/CAD 1.3725 ke neeche jaake wapas nahi aata, to faroqat dikhane wale log dilchaspi dikhayenge aur USD/CAD ko 1.3876 tak le aayenge aur USD/CAD ko agle target par pressure daalenge jo ke 1.3463 hai jo ke teesra support level hai. Mein USD/CAD ko 1.3863 tak khareedne ki tavsiyat deta hoon; yeh aik lambi dour ki tehqiq hai, isliye aik achi intezar ki zaroorat hai taake aik acha inaam hasil ho sake.

USD/CAD

USD/CAD kee keemat aik dull muddat kay dauraan lagbag 1.3580 ke aaspaas hoti hai jab ke tawajjuh America ke kaam ki data ke taraf hoti hai. Karobariyo ko June ke liye manayi gayi Tehreek rate cut ki wazahat ke liye saktion asar par jatka diya gaya. USD/CAD aik climbing triangle design se bahar nikalne ke qareeb hai. USD/CAD jod par Tuesday ke European mulaqat mein 1.3580 ke aaspaas horizontal trading karta hai. Loonie maal ek sakhari faida ko 1.3580 ke upar barqarar karne mein sakht hoti hai jabke karobariyo ko Central Bank (Fed) ney Sood ki dar mein kami ka pehla ishaara dene ke baare mein jankari milti hai. Is haftay, karobariyo ko March ke NFP report par tawajjuh deni chahiye, jo Jumeraat ko shaya kiya jayega. Aaj ki mulaqat mein, karobariyo ko February ke job openings par tawajjuh deni chahiye. Mutabiqe istihdam ke 8.74 million jobs shaya kiye gaye hain, jo ke 8.863 million January mein se kam hai. Iss doran, market ke mood ko risk-off mumtazoon ke lehaz se shorat di ja rahi hai jab ke United States Manufacturing PMI March ke liye behtareen maqamiyat darust karne ke liye karobariyo ko apni tayariyon ko tez karne par majboor kiya hai. S&P 500 ke mustaqbil par European mulaqat mein kuch nuqsanat shaya kiye gaye hain. United States Dollar Index (DXY) char mahinay ke unchay darjat ke qareeb 105.00 ke qareeb mubadil hai. Canada Dollar ke agle kadam ko March ke kaam ki data par guzara jaye ga, jo Jumeraat ko shaya kiya jayega. Mutabiqe Canadian employers ne 25K job seekers ko muntakhib kiya hai. USD/CAD aik daily time chart par Climbing Triangle design se bahar nikalne ke qareeb hai. Aik Triangle design ka bahr nikalne wala istakhal is taraf ya us taraf ho sakta hai. Naqsha ke mutabiq taizi ke izhaar ka khatra kam ho raha hai. Pehli darja band line yeh design ko 1.3177 par December 27 low se lagaya gaya hai jabke hota sa resistance December 7 high se 1.3620 par plot kiya gaya hai. 20 dinon ka Dramatic Moving Average (EMA) 1.3520 ke qareeb qaim hai, jo aik horizontal trend ko darust karta hai. 14 maahyati Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 ki mehdood range ke andar ghumta hai, jo bazaar ke shirakat daron ke darmiyan shak-o-shubhat ko zahir karta hai. Agar Loonie resource December 7 high 1.3620 ko paar kar leti hai to is se asset ko May 26 ki unchai 1.3655 tak le jayega, jo ke 1.3700 ke gol darja ki manzil tak jayega. Dosri taraf, neechay Febraury 22 low 1.3441 ke neeche ek side move USD/CAD ko 1.3413 ki Febraury 9 ki neeche low ke liye khuli karegi. Agar akhri halaat ko toor diya jata hai to ek neeche low tak ke pehlu ka izhaar karenge 1.3382 ko January 15 low tak lejayega.

USD/CAD:

USDCAD jodi ka keemat ab bhi market trading mein dheere dheere barhne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke pichle somwar ko hua. Aaj keemaat ke izafe ne apni urooj tak pohanch gaya aur 1.3812 zone ko chhua. Kharidari ki quwwat phir se aane lagi nazar aati hai kyunki ek bullish candlestick ke shakal se zahir hai. Hafta ki shuruaat mein safar ke liye, pehle market ne bearish rukh ki taraf safar kiya tha aur 1.3546 tak pohanch gaya, phir jab forex market is hafte trading dour mein dakhil hua toh wazeh tha ke keemaat phir se sabse kam zone ko chhod gayi hai.

