Gold Market Trend

Gold ki keemat mein halan ke bohat kam farq aaya aur yeh $2,315 per ounce ke qareeb mustahkam rahi, jab tak ke aham American data aur events ka intezar hai. Hal hi mein, gold ki keemat mein zyada girawat aayi kyun ke US mein job growth umeed se zyada thi aur duniya bhar ki central banks, khas tor par China, ne gold kharidne ki raftar ko ahista kar diya hai. Is waqt gold ko $2,286 par support mili hai, jo ek mahine se zyada ka sabse kam darja hai.
Mangal ko, US dollar index ne tisre lagatar trading din ke liye apne faide ko barhaya, jo 105.3 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke lagbhag ek mahine ka sabse ooncha darja hai. Yeh izafa traders ke US interest rate cuts ki shartein kam karne aur FOMC ke faislay aur consumer price index data ke liye tayar hone ki wajah se hua. Mazid, strong US jobs report ke baad, ab traders ko sirf 52.6% umeed hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates kam karega, jab ke ek hafte pehle yeh umeed 66.9% thi.
Is beech, do din ka Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka ijlaas aaj se shuru ho raha hai. Halankeh Fed se umeed hai ke target range ko badalenge nahi, traders is intezar mein hain ke pehla rate cut kab ho sakta hai. Nai economic forecasts bhi jaari hongi, aur is hafte CPI aur PPI data bhi release hoga. Mazeed, France mein siyasi bayqarari ke wajah se dollar ne safe-haven assets ka faida uthaya hai. Bank of Japan se bhi umeed hai ke interest rates ko badalenge nahi, magar monthly bond purchases ko kam karne par baat ho sakti hai
Gold ke significant resistance levels 2284 aur 2322 ek bullish trend ke liye key levels hain. Dusri taraf, immediate support 2295 aur critical level 2290 important hain potential bearish moves ko identify karne ke liye. Traders ko dono scenarios ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, in levels par nazar rakh kar informed trading decisions lene ke liye. In resistance aur support zones ko samajhna trades ko effectively manage karne, market movements ko anticipate karne, aur gold market mein potential opportunities ka fayda uthane mein madadgar ho sakta hai

Sona ki qeemat ke rawaiye ka jaiza lena hai. Haftey ka pivot level tootne ke baad, Sona tang daira mein chal raha hai. 4-hour chart par, futures neechay ki taraf hain, aur Ichimoku cloud ke neechey trade ho raha hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi neechay ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Aakhri trading session mein, futures ne girawat jari rakhi, reversal level ke neechey mazid mazboot hotay hue aur ab 2312.24 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday benchmarks mein girawat ke liye classic Pivot levels ka support hai. Mera tajziya hai ke girawat current levels se jari rahegi, aur pehla support level 2256.26 tootne par ek nai girawat ki lehre chal padi, jo ke price ko support line ke neechey le jaayegi takreeban 2220.40 par. Agar market upar ki taraf jaye, toh resistance level 2357.17 par ek ahm rujhan hoga
Dusri taraf, kuch aham support zones bhi hain jo dekhne laayak hain. 2293.73 zone tak pohanchne se pehle, 2295 region se immediate support milne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar gold ki price girti hai, to is area ke qareeb stability mil sakti hai kisi bhi further significant decline se pehle. Ye support zone traders ke liye bohot important hai jo potential buying opportunities ko identify karna chahte hain ya apni positions ko safeguard karna chahte hain.
Agar gold 2283-2295 range ke support ko break karta hai, to ye bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo aage further decline tak le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, price 2290 tak gir sakti hai, jo ek critical level hai dekhne ke liye. Ye level short-term support ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, lekin agar ye hold karne mein fail hota hai, to market further declines dekh sakti hai. 2290 tak ke potential fall ke baad, XAU/USD ke liye downside pe next significant target 2325 support hai. Ye thoda confusing lag sakta hai, lekin ye volatility ko highlight karta hai aur traders ke liye support aur resistance levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar gold is support level tak pohanchta hai, to agar market sentiment shift hoti hai to ye ek achi buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai

