usd/chf

August mein, US mein job growth 142 hazaar thi, jo ke umeed se thodi kam thi (consensus 165 hazaar, Commerzbank ki forecast 150 hazaar thi), Commerzbank ke Senior Economist Dr. Christoph Balz ne note kiya hai.
Pair 0.8375 ke low tak girne ke baad thora recover karke 0.8400 ke upar aa gaya, lekin daily losses ko ab tak hold kiya hua hai. US ka August ka NFP data expected se kam aaya, jo ke weak labor market data ke trend ko follow karta hai. Is wajah se investors yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein ek bara rate cut kar sakta hai.

Jummah ke din, USD/CHF ne 0.8375 ka daily low touch kiya aur phir 0.8400 ke upar recover kiya. Lekin upside limited rahi kyun ke US ne weak labor market figures report kiye.

US Dollar ki appeal weak NFP report ke baad kam ho gayi, jo ke sirf 142,000 naye jobs dikhata hai, jo 160,000 ke forecast se kam hai, magar July ke revised figure 89,000 se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi expected ke mutabiq 4.3% se 4.2% tak ghat gaya. Iske ilawa, Average Hourly Earnings 3.8% year-over-year barh gayi, jo ke expectations se zyada hai.

Is data ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke 18 September ke meeting mein 0.50% rate cut ki possibility 40% ke aas paas rahi, magar yeh lagta hai ke September mein easing cycle ka aaghaz zaroor hoga, 25 basis points ka cut expected hai. Aane wala data yeh tay karega ke is se bara cut justified hoga ya nahi.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:

USD/CHF ka technical outlook neutral se bearish hai, kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi negative territory mein hai lekin flat slope ke sath, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat green bars dikhata hai, jo ke pair ke neutral outlook ko support karta hai. Kul mila kar, bias ab bhi downside ki taraf hai, kyun ke pair apni 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

August mein, US mein job growth 142 hazaar thi, jo ke umeed se thodi kam thi (consensus 165 hazaar, Commerzbank ki forecast 150 hazaar thi), Commerzbank ke Senior Economist Dr. Christoph Balz ne note kiya hai.
Pair 0.8375 ke low tak girne ke baad thora recover karke 0.8400 ke upar aa gaya, lekin daily losses ko ab tak hold kiya hua hai. US ka August ka NFP data expected se kam aaya, jo ke weak labor market data ke trend ko follow karta hai. Is wajah se investors yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein ek bara rate cut kar sakta hai.

Jummah ke din, USD/CHF ne 0.8375 ka daily low touch kiya aur phir 0.8400 ke upar recover kiya. Lekin upside limited rahi kyun ke US ne weak labor market figures report kiye.

US Dollar ki appeal weak NFP report ke baad kam ho gayi, jo ke sirf 142,000 naye jobs dikhata hai, jo 160,000 ke forecast se kam hai, magar July ke revised figure 89,000 se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi expected ke mutabiq 4.3% se 4.2% tak ghat gaya. Iske ilawa, Average Hourly Earnings 3.8% year-over-year barh gayi, jo ke expectations se zyada hai.

Is data ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke 18 September ke meeting mein 0.50% rate cut ki possibility 40% ke aas paas rahi, magar yeh lagta hai ke September mein easing cycle ka aaghaz zaroor hoga, 25 basis points ka cut expected hai. Aane wala data yeh tay karega ke is se bara cut justified hoga ya nahi.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:

USD/CHF ka technical outlook neutral se bearish hai, kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi negative territory mein hai lekin flat slope ke sath, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat green bars dikhata hai, jo ke pair ke neutral outlook ko support karta hai. Kul mila kar, bias ab bhi downside ki taraf hai, kyun ke pair apni 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

USD/CHF:

Aao ab USD/CHF currency pair ka current pricing behavior discuss karte hain, jo hamari analysis ka markaz hai. USD/CHF pair short-term downtrend show kar raha hai, jo ziada tar U.S. inflation data ke release ke wajah se hai jo pichle hafte aayi thi. Hourly chart par, price regression channel ke neechay wali limit ke kareeb hai, jo 0.8619 aur 0.8739 ke darmiyan hai, aur yeh indication hai ke ek strong upward correction ka potential hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, mujhe selling unsuitable lagti hai; main plan kar raha hoon ke price ko middle of the range, yani ke kareeb 0.8679 tak buy karoon. Recent dip ke bawajood, channel se bahar nahi gaya, aur ek corrective movement ya nayi local wave formation ka intezar hai. Expected pullback structure aur ziada precise insights de sakta hai, jahan return wave do ya teen dafa zyada strong hone ki umeed hai.



