eur/usd

Jab European trading session ka aaghaz hota hai Friday ke din, toh currency pair ka trading activity 1.1005 level ke aas paas kaafi solid rehti hai, jo ke rozana ke fayde ke silsile ko khatam kar deti hai. US Dollar dheere dheere mazboot ho raha hai kyunki market ke log ECB (European Central Bank) ke aaj ke bohot hi ahem monetary policy meeting se pehle ihtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Investors US ki aham economic data releases ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain, jin mein weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur Philly Fed Manufacturing Index shamil hain.

Aane wali ECB rate decision forex traders ka primary focus hai. General expectation yeh hai ke ECB current interest rates ko maintain karega, chunanche June mein ek quarter-point rate cut hua tha. Halaat mein koi foran tabdeeli ki umeed nahi hai, magar traders ECB President Christine Lagarde ke speech se kisi bhi change ya policy adjustments ke hints lene ki koshish karenge. US rate markets ne September 18 ko hone wale FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting mein quarter-point rate cut ka almost full price in kar liya hai. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein rate cut ki 98% probability hai.

Yeh currency pair lagatar upward trajectory par hai jab se late July mein yeh 1.0710 ke aas paas ke low tak pohoch gaya tha. Ab yeh 18-week ka high choo chuka hai jo ke 1.1048 ke qareeb hai, jahan isne ek declining channel ke upper bound ko break kiya hai. Magar, bearish pressure ke barhne ke sath, yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average tak wapas ja sakta hai jo ke 1.0995 par hai. Wednesday ke trading session mein, pair ne apne recent range ke upper end ko briefly touch kiya, jo ke midweek session mein solid performance dikhata hai. Agar buyers is momentum ko maintain karte hain, toh yeh pair apni chauthi consecutive week of gains secure karne ke liye tayaar hai.

Euro ka US Dollar ke khilaf girawat
Haal hi mein Euro ka US Dollar ke khilaf girawat dekhi gayi hai, jahan yeh ahem satah 1.1000 se neeche gir gaya hai, bawajood iske ke investor ka aitmaad barh raha tha. Yeh girawat us waqt hui jab US ka retail sales report record 18-mahina high pe pohoch gayi, jis se iqtisadi mandi ka khauf kam ho gaya. Magar market ka rad-e-amal mila-jula raha. Ibtida mein is achi iqtisadi data ne market ka hosla barhaya, magar sath hi sath Federal Reserve ke aggressive interest rate barhane ke andazat thanda kar diye. Ab investors dheere-dheere badhane ke rujhan ki taraf jhuk rahe hain, aur September mein 25 basis point ka izafa zyada mumkin lag raha hai. Is rate hike ki umeedon mein tabdeeli ne US Dollar ki jadh ko kamzor kiya, jis se EUR/USD pair thoda mazboot rah
Technical Analysis
Agar technical point of view se dekha jaye, toh EUR/USD pair apni haali rally ke baad consolidation dikha raha hai. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0826 par hai, ek potential support level ke taur par kaam kar sakti hai. Magar overall trend yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD apne downtrend channel mein wapas aa sakta hai jo iski 2024 ki movement mein daikhne ko mila. Agar yeh pair resistance level 1.0940-1.0970 ke upar break karta hai, toh yeh psychological mark 1.1000 ko target kar sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.1045 ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha, toh agla target 1.1100 level tak shift ho sakta hai, jo 1.1150 area tak extend ho sakta hai. Agar yeh pair 1.0940-1.0970 ke upar rehne mein nakam raha, toh yeh phir se downtrend mein chala jayega, jahan 200-day EMA aik aham support level banegi
Short-Term Outlook
Short term mein, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 1.0875 par hai aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement jo October-December ki upward swing ka hai, yeh selling pressure ko roknay mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Magar agar bearish momentum is level ko tor deta hai, toh girawat tez hoke 1.0700 mark tak ja sakti hai
Market Sentiment
Kul mila kar, jahan tak ke EUR/USD pair ko temporary setbacks ka samna hai, market sentiment phir bhi ehtiyaat ke sath optimistic hai. Pair ki future direction ka zyada inhsar aanay wali iqtisadi data, interest rate expectations, aur geopolitical factors par ho ga

Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai
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Umeed hai ke aap hamesha achi sehat mein hon aur ummeed hai ke guzshata Jumme ko bohot se withdrawals huye honge. Aaj raat main EURUSD currency pair ki movement ka tajziya karunga, fundamental aur technical analysis ka istamal karke agle order ke liye. EURUSD currency pair ki movement guzshte Jumme ko ab tak 1.1040 ke price tak barhne ki koshish karti nazar aayi. Yeh izafa is wajah se hai ke US dollar ki exchange rate kaafi kamzor ho gayi thi jab building permits ka data release hua jo 1.40M tak kam ho gaya aur housing starts bhi 1.24M tak kam hui. Is wajah se EURUSD ki movement aur barh gayi hai, aur mumkin hai ke yeh future mein 1.10350 ke price ko bhi paar kar jaye. Iske ilawa, abhi ke euro exchange rate bhi kafi strong hai kyunki trade balance data 17.5B tak barh gaya hai aur French final CPI 0.2% tak barh gayi hai. Isliye, yeh mumkin hai ke EURUSD ki movement future mein phir se 1.10400 ke price tak barhe. Aaj raat ke fundamental analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq main EURUSD ko 1.1040 tak BUY karne ka faisla kiya hai.




Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EURUSD currency pair ki future movement ke liye main ab bhi EURUSD ko 1.1050 tak BUY karne ka rujhan rakhta hoon. Yeh isliye hai ke H1 time frame mein EURUSD ki movement ne bullish engulfing candle banayi hai jo ke BUY EURUSD ke liye ek mazboot signal hai. Lekin, humein EURUSD ke downward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye kyunki relative strength index indicator 14 ke mutabiq EURUSD price 1.1030 par overbought hai, yaani ke buying saturation bohot zyada hai. Isliye, bohot mumkin hai ke Monday ko EURUSD 10-30 pips ke beech correction ka samna kare. Yeh SELL signal bhi SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye support hota hai kyunki jab EURUSD price 1.1030 par pahunchti hai, toh yeh SBR area mein hoti hai. Isliye, yeh bohot mumkin hai ke EURUSD kaafi gehra correction dekhne ko mile aur Monday ko 1.09950 ke price tak aaye. Technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq main aaj EURUSD ko 1.09950 tak SELL karne ka faisla kiya hai.

EUR/USD ka tajzia:
Yeh lagta hai ke EUR/USD ka pair 1.1050 ki taraf jane mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai, lekin ho sakta hai ke is level ka dobara imtihaan ho jo isay 1.1050 ya hatta ke 1.1070 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh observation mojooda trading volumes ki buniyad par hai, jo yeh batata hai ke humein is level tak ek upward pull ka tajurba ho sakta hai. Magar, isi volume ko dekhte hue, musalsal growth ki buhat zyada gunjaish nazar nahi aati, aur neeche ki taraf ek complex reversal ke asaar ho sakte hain.

Jaisay hi hum naye hafte mein dakhil hotay hain, ho sakta hai ke weekly candle bullish momentum dikhaye, jo pehle ke price action ko absorb kar le. Yeh ek imkaan hai, lekin mein mashwara doon ga ke kisi bhi trade mein jaldi na karein. Behtari yeh hogi ke aglay hafte ek do din ke liye market behavior ko observe karein aur dekhein ke mamlaat kis tarah unfold hotay hain. Mera andaza hai ke growth ki buniyad mazboot nahi hai, ya kam az kam yeh umeed hai ke yeh mazboot nahi hai.

Main apko EUR/USD pair ke liye achi qismat ki dua deta hoon. Mein strong resistance level 1.1050-70 ke qareeb bechne ka soch raha hoon. Agle hafte ke liye, mein samajhta hoon ke dair se kharidna aur jaldi bechna behtar hoga, lekin aap apne selling levels pehlay se andaza kar lein. Jumeerate ke din EUR/USD pair ne achi upward movement dikhayi thi. Agar hum daily timeframe ko dekhein to pehla maximum close qareeb 1.1047 par tha. Ji haan, RSI upward momentum ko dikhata hai, lekin Stochastic neeche ka ishara de raha hai, jo ke ek kamzor signal hai. Wahan ek potential bearish butterfly pattern bhi ho sakta hai jo aglay hafte play out kare. Humay dekhna hoga ke yeh kis tarah se develop hota hai.