Gold ke qeemat mein Tuesday ko izafa dekhne ko mila jab aik US economic report ne consumer spending mein aksar ki manfi raftar ko zaahir kiya. Yeh data point, jo ke lower retail sales figures mein dikha, yeh afwah barha raha hai ke Federal Reserve 2024 mein interest rate cuts ka silsila shuru kar sakta hai. Filhal, gold ka qeemat (XAU/USD) $2,327 par trading kar raha hai, jo ke 0.51% ka izafa hai. Is khabar ne investors ki umeed ko taaza kar diya hai ke interest rates kam honge. Fed ka pehle ka stance yeh tha ke mojooda monetary policy kaafi hai, magar taja economic data yeh suggest karta hai ke kuch adjustments zaroori hain. May mein industrial production ne improved results dikhaye hain compared to April ka downwardly revised figure, magar overall economic soorat-e-haal abhi bhi nahin badli. Aur, influential Fed officials jaise New York Fed President John Williams ne bhi potential policy changes ke hint diye hain. Williams ne yeh indicate kiya ke agar deflation jari rehti hai aur Fed ka target inflation rate 2% ke qareeb hota hai, toh interest rates mein gradual decline ho sakti hai. Unhone specific September rate cut par kuch nahin kaha, magar mojooda economic trajectory par optimism ka izhar kiya

Despite current rise in gold prices, technical analysis potential downward trend ko suggest karta hai. Analysts aik "bearish head and shoulders" chart pattern ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo ke potential future price decline ko indicate karta hai. Is view ko support karte hue Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke filhal sellers ko favor karta hai. Agar XAU/USD price $2,300 se neeche girta hai, toh support levels $2,277 (May 3rd low) aur $2,222 (March 21st high) par hain. Magar, is bearish outlook ka aik counterpoint bhi hai. Agar gold resistance level $2,341.41 ko break karta hai, toh yeh rally ko trigger kar sakta hai jaise pehle is saal dekhi gayi thi, jo ke $2,400 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh upswing doosri currencies jaise Pound aur Franc par bhi positive asar dal sakti hai. Overall, gold market aik dilchasp scenario present karta hai. Technical indicators potential decline ko suggest karte hain, magar economic data aur Fed ke pronouncements lower interest rates ka hint dete hain, jo ke gold prices ko buoy kar sakte hain. Investors ko XAU/USD price movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye, khaaskar support aur resistance levels ke mutabiq performance ko. Jaise jaise economic situation unfold hoti hai aur Fed ka stance clearer hota hai, gold prices ka future direction zyada wazeh ho jayega

Gold H4 (4-hour) time frame chart par ek ascending triangle pattern mein trade kar raha hai. Ye technical formation aksar ek horizontal resistance line aur ek rising support line se pehchani jati hai, jo consolidation phase ko dikhati hai jahan price higher lows banata hai aur repeatedly ek key resistance level ko test karta hai. Is case mein, resistance level 2330 hai. Gold ne kai dafa 2338.14 resistance level ke upar break karne ki koshish ki hai, jo iski upward movement ke liye ek significant barrier ban gaya hai. Is resistance ko bar-bar test karne ka matlab hai ke buyers mein strong interest aur bullish market sentiment hai. Har koshish jo is level ko breach karne ki hoti hai, buyers ke determination ko dikhati hai ke wo price ko upar le jana chahte hain aur positive trend ko continue karna chahte hain.
Final candle mein dekha gaya ke Gold phir se 2338.14 resistance level ko pohch gaya aur ek strong bullish candle form ki. Ye indicate karta hai ke buyers significant hain aur strength gain kar rahe hain. Ek strong bullish candle is critical resistance level par increased buying pressure aur potential breakout ko dikhati hai. Lekin, Gold is resistance level ko break karega ya nahi, ye abhi dekhna baqi hai. Is level ke aas-paas price ka behavior next move ko determine karne mein crucial hoga. Agar Gold 2350.14 ke upar break aur close kar leta hai, to ye ek bullish breakout signal karega ascending triangle pattern se. Ye breakout substantial upward movement lead kar sakta hai, kyunki ye aur buyers ko attract karega aur positive trend ka continuation indicate karega. Doosri taraf, agar Gold 2380 ke upar break nahi kar pata aur phir se reject ho jata hai, to ye ascending triangle pattern mein trade karta rahega. Is se consolidation period shuru ho sakta hai jahan price rising support line aur horizontal resistance ke beech oscillate karega

Summary mein, Gold H4 time frame chart par ek ascending triangle mein trade kar raha hai, multiple attempts ke saath 2360 resistance level ko break karne ke liye. Recent formation of a strong bullish candle at this resistance strong buying pressure indicate karti hai. Gold is level ko break karega ya nahi ye uncertain hai, lekin ek successful breakout aur gains aur positive trend ka continuation lead karega. Traders ko price action aur volume ko is critical resistance level ke aas-paas closely dekhna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein

Gold prices Tuesday ko surge kar gayi jab ek US economic report ne slower-than-expected consumer spending ka izhaar kiya. Yeh data, jo lower retail sales figures mein reflect hota hai, ne yeh speculation ko fuel kiya ke Federal Reserve 2024 mein interest rate cuts ka silsila shuru kar sakti hai. Abhi tak, gold price (XAU/USD) $2,327 pe trade ho rahi hai, jo 0.51% ka increase represent karti hai. Is khabar ne investors ki umeedon ko dobara jagaya hai regarding interest rates mein kami.
Fed ka pehla stance yeh tha ke current monetary policy kaafi hai, magar recent economic data se adjustments ki zarurat ka pata chalta hai. May mein industrial production ne improvement dikhaya compared to ek downwardly revised April figure, magar overall economic picture abhi bhi uncertain hai. Iss mix mein aur jodte hue, influential Fed officials jaise New York Fed President John Williams ne public statements mein potential policy changes ka hint diya hai. Williams ne indicate kiya ke agar deflation continue karti hai aur Fed ke target inflation rate of 2% ke kareeb pohonchti hai, toh ek gradual decline in interest rates ho sakti hai. Woh specific September rate cut ke baare mein noncommittal rahe magar current economic trajectory pe optimism dikhaya.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, gold prices ke current rise ke bawajood, ek potential downward trend ka ishara milta hai. Analysts ne ek "bearish head and shoulders" chart pattern point out kiya, jo future price decline ki potential dikhata hai. Yeh view support karti hai Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo abhi sellers ko favor karti hai. Agar XAU/USD price $2,300 se neeche girti hai, toh support levels $2,277 (May 3rd low) aur $2,222 (March 21st high) par exist karti hain. Magar, is bearish outlook ka ek counterpoint bhi hai. Agar gold $2,341.41 ke resistance level ko break karti hai, toh yeh ek rally trigger kar sakti hai similar to the one seen earlier this year, potentially reaching $2,400. Yeh upswing dusre currencies jaise Pound aur Franc ko bhi positively impact kar sakti hai

Overall, gold market ek fascinating scenario present karti hai. Jabke technical indicators ek potential decline suggest karte hain, economic data aur Fed pronouncements lower interest rates ka possibility hint karte hain, jo gold prices ko buoy kar sakti hain. Investors ko XAU/USD price movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye, particularly iski performance relative to the support aur resistance levels mentioned. Jaisey jaisey economic situation unfold hoti hai aur Fed ka stance clear hota hai, gold prices ka future direction zyada evident hoga

Ek hi waqt, sone ki qeemat ko niche channel lines se support mila, jo ke is qeemat ko aur girne se roknay wali teh. Ye niche channel lines support zone ke tor par kaam kar rahi thi, jo selling pressure ko absorb kar rahi thi aur qeemat ko ek muqarrar range mein rakhnay wali thi. $2,300 ki resistance aur niche channel lines ke support ke darmiyan interaction ne ek choti trading band banayi, jahan qeemat sideways move kar rahi thi bina kisi significant breakout ke.
Ye sideways trading ek balanced market ki khasiyat hai, jahan buying aur selling pressures kareeb-kareeb barabar hote hain. Traders aise periods ko aksar indecision ya consolidation ke tor par dekhte hain jo ke ek potential breakout se pehle hoti hain. $2,300 ki resistance, jo ke ek mahwari pivot level hai, kaafi ahmiyat rakhti hai, jo trader behavior aur market sentiment par asar andaz hoti hai. Pivot levels pichle period ke high, low, aur close prices ko use kar ke calculate hoti hain aur ye potential support aur resistance zones ke indicators ke tor par kaam karte hain.