Bas is haftay ke izafe mein itna mazboot nahi lag raha hai. Darmiyani hafte mein aur zyada bataur mufeed qarar rides hosakti hain. Ab tak, USDCAD market ki hawala se bari time frame par shuruaati tor par bullish nazar aati hai, mein is halat ko rozana aur h4 time frames par charts ke zariye monitor karta hoon. Bas pehle mahine ke murney se ek hafta pehle lag raha tha ke qeemat ko kam karna chah rahe bikriyon ki taraf se mazboot koshishain thi. Magar yeh sirf ek din ya do din tak chal sakti hai, baki waqt market phir se upar ki taraf ja raha hai.

Agar is hafte market apna izafa jari rakhe toh, yeh ab bhi mukhtalif trend ko phir se bullish taraf le jane ki salahiyat rakh sakta hai. Agar aap dekhte hain ke aam tor par kya hota hai, aksar darmiyani hafte mein zyada volatility aur keemat ki harkat hoti hai aur market mein keemat phir bhi bullish taraf chal sakti hai. Kyunki lambi muddat ki tasalsul abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hoti hai, to behter hai ke abhi jo trend chal raha hai uspar tawajjo di jaye. Shayed kharidaron ko candlestick ko 1.3846 zone ko test karne ke liye upar le jana chahta ho.

USD/CAD currency pair kay tajziye ko samajhna, amooman woh logon ke liye mushkil ho sakta hai jo forex trading mein naye hain. Lekin, agar hum isay samjhne ki koshish karenge, to humein pata chalega ke ye pair kaise behave karta hai aur kis tarah se iska keemaat mukhtalif factors par depend karta hai. Sab se pehle, USD/CAD ka pair darusti se samajhne ke liye, humein dono currencies, ya'ni US Dollar aur Canadian Dollar ke baray mein thodi bahut maloomat honi chahiye. US Dollar (USD) duniya ka sab se strong aur sab se commonly traded currency hai. Duniya bhar mein iski ahmiyat bohot ziada hai aur isay 'safe haven' currency bhi kaha jata hai, ya'ni log apna paisa ismein invest karke apne paise ko mehfooz samjhte hain. Doosri taraf, Canadian Dollar (CAD) Canada ki official currency hai. Canada ek developed country hai jo ke apni stable economy aur natural resources ke liye mashhoor hai. Isi wajah se Canadian Dollar bhi forex market mein important hai. Ab, USD/CAD ke pair ki keemat par asar daalne wale kuch important factors hain. Sab se pehle to economic indicators ka impact hai. Jaise ke aapne kaha ke jab America ke kaam ki data aata hai, USD/CAD ki keemat mein tabdeeli hoti hai. Yeh is liye hota hai kyun ke America ek top economy hai aur iski performance duniya bhar ke markets ko asar karti hai. Doosra important factor hai crude oil ka price. Canada ek major oil exporter hai, is liye crude oil ke price mein tabdeeli bhi USD/CAD pair par asar dalta hai. Agar crude oil ke prices badte hain, to CAD strong hota hai aur USD/CAD ki keemat ghat ti hai. Political events aur monetary policy decisions bhi is pair par asar dalte hain. Central banks ke interest rate decisions, trade policies, aur geopolitical tensions bhi keemat par asar daal sakte hain. Overall, USD/CAD ke pair ki keemat ko samajhna ek challenging task ho sakta hai lekin agar hum economic indicators, political events, aur market trends par nazar rakhein, to hum is pair ke movement ko better predict kar sakte hain.