Agar decline hota hai, to pehle price upper moving average (MA) par 1.0967 par wapas aa sakta hai. Humein dekhna hoga ke price is level se neeche break kar sakta hai ya nahi. Agar break hota hai, to aage ki decline lower moving average aur average Bollinger Band area ke qareeb 1.0917/0899 tak ja sakta hai. Humein yeh bhi observe karna hoga ke price in levels se tezi se neeche break karta hai ya nahi. Agar further decline hoti hai, to lower Bollinger Band level par 1.0777 ke aas paas nazar rakhni hogi.

Tashreeh:
Market Levels: Aap significant resistance levels 1.1050-70 identify kar rahe hain, jahan aap possible selling opportunities expect kar rahe hain. Resistance levels wo points hote hain jahan price ziada bechnay ki interest ki wajah se ruk jata hai ya reverse ho jata hai.
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Yeh price movement ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Ek upward RSI bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai, lekin isay downward-moving Stochastic oscillator counter karta hai, jo weakness ka ishara hai.
Bearish Butterfly Pattern: Yeh ek specific chart pattern ka hawala hai jo aksar reversal ko indicate karta hai. Agar yeh pattern develop hota hai, to yeh downward move ka ishara de sakta hai.
Price Action: Aap yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke agar upward movement hoti hai, to yeh sustainable nahi ho sakti, jisse qareebi mustaqbil mein potential reversal ho sakta hai.
Moving Averages (MA): Yeh trends aur potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye use hote hain. Upper MA 1.0967 par aur Bollinger Bands support aur resistance zones ko determine karne mein madad karte hain.
Strategy: Aap sabr aur market reactions ko ghor se dekhne ka mashwara de rahe hain, aur key technical levels par price ke reaction ke mutabiq mukhtalif scenarios ke liye tayar rehne ka.

Good day. Euro Dollar ne pichle haftay se asar dalna shuru kar diya hai, halaan ke is se pehle wale haftay mein bearish pinbar dekha gaya tha, jahan sellers ziada active thay. Magar yahan achanak se price ne pichle haftay ke high ko tor diya hai. Agar hum dekhain ke price pehle bullish trend ke andar kis tarah move kar rahi thi, aur yahan price ne channel resistance level tor kar upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar diya. Buyers ki strength ko dekhte hue, agle haftay mein bullish continuation hone ke zyada chances hain.
Daily chart par, price ne daily level - 1.10085 tor diya. Yahan ek false breakout tha jo active buyers ya kisi bara buyer ne khareed liya, jinhon ne aakhri bullish daily candle ko pehle ke bullish pinbar ke closing ke upar band kar diya. Ye baat dilchasp hai, lekin zyada informatif nahi hai, kyun ke price lambi chal rahi hai aur koi usay aggressively upar ki taraf push kar raha hai, sare bearish volumes ko absorb kar raha hai.

Hourly chart par, price is jagah move kar rahi hai jahan lows har ghante clearly squeeze ho rahe hain. Is se pehle, price ne pehle daily level 1.10085 ke upar break kiya, jahan usay baray bearish volumes ka samna karna para, jo ke bulls foran absorb nahi kar sake, kyun ke level ke upar baray limit sell volumes thay jo ke price level ke torte hi activate ho gaye.

Buyers ab sellers par fatah pa chuke hain, magar pehle ka high jo ke bullish daily candle ne bearish pinbar ki soorat mein banaya tha, kisi had tak marker hai. Price ya to isay tor degi ya nahi. Mera khayal hai ke is point par pullbacks ke nature ko observe karna zaroori hai aur dekhna ke bulls kis tarah react karte hain.

Pehla scenario. Price daily candle ka high nahi tor sakti aur bulls aur bears ke darmiyan struggle ke baad, kuch bearish pinbars draw karte hue, wapis D1 ke trend channel ki taraf chali jati hai.

Dusra scenario. Price daily candle high ke breakout point ke kareeb pohonchti hai, thodi si retrace karti hai pre-trade level ke aas paas jahan ek tezi se girawat hui thi, triangle pattern banate hue compression ke sath aur phir long breakout karti hai.

Teesra scenario. Price high tak pohonch kar ek chhota sa pullback karti hai, thodi der ruk kar is zone ko ek hi dafa todti hai aur long move karti hai, agar hum W1 par dekhein to ek gap hai aur price asani se daily level 1.11222 tak pohonch sakti hai.