Maine ek intersection dhoonda jo 0.86405 par hai. Is base par, main apni buy order current price par execute karta hoon. Agar pullback hota hai, toh main apni second order lagata hoon, apne trade volume ko do positions mein split karta hoon. Agar pullback nahi hota, toh second order market trend ke sath chalta hai. Main hamesha apna risk careful manage karta hoon, aur 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio rakhta hoon har trade mein, aur meri stop orders kam az kam 19 points door hoti hain takay false stop-loss triggers se bach saku. Jaisay hi accumulation phase kareeb aata hai, USD/CHF pair apni built-up potential ko use karne ke liye tayar hai, khaaskar jab market makers ki taraf se liquidity milti hai jo aage jaake price manipulation ka sabab ban sakti hai. Haal ke developments ke madde nazar, retracement ke 0.8669 se 0.8695 range mein hone ke imkaanaat kafi barh gaye hain. Jab yeh zone cross ho jayega, injected liquidity mein kai barh guni izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke seller activity mein ek surge aayegi, khaaskar jab buyers apni positions ko exit karenge, jo market mein significant reaction la sakti hai.

USD/CHF Price Movement Ka Jaiza
Aaj hum USD/CHF currency pair ke price movement par baat karain ge jo hamari analysis ka markazi nuqta hai. Filhal USD/CHF ka market value 0.8503 hai. Hal hi mein 0.8535 par resistance ka saamna hua. Envelopes indicator aik mumkina girawat ko dikhata hai, jabke Stochastic indicator mazboot selling activity ka ishara deta hai. Momentum bhi neeche ki taraf hai, aur umeed hai ke rate 0.8329 tak gir sakta hai. Main aksar pehle move ko miss kar gaya, lekin ab aik pullback shuru ho gaya hai jo re-entry ka aik acha moka ho sakta hai. Price ne 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level se reverse kiya, jo pehle ke andazay ke mutabiq tha, aur phir girna shuru kiya. Pehla selling wave kaafi taqatwar tha; lekin mujhe umeed thi ke sellers 14.5% ke target level tak pohanchne ka intezar karain ge. Thodi dair ke liye pullback ka intezar hai pehle ke downward trend dobara shuru ho.




Movement thoda mix hai: yen aur franc dollar ke against mazboot ho rahe hain, jabke euro aur pound mukhalif trend dikhate hain.

Hilo pehle bearish tha, lekin ab hum consolidation dekh rahay hain jo narrow range mein 0.8470 resistance ke neechay hai, jahan bullish EMA8 neeche aa gayi hai. USD/CHF aik flag-shape pattern bana raha hai, aur iska color neutral hai, jo aage ki movements mein uncertainty ko dikhata hai, halan ke pair moving averages ke neechay trade ho raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish notes ab bhi aam hain. Lekin aap theek kah rahay hain ke ADP employment statistics, U.S. mein unemployment benefits ke initial claims, aur service sector ki business activity ke data ko bhi dekhna chahiye, aur yeh numbers economy mein shift ko dikhain ge.

Pehle data non-farm payrolls ke baare mein kal ke liye kuch andaza de sakta hai, halan ke ADP data aksar official figures se match karta hai. Is liye pair apne targets US ke data ke mutabiq set kare ga, ya to consolidation 0.8440 ke neeche ho gi, aur phir target 0.84 par open ho ga, ya phir trading wapas 0.8495 par aaye gi jahan EMA50 gir chuki hai, jahan se growth reversal ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Lekin dollar dobara Fed rate expectations se mazboot pressure mein hai. Ab dollar ke liye bulls ke liye mushkil waqt hai.