USD/CAD currency pair ki keemat ka andaza. Aaj ke US karobari daur mein, USD/CAD joda mukhtalif khabron ka rad-e-amal karke, ek complex technical manzar ko janam diya. Kamzor US mazdoori market ki data ne dollar ke farokht ko bharkaya, jis se joda haftay ke naye kumon tak pohanch gaya, jo ke kal ke bullish jazbat ke mutazad tha. D1 chart par, bullish absorption ke isharaat hain ke joda mazeed neeche jana pasand nahi karta. Ghantay ke chart par, joda ek descending channel trend ko follow kiya, jis se 1.3618 tak neeche pohancha phir 1.3679 tak ooper chadha. Halankeh, ek neechay ki palat mumkin thi, lekin joda channel ke through ooper chadh gaya, jo ke jari raha ishteraak ke ooper darwazay ko ishaarat karta hai, aik mumkin nishana 1.3748 par. Joda ne do dinon tak bearish harkat dikhayi magar aaj se ek bullish trend ki taraf move kiya. Joda ki mustaqbil ki harkat ghum sum hai, jahan tak technical indicators ki ishaarat hai, aik mumkinah harkat aur position khud ko mutabiq karti hain.





Khaas tor par, USD/CAD ke khareedari walay 1.3700 ke agle rukh zone ko paar karne ka maqsad aane wale ghanton ya dino mein rakhte hain. Magar is manzar ke samundar mein safar karna sirf agah banane se zyada hai; ye sanjeeda mumkinat aur tabdeeli ko qabool karne ki taiyari ki darkhwast karta hai. Karobari mahool hamesha tabdeel hota rehta hai, jisme iqtisadi policies se le kar aatijati taraqqiyat tak mukhtalif factors shaamil hote hain. Aur aise ek dynamic mahol mein, sakht raayon ki kamiyaabi ka imkaan kamzor hota hai. Isliye, hoshyaar rehna, lachak aur taraqqiyati rujhaanon ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar rehna ahem hai. Meri tajurba ke mutabiq, USD/CAD ke bazar dobara ooper chadh sakta hai aur aane wale dino mein 1.3722 ke resistance zone ko check kar sakta hai mazeed girne ka sell signal, kyunki is ki curve abhi neeche ki taraf mudri hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is lehaz se, hum ek mufeed short sale transaction ko behtareen keemat par ikhtitam karne ka acha waqt qaraar de sakte hain, jis ka maqsad bazar ki quotes ko channel ka neeche ka border (laal dotted line) tak pohanchana, jo ke 1.35595 ke price level par waqai hai.

Jumeraat ke European karobari daur ke pehle ghanton mein, USD/CAD joda neeche ki taraf rawana hua, 1.3660 mark ke qareeb pohncha. Ye giravat asal tor par US Dollar (USD) ke kamzor rukh se le kar aayi gayi hai, jo ke joda ko teen hafton ke qareeb dekha nahi gaya. Canada se qareebi muddat mein koi bari aitmaad mand iqtisadi data releases na hone ki wajah se, USD ki rukh ka tasavvur rahega jo ke USD/CAD jod ki harkat par asar andaz ho ga.

USD/CAD ke Bunyadi Asaar:

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell aur dosre policy makers ka taluq umeed hai ke hawkish awaz ikhtiyar karenge, inflation ke 2% target tak wapas anay par darust hone ki zarurat par zor dalenge qabal rate cuts ka imtihan karne se pehle. Halal tehqiqat ke hilaf ki harkatein market ki ghaflat ko kamzor dikhate hain, jab ke investors ab sirf 25% ke kareeb ek rate cut ke imkanat ko nafrat karte hain jo ke peechle haftay ke muqable se 50% se kam hai. Is ke ilawa, market indicators CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq September ki meeting mein rate karkardagi ke 60% ke kareeb imkanat ko zahir karte hain.

Ghantay ke Time Frame Technical Manzarnama:

USD/CAD joda apni karobari channel ke neeche ki hadood ko samajhne ke liye tayar nazar aata hai, jo ke 1.3633 mark ke qareeb idhar udhar hai. Agar ye ahem juncture torh jata hai, to neeche ki rukh ke imkanat barh sakti hain, joda ko ahem support areas ki taraf rahnumai karne ke liye. Khaas tor par, 1.3600 par zehni darja aur 1.3592 par waqay 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par tawajjo hoti hai, jo 1.3177 aur 1.3848 ke darmiyan maujood hai. Yeh mukhtasir zones traders ke liye ahem isharaat faraham karte hain jo joda ki harkat ko nigrani mein rakhte hain.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line qeemati idaray faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein, MACD line khud ko centerline ke ooper muqarrar karti hai, bullish raftar ki alamat hai, halankeh ye signal line ke neeche hai. Traders jo MACD ko ek der guzra nishaan samajhte hain, unhen iski harkaton se tasdeeq talash karni chahiye taa ke unka mojudah trend ka samajh mustahkum ho sake.