Nai Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne guzarne haftay mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek tang range mein trade kiya, 0.6010 par band ho gaya. Ye pair ke liye consolidation ka ek period hai. Technical indicators ek mixed outlook present karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne neutral level 50 ke qareeb settle kar liya hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke beech balance ko darshata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne flatten kar liya hai, jo clear directional momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Lekin MACD par positive histogram aur green bars underlying buying interest ko darshate hain.

NZD/USD pair ke liye immediate resistance 0.6000 level par hai. Agar ye level break ho jaye, to 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 aur potentially 0.6150 tak rally ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin agar pair 20-day SMA 0.5970 se neeche break ho jaye, to downtrend ka resumption signal ho sakta hai, 0.5900 tak potential targets ke saath.

Recent market developments ne NZD mein thoda optimism inject kiya hai. Nai Zealand se strong labor market data aur generally positive market sentiment ne recent nine-month lows se rebound mein madad ki hai. Additionally, momentum indicators improvement ke signs de rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) decline kar raha hai, jo downtrend ki potential weakening ko darshata hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level se upar move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo bulls ke favor mein momentum shift ko darshata hai. Furthermore, Stochastic oscillator higher trend kar raha hai, oversold levels se upar, bullish reversal ki possibility ko support karta hai.



Agar current positive sentiment persist karta hai, to NZD/USD pair 0.6037-0.6092 range ko target kar sakta hai. Ye area 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, July 14, 2022 low, aur several key moving averages se define ki gayi hai. Is range se decisive break above karne se 0.6198 tak significant rally ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin ye important hai ki overall picture abhi uncertain hai, bullish aur bearish forces dono play mein hain. Traders ko price action aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye pair ke next move ke clues ke liye

EUR/USD jodi ne is hafte ki shru mein ek mahatvapurn upward rally ka anubhav kiya, jo ke resistance level (R2) 1.1021 par pahunch gaya. Iske baad, qeemat EMA 50 ki taraf sahi huyi, lekin koi notable movement nahi thi jo ye darshata hai ki rally jari rahegi ya qeemat neeche ki taraf correction phase mein ja rahi hai. Halanki, qeemat abhi resistance level (R1) 1.0965 aur pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ke beech fluctuating kar rahi hai. Udaaharan ke liye, agar qeemat EMA 50 se uchhal kar resistance (R1) 1.0965 par jaati hai lekin wahin rejection ka saamna karti hai, to ye pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ko support (S1) 1.0816 ki taraf imbalance area ko band karne ke liye test kar sakti hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke nazariye se, ye qeemat rally ko support nahi kar raha hai. Histogram abhi 0 level par hai, jo negative territory mein crossing ki possibility ko darshata hai, jo momentum direction mein potential change ka sujhav dega. Lekin, qeemat structure abhi bhi higher high-higher low condition mein hai, aur trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai; neeche ki taraf correction ki possibility abhi bhi hai. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters, jo abhi tak 20-10 ke oversold zone tak nahi pahuche hain, level 50 par crossing kar rahe hain aur 90-80 ke overbought zone ke karib aa rahe hain. Ye qeemat mein upward movement ko support kar sakta hai, kyunki buying ke liye saturation point abhi tak nahi pahuncha hai.

Setup Entry Position: Qeemat structure ko dekhte hue, jo higher highs aur higher lows darshata hai, aur bullish trend direction, trading strategy mein BUY opportunity ke liye wait karna chahiye. Entry position tab rakhi jani chahiye jab qeemat pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ki taraf sahi huyi aur wahin rejection ya false break ka saamna karti hai. Stochastic indicator ki confirmation tab valid hogi jab ye 20-10 ke oversold zone mein crossing karega. Agar AO indicator ka histogram consistent rahe aur uptrend momentum level 0 ya positive territory mein darshaye, to take profit ko resistance (R1) 1.0965 par set karna chahiye, jabki support (S1) 1.0816 ko stop loss ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai

**EUR/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast:**

**H4 Time Frame:**
Is haftay EurUsd pair ka trend pichlay haftay ke trend ke saath milta julta nazar aata hai kyun ke candlestick ka rukh aur maqsad bullish side ki taraf hai. Haalankeh pichlay maheenay ke aakhir mein market ne neeche jane ka rukh dikhaya, lekin yeh sirf temporary tha kyun ke is haftay ke trading period tak price phir se upar ja rahi thi. Pichlay haftay ke din ba din ke candlestick journey ko dekhte huye, ab bhi yeh zahir hota hai ke buyers price ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain, haalaankeh sellers bhi price ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bullish trend market mein pehlay ke bearish move ko rokne mein kamyab raha. Hafte ke trading session ka aghaz 1.0917 se hua, aur yeh bullish candlestick ke saath 1.1048 pe close hua.