Jab qeemat sideways trade karti rahi, market participants ehtiyaat barat rahe, ek faislay kun move ka intezar karte hue jo ya to $2,300 resistance se upar ho ya niche channel support lines se neeche. In teeno dino ke doran clear trend na hone se market ka anticipation reflect hota hai naye information ya developments ka jo ke qeemat ko is current range se bahar nikal sakti hain

Mukhtasir yeh ke, pehle teeno dinon mein, sone ki qeemat sideways trade hoti rahi, jo ke monthly pivot level $2,300 ki resistance aur niche channel lines se support ki wajah se constrain rahi. Yeh consolidation ka period ek equilibrium market ko highlight karta hai

Hum sone ke qeemat ke mojudah rawayye ka tajziya karain ge. Sone ke technical pehluon ka tajziya karne ke baad, main is natija pe pohancha ke qeemat ka rawayya 2323.928-2325.431 ke behtar qeemat gap (imbalance) se dono taraf ja sakta hai. Qeemat is waqt do mazboot liquidity zones ke darmiyan hai, jo faisla lena mushkil banata hai. Isliye, main market se door rehta hoon aur qeemat ko observe kar raha hoon. Halka sabz rang ka highlight kiya gaya qeemat gap (imbalance) 2315.233-2308.899 abhi tak likely nahi hai, isliye ek retest qeemat ko wapas upar dhakel sakta hai, jo ke ek mazboot liquidity level 2341.856 ko target kar sakta hai. Surat-e-haal abhi tak poori tarah se develop nahi hui hai; is haftay sone ka rawayya sust raha hai, lekin yeh jald tabdeel ho sakta hai. H4 time frame par general direction niche ki taraf hai, lekin ek pullback banta nazar aa raha hai. Abhi kuch sideways movement lag rahi hai, lekin downward-tilted channel kaafi broad hai, jo price action ke liye guzarish de raha hai

Qeemat abhi do imbalance zones process kar rahi hai, jisme se lower zone mazboot nazar aa raha hai. Isay torhne ki zaroorat nahi hai, aur liquidity ikatthi karne ke baad, qeemat barh sakti hai, jo ke is haftay 2337 ko update kar sakti hai. Expected flat market barqarar hai. Graphically, flag pattern bandh karna mumkin nahi hai kyunke qeemat ko 2340-2344 area mein pohanchna zaroori hai isay mukammal karne ke liye, jo surat-e-haal ko wazeh karega. Filhaal, scalping mumkin hai, kuch movement ka intezar hai, lekin bears ka upper hand lag raha hai. Lekin humein rukna yad rakhna chahiye. D1 time frame dekhte hue, main 2259 se niche girne ko rule out nahi karta, jaise pehle kaha tha, lekin iske liye catalyst ko wazeh karna zaroori hai.
XAUUSD pair is waqt significant liquidity zones ke darmiyan flux mein hai. Agar retest kiya gaya, to halka sabz rang ka highlight kiya gaya price gap upar ki taraf movement ko lead kar sakta hai. H4 time frame downward trend ko suggest karta hai jisme potential pullbacks aur sideways movement bhi hai

ka chart dekhte hain - trading instrument GOLD ka. Iss purane period ke wave structure abhi bhi ascend order mein hai, lekin MACD indicator pehle se nichle sell zone mein gir chuka hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. MACD indicator par ek aisi badi bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jaise hi indicator zero cross kar chuka ho, jaise discharge ho gaya ho, mujhe lagta hai ki signal abhi puri tarah kaam nahi kiya hai. Yahan par ek reversal figure bhi dekha ja sakta hai - ek ascending wedge jo safaltapurvak toot gaya hai. Phir koi aur vikas nahi hua; trading ranges mein chalna shuru ho gaya. Yahan par ek accumulation aur upar jaane ka prayaas hua, phir neeche jaane ka - ek standard trap. Kal neeche se horizontal resistance level 2223 par ek test hua, buyers ne ise paar karne ki koshish ki, lekin kaam nahi aaya, kal is senior level se din bhar ke short periods mein excellent downward entries huyi. Main yeh maan raha hoon ki ab najdiki significant minimum ke neeche, yani 2277 ke neeche, May ke last ke neeche, aur sirf us niche point ke baad hum growth ko seriously consider kar sakte hain, lekin pehle nahi. Abhi ke liye meri ray mein to sirf short periods ke liye nichle direction mein kaam karna zyada promising lag raha hai jab bhi corresponding formations ban jaayein. Baqi major instruments bhi meri ray mein decline ki taraf zyada inclined hain; jaise pound aur euro bhi girne ke liye taiyar hain. Aaj ke news mein, hum 18-00 Moscow time par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report note kar sakte hain. Aaj se raat aur subah se hum grow kar rahe hain, lekin meri ray mein yeh bhi achha hai ki price seedhe girne ke bajaye thoda upar jaaye. Aap M15-M5 par mirror sell level ka wait kar sakte hain, jab support resistance mein badal jaye, aur phir nichle direction mein kaam shuru kar sakte hai Yahan, market ek 1 to 9 ka risk-reward ratio offer kar raha hai, jo ek pehle ka significant high ke qareeb hai. Bechna mushkil lag sakta hai, lekin signal to signal hai. Hourly chart par ek buy signal bhi hai, jo grey bar se mark hai aur 2345.12 ko target kar raha hai. Magar, yeh prudent hai ke agar koi pullback hota hai to uske baad hi buy karein. Market aakhir kar in scenarios mein se ek ko favour karega, isliye humein strategic choices karni hongi. Filhaal, mein selling ko opt kar raha hoon. H1 sell signal H4 par broader sell signal aur H4 time frame ke 1-2-3 pattern se feasible hai. Jabke koi guarantee nahi ke sales prevail karengi, lekin yeh current strategy hai. Hamara stop-loss 2340.25 ke niche hai, aur sales market ke opening se possible