USDCAD PRICE ACTION WEEKLY FORECAST FOR MAY 13-17

USD/CAD currency pair trading week ko 1.3667 ke qareeb gir kar mukammal hoti hai. Ye aik ahem "Head and Shoulders" reversal pattern mein hai jo ke ek urdu rukh mein hai. Moving averages se bullish trend signals wazeh hain. Is ke ilawa, qeemat abhi haal hi mein signal lines ke darmiyan se oopar tor kar uparward break karta hai, jo ke kharidaron ki dabao aur qareebi mein mazeed izafa ke isharaat ko darust karta hai. Halankeh, abhi hum aik izafi koshish ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke 1.3745 ke qareeb resistance ko test karne ki taraf hai. Bad mein, ek neeche giravat ka rebound mutawaqqa hai, jo ke quotes mein giravat ki jari rukh ki tajweez bhi karta hai, jo ke 1.2995 ke neeche shikar hai.

USD/CAD currency pair ke liye ek aur bearish signal aik test ke through aa sakta hai bearish trend line ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) par. Is ke ilawa, Head and Shoulders reversal pattern ke oopri had se rebound bhi mazeed downside ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar agar mazboot izafa ho aur USD/CAD joda May 13-17, 2024 ki trading week ke doran 1.4085 ke oopar toor de, jo ke aham resistance ke toor par breakthrough darust karta hai, to ye joda mazeed 1.4395 ke taraf jari izafa ki taraf le jayega. Mutazaadat mein, joda mein giravat ka tasdeeq neeche se bullish channel ki hadi ka toorna aur 1.3455 ke neeche price ko bund karne se darust kiya ja sakta hai.





May 13-17, 2024 ke liye USD/CAD ka tajwez aik mumkin bullish correction attempt ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke 1.3745 ke qareeb resistance area ko test karne ki taraf hae. Magar, joda ko apni giravat ko dobara shuru karna intezar hai, 1.2995 ke neeche shikar karte hue. Mazeed giravat ki mumkinat ko darust karne ke liye aik or nishan aik test ho sakta hai Relative Strength Index (RSI) par. Mutazaadat mein, agar mazboot izafa ho aur USD/CAD joda 1.4085 ke oopar toor de, aham resistance level mein breakthrough ko ishara karta hai, to ye joda mazeed 1.4395 ke taraf jari izafa ki taraf le ja sakta hai, joda ke doosri giravat ki mumkinat ko rad kar dete hue.

USD-CAD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS:

USDCAD ke market movement mein mumkin tarz-e-raftar ki taraf nazar daal sakte hain. Mere technical analysis ke liye main Moving Average indicators 20, 50, aur 100 aur Relative Strength Index ka istemal karta hoon. Pura tajziya ke liye neeche tafseel dekhein.

Pichli giravat ke baad jo bearish raddi shiraa'at dikhayi di gayi, jo ke 100 Moving Average ke harkat hadood par nazar aayi, trend H4 TF reference ke mutabiq ek bullish marhala mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Izaafat ke baad, qeemat supply area (1.37023) tak pohanch gayi, jo ke 1.37850 ke darja-e-aham resistance level ke neeche hai. Qeemat supply area se bearish entrancement ka samna kar rahi lagti hai, aur neeche ki taraf harkat 100 Moving Average ke hadood ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Chhote arsay mein bearish harkat ke liye 1.36120 ke aas pass neeche RBS area ko test karne ki koshish ek option nazar aati hai.

Jab bullish trend upar jaari rehta hai, to dekhna dilchasp hai ke kya RBS area ke darja mein bearish raddi shiraa'at hoti hai. Agar bearish correction harkat jaari rehti hai, to bearish correction harkat ke jaari rehne par 1.37020 se 1.36120 ke darja mein chhote arsay ke sell position mein dakhil hona munasib ho sakta hai


Aap sales target ko 1.36120 tak pohanchne ka iraada kar sakte hain aur nuksan ki khatra had ko 1.3702 ke upar rakhein. Agar aap kharidna chahte hain, to 1.37020 se 1.36120 ke darja mein pending buy limit order rakhein. Mumkin hai ke is qeemat range mein TP1 1.3760 ke darja tak pohanch jaye aur TP2 zero area ke 1.38050 ke aas paas pohanch jaye. 1.3580 ke darja ke neeche kharidne ke mansoobe se koi nuqsan ka khatra nahi hai.