Filhal, price 1.1028 ke area mein ruk gayi hai kyun ke weekend par market band hoti hai. Mere khayal mein, aglay haftay ke liye Buy position lena trading ka markazi focus hona chahiye kyun ke EurJpy market par buyers ka asar ab bhi kaafi mazboot lagta hai. Aglay bullish journey ke liye predicted target yeh hai ke candlestick shayad 1.1068 - 1.1086 area tak upar ja sakti hai. Pichlay kuch dinon mein bullish journey ka aglay haftay tak jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Shayad haftay ke aghaz mein market condition mein thori si bearish correction dekhnay ko mile jo ke Monday se Tuesday tak 1.1002 ke price tak ja sakti hai. Main yeh predict karta hoon ke candlestick Wednesday se trading session mein enter karne ke baad phir se bullish trend ki taraf ja sakti hai aur ye trend haftay ke aakhir tak barqarar reh sakta hai.

Agar Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ke analysis se dekha jaye, to yeh 80 zone ko touch kar chuka hai, jo ke buyer control ko zahir karta hai. Lagta hai aglay haftay candlestick bullish trend ko continue karna chahti hai taake price buyer ke target tak pohnch sake. Main yeh andaza lagata hoon ke aglay haftay price ke paas upward trend ko continue karne ka acha chance hai, aur shayad yeh upper area ko test karne ki koshish kare. Agar yeh koshish kamyab hoti hai, to EurUsd pair ke paas trend ko barhane ka chance hoga, lekin agar yeh koshish naakam hoti hai, to price ke bearish side ki taraf girne ka imkaan hai. Main yeh predict karta hoon ke agar yeh neeche jata hai, to shayad 1.0959 ke aas paas ke position ko test kare.

Meri subah ke forecast mein, maine 1.0931 ke level par focus kiya aur us point se trading decisions lene ka plan banaya. Humein 5-minute chart ka jaiza lena chahiye aur dekhna chahiye ke kya hua. Price 1.0931 ke area tak uthi, lekin koi false breakout nahi hua, isliye maine din ke pehle half mein market mein entry nahi di. Nateeja yeh raha ke maine subah ke session ke dauran koi trades nahi ki. Technical picture ko din ke doosre half ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
**EUR/USD par Long Positions kholne ke liye:**
Germany aur Italy se aayi data ne expected volatility spike ko trigger nahi kiya. Chunan, jab tak dopahar mein koi significant statistics nahi hain, hafte ka end kafi dull aur uneventful ho sakta hai. Isliye, main market mein enter karne ke liye jaldi nahi karunga. Main decline aur naye support level 1.0907 ke aas paas ek false breakout ka intezaar karunga, jo kal ke results ke basis par bana hai. Target hoga upar jana aur naye resistance 1.0931 ka retest karna, jahan main expect karta hoon ke sellers emerge karna shuru karenge. Is range ka breakout aur baad mein top se bottom tak ka retest pair ko strengthen kar sakta hai, 1.0958 ki taraf rise ka chance dekar. Sabse door target 1.0985 hoga, jahan main profits fix karunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karti hai aur doosre half of the day mein 1.0907 ke aas paas koi activity nahi hoti, to sellers initiative ko wapas le sakte hain aur downward trend build karna shuru kar sakte hain. Is case mein, main sirf 1.0884 ke aas paas ek false breakout ke baad entry consider karunga. Main 1.0855 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon, intraday correction ka target 30-35 points hoga.