USD/CHF Price Tendency
Is guftagu mein hum USD/CHF currency pair ke maujooda price behaviour ka tajziya kar rahay hain. Swiss franc, US dollar ke muqable mein mazboot ho raha hai, jo analysis ka aham hissa hai. USD/CHF ke weekly chart par hum dekhte hain ke bullish candles bearish candles ko engulf kar rahi hain, jo ke 0.9223 support level se shuru hone wale downturn ke jari rehne ki nishani hai. Lagta hai ke price aur neeche girne ko tayar hai, aur yeh 0.8271 ke key level se guzarsakti hai. Magar, USD/CHF ka bearish trend apne anjaam ke qareeb ho sakta hai. H1 time frame mein maine aik diamond pattern dekha hai, jo reversal ka ishara deta hai, khaaskar jab 0.6378 se rebound hota hai. Phir bhi, Friday ki bearish candle 0.8402 tak girawat ko le ja sakti hai pehle ke hum koi upward adjustment dekhen, jisme possible targets 0.8455, 0.8491, 0.8518, aur 0.8537 ho sakte hain.




Do indicators par mabni jo main apne trades ke liye istemal karta hoon, mujhe buy positions volume mein significant girawat dekhai di hai, jo downward bias ka ishara hai. Halaanki, mujhe umeed nahi ke quotes buhat zyada giren ge, aur main plan kar raha hoon ke buy positions ko 0.8402 ke aas paas resume karoon. Aakhri wave formation Elliott wave ki tarah lagti hai, jo aam tor par aakhri stages mein nazar aati hai. Ye observation week ke aaghaz mein upward movement ko support karti hai. Agar Elliott wave theory theek sabit hoti hai, to price broader chart pattern ke upper boundary tak pohanch sakti hai, jo 0.8544 aur 0.8577 ke darmiyan hai.

Main nahi samajhta ke price is se zyada upar jaegi, kyun ke dono channels ab bhi neeche ki taraf hain, aur price movements aam tor par trend ko follow karti hain. Halaanki kuch traders trend ke khilaf chalna pasand kartay hain, lekin zyadah tar munafa trend ke sath chalne mein hota hai. Agar pullback ek reversal shuru bhi karay, to tareekh ne dikhaya hai ke pehle extreme tak wapsi ya uska break hona aam hai. Aik aur girawat mumkin lagti hai, lekin pehle mein ek upward correction ka khushi se intezar karoonga.

USD/CHF ANALYSIS
Aaj hum phir se USD/CHF currency pair ke H4 price chart ka jaiza lein ge. Is haftay tak ki movement ziada baray nahi hain; hafta ke aaghaz mein price upar gayi, aur ab neeche aayi hai. Wave structure ab bhi downward construction ko barqarar rakhta hai. MACD indicator zero mark ke qareeb hai. Yahaan aap dekh saktay hain ke bullish divergence MACD indicator par kaafi achi tarah kaam kiya, aur price khaafi aitmaad ke sath barhi. Mere khayal mein, ab price aik reversal figure bana raha hai - inverted head and shoulders. Filhal doosra shoulder ban raha hai. Girawat ke dauran, price head ke qareeb aayi, jo ke 0.8453 ka support level hai. Ye mirror level girawat ke kinare par hai aur upward entry ke liye behtareen jagah hai. Target aik descending line hogi jo waves ke tops ke along bani hai. Pehli wave wahan hai aur doosri mein ek tarah ka swing hai, mujhe umeed hai ke teesri wave is line tak pohanchay gi. Agar hum pehli wave par aik target Fibonacci grid impose karein, to target level 161.8 line ke upar ho ga. Umeed hai ke price line tak barh gi, wahan se neeche 0.8535 level tak bounce kare gi, jo us waqt break ho chuka hoga, aur wahan se price 161.8 tak jaegi Fibonacci grid par, naturally descending line ko breakout karte huye. Ye plan hai qareebi mustaqbil ke liye.




USD/CHF pair ka opponent, euro dollar, halan ke aaj kuch growth dikhaya hai, lekin ab bhi is pair mein girawat ke zyada potential ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo is pair ke growth ke haq mein hai. Is ke ilawa, CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai, jo growth ka aik additional signal hai. Agar aap daily period par tawajju dein, to dono indicators MACD aur CCI par bullish divergence mojood hai. Is liye is mauqe par sales ka sochna theek nahi hoga, kyun ke in halat mein sales ke kaam karne ke chances kaafi kam hain. Agar meri doosri pair mein open transactions na hoti, to main yahin se market se khareed leta.