Chaliye D1 ka chart dekhte hain - trading instrument GOLD ka. Iss purane period ke wave structure abhi bhi ascend order mein hai, lekin MACD indicator pehle se nichle sell zone mein gir chuka hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. MACD indicator par ek aisi badi bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jaise hi indicator zero cross kar chuka ho, jaise discharge ho gaya ho, mujhe lagta hai ki signal abhi puri tarah kaam nahi kiya hai. Yahan par ek reversal figure bhi dekha ja sakta hai - ek ascending wedge jo safaltapurvak toot gaya hai. Phir koi aur vikas nahi hua; trading ranges mein chalna shuru ho gaya. Yahan par ek accumulation aur upar jaane ka prayaas hua, phir neeche jaane ka - ek standard trap. Kal neeche se horizontal resistance level 2223 par ek test hua, buyers ne ise paar karne ki koshish ki, lekin kaam nahi aaya, kal is senior level se din bhar ke short periods mein excellent downward entries huyi. Main yeh maan raha hoon ki ab najdiki significant minimum ke neeche, yani 2277 ke neeche, May ke last ke neeche, aur sirf us niche point ke baad hum growth ko seriously consider kar sakte hain, lekin pehle nahi. Abhi ke liye meri ray mein to sirf short periods ke liye nichle direction mein kaam karna zyada promising lag raha hai jab bhi corresponding formations ban jaayein. Baqi major instruments bhi meri ray mein decline ki taraf zyada inclined hain; jaise pound aur euro bhi girne ke liye taiyar hain. Aaj ke news mein, hum 18-00 Moscow time par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report note kar sakte hain. Aaj se raat aur subah se hum grow kar rahe hain, lekin meri ray mein yeh bhi achha hai ki price seedhe girne ke bajaye thoda upar jaaye. Aap M15-M5 par mirror sell level ka wait kar sakte hain, jab support resistance mein badal jaye, aur phir nichle direction mein kaam shuru kar sakte hai
Yahan, market ek 1 to 9 ka risk-reward ratio offer kar raha hai, jo ek pehle ka significant high ke qareeb hai. Bechna mushkil lag sakta hai, lekin signal to signal hai. Hourly chart par ek buy signal bhi hai, jo grey bar se mark hai aur 2345.12 ko target kar raha hai. Magar, yeh prudent hai ke agar koi pullback hota hai to uske baad hi buy karein. Market aakhir kar in scenarios mein se ek ko favour karega, isliye humein strategic choices karni hongi. Filhaal, mein selling ko opt kar raha hoon. H1 sell signal H4 par broader sell signal aur H4 time frame ke 1-2-3 pattern se feasible hai. Jabke koi guarantee nahi ke sales prevail karengi, lekin yeh current strategy hai. Hamara stop-loss 2340.25 ke niche hai, aur sales market ke opening se possible hain, provided ke koi price gap na ho. Targets likely hain

Federal Reserve ka faisla ke interest rates ko stable rakha jaye aur future cuts ke expectations ko kam kiya jaye, gold market mein lehrain daal gaya. Is se US Treasury yields barh gaye, jo gold ko interest-bearing bonds ke muqable mein kam attractive investment bana raha hai. Natija tan ke gold prices 0.63% gir gayi, daily high $2,332 se $2,317 (XAU/USD) par aa gayi. Is girawat se traders pareshaan hain aur bohot sari economic data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain. Retail sales, industrial production, jobless claims, aur global PMI figures ko economy ke health aur future Fed actions ke ishare ke liye qareeb se dekha jayega. Market is waqt December tak federal funds rate mein 35 basis points reduction ki umeed kar raha hai, lekin Fed ke naye stance se yeh prediction mashkuk ho sakti hai. Gold ke masail mein izafa China se bhi ho raha hai, jo ke aik bara gold buyer hai aur apni 18-maheenon ki khareedari rok di hai. Unki gold holdings 72.8 million ounces par ruk gayi hain, jo ke precious metal ki demand ko aur bhi kam kar rahi hai