**EUR/USD par Short Positions kholne ke liye:**
Sellers abhi bhi initiative ko maintain kar rahe hain. Jab tak significant U.S. statistics nahi hain, 1.0931 ko false breakout ke saath defend karna short positions kholne ke liye ek suitable scenario hoga, jiska target 1.0907 ke support tak girna hoga, jo kal ke results ke basis par bana hai. Is range ka breakout aur iske neeche consolidation ke baad, neeche se upar ka retest selling ke liye ek aur entry point provide karega, jahan movement 1.0884 ki taraf hoga, jahan main expect karta hoon ke zyada active buyers dekhenge. Sabse door target 1.0855 hoga, jahan main profits fix karunga. Is level ka test buyers ke uptrend banane ke plans ko negate karega. Agar EUR/USD din ke doosre half mein upar jati hai aur 1.0931 par bears nahi hote, to buyers ko initiative wapas milne ka chance hoga. Is case mein, main sales ko agle resistance 1.0958 ke test tak postpone kar dunga. Main wahan bhi act karne ka plan bana raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main 1.0985 se rebound par short positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon

EUR/USD exchange rate ne chal rahe selling pressure ke bawajood 1.0842 ke aas-paas stabilize kar liya hai, jabke Eurozone aur US manufacturing aur services sectors ke Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings ke announcement ki intezar hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, euro trading week ke shuru mein $1.088 ke aas-paas fluctuate kar raha tha, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke upcoming monetary policy review ke liye anticipation barh rahi hai. Recently, euro ne July 17 ko $1.094 par apne chaar mahine ke peak se retreat kiya, jo market uncertainty ka indication hai.

**Aane Wale Economic Data Release**

Traders aur analysts is hafte Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Ye figures economic health aur performance ke critical insights provide karengi, jo market participants ko ongoing euro volatility handle karne mein madad karengi.

**Market Sentiment aur Future Expectations**

Euro ka recent decline apne peak se underlying market anxiety ko reflect karta hai, jo European Central Bank ke future actions ke hawale se speculation se driven hai. Interest rate cuts aur naye macroeconomic forecasts par emphasis ECB ki accommodative stance ko highlight karta hai economic indicators ke response mein. Isliye, upcoming PMI data market sentiment aur euro ke trajectory ke expectations ko shape karne mein pivotal hogi.

**Key Economic Indicators**

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Eurozone, Germany, aur France ke flash PMI data economic activity aur sentiment ke key indicators ke roop mein serve karenge in critical regions. Stronger-than-expected PMI reading euro ko support de sakti hai, jabke weaker data ECB ke further monetary easing ke expectations ko barha sakti hai.

Jabke euro $1.088 ke aas-paas hai, attention ab ECB ke policy review aur crucial economic data ke release par hai. Central bank ke decisions, jo updated economic forecasts aur indicators se influence honge, euro ke future trajectory ko determine karenge. Isliye, investors aur traders ko in developments se update rehna chahiye taake potential currency market fluctuations ko navigate kiya ja sake.

**Eurozone Mein Consumer Sentiment Behtareen**

Preliminary estimates ke mutabiq, Eurozone ka consumer confidence index July 2024 mein -13 par chala gaya, jo pehle ke mahine se -14 se behtar hai aur market expectations of -13.4 ko surpass karta hai. Ye level February 2022 ke baad se highest hai, jo ECB ke recent interest rate cuts ke response mein inflation ke easing ke sabab hai. Market sentiment September aur shayad December mein further rate cuts ki umeed rakhta hai. France mein parliamentary elections ke baad political concerns bhi kam hue hain, jo single-party dominance aur legislative gridlock ke fears ko reduce karta hai. Wider European Union mein bhi consumer sentiment behtar hua hai, jo -12.2 par pahunch gaya hai.

EUR/USD

Daily chart par, EUR/USD market sideways situation dikha rahi hai. Iske bawajood, sellers abhi bhi jeet rahe hain. Filhal, price 1.1028 ke aas-paas hai. Pichle do hafton mein, ye 1.1005 ke high se gir chuki hai. Hum keh sakte hain ke is mahine EUR/USD bearish hai. Iske price ki wajah se do bear candle patterns bane hain. Lekin buyers abhi bhi apne pichle haftay ke nuqsan ko poora karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD ke news events daily calendar par listed hain. Zurbrugg, jo ke Swiss Franc ke Government Board ka member hai, baat karenge. Waisa hi, United States Dollar ka CB Consumer Confidence report bhi hai. Dono news medium impact rakhte hain aur market direction ko thoda badal sakte hain. Price ke bullish weekly concept ke bawajood, US dollar report ke baad mazid majboot ho sakta hai.