Aaj ka USD/CHF market bilkul bearish trend dikhata hai, khaaskar 0.8419 level par focus karte hue, jo bearish scenario ko mazid taqatwar banata hai. Yeh level market mein sellers ki taqat ko wazeh karta hai. Maujooda halat yeh dikhati hai ke sellers din bhar apna dominate karain ge, aur bearish trend mazid mazboot ho ga. Yeh price action yeh ishara karta hai ke USD/CHF ab bearish phase mein daakhil ho chuka hai, aur currency pair par downward pressure jari rahe ga. Is trend ka matlab hai ke buyers ke liye aaj upward movements se faida uthane ke moqe kam hain. Strong bearish sentiment buyers ke liye long positions lene ke moqe mushkil bana deta hai, kyun ke market selling ki taraf jhukao rakhta hai.

Aakhri baat yeh ke market behaviors ko ghair mamooli taur par monitor karna zaroori hai trading tools aur indicators ke zariye. Yeh tools price movements ka valuable insight dete hain, aur key support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne mein madadgar hote hain, aur bearish trend ko confirm karte hain. In resources ka sahi istemal karke aap USDCHF market ke maujooda halat mein profit potential ko optimize kar sakte hain. 0.8419 level par emphasis karte huye bearish trend ongoing selling pressure ko signal karta hai, aur umeed hai ke sellers din bhar dominant rahain ge. Buyers ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyun ke un ke liye moqe mehdood hain. Aik sell entry target 0.8380 ke sath current market trend ke mutabiq hai. Market behaviors ko monitor karna aur sahi trading tools ka istemal ahem hoga taake USDCHF market mein munafa hasil kar sakein aur sahi faislay le sakein.

USD/CHF Price Overlook
Aaj humari guftagu ka markazi nuqta USD/CHF currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hai. USD/CHF ne trading week ko 0.8503 ke qareeb conclude kiya hai. H4 time frame par pair ab bhi growth channel formation mein hai, jo aage barhnay ke potential ka ishara deta hai. Moving averages ab bhi bearish trend ko dikhate hain, magar 0.8441 ke accumulation area se recent price rise buyer interest mein izafa ka ishara hai, jo US dollar ke liye acha hai. Ye shift is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke in levels se growth ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Agle haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, umeed hai ke price mazeed barhegi, aur pair 0.8541 resistance ka test karega. Is test ke baad aik downward correction ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.8441 ko target kare. Agar pair support level ko tod kar 0.8441 ke neeche close hota hai, to ye girawat ka silsila jari rehne ka signal hoga, aur shayad price 0.8331 se neeche ja sakti hai. Agle kuch dino mein price barhna jari reh sakta hai aur shayad descending trend line tak pohanch sakta hai.




Kuch hi mint pehle Swiss inflation data report (CPI m/m) release hui, jo ke pehle ke -0.2% se 0.0% par aayi hai. Neutral inflation results ke sath yeh umeed hai ke USDCHF pair ke price increase ka rally jari rahega. Mazeed, trend direction ab bullish condition mein hai kyun ke EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko cross karte huye golden cross signal diya hai. Misal ke taur par, agar rally do Moving Average lines ke upar consistent rehti hai, to structure break ka imkaan hai. High prices par invalidation level 0.8540 door nahi hai, jo ke current price range se qareeb hai, aur jo psychological level 0.8500 se already upar hai. Lekin, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke zariye uptrend momentum bearish divergence ka signal deta hai. Ye is liye ke histogram volume jo ke level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, woh rally ke sath ham ahang nahi hai. Sath hi Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo baar baar overbought zone ke aas paas cross kar rahe hain, is baat ka ishara karte hain ke price increase buying ke saturation point tak pohanch chuki hai.

USD/CHF Price Movement
Humari guftagu mein hum gehrai se USD/CHF currency pair ke mojooda price behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Market ne shayad China se aane wali khabaron par react kiya hai, jo Japan ke stock market ki girawat ya defensive assets ki mazbooti ki wajah se ho sakta hai. USD/CHF mein ab tak koi khaas girawat nahi dekhi gayi, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke is ke current level ke neeche zyada interest nahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke agle chand dino mein solid upward movement ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyun ke kal U.S. consumer inflation data release hone wala hai. Filhal, USD/CHF 0.8474 par EMA 50 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur pair ko barhnay ke liye is resistance ke upar jana hoga. Ab tak price stable hai, magar dekhna hoga ke Asian markets kaise react karte hain. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke Asia mein industrial sector acha perform kar raha hai, halaanki market shayad non-farm data par react kar chuki hai. Support abhi 0.8441 par hai, aur mujhe umeed nahi ke pair is se neeche jaega, halaan ke kuch interest 0.8671 level ke aas paas ikattha ho raha hai.