Technical analysis gold ke liye aik potentially bleak picture dikhata hai. Head and shoulders chart pattern ab bhi play mein hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke prices $2,200 se neeche gir sakti hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish territory mein aur deeper ja raha hai, jo selling momentum mein izafa aur aagey aane wale steeper losses ko dikhata hai. Agar XAU/USD $2,300 ke crucial mark se neeche girta hai, toh support levels $2,277 (May low) aur $2,222 (March high) aa sakti hain. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ke downside target ko $2,160 tak revise kiya hai. Magar, umeed ki kiran ab bhi hai. Agar gold June 7th ke high $2,387 se upar chala jaye, toh yeh $2,400 resistance level ko test kar sakta hai. Aik contracting triangle pattern chart par upside breakout ke ishara de raha hai. Agar price triangle ke resistance $2,332 aur 100 SMA (red line on a 4-hour chart) ko cross karta hai, toh significant price increase ka rasta saaf ho sakta hai. Initial resistance hurdles $2,340 ke qareeb ho sakti hain, jo $2,365 ya $2,385 tak climb ko lead kar sakti hain. Dosri taraf, agar price $2,310 se neeche girta hai, toh steeper decline ka rasta khul sakta hai, potential support $2,300 aur $2,285 par hai. Aanewale dino mein, gold traders economic data releases, Fed ke announcements aur technical chart signals par nazar rakhenge taake metal ka next move determine kar sakein. Yeh dekhna abhi baqi hai ke yeh downward spiral mein jata hai ya surprising rally stage karta hai

Kal ka trading session sone ke liye aik rollercoaster ride tha, jaisa ke umeed thi, American session ke doran kaafi zyada activity dekhne ko mili. Market ka key driver US consumer price indices (CPI) ka release tha, jo ke anticipated se bohot kam aayi. Is data ne US inflation mein significant slowdown ka signal diya, jo US dollar par downward pressure daal raha hai. Jaise jaise dollar kamzor hota hai, sona, jo traditionally inflation ke khilaf aik hedge mana jata hai, aam tor par strong hota hai. Yeh sona ke liye positive news ko Federal Reserve System ke head ke speech ne kuch hadd tak offset kiya. Jab ke Fed Chair ne inflation mein slowdown ko acknowledge kiya, unki comments ne interest rate cuts ke liye aik more cautious approach ko suggest kiya. Market participants ne initially is saal teen rate cuts anticipate kiye thay. Magar, Fed Chair ke remarks ne imply kiya ke sirf aik cut ho sakta hai, jo market sentiment ko shift kar gaya. In conflicting forces ke natijay mein, gold prices ne initially CPI release ke baad spike kiya, peak values ko touch kiya. Magar, Fed Chair ke speech ne enthusiasm ko temper kar diya, aur gold prices Asian trading session ke doran retreat kar gayi. Is decline ne gold quotes ko wapas $2,313 ke neechay push kar diya. Bulls (investors jo believe karte hain ke gold prices barhenge) abhi prices ko dobara $2,313 ke upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar current four-hour trading candle is level ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh upward correction ka signal de sakti hai towards a resistance level of $2,342. Yeh upward movement aaj ke trading session ke liye most likely scenario lagti hai, based on current market conditions. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke kuch traders, including myself, ne small bullish position le rakhi hai anticipating is potential rise ke liye. Overall, kal ka session gold market ki sensitivity ko economic data aur central bank policy ke hawale se highlight karta hai. Inflation data aur Fed Chair ke speech se milne wale mixed signals ne aik volatile trading environment create kar diya. Jaisay hi hum aaj ke session mein enter karte hain, bulls regain control ki koshish mein hain, with a close