Filhal EUR/USD exchange rate 1.0990 hai. Overall, chart ek downward trend dikha raha hai jo jaldi badal sakta hai. Daily charts ke mutabiq, sideways trend hai. Kai din aise the jab market price ko validated concept banana zaroori tha. Iske bawajood, chart yeh dikha raha hai ke is pair par buying pressure hai. Market price aam taur par oversold hai. New York session ke doran aaj, yeh 1.0970 se niche ja sakta hai. Agar US dollar girta hai, to sellers tezhi se peechay hat sakte hain. Weekly chart par, agar price 1.0950 se upar jaati hai, to ek naya bearish scenario ban sakta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD price apni current movement ke mutabiq chal rahi hai. Buyers ko 1.1025 area ko pakad ke rakhna chahiye jab tak price mein further recovery nahi hoti. Agar situation aisi hoti hai, to sellers future mein pressure barha sakte hain. EUR/USD kharidne ke liye, abhi aap 1.0965 par take-profit point ka faida utha sakte hain.

Pair Thursday ko 1.0948 ke immediate support level ke qareeb teeter kar rahi thi, jahan pe interest rate cuts ki umeed aur US Dollar ki majbooti ke beech mein balance bana hua tha. Market ka ye naazuk balance in mukhtalif factors ke beech mein atka hua tha, aur traders inke future currency fluctuations pe potential asar ko nazar mein rakh rahe the.

Mixed Economic Signals: US Retail Sales Data aur Fed Rate Cut Ki Speculation

US Census Bureau ne haal hi mein May ke Retail Sales figure ko 0.1% se 0.3% tak revise kiya, jo ke ek behtareen economic performance ko darshata hai. Magar is encouragement ke bawajood, speculation ab bhi ye hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September meeting mein interest rate cuts ka faisla kar sakta hai, aur ye uncertainty market expectations ko asar andaz karti rehti hai.

Haal ki data ek mixed economic health ka picture dikhata hai. Pichle hafte ke Retail Sales report ne koi change nahi dikhaya, jahan auto showrooms mein kam sales ne core goods ke liye strong demand se balance bana diya. Retail Sales Control Group—jo GDP ka ek ahem hissa hai aur auto dealers, building materials retailers, gas stations, office supply stores, mobile home dealers, aur tobacco stores ko exclude karta hai—ne 0.9% ki stronger-than-expected rise dikhayi, jab ke pichli release 0.4% thi.

Market Vigilance Ki Zaroorat: ECB aur US Economic Factors EUR/USD Future Ko Shape Kar Rahe Hain

Jab market in uncertainties ko navigate kar rahi hai, traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye. ECB policy decisions aur US economic indicators ke beech ka interplay EUR/USD pair ki future trajectory ko determine karne mein ahm hoga. Significant economic events ke nazdeek aate hue, currency pair ka ultimate direction in factors ke evolve hone ke hisaab se tay hoga.

EUR/USD Mein Significant Drop Aur Technical Challenges Ka Samna

Thursday ko pair ne ek mahine se zyada waqt mein apna sabse bura trading day experience kiya. 1.0951 ke chaar mahine ke high pe peak karne ke baad, pair ne tez girawat dekhi aur 1.0910 range mein settle ho gaya. Ye downturn ek significant deviation tha uski recent bullish momentum se. Intraday price action ab bhi 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0878 ke upar hai; lekin agar koi prolonged decline hoti hai to ek aur bearish phase shuru ho sakta hai.

Pair November se 100-day EMA 1.0904 ke aas paas ek technical cycle mein atka hua hai. Agar pair phir se 1.0900 level ko break nahi kar payi, to ye ek zyada significant bearish reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai. Ek prolonged downward trend June ke lows ko retest karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.0800 ke neeche push kar sakta hai.

IToday, EUR-USD trading ne higher par khula kyunki pehle Wednesday ko currency pair ne fairly high increase dekha. Increase, agar main calculate karun, 60 pips ke around tha. Candle us waqt 1.0996 area se 1.1045 tak move kar saka. Pehle, bahut se logon ne socha hoga ki eurusd 1.0996 supply area mein retrace karega. Lekin, reality mein, buyers ki very strong pressure ne supply area ko upwards penetrate kar diya hai taaki eurusd ko us area mein girne ki opportunity nahi rahi.