Kuch dair pehle 0.8375 level se strong rebound dekha gaya, jo yeh batata hai ke buyers balance apni taraf le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar, upward pressure ab bhi mehdood hai. Pichlay haftay yeh khaaskar wazeh tha, jab buyers sirf pehli calculated reversal point tak price ko push kar paye, jo ke week ke opening mark 0.84896 ke qareeb tha, is se pehle ke price phir gir gayi. Is ke ilawa, chart ke top par bearish divergence bhi hai. Is surat mein, divergence aur high channel mein girti hui price aik mazboot bearish signal hai. Price qareebi mustaqbil mein girti rahegi. Halaanki junior weekly channel upward ki taraf point karta hai, lekin price apni upper boundary se neeche move kar rahi hai, aur oscillators bhi downward trend par hain. In halat ko dekhte hue, girawat ke mazeed imkanaat zyada hain, aur pair jaldi 0.8433 ke aas paas ke lower levels ko target kar sakta hai.

Trading Opportunities with USD/CHF
Humari guftagu ka markazi nuqta USD/CHF currency pair ke price behaviour ka tajziya hai. Moving average indicator jo ke EMA period 13-159 ke sath hai, upward trend ka ishara deta hai, jo is baat ka sign hai ke aaj long positions lena behtar rahega. Medium-term outlook mein USD/CHF bullish direction dikhata hai. Aik ahem level jo dekhne layak hai, woh 0.848 ka hai, jo bears ke liye aik badi rukawat hai. Filhal, price 0.8476 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke aik intermediate support level 0.844 ke neeche hai, jo ab bulls ke liye aik ahem nuqta ban gaya hai. Agar bulls 0.848 ka range tod dete hain, to daily supply zone 0.852 tak ka rasta khul sakta hai. Magar, agar 0.848 resistance se rebound hota hai, to ye girawat ya poora reversal trigger kar sakta hai. Jab tak ye nahi hota, umeed hai ke bulls is level tak push karte rahenge. Agar market hamare khilaf jata hai, to aaj naye positions lena zaroori nahi hoga.




Aaj ke market behaviour ke hawale se, franc ke sath surat-e-haal zyada nahi badli, halaan ke dollar ka growth dikhai de raha hai, jo franc ki relative strength ko dikhata hai. Primary trend ab bhi downward hai, aur girawat ka mazeed imkaan hai kyun ke lows ab tak nahi aaye. Dollar ke trading pattern kaamyaab hone mein ahem kirdar ada karega, aur aglay steps ka taayun karega. Meri position ab bhi wahi hai ke price 0.8329 se neeche dip karega pehle ke kisi buying opportunity par ghour kiya jaye, kam az kam pullback strategy ke tor par. Aaj mein USD/CHF pair mein trading opportunities ka tajziya karunga. Pehla qadam yeh hai ke us direction ko confirm kiya jaye jahan bears dominate karne ke imkanaat hain, taake selling relevant ho sake. Filhal ke price 0.84650 par selling karna zyada faida nahi dega. Behtar hoga ke entry ke liye higher levels ko target kiya jaye. Aap kal ke high 0.84939 se shuru kar sakte hain, magar resistance 0.84949 zyada promising lagta hai. Stop-loss thoda upar, 0.84964 par set karna potential losses ko limit kar sakta hai.

USD / CHF H4 Chart:



USD/CHF currency pair ab 0.88384 par trade ho raha hai jahan ek wazeh bearish trend market par qaboo jamane ka pata hai. Yeh darshata hai ke US dollar Swiss franc ke khilaf kamzor ho raha hai yeh ek harkat hai jo zyada market sentiments global economic conditions or investor behavior ko reflect karti hai. Halankeh mojooda movement ka rukh dheema hai lekin yakeen ke liye wajehain hain ke USD/CHF pair aane wale dino mein significant volatility ka samna kar sakta hai. Kai factors is potential bade movement ko drive kar sakte hain. Economic front par anay wale data releases jaise ke employment statistics inflation reports, aur central bank interest rate decisions ka khaas kirdar hone ki ummeed hai. Misal ke taur par agar U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy par zyada aggressive stance signal karta hai ya agar inflation data market ko surprise karta hai to dollar taqat hasil kar sakta hai jisse USD/CHF buland ho sakta hai. Ulti taraf agar Switzerland ki economic performance ya safe-haven appeal geopolitical tensions ya market uncertainty ki wajah se mazboot hoti hai, to franc mazeed qeemat hasil kar sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi yeh ishara deti hai ke mojooda bearish trend ya to gehra ho sakta hai ya phir palat jaye ga, mukhtalif key support aur resistance levels par munhasir hai. Critical support level ke neeche breach neeche ki movement ko tezi se barha sakti hai, jabke is level se rebound ek bullish recovery ka aghaz signal kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, external factors jaise ke geopolitical developments, global financial markets mein risk sentiment or trends.