Aakhri kaam karne wale hafta mein, sona ussi mehdood range mein raha. Qeemat phir se 2358 level se upar nikalne ki koshish ki, lekin mukhalaft ka samna kiya aur foran neeche gir gaya, aur phir range ki lower boundary ki taraf chali gayi. Is tarah, mazeed girawat ka expected scenario poora nahi hua. Filhal, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo ye darshata hai ke sellers ka control hai.
Aaj ka technical forecast yeh batata hai ke sona kal se shuru hone wali upward momentum ko dubara shuru karega, jo ke pehle tooti hui key resistance level 2340 se upar trade kar raha hai, jab ke simple moving average ki taraf wapsi positive stimulus faraham karegi. Hum optimistic hain lekin ehtiyat ke sath, 2375 ko apna pehla target rakhtay hain, agar price 2375 se upar consolidate karti hai, to sona bullish ho jayega, jo seedha 2389 tak le jayega. Hum yaad dilate hain ke trading phir se 2340 se neeche stable hai, jo ke 23.60% ka correction hai, aur sabse important 2337 ke upar, jo temporary bullish scenario ko rokti hai aur price ko formal pullback deti hai, jis ke targets 2313 aur 2300 se shuru hote hain

Qeematein filhal iss hafte ke early weekly lows se neeche hain. Mukhalifat ka main area kaafi pressure mein aaya aur takreeban toot gaya lekin apne break ko hold karne mein kaamyab raha, jo ke preferred decline vector correlation ke barqarar rehne ko zahir karta hai. Quotes ko confirm karne ke liye, current price area ke neeche ek level set karna zaroori hai, jo ke 2325 hai, jahan main resistance zone border karta hai. Is area ka dobara retest aur bounce, agle dip ka rasta saaf karega jo 2221 aur 2188 ke darmiyan ka area target karega

Sona ki qeemat ke rawaiye ka jaiza lena hai. Haftey ka pivot level tootne ke baad, Sona tang daira mein chal raha hai. 4-hour chart par, futures neechay ki taraf hain, aur Ichimoku cloud ke neechey trade ho raha hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi neechay ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Aakhri trading session mein, futures ne girawat jari rakhi, reversal level ke neechey mazid mazboot hotay hue aur ab 2312.24 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday benchmarks mein girawat ke liye classic Pivot levels ka support hai. Mera tajziya hai ke girawat current levels se jari rahegi, aur pehla support level 2256.26 tootne par ek nai girawat ki lehre chal padi, jo ke price ko support line ke neechey le jaayegi takreeban 2220.40 par. Agar market upar ki taraf jaye, toh resistance level 2357.17 par ek ahm rujhan hoga
Dusri taraf, kuch aham support zones bhi hain jo dekhne laayak hain. 2293.73 zone tak pohanchne se pehle, 2295 region se immediate support milne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar gold ki price girti hai, to is area ke qareeb stability mil sakti hai kisi bhi further significant decline se pehle. Ye support zone traders ke liye bohot important hai jo potential buying opportunities ko identify karna chahte hain ya apni positions ko safeguard karna chahte hain.
Agar gold 2283-2295 range ke support ko break karta hai, to ye bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo aage further decline tak le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, price 2290 tak gir sakti hai, jo ek critical level hai dekhne ke liye. Ye level short-term support ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, lekin agar ye hold karne mein fail hota hai, to market further declines dekh sakti hai. 2290 tak ke potential fall ke baad, XAU/USD ke liye downside pe next significant target 2325 support hai. Ye thoda confusing lag sakta hai, lekin ye volatility ko highlight karta hai aur traders ke liye support aur resistance levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar gold is support level tak pohanchta hai, to agar market sentiment shift hoti hai to ye ek achi buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai

ka chart dekhte hain - trading instrument GOLD ka. Iss purane period ke wave structure abhi bhi ascend order mein hai, lekin MACD indicator pehle se nichle sell zone mein gir chuka hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. MACD indicator par ek aisi badi bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jaise hi indicator zero cross kar chuka ho, jaise discharge ho gaya ho, mujhe lagta hai ki signal abhi puri tarah kaam nahi kiya hai. Yahan par ek reversal figure bhi dekha ja sakta hai - ek ascending wedge jo safaltapurvak toot gaya hai. Phir koi aur vikas nahi hua; trading ranges mein chalna shuru ho gaya. Yahan par ek accumulation aur upar jaane ka prayaas hua, phir neeche jaane ka - ek standard trap. Kal neeche se horizontal resistance level 2223 par ek test hua, buyers ne ise paar karne ki koshish ki, lekin kaam nahi aaya, kal is senior level se din bhar ke short periods mein excellent downward entries huyi. Main yeh maan raha hoon ki ab najdiki significant minimum ke neeche, yani 2277 ke neeche, May ke last ke neeche, aur sirf us niche point ke baad hum growth ko seriously consider kar sakte hain, lekin pehle nahi. Abhi ke liye meri ray mein to sirf short periods ke liye nichle direction mein kaam karna zyada promising lag raha hai jab bhi corresponding formations ban jaayein. Baqi major instruments bhi meri ray mein decline ki taraf zyada inclined hain; jaise pound aur euro bhi girne ke liye taiyar hain. Aaj ke news mein, hum 18-00 Moscow time par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report note kar sakte hain. Aaj se raat aur subah se hum grow kar rahe hain, lekin meri ray mein yeh bhi achha hai ki price seedhe girne ke bajaye thoda upar jaaye. Aap M15-M5 par mirror sell level ka wait kar sakte hain, jab support resistance mein badal jaye, aur phir nichle direction mein kaam shuru kar sakte hai Yahan, market ek 1 to 9 ka risk-reward ratio offer kar raha hai, jo ek pehle ka significant high ke qareeb hai. Bechna mushkil lag sakta hai, lekin signal to signal hai. Hourly chart par ek buy signal bhi hai, jo grey bar se mark hai aur 2345.12 ko target kar raha hai. Magar, yeh prudent hai ke agar koi pullback hota hai to uske baad hi buy karein. Market aakhir kar in scenarios mein se ek ko favour karega, isliye humein strategic choices karni hongi. Filhaal, mein selling ko opt kar raha hoon. H1 sell signal H4 par broader sell signal aur H4 time frame ke 1-2-3 pattern se feasible hai. Jabke koi guarantee nahi ke sales prevail karengi, lekin yeh current strategy hai. Hamara stop-loss 2340.25 ke niche hai, aur sales market ke opening se possible

Gold milay julay signals bhej raha tha kyunke ye apni girawat ka silsila jari rakha huwa tha. Is haftay ka aghaz dheere mod se huwa, jo pichlay haftay ke low 2,307 ko tor gaya. Kal rozana ka bear flag tasdeeq huwa, jo din ke nashist range mein kamzori ke sath khatam huwa. Phir bhi, aaj koi naram dora na dekha gaya. Is ke bajaye, Budh ka high 2,324 ko tor kar, gold ne 20-day moving average (MA) 2,328 pe resistance ko test kiya, neeche ki taraf ja raha tha. Jab ye likha ja raha tha, to Budh ko peak 2,331 tak pohonch gaya tha.
Gold ko 2,339 ke aas paas mukabla ka samna hai, jo ke nayi trend line aur 50-day MA se zahir hota hai. Jab tak 2369 swing high se upar nahi aata, aage tailing mumkin hai. Haftay ke akhri din tak, is haftay ke highs 50-day MA ke potential upside ka taayun karne mein aham hissa dalenge. Agar gold 2369 swing high ko cross kar le, to ye mazeed taqat ko zahir kar sakta hai. Maujooda re-evaluation ke bawajood, broad picture bright hai, jo ke yeh show karti hai ke ye discipline aakhir mein khud ko durust karna chahiye, halanke is se pehle ek tez decline ho sakti hai.

Is haftay ke low 2,294 ke neeche ek tez girawat dobara continuation ka signal degi. Ye recent support ko challenge karegi swing lows 2,287 aur 2,277 pe. Pehla aham low 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 2,262 pe hai. Agar ye level breach hota hai, to gold jaldi se 78.6% Fibonacci retracement 2,211 ke kareeb bottom kar sakta hai. Ye position ek potential support line ke aghaz ko zahir karti hai, jo resistance zone se aa rahi hai jo March ke peak ke dauran encounter hui thi. uplift line

Akhir mein, gold iss waqt apne broader bullish trend mein ek correction phase se guzar raha hai. Key points jo dekhne walay hain woh resistance 2,339 pe aur support 2,294 pe hain. 2,339 ke upar break strength aur mazeed gains ko zahir karega, jab ke 2,294 ke neeche break aik deeper comeback ko zahir kar sakta hai. Investors ko in numbers pe ghore se nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke ye gold ke agle trend ke liye aham clues provide karte hain. Maujooda volatility ke bawajood, gold ka long-term outlook positive hai, aur ye correction aakhir mein higher prices ko lead karne ki umeed hai