Thursday ko movement thoda sa weaken hua, lekin candle position abhi bhi resistance ke upar thi. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, candle ne resistance ko 1.0996 ke price par penetrate kar diya tha. Penetrate ke baad, eurusd ne immediate 1.1044 ke price tak uthal diya. Resistance ke penetration se sign mil sakta hai ki eurusd ko abhi bhi rise karne ka chance hai. Mera next prediction hai ki eurusd 1.1127 ke price par next supply area ko target karega. Wahaan pahunchne ke liye, abhi bhi 110 pips ke around journey ki zaroorat hai. Lekin, agar candle position resistance ke upar nahi rahi to gbpusd ko phir se girne ka khatra hai.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze kiya jaye to, candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo ki trend ko abhi bhi uptrend phase mein dikhata hai. Ichimoku indicator se pata chalta hai ki rise karne ka opportunity abhi bhi bahut bada hai. Lekin, abhi candle ne blue kijun sen line ko touch kar liya hai. Umeed hai ki line break nahi hogi kyunki agar aisa hoga to tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ko intersect kar sakta hai. Ye intersection gbpusd ko aur deep fall kar sakta hai.



Stochastic indicator se pata chalta hai ki current condition eurusd overbought zone mein enter ho gaya hai kyunki eurusd ne two consecutive days mein very high increase dekha hai. Overbought condition level 80 ko touch karne se prove ho sakta hai. Overbought zone mein enter karne ke baad, gbpusd ne slowly fall shuru kar diya hai. Lekin, abhi line level 20 ko touch kar rahi hai. Even though gbpusd ki decline bahut hi small rahi hai. Main above kaha tha ki gbpusd ko rise karne ka chance abhi bhi hai. Toh today ki analysis ka conclusion hai ki eurusd ko rise karne ka chance abhi bhi hai kyunki yesterday ko uthal ke baad candle ne resistance ko 1.0995 ke price par penetrate kar diya tha. In addition, ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye to, candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar move kar rahi hai. Therefore, main recommend karta hoon ki aap logon ko is pair mein trade karte waqt sirf buy positions ko focus karna chahiye. Aap take profit target ko nearest resistance 1.1132 ke price par place kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko nearest support 1.0908 ke price par find kar sakte hain

EURJPY H4

EURJPY pair par nazar rakhein. Currency pair ne pullback ke baad apni downward movement phir se shuru kar di hai. Bears abhi bhi price ko niche le ja rahe hain. 4-hour chart par price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish momentum dikhati hai. Iska matlab hai hum ek short position consider kar sakte hain. Stochastic indicator bhi yehi suggest kar raha hai, jo neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair ne niche ki taraf movement jari rakhi aur players pivot level ke neeche consolidate hue. Bears abhi bhi gir rahe hain aur ab 170.99 par trade kar rahe hain. Intraday sales targets classic Pivot levels ke support hain. Lagta hai ki bearish move current levels se jari rahegi, aur pehle support level ka break ek naye decline ka sabab banega aur bearish move support line ke neeche 169.00 ke region tak jari rahegi. Agar buyers market mein wapas aate hain, toh is chart period mein unka reference point resistance level 174.53 hoga.

EUR/JPY Daily

Salaam doston. Kal pair mein buying hui thi, lekin aaj ek achha south dekhne ko mil raha hai. Main yeh dekhne mein interested hoon ki pair aage kaise jaa sakta hai, agar south jari rahega, ya humein doosre options ka intizaar karna chahiye. Aayein couple ke future movement par faisla karne ki koshish karte hain. Daily technical analysis pe ek nazar daalte hain, kya yeh recommend karega. Moving averages - neutral, technical indicators - sell, conclusion - sell. Yahan ek technical analysis hai jo south ki taraf move recommend kar raha hai. Publishing important news ka intezar karein. Japan se koi important news expected nahi hai. Euro zone se important news nikal chuki hai, jo kaafi neutral hai, aur koi bhi important news expected nahi hai. Main expect karta hoon ke pair south ki taraf move karegi. 170.55 ke support level tak sell karna mumkin hai. Buying 171.10 ke resistance level tak pahunch sakti hai. Is tarah, future mein south ki taraf movement dekhi ja rahi hai. Ye ek rough trading plan hai. Sabko best of luck.