USD / CHF H4 Chart:



USD/CHF currency pair ab 0.88384 par trade ho raha hai jahan ek wazeh bearish trend market par qaboo jamane ka pata hai. Yeh darshata hai ke US dollar Swiss franc ke khilaf kamzor ho raha hai yeh ek harkat hai jo zyada market sentiments global economic conditions or investor behavior ko reflect karti hai. Halankeh mojooda movement ka rukh dheema hai lekin yakeen ke liye wajehain hain ke USD/CHF pair aane wale dino mein significant volatility ka samna kar sakta hai. Kai factors is potential bade movement ko drive kar sakte hain. Economic front par anay wale data releases jaise ke employment statistics inflation reports, aur central bank interest rate decisions ka khaas kirdar hone ki ummeed hai. Misal ke taur par agar U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy par zyada aggressive stance signal karta hai ya agar inflation data market ko surprise karta hai to dollar taqat hasil kar sakta hai jisse USD/CHF buland ho sakta hai. Ulti taraf agar Switzerland ki economic performance ya safe-haven appeal geopolitical tensions ya market uncertainty ki wajah se mazboot hoti hai, to franc mazeed qeemat hasil kar sakta hai. Technical analysis bhi yeh ishara deti hai ke mojooda bearish trend ya to gehra ho sakta hai ya phir palat jaye ga, mukhtalif key support aur resistance levels par munhasir hai. Critical support level ke neeche breach neeche ki movement ko tezi se barha sakti hai, jabke is level se rebound ek bullish recovery ka aghaz signal kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, external factors jaise ke geopolitical developments, global financial markets mein risk sentiment or trends.

August mein, US mein job growth 142 hazaar th
, jo ke umeed se thodi kam thi (consensus 165 hazaar, Commerzbank ki forecast 150 hazaar thi), Commerzbank ke Senior Economist Dr. Christoph Balz ne note kiya hai.
Pair 0.8375 ke low tak girne ke baad thora recover karke 0.8400 ke upar aa gaya, lekin daily losses ko ab tak hold kiya hua hai. US ka August ka NFP data expected se kam aaya, jo ke weak labor market data ke trend ko follow karta hai. Is wajah se investors yeh umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein ek bara rate cut kar sakta hai.

Jummah ke din, USD/CHF ne 0.8375 ka daily low touch kiya aur phir 0.8400 ke upar recover kiya. Lekin upside limited rahi kyun ke US ne weak labor market figures report kiye.

US Dollar ki appeal weak NFP report ke baad kam ho gayi, jo ke sirf 142,000 naye jobs dikhata hai, jo 160,000 ke forecast se kam hai, magar July ke revised figure 89,000 se zyada hai. Unemployment Rate bhi expected ke mutabiq 4.3% se 4.2% tak ghat gaya. Iske ilawa, Average Hourly Earnings 3.8% year-over-year barh gayi, jo ke expectations se zyada hai.

Is data ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke 18 September ke meeting mein 0.50% rate cut ki possibility 40% ke aas paas rahi, magar yeh lagta hai ke September mein easing cycle ka aaghaz zaroor hoga, 25 basis points ka cut expected hai. Aane wala data yeh tay karega ke is se bara cut justified hoga ya nahi.

USD/CHF Technical Outlook:

USD/CHF ka technical outlook neutral se bearish hai, kyun ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi negative territory mein hai lekin flat slope ke sath, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat green bars dikhata hai, jo ke pair ke neutral outlook ko support karta hai. Kul mila kar, bias ab bhi downside ki taraf hai, kyun ke pair apni 20, 100, aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

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