USDCAD

Monthly Timeframe:

Monthly timeframe par, USDCAD currency pair lagbhag ek saal aur aadha se 1.3150–1.3900 ke range ke andar idhar-udhar ghoom raha hai. Is lambi muddat ki sahmari ka matlab hai ke koi wazeh trend ki taraf rukh kaun nahi hai, jahan market ek wazeh channel ke andar harkat kar raha hai. Haal hi mein yeh dikh raha hai ke yeh channel ke upeer had se ulta rukh lena chahta hai, lekin abhi tak iska inteha nahi pohancha hai. Is channel ke andar, mukhya maqsad opposite boundary ko nishana banana hai jab tak ke market sentiment mein koi naye tabdeeli ke sabab rukh ka tawajjo nahi hota hai. Yeh mustaqil lateral harkat market ke shiraa'at karne walon ke darmiyan ek faisla na karne ke dor ki daleel hai, jahan na to bull aur na hi bear pair par qaabu kar rahe hain. Is tarah, traders kahtay hain ke unhe ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur kisi bhi ahem position par dakhil hone se pehle qeemat ki harkat ko muntazir rahna chahiye.

Weekly Timeframe:

Weekly timeframe par, 1.3844 ke peak se ek raddi shiraa'at saamne aayi hai, jo bullish momentum ki taraf shift ki sambhavna ko dikhata hai jisme nishana ab upar diye gaye peak par hai. Waisay, agar ek bearish trend ubharta hai, to neeche ki mukhtalif hadood par dhanche wale buying imbalance zone ke andar rukne wale targets shamil hain jo 1.3263 se lekar 1.3339 tak hain, sath hi minimum 1.3176 bhi hai. Khaas tor par, qeemat ki harkat ne do hafton ke doran 1.3646 se 1.3722 tak ke imbalance zone mein shiraa'at kar di hai, jise chhote-candle aur mukhtalif rukh wale shadows ki alamat ke sath darust kiya gaya hai. Yeh shakhsiyat uncertainty ka ishaara hai ke market ko mukhtalif signals ke darmiyan ek wazeh rukh tay karna mein mushkil hai.

Daily Timeframe:






Daily timeframe par, haal hi ki neeche ki rukh mazboot nazar aati hai, jo ek zahir imbalanced darusti ke sath nazar aati hai, jo ke neeche ki harkat mein khasa momentum dikhata hai. Yeh gap ek mazboot imbalanced zone ko phorna ki koshish ka darusti ka ishaara karta hai, jo pehle bhi qeemat ki mazeed kamiyon ka rukh kaun tha. Is harkat ka ek mumkin nishana 1.3476 ke minimum level par kiya ja sakta hai.

Is tarah, ziada timeframes ki tajziya qeemat ke rukh mein ek neeche ki taraf biased hoti hai, lekin tasdeeq mazeed wazeh aur faal harkat ki intezar karti hai. May 13-17, 2024 ke liye USDCAD ki tajziya ek potential bullish correction ki taraf ishaara karta hai, jisme pehle aim 1.3745 ke qeemat ki rukh hai. Magar asal indicators neeche ki taraf rukh ka jari rehne ka sath dikhate hain, jo ke 1.2995 ke neeche ki taraf mukhtalif hosakti hai. Ek ahem soorat-e-haal ko dekhne wali nishandahi Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki trend line hai, jo agar tooti to bearish momentum ko tasdeeq karti hai. Doosri taraf, agar 1.4085 ke level par tezi aaye aur resistance mein phor ho, to yeh ek ahem tabdeeli ko darust karta hai, jise 1.4395 ke qeemat tak mazeed barhawa de sakta hai. Yeh manzare ko barhaawa dene wale barah-e-raast nishandahi ko mansookh karta hai, jise trend ki tabdeeli ke potential key resistance levels ko nazar andaz karne ka ahamiyat par nazar rakhte hain.